Protocol for the development of a tool (INSPECT-SR) to identify problematic randomised controlled trials in systematic reviews of health interventions.

INTRODUCTION: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) inform healthcare decisions. It is now apparent that some published RCTs contain false data and some appear to have been entirely fabricated. Systematic reviews are performed to identify and synthesise all RCTs that have been conducted on a given topic. While it is usual to assess methodological features of the RCTs in the process of undertaking a systematic review, it is not usual to consider whether the RCTs contain false data. Studies containing false data therefore go unnoticed and contribute to systematic review conclusions. The INveStigating ProblEmatic Clinical Trials in Systematic Reviews (INSPECT-SR) project will develop a tool to assess the trustworthiness of RCTs in systematic reviews of healthcare-related interventions. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The INSPECT-SR tool will be developed using expert consensus in combination with empirical evidence, over five stages: (1) a survey of experts to assemble a comprehensive list of checks for detecting problematic RCTs, (2) an evaluation of the feasibility and impact of applying the checks to systematic reviews, (3) a Delphi survey to determine which of the checks are supported by expert consensus, culminating in, (4) a consensus meeting to select checks to be included in a draft tool and to determine its format and (5) prospective testing of the draft tool in the production of new health systematic reviews, to allow refinement based on user feedback. We anticipate that the INSPECT-SR tool will help researchers to identify problematic studies and will help patients by protecting them from the influence of false data on their healthcare. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The University of Manchester ethics decision tool was used, and this returned the result that ethical approval was not required for this project (30 September 2022), which incorporates secondary research and surveys of professionals about subjects relating to their expertise. Informed consent will be obtained from all survey participants. All results will be published as open-access articles. The final tool will be made freely available.

The IRELAnD study-investigating the role of early low-dose aspirin in diabetes mellitus: a double-blinded, placebo-controlled, randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Although aspirin therapy is being increasingly advocated with the intention of risk modification for a wide range of pregnancy complications, women with prepregnancy diabetes mellitus are commonly excluded from clinical trials. OBJECTIVE: The primary aim of this study was to examine the effect of aspirin therapy on a composite measure of adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies complicated by pregestational diabetes mellitus. STUDY DESIGN: A double-blinded, placebo-controlled randomized trial was conducted at 6 university-affiliated perinatology centers. Women with type 1 diabetes mellitus or type 2 diabetes mellitus of at least 6 months' duration were randomly allocated to 150-mg daily aspirin or placebo from 11 to 14 weeks' gestation until 36 weeks. Established vascular complications of diabetes mellitus, including chronic hypertension or nephropathy, led to exclusion from the trial. The primary outcome was a composite measure of placental dysfunction (preeclampsia, fetal growth restriction, preterm birth <34 weeks' gestation, or perinatal mortality). The planned sample size was 566 participants to achieve a 35% reduction in the primary outcome, assuming 80% statistical power. Secondary end points included maternal and neonatal outcomes and determination of insulin requirements across gestation. Data were centrally managed using ClinInfo and analyzed using SAS 9.4. The 2 treatment groups were compared using t tests or chi-square tests, as required, and longitudinal data were compared using a repeated-measures analysis. RESULTS: From February 2020 to September 2022, 191 patients were deemed eligible, 134 of whom were enrolled (67 randomized to aspirin and 67 to placebo) with a retrospective power of 64%. A total of 101 (80%) women had type 1 diabetes mellitus and 25 (20%) had type 2 diabetes mellitus. Reaching the target sample size was limited by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Baseline characteristics were similar between the aspirin and placebo groups. Treatment compliance was very high and similar between groups (97% for aspirin, 94% for placebo). The risk of the composite measure of placental dysfunction did not differ between groups (25% aspirin vs 21% placebo; P=.796). Women in the aspirin group had significantly lower insulin requirements throughout pregnancy compared with the placebo group. Insulin requirements in the aspirin group increased on average from 0.7 units/kg at baseline to 1.1 units/kg by 36 weeks' gestation (an average 83% within-patient increase), and increased from 0.7 units/kg to 1.3 units/kg (a 181% within-patient increase) in the placebo group, over the same gestational period (P=.002). Serial hemoglobin A1c levels were lower in the aspirin group than in the placebo group, although this trend did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSION: In this multicenter, double-blinded, placebo-controlled randomized trial, aspirin did not reduce the risk of adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies complicated by prepregnancy diabetes mellitus. Compared with the placebo group, aspirin-treated patients required significantly less insulin throughout pregnancy, indicating a beneficial effect of aspirin on glycemic control. Aspirin may exert a plausible placenta-mediated effect on pregestational diabetes mellitus that is not limited to its antithrombotic properties.

Critical congenital heart disease: contemporary prenatal screening performance and outcomes in a multi-centre perinatology service.

BACKGROUND: Prenatal detection of critical congenital heart disease (CCHD) optimises perinatal decision-making and neonatal outcomes. The objective of this study was to determine the prenatal screening performance, care pathways and perinatal outcomes for prenatally and postnatally diagnosed cases of CCHD over a four-year period. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study in a tertiary centre and its two affiliated secondary sites examined all cases of CCHD, including cases of pregnancy termination and in-utero fetal death, neonatal death and liveborn babies that underwent cardiac catheterization or surgery in the first six weeks of life. Prenatal and postnatal data were ascertained from the first trimester assessment for all patients diagnosed prenatally. Cases requiring intervention that were first identified in the postnatal period were included to determine prenatal detection rates. Follow-up for all cases of CCHD continued to one year of age. RESULTS: In a consecutive cohort of 49,950 pregnancies in a 4-year period 01/2019 to 12/2022, a prenatal diagnosis of CCHD was made in 96 cases, yielding a prevalence of 1.9 per 1000 births. The prenatal detection for right duct-dependant heart pathology and congenital heart block was 100%, 85% for left duct-dependant pathology and 93% for transposition of the great arteries (TGA). In the prenatally diagnosed group, 37% of cases were complicated by extracardiac structural abnormalities, a genetic diagnosis or both. All cases of prenatal detection were identified in the context of routine anatomy screening rather than specialist Fetal Cardiac screening services. Almost half of all pregnancies complicated by CCHD did not undergo neonatal cardiac intervention, by virtue of parental choice determined either prenatally or after birth. An additional eight babies were diagnosed with CCHD in the neonatal period, such that the prenatal detection rate for CCHD was 92% (96/104, 95% CI = 84%-96%). Survival at 1-year for infants deemed suitable for CCHD surgery was 85%. CONCLUSION: In a large unselected population, optimal rates of prenatal detection of critical congenital heart disease can be achieved by a protocolised approach to mid-trimester fetal anatomy ultrasound, underpinned by a programme of sonographer education and training. The cardiac abnormalities most likely to evade prenatal detection are left-sided obstructive lesions.

Protocol for the development of a tool (INSPECT-SR) to identify problematic randomised controlled trials in systematic reviews of health interventions.

Introduction: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) inform healthcare decisions. It is now apparent that some published RCTs contain false data and some appear to have been entirely fabricated. Systematic reviews are performed to identify and synthesise all RCTs that have been conducted on a given topic. While it is usual to assess methodological features of the RCTs in the process of undertaking a systematic review, it is not usual to consider whether the RCTs contain false data. Studies containing false data therefore go unnoticed and contribute to systematic review conclusions. The INSPECT-SR project will develop a tool to assess the trustworthiness of RCTs in systematic reviews of healthcare related interventions. Methods and analysis: The INSPECT-SR tool will be developed using expert consensus in combination with empirical evidence, over five stages: 1) a survey of experts to assemble a comprehensive list of checks for detecting problematic RCTs, 2) an evaluation of the feasibility and impact of applying the checks to systematic reviews, 3) a Delphi survey to determine which of the checks are supported by expert consensus, culminating in 4) a consensus meeting to select checks to be included in a draft tool and to determine its format, 5) prospective testing of the draft tool in the production of new health systematic reviews, to allow refinement based on user feedback. We anticipate that the INSPECT-SR tool will help researchers to identify problematic studies, and will help patients by protecting them from the influence of false data on their healthcare.

A randomised open-label trial to assess outpatient induction of labour (HOMEIND) and compare efficacy of Propess vs Dilapan-S® for induction of labour at 39 weeks' gestation in normal risk nulliparous women: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Induction of labour (IOL) at 39 weeks has been shown to decrease maternal and neonatal adverse outcomes. Given the growing demand for 39-week IOL, it is imperative that effective methods be assessed for induction in the outpatient setting. The aim of this study is to answer the clinical question as to whether Dilapan-S® vs Propess® as a method of cervical ripening is non-inferior in the outpatient setting at 39 weeks and to ascertain whether Dilapan-S® 12 h is non-inferior to Dilapan-S® 24 h. METHODS: This study is an open-label parallel group single-centre randomised trial. Participants are normal risk nulliparous women who have no pregnancy-related or medical contraindication to IOL. Women will be randomised to one of three induction groups-Dilapan-S® (12-h insertion or 24-h insertion) or Propess. Induction will be initiated between 39+0 and 39+4 weeks' gestation and participants will return home for either 12 or 24 h. They will be readmitted 12/24 h later in order to continue with induction of labour. Patient recruitment will take place over 30 months within a single centre. The study will recruit a maximum 109 women for each study arm. Total duration of participants' involvement in the trial will be 8 weeks to allow for postpartum follow-up. DISCUSSION: This study will definitively answer whether Dilapan-S is non-inferior to Propess® as a method of induction of labour in the outpatient setting and whether cervical ripening with Dilapan-S over a 12-h timeframe is non-inferior to cervical ripening with Dilapan-S over a 24-h timeframe. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EudraCT Number 2019-004697-25 Registered 14 September 2020.

Glycosylated haemoglobin as an indicator of diabetes control in pregnancy: A 10-year review of the relationship between HbA1c trends and delivery outcome in type I and type II diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Pregestational diabetes mellitus (PGDM) confers an increased risk of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes [1,2]. Glycaemic control in the medium and long term is commonly evaluated by examining glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels. However, the value of HbA1c in pregnancy may be diminished by increased level of red cell turnover characteristic of pregnancy [3,4]. We sought to examine the impact of HbA1c in the first trimester and pre-delivery, and the within-patient change throughout gestation on mode of delivery and birthweight in pregnancies complicated by a pre-pregnancy diagnosis of type I or type II diabetes. METHODS: A 10-year consecutive cohort of pregnancies complicated by PGDM, from Jan 2010 until Dec 2019, was examined for HbA1c data in the first trimester and within 6 weeks of delivery. Perinatal outcome data, including gestational age at delivery, mode of delivery and birthweight centile, were obtained from hospital records. The Spearman Rank correlation was used to correlate HcA1c levels in the first trimester with birthweight centiles. Non-parametric summaries and rank-based tests, Signed-rank test and Kruskal-Wallis test, were used to compare Hba1c levels. RESULTS: During the 10-year study period, a consecutive cohort of 396 pregnancies that attained a viable gestational age (>24 weeks' gestation) and complicated by pregestational diabetes was identified; representing 81 % of the population of pregestational diabetic pregnancies managed by this service during the study period. The median [IQR] HbA1c levels (mmol/mol) in the first trimester, pre-delivery and the differential across gestation were 51 [19] mmol/mol, 43 [11] mmol/mol and -8 [13] mmol/mol, respectively. A statistically significant reduction in HbA1c levels throughout gestation was observed (p < 0.001). The median [IQR] birthweight centile was 69 [50 - 96]. The distributions in HbA1c levels and birthweight centiles were heavily skewed. No correlation was identified between HbA1c levels and mode of delivery. CONCLUSION: Neither baseline HbA1c levels, pre-delivery values, nor trends across gestation appear to impact birthweight centile or mode of delivery in PGDM. While optimising glycaemic control can affect the long term health of the mother, these indices cannot be relied upon to reflect the impact of glycaemic control on fetal growth aberrations that influence mode of delivery.

Smoking cessation Through Optimization of clinical care in Pregnancy: the STOP pragmatic randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Smoking cessation improves pregnancy outcomes, yet there is uncertainty around the efficacy of models of antenatal intervention for smoking cessation in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to test the Smoking cessation Through Optimization of clinical care in Pregnancy (STOP) clinic as an antenatal care pathway for smoking cessation in pregnancy. The STOP intervention is a smoking cessation clinic staffed by a dedicated multidisciplinary team of obstetricians, midwives, and smoking cessation practitioners, who provide motivational and psychological support and intensive clinical monitoring of pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: This was a pragmatic randomized controlled trial of the STOP clinic compared with routine antenatal care at a tertiary urban maternity hospital delivering >8000 infants per year. The primary outcome measured was continuous abstinence from smoking before 28+0 weeks' gestation, sustained throughout the duration of the pregnancy, and validated using biological measures. The secondary outcomes included maternal and fetal morbidity, delivery and neonatal outcomes, smoking outcomes, and qualitative measures. RESULTS: A total of 436 women were randomized, with 430 women included in the primary outcome analysis. Women attending the STOP antenatal clinic were more likely to quit smoking compared with those in routine care (odds ratio, 3.62; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-9.17). In addition, women who continued to smoke in the STOP clinic smoked fewer cigarettes daily at the time of delivery compared with controls: 5±4 in the STOP clinic and 7±5 in the control group (odds ratio, 0.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.13-0.59). However, this intervention did not alter postpartum relapse rates (4.3% intervention arm vs 1.5% control arm, not significant) at 4 to 6 months following delivery. The mean birthweight was similar in the intervention and control arms; however, quitters in both groups had infants with significantly higher birthweights compared with those of continued smokers. CONCLUSION: The STOP antenatal model of care leads to higher smoking cessation rates among pregnant smokers and lower daily cigarette consumption at time of delivery. Currently, there is no defined or dedicated antenatal pathway for pregnant smokers, despite the high-risk nature of their pregnancies. Our findings suggest that improved smoking cessation rates in pregnancy may be achieved using the holistic approach of the STOP model of care.

Dynamic growth changes in fetal growth restriction using serial ultrasonographic biometry and umbilical artery doppler: The multicenter PORTO study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the growth dynamics of fetuses with initial fetal growth restriction (FGR) later outgrowing the 10th centile for estimated fetal weight with respect to perinatal outcomes and maternal factors. METHODS: A multicenter prospective study recruited 1116 patients for ultrasound surveillance between 2010 and 2012. All pregnancies were growth-restricted singleton gestations between 24 + 0 and 36 + 0 weeks. Biometry and Doppler analysis were carried out, and delivery and adverse perinatal outcomes were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 193 (17%) fetuses outgrew their diagnosis of initial FGR (surpassed the 10th centile) on their last sonogram before delivery. These fetuses were termed "growers," to compare with the true FGR group. The mothers of "growers" were less likely to be smokers (14% vs 25%, P = 0.0001) or affected by hypertensive pregnancy complications (5.2% vs 15%, P = 0.001). Of the growers, 49 (25%) had an abnormal umbilical artery Doppler; however, in most cases (33/49, 67%), this was a single episode of raised umbilical artery pulsatility index, which subsequently normalized. CONCLUSION: There were dynamic growth changes in FGR fetuses, with 17% outgrowing their original diagnosis. Positive growth spurts more commonly occurred in healthy mothers. Once a fetus had outgrown the 10th centile, antenatal surveillance could be decreased.

Onset and outcomes of spontaneous labour in low risk nulliparous women.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to: 1. Establish the median gestational age of spontaneous labour for low-risk nulliparas. 2. Examine the variation in mode of delivery and short-term neonatal outcomes with gestation at onset of spontaneous labour. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective observational cohort study conducted at a tertiary obstetric unit. The study population was 12, 323 low risk nulliparous women with singleton pregnancies who experienced spontaneous onset of labour. The study period was over seven years, from Jan 1st 2011 to 31st Dec 2017. Exclusion criteria were multiparity, multi-fetal pregnancy, booking after 14 weeks gestation, antepartum or intrapartum death, or any obstetric or fetal indication for delivery with the exception of post-maturity. Gestation of onset of spontaneous labour, demographic variables and maternal and neonatal outcomes were collected. The primary outcome was median gestational age at onset of spontaneous labour and its distribution at term. Secondary outcomes were mode of delivery and neonatal outcomes including low-apgar score and NICU admission. RESULTS: 12, 323 patients were eligible for inclusion. Median gestation for onset of labour was 40.1 weeks gestation, with 80.5% of spontaneous labour occurs by 41 + 0 weeks gestation. The risk of assisted delivery (RR 1.32, 95% CI 1.23 - 1.42), caesarean section (RR 2.17, 95% CI 1.88-2.51) and low-apgar scores (RR 3.13 95% CI 1.50-6.55) increased significantly with spontaneous labour after 41 weeks' gestation. CONCLUSIONS: Nulliparous women with low-risk pregnancies are most likely to experience spontaneous labour between 40 + 0 and 40 + 6. 80.5% of spontaneous labour occurred by 41 + 0 weeks gestation. Assisted vaginal delivery, caesarean section and low-apgar scores were significantly more likely with spontaneous labour after 41 weeks' gestation.

Term induction of labour in nulliparous women: When to draw the line?

Objective: There exists uncertainty surrounding the most effective and efficient means of inducing labour, particularly in the setting of an unfavourable cervix. This study aims to determine the merit of repeating dinoprostone administration when a single application has failed to render the cervix favourable for amniotomy. Study design: Retrospective analysis of a consecutive cohort of nulliparous women who underwent term induction of labour in a tertiary referral centre in Ireland was conducted over a 12- month period (December 2019 to January 2021). The time-interval from dinoprostone administration to delivery and the incidence of complicated birth, associated with single and sequential dinoprostone dosing, were determined. Comparisons were made using the Chi-square test and logistic regression adjusting for gestational age delivery. Results: 586 nulliparous women underwent term induction of labour during the study period. Administration of a single dose of dinoprostone or amniotomy alone were associated with the greatest prospect of an uncomplicated vaginal birth when compared to sequential dinoprostone dosing. Nonetheless, just one in four nulliparous women undergoing induction of labour experienced an unassisted and uncomplicated vaginal birth. The median [interquartile range] for time interval from induction to delivery or decision for caesarean delivery was 0.4 [0.3-0.6] days in those who underwent amniotomy alone, compared to 1.1 [0.7-1.5] days, 1.8 [1.4-2.2] days and 2.2 [2.0-2.6] days for those with 1, 2 or 3 doses of dinoprostone, respectively (p < 0.001 between all groups; Figure 1). Conclusion: These contemporaneous data indicate that in circumstances where more than a single dose of dinoprostone is required for cervical priming in a nulliparous woman, the incidence of an uncomplicated vaginal delivery decreased from more than half of women to less than one third. Over one third of women who were administered either a single dose of dinoprostone or more than one dose experienced an emergency intrapartum Caesarean delivery or a complicated vaginal birth. These findings are relevant to nulliparous women undergoing induction of labour in the setting of an unfavourable cervix and should be incorporated into shared decision-making consultations, particularly when repeat administration of dinoprostone is being considered.

The emergence of a change in the prevalence of preeclampsia in a tertiary maternity unit (2004-2016).

BACKGROUND: Pre-eclampsia (PET) affects 2-3% of all pregnancies, rising to 5-7% in nulliparous women. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of PET over a 13-year period. METHODS: A retrospective review was performed over a 13-year period (2004-2016) via interrogation of the annual clinical reports of The Rotunda Hospital, Dublin. RESULTS: There was a fall in the overall incidence of PET (nulliparous and multiparous), from a peak of 3.8% in 2007 to 1.5% in 2015. Comparing the first and second halves of the study time-period this decrease was statistically significant (p < .0001). In nulliparous women, the thirteen-year mean was 4.4% for the study period, with a similar observed reduction from a peak of 5.3% in 2005 to a trough of 2.4% in 2015. DISCUSSION: In our institution, we have shown a decrease in preeclampsia rates over a 13-year period. While the reason for this trend remains unclear, a similar trend has been observed in another tertiary unit and additional research is required to explain the etiology behind these observations.

Growth patterns and cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses: 2. Normal growth and progressive growth restriction.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize growth processes and their associated cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses with normal growth and progressive growth restriction patterns as defined by Individualized Growth Assessment (IGA). METHODS: A SGA cohort (EFW and BW < 10th percentile) was derived from the PORTO study that included 47 fetuses with normal growth outcome (SGA Normal) and 34 fetuses with progressive growth restriction (SGA Growth Restricted, Pattern 1). Composite fetal size parameters were used to quantify growth pathology at individual third trimester time points (individual composite Prenatal Growth Assessment Score {icPGAS}) and calculated cumulatively during the third trimester (Fetal Growth Pathology Score 1{FGPS1}). Paired Doppler evaluations of the umbilical artery (UA), middle cerebral artery (MCA), ductus venosus (DV) and myocardial performance index (MPI) were used to detect cardiovascular anomalies. Outcome variables were birth age and birth weight. RESULTS: Ranking fetuses with respect to the severity of the 3rd trimester growth pathology (-FGPS1) revealed three subgroups in each of these two groups. In SGA Normal, no (51%), minimal (19%) or minor (30%) growth abnormalities were present. Although vascular flow abnormalities occurred without growth abnormalities (UA: 38%; MCA: 35%), they increased with minor growth disturbances (UA: 64%; MCA: 50%). All fetuses delivered at term and in only 7 cases (minor growth abnormalities subgroup) were the neonates abnormally small based on IGA criteria. In SGA Growth Restricted, Pattern 1, the progression of growth restriction was slow (47%), moderate (21%) and rapid (32%). Corresponding median -FGPS1 values were -1.34%, -2.67% and -4.88%, respectively. The median age of onset was 33.6, 29.7 and 29.7 weeks in these three subgroups. UA abnormalities occurred infrequently in the first two subgroups but were found in all cases of rapidly progressing pathology. Similar results were found for the MCA and DV + MPI Doppler parameters (rapid progression: MCA = 50%; DV + MPI = 50%). Premature delivery occurred less frequently with slow progression but was nearly 100% in the moderately and rapidly progressive subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Negative FGPS1 growth restriction patterns can be used to classify SGA fetuses. Subgroups, based on ranked -FGPS1 values in both SGA Normal and SGA Growth Restricted Pattern 1 groups had marked differences in cardiovascular abnormalities and neonatal outcomes. The characteristics of these two groups are consistent with small, normally growing fetuses and fetuses with "early" growth restriction, respectively.

Growth patterns and cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses: 3. Late, adaptive and recovering growth restriction.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize abnormal growth processes and their associated cardiovascular abnormalities in SGA fetuses using Individualized Growth Assessment (IGA). METHODS: This longitudinal investigation utilized a SGA cohort [EFW and BW <10th percentile] derived from the PORTO study. Fetuses categorized by their Fetal Growth Pathology Score [FGPS1] patterns [Pattern 2 {n = 12}, Pattern 3 {n = 11}, Pattern 5 {n = 13}] were evaluated. Growth pathology was measured using the -FGPS1 and the individual composite Prenatal Growth Assessment Score {-icPGAS]. Paired cardiovascular assessments utilized measurements of the Pulsatility Index [umbilical artery {UA}, middle cerebral artery {MCA}, ductus venosus {DV}] and the myocardial performance index [MPI; heart]. Outcome variables were birth age [preterm or, term] and birth weight [small or normal (IGA criteria)]. RESULTS: Pattern 2 was usually characterized by a single, growth abnormality (67% of cases) of variable magnitude that occurred within two weeks of delivery {median onset age: 37.6 weeks}. The incidence of UA abnormalities was low (25%) while those of MCA and DV/MPI were high {60%, 42%}. Most neonates were of normal size (67%) and delivered at term (67%).Pattern 3 had an initial progressive growth restriction phase, followed by constant but abnormally low growth. Growth pathology had an early onset (median age: 31.6 weeks), was moderate but persistently abnormal. The incidences of cardiovascular abnormalities were moderate [30-50%]. Most neonates were abnormally small (80%) but delivered at term (90%).Pattern 5 had an initial progressive phase with an early onset [onset age {median}: 31.6 weeks]. However, this process was arrested and returned toward normal. Growth pathology magnitudes were minor as were the incidences of cardiovascular abnormalities. Neonatal size was usually normal and all fetuses delivered at term. CONCLUSIONS: Characteristics of SGA Growth Restricted, Patterns 2, 3 and 5 are clearly different from those found in SGA Normal or SGA Growth Restricted Pattern 1 groups. They also differed from one another, indicating that growth restriction can manifest itself in several different ways. Pattern 2 is similar to "late" growth restriction reported previously. Patterns 3 and 5 are novel and have been designated as "adaptive" and "recovering" types of growth restriction.

Molecular Subtyping Combined with Biological Pathway Analyses to Study Regorafenib Response in Clinically Relevant Mouse Models of Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: Regorafenib (REG) is approved for the treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer, but has modest survival benefit and associated toxicities. Robust predictive/early response biomarkers to aid patient stratification are outstanding. We have exploited biological pathway analyses in a patient-derived xenograft (PDX) trial to study REG response mechanisms and elucidate putative biomarkers. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Molecularly subtyped PDXs were annotated for REG response. Subtyping was based on gene expression (CMS, consensus molecular subtype) and copy-number alteration (CNA). Baseline tumor vascularization, apoptosis, and proliferation signatures were studied to identify predictive biomarkers within subtypes. Phospho-proteomic analysis was used to identify novel classifiers. Supervised RNA sequencing analysis was performed on PDXs that progressed, or did not progress, following REG treatment. RESULTS: Improved REG response was observed in CMS4, although intra-subtype response was variable. Tumor vascularity did not correlate with outcome. In CMS4 tumors, reduced proliferation and higher sensitivity to apoptosis at baseline correlated with response. Reverse phase protein array (RPPA) analysis revealed 4 phospho-proteomic clusters, one of which was enriched with non-progressor models. A classification decision tree trained on RPPA- and CMS-based assignments discriminated non-progressors from progressors with 92% overall accuracy (97% sensitivity, 67% specificity). Supervised RNA sequencing revealed that higher basal EPHA2 expression is associated with REG resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Subtype classification systems represent canonical "termini a quo" (starting points) to support REG biomarker identification, and provide a platform to identify resistance mechanisms and novel contexts of vulnerability. Incorporating functional characterization of biological systems may optimize the biomarker identification process for multitargeted kinase inhibitors.