Endpoint selection and evaluation in hematology studies.

Observational studies and clinical trials in hematology aim to examine treatments for blood disorders. The outcomes being studied must address the goals of the study and provide meaningful information about treatment course, disease progression, describe patients' survival experience and quality of life. Endpoints are the specific measures of these outcomes, and much consideration should be given to their selection. In this review, we describe the outcomes and endpoints frequently used in studying hematologic diseases and provide general guidelines for their statistical analysis. The main focus is on clinical outcomes which are commonly used in establishing treatment safety and efficacy. We also briefly discuss the role surrogate and composite endpoints play in hematology studies. The importance of patient reported outcomes to comprehensive assessment of the treatment effectiveness is highlighted. Provided practical considerations for choosing primary and secondary endpoints may be helpful in designing hematology clinical trials.

Conditional survival and standardized mortality ratios of patients with severe aplastic anemia surviving at least one year after hematopoietic cell transplantation or immunosuppressive therapy.

Immunosuppressive treatment (IST) and hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) are standard therapies for severe aplastic anemia (SAA). We report on conditional survival and standardized mortality ratios (SMR), which compare the mortality risk with the general population adjusted for age, gender, and race/ethnicity, in patients with SAA alive for at least 12 months after treatment with IST or HCT between 2000 and 2018. Given changes to treatment regimens and differences in length of follow-up, two treatment periods were defined a priori: 2000-2010 and 2011-2018. The SMR of patients treated during the period 2000-2010 and who survived one year were 3.50 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.62-4.58), 4.12 (95% CI: 3.20-5.21), and 8.62 (95% CI: 6.88-10.67) after IST, matched related donor HCT, and alternative donor HCT, respectively. For the period 2011-2018, the corresponding SMR were 2.89 (95% CI: 1.54-4.94), 3.12 (95% CI: 1.90-4.82), and 4.75 (95% CI: 3.45-6.38), respectively. For IST patients, their mortality risk decreased over time, and became comparable to the general population by five years. For patients who underwent HCT during 2000-2010 and 2011-2018, their mortality risk became comparable to the general population after ten years and after five years, respectively. Thus, 1-year survivors after IST or HCT can expect their longevity beyond five years to be comparable to that of the general US population.

Alemtuzumab and CXCL9 levels predict likelihood of sustained engraftment after reduced-intensity conditioning HCT.

Overall survival after reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) using alemtuzumab, fludarabine, and melphalan is associated with high rates of mixed chimerism (MC) and secondary graft failure (GF). We hypothesized that peritransplantation alemtuzumab levels or specific patterns of inflammation would predict these risks. We assessed samples from the Bone Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network 1204 (NCT01998633) to study the impact of alemtuzumab levels and cytokine patterns on MC and impending or established secondary GF (defined as donor chimerism <5% after initial engraftment and/or requirement of cellular intervention). Thirty-three patients with hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (n = 25) and other IEIs (n = 8) who underwent HCTs with T-cell-replete grafts were included. Patients with day 0 alemtuzumab levels ≤0.32 µg/mL had a markedly lower incidence of MC, 14.3%, vs 90.9% in patients with levels >0.32 µg/mL (P = .008). Impending or established secondary GF was only observed in patients with day 0 alemtuzumab levels >0.32 µg/mL (P = .08). Unexpectedly, patients with impending or established secondary GF had lower CXCL9 levels. The cumulative incidence of impending or established secondary GF in patients with a day 14+ CXCL9 level ≤2394 pg/mL (day 14+ median) was 73.6% vs 0% in patients with a level >2394 pg/mL (P = .002). CXCL9 levels inversely correlated with alemtuzumab levels. These data suggest a model in which higher levels of alemtuzumab at day 0 deplete donor T cells, inhibit the graft-versus-marrow reaction (thereby suppressing CXCL9 levels), and adversely affect sustained engraftment in the nonmyeloablative HCT setting. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01998633.

Cost-Effectiveness of Unrelated Umbilical Cord Blood Transplantation versus HLA-Haploidentical Related Bone Marrow Transplantation: Evidence from BMT CTN 1101.

BMT CTN 1101 was a Phase III randomized controlled trial comparing reduced-intensity conditioning followed by double unrelated umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) versus HLA-haploidentical related donor bone marrow transplantation (haplo-BMT) for patients with high-risk hematologic malignancies. Here we report the results of a parallel cost-effectiveness analysis of these 2 hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) techniques. In this study, 368 patients were randomized to unrelated UCBT (n = 186) or haplo-BMT (n = 182). We estimated healthcare utilization and costs using propensity score-matched haplo-BMT recipients from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse for trial participants age <65 years and Medicare claims for participants age ≥65 years. Weibull models were used to estimate 20-year survival. EQ-5D surveys by trial participants were used to estimate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). At a 5-year follow-up, survival was 42% for haplo-BMT recipients versus 36% for UCBT recipients (P = .06). Over a 20-year time horizon, haplo-BMT is expected to be more effective (+.63 QALY) and more costly (+$118,953) for persons age <65 years. For those age ≥65 years, haplo-BMT is expected to be more effective and less costly. In one-way uncertainty analyses, for persons age <65, the cost per QALY result was most sensitive to life-years and health state utilities, whereas for those age ≥65, life- years were more influential than costs and health state utilities. Compared to UCBT, haplo-BMT was moderately more cost-effective for patients age <65 years and less costly and more effective for persons age ≥65 years. Haplo-BMT is a fair value choice for commercially insured patients with high-risk leukemia and lymphoma who require HCT. For Medicare enrollees, haplo-BMT is a preferred choice when considering costs and outcomes.

Effect of Autograft CD34+ Dose on Outcome in Pediatric Patients Undergoing Autologous Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant for Central Nervous System Tumors.

Consolidation with autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) has improved survival for patients with central nervous system tumors (CNSTs). The impact of the autologous graft CD34+ dose on patient outcomes is unknown. We wanted to analyze the relationship between CD34+ dose, total nucleated cell (TNC) dose, and clinical outcomes, including overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), relapse, non-relapse mortality (NRM), endothelial-injury complications (EIC), and time to neutrophil engraftment in children undergoing autologous HSCT for CNSTs. A retrospective analysis of the CIBMTR database was performed. Children aged <10 years who underwent autologous HSCT between 2008 to 2018 for an indication of CNST were included. An optimal cut point was identified for patient age, CD34+ cell dose, and TNC, using the maximum likelihood method and PFS as an endpoint. Univariable analysis for PFS, OS, and relapse was described using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Cox models were fitted for PFS and OS outcomes. Cause-specific hazards models were fitted for relapse and NRM. One hundred fifteen patients met the inclusion criteria. A statistically significant association was identified between autograft CD34+ content and clinical outcomes. Children receiving >3.6×106/kg CD34+ cells experienced superior PFS (p = .04) and OS (p = .04) compared to children receiving ≤3.6 × 106/kg. Relapse rates were lower in patients receiving >3.6 × 106/kg CD34+ cells (p = .05). Higher CD34+ doses were not associated with increased NRM (p = .59). Stratification of CD34+ dose by quartile did not reveal any statistically significant differences between quartiles for 3-year PFS (p = .66), OS (p = .29), risk of relapse (p = .57), or EIC (p = .87). There were no significant differences in patient outcomes based on TNC, and those receiving a TNC >4.4 × 108/kg did not experience superior PFS (p = .26), superior OS (p = .14), reduced risk of relapse (p = .37), or reduced NRM (p = .25). Children with medulloblastoma had superior PFS (p < .001), OS (p = .01), and relapse rates (p = .001) compared to those with other CNS tumor types. Median time to neutrophil engraftment was 10 days versus 12 days in the highest and lowest infused CD34+ quartiles, respectively. For children undergoing autologous HSCT for CNSTs, increasing CD34+ cell dose was associated with significantly improved OS and PFS, and lower relapse rates, without increased NRM or EICs.

Real-World Data Showing Trends and Outcomes by Race and Ethnicity in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation: A Report from the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research.

The use of HLA-mismatched donors could enable more patients with ethnically diverse backgrounds to receive allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in the United States. However, real-world trends and outcomes following mismatched donor HCT for diverse patients remain largely undefined. We conducted this study to determine whether the use of mismatched donor platforms have increased the access to allogeneic HCT for ethnically diverse patients, particularly through the application of novel graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis regimens, and whether outcomes for diverse patients are comparable to those of non-Hispanic White patients. This observational cross-sectional study used real-world data from the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) registry. All patients receiving their first allogeneic HCT in the United States between 2009 and 2020 were included, with a focus on transplantations performed in 2020. Data from patients undergoing allogeneic HCT using bone marrow, peripheral blood, or cord blood from HLA-matched or mismatched related and unrelated donors were analyzed. Specifically, relative proportion of allogeneic HCT was generated as percentage of total for donor type and for patient age, disease indication, GVHD prophylaxis, and race and ethnicity. Causes of death were summarized using frequencies, and the Kaplan-Meier estimator was used for estimating overall survival. Compared to matched related donor and matched unrelated donor HCT, more ethnically diverse patients received mismatched unrelated donor, haploidentical donor, and cord blood HCT. Although matched unrelated donor remains the most common donor type, the use of haploidentical donors has increased significantly over the last 5 years. Paralleling this increase in haploidentical HCT is the increased use of post-transplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy) as GVHD prophylaxis. Relative to previous transplantation eras, the most contemporary era is associated with the highest survival rates following allogeneic HCT irrespective of patient race and ethnicity. Nonetheless, disease relapse remains the primary cause of death for both adult and pediatric allogeneic HCT recipients by donor type and across all patient racial/ethnic groups. Ethnically diverse patients are undergoing allogeneic HCT at higher rates, largely through the use of alternative donor platforms incorporating PTCy. Maintaining access to potential life-saving allogeneic HCT using alternative donors and novel GVHD prophylaxis strategies and improving HCT outcomes, particularly disease relapse, remain urgent clinical needs.

What Causes Aplastic Anaemia: Results of Transplants from Genetically-Identical Twins.

Background: Aplastic anaemia has diverse aetiologies. Distinguishing between these is, in part, testable by analyzing results of haematopoietic cells transplants between genetically-identical twins one of whom has aplastic anaemia. Objective: Describe outcomes of genetically-identical twin transplants for aplastic anaemia with and without pretransplant conditioning. Methods: We interrogated data from an observational database of 59 consecutive recipients of genetically-identical twin transplants for aplastic anaemia reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) 2000-2019. Results: 38 subjects were male. Median age was 18 years (Interquartile Range [IQR], 11-32 years). Median interval from diagnosis to transplant was 2 months (IQR 1-3 months). 11 subjects received a 1st transplant without pretransplant conditioning. 2 of recovered normal bone marrow function. The other 9 received a 2nd transplant with pretransplant conditioning 7 of whom recovered. 48 subjects received pretransplant conditioning before a 1st or 2nd transplant all of whom recovered. Conclusion: Only some genetically-identical twins with aplastic anaemia recover normal bone marrow function after a 1st haematopoietic cell transplant without pretransplant conditioning whereas most subjects recover when a transplant is preceded by pretransplant conditioning. These data are consistent with an immune-mediated aetiology of aplastic anaemia in most cases.

Secondary Neoplasms After Hematopoietic Cell Transplant for Sickle Cell Disease.

PURPOSE: To report the incidence and risk factors for secondary neoplasm after transplantation for sickle cell disease. METHODS: Included are 1,096 transplants for sickle cell disease between 1991 and 2016. There were 22 secondary neoplasms. Types included leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS; n = 15) and solid tumor (n = 7). Fine-Gray regression models examined for risk factors for leukemia/MDS and any secondary neoplasm. RESULTS: The 10-year incidence of leukemia/MDS was 1.7% (95% CI, 0.90 to 2.9) and of any secondary neoplasm was 2.4% (95% CI, 1.4 to 3.8). After adjusting for other risk factors, risks for leukemia/MDS (hazard ratio, 22.69; 95% CI, 4.34 to 118.66; P = .0002) or any secondary neoplasm (hazard ratio, 7.78; 95% CI, 2.20 to 27.53; P = .0015) were higher with low-intensity (nonmyeloablative) regimens compared with more intense regimens. All low-intensity regimens included total-body irradiation (TBI 300 or 400 cGy with alemtuzumab, TBI 300 or 400 cGy with cyclophosphamide, TBI 200, 300, or 400 cGy with cyclophosphamide and fludarabine, or TBI 200 cGy with fludarabine). None of the patients receiving myeloablative and only 23% of those receiving reduced-intensity regimens received TBI. CONCLUSION: Low-intensity regimens rely on tolerance induction and establishment of mixed-donor chimerism. Persistence of host cells exposed to low-dose radiation triggering myeloid malignancy is one plausible etiology. Pre-existing myeloid mutations and prior inflammation may also contribute but could not be studied using our data source. Choosing conditioning regimens likely to result in full-donor chimerism may in part mitigate the higher risk for leukemia/MDS.

Enrollment Lessons from a Biological Assignment Study of Marrow Transplantation versus Standard Care for Adolescents and Young Adults with Sickle Cell Disease: Considerations for Future Gene and Cellular Therapy Trials.

We previously conducted a single-arm feasibility study (STRIDE1) of myeloablative bone marrow transplantation (BMT) in adolescents and young adults with sickle cell disease (SCD). The trial identified donors before entry, enrolled well, and found no unexpected regimen-related toxicity. Although many single-arm studies have been published, there are no controlled trials of either BMT or gene therapy in SCD. Therefore, we designed a comparative trial by biological assignment (available donor versus no donor). This multicenter National Institutes of Health-funded study (Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network 1503; STRIDE2) enrolled patients between 2016 and 2021 at 35 sites. Lagging recruitment led to study closure, and here we report the impediments to accrual. The BMT regimen and entry criteria were from STRIDE1, and 2-year survival was the primary endpoint. To minimize selection bias from prior HLA typing, STRIDE2 excluded individuals with previously identified donors. Accrual was stopped at 69% of target (138 enrolled; assigned 28 with donor, 96 with no donor). Barriers to enrollment included lower than expected frequency of HLA-matched related and unrelated donors; loss of enrollees owing to previously identified donors; conventional care arm dissuading some seeking BMT; challenging short-term endpoints in SCD, including incomplete documentation of sickle pain episodes; state Medicaid (primary insurers of SCD) denial of BMT coverage for adult SCD despite the study having secured Coverage with Evidence Development from the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Services; slowed accrual in 2019 to 2021 during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic; and restriction of BMT resourcing for nonmalignant diseases by academic medical (cancer) centers. Social obstacles and access to BMT centers also limited entry, as did practitioner and participant concerns over suitability, cost, and toxicity. Planning for future controlled trials of curative therapy in SCD and other nonmalignant diseases likely will meet these enrollment challenges. Lessons from this trial may aid the development of future comparative studies.

Haploidentical bone marrow transplantation in patients with relapsed or refractory severe aplastic anaemia in the USA (BMT CTN 1502): a multicentre, single-arm, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Relapsed severe aplastic anaemia is a marrow failure disorder with high morbidity and mortality. It is often treated with bone marrow transplantation at relapse post-immunosuppressive therapy, but under-represented minorities often cannot find a suitably matched donor. This study aimed to understand the 1-year overall survival in patients with relapsed or refractory severe aplastic anaemia after haploidentical bone marrow transplantation. METHODS: We report the outcomes of BMT CTN 1502, a single-arm, phase 2 clinical trial done at academic bone marrow transplantation centres in the USA. Included patients were children and adults (75 years or younger) with severe aplastic anaemia that was refractory (fulfilment of severe aplastic anaemia disease criteria at least 3 months after initial immunosuppressive therapy) or relapsed (initial improvement of cytopenias after first-line immunosuppressive therapy but then a later return to fulfilment of severe aplastic anaemia disease criteria), adequate performance status (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score 0 or 1, Karnofsky or Lansky score ≥60%), and the presence of an eligible related haploidentical donor. The regimen used reduced-intensity conditioning (rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin 4·5 mg/kg in total, cyclophosphamide 14·5 mg/kg daily for 2 days, fludarabine 30 mg/m2 daily for 5 days, total body irradiation 200 cGy in a single fraction), related HLA-haploidentical donors, and post-transplantation cyclophosphamide-based graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis. Additionally, for GVHD prophylaxis, mycophenolate mofetil was given orally at a dose of 15 mg/kg three times a day up to 1 g three times a day (maximum dose 3000 mg per day) from day 5 to day 35, and tacrolimus was given orally or intravenously from day 5 to day 180 as per institutional standards to maintain a serum concentration of 10-15 ng/mL. The primary endpoint was overall survival 1 year after bone marrow transplantation. All patients treated per protocol were analysed. This study is complete and is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02918292. FINDINGS: Between May 1, 2017, and Aug 30, 2020, 32 patients with relapsed or refractory severe aplastic anaemia were enrolled from 14 centres, and 31 underwent bone marrow transplantation. The median age was 24·9 years (IQR 10·4-51·3), and median follow-up was 24·3 months (IQR 12·1-29·2). Of the 31 patients who received a transplant, 19 (61%) were male and 12 (39%) female. 13 (42%) patients were site-reported as non-White, and 19 (61%) were from under-represented racial and ethnic groups; there were four (13%) patients who were Asian, seven (23%) Black, one (3%) Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, and one (3%) more than one race, with seven (23%) patients reporting Hispanic ethnicity. 24 (77%) of 31 patients were alive with engraftment at 1 year, and one (3%) patient alive with autologous recovery. The 1-year overall survival was 81% (95% CI 62-91). The most common grade 3-5 adverse events (seen in seven or more patients) included seven (23%) patients with abnormal liver tests, 15 (48%) patients with cardiovascular changes (including sinus tachycardia, heart failure, pericarditis), ten (32%) patients with gastrointestinal issues, seven (23%) patients with nutritional disorders, and eight (26%) patients with respiratory disorders. Six (19%) deaths, due to disease and unsuccessful bone marrow transplantation, were reported after transplantation. INTERPRETATION: Haploidentical bone marrow transplantation using this approach results in excellent overall survival with minimal GVHD in patients who have not responded to immunosuppressive therapy, and can expand access to bone marrow transplantation across all populations. In clinical practice, this could now be considered a standard approach for salvage treatment of severe aplastic anaemia. Attention to obtaining high cell doses (>2·5 × 108 nucleated marrow cells per kg of recipient ideal bodyweight) from bone marrow harvests is crucial to the success of this approach. FUNDING: US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and US National Cancer Institute.

Updated Trends in Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation in the United States with an Additional Focus on Adolescent and Young Adult Transplantation Activity and Outcomes.

Hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) has been successfully used to treat many malignant and nonmalignant conditions. As supportive care, donor selection, and treatment modalities evolve, documenting HCT trends and outcomes is critical. This report from the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) provides an update on current transplantation activity and survival rates in the United States. Additional data on the use and outcomes of HCT in the adolescent and young adult (AYA) population are included. AYA patients more frequently receive peripheral blood stem cell grafts than pediatric patients, which may reflect differences in practice in pediatric versus adult treatment centers. The proportions of donor types also differ those in adult and pediatric populations. Outcomes for patients in the AYA age range are similar to those of pediatric patients for acute myelogenous leukemia but worse for acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Outcomes for both leukemias are better in AYA patients compared with older adults. Comparing the time periods 2000 to 2009 and 2010 to 2019 revealed significant improvement in overall survival across the age spectrum, but the greatest improvement in the AYA age group.

Impact of Center Experience with Donor Type on Outcomes: A Secondary Analysis, Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network 1101Open for Accrual June 2012Open for Accrual June 2012.

We previously reported the results of Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (BMT CTN) 1101, a randomized comparison of hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) performed with double umbilical cord blood units (dUCB) or with haploidentical bone marrow (haplo-BMT) with post-transplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy) in the nonmyeloablative setting. Those results showed similar progression-free survival in the 2 treatment groups but lower nonrelapse mortality and better overall survival in the haplo-BM arm. In this secondary analysis, we sought to investigate whether transplantation center's previous experience with haplo-BM and/or dUCB HCT had an impact on outcomes. All patients randomized in BMT CTN 1101 were included. Center experience was assigned based on the number of transplantations with each platform performed in the year before initiation of the study according to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research. Centers were then classified as a dUCB center (>10 dUCB HCTs; n = 117 patients, 10 centers), a haplo-BM center (>10 haplo-BM HCTs and ≤10 dUCB HCTs; n = 110 patients, 2 centers), or other center (≤10 haplo and ≤10 dUCB HCTs; n = 140 patients, 21 centers). After adjusting for age, Karnofsky Performance Status, and Disease Risk Index, we found that haplo-BM centers had lower overall mortality with this donor type compared with dUCB centers (hazard ratio [HR], 2.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44 to 4.56). In contrast, there were no differences in overall mortality between haplo-BM and dUCB in centers that were experienced with dUCB HCT (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, .59 to 1.79) or had limited to no experience with either dUCB or haplo-BM HCT (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, .83 to 2.21). The higher risk of treatment failure and overall mortality in dUCB HCT in haplo BM-experienced centers was driven by a significantly higher risk of relapse (HR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.07 to 2.97). With the exception of worse outcomes among dUCB HCT recipients in haplo-BM centers, transplantation center experience in the year before initiation of BMT CTN 1101 had a limited impact on the outcomes of this randomized clinical trial.