Incremental cost of premature birth - a public health care payer perspective from Hungary.

BACKGROUND: Preterm birth remains a significant burden to families, health systems and societies. The aim was to quantify the incremental prematurity-related public health expenditure in Hungary and to estimate the potential impact of a decrease in the prevalence of prematurity on the public payer's spending. METHODS: Over a 6-year time horizon, public financing data of inpatient, outpatient and pharmaceutical care for children born at ≥ 25 weeks of gestation in 2009/2010 were retrieved from the Hungarian National Health Insurance Fund database. In descriptive analysis, the public payer's spending was given as cost/capita. The impact of a decrease in prematurity prevalence was specified as the total budget impact. An exchange rate of 294 Hungarian forint/Euro was applied. RESULTS: A total of 93,124 children (including 8.6% who were premature babies) were included in the analysis. A strong negative relationship was shown between gestational age and per capita cost. The 6-year cost of care for the cohort born at 26 weeks of gestation (28,470 Euro per capita) was 24 times higher than that for the cohort born at 40 weeks. First-year inpatient spending accounted for the largest proportion of total health care spending across all gestational ages. All investigated prematurity complications (retinopathy of prematurity, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, intraventricular cerebral bleeding and leukomalacia) resulted in additional significant incremental spending. If 70% of pregnancies ending with preterm birth could be prolonged by 1 week, the savings would be almost 7.0 million Euros in the first 6 years of life. CONCLUSION: This comprehensive analysis of prematurity-related health care spending confirmed that premature infants have much higher costs for care than those born at term in Hungary. These quantitative outcomes can provide essential inputs for the cost-effectiveness analysis of medical technologies and public health interventions that can decrease the prevalence of premature birth. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.

Heterogeneous impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on lung, colorectal and breast cancer incidence in Hungary: results from time series and panel data models.

OBJECTIVE: During the COVID-19 pandemic, health system resources were reallocated to provide care for patients with COVID-19, limiting access for others. Patients themselves also constrained their visits to healthcare providers. In this study, we analysed the heterogeneous effects of the pandemic on the new diagnoses of lung, colorectal and breast cancer in Hungary. DESIGN: Time series and panel models of quarterly administrative data, disaggregated by gender, age group and district of residence. PARTICIPANTS: Data for the whole population of Hungary between the first quarter of 2017 and the second quarter of 2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Number of patients newly diagnosed with lung, colorectal and breast cancer, defined as those who were hospitalised with the appropriate primary International Classification of Diseases Tenth Revision diagnosis code but had not had hospital encounters with such a code within the previous 5 years. RESULTS: The incidence of lung, colorectal and breast cancer decreased by 14.4% (95% CI 10.8% to 17.8%), 19.9% (95% CI 12.2% to 26.9%) and 15.5% (95% CI 2.5% to 27.0%), respectively, during the examined period of the pandemic, with different time patterns across cancer types. The incidence decreased more among people at least 65 years old than among the younger (p<0.05 for lung cancer and p<0.1 for colorectal cancer). At the district level, both the previously negative income gap in lung cancer incidence and the previously positive income gap in breast cancer incidence significantly narrowed during the pandemic (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The decline in new cancer diagnoses, caused by a combination of supply-side and demand-side factors, suggests that some cancer cases have remained hidden. It calls for action by policy makers to engage individuals with high risk of cancer more in accessing healthcare services, to diagnose the disease early and to prepare for effective management of patient pathways from diagnosis to survival or end-of-life care.

Effects of lower screening activity during the COVID-19 pandemic on breast cancer patient pathways: Evidence from the age cut-off of organized screening.

We examined the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the screening, diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer in Hungary based on administrative data until June 2021, covering three pandemic waves. After correcting for trend and seasonality, the number of mammography examinations decreased by 68% in 2020q2, was around its usual level in 2020q3 and was reduced by 20-35% throughout 2020q4-2021q2. The reduction was caused by a combination of supply-side (temporary suspensions of screening) and demand-side (lower screening participation during the pandemic waves) factors. The number of new breast cancer diagnoses and mastectomy surgeries responded with a lag, and were below their usual level by 15-30% in all quarters between 2020q2 and 2021q2, apart from 2020q4, when there was no significant difference. Using a regression discontinuity framework, we found that the partial mastectomy rate (indicative of early diagnosis) dropped more substantially in 2020q2 in the 61-65 years old age group that was just below the age cut-off of organized screening than in the 66-70 years old age group, and this difference was partially offset in 2021q1. We suggest that policymakers need to motivate the target population (by providing both information and incentives) to catch up on missed screenings.

Implementation of evidence-based health policy in the field of integrated care: A Ritka Betegségek Nemzeti Eroforrás Központjának tervezési folyamata / Bizonyítékokon alapuló egészségpolitikai döntéshozatal az integrált ellátásban: A Ritka Betegségek Nemzeti Eroforrás Központjának tervezési folyamata

Összefoglaló. Bevezetés: A ritka betegséggel élok ellátásában fontos elorelépések történtek az elmúlt években. Egy következo lépés lehetne hazánkban a Ritka Betegségek Nemzeti Eroforrás (Uni-Versum) Központjának (a továbbiakban: Központ) létrehozása, amely az egészségügyi, szociális és köznevelési szolgáltatásokat összehangolva és kiegészítve személyközpontú ellátást nyújtana a betegek és támogatóik részére. Célkituzés: Célunk az volt, hogy egy nemzetközi tudományos módszertan alapján javaslatokat tegyünk arra, hogy milyen eszközökkel lehet feloldani a Központ megvalósításának lehetséges korlátozó tényezoit. Módszer: A Központ megvalósíthatóságának értékelésére interdiszciplináris szakmai egyeztetést szerveztünk különbözo érintett érdekcsoportok részvételével, a SELFIE H2020 kutatási projekt által kidolgozott módszertan alapján. Az elozetesen rangsorolt legfontosabb korlátozó tényezokre lehetséges megoldási javaslatokat tettünk. Eredmények: A lehetséges korlátozó tényezoket a résztvevok relevánsnak tartották a Központ létrehozásával kapcsolatban, és ezekre összesen 17 olyan konkrét javaslat született, amelyben a résztvevok között egyetértés alakult ki. A javaslatok kiterjedtek az ellátás tartalmára, az alkalmazott technológiák támogató szerepére, a humáneroforrás-korlátok megoldására, a hatékony vezetés és szervezés kialakítására, az összetett finanszírozási struktúra kialakítására és a kutatási lehetoségek megteremtésére is. Megbeszélés: A Központ megvalósítása esetén a ritka betegséggel élok ellátása az egészségügyi, szociális és köznevelési tevékenységeket integráló megközelítés felé mozdulna el. A kutatás során megfogalmazott javaslatok hozzájárulhatnak a Központ létrehozásához, amennyiben megvan az ehhez szükséges szakpolitikai támogatás is. Ezen túlmutatóan, a leírt munkamódszer más integrált ellátási modellek bevezethetoségének elemzéséhez is mintaként szolgálhat. Következtetés: Összefoglalva megállapíthatjuk, hogy a Központ létrehozásához számos, elozetesen is látható korlátozó tényezot kell feloldani. Az érdekcsoportok közös javaslatai alapján kialakítható egy olyan muködési forma, amely az ellátórendszerek kiegészítésével és összehangolásával jelentos társadalmi értéktöbbletet eredményezhet. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(45): 1818-1825. INTRODUCTION: In Hungary, significant achievements have been made in the care of patients with rare diseases in recent years. A next step could be the establishment of the National Resource Centre for Rare Diseases (hereinafter: Centre) to facilitate patient-centered complex care by the integration and supplementation of existing health, social and educational services. OBJECTIVE: This research aimed to develop recommendations based on international scientific methodology to overcome potential implementation barriers of the aforementioned Centre. METHOD: To evaluate the feasibility of the implementation, we organized an interdisciplinary workshop with representatives of different stakeholder groups, adopting the methodology developed in the SELFIE H2020 research project. During the workshop, we discussed the previously ranked, most significant implementation barriers and made recommendations for potential solutions. RESULTS: The potential implementation barriers were considered relevant by the participants and, reflecting on these barriers, altogether 17 recommendations were developed by consensus. These recommendations were related to the content of service delivery, use of supportive technologies, overcoming workforce issues, establishing effective leadership, implementing a complex financing structure and creating research opportunities. DISCUSSION: Implementation of the Centre would shift the care of rare diseases towards personalized and integrated health, social and educational services. Our recommendations will contribute to the establishment of the Centre, subject to positive policy decision. Furthermore, our methodological approach could support the feasibility assessment of future integrated care solutions and programs. CONCLUSION: Several predictable barriers must be overcome to establish the Centre. Recommendations developed by representatives of relevant stakeholders could support successful implementation and societal value generation. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(45): 1818-1825.

Income gradient of pharmaceutical panic buying at the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.

We analyze the timing, magnitude, and income dependence of pharmaceutical panic buying around the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in Hungary. We use district-level monthly and daily administrative data on detailed categories of pharmaceutical purchases, merge them to income statistics, and estimate multilevel panel models. Our main results are as follows. First, the days of therapy (DOT) of pharmaceutical purchases increased by more than 30% in March 2020, when major lockdown measures were announced. This pattern holds for almost all categories of pharmaceuticals. Second, shortly after the panic reactions, the aggregate amount of pharmaceutical purchases returned to their preshock levels; however, the frequency of pharmacy visits decreased. Third, the panic buying reaction was significantly stronger in richer geographical areas, where-according to the daily data-people also reacted earlier to the pandemic-related news. Overall, the results suggest that panic buying of pharmaceuticals can have detrimental effects on vulnerable populations.

Early palliative care associated with lower costs for adults with advanced cancer: evidence from Hungary.

OBJECTIVE: Palliative Care Consult Service (PCCS) programme was established in Hungary to provide palliative care to hospitalised patients with complex needs and to coordinate integrated care across providers. The aim of this study was to measure the association of PCCS with healthcare costs from payer's perspective. METHODS: Study population consisted of patients with metastatic cancer, who were admitted to the Clinical Centre of the University of Pécs between 2014 and 2016. Patients who did not die within 180 days from enrolment were excluded. Patients receiving services from PCCS team (intervention patients) were compared to patients receiving usual care (controls). The two populations were matched using propensity scores. Data were obtained from electronic medical records linked to claims data. RESULTS: For patients who were involved in PCCS at least 60 days before their death, the costs of care outside the acute hospital were higher. However, this was offset by savings in hospital costs so that the total healthcare cost was significantly reduced (p = 0.034). The proportion of patients who died in the hospital was lower in the PCCS group compared to the usual care group (66% vs. 85%, p = 0.022). CONCLUSION: Timely initiation of palliative care for hospitalised patients is associated with cost savings for the healthcare system.

Primary and secondary clarithromycin resistance in Helicobacter pylori and mathematical modeling of the role of macrolides.

Clarithromycin is a macrolide antibiotic widely used for eradication of Helicobacter pylori infection, and thus resistance to this antibiotic is a major cause of treatment failure. Here, we present the results of a retrospective observational study of clarithromycin resistance (Cla-res) in 4744 H. pylori-infected patients from Central Hungary. We use immunohistochemistry and fluorescence in situ hybridization on fixed gastric tissue samples to determine H. pylori infection and to infer Cla-res status, respectively. We correlate this information with macrolide dispensing data for the same patients (available through a prescription database) and develop a mathematical model of the population dynamics of Cla-res H. pylori infections. Cla-res is found in 5.5% of macrolide-naive patients (primary Cla-res), with no significant sex difference. The model predicts that this primary Cla-res originates from transmission of resistant bacteria in 98.7% of cases, and derives from spontaneous mutations in the other 1.3%. We find an age-dependent preponderance of female patients among secondary (macrolide-exposed) clarithromycin-resistant infections, predominantly associated with prior use of macrolides for non-eradication purposes. Our results shed light into the sources of primary resistant cases, and indicate that the growth rate of Cla-res prevalence would likely decrease if macrolides were no longer used for purposes other than H. pylori eradication.

Modeling costs and benefits of the organized colorectal cancer screening programme and its potential future improvements in Hungary.

OBJECTIVE: The national population-based colorectal cancer screening programme in Hungary was initiated in December 2018. We aimed to evaluate the current programme and investigate the costs and benefits of potential future changes to overcome the low coverage of the target population. METHODS: We performed an economic evaluation from a healthcare payer perspective using an established micro-simulation model (Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon). We simulated costs and benefits of screening with fecal immunochemical test in the Hungarian population aged 50-100, investigating also the impact of potential future scenarios which were assumed to increase invitation coverage: improvement of the IT platform currently used by GPs or distributing the tests through pharmacies instead of GPs. RESULTS: The model predicted that the current screening programme could lead to 6.2% colorectal cancer mortality reduction between 2018 and 2050 compared to no screening. Even higher reductions, up to 16.6%, were estimated when tests were distributed through pharmacies and higher coverage was assumed. This change in the programme was estimated to require up to 26 million performed fecal immunochemical tests and 1 million colonoscopies for the simulated period. These future scenarios have acceptable cost-benefit ratios of €8000-€8700 per life-years gained depending on the assumed adherence of invited individuals. CONCLUSIONS: With its limitations, the current colorectal cancer screening programme in Hungary will have a modest impact on colorectal cancer mortality. Significant improvements in mortality reduction could be made at acceptable costs, if the tests were to be distributed by pharmacies allowing the entire target population to be invited.

The territorial distribution of amputations in healthcare and social context in Hungary in 2016­2017. / [Az amputációk területi gyakorisága társadalmi és ellátórendszeri összefüggésben Magyarországon 2016-2017-ben].

Introduction and aim: Peripheral artery disease and lower extremity artery disease occur in 4 to 6% of the population. In Hungary, the number of major amputations was 6798 in the observed period. With timely and appropriate treatment, the number of leg amputations (30-day mortality: 20%, 2-year mortality: 40-60%) can be effectively reduced. The purpose of this study is to identify the territorial differences within Hungary with regard to the care pathways of these diseases. Method: We performed a retrospective data analysis of the peripheral vascular treatment using 2015-2017 claim data of the National Health Insurance Fund of Hungary. Territorial differences in mortality rates were examined by descriptive statistics. Correlation analysis was performed to describe any relationship between mortality rates and other factors. Results: The subregional level analysis (n = 175) revealed 4 times differences across the country proving that high domestic amputation rates are partially due to the extreme amputation rates in 30 percent of the subregions. Multiple stratified regression analysis revealed that the proportion of districts where endovascular therapy is not available (n = 159), the university education level of the population (ß1 = -0.13, 95% CI: -0.18 to -0.09) and the proportion of those over 65 years of age (ß1 = 0.14, 95% CI: 0.03-0.24) were significantly associated with amputation rate. In districts with available endovascular therapy (n = 14), age distribution of population (ß1 = 0.7, 95% CI: 0.42-0.98) was associated with the frequency of amputations. Conclusion: Regional and social disparities in incidence, prevalence and mortality rates significantly vary greatly across Hungary, but also provider capacities (with relevant competencies) influence strongly the development and progression of the disease. Orv Hetil. 2020; 161(18): 744-755.

Therapeutic preferences and outcomes in newly diagnosed patients with Crohn's diseases in the biological era in Hungary: a nationwide study based on the National Health Insurance Fund database.

BACKGROUND: Accelerated treatment strategy, including tight disease control and early aggressive therapy with immunosuppressives (IS) and biological agents have become increasingly common in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The aim of the present study was to estimate the early treatment strategy and outcomes in newly diagnosed patients with Crohn's disease (CD) between 2004 and 2008 and 2009-2015 in the whole IBD population in Hungary based on the administrative database of the National Health Insurance Fund (OEP). METHODS: We used the administrative database of the OEP, the only nationwide state-owned health insurance provider in Hungary. Patients were identified through previously reported algorithms using the ICD-10 codes for CD in the out-, inpatient (medical, surgical) non-primary care records and drug prescription databases between 2004 and 2015. Patients were stratified according to the year of diagnosis and maximum treatment steps during the first 3 years after diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 6173 (male/female: 46.12%/53.87%) newly diagnosed CD patients with physician-diagnosed IBD were found in the period of 2004-2015. The use of 5-ASA and steroids remained common in the biological era, while immunosuppressives and biologicals were started earlier and became more frequent among patients diagnosed after 2009. The probability of biological therapy was 2.9%/6.4% and 8.4%/13.7% after 1 and 3 years in patients diagnosed in 2004-2008/2009-2015. The probability of hospitalization in the first 3 years after diagnosis was different before and after 2009, according to the maximal treatment step (overall 55.7%vs. 47.4% (p = 0.001), anti-TNF: 73%vs. 66.7% (p = 0.103), IS: 64.6% vs. 56.1% (p = 0.001), steroid: 44.2%vs. 36.8% (p < 0.007), 5-ASA: 32.6% vs. 26.7% p = 0.157)). In contrast, surgery rates were not significantly different in patients diagnosed before and after 2009 according to the maximum treatment step (overall 16.0%vs.15.3%(p = 0.672) anti-TNF 26.7%vs.27.2% (p = 0.993), IS: 24.1%vs22.2% (p = 0.565), steroid 8.1%vs.7.9% (p = 0.896), 5-ASA 10%vs. 11% (p = 0.816)). CONCLUSIONS: IS and biological exposure became more frequent, while hospitalization decreased and surgery remained low but constant during the observation period. Use of steroids and 5-ASA remained high after 2009. The association between the maximal treatment step and hospitalization/surgery rates suggests that maximal treatment step can be regarded as proxy severity marker in patients with IBD.

[Hungarian health resource allocation from the viewpoint of the English methodology]. / A magyar egészségügyi forráselosztás vizsgálata az angliai módszerrel.

INTRODUCTION AND AIM: This paper describes both the English health resource allocation and the attempt of its Hungarian adaptation. METHOD: We describe calculations for a Hungarian regression model using the English 'weighted capitation formula'. RESULTS: The model has proven statistically correct. New independent variables and homogenous regional units have to be found for Hungary. CONCLUSION: The English method can be used with adequate variables. Hungarian patient-level health data can support a much more sophisticated model. Further research activities are needed. Orv Hetil. 2018; 159(5): 183-191.

Long-term costs and survival of prostate cancer: a population-based study.

PURPOSE: There is a rising interest in measuring the societal burden of malignancies including prostate cancer. However, population-based studies reporting incidence costs of prostate cancer in the long term are lacking in Europe. The objectives of the study are to analyse the long-term costs and survival of prostate cancer patients treated by radical prostatectomy (RP) or conservative management (nRP). METHODS: A retrospective claims data analysis of the National Health Insurance Found Administration of Hungary between 01.01.2002 and 31.10.2013 was carried out. Annual incidence costs related to prostate cancer and overall survival were calculated for a cohort of patients diagnosed between 2002 and 2005. RESULTS: Altogether 17,642 patients were selected; 2185 (12%) of them have undergone RP. The annual incidence rate ranged between 4177 and 4736 cases. Mean age of RP and nRP patients was 59.4 (SD 5.9) and 71.0 (8.4) years, respectively. The mean survival time of the RP patients was significantly longer compared to nRP patients both in the total sample (11.2 vs. 7.4 years; p < 0.001) and in the subgroup <70 years (11.3 vs. 8.8 years; p < 0.001). At the end of the 12-year follow-up, RP patients had a higher (0.83 vs. 0.68), while nRP patients had a slightly lower (0.35 vs. 38) probability of being alive compared with the age-matched general male population. The long-term cumulative costs of the RP and nRP patients amounted to €4448 and €8616. The main driver of the cost difference was the high drug costs in the nRP group. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this study applied the longest time-window in reporting population-based incidence costs in Europe. We found that not only RP patients lived longer but they had significantly lower total long-term costs than nRP patients. Therefore, radical prostatectomy is a cost-effective strategy in prostate cancer.

Nationwide prevalence and drug treatment practices of inflammatory bowel diseases in Hungary: A population-based study based on the National Health Insurance Fund database.

BACKGROUND: Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) are chronic inflammatory diseases associated with a substantial healthcare utilization. AIM: Our aim was to estimate the national prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), CD and UC and to describe current drug treatment practices in CD and UC. METHODS: Patients and drug dispensing events were identified according to international classification codes for UC and CD in in-patient care, non-primary out-patient care and drug prescription databases (2011-2013) of the National Health Insurance Fund. RESULTS: A total of 55,039 individuals (men: 44.6%) with physician-diagnosed IBD were alive in Hungary in 2013, corresponding to a prevalence of 0.55% (95% CI, 0.55-0.56). The prevalence of CD 0.20% (95% CI, 0.19-0.20), and UC was 0.34% (95% CI, 0.33-0.34). The prevalence both in men and women was the highest in the 20-39 year-olds in CD. Current use of immunosuppressives and biological therapy was highest in the pediatric CD population (44% and 15%) followed by adult CD (33% and 9%), while their use was lowest in elderly patients. Interestingly, current use of 5-ASA (5-aminosalicylates) was high in both UC and CD irrespective of the age group. CONCLUSIONS: The Hungarian IBD prevalence based on nationwide database of the National Health Insurance Fund was high. We identified significant differences in the drug prescription practices according to age-groups.