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1.
Trials ; 25(1): 521, 2024 Aug 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39095915

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Digital technologies, such as wearable devices and smartphone applications (apps), can enable the decentralisation of clinical trials by measuring endpoints in people's chosen locations rather than in traditional clinical settings. Digital endpoints can allow high-frequency and sensitive measurements of health outcomes compared to visit-based endpoints which provide an episodic snapshot of a person's health. However, there are underexplored challenges in this emerging space that require interdisciplinary and cross-sector collaboration. A multi-stakeholder Knowledge Exchange event was organised to facilitate conversations across silos within this research ecosystem. METHODS: A survey was sent to an initial list of stakeholders to identify potential discussion topics. Additional stakeholders were identified through iterative discussions on perspectives that needed representation. Co-design meetings with attendees were held to discuss the scope, format and ethos of the event. The event itself featured a cross-disciplinary selection of talks, a panel discussion, small-group discussions facilitated via a rolling seating plan and audience participation via Slido. A transcript was generated from the day, which, together with the output from Slido, provided a record of the day's discussions. Finally, meetings were held following the event to identify the key challenges for digital endpoints which emerged and reflections and recommendations for dissemination. RESULTS: Several challenges for digital endpoints were identified in the following areas: patient adherence and acceptability; algorithms and software for devices; design, analysis and conduct of clinical trials with digital endpoints; the environmental impact of digital endpoints; and the need for ongoing ethical support. Learnings taken for next generation events include the need to include additional stakeholder perspectives, such as those of funders and regulators, and the need for additional resources and facilitation to allow patient and public contributors to engage meaningfully during the event. CONCLUSIONS: The event emphasised the importance of consortium building and highlighted the critical role that collaborative, multi-disciplinary, and cross-sector efforts play in driving innovation in research design and strategic partnership building moving forward. This necessitates enhanced recognition by funders to support multi-stakeholder projects with patient involvement, standardised terminology, and the utilisation of open-source software.


Subject(s)
Clinical Trials as Topic , Endpoint Determination , Stakeholder Participation , Humans , Clinical Trials as Topic/methods , Cooperative Behavior , Interdisciplinary Communication , Mobile Applications , Wearable Electronic Devices , Research Design , Smartphone
2.
Lancet Rheumatol ; 2024 Jul 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39089297

ABSTRACT

Common to all inflammatory arthritides, namely rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis, axial spondyloarthritis, and juvenile idiopathic arthritis, is a potential for reduced mobility that manifests through joint pain, swelling, stiffness, and ultimately joint damage. Across these conditions, consensus has been reached on the need to capture outcomes related to mobility, such as functional capacity and physical activity, as core domains in randomised controlled trials. Existing endpoints within these core domains rely wholly on self-reported questionnaires that capture patients' perceptions of their symptoms and activities. These questionnaires are subjective, inherently vulnerable to recall bias, and do not capture the granularity of fluctuations over time. Several early adopters have integrated sensor-based digital health technology (DHT)-derived endpoints to measure physical function and activity in randomised controlled trials for conditions including Parkinson's disease, Duchenne's muscular dystrophy, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and heart failure. Despite these applications, there have been no sensor-based DHT-derived endpoints in clinical trials recruiting patients with inflammatory arthritis. Borrowing from case studies across medicine, we outline the opportunities and challenges in developing novel sensor-based DHT-derived endpoints that capture the symptoms and disease manifestations most relevant to patients with inflammatory arthritis.

4.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39029921

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that photographs (in addition to self-reported data) can be collected daily by patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) using a smartphone app designed specifically for digital lesions, and could provide an objective outcome measure for use in clinical trials. METHODS: An app was developed to collect images and patient reported outcome measures (PROMS) including Pain score and the Hand Disability in Systemic Sclerosis-Digital Ulcers (HDISS-DU) questionnaire. Participants photographed their lesion(s) each day for 30 days and uploaded images to a secure repository. Lesions were analysed both manually and automatically, using a machine learning approach. RESULTS: 25 patients with SSc-related digital lesions consented of whom 19 completed the 30-day study, with evaluable data from 27 lesions. Mean (standard deviation [SD]) baseline Pain score was 5.7 (2.4) and HDISS-DU 2.2 (0.9), indicating high lesion and disease-related morbidity. 506 images were used in the analysis (mean number of used images per lesion 18.7, SD 8.3). Mean (SD) manual and automated lesion areas at day 1 were 11.6 (16.0) and 13.9 (16.7) mm2 respectively. Manual area decreased by 0.08mm2 per day (2.4mm2 over 30 days) and automated area by 0.1mm2 (3.0mm2 over 30 days). Average gradients of manual and automated measurements over 30 days correlated strongly (r = 0.81). Manual measurements were on average 40% lower than automated, with wide limits of agreement. CONCLUSION: Even patients with significant hand disability were able to use the app. Automated measurement of finger lesions could be valuable as an outcome measure in clinical trials.

5.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39078656

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The rise of digital health applications utilizing continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) allows for novel assessments of glucose management and weight changes in people without diabetes. The Signos System incorporates a digital health app paired with a CGM to provide information and prompts aimed to help people without diabetes to manage weight. OBJECTIVES: The primary objective of this study was to determine whether the average timing of the latest chronological glucose excursion ("spike") was correlated with amount of weight loss. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively obtained glucose and weight data from people without diabetes who enrolled in the Signos System from November 2021 to August 2023. Participants were provided CGMs as well as encouraged to use the Signos app with personalized advice and logging capabilities for weight, food, physical activity, heart rate, sleep, and activities. "Latest Spike Time" was retrospectively derived from CGM data and compared to weight changes at six months. RESULTS: Nine hundred and twenty-six subjects met the inclusion criteria including sufficient days wearing a CGM and a weight log within fifteen days of six months from their first weight log. There was a strong correlation between an earlier spike time and increased weight loss. The top quintile of subjects, with an average latest spike time before 5:41 PM, lost over three times as much weight as the bottom quintile of users, with latest spike time after 8:40 PM; this separation was predictable within one month of data. CONCLUSION: In a large population of obese people without diabetes, continuous glucose data, specifically a novel metric "Latest Spike Time," was highly correlated with percentage of total body weight loss at six months. This research suggests that for people attempting weight loss, review and alteration of behaviors relating to later glucose excursions may be of specific benefit.

6.
JMIR Mhealth Uhealth ; 12: e48582, 2024 Jul 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39028557

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: People with chronic pain experience variability in their trajectories of pain severity. Previous studies have explored pain trajectories by clustering sparse data; however, to understand daily pain variability, there is a need to identify clusters of weekly trajectories using daily pain data. Between-week variability can be explored by quantifying the week-to-week movement between these clusters. We propose that future work can use clusters of pain severity in a forecasting model for short-term (eg, daily fluctuations) and longer-term (eg, weekly patterns) variability. Specifically, future work can use clusters of weekly trajectories to predict between-cluster movement and within-cluster variability in pain severity. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to understand clusters of common weekly patterns as a first stage in developing a pain-forecasting model. METHODS: Data from a population-based mobile health study were used to compile weekly pain trajectories (n=21,919) that were then clustered using a k-medoids algorithm. Sensitivity analyses tested the impact of assumptions related to the ordinal and longitudinal structure of the data. The characteristics of people within clusters were examined, and a transition analysis was conducted to understand the movement of people between consecutive weekly clusters. RESULTS: Four clusters were identified representing trajectories of no or low pain (1714/21,919, 7.82%), mild pain (8246/21,919, 37.62%), moderate pain (8376/21,919, 38.21%), and severe pain (3583/21,919, 16.35%). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the 4-cluster solution, and the resulting clusters were similar to those in the main analysis, with at least 85% of the trajectories belonging to the same cluster as in the main analysis. Male participants spent longer (participant mean 7.9, 95% bootstrap CI 6%-9.9%) in the no or low pain cluster than female participants (participant mean 6.5, 95% bootstrap CI 5.7%-7.3%). Younger people (aged 17-24 y) spent longer (participant mean 28.3, 95% bootstrap CI 19.3%-38.5%) in the severe pain cluster than older people (aged 65-86 y; participant mean 9.8, 95% bootstrap CI 7.7%-12.3%). People with fibromyalgia (participant mean 31.5, 95% bootstrap CI 28.5%-34.4%) and neuropathic pain (participant mean 31.1, 95% bootstrap CI 27.3%-34.9%) spent longer in the severe pain cluster than those with other conditions, and people with rheumatoid arthritis spent longer (participant mean 7.8, 95% bootstrap CI 6.1%-9.6%) in the no or low pain cluster than those with other conditions. There were 12,267 pairs of consecutive weeks that contributed to the transition analysis. The empirical percentage remaining in the same cluster across consecutive weeks was 65.96% (8091/12,267). When movement between clusters occurred, the highest percentage of movement was to an adjacent cluster. CONCLUSIONS: The clusters of pain severity identified in this study provide a parsimonious description of the weekly experiences of people with chronic pain. These clusters could be used for future study of between-cluster movement and within-cluster variability to develop accurate and stakeholder-informed pain-forecasting tools.


Subject(s)
Telemedicine , Humans , Cluster Analysis , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Telemedicine/statistics & numerical data , Pain Measurement/methods , Pain Measurement/instrumentation , Aged , Chronic Pain/epidemiology
7.
PLoS One ; 19(6): e0305531, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38917135

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Opioids administered in hospital during the immediate postoperative period are likely to influence post-surgical outcomes, but inpatient prescribing during the admission is challenging to access. Modified-release(MR) preparations have been especially associated with harm, whilst certain populations such as the elderly or those with renal impairment may be vulnerable to complications. This study aimed to assess postoperative opioid utilisation patterns during hospital stay for people admitted for major/orthopaedic surgery. METHODS: Patients admitted to a teaching hospital in the North-West of England between 2010-2021 for major/orthopaedic surgery with an admission for ≥1 day were included. We examined opioid administrations in the first seven days post-surgery in hospital, and "first 48 hours" were defined as the initial period. Proportions of MR opioids, initial immediate-release(IR) oxycodone and initial morphine milligram equivalents (MME)/day were calculated and summarised by calendar year. We also assessed the proportion of patients prescribed an opioid at discharge. RESULTS: Among patients admitted for major/orthopaedic surgery, 71.1% of patients administered opioids during their hospitalisation. In total 50,496 patients with 60,167 hospital admissions were evaluated. Between 2010-2017 MR opioids increased from 8.7% to 16.1% and dropped to 11.6% in 2021. Initial use of oxycodone IR among younger patients (≤70 years) rose from 8.3% to 25.5% (2010-2017) and dropped to 17.2% in 2021. The proportion of patients on ≥50MME/day ranged from 13% (2021) to 22.9% (2010). Of the patients administered an opioid in hospital, 26,920 (53.3%) patients were discharged on an opioid. CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalised with major/orthopaedic surgery, 4 in 6 patients were administered an opioid. We observed a high frequency of administered MR opioids in adult patients and initial oxycodone IR in the ≤70 age group. Patients prescribed with ≥50MME/day ranged between 13-22.9%. This is the first published study evaluating UK inpatient opioid use, which highlights opportunities for improving safer prescribing in line with latest recommendations.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid , Electronic Prescribing , Orthopedic Procedures , Pain, Postoperative , Humans , Analgesics, Opioid/administration & dosage , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Aged , Retrospective Studies , Pain, Postoperative/drug therapy , Adult , Electronic Prescribing/statistics & numerical data , Inpatients/statistics & numerical data , England , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over , Oxycodone/administration & dosage , Oxycodone/therapeutic use , Adolescent
8.
Cureus ; 16(4): e59055, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38800319

ABSTRACT

Background The COVID-19 pandemic has led to substantial changes in the delivery of healthcare and medical education. Little is known about how the pandemic has altered medical students' perceptions in regard to career choice. Methods The authors developed and implemented a multi-center survey that evaluated medical students' preferred career choice before and during the coronavirus pandemic, as well as the influence of pandemic-related factors on that choice. The survey was distributed to all levels of medical students (MS) at nine medical schools across the country from November 2020 to January 2021 and represented a convenience sample. Preferred career choice was assessed through the use of a Likert scale and additional factors affecting career choice were solicited. The degree of interest before and during the pandemic, as well as factors influencing the shift, were treated as ordinal variables and compared using chi-squared testing. Cohen's Kappa statistic was calculated to assess the degree of shifts of interest in Emergency Medicine among students. The study was deemed exempt by the Institutional Review Board at the host institution, Sidney Kimmel Medical College at Thomas Jefferson University, and all participating sites. Results A total of 1431 of 6710 (21.3%) eligible students completed the survey. The COVID pandemic was cited as a reason for a changed interest in specialty by 193 (13.5%) students. The most common reason for specialty change was the students' clinical experience, followed by a desire to be on the front lines, and personal/family health concerns. There was a significant association between career change and degree of interest among students interested in emergency medicine (EM) as their future specialty before the COVID pandemic as well as during the COVID pandemic. Living with an immunocompromised individual had a significant association with a reduced interest in EM. There was a significant association between EM rotation completion and how interested students were in EM as their future specialty before the COVID pandemic and during the COVID pandemic. Among EM-interested students whose specialty interest was changed by the COVID pandemic, 34 (41.5%) became less favorable to EM, 28 (34.2%) stayed the same, and 20 (24.4%) students became more favorable to EM. Conclusions The impact of COVID-19 on medical students' career choice is a complicated matter that involves both personal and professional factors. It appears that there is a trend towards less interest in the field of EM with multifactorial influences, some of which are related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

9.
JMIR Form Res ; 8: e50679, 2024 May 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38743480

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The ability to predict rheumatoid arthritis (RA) flares between clinic visits based on real-time, longitudinal patient-generated data could potentially allow for timely interventions to avoid disease worsening. OBJECTIVE: This exploratory study aims to investigate the feasibility of using machine learning methods to classify self-reported RA flares based on a small data set of daily symptom data collected on a smartphone app. METHODS: Daily symptoms and weekly flares reported on the Remote Monitoring of Rheumatoid Arthritis (REMORA) smartphone app from 20 patients with RA over 3 months were used. Predictors were several summary features of the daily symptom scores (eg, pain and fatigue) collected in the week leading up to the flare question. We fitted 3 binary classifiers: logistic regression with and without elastic net regularization, a random forest, and naive Bayes. Performance was evaluated according to the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve. For the best-performing model, we considered sensitivity and specificity for different thresholds in order to illustrate different ways in which the predictive model could behave in a clinical setting. RESULTS: The data comprised an average of 60.6 daily reports and 10.5 weekly reports per participant. Participants reported a median of 2 (IQR 0.75-4.25) flares each over a median follow-up time of 81 (IQR 79-82) days. AUCs were broadly similar between models, but logistic regression with elastic net regularization had the highest AUC of 0.82. At a cutoff requiring specificity to be 0.80, the corresponding sensitivity to detect flares was 0.60 for this model. The positive predictive value (PPV) in this population was 53%, and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 85%. Given the prevalence of flares, the best PPV achieved meant only around 2 of every 3 positive predictions were correct (PPV 0.65). By prioritizing a higher NPV, the model correctly predicted over 9 in every 10 non-flare weeks, but the accuracy of predicted flares fell to only 1 in 2 being correct (NPV and PPV of 0.92 and 0.51, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Predicting self-reported flares based on daily symptom scorings in the preceding week using machine learning methods was feasible. The observed predictive accuracy might improve as we obtain more data, and these exploratory results need to be validated in an external cohort. In the future, analysis of frequently collected patient-generated data may allow us to predict flares before they unfold, opening opportunities for just-in-time adaptative interventions. Depending on the nature and implication of an intervention, different cutoff values for an intervention decision need to be considered, as well as the level of predictive certainty required.

10.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 83(8): 1082-1091, 2024 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38575324

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK's Scientific Committee issued extreme social distancing measures, termed 'shielding', aimed at a subpopulation deemed extremely clinically vulnerable to infection. National guidance for risk stratification was based on patients' age, comorbidities and immunosuppressive therapies, including biologics that are not captured in primary care records. This process required considerable clinician time to manually review outpatient letters. Our aim was to develop and evaluate an automated shielding algorithm by text-mining outpatient letter diagnoses and medications, reducing the need for future manual review. METHODS: Rheumatology outpatient letters from a large UK foundation trust were retrieved. Free-text diagnoses were processed using Intelligent Medical Objects software (Concept Tagger), which used interface terminology for each condition mapped to Systematized Medical Nomenclature for Medicine-Clinical Terminology (SNOMED-CT) codes. We developed the Medication Concept Recognition tool (Named Entity Recognition) to retrieve medications' type, dose, duration and status (active/past) at the time of the letter. Age, diagnosis and medication variables were then combined to calculate a shielding score based on the most recent letter. The algorithm's performance was evaluated using clinical review as the gold standard. The time taken to deploy the developed algorithm on a larger patient subset was measured. RESULTS: In total, 5942 free-text diagnoses were extracted and mapped to SNOMED-CT, with 13 665 free-text medications (n=803 patients). The automated algorithm demonstrated a sensitivity of 80% (95% CI: 75%, 85%) and specificity of 92% (95% CI: 90%, 94%). Positive likelihood ratio was 10 (95% CI: 8, 14), negative likelihood ratio was 0.21 (95% CI: 0.16, 0.28) and F1 score was 0.81. Evaluation of mismatches revealed that the algorithm performed correctly against the gold standard in most cases. The developed algorithm was then deployed on records from an additional 15 865 patients, which took 18 hours for data extraction and 1 hour to deploy. DISCUSSION: An automated algorithm for risk stratification has several advantages including reducing clinician time for manual review to allow more time for direct care, improving efficiency and increasing transparency in individual patient communication. It has the potential to be adapted for future public health initiatives that require prompt automated review of hospital outpatient letters.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , COVID-19 , Data Mining , Humans , COVID-19/prevention & control , United Kingdom , Data Mining/methods , SARS-CoV-2 , Rheumatic Diseases/drug therapy , Middle Aged , Male , Rheumatology/methods , Female , Aged , Risk Assessment/methods , Pandemics , Adult
11.
Pain Rep ; 9(2): e1131, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38375091

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Many people worldwide suffer from chronic pain. Improving our knowledge on chronic pain prevalence and management requires methods to collect pain self-reports in large populations. Smartphone-based tools could aid data collection by allowing people to use their own device, but the measurement properties of such tools are largely unknown. Objectives: To assess the reliability, validity, and responsiveness of a smartphone-based manikin to support pain self-reporting. Methods: We recruited people with fibromyalgia, rheumatoid arthritis, and/or osteoarthritis and access to a smartphone and the internet. Data collection included the Global Pain Scale at baseline and follow-up, and 30 daily pain drawings completed on a 2-dimensional, gender-neutral manikin. After deriving participants' pain extent from their manikin drawings, we evaluated convergent and discriminative validity, test-retest reliability, and responsiveness and assessed findings against internationally agreed criteria for good measurement properties. Results: We recruited 131 people; 104 were included in the full sample, submitting 2185 unique pain drawings. Manikin-derived pain extent had excellent test-retest reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.94), moderate convergent validity (ρ, 0.46), and an ability to distinguish fibromyalgia and osteoarthritis from rheumatoid arthritis (F statistics, 30.41 and 14.36, respectively; P < 0.001). Responsiveness was poor (ρ, 0.2; P, 0.06) and did not meet the respective criterion for good measurement properties. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that smartphone-based manikins can be a reliable and valid method for pain self-reporting, but that further research is warranted to explore, enhance, and confirm the ability of such manikins to detect a change in pain over time.

13.
J Multimorb Comorb ; 14: 26335565231220202, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38223165

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Long-term conditions are a major burden on health systems. One way to facilitate more research and better clinical care among patients with long-term conditions is to collect accurate data on their daily symptoms (patient-generated health data) using wearable technologies. Whilst evidence is growing for the use of wearable technologies in single conditions, there is less evidence of the utility of frequent symptom tracking in those who have more than one condition. Aims: To explore patient views of the acceptability of collecting daily patient-generated health data for three months using a smartwatch app. Methods: Watch Your Steps was a longitudinal study which recruited 53 patients to track over 20 symptoms per day for a 90-day period using a study app on smartwatches. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with a sub-sample of 20 participants to explore their experience of engaging with the app. Results: In a population of older people with multimorbidity, patients were willing and able to engage with a patient-generated health data app on a smartwatch. It was suggested that to maintain engagement over a longer period, more 'real-time' feedback from the app should be available. Participants did not seem to consider the management of more than one condition to be a factor in either engagement or use of the app, but the presence of severe or chronic pain was at times a barrier. Conclusion: This study has provided preliminary evidence that multimorbidity was not a major barrier to engagement with patient-generated health data via a smartwatch symptom tracking app.

14.
Rheumatology (Oxford) ; 63(4): 1093-1103, 2024 Apr 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37432340

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate opioid prescribing trends and assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on opioid prescribing in rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMDs). METHODS: Adult patients with RA, PsA, axial spondyloarthritis (AxSpA), SLE, OA and FM with opioid prescriptions between 1 January 2006 and 31 August 2021 without cancer in UK primary care were included. Age- and gender-standardized yearly rates of new and prevalent opioid users were calculated between 2006 and 2021. For prevalent users, monthly measures of mean morphine milligram equivalents (MME)/day were calculated between 2006 and 2021. To assess the impact of the pandemic, we fitted regression models to the monthly number of prevalent opioid users between January 2015 and August 2021. The time coefficient reflects the trend pre-pandemic and the interaction term coefficient represents the change in the trend during the pandemic. RESULTS: The study included 1 313 519 RMD patients. New opioid users for RA, PsA and FM increased from 2.6, 1.0 and 3.4/10 000 persons in 2006 to 4.5, 1.8 and 8.7, respectively, in 2018 or 2019. This was followed by a fall to 2.4, 1.2 and 5.9, respectively, in 2021. Prevalent opioid users for all RMDs increased from 2006 but plateaued or dropped beyond 2018, with a 4.5-fold increase in FM between 2006 and 2021. In this period, MME/day increased for all RMDs, with the highest for FM (≥35). During COVID-19 lockdowns, RA, PsA and FM showed significant changes in the trend of prevalent opioid users. The trend for FM increased pre-pandemic and started decreasing during the pandemic. CONCLUSION: The plateauing or decreasing trend of opioid users for RMDs after 2018 may reflect the efforts to tackle rising opioid prescribing in the UK. The pandemic led to fewer people on opioids for most RMDs, providing reassurance that there was no sudden increase in opioid prescribing during the pandemic.


Subject(s)
Arthritis, Psoriatic , COVID-19 , Endrin/analogs & derivatives , Muscular Diseases , Musculoskeletal Diseases , Rheumatic Diseases , Adult , Humans , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Communicable Disease Control , Musculoskeletal Diseases/epidemiology , Rheumatic Diseases/drug therapy , Rheumatic Diseases/epidemiology
16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37934150

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Epidemiological estimates of psoriatic arthritis (PsA) underpin the provision of healthcare, research, and the work of government, charities and patient organizations. Methodological problems impacting prior estimates include small sample sizes, incomplete case ascertainment, and representativeness. We developed a statistical modelling strategy to provide contemporary prevalence and incidence estimates of PsA from 1991 to 2020 in the UK. METHODS: Data from Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) were used to identify cases of PsA between 1st January 1991 and 31st December 2020. To optimize ascertainment, we identified cases of Definite PsA (≥1 Read code for PsA) and Probable PsA (satisfied a bespoke algorithm). Standardized annual rates were calculated using Bayesian multilevel regression with post-stratification to account for systematic differences between CPRD data and the UK population, based on age, sex, socioeconomic status and region of residence. RESULTS: A total of 26293 recorded PsA cases (all definitions) were identified within the study window (77.9% Definite PsA). Between 1991 and 2020 the standardized prevalence of PsA increased twelve-fold from 0.03 to 0.37. The standardized incidence of PsA per 100,000 person years increased from 8.97 in 1991 to 15.08 in 2020, an almost 2-fold increase. Over time, rates were similar between the sexes, and across socioeconomic status. Rates were strongly associated with age, and consistently highest in Northern Ireland. CONCLUSION: The prevalence and incidence of PsA recorded in primary care has increased over the last three decades. The modelling strategy presented can be used to provide contemporary prevalence estimates for musculoskeletal disease using routinely collected primary care data.

17.
PLoS One ; 18(10): e0292968, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37824568

ABSTRACT

Because people with chronic pain feel uncertain about their future pain, a pain-forecasting model could support individuals to manage their daily pain and improve their quality of life. We conducted two patient and public involvement activities to design the content of a pain-forecasting model by learning participants' priorities in the features provided by a pain forecast and understanding the perceived benefits that such forecasts would provide. The first was a focus group of 12 people living with chronic pain to inform the second activity, a survey of 148 people living with chronic pain. Respondents prioritized forecasting of pain flares (100, or 68%) and fluctuations in pain severity (94, or 64%), particularly the timing of the onset and the severity. Of those surveyed, 75% (or 111) would use a future pain forecast and 80% (or 118) perceived making plans (e.g., shopping, social) as a benefit. For people with chronic pain, the timing of the onset of pain flares, the severity of pain flares and fluctuations in pain severity were prioritized as being key features of a pain forecast, and making plans was prioritized as being a key benefit.


Subject(s)
Chronic Pain , Humans , Chronic Pain/therapy , Quality of Life , Forecasting , Surveys and Questionnaires , Focus Groups
18.
Digit Health ; 9: 20552076231194544, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37599898

ABSTRACT

Background: As management of chronic pain continues to be suboptimal, there is a need for tools that support frequent, longitudinal pain self-reporting to improve our understanding of pain. This study aimed to assess the feasibility and acceptability of daily pain self-reporting using a smartphone-based pain manikin. Methods: For this prospective feasibility study, we recruited adults with lived experience of painful musculoskeletal condition. They were asked to complete daily pain self-reports via an app for 30 days. We assessed feasibility by calculating pain report completion levels, and investigated differences in completion levels between subgroups. We assessed acceptability via an end-of-study questionnaire, which we analysed descriptively. Results: Of the 104 participants, the majority were female (n = 87; 84%), aged 45-64 (n = 59; 57%), and of white ethnic background (n = 89; 86%). The mean completion levels was 21 (± 7.7) pain self-reports. People who were not working (odds ratio (OR) = 1.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.52-2.23) were more likely, and people living in less deprived areas (OR = 0.77; 95% CI, 0.62-0.97) and of non-white ethnicity (OR = 0.45; 95% CI, 0.36-0.57) were less likely to complete pain self-reports than their employed, more deprived and white counterparts, respectively. Of the 96 participants completing the end-of-study questionnaire, almost all participants agreed that it was easy to complete a pain drawing (n = 89; 93%). Conclusion: It is feasible and acceptable to self-report pain using a smartphone-based manikin over a month. For its wider adoption for pain self-reporting, the feasibility and acceptability should be further explored among people with diverse socio-economic and ethnic backgrounds.

19.
J Med Internet Res ; 25: e46873, 2023 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37526964

ABSTRACT

International deployment of remote monitoring and virtual care (RMVC) technologies would efficiently harness their positive impact on outcomes. Since Canada and the United Kingdom have similar populations, health care systems, and digital health landscapes, transferring digital health innovations between them should be relatively straightforward. Yet examples of successful attempts are scarce. In a workshop, we identified 6 differences that may complicate RMVC transfer between Canada and the United Kingdom and provided recommendations for addressing them. These key differences include (1) minority groups, (2) physical geography, (3) clinical pathways, (4) value propositions, (5) governmental priorities and support for digital innovation, and (6) regulatory pathways. We detail 4 broad recommendations to plan for sustainability, including the need to formally consider how highlighted country-specific recommendations may impact RMVC and contingency planning to overcome challenges; the need to map which pathways are available as an innovator to support cross-country transfer; the need to report on and apply learnings from regulatory barriers and facilitators so that everyone may benefit; and the need to explore existing guidance to successfully transfer digital health solutions while developing further guidance (eg, extending the nonadoption, abandonment, scale-up, spread, sustainability framework for cross-country transfer). Finally, we present an ecosystem readiness checklist. Considering these recommendations will contribute to successful international deployment and an increased positive impact of RMVC technologies. Future directions should consider characterizing additional complexities associated with global transfer.


Subject(s)
Delivery of Health Care , Telemedicine , Humans , Checklist , Technology , United Kingdom
20.
Physiol Meas ; 44(8)2023 08 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37406636

ABSTRACT

Objective.The ability to synchronize continuous electroencephalogram (cEEG) signals with physiological waveforms such as electrocardiogram (ECG), invasive pressures, photoplethysmography and other signals can provide meaningful insights regarding coupling between brain activity and other physiological subsystems. Aligning these datasets is a particularly challenging problem because device clocks handle time differently and synchronization protocols may be undocumented or proprietary.Approach.We used an ensemble-based model to detect the timestamps of heartbeat artefacts from ECG waveforms recorded from inpatient bedside monitors and from cEEG signals acquired using a different device. Vectors of inter-beat intervals were matched between both datasets and robust linear regression was applied to measure the relative time offset between the two datasets as a function of time.Main Results.The timing error between the two unsynchronized datasets ranged between -84 s and +33 s (mean 0.77 s, median 4.31 s, IQR25-4.79 s, IQR75 11.38s). Application of our method improved the relative alignment to within ± 5ms for more than 61% of the dataset. The mean clock drift between the two datasets was 418.3 parts per million (ppm) (median 414.6 ppm, IQR25 411.0 ppm, IQR75 425.6 ppm). A signal quality index was generated that described the quality of alignment for each cEEG study as a function of time.Significance.We developed and tested a method to retrospectively time-align two clinical waveform datasets acquired from different devices using a common signal. The method was applied to 33,911h of signals collected in a paediatric critical care unit over six years, demonstrating that the method can be applied to long-term recordings collected under clinical conditions. The method can account for unknown clock drift rates and the presence of discontinuities caused by clock resynchronization events.


Subject(s)
Electrocardiography , Intensive Care Units , Child , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Electrocardiography/methods , Blood Pressure/physiology , Electroencephalography
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