Statistical analysis and first-passage-time applications of a lognormal diffusion process with multi-sigmoidal logistic mean.

We consider a lognormal diffusion process having a multisigmoidal logistic mean, useful to model the evolution of a population which reaches the maximum level of the growth after many stages. Referring to the problem of statistical inference, two procedures to find the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown parameters are described. One is based on the resolution of the system of the critical points of the likelihood function, and the other is on the maximization of the likelihood function with the simulated annealing algorithm. A simulation study to validate the described strategies for finding the estimates is also presented, with a real application to epidemiological data. Special attention is also devoted to the first-passage-time problem of the considered diffusion process through a fixed boundary.

Generalized Entropies, Variance and Applications.

The generalized cumulative residual entropy is a recently defined dispersion measure. In this paper, we obtain some further results for such a measure, in relation to the generalized cumulative residual entropy and the variance of random lifetimes. We show that it has an intimate connection with the non-homogeneous Poisson process. We also get new expressions, bounds and stochastic comparisons involving such measures. Moreover, the dynamic version of the mentioned notions is studied through the residual lifetimes and suitable aging notions. In this framework we achieve some findings of interest in reliability theory, such as a characterization for the exponential distribution, various results on k-out-of-n systems, and a connection to the excess wealth order. We also obtain similar results for the generalized cumulative entropy, which is a dual measure to the generalized cumulative residual entropy.

Analysis of a growth model inspired by Gompertz and Korf laws, and an analogous birth-death process.

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection point, the maximum specific growth rate, the lag time and the threshold crossing problem. Some data analytic examples and their performance are also considered. Furthermore, we study a stochastic counterpart of the proposed model, that is a linear time-inhomogeneous birth-death process whose mean behaves as the deterministic one. We obtain the transition probabilities, the moments and the population ultimate extinction probability for this process. We finally treat the special case of a simple birth process, which better mimics the proposed growth model.

Preface for the special issue of Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, BIOCOMP 2012.

The International Conference "BIOCOMP2012 - Mathematical Modeling and Computational Topics in Biosciences'', was held in Vietri sul Mare (Italy), June 4-8, 2012. It was dedicated to the Memory of Professor Luigi M. Ricciardi (1942-2011), who was a visionary and tireless promoter of the 3 previous editions of the BIOCOMP conference series. We thought that the best way to honor his memory was to continue the BIOCOMP program. Over the years, this conference promoted scientific activities related to his wide interests and scientific expertise, which ranged in various areas of applications of mathematics, probability and statistics to biosciences and cybernetics, also with emphasis on computational problems. We are pleased that many of his friends and colleagues, as well as many other scientists, were attracted by the goals of this recent event and offered to contribute to its success.

On a spike train probability model with interacting neural units.

We investigate an extension of the spike train stochastic model based on the conditional intensity, in which the recovery function includes an interaction between several excitatory neural units. Such function is proposed as depending both on the time elapsed since the last spike and on the last spiking unit. Our approach, being somewhat related to the competing risks model, allows to obtain the general form of the interspike distribution and of the probability of consecutive spikes from the same unit. Various results are finally presented in the two cases when the free firing rate function (i) is constant, and (ii) has a sinusoidal form.

Analysis of a stochastic neuronal model with excitatory inputs and state-dependent effects.

We propose a stochastic model for the firing activity of a neuronal unit. It includes the decay effect of the membrane potential in absence of stimuli, and the occurrence of time-varying excitatory inputs governed by a Poisson process. The sample-paths of the membrane potential are piecewise exponentially decaying curves with jumps of random amplitudes occurring at the input times. An analysis of the probability distributions of the membrane potential and of the firing time is performed. In the special case of time-homogeneous stimuli the firing density is obtained in closed form, together with its mean and variance.

Input-output behaviour of a model neuron with alternating drift.

The input-output behaviour of the Wiener neuronal model subject to alternating input is studied under the assumption that the effect of such an input is to make the drift itself of an alternating type. Firing densities and related statistics are obtained via simulations of the sample-paths of the process in the following three cases: the drift changes occur during random periods characterised by (i) exponential distribution, (ii) Erlang distribution with a preassigned shape parameter, and (iii) deterministic distribution. The obtained results are compared with those holding for the Wiener neuronal model subject to sinusoidal input.