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1.
Nature ; 631(8019): 179-188, 2024 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38926578

ABSTRACT

Encouraging routine COVID-19 vaccinations is likely to be a crucial policy challenge for decades to come. To avert hundreds of thousands of unnecessary hospitalizations and deaths, adoption will need to be higher than it was in the autumn of 2022 or 2023, when less than one-fifth of Americans received booster vaccines1,2. One approach to encouraging vaccination is to eliminate the friction of transportation hurdles. Previous research has shown that friction can hinder follow-through3 and that individuals who live farther from COVID-19 vaccination sites are less likely to get vaccinated4. However, the value of providing free round-trip transportation to vaccination sites is unknown. Here we show that offering people free round-trip Lyft rides to pharmacies has no benefit over and above sending them behaviourally informed text messages reminding them to get vaccinated. We determined this by running a megastudy with millions of CVS Pharmacy patients in the United States testing the effects of (1) free round-trip Lyft rides to CVS Pharmacies for vaccination appointments and (2) seven different sets of behaviourally informed vaccine reminder messages. Our results suggest that offering previously vaccinated individuals free rides to vaccination sites is not a good investment in the United States, contrary to the high expectations of both expert and lay forecasters. Instead, people in the United States should be sent behaviourally informed COVID-19 vaccination reminders, which increased the 30-day COVID-19 booster uptake by 21% (1.05 percentage points) and spilled over to increase 30-day influenza vaccinations by 8% (0.34 percentage points) in our megastudy. More rigorous testing of interventions to promote vaccination is needed to ensure that evidence-based solutions are deployed widely and that ineffective but intuitively appealing tools are discontinued.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Reminder Systems , Vaccination , Humans , COVID-19 Vaccines/administration & dosage , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Reminder Systems/statistics & numerical data , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/epidemiology , United States , Text Messaging/statistics & numerical data , Female , Male , Pharmacies/statistics & numerical data , Immunization, Secondary/statistics & numerical data , Adult
2.
PLoS Pathog ; 20(3): e1012117, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38530853

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 transmission is largely driven by heterogeneous dynamics at a local scale, leaving local health departments to design interventions with limited information. We analyzed SARS-CoV-2 genomes sampled between February 2020 and March 2022 jointly with epidemiological and cell phone mobility data to investigate fine scale spatiotemporal SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in King County, Washington, a diverse, metropolitan US county. We applied an approximate structured coalescent approach to model transmission within and between North King County and South King County alongside the rate of outside introductions into the county. Our phylodynamic analyses reveal that following stay-at-home orders, the epidemic trajectories of North and South King County began to diverge. We find that South King County consistently had more reported and estimated cases, COVID-19 hospitalizations, and longer persistence of local viral transmission when compared to North King County, where viral importations from outside drove a larger proportion of new cases. Using mobility and demographic data, we also find that South King County experienced a more modest and less sustained reduction in mobility following stay-at-home orders than North King County, while also bearing more socioeconomic inequities that might contribute to a disproportionate burden of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Overall, our findings suggest a role for local-scale phylodynamics in understanding the heterogeneous transmission landscape.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Epidemics , Humans , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , COVID-19/epidemiology , Washington/epidemiology
3.
Cureus ; 15(1): e33277, 2023 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36741622

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies have evaluated the effect of the pericapsular nerve group block for hip arthroscopy and the transverse abdominis plane block for periacetabular osteotomy and have shown decreased narcotic consumption in both groups. No published study has evaluated the effectiveness of combining the blocks when performing hip arthroscopy and periacetabular osteotomy under the same general anesthesia. It was hypothesized that patients treated for hip dysplasia with hip arthroscopy and concomitant periacetabular osteotomy using a pericapsular nerve group block, transverse abdominis plane block, and general anesthesia would have decreased postoperative pain and require less narcotic consumption than those undergoing the procedure with general anesthetic alone.  Methods: A single surgeon performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients undergoing concomitant hip arthroscopy and periacetabular osteotomy between 11/2020 and 6/2021. Fifteen consecutive patients undergoing the procedure with a general anesthetic alone (no-block group) were compared to 15 patients undergoing the same procedure with a combined pericapsular nerve group block, transverse abdominis plane block, and general anesthetic (block group). Hip arthroscopy was performed utilizing a post-free technique, and a rectus sparing approach was used for the periacetabular osteotomy. The nerve blocks were performed by multiple anesthesiologists using previously published methods. Operating room time, length of stay, visual analog scale pain scores, and total narcotic consumption in morphine milliequivalents were analyzed. Groups were compared using the chi-squared test for non-continuous demographic variables and a two-tailed t-test for continuous variables utilizing Microsoft Excel (Microsoft, Redmond, WA, USA), p-value set at 0.05 for significance.  Results: The no-block group consisted of 14 females and one male, while the block group was all females. No significant differences were observed between age, sex, BMI, surgery time, length of stay, or procedures performed, p>0.05. The maximal visual analog scale score in the post-anesthesia care unit was 8 ± 1.3 vs. 7 ± 1.9 in the no-block vs. block groups, respectively, p=0.15. The average hospital floor visual analog scale score was 5.7 ± 1.3 vs. 4.8 ± 1.3 in the no-block vs. block groups, respectively, p=0.07. Total pain medications required were 217.6 ± 54.6 vs. 154 ± 41.9 morphine milliequivalents in the no-block vs. block groups, respectively, p=0.001. No complications were reported in either group, and no patient in the block group demonstrated motor nerve palsy or postoperative fall. CONCLUSION:  This study demonstrated that patients undergoing combined hip arthroscopy and periacetabular osteotomy for symptomatic acetabular dysplasia who had pericapsular nerve group, transverse abdominal plane block, and general anesthesia required fewer narcotics in the first 24 hours after surgery compared to those who had general anesthesia alone.

4.
medRxiv ; 2022 Dec 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36561171

ABSTRACT

SARS-CoV-2 transmission is largely driven by heterogeneous dynamics at a local scale, leaving local health departments to design interventions with limited information. We analyzed SARS-CoV-2 genomes sampled between February 2020 and March 2022 jointly with epidemiological and cell phone mobility data to investigate fine scale spatiotemporal SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in King County, Washington, a diverse, metropolitan US county. We applied an approximate structured coalescent approach to model transmission within and between North King County and South King County alongside the rate of outside introductions into the county. Our phylodynamic analyses reveal that following stay-at-home orders, the epidemic trajectories of North and South King County began to diverge. We find that South King County consistently had more reported and estimated cases, COVID-19 hospitalizations, and longer persistence of local viral transmission when compared to North King County, where viral importations from outside drove a larger proportion of new cases. Using mobility and demographic data, we also find that South King County experienced a more modest and less sustained reduction in mobility following stay-at-home orders than North King County, while also bearing more socioeconomic inequities that might contribute to a disproportionate burden of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Overall, our findings suggest a role for local-scale phylodynamics in understanding the heterogeneous transmission landscape.

5.
Cureus ; 14(10): e29907, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36348853

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND:  The use of computer navigation (CN) is expanding in direct anterior (DA) total hip arthroplasty (THA). In this study, we investigated the use of a noninvasive, fluoroscopic-based, CN technology suite on operative outcomes in a single surgeon DA THA practice. HYPOTHESIS: Computer-navigated DA THA decreases leg length discrepancy (LLD) variation and fluoroscopic radiation dose without adding operative time compared to the traditional overlay (OL) technique. METHODS: A retrospective review was performed on a total of 109 primary DA THA patients, with 58 in the CN and 51 in the OL group. Outcome metrics were postoperative LLD, radiation dose per case, and operative time. Statistical analysis was completed with Mann-Whitney U tests for differences between the means for LLD, radiation dose, and operative time. RESULTS: No difference was observed in postoperative LLD between the CN (average: 1.8 mm) and OL (average: 1.9 mm) groups (p = 0.458). A significant reduction in average radiation dose (mGy) per case within the CN group (8.17 ± 6.09 mGy) compared to the OL group (13.17 ± 7.75 mGy) (p < 0.02) was observed. The average operative time in the CN group was 80 ± 18 minutes compared to 120 ± 32 minutes in the OL group (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: There was no difference in LLD between the two groups. The addition of CN into a DA THA practice decreased both average radiation dose and operative time when compared to the standard OL technique.

6.
Nat Hum Behav ; 6(11): 1515-1524, 2022 11.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36050387

ABSTRACT

Lotteries have been shown to motivate behaviour change in many settings, but their value as a policy tool is relatively untested. We implemented a pre-registered, citywide experiment to test the effects of three high-pay-off, geographically targeted lotteries designed to motivate adult Philadelphians to get their COVID-19 vaccine. In each drawing, the residents of a randomly selected 'treatment' zip code received half the lottery prizes, boosting their chances of winning to 50×-100× those of other Philadelphians. The first treated zip code, which drew considerable media attention, may have experienced a small bump in vaccinations compared with the control zip codes: average weekly vaccinations rose by an estimated 61 per 100,000 people per week (+11%). After pooling the results from all three zip codes treated during our six-week experiment, however, we do not detect evidence of any overall benefits. Furthermore, our 95% confidence interval provides a 9% upper bound on the net benefits of treatment in our study.


Subject(s)
Awards and Prizes , COVID-19 , Vaccines , Humans , Adult , COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19/prevention & control , Vaccination
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 75(1): e536-e544, 2022 08 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35412591

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is dominated by variant viruses; the resulting impact on disease severity remains unclear. Using a retrospective cohort study, we assessed the hospitalization risk following infection with 7 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants. METHODS: Our study includes individuals with positive SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in the Washington Disease Reporting System with available viral genome data, from 1 December 2020 to 14 January 2022. The analysis was restricted to cases with specimens collected through sentinel surveillance. Using a Cox proportional hazards model with mixed effects, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) for hospitalization risk following infection with a variant, adjusting for age, sex, calendar week, and vaccination. RESULTS: In total, 58 848 cases were sequenced through sentinel surveillance, of which 1705 (2.9%) were hospitalized due to COVID-19. Higher hospitalization risk was found for infections with Gamma (HR 3.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.40-4.26), Beta (HR 2.85, 95% CI 1.56-5.23), Delta (HR 2.28 95% CI 1.56-3.34), or Alpha (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.29-2.07) compared to infections with ancestral lineages; Omicron (HR 0.92, 95% CI .56-1.52) showed no significant difference in risk. Following Alpha, Gamma, or Delta infection, unvaccinated patients show higher hospitalization risk, while vaccinated patients show no significant difference in risk, both compared to unvaccinated, ancestral lineage cases. Hospitalization risk following Omicron infection is lower with vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Infection with Alpha, Gamma, or Delta results in a higher hospitalization risk, with vaccination attenuating that risk. Our findings support hospital preparedness, vaccination, and genomic surveillance.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Humans , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Washington/epidemiology
9.
medRxiv ; 2022 Feb 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34729567

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic is dominated by variant viruses; the resulting impact on disease severity remains unclear. Using a retrospective cohort study, we assessed the hospitalization risk following infection with seven SARS-CoV-2 variants. METHODS: Our study includes individuals with positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR in the Washington Disease Reporting System with available viral genome data, from December 1, 2020 to January 14, 2022. The analysis was restricted to cases with specimens collected through sentinel surveillance. Using a Cox proportional hazards model with mixed effects, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) for hospitalization risk following infection with a variant, adjusting for age, sex, calendar week, and vaccination. FINDINGS: 58,848 cases were sequenced through sentinel surveillance, of which 1705 (2.9%) were hospitalized due to COVID-19. Higher hospitalization risk was found for infections with Gamma (HR 3.20, 95%CI 2.40-4.26), Beta (HR 2.85, 95%CI 1.56-5.23), Delta (HR 2.28 95%CI 1.56-3.34) or Alpha (HR 1.64, 95%CI 1.29-2.07) compared to infections with ancestral lineages; Omicron (HR 0.92, 95%CI 0.56-1.52) showed no significant difference in risk. Following Alpha, Gamma, or Delta infection, unvaccinated patients show higher hospitalization risk, while vaccinated patients show no significant difference in risk, both compared to unvaccinated, ancestral lineage cases. Hospitalization risk following Omicron infection is lower with vaccination. CONCLUSION: Infection with Alpha, Gamma, or Delta results in a higher hospitalization risk, with vaccination attenuating that risk. Our findings support hospital preparedness, vaccination, and genomic surveillance. SUMMARY: Hospitalization risk following infection with SARS-CoV-2 variant remains unclear. We find a higher hospitalization risk in cases infected with Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta, but not Omicron, with vaccination lowering risk. Our findings support hospital preparedness, vaccination, and genomic surveillance.

10.
Environ Res ; 172: 384-393, 2019 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30825689

ABSTRACT

Reclaimed water is often presented as a cost-effective, reliable, and safe solution to increasingly common water shortages in the United States and across the globe, but studies have shown that consumers tend to object to the use of this water. Broad adoption of this technology will require consumer acceptance or at least tolerance of it, and studies have suggested that better branding could minimize consumers' concerns. In this study, we first test twenty-one potential branding names for reclaimed water using survey responses to identify the top-six most favored names. We then determine whether an opportunity for consumers to try reclaimed water can change their preferences. The results suggest that the common names for this water, such as Recycled, Reclaimed, Nontraditional, Treated Wastewater, and Reused, are the least appealing, as they all scored at the bottom. In contrast, names that invoke desirable characteristics of the water-Pure, Eco-Friendly, and Advanced Purified, were viewed significantly more favorable than the others. Having an opportunity to taste reclaimed water treated to a potable standard seems to clarify consumers' preferences by increasing the differences in favorability between the names. Based on these results, it appears that while there are a couple of appealing names, the most consistently preferred is Pure Water.


Subject(s)
Consumer Behavior , Terminology as Topic , Water Supply , Consumer Behavior/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Surveys and Questionnaires , Wastewater , Water/chemistry , Water/standards , Water Supply/economics , Water Supply/standards
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