Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Show: 20 | 50 | 100
Results 1 - 16 de 16
Filter
1.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 24(10): 1573-1578.e1, 2023 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37591486

ABSTRACT

Nearly half of all SARS-CoV-2-related deaths in the United States occurred in long-term care facilities during the early pandemic. In Connecticut, statewide mitigation of this impact involved a collaboration between the Connecticut Department of Public Health and the Yale School of Public Health, alongside existing relationships with the long-term care industry and individual facilities. This close government-academic-industry collaboration facilitated the creation of a robust COVID-19 surveillance system that allowed for real-time analysis and identification of nursing homes where outbreak support was needed. The collaboration further facilitated vaccine and booster deployment to Connecticut nursing homes at a speed that outpaced much of the country. The impact of these interventions is demonstrated through COVID-19 case and death burdens among nursing home residents and the greater Connecticut population during each wave of the pandemic. We outline the evolution and impact of these alliances and how they enabled us to prioritize facilities, interventions, and the distribution of limited resources and training throughout the pandemic. We further detail lessons learned over the first 2 years of the pandemic. Such partnerships strengthen our ability to respond effectively to public health crises and should be created and/or maintained in the face of continued pandemic threats.

2.
Lancet Microbe ; 4(6): e461-e469, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37086737

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Strong surveillance systems with wide geographic coverage are needed to detect and respond to reports of antimalarial drug resistance on the African continent. We aimed to assess the utility and feasibility of using blood-fed mosquitos (xenomonitoring) to conduct rapid surveillance of molecular markers associated with resistance in human populations. METHODS: We conducted three cross-sectional surveys in two rainy seasons and the interim dry season in southwest Burkina Faso between Oct 10, 2018, and Sept 17, 2019. We collected human blood samples and blood-fed mosquitos residing in household clusters across seven village sectors. Samples were assessed for Plasmodium falciparum with ultrasensitive quantitative PCR, genotyped for two markers of reduced drug susceptibility, pfmdr1 256A>T (Asn86Tyr) and pfcrt 227A>C (Lys76Thr), and sequenced for four markers of clonality. We assessed statistical equivalence using a 10% margin of equivalence. FINDINGS: We identified 551 infections in 1483 human blood samples (mean multiplicity of infection [MOI] 1·94, SD 1·47) and 346 infections in 2151 mosquito blood meals (mean MOI 2·2, SD 1·67). The frequency of pfmdr1 Asn86Tyr was 4% in survey 1, 2% in survey 2, and 12% in survey 3 in human samples, and 3% in survey 1, 0% in survey 2, and 8% in survey 3 in mosquito blood meals, and inter-host frequencies were statistically equivalent in surveys 1 and 2 (p<0·0001) but not Survey 3 (p=0·062) within a tolerability of 0·10. The frequency of pfcrt Lys76Thr was 16% in survey 1, 55% in survey 2, and 11% in survey 3 in humans and 40% in survey 1, 72% in survey 2, and 13% in survey 3 in mosquitos, and inter-host frequencies were equivalent in survey 3 only (p=0·032) within a tolerability of 0·10. In simulations, multiple but not preferential feeding behaviour in mosquitos reduced the accuracy of frequency estimates between hosts, particularly for markers circulating at higher frequencies. INTERPRETATION: Molecular markers in mosquito blood meals and in humans exhibited similar temporal trends but frequencies were not statistically equivalent in all scenarios. More work is needed to determine empirical and pragmatic thresholds of difference. Xenomonitoring might be an efficient tool to provide rapid information on emerging antimalarial resistance in regions with insufficient surveillance. FUNDING: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. TRANSLATION: For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Subject(s)
Antimalarials , Culicidae , Folic Acid Antagonists , Animals , Humans , Antimalarials/pharmacology , Antimalarials/therapeutic use , Cross-Sectional Studies , Plasmodium falciparum/genetics , Polymerase Chain Reaction
3.
Clin Pharmacol Ther ; 113(3): 660-669, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36260349

ABSTRACT

Artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) are the primary treatment for malaria. It is essential to characterize the pharmacokinetics (PKs) and pharmacodynamics (PDs) of ACTs in vulnerable populations at risk of suboptimal dosing. We developed a population PK/PD model using data from our previous study of artemether-lumefantrine in HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected children living in a high-transmission region of Uganda. HIV-infected children were on efavirenz-, nevirapine-, or lopinavir-ritonavir-based antiretroviral regimens, with daily trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis. We assessed selection for resistance in two key parasite transporters, pfcrt and pfmdr1, over 42-day follow-up and incorporated genotyping into a time-to-event model to ascertain how resistance genotype in relation to drug exposure impacts recurrence risk. Two hundred seventy-seven children contributed 364 episodes to the model (186 HIV-uninfected and 178 HIV-infected), with recurrent microscopy-detectable parasitemia detected in 176 episodes by day 42. The final model was a two-compartment model with first-order absorption and an estimated age effect on bioavailability. Systemic lumefantrine exposure was highest with lopinavir-ritonavir, lowest with efavirenz, and equivalent with nevirapine and HIV-uninfected children. HIV status and lumefantrine concentration were significant factors associated with recurrence risk. Significant selection was demonstrated for pfmdr1 N86 and pfcrt K76 in recurrent infections, with no evidence of selection for pfmdr1 Y184F. Less sensitive parasites were able to tolerate lumefantrine concentrations ~ 3.5-fold higher than more sensitive parasites. This is the first population PK model of lumefantrine in HIV-infected children and demonstrates selection for reduced lumefantrine susceptibility, a concern as we confront the threat to ACTs posed by emerging artemisinin resistance in Africa.


Subject(s)
Antimalarials , Artemisinins , HIV Infections , Malaria, Falciparum , Malaria , Child , Humans , Antimalarials/therapeutic use , Antimalarials/pharmacokinetics , Lopinavir/therapeutic use , Ritonavir/therapeutic use , Artemether/therapeutic use , Nevirapine/therapeutic use , Uganda , Fluorenes/therapeutic use , Fluorenes/pharmacokinetics , Artemether, Lumefantrine Drug Combination/therapeutic use , Malaria/drug therapy , Artemisinins/pharmacokinetics , Lumefantrine , Drug Combinations , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Malaria, Falciparum/drug therapy
4.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 2022 07 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35895350

ABSTRACT

The impacts of climate change on global health and populations are far-reaching, yet they disproportionately affect vulnerable groups, thereby exacerbating disparities. As humanity reckons with the emergency of climate change, our global health community needs to contend with our own contributions to greenhouse gas emissions. We know that transformation is possible and that climate action is the antidote to the existential challenge. As a global health community, we have an immense opportunity, responsibility, and commitment to lead, support, inspire, and empower climate action, research, and innovation that align deeply with our mission and core values.

5.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(29)2021 07 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34261791

ABSTRACT

Resistance to artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) threatens the global control of Plasmodium falciparum malaria. ACTs combine artemisinin-derived compounds with partner drugs to enable multiple mechanisms of clearance. Although ACTs remain widely effective in sub-Saharan Africa, long-standing circulation of parasite alleles associated with reduced partner drug susceptibility may contribute to the development of clinical resistance. We fitted a hierarchical Bayesian spatial model to data from over 500 molecular surveys to predict the prevalence and frequency of four key markers in transporter genes (pfcrt 76T and pfmdr1 86Y, 184F, and 1246Y) in first-level administrative divisions in sub-Saharan Africa from the uptake of ACTs (2004 to 2009) to their widespread usage (2010 to 2018). Our models estimated that the pfcrt 76T mutation decreased in prevalence in 90% of regions; the pfmdr1 N86 and D1246 wild-type genotypes increased in prevalence in 96% and 82% of regions, respectively; and there was no significant directional selection at the pfmdr1 Y184F locus. Rainfall seasonality was the strongest predictor of the prevalence of wild-type genotypes, with other covariates, including first-line drug policy and transmission intensity more weakly associated. We lastly identified regions of high priority for enhanced surveillance that could signify decreased susceptibility to the local first-line ACT. Our results can be used to infer the degree of molecular resistance and magnitude of wild-type reversion in regions without survey data to inform therapeutic policy decisions.


Subject(s)
Antimalarials/pharmacology , Drug Resistance , Malaria, Falciparum/parasitology , Plasmodium falciparum/drug effects , Protozoan Proteins/genetics , Africa South of the Sahara , Artemisinins/pharmacology , Bayes Theorem , Genotype , Humans , Malaria, Falciparum/drug therapy , Membrane Transport Proteins/genetics , Membrane Transport Proteins/metabolism , Multidrug Resistance-Associated Proteins/genetics , Multidrug Resistance-Associated Proteins/metabolism , Mutation , Plasmodium falciparum/genetics , Plasmodium falciparum/metabolism , Protozoan Proteins/metabolism
6.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(5): 1288-1295, 2021 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33900171

ABSTRACT

Nursing homes house populations that are highly vulnerable to coronavirus disease. Point prevalence surveys (PPSs) provide information on the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection status of staff and residents in nursing homes and enable isolation of infectious persons to halt disease spread. We collected 16 weeks of public health surveillance data on a subset of nursing homes (34/212) in Connecticut, USA. We fit a Poisson regression model to evaluate the association between incidence and time since serial PPS onset, adjusting for decreasing community incidence and other factors. Nursing homes conducted a combined total of 205 PPSs in staff and 232 PPSs in residents. PPS was associated with 41%-80% reduction in incidence rate in nursing homes. Our findings provide support for the use of repeated PPSs in nursing home staff and residents, combined with strong infection prevention measures such as cohorting, in contributing to outbreak control.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Connecticut/epidemiology , Humans , Nursing Homes , Prevalence
7.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 70(11): 396-401, 2021 Mar 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33735160

ABSTRACT

Residents of long-term care facilities (LTCFs), particularly those in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), have experienced disproportionately high levels of COVID-19-associated morbidity and mortality and were prioritized for early COVID-19 vaccination (1,2). However, this group was not included in COVID-19 vaccine clinical trials, and limited postauthorization vaccine effectiveness (VE) data are available for this critical population (3). It is not known how well COVID-19 vaccines protect SNF residents, who typically are more medically frail, are older, and have more underlying medical conditions than the general population (1). In addition, immunogenicity of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine was found to be lower in adults aged 65-85 years than in younger adults (4). Through the CDC Pharmacy Partnership for Long-Term Care Program, SNF residents and staff members in Connecticut began receiving the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine on December 18, 2020 (5). Administration of the vaccine was conducted during several on-site pharmacy clinics. In late January 2021, the Connecticut Department of Public Health (CT DPH) identified two SNFs experiencing COVID-19 outbreaks among residents and staff members that occurred after each facility's first vaccination clinic. CT DPH, in partnership with CDC, performed electronic chart review in these facilities to obtain information on resident vaccination status and infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Partial vaccination, defined as the period from >14 days after the first dose through 7 days after the second dose, had an estimated effectiveness of 63% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 33%-79%) against SARS-CoV-2 infection (regardless of symptoms) among residents within these SNFs. This is similar to estimated effectiveness for a single dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine in adults across a range of age groups in noncongregate settings (6) and suggests that to optimize vaccine impact among this population, high coverage with the complete 2-dose series should be recommended for SNF residents and staff members.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage , COVID-19/prevention & control , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Skilled Nursing Facilities , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/epidemiology , Connecticut/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Immunization Schedule , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies
8.
Lancet Microbe ; 1(5): e209-e217, 2020 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33089222

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Molecular markers for antimalarial drug resistance can be used to rapidly monitor the emergence and spatial distribution of resistance to artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs). Little has been done to analyse molecular surveillance efforts or to assess surveillance coverage. This study aimed to develop an evidence map to characterise the spatial-temporal distribution and sampling methodologies of drug resistance surveillance in sub-Saharan Africa, specifically focusing on markers associated with ACT partner drugs. METHODS: By use of a systematic search, we identified studies that reported data on the following mutations associated with ACT partner drug resistance: pfmdr1 Asn86Tyr, Tyr184Phe, Asp1246Tyr, and copy number variation and pfcrt Lys76Thr, with sample collection occurring in sub-Saharan Africa between Jan 1, 2004, and Dec 31, 2018, corresponding to the uptake of ACTs. For each identified study, we extracted information on its sampling and laboratory methods, author and publication affiliations, years of sampling and of publication, geographic coordinates of the study sites, and prevalence of the partner drug resistance-associated markers. We used linear models to test whether urbanicity, population density, and endemicity were predictors of drug resistance survey sites and linear regressions to identify associations between the number of resistance surveys within a given country and the at-risk malaria population in 2010, the per-capita GDP in 2010, and the mean amount of funding directed to malaria and to determine trends in marker prevalence over time. For country case studies with three or more datapoints, we assessed global spatial autocorrelation using Moran's I. FINDINGS: Our search yielded 254 studies encompassing 492 year-specific and location-specific surveys from 35 malaria-endemic countries, the most complete set of molecular partner drug surveillance data to date. We observed a median time lag of 3·1 years (95% CI 1·0-7·7) from final sample acquisition to publication. 22 (49%) of the 44 countries in the study region conducted, on average, one or fewer studies every 3 years. The locations of surveillance sites were positively associated with urbanicity (p<0·0001), and the abundance of country-level data was associated with reported donor funding in 2004-18 (p=0·0011) and local government funding in 2004-09 (p=0·014). Nearly all molecular markers displayed significant regional trends over time and global spatial autocorrelation in space. For selected countries with more widespread coverage of surveillance data, some markers also displayed spatial heterogeneity. INTERPRETATION: In most sub-Saharan countries, molecular data on antimalarial resistance might not be representative of the temporal and geographic heterogeneity of partner drug resistance, and likely do not represent the true spatially dependent distribution of partner drug resistance. Our results highlight several inefficiencies that can be improved upon to develop more accurate data landscapes, including the expansion of sentinel surveillance systems, syndemic usage of research samples, and increased participation in reporting published and unpublished data to centralised platforms.


Subject(s)
Antimalarials , Folic Acid Antagonists , Malaria , Antimalarials/therapeutic use , Biomarkers , DNA Copy Number Variations , Drug Resistance/genetics , Folic Acid Antagonists/therapeutic use , Humans , Malaria/drug therapy
10.
Malar J ; 19(1): 238, 2020 Jul 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32631416

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since 2014, seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) with amodiaquine-sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (AQ-SP) has been implemented on a large scale during the high malaria transmission season in Burkina Faso. This paper reports the prevalence of microscopic and submicroscopic malaria infection at the outset and after the first round of SMC in children under 5 years old in Bama, Burkina Faso, as well as host and parasite factors involved in mediating the efficacy and tolerability of SMC. METHODS: Two sequential cross-sectional surveys were conducted in late July and August 2017 during the first month of SMC in a rural area in southwest Burkina Faso. Blood smears and dried blood spots were collected from 106 to 93 children under five, respectively, at the start of SMC and again 3 weeks later. Malaria infection was detected by microscopy and by PCR from dried blood spots. For all children, day 7 plasma concentrations of desethylamodiaquine (DEAQ) were measured and CYP2C8 genetic variants influencing AQ metabolism were genotyped. Samples were additionally genotyped for pfcrt K76T and pfmdr1 N86Y, molecular markers associated with reduced amodiaquine susceptibility. RESULTS: 2.8% (3/106) of children were positive for Plasmodium falciparum infection by microscopy and 13.2% (14/106) by nested PCR within 2 days of SMC administration. Three weeks after SMC administration, in the same households, 4.3% (4/93) of samples were positive by microscopy and 14.0% (13/93) by PCR (p = 0.0007). CYP2C8*2, associated with impaired amodiaquine metabolism, was common with an allelic frequency of 17.1% (95% CI 10.0-24.2). Day 7 concentration of DEAQ ranged from 0.48 to 362.80 ng/mL with a median concentration of 56.34 ng/mL. Pfmdr1 N86 predominated at both time points, whilst a non-significant trend towards a higher prevalence of pfcrt 76T was seen at week 3. CONCLUSION: This study showed a moderate prevalence of low-level malaria parasitaemia in children 3 weeks following SMC during the first month of administration. Day 7 concentrations of the active DEAQ metabolite varied widely, likely reflecting variability in adherence and possibly metabolism. These findings highlight factors that may contribute to the effectiveness of SMC in children in a high transmission setting.


Subject(s)
Amodiaquine/analogs & derivatives , Antimalarials/blood , Cytochrome P-450 CYP2C8/genetics , Drug Resistance/genetics , Genes, Protozoan/drug effects , Malaria, Falciparum/prevention & control , Polymorphism, Genetic/drug effects , Amodiaquine/blood , Amodiaquine/therapeutic use , Antimalarials/therapeutic use , Burkina Faso/epidemiology , Chemoprevention , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Malaria, Falciparum/epidemiology , Malaria, Falciparum/parasitology , Male , Plasma/chemistry
11.
medRxiv ; 2020 Mar 26.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32511630

ABSTRACT

Since its emergence and detection in Wuhan, China in late 2019, the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has spread to nearly every country around the world, resulting in hundreds of thousands of infections to date. The virus was first detected in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States in January, 2020, with subsequent COVID-19 outbreaks detected in all 50 states by early March. To uncover the sources of SARS-CoV-2 introductions and patterns of spread within the U.S., we sequenced nine viral genomes from early reported COVID-19 patients in Connecticut. Our phylogenetic analysis places the majority of these genomes with viruses sequenced from Washington state. By coupling our genomic data with domestic and international travel patterns, we show that early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Connecticut was likely driven by domestic introductions. Moreover, the risk of domestic importation to Connecticut exceeded that of international importation by mid-March regardless of our estimated impacts of federal travel restrictions. This study provides evidence for widespread, sustained transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within the U.S. and highlights the critical need for local surveillance.

12.
Cell ; 181(5): 990-996.e5, 2020 05 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32386545

ABSTRACT

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States in January 2020, with subsequent COVID-19 outbreaks detected in all 50 states by early March. To uncover the sources of SARS-CoV-2 introductions and patterns of spread within the United States, we sequenced nine viral genomes from early reported COVID-19 patients in Connecticut. Our phylogenetic analysis places the majority of these genomes with viruses sequenced from Washington state. By coupling our genomic data with domestic and international travel patterns, we show that early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Connecticut was likely driven by domestic introductions. Moreover, the risk of domestic importation to Connecticut exceeded that of international importation by mid-March regardless of our estimated effects of federal travel restrictions. This study provides evidence of widespread sustained transmission of SARS-CoV-2 within the United States and highlights the critical need for local surveillance.


Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus/genetics , Coronavirus Infections/transmission , Pneumonia, Viral/transmission , Travel , Betacoronavirus/isolation & purification , COVID-19 , Connecticut/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Coronavirus Infections/virology , Epidemiological Monitoring , Humans , Likelihood Functions , Pandemics , Phylogeny , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/virology , SARS-CoV-2 , Travel/legislation & jurisprudence , United States/epidemiology , Washington/epidemiology
13.
Nat Microbiol ; 5(2): 239-247, 2020 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31819213

ABSTRACT

The recent Zika virus (ZIKV) and chikungunya virus epidemics highlight the explosive nature of arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) transmitted by Aedes spp. mosquitoes1,2. Vector competence and the extrinsic incubation period (EIP) are two key entomological parameters used to assess the public health risk posed by arboviruses3. These are typically measured empirically by offering mosquitoes an infectious blood meal and temporally sampling mosquitoes to determine the infection and transmission status. This approach has been used for the better part of a century; however, it does not accurately capture the biology and behaviour of many mosquito vectors that refeed frequently (every 2-3 d)4. Here, we demonstrate that acquisition of a second non-infectious blood meal significantly shortens the EIP of ZIKV-infected Aedes aegypti by enhancing virus dissemination from the mosquito midgut. Similarly, a second blood meal increases the competence of this species for dengue virus and chikungunya virus as well as Aedes albopictus for ZIKV, suggesting that this phenomenon may be common among other virus-vector pairings and that A. albopictus might be a more important vector than once thought. Blood-meal-induced microperforations in the virus-impenetrable basal lamina that surrounds the midgut provide a mechanism for enhanced virus escape. Modelling of these findings reveals that a shortened EIP would result in a significant increase in the basic reproductive number, R0, estimated from experimental data. This helps to explain how A. aegypti can sustain explosive epidemics such as ZIKV despite relatively poor vector competence in single-feed laboratory trials. Together, these data demonstrate a direct and unrecognized link between mosquito feeding behaviour, EIP and vector competence.


Subject(s)
Aedes/virology , Arbovirus Infections/transmission , Models, Biological , Mosquito Vectors/virology , Aedes/ultrastructure , Animals , Arbovirus Infections/blood , Arbovirus Infections/virology , Basic Reproduction Number , Chikungunya Fever/transmission , Dengue/transmission , Digestive System/ultrastructure , Digestive System/virology , Female , Host Microbial Interactions , Humans , Male , Mice , Microscopy, Electron, Scanning , Mosquito Vectors/ultrastructure , Zika Virus Infection/transmission
14.
PLoS One ; 12(8): e0182642, 2017.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28820902

ABSTRACT

Despite availability of high quality medical records, health care systems often do not have the resources or tools to utilize these data efficiently. Yet, hospital-based, laboratory-confirmed records may pave the way for building reliable surveillance systems capable of monitoring temporal trends of emerging infections. In this communication, we present a new tool to compress and visualize medical records with a local population profile (LPP) approach, which transforms information into statistically comparable patterns. We provide a step-by-step tutorial on how to build, interpret, and expand the use of LPP using hospitalization records of laboratory-confirmed cholera. We abstracted case information from the databases maintained by the Department of Clinical Microbiology at Christian Medical College in Vellore, India. We used a single-year age distribution to construct LPPs for O1, O139, and non O1/O139 serotypes of Vibrio cholerae. Disease counts and hospitalization rates were converted into fitted kernel-based probability densities. We formally compared LPPs with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, and created multi-panel visuals to depict temporal trend, age distribution, and hospitalization rates simultaneously. Our first implementation of LPPs revealed information that is typically gathered from surveillance systems such as: i) estimates of the demographic distribution of diseases and identification of a population at risk, ii) changes in the dominant pathogen presence; and iii) trends in disease occurrence. The LPP demonstrated the benefit of increased resolution in pattern detection of disease for different Vibrio cholerae serotypes and two demographic categories by showing patterns and anomalies that would be obscured by traditional methods of analysis and visualization. LPP can be used effectively to compile basic patient information such as age, sex, diagnosis, location, and time into compact visuals. Future development of the proposed approach will allow public health researchers and practitioners to broadly utilize and efficiently compress large volumes of medical records without loss of information.


Subject(s)
Cholera/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Medical Records , Population Surveillance , Humans , India/epidemiology
15.
Sci Rep ; 7: 40186, 2017 01 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28071683

ABSTRACT

Ross River virus (RRV), Barmah Forest virus (BFV), and dengue are three common mosquito-borne diseases in Australia that display notable seasonal patterns. Although all three diseases have been modeled on localized scales, no previous study has used harmonic models to compare seasonality of mosquito-borne diseases on a continent-wide scale. We fit Poisson harmonic regression models to surveillance data on RRV, BFV, and dengue (from 1993, 1995 and 1991, respectively, through 2015) incorporating seasonal, trend, and climate (temperature and rainfall) parameters. The models captured an average of 50-65% variability of the data. Disease incidence for all three diseases generally peaked in January or February, but peak timing was most variable for dengue. The most significant predictor parameters were trend and inter-annual periodicity for BFV, intra-annual periodicity for RRV, and trend for dengue. We found that a Temperature Suitability Index (TSI), designed to reclassify climate data relative to optimal conditions for vector establishment, could be applied to this context. Finally, we extrapolated our models to estimate the impact of a false-positive BFV epidemic in 2013. Creating these models and comparing variations in periodicities may provide insight into historical outbreaks as well as future patterns of mosquito-borne diseases.


Subject(s)
Alphavirus Infections/epidemiology , Dengue/epidemiology , Meteorological Concepts , Australia/epidemiology , Incidence , Models, Statistical , Mosquito Vectors/growth & development , Seasons
16.
Amyloid ; 20(1): 7-12, 2013 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23253046

ABSTRACT

Pathophysiological evidences of AD have indicated that aggregation of Aß is one of the principal causes of neuronal dysfunction, largely by way of inducing oxidative stresses such as free radical formation. We hypothesized that the known antioxidative attribute of SFN could be harnessed in Alzheimer's treatment. SFN is an indirect, potent antioxidant derived from broccoli that has previously been found to stimulate the Nrf2-ARE pathway and facilitate several other cytoprotective mechanisms. In this study, administration of SFN ameliorated cognitive function of Aß-induced AD acute mouse models in Y-maze and passive avoidance behavior tests. Interestingly, we found that the therapeutic effect of SFN did not involve inhibition of Aß aggregation. While the exact mechanism of interaction of SFN in AD has not yet been ascertained, our results suggest that SFN can aid in cognitive impairment and may protect the brain from amyloidogenic damages.


Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease/prevention & control , Amyloid beta-Peptides/metabolism , Antioxidants/pharmacology , Neuroprotective Agents/pharmacology , Thiocyanates/pharmacology , Alzheimer Disease/metabolism , Alzheimer Disease/pathology , Amyloid beta-Peptides/pharmacology , Animals , Antioxidants/therapeutic use , Avoidance Learning/drug effects , Cell Line , Cognition/drug effects , Disease Models, Animal , Hippocampus/drug effects , Hippocampus/metabolism , Hippocampus/pathology , Humans , Isothiocyanates , Male , Maze Learning/drug effects , Mice , Mice, Inbred ICR , Neurons/cytology , Neurons/drug effects , Neurons/metabolism , Neuroprotective Agents/therapeutic use , Oxidative Stress/drug effects , Reactive Oxygen Species/antagonists & inhibitors , Reactive Oxygen Species/metabolism , Sulfoxides , Thiocyanates/therapeutic use
SELECTION OF CITATIONS
SEARCH DETAIL
...