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1.
Vaccine ; 42(9): 2200-2211, 2024 Apr 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38350768

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Global COVID Vaccine Safety (GCoVS) Project, established in 2021 under the multinational Global Vaccine Data Network™ (GVDN®), facilitates comprehensive assessment of vaccine safety. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of adverse events of special interest (AESI) following COVID-19 vaccination from 10 sites across eight countries. METHODS: Using a common protocol, this observational cohort study compared observed with expected rates of 13 selected AESI across neurological, haematological, and cardiac outcomes. Expected rates were obtained by participating sites using pre-COVID-19 vaccination healthcare data stratified by age and sex. Observed rates were reported from the same healthcare datasets since COVID-19 vaccination program rollout. AESI occurring up to 42 days following vaccination with mRNA (BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273) and adenovirus-vector (ChAdOx1) vaccines were included in the primary analysis. Risks were assessed using observed versus expected (OE) ratios with 95 % confidence intervals. Prioritised potential safety signals were those with lower bound of the 95 % confidence interval (LBCI) greater than 1.5. RESULTS: Participants included 99,068,901 vaccinated individuals. In total, 183,559,462 doses of BNT162b2, 36,178,442 doses of mRNA-1273, and 23,093,399 doses of ChAdOx1 were administered across participating sites in the study period. Risk periods following homologous vaccination schedules contributed 23,168,335 person-years of follow-up. OE ratios with LBCI > 1.5 were observed for Guillain-Barré syndrome (2.49, 95 % CI: 2.15, 2.87) and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (3.23, 95 % CI: 2.51, 4.09) following the first dose of ChAdOx1 vaccine. Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis showed an OE ratio of 3.78 (95 % CI: 1.52, 7.78) following the first dose of mRNA-1273 vaccine. The OE ratios for myocarditis and pericarditis following BNT162b2, mRNA-1273, and ChAdOx1 were significantly increased with LBCIs > 1.5. CONCLUSION: This multi-country analysis confirmed pre-established safety signals for myocarditis, pericarditis, Guillain-Barré syndrome, and cerebral venous sinus thrombosis. Other potential safety signals that require further investigation were identified.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Guillain-Barre Syndrome , Myocarditis , Pericarditis , Sinus Thrombosis, Intracranial , Humans , 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , Cohort Studies , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , Guillain-Barre Syndrome/chemically induced , Guillain-Barre Syndrome/epidemiology , mRNA Vaccines , Vaccination/adverse effects , Male , Female
2.
Vaccine ; 41(42): 6227-6238, 2023 10 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37673715

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Global COVID Vaccine Safety (GCoVS) project was established in 2021 under the multinational Global Vaccine Data Network (GVDN) consortium to facilitate the rapid assessment of the safety of newly introduced vaccines. This study analyzed data from GVDN member sites on the background incidence rates of conditions designated as adverse events of special interest (AESI) for COVID-19 vaccine safety monitoring. METHODS: Eleven GVDN global sites obtained data from national or regional healthcare databases using standardized methods. Incident events of 13 pre-defined AESI were included for a pre-pandemic period (2015-19) and the first pandemic year (2020). Background incidence rates (IR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for inpatient and emergency department encounters, stratified by age and sex, and compared between pre-pandemic and pandemic periods using incidence rate ratios. RESULTS: An estimated 197 million people contributed 1,189,652,926 person-years of follow-up time. Among inpatients in the pre-pandemic period (2015-19), generalized seizures were the most common neurological AESI (IR ranged from 22.15 [95% CI 19.01-25.65] to 278.82 [278.20-279.44] per 100,000 person-years); acute disseminated encephalomyelitis was the least common (<0.5 per 100,000 person-years at most sites). Pulmonary embolism was the most common thrombotic event (IR 45.34 [95% CI 44.85-45.84] to 93.77 [95% CI 93.46-94.08] per 100,000 person-years). The IR of myocarditis ranged from 1.60 [(95% CI 1.45-1.76) to 7.76 (95% CI 7.46-8.08) per 100,000 person-years. The IR of several AESI varied by site, healthcare setting, age and sex. The IR of some AESI were notably different in 2020 compared to 2015-19. CONCLUSION: Background incidence of AESIs exhibited some variability across study sites and between pre-pandemic and pandemic periods. These findings will contribute to global vaccine safety surveillance and research.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , Incidence , Vaccination , Vaccines/adverse effects
3.
BJOG ; 128(10): 1575-1584, 2021 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33590634

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the risk of preterm birth associated with nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), focusing on early exposure in the period from conception to 22 weeks of gestation (WG). DESIGN: National population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING: The French National Health Insurance Database that includes hospital discharge data and health claims data. POPULATION: Singleton pregnancies (2012-2014) with a live birth occurring after 22WG from women between 15 and 45 years old and insured the year before the first day of gestation and during pregnancy were included. We excluded pregnancies for which anti-inflammatory medications were dispensed after 22WG. METHODS: The association between exposure and risk of preterm birth was evaluated with GEE models, adjusting on a large number of covariables, socio-demographic variables, maternal comorbidities, prescription drugs and pregnancy complications. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prematurity, defined as a birth that occurred before 37WG. RESULTS: Among our 1 598 330 singleton pregnancies, early exposure to non-selective NSAIDs was associated with a significantly increased risk of preterm birth, regardless of the severity of prematurity: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.76 (95% CI 1.54-2.00) for extreme prematurity (95% CI 22-27WG), 1.28 (95% CI 1.17-1.40) for moderate prematurity (28-31WG) and 1.08 (95% CI 1.05-1.11) for late prematurity (32-36WG), with non-overlapping confidence intervals. We identified five NSAIDs for which the risk of premature birth was significantly increased: ketoprofen, flurbiprofen, nabumetone, etodolac and indomethacin: for the latter, aOR = 1.92 (95% CI 1.37-2.70) with aOR = 9.33 (95% CI 3.75-23.22) for extreme prematurity. CONCLUSION: Overall, non-selective NSAID use (delivered outside hospitals) during the first 22WG was found to be associated with an increased risk of prematurity. However, the association differs among NSAIDs. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: French study for which early exposure to non-selective NSAIDs was associated with increased risk of prematurity.


Subject(s)
Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/adverse effects , Maternal Exposure/adverse effects , Pregnancy Complications/drug therapy , Premature Birth/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Cohort Studies , Databases, Factual , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Middle Aged , Pregnancy , Premature Birth/chemically induced , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult
4.
Stat Methods Med Res ; 25(2): 630-43, 2016 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23070599

ABSTRACT

When fitting marginal models to correlated outcomes, the so-called sandwich variance is commonly used. However, this is not the case when fitting mixed models. Using two data sets, we illustrate the problems that can be encountered. We show that the differences or the ratios between the naive and sandwich standard deviations of the fixed effects estimators provide convenient means of assessing the fit of the model, as both are consistent when the covariance structure is correctly specified, but only the latter is when that structure is misspecified. When the number of statistical units is not too small, the sandwich formula correctly estimates the variance of the fixed effects estimator even if the random effects are misspecified, and it can be used in a diagnostic tool for assessing the misspecification of the random effects. A simple comparison with the naive variance is sufficient and we propose considering a ratio of the naive and sandwich standard deviation out of the [3/4; 4/3] interval as signaling a risk of erroneous inference due to a model misspecification. We strongly advocate broader use of the sandwich variance for statistical inference about the fixed effects in mixed models.


Subject(s)
Linear Models , Bangladesh , Brain Death , Contraceptive Agents , Female , Fertility , Humans
5.
Am J Epidemiol ; 178(9): 1496-504, 2013 Nov 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24013203

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we propose new methods for analyzing cases of vaccine adverse events spontaneously reported to a surveillance database. The methods use the self-controlled case series approach, extended in several ways with parametric and nonparametric assumptions to account for the specific features of the data (large amount of underreporting and variation of reporting with time since vaccination). This work was motivated by the documented risk of intussusception after RotaShield vaccination (Wyeth-Lederle Vaccines, Radnor, Pennsylvania) and used worldwide spontaneous reports of intussusception occurring after Rotarix vaccination (GlaxoSmithKline Biologics, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina) collected between January 2004 and February 2010. The estimated risk during the 3- to 7-day period after vaccination was approximately 5 times higher after dose 1 of Rotarix than after dose 2, which is similar to published findings on the same topic. We undertook a large simulation study to evaluate the performance of the method in different scenarios, including its robustness to different sample sizes and time-dependent reporting functions. The bias was generally small, the type I error rate was correctly controlled, and the power to detect a risk ratio of 4 was satisfactory, provided that the sample size was over 100. The proposed methods are an effective way to explore and quantify vaccine safety signals from spontaneous reports.


Subject(s)
Intussusception/etiology , Pharmacovigilance , Rotavirus Vaccines/adverse effects , Age Factors , Computer Simulation , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Odds Ratio , Rotavirus Vaccines/administration & dosage , Time Factors , Vaccines/administration & dosage , Vaccines/adverse effects
6.
Eur J Cardiovasc Prev Rehabil ; 18(2): 175-85, 2011 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21450663

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We aimed to develop and validate a simple coronary heart disease (CHD) risk algorithm applicable to asymptomatic men and women in France, and to compare its accuracy with that of the last published version of the Framingham risk function for cardiovascular disease. DESIGN: A pooled analysis of four French prospective general-population studies. METHODS: The baseline and follow-up data from D.E.S.I.R., PRIME, Three City, and SU.VI.MAX studies were used. The 10-year CHD risk was estimated by the Cox proportional hazards model with candidate variables including age, gender, body mass index, waist circumference, family history of coronary heart disease, smoking status, diabetes status, systolic blood pressure, and total and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. RESULTS: The study population included 22,256 subjects (61.4% men) aged (SD) 56.0 years (8.3) without a personal history of CHD at baseline. After a mean follow-up of 8.0 years (2.3), 788 first CHD events occurred, 726 in men and 62 in women. The final model included age, gender, age × gender interaction, current smoking status, diabetes status, systolic blood pressure, total and HDL cholesterol. Using this model, the number of predicted coronary events fitted that given by the 10-year Kaplan-Meier survival estimates within each decile of estimated risk (calibration). This model had fair discrimination: Harrell C-index, 0.7831 (95% CI: 0.7704-0.7957). For comparison, the recalibrated Framingham risk function had equivalent performances compared to the French risk equation. CONCLUSION: Our 10-year French CHD risk equation based on traditional risk factors performed at least as well as the recalibrated Framingham cardiovascular disease risk function.


Subject(s)
Coronary Disease/etiology , Aged , Algorithms , Asymptomatic Diseases , Coronary Disease/mortality , Disease Progression , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Kaplan-Meier Estimate , Male , Middle Aged , Multicenter Studies as Topic , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Reproducibility of Results , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors
7.
Br J Educ Psychol ; 78(Pt 1): 127-47, 2008 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17535517

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The behavioural and academic performance of young children with teachers' reported hyperactivity, conduct problems or inattention is under debate. AIM: This study investigates the associations between teachers' reported behavioural difficulties and academic and cognitive performances in two large samples of preschool and school children in France. SAMPLES AND METHOD: Behavioural data relating to two large samples of preschool (N=475) and first grade (N=465) children were collected from their teachers by means of a questionnaire. A factorial analysis of the questionnaire revealed a four-factor structure ('hyperactivity', 'inattention', 'conduct problems' and 'unsociability') that was similar in both age groups. Cognitive tests were used for each age group. RESULTS: Teachers' reporting of 'inattention' was associated with significantly lower performances in all tests in both the preschool and first grade samples. 'Hyperactivity' or 'conduct problems' were not consistently associated with the test results, when the effect of 'inattention' was taken into account. Preschool 'inattention', but not 'hyperactivity' or 'conduct/sociability problems', was related to poor performances at reading tasks in first grade. CONCLUSION: These findings question the pathological significance of teachers' report of 'hyperactivity' in young children without associated attention problems.


Subject(s)
Achievement , Child Behavior Disorders , Cognition , Faculty , Mandatory Reporting , Child , Child, Preschool , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Surveys and Questionnaires
8.
Child Neuropsychol ; 14(3): 227-36, 2008 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17852121

ABSTRACT

We have investigated the relation between haptico-visual recognition of objects and cognitive tasks in two large samples of preschoolers (n = 534; n = 750). Children aged 6 years completed a cross-modal task in which they have first to haptically explore an object and second to visually recognize it; they also performed phonological, verbal semantic, and visual tasks. For two consecutive years, bimanual haptico-visual recognition was significantly correlated to performance at all the cognitive tasks. The meaning of this relationship is discussed. The study supports the view that haptico-visual recognition tasks should be used as screening tools for early identification of children at risk of learning difficulties.


Subject(s)
Cognition/physiology , Functional Laterality/physiology , Learning/physiology , Pattern Recognition, Physiological/physiology , Child , Child Behavior/psychology , Child, Preschool , Discrimination Learning/physiology , Female , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Pattern Recognition, Visual/physiology , Phonetics , Semantics , Stereognosis/physiology , Task Performance and Analysis , Verbal Behavior/physiology
9.
Brain Cogn ; 58(2): 217-25, 2005 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15919554

ABSTRACT

Phonological awareness is strongly related to reading ability, but reports are more conflicting concerning the association of high level oculomotor skills with reading. Here, we show that phonological awareness is specifically associated with the ability to perform smooth pursuit eye movements in preschool children. Two large independent samples of preschool children (n=838 and n=732) aged 5-6.4 years, without history of neurological disorder, were examined by school medical doctors for visual and oculomotor problems. Nineteen percent of the children in the first sample and 14% in the second failed at the clinical evaluation of smooth pursuit eye movements, and 17 and 15%, respectively, presented another visual or oculomotor problem. Ten short cognitive tests were performed by the same children. Visual and oculomotor problems other than a failure on smooth pursuit were not consistently related to the cognitive tasks, with one exception, the visual recognition of letters. Children who failed at smooth pursuit obtained lower scores at a number of cognitive tasks, and especially phonological awareness tasks and copy of visually presented trajectories. Poor working memory and/or failure of anticipation during the tracking of a visual or auditory stimulus related to frontal cortex immaturity may explain these associations in preschool children.


Subject(s)
Awareness , Phonetics , Saccades/physiology , Child , Child, Preschool , Cognition , Female , Fixation, Ocular/physiology , Frontal Lobe/physiology , Humans , Male , Memory/physiology , Neuropsychological Tests , Speech Perception/physiology , Visual Perception/physiology
11.
Ann Hum Genet ; 68(Pt 2): 165-77, 2004 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15008795

ABSTRACT

It is now widely accepted that haplotypic information can be of great interest for investigating the role of a candidate gene in the etiology of complex diseases. In the absence of family data, haplotypes cannot be deduced from genotypes, except for individuals who are homozygous at all loci or heterozygous at only one site. Statistical methodologies are therefore required for inferring haplotypes from genotypic data and testing their association with a phenotype of interest. Two maximum likelihood algorithms are often used in the context of haplotype-based association studies, the Newton-Raphson (NR) and the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithms. In order to circumvent the limitations of both algorithms, including convergence to local minima and saddle points, we here described how a stochastic version of the EM algorithm, referred to as SEM, could be used for testing haplotype-phenotype association. Statistical properties of the SEM algorithm were investigated through a simulation study for a large range of practical situations, including small/large samples and rare/frequent haplotypes, and results were compared to those obtained by use of the standard NR algorithm. Our simulation study indicated that the SEM algorithm provides results similar to those of the NR algorithm, making the SEM algorithm of great interest for haplotype-based association analysis, especially when the number of polymorphisms is quite large.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Haplotypes , Likelihood Functions , Polymorphism, Genetic , Humans , Models, Genetic , Models, Statistical , Stochastic Processes
12.
Ann Hum Genet ; 67(Pt 6): 504-11, 2003 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14641238

ABSTRACT

P-selectin and P-selectin glycoprotein ligand (SELPLG, selectin P ligand) constitute a receptor/ligand complex that is likely to be involved in the development of atherosclerosis and its complications. While the genetic variability of P-selectin has already been investigated in depth, that of the SELPLG gene has not yet been extensively explored. The coding and regulatory sequences of the SELPLG were screened and nine polymorphisms were identified. The identified polymorphisms were genotyped in the AtheroGene study, a case-control study of coronary artery disease (CAD). Haplotype analysis revealed that two polymorphisms of SELPLG, the M62I and the VNTR, independently influenced plasma SELPLG levels. Conversely, haplotypes of SELPLG were not associated with CAD risk.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Disease/genetics , Membrane Glycoproteins/genetics , Polymorphism, Genetic , Adult , Cholesterol/blood , Coronary Artery Disease/blood , Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay , Female , Gene Frequency , Haplotypes/genetics , Humans , Ligands , Male , Membrane Glycoproteins/blood , P-Selectin/metabolism , Polymerase Chain Reaction , Polymorphism, Single-Stranded Conformational , Triglycerides/blood
13.
Circulation ; 103(10): 1428-33, 2001 Mar 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11245648

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: beta-Blockade-induced benefit in heart failure (HF) could be related to baseline heart rate and treatment-induced heart rate reduction, but no such relationships have been demonstrated. METHODS AND RESULTS: In CIBIS II, we studied the relationships between baseline heart rate (BHR), heart rate changes at 2 months (HRC), nature of cardiac rhythm (sinus rhythm or atrial fibrillation), and outcomes (mortality and hospitalization for HF). Multivariate analysis of CIBIS II showed that in addition to beta-blocker treatment, BHR and HRC were both significantly related to survival and hospitalization for worsening HF, the lowest BHR and the greatest HRC being associated with best survival and reduction of hospital admissions. No interaction between the 3 variables was observed, meaning that on one hand, HRC-related improvement in survival was similar at all levels of BHR, and on the other hand, bisoprolol-induced benefit over placebo for survival was observed to a similar extent at any level of both BHR and HRC. Bisoprolol reduced mortality in patients with sinus rhythm (relative risk 0.58, P:<0.001) but not in patients with atrial fibrillation (relative risk 1.16, P:=NS). A similar result was observed for cardiovascular mortality and hospitalization for HF worsening. CONCLUSIONS: BHR and HRC are significantly related to prognosis in heart failure. beta-Blockade with bisoprolol further improves survival at any level of BHR and HRC and to a similar extent. The benefit of bisoprolol is questionable, however, in patients with atrial fibrillation.


Subject(s)
Bisoprolol/therapeutic use , Heart Diseases/drug therapy , Heart Rate/drug effects , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/pharmacology , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Bisoprolol/pharmacology , Blood Pressure/drug effects , Chronic Disease , Female , Heart Diseases/mortality , Heart Diseases/physiopathology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mortality , Multivariate Analysis , Survival Rate , Time Factors
14.
Stat Med ; 19(24): 3465-82, 2000 Dec 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11122508

ABSTRACT

Nosocomial (hospital-acquired) infections are very frequent in intensive care units (ICU). The risk of death after severe infection is high, but the precise rate of death in ICU attributable to nosocomial infection is not known. The goal of this project was to build a statistical model to predict the occurrence of nosocomial infections in ICU and the outcome of the patients. We collected data on 676 consecutive patients admitted to an ICU for more than 24 hours between 1993 and 1996. The following data were collected for each patient: history; clinical examination at entry; subsequent infections; outcome. A multi-state heterogeneous semi-Markov model was determined and then validated; the initial data set was randomly split into two groups: two-thirds (450 patients) to build the model and one-third (226 patients) to validate it. The model defined five states: ICU admission; first simple infection; first complicated infection; death, and discharge from the ICU. Transitions between these states determined nine different events. The global model of patient histories can be divided into nine survival models, each corresponding to one of these events. The possible events from a given state were considered to be competing. Since many risk factors induced non-proportional hazard functions, piecewise exponential models were used to model event occurrence. The effect of continuous covariates on hazard functions has been described with a non-parametric method that enables non-linear relations to be shown. Among other things, the model allows patients' post-admission histories to be predicted from data available at ICU admission. The bootstrap estimator of the attributable risk of death due to simple or complicated nosocomial infections is 44.2 percent (95 percent CI 26.0-61.6 percent). We were also able to characterize the most highly exposed patients, those who comprise the high-risk group on whom prevention efforts must be focused.


Subject(s)
Cross Infection/mortality , Intensive Care Units , Markov Chains , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Factors , Survival Analysis
15.
Antimicrob Agents Chemother ; 44(11): 3133-6, 2000 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11036036

ABSTRACT

In vitro activities of 17 antibiotics against 53 clinical strains of Mycobacterium marinum, an atypical mycobacterium responsible for cutaneous infections, were determined using the reference agar dilution method. Rifampin and rifabutin were the most active drugs (MICs at which 90% of the isolates tested were inhibited [MIC(90)s], 0.5 and 0.6 microgram/ml, respectively). MICs of minocycline (MIC(90), 4 microgram/ml), doxycycline (MIC(90), 16 microgram/ml), clarithromycin (MIC(90), 4 microgram/ml), sparfloxacin (MIC(90), 2 microgram/ml), moxifloxacin (MIC(90), 1 microgram/ml), imipenem (MIC(90), 8 microgram/ml), sulfamethoxazole (MIC(90), 8 microgram/ml) and amikacin (MIC(90), 4 microgram/ml) were close to the susceptibility breakpoints. MICs of isoniazid, ethambutol, trimethoprim, azithromycin, ciprofloxacin, ofloxacin, and levofloxacin were above the concentrations usually obtained in vivo. For each drug, the MIC(50), geometric mean MIC, and modal MIC were very close, showing that all the strains had a similar susceptibility pattern. Percent agreement (within +/-1 log(2) dilution) between MICs yielded by the Etest method and by the agar dilution method used as reference were 83, 59, 43, and 24% for minocycline, rifampin, clarithromycin, and sparfloxacin, respectively. Reproducibility with the Etest was low, in contrast to that with the agar dilution method. In conclusion, M. marinum is a naturally multidrug-resistant species for which the agar dilution method is more accurate than the Etest for antibiotic susceptibility testing.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/pharmacology , Mycobacterium marinum/drug effects , Colony Count, Microbial , Humans , Microbial Sensitivity Tests/methods
16.
Hepatology ; 30(1): 84-9, 1999 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10385643

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to assess the factors, including surgical portosystemic shunts, which affect survival in adults with Budd-Chiari syndrome. Multivariate retrospective analysis was performed using characteristics recorded at the time of diagnosis in 120 patients admitted from 1970 to 1992, of whom 82 were treated with surgical portosystemic shunts and 38 received only medical therapy. The 1-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates were 77 +/- 4%, 64 +/- 5%, and 57 +/- 6%, respectively. Survival was significantly better in the subgroup of patients diagnosed after versus before 1985. In both subgroups, and in patients with, as well as in patients without surgical shunts, 4 factors were found to be inversely and independently related to survival: age, response of ascites to diuretics, Pugh score, and serum creatinine. In patients diagnosed since 1985, an index combining these 4 factors allowed to differentiate patients with a good outcome (5-year survival 95%) from those with a poor outcome (5-year survival 62%; P <.05). There was no statistically significant and independent influence of surgical portosystemic shunts on survival. In conclusion, age, severity of liver failure, and presence of refractory ascites are the main prognostic factors in Budd-Chiari syndrome. Increased survival in recent years is consistent with improved management of hypercoagulable states as well as improved general care. It is uncertain whether surgical portosystemic shunting favorably modifies survival. Therefore, we recommend that surgical shunting should be restricted to management of refractory ascites or variceal bleeding in patients with otherwise good prognostic factors.


Subject(s)
Budd-Chiari Syndrome/therapy , Portasystemic Shunt, Surgical , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Alanine Transaminase/blood , Alkaline Phosphatase/blood , Ascites , Aspartate Aminotransferases/blood , Budd-Chiari Syndrome/mortality , Budd-Chiari Syndrome/physiopathology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Liver Function Tests , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Platelet Count , Proportional Hazards Models , Prothrombin Time , Retrospective Studies , Survival Analysis , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome , gamma-Glutamyltransferase/blood
17.
Circulation ; 96(7): 2197-205, 1997 Oct 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9337190

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: To further evaluate the mechanism of beta-blocker-induced benefits in heart failure, the relationships between bisoprolol-induced hemodynamic effects and survival were studied during the Cardiac Insufficiency BIsoprolol Study (CIBIS). METHODS AND RESULTS: In 557 patients studied, bisoprolol significantly reduced heart rate (-16.3+/-15.3 versus -1.6+/-13.4 bpm, respectively; P<.001) compared with placebo at 2 months after inclusion in the study. Heart rate change over time had the highest predictive value for survival (P<.01). Left ventricular fractional shortening (LVFS) significantly increased in the bisoprolol group compared with the placebo group 5 months after inclusion (+0.04+/-0.06 versus -0.001+/-0.05, respectively; P<.001; n=160). LVFS change over time was also significantly correlated with further survival (P<.02 by Cox analysis). Using a nonparametric approach, we demonstrated a significant interaction between study treatment group and LVFS over time. Patients who demonstrated improvement of LVFS over time (82% and 51% of patients in the bisoprolol and the placebo groups, respectively; P<.02) were at lower risk, but the hazard did not further decrease with a further increase of fractional shortening, and there was no significant difference between study treatment groups. Finally, it could be demonstrated that each of the three factors (heart rate change over time, LVFS change over time, and bisoprolol treatment) made a specific contribution to mortality rate. CONCLUSIONS: Preservation of left ventricular function appears to play a key role in the bisoprolol-induced beneficial effects on prognosis in heart failure. Short-term beta-blocker-induced cardiac effects could provide a means to identify those patients who will experience improved survival over the long term.


Subject(s)
Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/therapeutic use , Bisoprolol/therapeutic use , Heart Failure/drug therapy , Heart Failure/physiopathology , Hemodynamics/drug effects , Adrenergic beta-Antagonists/pharmacology , Analysis of Variance , Bisoprolol/pharmacology , Blood Pressure/drug effects , Double-Blind Method , Europe , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Heart Failure/mortality , Heart Rate/drug effects , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Placebos , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Statistics, Nonparametric , Survival Rate , Time Factors , Ventricular Function, Left/drug effects
18.
Eur Heart J ; 18(2): 254-8, 1997 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9043842

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Endothelin-1 is a potent vasoconstrictive and multifunctional peptide. Elevated concentrations have been reported in congestive heart failure. We hypothesized that the level of endothelin-1 in plasma is a prognostic marker in congestive heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Plasma levels of endothelin-1 were measured by radioimmunoassay in 120 congestive heart failure patients with ischaemic or non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy (mean ejection fraction 28 +/- 11%, in New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class I:21, class II 35, class III: 61, class IV: 3). During a median follow-up of 361 +/- 338 days, 14 cardiac deaths occurred. In the univariate Cox model, endothelin-1 was the most powerful prognostic marker among the variables tested (P = 0.0001). A multivariate model, including plasma atrial natriuretic peptide and noradrenaline, NYHA class, age, and echocardiographic left ventricular end-diastolic diameter index was highly predictive of mortality (P = 0.00008), but only endothelin-1 remained significantly associated with outcome (P = 0.02). Patients with plasma endothelin-1 > or = 5 pg. ml-1 had a higher mortality rate than those with endothelin-1 < 5 pg. ml-1 (21% vs 4%, P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that elevated endothelin-1 plasma levels are associated with a poor prognosis and routine plasma endothelin-1 determination provides important prognostic information in mild to moderate heart failure.


Subject(s)
Endothelin-1/blood , Heart Failure/blood , Atrial Natriuretic Factor/blood , Biomarkers/blood , Chronic Disease , Death , Echocardiography , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Heart Failure/diagnostic imaging , Heart Failure/mortality , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Norepinephrine/blood , Prognosis , Radioimmunoassay , Survival Rate
19.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 10(11): 965-70, 1996.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8971508

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Elastic arteries were found to be less prone to intimal hyperplasia than muscular arteries. The internal mammary artery (IMA), which is elastic in its proximal segment, presents a gradual decrease of media elastic fibers along its downstream course. Metabolic and morphometric studies of the distal end of the IMA with regard to its local susceptibility to develop intimal changes were undertaken in order to evaluate the reliability of its use as an anastomotic site for bypass grafting. METHODS: Twenty distal segments of IMA were harvested from patients who had undergone myocardial revascularization. Histologic, enzyme-histochemical and morphometric studies were undertaken on these arterial segments. RESULTS: Histologic examinations indicated an elastomuscular structure in 13 patients, a muscular structure in 6 and an elastic structure in 1. Of the 20 IMAs, none was found to have intimal thickening of greater than 25% of the diameter of the lumen. The enzyme-histochemical profile of the proliferating cells found in the intimal thickening differed from normal contractile smooth muscle medial cells in the loss of myosin and mitochondrial ATPase, plasma membrane 5' nucleotidase, moderately decreased aerobic dehydrogenase and increased lactate dehydrogenase activity and ribonucleoprotein-linked pyroninophilia. Lysosomal beta-glucuronidase and sulfatase were strongly active. This enzyme behavior is unfavorable to contractile function and favorable to cell proliferation and lipid accumulation, two events strongly involved in the atherogenic process. CONCLUSION: Intimal proliferative changes were observed in the distal segment of the IMA. Although there was no histologic evidence of atherosclerotic plaque, the enzyme-histochemical profile of this intimal thickening was favorable to cell proliferation and lipid accumulation. These findings suggest that it may be beneficial to avoid coronary anastomoses with the distal end of the IMA and to use a more proximal/elastic segment.


Subject(s)
Internal Mammary-Coronary Artery Anastomosis , Mammary Arteries/enzymology , Mammary Arteries/pathology , 5'-Nucleotidase/analysis , Arylsulfatases/analysis , Ca(2+) Mg(2+)-ATPase/analysis , Calcium-Transporting ATPases/analysis , Coronary Disease/enzymology , Coronary Disease/pathology , Dihydrolipoamide Dehydrogenase/analysis , Female , Glucosephosphate Dehydrogenase/analysis , Glucuronidase/analysis , Histocytochemistry , Humans , L-Lactate Dehydrogenase/analysis , Malate Dehydrogenase/analysis , Male , Middle Aged , Muscle, Smooth, Vascular/enzymology , Muscle, Smooth, Vascular/pathology , NADPH Dehydrogenase/analysis , Succinate Dehydrogenase/analysis
20.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 152(5 Pt 1): 1611-5, 1995 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7582303

ABSTRACT

The feasibility of spirometry or respiratory impedance measurements for assessing lung function in the elderly was compared in 208 institutionalized patients with various degrees of cognitive function impairment. Respiratory impedance was determined by the forced oscillation technique. Cognitive function was assessed by the score for the mini-mental state (MMS) examination. Of the 208 patients, 126 had severe cognitive impairment (MMS < or = 17), 36 had mild impairment (18 < or = MMS < or = 23), and 46 had no impairment (MMS > or = 24). Of the 208 patients, respiratory impedance measurements were possible in 159, whereas in only 85 was spirometry possible. The overall difference between the feasibility rates for the spirometric and respiratory impedance measurements was highly significant (chi 2 = 71.4; p < 10(-6)). The difference between the feasibility rates for the two techniques was higher in the group of subjects with severe cognitive impairment than in the groups with mild impairment and no impairment, respectively. Among the 84 patients able to complete both tests, significant correlations were found between the spirometric and respiratory impedance measurements. These results indicate that respiratory impedance measurement seems a more useful tool than spirometry for assessing lung function in elderly patients whenever cognitive function is impaired.


Subject(s)
Aging/physiology , Cognition/physiology , Lung/physiology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cognition Disorders/physiopathology , Confidence Intervals , Feasibility Studies , Female , Humans , Likelihood Functions , Logistic Models , Male , Psychological Tests/statistics & numerical data , Respiratory Function Tests/methods , Respiratory Function Tests/statistics & numerical data
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