Novel method for reduction of virus load in blood plasma by sonication.

BACKGROUND: Aim of the present study is the evaluation of ultrasound as a physical method for virus inactivation in human plasma products prior to transfusion. Our study is focused on achieving a high level of virus inactivation simultaneously leaving blood products unaltered, measured by the level of degradation of coagulation factors, especially in third world countries where virus contamination of blood products poses a major problem. Virus inactivation plays an important role, especially in the light of newly discovered or unknown viruses, which cannot be safely excluded via prior testing. METHODS: Taking into account the necessary protection of the relevant coagulation activity for plasma, the basis for a sterile virus inactivation under shielding gas insufflation was developed for future practical use. Influence of frequency and power density in the range of soft and hard cavitation on the inactivation of transfusion-relevant model viruses for Hepatitis-(BVDV = bovine diarrhea virus), for Herpes-(SFV = Semliki Forest virus, PRV = pseudorabies virus) and Parvovirus B19 (PPV = porcine parvovirus) were examined. Coagulation activity was examined via standard time parameters to minimize reduction of functionality of coagulation proteins. A fragmentation of coagulation proteins via ultrasound was ruled out via gel electrophoresis. The resulting virus titer was examined using end point titration. RESULTS: Through CO2 shielding gas insufflation-to avoid radical emergence effects-the coagulation activity was less affected and the time window for virus inactivation substantially widened. In case of the non-lipidated model virus (AdV-luc = luciferase expressing adenoviral vector), the complete destruction of the virus capsid through hard cavitation was proven via scanning electron microscopy (SEM). This can be traced back to microjets and shockwaves occurring in hard cavitation. The degree of inactivation seems to depend on size and compactness of the type of viruses. Using our pre-tested and subsequently chosen process parameters with the exception of the small PPV, all model viruses were successfully inactivated and reduced by up to log 3 factor. For a broad clinical usage, protection of the coagulation activities may require further optimization. CONCLUSIONS: Building upon the information gained, an optimum inactivation can be reached via raising of power density up to 1200 W and simultaneous lowering of frequency down to 27 kHz. In addition, the combination of the two physical methods UV treatment and ultrasound may yield optimum results without the need of substance removal after the procedure.

Delay of transfer from the intensive care unit: a prospective observational analysis on economic effects of delayed in-house transfer.

BACKGROUND: Intensive care unit (ICU) capacity is a scant and precious resource in hospitals. Therefore, an optimal occupancy rate as well as detailed occupation planning is of great importance. Most literature deals with admission to the ICU, while only few discuss discharge from the ICU. Specifically, a delay of transfer from the ICU can cause a shortness of beds, jeopardize urgent patient treatment and lead to a decrease in treatment quality as well as economic downsides. This study examined the incidence, costs and reasons for delayed discharge from the ICU and analyzed the influence of the department the patient was admitted to. METHODS: Over the course of 12 months, the discharges of all 1643 patients of two surgical intensive care units of a large academic medical center were analyzed. Delay in minutes and reasons were recorded and translated into financial figures. A univariate logistic regression model was developed to evaluate the impact of length of stay at the ICU, age, gender, subspecialty and specific ICU on the delay of transfer. In a next step, significant factors of the univariate logistic regression were incorporated into a multivariate regression model. RESULTS: In 326 out of 1312 patients ready for discharge (24.8%), the transfer to the floor was delayed. Time of delay for all patients added up to a total of 265,691 min in 1 year. The application of the internal cost allocation, in which 1 min corresponds to 0.75 Euro cents, led to costs of 199,268 Euros (~ $240,000) for the study period. In 91.7% of the cases, the reason for the delay was the lack of an available or appropriate bed on the regular ward. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that the type of department the patient is admitted to poses a significantly influencing factor for delayed discharge from the ICU. CONCLUSION: Delay in discharge from the ICU is a common problem of economic relevance. The main reason is a lack of appropriate floor beds. Patients from certain specific departments are at a higher risk to be discharged with delay. A solution to this problem lies in the focus on the downstream units. A proper use of the scarce resources is to be pursued because of ethical as well as economic reasons in an increasingly aging population.

Symptom profile and risk factors of anaphylaxis in Central Europe.

BACKGROUND: Anaphylaxis is the most severe manifestation of an IgE-dependent allergy. Standardized acquired clinical data from large cohorts of well-defined cases are not available. The aim of this study was to analyse the symptom profile and risk factors of anaphylaxis in a large Central European cohort. METHODS: We acquired data from patients in Germany, Austria and Switzerland who experienced a severe allergic reaction defined by the onset of severe pulmonary and/or severe cardiovascular symptoms. The data were gained via an online questionnaire from 83 medical centres specialized in allergy. Data were collected from 2006 to 2010 and analysed by using a multinomial regression model. RESULTS: A total of 2012 paediatric and adult patients were included into the present analysis. The skin (84%) was the most frequently affected organ followed by the cardiovascular (72%) and the respiratory (68%) system. The regression model analysing the onset of cardiovascular versus respiratory symptoms revealed a strong impact of age (adjusted OR = 6.08; 95% CI, 3.35-11.01; P < 0.001). Furthermore, the elicitor food (adjusted OR = 0.29; 95% CI, 0.21-0.41, P < 0.001) and the presence of atopic diseases (adjusted OR = 0.54; 95% CI, 0.40-0.73, P < 0.001) were significantly associated with the onset of respiratory symptoms. CONCLUSION: Data from individuals who experienced anaphylaxis can support the identification of risk factors. The present study indicates that age, the elicitor itself and the presence of atopic diseases have an impact on the symptom profile of anaphylaxis. Identifying further risk factors of anaphylaxis is of significant importance for clinical practice in the future.

Epidemiology of urticaria: a representative cross-sectional population survey.

AIM: To investigate the prevalence of urticaria with a focus on chronic urticaria (CU) in a general German population. METHODS: A questionnaire survey was sent to a representative cross-sectional sample of 13,300 inhabitants of Berlin, Germany, of whom 4093 responded. All respondents who stated ever having had weals or angio-oedema (n=767) were interviewed by telephone. Any interviewees with recent symptoms (within the previous 3 years) were invited for personal investigation including allergy tests; double-blind, placebo-controlled food challenge tests; and quality of life (QOL) assessment. Reported prevalence rates were weighted with regard to age, gender and education so that they were representative of the total population of Berlin. RESULTS: Lifetime prevalence rate of urticaria was 8.8% (95% CI 7.9-9.7%) for all types of urticaria. Lifetime prevalence for CU was 1.8% (95% CI 1.4-2.3%), and prevalence for the 12 months before assessment was 0.8% (95% CI 0.6-1.1%), and 70.3% were female. QOL was markedly reduced for people with CU. Unlike other allergic diseases, there was no increased risk associated with higher education or social status. Prick tests found sensitization of ≥ 1 for type 1 allergens in 39.1% of patients. These were related to comorbidities such as allergic rhinitis or oral allergy syndrome, but were never the underlying cause of CU, as proven by double-blind, placebo-controlled provocation tests. CONCLUSION: Urticaria is a common disease with marked effects on QOL. The lifetime prevalence of 8.8% for urticaria must be regarded as a lower limit as it is based on conservative prevalence rate calculations, and under-reporting of previous disease can be expected in a questionnaire-based study.

GA2LEN skin test study III: minimum battery of test inhalent allergens needed in epidemiological studies in patients.

BACKGROUND: The number of allergens to be tested in order to identify sensitized patients is important in order to have the most cost-effective approach in epidemiological studies. OBJECTIVE: To define the minimal number and the type of skin prick test (SPT) allergens required to identify a patient as sensitized using results of the new Pan-European GA(2)LEN skin prick test study. METHOD: In a large Pan-European multicenter (17 centers in 14 countries) patient based study, a standardized panel of 18 allergens has been prick tested using a standardized procedure. Conditional approach allowed to determine the allergens selection. RESULT: Among the 3034 patients involved, 1996 (68.2%) were sensitized to at least one allergen. Overall, eight allergens (grass pollen, Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus, birch pollen, cat dander, Artemisia, olive pollen, Blatella and Alternaria) allowed to identified more than 95% of sensitized subjects. However, differences were observed between countries, two allergens being sufficient for Switzerland (grass pollen and cat dander) as opposed to nine for France (grass pollen, Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus, olive pollen, cat dander, Blatella, cypress, dog dander, alder and [Artemisia or Alternaria]). According to country, up to 13 allergens were needed to identify all sensitized subjects. CONCLUSION: Eight to ten allergens allowed the identification of the majority of sensitized subjects. For clinical care of individual patients, the whole battery of 18 allergens is needed to appropriately assess sensitization across Europe.

GA(2)LEN skin test study I: GA(2)LEN harmonization of skin prick testing: novel sensitization patterns for inhalant allergens in Europe.

BACKGROUND: Skin prick testing is the standard for diagnosing IgE-mediated allergies. However, different allergen extracts and different testing procedures have been applied by European allergy centres. Thus, it has been difficult to compare results from different centres or studies across Europe. It was, therefore, crucial to standardize and harmonize procedures in allergy diagnosis and treatment within Europe. AIMS: The Global Asthma and Allergy European Network (GA(2)LEN), with partners and collaborating centres across Europe, was in a unique position to take on this task. The current study is the first approach to implement a standardized procedure for skin prick testing in allergies against inhalant allergens with a standardized pan-European allergen panel. METHODS: The study population consisted of patients who were referred to one of the 17 participating centres in 14 European countries (n = 3034, median age = 33 years). Skin prick testing and evaluation was performed with the same 18 allergens in a standardized procedure across all centres. RESULTS: The study clearly shows that many allergens previously regarded as untypical for some regions in Europe have been underestimated. This could partly be related to changes in mobility of patients, vegetation or climate in Europe. CONCLUSION: The results of this large pan-European study demonstrate for the first time sensitization patterns for different inhalant allergens in patients across Europe. The standardized skin prick test with the standardized allergen battery should be recommended for clinical use and research. Further EU-wide monitoring of sensitization patterns is urgently needed.

GA(2)LEN skin test study II: clinical relevance of inhalant allergen sensitizations in Europe.

BACKGROUND: Skin prick testing is the standard for diagnosing IgE-mediated allergies. A positive skin prick reaction, however, does not always correlate with clinical symptoms. A large database from a Global Asthma and Allergy European Network (GA(2)LEN) study with data on clinical relevance was used to determine the clinical relevance of sensitizations against the 18 most frequent inhalant allergens in Europe. The study population consisted of patients referred to one of the 17 allergy centres in 14 European countries (n = 3034, median age = 33 years). The aim of the study was to assess the clinical relevance of positive skin prick test reactions against inhalant allergens considering the predominating type of symptoms in a pan-European population of patients presenting with suspected allergic disease. METHODS: Clinical relevance of skin prick tests was recorded with regard to patient history and optional additional tests. A putative correlation between sensitization and allergic disease was assessed using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: While an overall rate of >or=60% clinically relevant sensitizations was observed in all countries, a differential distribution of clinically relevant sensitizations was demonstrated depending on type of allergen and country where the prick test was performed. Furthermore, a significant correlation between the presence of allergic disease and the number of sensitizations was demonstrated. CONCLUSION: This study strongly emphasizes the importance of evaluating the clinical relevance of positive skin prick tests and calls for further studies, which may, ultimately, help increase the positive predictive value of allergy testing.

Risk factors of adverse reactions to food in German adults.

BACKGROUND: Allergic diseases have been increasing during the last decades. Previous studies suggest an impact of a variety of risk factors on the prevalence of food hypersensitivity. OBJECTIVE: Data of a cross-sectional population-based survey were analysed to study the prevalence of food hypersensitivity in females and males adjusted for age and education. METHODS: A population aged 18-79 years from a representative, randomly sampled survey studying 13,300 inhabitants from Germany (Berlin) was analysed. The Berlin study data were weighted with regard to age, sex, education and allergic diseases such as atopic dermatitis, rhinoconjunctivitis and asthma. Instruments for evaluation included mailed questionnaires, structured telephone interviews, physical examinations, detection of total IgE, skin prick tests and double-blind, placebo-controlled food challenge tests (DBPCFC). RESULTS: Three thousand two hundred and twenty-seven questionnaires were evaluated. The data show a significantly higher risk of self-reported symptoms in the female group, among persons with higher education and in the age group of 18-39 years. Among individuals with clinical symptoms, females were at lower risk of having positive skin prick tests [aOR=0.32; 95% CI (0.21-0.50); P<0.01] and having a raised total IgE [aOR=0.37; 95% CI (0.24-0.56); P<0.01], but showed a higher risk of non-IgE and IgE-mediated food hypersensitivity [aOR=2.27; 95% CI (1.31-3.93); P<0.01] than males. Based on weighted data, the point prevalence of adverse reactions to food resulted in 3.3% [95% CI (2.4-4.5%)] for women and 1.8% [95% CI (1.2-2.7%)] for men after DBPCFC. CONCLUSION: From a general population survey conducted in Germany, we determined that women are at greater risk of having symptoms of food allergy and also at greater risk of having DBPCFC-confirmed symptomatic food allergy. However, among individuals with symptoms of food allergy, men have a higher prevalence of food-specific IgE-sensitization and of raised total IgE than women.

Food allergy and non-allergic food hypersensitivity in children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown a 10-fold discrepancy of self-reported food-induced symptoms and physician-diagnosed food hypersensitivity. Little information is available on the prevalence of food hypersensitivity in unselected paediatric populations. No data were available for German children. OBJECTIVE: To study the perception of food-induced symptoms in the paediatric population, to investigate the allergens accused, to objectify patients' reports, and to identify subgroups at risk of having food-induced allergy (FA) or non-allergic food hypersensitivity (NAFH) reactions. METHODS: This paper presents the data of the paediatric group (0-17 years) of a representative, randomly sampled, cross-sectional population-based survey studying 13 300 inhabitants of the German capital city Berlin regarding food-related symptoms. Instruments included mailed questionnaires, structured telephone interviews, physical examination, skin-prick tests, specific serum IgE and standardized, controlled and blinded oral food challenges. RESULTS: Two thousand three hundred and fifty-four individuals were contacted by mailed questionnaire, 739 (31.4%) responses could be fully evaluated. Four hundred and fifty-five (61.5%) participants reported symptoms related to food ingestion, 284 (38.4%) affirmed reproducible symptoms in the standardized telephone interview. One hundred and eighty-four (24.8%) individuals were fully examined. Reproducible symptoms to food were found in 31 (4.2%) children and adolescents: 26 (3.5%) showed symptoms of FA and five (0.7%) of NAFH. The oral allergy syndrome was most often observed. Foods most commonly identified by oral challenges were apple, hazelnut, soy, kiwi, carrot and wheat. CONCLUSION: The perception of food-related symptoms is common among children and adolescents from the general population. Self-reports could be confirmed in around one out of 10 individuals, still resulting in 4.2% of proven clinical symptoms. However, most reactions were mild and mainly because of pollen-associated FA, while NAFH reactions were less common. Severe IgE-mediated FA was observed in individuals with pre-existing atopic disease, who should be fully investigated for clinically relevant FA.

Prevalence of adverse reactions to food in Germany - a population study.

OBJECTIVE: A population study was performed to identify the prevalence of all kinds of adverse reactions to food. METHODS: In a representative cross-sectional survey performed in 1999 and 2000 in Berlin, 13 300 inhabitants of all ages were addressed by questionnaire. This questionnaire was answered by 4093 persons. All respondents mentioning any sign of food intolerance or the existence of allergic diseases (n = 2298) were followed up by telephone and, in case food intolerance could not be ruled out by patient history, were invited to attend to the clinic for personal investigation including double-blind, placebo-controlled food challenge tests (DBPCFC). RESULTS: The self-reported lifetime prevalence of any adverse reaction to food in the Berlin population (mean age 41 years) was 34.9%. Eight hundred and fourteen individuals were personally investigated according to the guidelines. The point prevalence of adverse reactions to food confirmed by DBPCFC tests in the Berlin population as a mean of all age groups was 3.6% (95% confidence interval [3.0-4.2%]) and 3.7% in the adult population (18-79 years, 95% confidence interval [3.1-4.4.%]). Two and a half percent were IgE-mediated and 1.1% non-IgE-mediated, females were more frequently affected (60.6%). Based on a statistical comparison with available data of adults from the nationwide German Health Survey from 1998, adverse reactions to food in the adult population of Germany (age 18-79) were calculated with 2.6% [2.1-3.2%]). CONCLUSIONS: The study gives for the first time information about the point prevalence of both immunological and nonimmunological adverse reactions to food and underlines the relevance of this issue in public health. The data also show that an individualized stepwise approach including provocation tests is mandatory to confirm the diagnosis.

Socioeconomic status is a risk factor for allergy in parents but not in their children.

BACKGROUND: Allergic diseases are more prevalent in affluent countries, which has been attributed to life-style factors. Life-style habits may also differ between socioeconomic (SES) classes. The objective of this paper therefore was to evaluate if SES had an impact on the development of atopic disorders. METHODS: A total of 1314 German children were followed-up in an observational birth cohort study to 6 years of age. Parents filled in questionnaires, and had multi-allergen screening tests for sensitization. Indoor allergen concentrations were determined by ELISA. Children were examined regularly up to 6 years, specific serum IgE values were determined by CAP-Rast-Feia. RESULTS: The risk of aeroallergen sensitization (odds ratio 1.76; 95% CI 1.30-2.37), and the lifetime prevalence of hay fever (2.36; 1.76-3.17), and asthma (1.74; 1.08-2.80), but not of atopic dermatitis (AD: 0.90; 0. 54-1.51) was elevated in parents of high compared to low SES. With high SES the risk of smoking in pregnancy (0.35; 0.23-0.51), in the home (0.31; 0.21-0.46), pet ownership (0.37; 0.26-0.55), high mite (0.42; 0.25-0.74), and high cat (0.38; 0.18-0.82) allergen concentration in house dust was reduced, but elevated for breastfeeding over more than 6 months (4.67; 2.9-7.48). In children, even after controlling for other risk factors, only the risk of AD from 3 to 6 years (2.42; 1.42-4.14) was elevated in families with high SES, but not of AD in infancy or of any other atopic disorder. CONCLUSIONS: While parents of high SES have a higher prevalence of inhalative allergies, their favourable life-style prevents the development of atopic disorders in their children, except for AD beyond infancy.

Does allergy in parents depend on allergy in their children? Recall bias in parental questioning of atopic diseases. Multicenter Allergy Study Group.

BACKGROUND: A positive atopic family history has proved to be one important risk factor for the development of atopic diseases in offspring. However, many epidemiologists are concerned about the accuracy and reliability of data because responses to questionnaires can be biased for many reasons. OBJECTIVE: The study investigated whether responses of parents questioned about their atopic diseases change depending on the development of atopic symptoms in their children. METHODS: During a prospective birth cohort study on atopy in children (the Multicenter Allergy Study) parents filled out questionnaires twice within 2 years about their atopic diseases. Differences between the 2 responses were examined by log-linear and logistic regression models depending on the diagnosed atopy status of the study children. RESULTS: Mothers tended to report more atopic diseases in the second questioning than in the first, indicating a nondifferential misclassification. Fathers were influenced by the development of atopic diseases in their children: they reported significantly more atopic diseases if the child developed atopic illness with atopic dermatitis. CONCLUSION: In parental questioning about atopic diseases, a recall bias must be considered for the association of atopic family history and atopy in children. Especially in case-control and cross-sectional studies, such misclassifications can result in biased estimates of prognosis and risk factors.

Serum IgE levels during the first 6 years of life.

OBJECTIVE: Total serum IgE percentiles were derived for a population-based sample of 4082 white children from Germany by weighted analysis of measurements from the Multicenter Allergy Study cohort. METHODS: The children of a prospective birth cohort were selected from a complete 1-year sample of newborns in 6 obstetric departments in 1990. Total IgE was determined at 1, 2, 3, 5, and 6 years of age in 1160 newborns of the cohort. By weighting these measurements for sex, atopic family history, and elevated cord blood IgE, total serum IgE percentiles were estimated for the original population-based sample of 4082 children. RESULTS: IgE levels increased by age (P <.0001). We found statistically significant higher total IgE values in boys than in girls at each age (P <.05). Within the group of atopic children, this sex difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Our estimates of total serum IgE levels for a large population-based sample were lower than most values previously reported. We suggest that for both clinical and epidemiologic and genetic studies, IgE values should be expressed with percentiles.

Atopic dermatitis in early infancy predicts allergic airway disease at 5 years.

BACKGROUND: Screening tests for atopy risk in newborns have a low predictive value. If early atopic symptoms and signs could be used as predictors for the next expected atopic disorder then secondary prevention could be employed. The aim of this study was to evaluate the capacity of early atopic dermatitis to predict aeroallergen sensitization and the manifestation of respiratory atopic disorders at 5 years of age. METHODS: 1314 children of a German prospective birth cohort study MAS-90 were followed from birth up to 5 years of age. Atopic dermatitis, asthma and rhinoconjunctivitis were diagnosed from symptoms and signs at physical examinations and by interviews of the parents. Blood was drawn at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years of age. Aeroallergen sensitization was diagnosed by a specific IgE value of at least 0.35 kU/L (CAP class > or = 1) against any of five respiratory allergens (mite, cat, dog, birch, grass). RESULTS: Atopic dermatitis in the first 3 months was a risk factor for aeroallergen sensitization at 5 years. The risk increased with a positive family history for atopic diseases. Seventy-seven per cent of children with two atopic parents and early atopic dermatitis were sensitized against aeroallergens at 5 years, i.e. could have been predicted in early infancy without any laboratory tests. Although these risk factors were also significantly associated with the manifestation of allergic airway disease, the positive predictive value for this outcome at age 5 years was not yet as high, i.e. 50%. CONCLUSION: Infants with very early signs of atopic dermatitis and a positive family history are candidates for early intervention measures against respiratory allergies.

Cord blood-IgE as risk factor and predictor for atopic diseases.

BACKGROUND: Cord blood-IgE as risk factor or predictor for atopic diseases in infants has been discussed in a large number of papers with contradictory results. Our aim was to evaluate cord blood-IgE as risk factor and predictor for atopic dermatitis, recurrent wheezing and sensitization with emphasis on a clear-cut distinction between risk factor and predictor. METHODS: A cohort of 1314 newborns was recruited in six German obstetric departments and followed-up for 5 years. Four hundred and ninety-nine infants (38%) were considered to be at high risk with at least two atopic family members and/or a cord blood-IgE value above the threshold of 0.9 kU/L. At follow-up visits, parents filled in a questionnaire, the infants were clinically examined, and blood samples were taken. RESULTS: With regard to early onset atopic dermatitis up to 12 months we found that the odds ratios at the cord blood-IgE cut-off points of 0.70 kU/L and 1.25 kU/L with values of 0.53 and 0.32, respectively, were smaller than one (i.e. protective factors) and highly statistically significant. No significant association was found between elevated cord blood-IgE and recurrent wheezing. There was a strong positive association between elevated cord blood-IgE levels and sensitization at 12 months, but even in this case the predictive performance was rather poor: a maximum positive predictive value of 42% was attained with a cut-off point of 3.0 kU/L, but the sensitivity was only 10%. CONCLUSION: We conclude that even when elevated cord blood-IgE levels are identified as a strong risk factor for sensitization, their poor predictive performance may make them useless as a basis for preventive measures.

Predictability of early atopy by cord blood-IgE and parental history.

BACKGROUND: Atopic family history and cord blood IgE have been used as predictors of atopic disease in newborns for about 20 years, but at least for cord blood IgE the sensitivity has been shown to be very low. The objective of this paper was to evaluate whether parental history and cord blood-IgE were more accurate predictors for the appropriate atopic phenotypes in the infants rather than for any atopy. METHODS: A total of 1314 newborn infants was recruited in six German obstetric departments in 1990 and followed-up for 2 years. Four hundred and ninety-nine (38%) were at high risk for atopy with at least two first degree atopic family members and/or elevated cord-blood IgE concentrations. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of atopic dermatitis over the first 2 years of life (AD24) amounted to 20.1%, and there was a significant association with AD history of the mother (OR 2.5, 95%CI 1.46-4.26) and of the father (OR 3.53, 95%CI 1.90-6.54). The cumulative incidence of recurrent wheezing in the first 2 years of life (RW24) amounted to 16.1%, and was positively associated with asthma history (OR 2.11, 95%CI 1.33-3.60) and sensitization history (OR 1.64, 95%CI 1.34-2.36) of the mother, but with neither for the father. RW24 was less prevalent in girls than in boys (OR 0.64, 95%CI 0.47-0.89). Thirty-one per cent of infants were sensitized (CAP test value > 0.35 kU/L) against at least one of nine food or inhalative allergens (S24) and this was significantly associated with cord blood-IgE value (OR 2.43, 95%CI 1.69-3.49), and sensitization history of the mother (OR 1.64, 95%CI 1.18-2.41). Using multiple logistic regression analysis, the prediction of AD24 by AD of parents, of RW24 by asthma of parents, and of sensitization by cord blood IgE was of low accuracy. CONCLUSION: The predictive capacity of parental history and cord blood IgE is not high enough to recommend them as screening instruments for primary prevention. The majority of atopic manifestations and of sensitization occur in infants with no demonstrable risk at birth.