A New Concept for Reference Change Values-Regression to the Population Mean.

BACKGROUND: Reference change values (RCV) are used to indicate a change in analyte concentration that is unlikely to be due to random variation in the patient or the measurement. Current theory describes RCV relative to a first measurement result (X1). We investigate an alternative view predicting the starting point for RCV calculations from X1 and its location in the reference interval. METHODS: Data for serum sodium, calcium, and total protein from the European Biological Variation study and from routine clinical collections were analyzed for the effect of the position of X1 within the reference interval on the following result from the same patient. A model to describe the effect was determined, and an equation to predict the RCV for a sample in a population was developed. RESULTS: For all data sets, the midpoints of the RCVs were dependent on the position of X1 in the population. Values for X1 below the population mean were more likely to be followed by a higher result, and X1 results above the mean were more likely to be followed by lower results. A model using population mean, reference interval dispersion, and result diagnostic variation provided a good fit with the data sets, and the derived equation predicted the changes seen. CONCLUSIONS: We have demonstrated that the position of X1 within the reference interval creates an asymmetrical RCV. This can be described as a regression to the population mean. Adding this concept to the theory of RCVs will be an important consideration in many cases.

Biological Variation Data in Triathletes for Metabolism and Growth-Related Biomarkers Included in the Athlete Biological Passport.

BACKGROUND: When using biological variation (BV) data, BV estimates need to be robust and representative. High-endurance athletes represent a population under special physiological conditions, which could influence BV estimates. Our study aimed to estimate BV in athletes for metabolism and growth-related biomarkers involved in the Athlete Biological Passport (ABP), by 2 different statistical models. METHODS: Thirty triathletes were sampled monthly for 11 months. The samples were analyzed for human growth hormone (hGH), insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1), insulin-like growth factor binding protein 3 (IGFBP-3), insulin, and N-terminal propeptide of type III procollagen (P-III-NP) by immunoassay. Bayesian and ANOVA methods were applied to estimate within-subject (CVI) and between-subject BV. RESULTS: CVI estimates ranged from 7.8% for IGFBP-3 to 27.0% for insulin, when derived by the Bayesian method. The 2 models gave similar results, except for P-III-NP. Data were heterogeneously distributed for P-III-NP for the overall population and in females for IGF-1 and IGFBP-3. BV components were not estimated for hGH due to lack of steady state. The index of individuality was below 0.6 for all measurands, except for insulin. CONCLUSIONS: In an athlete population, to apply a common CVI for insulin would be appropriate, but for IGF-1 and IGFBP-3 gender-specific estimates should be applied. P-III-NP data were heterogeneously distributed and using a mean CVI may not be representative for the population. The high degree of individuality for IGF-1, IGFBP-3, and P-III-NP makes them good candidates to be interpreted through reference change values and the ABP.

Analytical performance specifications based on biological variation data - considerations, strengths and limitations.

Analytical performance specifications (APS) are typically established through one of three models: (i) outcome studies, (ii) biological variation (BV), or (iii) state-of-the-art. Presently, The APS can, for most measurands that have a stable concentration, be based on BV. BV based APS, defined for imprecision, bias, total allowable error and allowable measurement uncertainty, are applied to many different processes in the laboratory. When calculating APS, it is important to consider the different APS formulae, for what setting they are to be applied and if they are suitable for the intended purpose. In this opinion paper, we elucidate the background, limitations, strengths, and potential intended applications of the different BV based APS formulas. When using BV data to set APS, it is important to consider that all formulae are contingent on accurate and relevant BV estimates. During the last decade, efficient procedures have been established to obtain reliable BV estimates that are presented in the EFLM biological variation database. The database publishes detailed BV data for numerous measurands, global BV estimates derived from meta-analysis of quality-assured studies of similar study design and automatic calculation of BV based APS.

The European biological variation study (EuBIVAS): Biological variation data for testosterone, follicle stimulating hormone, prolactin, luteinizing hormone and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate in men.

BACKGROUND: Knowledge of biological variation (BV) of hormones is essential for interpretation of laboratory tests and for diagnostics of endocrinological and reproductive diseases. There is a lack of robust BV data for many hormones in men. METHODS: We used serum samples collected weekly over 10 weeks from the European Biological Variation Study (EuBIVAS) to determine BV of testosterone, follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH), prolactin, luteinizing hormone (LH) and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEA-S) in 38 men. We derived within-subject (CVI) and between-subject (CVG) BV estimates by CV-ANOVA after trend, outlier, and homogeneity analysis and calculated reference change values, index of individuality (II), and analytical performance specifications. RESULTS: The CVI estimates were 10 % for testosterone, 8 % for FSH, 13 % for prolactin, 22 % for LH, and 9 % for DHEA-S, respectively. The IIs ranged between 0.14 for FSH to 0.66 for LH, indicating high individuality. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we have used samples from the highly powered EuBIVAS study to derive BV estimates for testosterone, FSH, prolactin, LH and DHEA-S in men. Our data confirm previously published BV estimates of testosterone, FSH and LH. For prolactin and DHEA-S BV data for men are reported for the first time.

Biological variation of inflammatory and iron metabolism markers in high-endurance recreational athletes; are these markers useful for athlete monitoring?

OBJECTIVES: To deliver biological variation (BV) data for serum hepcidin, soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR), erythropoietin (EPO) and interleukin 6 (IL-6) in a population of well-characterized high-endurance athletes, and to evaluate the potential influence of exercise and health-related factors on the BV. METHODS: Thirty triathletes (15 females) were sampled monthly (11 months). All samples were analyzed in duplicate and BV estimates were delivered by Bayesian and ANOVA methods. A linear mixed model was applied to study the effect of factors related to exercise, health, and sampling intervals on the BV estimates. RESULTS: Within-subject BV estimates (CVI) were for hepcidin 51.9 % (95 % credibility interval 46.9-58.1), sTfR 10.3 % (8.8-12) and EPO 27.3 % (24.8-30.3). The mean concentrations were significantly different between sex, but CVI estimates were similar and not influenced by exercise, health-related factors, or sampling intervals. The data were homogeneously distributed for EPO but not for hepcidin or sTfR. IL-6 results were mostly below the limit of detection. Factors related to exercise, health, and sampling intervals did not influence the BV estimates. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides, for the first time, BV data for EPO, derived from a cohort of well-characterized endurance athletes and indicates that EPO is a good candidate for athlete follow-up. The application of the Bayesian method to deliver BV data illustrates that for hepcidin and sTfR, BV data are heterogeneously distributed and using a mean BV estimate may not be appropriate when using BV data for laboratory and clinical applications.

Sex-related differences in within-subject biological variation estimates for 22 essential and non-essential amino acids.

BACKGROUND: Measurement of serum amino acid (AA) concentrations is important in particular for the diagnosis and monitoring of inborn errors of AA metabolism. To ensure optimal clinical interpretation of AAs, reliable biological variation (BV) data are essential. In the present study, we derived BV data for 22 non-essential, conditionally essential, and essential AAs and assessed differences in BV of AAs related to sex. METHODS: Morning blood samples were drawn from 66 subjects (31 males and 35 females) once a week for 10 consecutive weeks. All samples were analyzed in duplicate using liquid chromatography-tandem mass-spectrometry. The data were assessed for outliers, trends, normality and variance homogeneity analysis prior to estimating within-subject (CVI) and between-subject (CVG) BV. RESULTS: CVI estimates ranged from 9.0 % for histidine (male) to 33.0 % for taurine (male). CVI estimates in males and females were significantly different for all AAs except for aspartic acid, citrulline and phenylalanine, in most cases higher in females than in males. Apart from for arginine, CVG estimates in males and females were similar. CONCLUSIONS: In this highly powered BV study, we provide updated BV estimates for 22 AAs and demonstrate that for most AAs, CVI estimates differ between males and females, with implications for interpretation and use of AAs in clinical practice.

Biological variation estimates of Alzheimer's disease plasma biomarkers in healthy individuals.

INTRODUCTION: Blood biomarkers have proven useful in Alzheimer's disease (AD) research. However, little is known about their biological variation (BV), which improves the interpretation of individual-level data. METHODS: We measured plasma amyloid beta (Aß42, Aß40), phosphorylated tau (p-tau181, p-tau217, p-tau231), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and neurofilament light chain (NfL) in plasma samples collected weekly over 10 weeks from 20 participants aged 40 to 60 years from the European Biological Variation Study. We estimated within- (CVI ) and between-subject (CVG ) BV, analytical variation, and reference change values (RCV). RESULTS: Biomarkers presented considerable variability in CVI and CVG . Aß42/Aß40 had the lowest CVI (≈ 3%) and p-tau181 the highest (≈ 16%), while others ranged from 6% to 10%. Most RCVs ranged from 20% to 30% (decrease) and 25% to 40% (increase). DISCUSSION: BV estimates for AD plasma biomarkers can potentially refine their clinical and research interpretation. RCVs might be useful for detecting significant changes between serial measurements when monitoring early disease progression or interventions. Highlights Plasma amyloid beta (Aß42/Aß40) presents the lowest between- and within-subject biological variation, but also changes the least in Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients versus controls. Plasma phosphorylated tau variants significantly vary in their within-subject biological variation, but their substantial fold-changes in AD likely limits the impact of their variability. Plasma neurofilament light chain and glial fibrillary acidic protein demonstrate high between-subject variation, the impact of which will depend on clinical context. Reference change values can potentially be useful in monitoring early disease progression and the safety/efficacy of interventions on an individual level. Serial sampling revealed that unexpectedly high values in heathy individuals can be observed, which urges caution when interpreting AD plasma biomarkers based on a single test result.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on HbA1c management and results in pediatric and adult outpatients with diabetes.

Objectives: Diabetes mellitus intensify the risks and complications related to COVID-19 infection. A major effect of the pandemic has been a drastic reduction of in-person visits. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HbA1c management and results among pediatric and adult outpatients with diabetes, considering the laboratory and point-of-care testing (POCT) HbA1c measurements. Methods: Observational retrospective study including patients from pediatric and adult diabetes units was conducted. HbA1c results obtained in the laboratory and POCT over 3 years (2019-2021) were collected from the laboratory information system. Results: After the lockdown, the number of HbA1c plummeted. Children returned soon to routine clinical practice. The number of HbA1c increased gradually in adults, especially in POCT. Globally, HbA1c results were lower in children compared with adults (p<0.001). HbA1c values in children (p<0.001) and adults (p=0.002) decreased between pre-pandemic and post-pandemic periods, though lower than the HbA1c reference change value. The percentage of HbA1c results above 8% remained stable during the study period. Conclusions: Continuous glucose monitoring and a telemedicine have been crucial, even allowing for improvements in HbA1c results. During the lockdown, patients with better metabolic control were managed in the laboratory whereas patients with poorer control or a severe clinical situation were attended in diabetes units by POCT. Adults returned to pre-pandemic management slowly because they were more susceptible to morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19. Coordination among all health professionals has been essential to offering the best management, especially in difficult scenarios such as the COVID-19 pandemic.

Long-Term Within- and Between-Subject Biological Variation Data of Hematological Parameters in Recreational Endurance Athletes.

BACKGROUND: Hematological parameters have many applications in athletes, from monitoring health to uncovering blood doping. This study aimed to deliver biological variation (BV) estimates for 9 hematological parameters by a Biological Variation Data Critical Appraisal Checklist (BIVAC) design in a population of recreational endurance athletes and to assess the effect of self-reported exercise and health-related variables on BV. METHODS: Samples were drawn from 30 triathletes monthly for 11 months and measured in duplicate for hematological measurands on an Advia 2120 analyzer (Siemens Healthineers). After outlier and homogeneity analysis, within-subject (CVI) and between-subject (CVG) BV estimates were delivered (CV-ANOVA and log-ANOVA, respectively) and a linear mixed model was applied to analyze the effect of exercise and other related variables on the BV estimates. RESULTS: CVI estimates ranged from 1.3% (95%CI, 1.2-1.4) for mean corpuscular volume to 23.8% (95%CI, 21.6-26.3) for reticulocytes. Sex differences were observed for platelets and OFF-score. The CVI estimates were higher than those reported for the general population based on meta-analysis of eligible studies in the European Biological Variation Database, but 95%CI overlapped, except for reticulocytes, 23.9% (95%CI, 21.6-26.5) and 9.7% (95%CI, 6.4-11.0), respectively. Factors related to exercise and athletes' state of health did not appear to influence the BV estimates. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first BIVAC-compliant study delivering BV estimates that can be applied to athlete populations performing high-level aerobic exercise. CVI estimates of most parameters were similar to the general population and were not influenced by exercise or athletes' state of health.

Biological variation: recent development and future challenges.

Biological variation (BV) data have many applications in laboratory medicine. However, these depend on the availability of relevant and robust BV data fit for purpose. BV data can be obtained through different study designs, both by experimental studies and studies utilizing previously analysed routine results derived from laboratory databases. The different BV applications include using BV data for setting analytical performance specifications, to calculate reference change values, to define the index of individuality and to establish personalized reference intervals. In this review, major achievements in the area of BV from last decade will be presented and discussed. These range from new models and approaches to derive BV data, the delivery of high-quality BV data by the highly powered European Biological Variation Study (EuBIVAS), the Biological Variation Data Critical Appraisal Checklist (BIVAC) and other standards for deriving and reporting BV data, the EFLM Biological Variation Database and new applications of BV data including personalized reference intervals and measurement uncertainty.

Within-subject biological variation estimates using an indirect data mining strategy. Spanish multicenter pilot study (BiVaBiDa).

OBJECTIVES: The estimates of biological variation (BV) have traditionally been determined using direct methods, which present limitations. In response to this issue, two papers have been published addressing these limitations by employing indirect methods. Here, we present a new procedure, based on indirect methods that analyses data collected within a multicenter pilot study. Using this method, we obtain CVI estimates and calculate confidence intervals (CI), using the EFLM-BVD CVI estimates as gold standard for comparison. METHODS: Data were collected over a 18-month period for 7 measurands, from 3 Spanish hospitals; inclusion criteria: patients 18-75 years with more than two determinations. For each measurand, four different strategies were carried out based on the coefficient of variation ratio (rCoeV) and based on the use of the bootstrap method (OS1, RS2 and RS3). RS2 and RS3 use symmetry reference change value (RCV) to clean database. RESULTS: RS2 and RS3 had the best correlation for the CVI estimates with respect to EFLM-BVD. RS2 used the symmetric RCV value without eliminating outliers, while RS3 combined RCV and outliers. When using the rCoeV and OS1 strategies, an overestimation of the CVI value was obtained. CONCLUSIONS: Our study presents a new strategy for obtaining robust CVI estimates using an indirect method together with the value of symmetric RCV to select the target population. The CVI estimates obtained show a good correlation with those published in the EFLM-BVD database. Furthermore, our strategy can resolve some of the limitations encountered when using direct methods such as calculating confidence intervals.

Performance evaluation of the high sensitive troponin I assay on the Atellica IM analyser.

Introduction: The Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction Global Taskforce recommends the use of high sensitive troponin (hs-Tn) assays in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. We evaluated the analytical performance of the Atellica IM High-sensitivity Troponin I Assay (hs-TnI) (Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics Inc., Tarrytown, USA) and compared its performance to other hs-TnI assays (Siemens Advia Centaur, Dimension Vista, Dimension EXL, and Abbott Architect (Wiesbaden, Germany)) at one or more sites across Europe. Materials and methods: Precision, detection limit, linearity, method comparison, and interference studies were performed according to Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute protocols. Values in 40 healthy individuals were compared to the manufacturer's cut-offs. Sample turnaround time (TAT) was examined. Results: Imprecision repeatability CVs were 1.1-4.7% and within-lab imprecision were 1.8-7.6% (10.0-25,000 ng/L). The limit of blank (LoB), detection (LoD), and quantitation (LoQ) aligned with the manufacturer's values of 0.5 ng/L, 1.6 ng/L, and 2.5 ng/L, respectively. Passing-Bablok regression demonstrated good correlations between Atellica IM analyser with other systems; some minor deviations were observed. All results in healthy volunteers fell below the 99th percentile URL, and greater than 50% of each sex demonstrated values above the LoD. No interference was observed for biotin (≤ 1500 µg/L), but a slight bias at 5.0 g/L haemoglobin and 50 ng/L Tn was observed. TAT from was fast (mean time = 10.9 minutes) and reproducible (6%CV). Conclusions: Real-world analytical and TAT performance of the hs-TnI assay on the Atellica IM analyser make this assay fit for routine use in clinical laboratories.

Critical review and meta-analysis of biological variation estimates for tumor markers.

OBJECTIVES: Biological variation data (BV) can be used for different applications, but this depends on the availability of robust and relevant BV data. In this study, we aimed to summarize and appraise BV studies for tumor markers, to examine the influence of study population characteristics and concentrations on BV estimates and to discuss the applicability of BV data for tumor markers in clinical practice. METHODS: Studies reporting BV data for tumor markers related to gastrointestinal, prostate, breast, ovarian, haematological, lung, and dermatological cancers were identified by a systematic literature search. Relevant studies were evaluated by the Biological Variation Data Critical Appraisal Checklist (BIVAC) and meta-analyses were performed for BIVAC compliant studies to deliver global estimates of within-subject (CVI) and between-subject (CVG) BV with 95% CI. RESULTS: The systematic review identified 49 studies delivering results for 22 tumor markers; four papers received BIVAC grade A, 3 B, 27 C and 15 D. Out of these, 29 CVI and 29 CVG estimates met the criteria to be included in the meta-analysis. Robust data are lacking to conclude on the relationship between BV and different disease states and tumor marker concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: This review identifies a lack of high-quality BV studies for many tumor markers and a need for delivery of BIVAC compliant studies, including in different disease states and tumor marker concentrations. As of yet, the state-of-the-art may still be the most appropriate model to establish analytical performance specifications for the majority of tumor markers.

Within- and between-subject biological variation data for tumor markers based on the European Biological Variation Study.

OBJECTIVES: Reliable biological variation (BV) data are required for the clinical use of tumor markers in the diagnosis and monitoring of treatment effects in cancer. The European Biological Variation Study (EuBIVAS) was established by the EFLM Biological Variation Working Group to deliver BV data for clinically important measurands. In this study, EuBIVAS-based BV estimates are provided for cancer antigen (CA) 125, CA 15-3, CA 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen, cytokeratin-19 fragment, alpha-fetoprotein and human epididymis protein 4. METHODS: Subjects from five European countries were enrolled in the study, and weekly samples were collected from 91 healthy individuals (53 females and 38 males; 21-69 years old) for 10 consecutive weeks. All samples were analyzed in duplicate within a single run. After excluding outliers and homogeneity analysis, the BVs of tumor markers were determined by CV-ANOVA on trend-corrected data, when relevant (Røraas method). RESULTS: Marked individuality was found for all tumor markers. CYFRA 21-1 was the measurand with the highest index of individuality (II) at 0.67, whereas CA 19-9 had the lowest II at 0.07. The CV I s of HE4, CYFRA 21-1, CA 19-9, CA 125 and CA 15-3 of pre- and postmenopausal females were significantly different from each other. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides updated BV estimates for several tumor markers, and the findings indicate that marked individuality is characteristic. The use of reference change values should be considered when monitoring treatment of patients by means of tumor markers.

Critical appraisal and meta-analysis of biological variation estimates for kidney related analytes.

OBJECTIVES: Kidney markers are some of the most frequently used laboratory tests in patient care, and correct clinical decision making depends upon knowledge and correct application of biological variation (BV) data. The aim of this study was to review available BV data and to provide updated BV estimates for the following kidney markers in serum and plasma; albumin, creatinine, cystatin C, chloride, potassium, sodium and urea. CONTENT: Relevant studies were identified from a historical BV database as well as by systematic literature searches. Retrieved publications were appraised by the Biological Variation Data Critical Appraisal Checklist (BIVAC). Meta-analyses of BIVAC compliant studies with similar design were performed to deliver global estimates of within-subject (CVI) and between-subject (CVG) BV estimates. Out of the 61 identified papers, three received a BIVAC grade A, four grade B, 48 grade C, five grade D grade and one was not appraised as it did not report numerical BV estimates. Most studies were identified for creatinine (n=48). BV estimates derived from the meta-analysis were in general lower than previously reported estimates for all analytes except urea. For some measurands, BV estimates may be influenced by age or states of health, but further data are required. SUMMARY: This review provides updated global BV estimates for kidney related measurands. For all measurands except for urea, these estimates were lower than previously reported. OUTLOOK: For the measurands analyzed in this review, there are sufficient well-designed studies available to publish a trustworthy estimate of BV. However, for a number of newly appearing kidney markers no suitable data is available and additional studies are required.

European Biological Variation Study (EuBIVAS): within- and between-subject biological variation estimates for serum thyroid biomarkers based on weekly samplings from 91 healthy participants.

OBJECTIVES: Thyroid biomarkers are fundamental for the diagnosis of thyroid disorders and for the monitoring and treatment of patients with these diseases. The knowledge of biological variation (BV) is important to define analytical performance specifications (APS) and reference change values (RCV). The aim of this study was to deliver BV estimates for thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), free thyroxine (FT4), free triiodothyronine (FT3), thyroglobulin (TG), and calcitonin (CT). METHODS: Analyses were performed on serum samples obtained from the European Biological Variation Study population (91 healthy individuals from six European laboratories; 21-69 years) on the Roche Cobas e801 at the San Raffaele Hospital (Milan, Italy). All samples from each individual were evaluated in duplicate within a single run. The BV estimates with 95% CIs were obtained by CV-ANOVA, after analysis of variance homogeneity and outliers. RESULTS: The within-subject (CV I ) BV estimates were for TSH 17.7%, FT3 5.0%, FT4 4.8%, TG 10.3, and CT 13.0%, all significantly lower than those reported in the literature. No significant differences were observed for BV estimates between men and women. CONCLUSIONS: The availability of updated, in the case of CT not previously published, BV estimates for thyroid markers based on the large scale EuBIVAS study allows for refined APS and associated RCV applicable in the diagnosis and management of thyroid and related diseases.