Identification and outcomes of KDIGO-defined chronic kidney disease in 1.4 million U.S. Veterans with heart failure.

AIMS: According to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guideline, the definition of chronic kidney disease (CKD) requires the presence of abnormal kidney structure or function for >3 months with implications for health. CKD in patients with heart failure (HF) has not been defined using this definition, and less is known about the true health implications of CKD in these patients. The objective of the current study was to identify patients with HF who met KDIGO criteria for CKD and examine their outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of the 1 419 729 Veterans with HF not receiving kidney replacement therapy, 828 744 had data on ≥2 ambulatory serum creatinine >90 days apart. CKD was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (n = 185 821) or urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) >30 mg/g (n = 32 730) present twice >3 months apart. Normal kidney function (NKF) was defined as eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2, present for >3 months, without any uACR >30 mg/g (n = 365 963). Patients with eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 were categorized into four stages: 45-59 (n = 72 606), 30-44 (n = 74 812), 15-29 (n = 32 077), and <15 (n = 6326) ml/min/1.73 m2. Five-year all-cause mortality occurred in 40.4%, 57.8%, 65.6%, 73.3%, 69.7%, and 47.5% of patients with NKF, four eGFR stages, and uACR >30mg/g (albuminuria), respectively. Compared with NKF, hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence intervals [CI]) for all-cause mortality associated with the four eGFR stages and albuminuria were 1.63 (1.62-1.65), 2.00 (1.98-2.02), 2.49 (2.45-2.52), 2.28 (2.21-2.35), and 1.22 (1.20-1.24), respectively. Respective age-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 1.13 (1.12-1.14), 1.36 (1.34-1.37), 1.87 (1.84-1.89), 2.24 (2.18-2.31) and 1.19 (1.17-1.21), and multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 1.11 (1.10-1.12), 1.24 (1.22-1.25), 1.46 (1.43-1.48), 1.42 (1.38-1.47), and 1.13 (1.11-1.16). Similar patterns were observed for associations with hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: Data needed to define CKD using KDIGO criteria were available in six out of ten patients, and CKD could be defined in seven out of ten patients with data. HF patients with KDIGO-defined CKD had higher risks for poor outcomes, most of which was not explained by abnormal kidney structure or function. Future studies need to examine whether CKD defined using a single eGFR is characteristically and prognostically different from CKD defined using KDIGO criteria.

Long-Term Mortality Risk According to Cardiorespiratory Fitness in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery.

The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and long-term survival in United States (US) Veterans undergoing CABG. We identified 14,550 US Veterans who underwent CABG at least six months after completing a symptom-limited exercise treadmill test (ETT) with no evidence of cardiovascular disease. During a mean follow-up period of 10.0 ± 5.4 years, 6502 (43.0%) died. To assess the association between CRF and risk of mortality, we formed the following five fitness categories based on peak workload achieved (metabolic equivalents or METs) prior to CABG: Least-Fit (4.3 ± 1.0 METs (n = 4722)), Low-Fit (6.8 ± 0.9 METs (n = 3788)), Moderate-Fit (8.3 ± 1.1 METs (n = 2608)), Fit (10.2 ± 0.8 METs (n = 2613)), and High-Fit (13.0 ± 1.5 METs (n = 819)). Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate risk across CRF categories. The models were adjusted for age, body mass index, race, cardiovascular disease, percutaneous coronary intervention prior to ETT, cardiovascular medications, and cardiovascular disease risk factors. P-values < 0.05 using two-sided tests were considered statistically significant. The association between cardiorespiratory fitness and mortality was inverse and graded. For every 1-MET increase in exercise capacity, the mortality risk was 11% lower (HR = 0.89; CI: 0.88-0.90; p < 0.001). When compared to the Least-Fit category (referent), mortality risk was 22% lower in Low-Fit individuals (HR = 0.78; CI: 0.73-0.82; p < 0.001), 31% lower in Moderate-Fit individuals (HR = 0.69; CI: 0.64-0.74; p < 0.001), 52% lower in Fit individuals (HR = 0.48; CI: 0.44-0.52; p < 0.001), and 66% lower in High-Fit individuals (HR = 0.34; CI: 0.29-0.40; p < 0.001). Cardiorespiratory fitness is inversely and independently associated with long-term mortality after CABG in Veterans referred for exercise testing.

The Association between Cardiorespiratory Fitness and the Risk of Breast Cancer in Women.

INTRODUCTION: Studies have shown an inverse association between the risk of breast cancer in women and physical activity. However, information on the association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) assessed objectively by a standardized test and the risk of developing breast cancer is limited. PURPOSE: To examine the CRF-breast cancer risk association in healthy females. METHODS: This retrospective study was derived from the Exercise Testing and Health Outcomes Study cohort ( n = 750,302). Female participants ( n = 44,463; mean age ± SD; 55.1 ± 8.9 yr) who completed an exercise treadmill test evaluation (Bruce protocol) at the Veterans Affairs Medical Centers nationwide from 1999 to 2020 were studied. The cohort was stratified into four age-specific CRF categories (Least-fit, Low-fit, Moderate-fit, and Fit), based on the peak METs achieved during the exercise treadmill test. RESULTS: During 438,613 person-years of observation, 994 women developed breast cancer. After controlling for covariates, the risk of breast cancer was inversely related to exercise capacity. For each 1-MET increase in CRF, the risk of cancer was 7% lower (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.95; P < 0.001). When risk was assessed across CRF categories with the Least-fit group as the referent, the risk was 18% lower for Low-fit women (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.70-0.96; P = 0.013), 31% for Moderate-fit (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.58-0.82; P < 0.001), and 40% for Fit (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.47-0.75; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We observed an inverse and graded association between CRF and breast cancer risk in women. Thus, encouraging women to improve CRF may help attenuate the risk of developing breast cancer.

Progression to Insulin Therapy in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes According to Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Body Mass Index, and Statin Therapy.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between statin therapy, cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF), body mass index (BMI), and progression to insulin therapy in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: Participants were patients with T2DM (mean age, 62.7±8.4 years; men, 178,992; women, 8360) not treated with insulin, with no evidence of uncontrolled cardiovascular disease, who completed an exercise treadmill test between October 1, 1999, and September 3, 2020. Of these, 158,578 were treated with statins and 28,774 were not. We established 5 age-specific CRF categories according to peak metabolic equivalents of task achieved during an exercise treadmill test. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 9.0 years, 51,182 patients progressed to insulin therapy with an average annual incidence rate of 28.4 events/1000 person-years. The adjusted progression rate was 27% higher in statin-treated patients (hazard ratio [HR], 1.27; 95% CI, 1.24 to 1.31), related directly to BMI and inversely related to CRF. A progressively higher rate was noted in statin-treated vs non-statin-treated patients within all BMI categories, ranging from 23% for normal weight to 90% for those with BMI of 35 kg/m2 and higher. The statin-CRF interaction revealed 43% higher rate in the least-fit statin-treated patients (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.35 to 1.51) and a progressive decline with increased CRF to 30% lower risk in highly fit statin-treated patients (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.75). CONCLUSION: In patients with T2DM, the statin-related progression to insulin therapy was associated with relatively low CRF and high BMI levels. The progression rate was mitigated by increased CRF regardless of BMI. Clinicians should foster regular exercise for patients with T2DM to enhance CRF and to lessen the rate of progression to insulin therapy.

Cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

AIMS: Preventive strategies for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) include pharmacotherapies and lifestyle modifications. However, the association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) assessed objectively by a standardized exercise treadmill test (ETT) and the risk of HFpEF has not been evaluated. Thus, we evaluated the association between CRF and HFpEF incidence. METHODS AND RESULTS: We assessed CRF in US Veterans (624 551 men; mean age 61.2 ± 9.7 years and 43 179 women; mean age 55.0 ± 8.9 years) by a standardized ETT performed between 1999 and 2020 across US Veterans Affairs Medical Centers. All had no evidence of heart failure or myocardial infarction prior to completion of the ETT. We assigned participants to one of five age- and gender-specific CRF categories (quintiles) based on peak metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved during the ETT and four categories based on CRF changes in those with two ETT evaluations (n = 139 434) ≥1.0 year apart. During a median follow-up of 10.1 years (interquartile range 6.0-14.3 years), providing 6 879 229 person-years, there were 16 493 HFpEF events with an average annual rate of 2.4 events per 1000 person-years. The adjusted risk of HFpEF decreased across CRF categories as CRF increased, independent of comorbidities. For fit individuals (≥10.5 METs) the hazard ratio (HR) was 0.48 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.46-0.51) compared with least fit (≤4.9 METs; referent). Being unfit carried the highest risk (HR 2.88, 95% CI 2.67-3.11) of any other comorbidity. The risk of unfit individuals who became fit was 37% lower (HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.57-0.71), compared to those who remained unfit. CONCLUSIONS: Higher CRF levels are independently associated with lower HFpEF in a dose-response manner. Changes in CRF reflected proportional changes in HFpEF risk, suggesting that the HFpEF risk was modulated by CRF.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Provision of Dialysis Service and Mortality in Veterans Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis in the VA: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: According to the US Renal Data System (USRDS), patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) on maintenance dialysis had higher mortality during early COVID-19 pandemic. Less is known about the effect of the pandemic on the delivery of outpatient maintenance hemodialysis and its impact on death. We examined the effect of pandemic-related disruption on the delivery of dialysis treatment and mortality in patients with ESKD receiving maintenance hemodialysis in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) facilities, the largest integrated national healthcare system in the USA. METHODS: Using national VHA electronic health records data, we identified 7,302 Veterans with ESKD who received outpatient maintenance hemodialysis in VHA healthcare facilities during the COVID-19 pandemic (February 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021). We estimated the average change in the number of hemodialysis treatments received and deaths per 1,000 patients per month during the pandemic by conducting interrupted time-series analyses. We used seasonal autoregressive moving average (SARMA) models, in which February 2020 was used as the conditional intercept and months thereafter as conditional slope. The models were adjusted for seasonal variations and trends in rates during the pre-pandemic period (January 1, 2007, to January 31, 2020). RESULTS: The number (95% CI) of hemodialysis treatments received per 1,000 patients per month during the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods were 12,670 (12,525-12,796) and 12,865 (12,729-13,002), respectively. Respective all-cause mortality rates (95% CI) were 17.1 (16.7-17.5) and 19.6 (18.5-20.7) per 1,000 patients per month. Findings from SARMA models demonstrate that there was no reduction in the dialysis treatments delivered during the pandemic (rate ratio: 0.999; 95% CI: 0.998-1.001), but there was a 2.3% (95% CI: 1.5-3.1%) increase in mortality. During the pandemic, the non-COVID hospitalization rate was 146 (95% CI: 143-149) per 1,000 patients per month, which was lower than the pre-pandemic rate of 175 (95% CI: 173-176). In contrast, there was evidence of higher use of telephone encounters during the pandemic (3,023; 95% CI: 2,957-3,089), compared with the pre-pandemic rate (1,282; 95% CI: 1,241-1,324). CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence that there was a disruption in the delivery of outpatient maintenance hemodialysis treatment in VHA facilities during the COVID-19 pandemic and that the modest rise in deaths during the pandemic is unlikely to be due to missed dialysis.

Renin-Angiotensin Inhibition and Outcomes in HFrEF and Advanced Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Renin-angiotensin system inhibitors improve outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, less is known about their effectiveness in patients with HFrEF and advanced kidney disease. METHODS: In the Medicare-linked Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF), 1582 patients with HFrEF (ejection fraction ≤40%) had advanced kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min/1.73 m2). Of these, 829 were not receiving angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) prior to admission, of whom 214 were initiated on these drugs prior to discharge. We calculated propensity scores for receipt of these drugs for each of the 829 patients and assembled a matched cohort of 388 patients, balanced on 47 baseline characteristics (mean age 78 years; 52% women; 10% African American; 73% receiving beta-blockers). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated comparing 2-year outcomes in 194 patients initiated on ACE inhibitors or ARBs to 194 patients not initiated on those drugs. RESULTS: The combined endpoint of heart failure readmission or all-cause mortality occurred in 79% and 84% of patients initiated and not initiated on ACE inhibitors or ARBs, respectively (HR associated with initiation, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.63-0.98). Respective HRs (95% CI) for the individual endpoints of - Respective HRs (95% CI) for the individual endpoints of all-cause mortality and heart failure readmission were 0.81 (0.63-1.03) and 0.63 (0.47-0.85). CONCLUSIONS: The findings from our study add new information to the body of cumulative evidence that suggest that renin-angiotensin system inhibitors may improve clinical outcomes in patients with HFrEF and advanced kidney disease. These hypothesis-generating findings need to be replicated in contemporary patients.

Cardiorespiratory fitness and risk of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias among American veterans.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is associated with improved health and survival. Less is known about its association with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD). METHODS: We identified 649,605 US veterans 30 to 95 years of age and free of ADRD who completed a standardized exercise tolerance test between 2000 and 2017 with no evidence of ischemia. We examined the association between five age- and sex-specific CRF categories and ADRD incidence using multivariate Cox regression models. RESULTS: During up to 20 (median 8.3) years of follow-up, incident ADRD occurred in 44,105 (6.8%) participants, with an incidence rate of 7.7/1000 person-years. Compared to the least-fit, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for incident ADRD were: 0.87 (0.85-0.90), 0.80 (0.78-0.83), 0.74 (0.72-0.76), and 0.67 (0.65-0.70), for low-fit, moderate-fit, fit, and high-fit individuals, respectively. DISSCUSSION: These findings demonstrate an independent, inverse, and graded association between CRF and incident ADRD. Future studies may determine the amount and duration of physical activity needed to optimize ADRD risk reduction.

Changes in Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Survival in Patients With or Without Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: The association between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and mortality risk is based mostly on 1 CRF assessment. The impact of CRF change on mortality risk is not well-defined. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate changes in CRF and all-cause mortality. METHODS: We assessed 93,060 participants aged 30-95 years (mean 61.3 ± 9.8 years). All completed 2 symptom-limited exercise treadmill tests, 1 or more years apart (mean 5.8 ± 3.7 years) with no evidence of overt cardiovascular disease. Participants were assigned to age-specific fitness quartiles based on peak METS achieved on the baseline exercise treadmill test. Additionally, each CRF quartile was stratified based on CRF changes (increase, decrease, no change) observed on the final exercise treadmill test. Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 6.3 years (IQR: 3.7-9.9 years), 18,302 participants died with an average yearly mortality rate of 27.6 events per 1,000 person-years. In general, changes in CRF ≥1.0 MET were associated with inverse and proportionate changes in mortality risk regardless of baseline CRF status. For example, a decline in CRF of >2.0 METS was associated with a 74% increase in risk (HR: 1.74; 95% CI: 1.59-1.91) for low-fit individuals with CVD, and 69% increase (HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.45-1.96) for those without CVD. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in CRF reflected inverse and proportional changes in mortality risk for those with and without CVD. The impact of relatively small CRF changes on mortality risk has considerable clinical and public health significance.

Risk of Stroke in Older Adults With Heart Failure.

Heart failure (HF) is a risk factor for incident stroke. However, less is known about the independent nature of this association and to what extent various baseline characteristics may mediate this risk. Of the 5,795 community-dwelling adults aged ≥65 years in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 5,448 were free of baseline stroke, of whom 229 had baseline HF. We used a multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for centrally adjudicated incident stroke associated with HF. Participants had a mean age of 73 years, 58% were women, and 15% were African-American. During 23 years of follow-up, incident stroke occurred in 18.8% and 19.3% of those with and without HF, respectively, but the time to first stroke was shorter in those with HF (age-gender-race-adjusted HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.25). The association remained essentially unchanged after adjustments for tobacco, alcohol, and physical activity (HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.24), attenuated after adjustment for hypertension, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, and diabetes mellitus (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.72), and further attenuated after additional adjustment for 10 baseline functional and subclinical variables (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.46). In conclusion, despite a similar 23-year stroke incidence, time to first stroke was shorter in older adults with HF than without. However, this extra risk appears to be mediated primarily by 4 cardiovascular diseases that are also risk factors for HF. These findings highlight the importance of the primary prevention of these HF risk factors to reduce the extra risk of stroke in HF.

Hydroxychloroquine and Risk of Long QT Syndrome in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Veterans Cohort Study With Nineteen-Year Follow-up.

OBJECTIVE: Recent evidence suggests that hydroxychloroquine use is not associated with higher 1-year risk of long QT syndrome (LQTS) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Less is known about its long-term risk, the examination of which was the objective of this study. METHODS: We conducted a propensity score-matched active-comparator safety study of hydroxychloroquine in 8,852 veterans (mean age 64 ± 12 years, 14% women, 28% Black) with newly diagnosed RA. A total of 4,426 patients started on hydroxychloroquine and 4,426 started on another nonbiologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) and were balanced on 87 baseline characteristics. The primary outcome was LQTS during 19-year follow-up through December 31, 2019. RESULTS: Incident LQTS occurred in 4 (0.09%) and 5 (0.11%) patients in the hydroxychloroquine and other DMARD groups, respectively, during the first 2 years. Respective 5-year incidences were 17 (0.38%) and 6 (0.14%), representing 11 additional LQTS events in the hydroxychloroquine group (number needed to harm 403; [95% confidence interval (95% CI)], 217-1,740) and a 181% greater relative risk (95% CI 11%-613%; P = 0.030). Although overall 10-year risk remained significant (hazard ratio 2.17; 95% CI 1.13-4.18), only 5 extra LQTS occurred in hydroxychloroquine group over the next 5 years (years 6-10) and 1 over the next 9 years (years 11-19). There was no association with arrhythmia-related hospitalization or all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Hydroxychloroquine use had no association with LQTS during the first 2 years after initiation of therapy. There was a higher risk thereafter that became significant after 5 years of therapy. However, the 5-year absolute risk was very low, and the absolute risk difference was even lower. Both risks attenuated during longer follow-up. These findings provide evidence for long-term safety of hydroxychloroquine in patients with RA.

Cardiorespiratory Fitness and Mortality Risk Across the Spectra of Age, Race, and Sex.

BACKGROUND: Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is inversely associated with all-cause mortality. However, the association of CRF and mortality risk for different races, women, and elderly individuals has not been fully assessed. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of CRF and mortality risk across the spectra of age, race, and sex. METHODS: A total of 750,302 U.S. veterans aged 30 to 95 years (mean age 61.3 ± 9.8 years) were studied, including septuagenarians (n = 110,637), octogenarians (n = 26,989), African Americans (n = 142,798), Hispanics (n = 35,197), Native Americans (n = 16,050), and women (n = 45,232). Age- and sex-specific CRF categories (quintiles and 98th percentile) were established objectively on the basis of peak METs achieved during a standardized exercise treadmill test. Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs for mortality across the CRF categories. RESULTS: During follow-up (median 10.2 years, 7,803,861 person-years of observation), 174,807 subjects died, averaging 22.4 events per 1,000 person-years. The adjusted association of CRF and mortality risk was inverse and graded across the age spectrum, sex, and race. The lowest mortality risk was observed at approximately 14.0 METs for men (HR: 0.24; 95% CI: 0.23-0.25) and women (HR: 0.23; 95% CI: 0.17-0.29), with no evidence of an increase in risk with extremely high CRF. The risk for least fit individuals (20th percentile) was 4-fold higher (HR: 4.09; 95% CI: 3.90-4.20) compared with extremely fit individuals. CONCLUSIONS: The association of CRF and mortality risk across the age spectrum (including septuagenarians and octogenarians), men, women, and all races was inverse, independent, and graded. No increased risk was observed with extreme fitness. Being unfit carried a greater risk than any of the cardiac risk factors examined.

Assessment of Lung Cancer Risk Among Smokers for Whom Annual Screening Is Not Recommended.

Importance: The US Preventive Services Task Force does not recommend annual lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) for adults aged 50 to 80 years who are former smokers with 20 or more pack-years of smoking who quit 15 or more years ago or current smokers with less than 20 pack-years of smoking. Objective: To determine the risk of lung cancer in older smokers for whom LDCT screening is not recommended. Design, Settings, and Participants: This cohort study used the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) data sets obtained from the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, which also sponsored the study. The CHS enrolled 5888 community-dwelling individuals aged 65 years and older in the US from June 1989 to June 1993 and collected extensive baseline data on smoking history. The current analysis was restricted to 4279 individuals free of cancer who had baseline data on pack-year smoking history and duration of smoking cessation. The current analysis was conducted from January 7, 2022, to May 25, 2022. Exposures: Current and prior tobacco use. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident lung cancer during a median (IQR) of 13.3 (7.9-18.8) years of follow-up (range, 0 to 22.6) through December 31, 2011. A Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model was used to estimate incidence of lung cancer in the presence of competing risk of death. Cox cause-specific hazard regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for incident lung cancer. Results: There were 4279 CHS participants (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [5.6] years; 2450 [57.3%] women; 663 [15.5%] African American, 3585 [83.8%] White, and 31 [0.7%] of other race or ethnicity) included in the current analysis. Among the 861 nonheavy smokers (<20 pack-years), the median (IQR) pack-year smoking history was 7.6 (3.3-13.5) pack-years for the 615 former smokers with 15 or more years of smoking cessation, 10.0 (5.3-14.9) pack-years for the 146 former smokers with less than 15 years of smoking cessation, and 11.4 (7.3-14.4) pack-years for the 100 current smokers. Among the 1445 heavy smokers (20 or more pack-years), the median (IQR) pack-year smoking history was 34.8 (26.3-48.0) pack-years for the 516 former smokers with 15 or more years of smoking cessation, 48.0 (35.0-70.0) pack-years for the 497 former smokers with less than 15 years of smoking cessation, and 48.8 (31.6-57.0) pack-years for the 432 current smokers. Incident lung cancer occurred in 10 of 1973 never smokers (0.5%), 5 of 100 current smokers with less than 20 pack-years of smoking (5.0%), and 26 of 516 former smokers with 20 or more pack-years of smoking with 15 or more years of smoking cessation (5.0%). Compared with never smokers, cause-specific HRs for incident lung cancer in the 2 groups for whom LDCT is not recommended were 10.54 (95% CI, 3.60-30.83) for the current nonheavy smokers and 11.19 (95% CI, 5.40-23.21) for the former smokers with 15 or more years of smoking cessation; age, sex, and race-adjusted HRs were 10.06 (95% CI, 3.41-29.70) for the current nonheavy smokers and 10.22 (4.86-21.50) for the former smokers with 15 or more years of smoking cessation compared with never smokers. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that there is a high risk of lung cancer among smokers for whom LDCT screening is not recommended, suggesting that prediction models are needed to identify high-risk subsets of these smokers for screening.

Initiation of anti-hypertensive drugs and outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and persistent hypertension.

BACKGROUND: National heart failure (HF) guidelines recommend that in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (EF;HFpEF) and hypertension, systolic blood pressure (SBP) should be maintained below 130 mmHg. The objective of the study is to examine the association between initiation of anti-hypertensive drugs and outcomes in patients with HFpEF with persistent hypertension. METHODS: Of the 8873 hospitalized patients with HFpEF (EF ≥50%) with a history of hypertension without renal failure in Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF, 3315 had a discharge SBP ≥130 mmHg, of whom 1971 were not receiving anti-hypertensive drugs, thiazides and calcium channel blockers, before hospitalization. Of these, 366 received discharge prescriptions for those drugs. We assembled a propensity score-matched cohort of 365 pairs of patients initiated and not initiated on anti-hypertensive drugs, balanced on 37 baseline characteristics. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for outcomes associated with anti-hypertensive drug initiation were estimated in the matched cohort. RESULTS: Matched patients (n = 730) had a mean age of 78 years; 67% were women and 17% African Americans. During 6 (median 2.5) years of follow-up, 66% of the patients died and 45% had HF readmission. HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality at 30 days, 12 months and 6 years associated with anti-hypertensive drug initiation were 0.64 (0.30-1.36), 0.70 (0.51-0.97), and 0.95 (0.79-1.13), respectively. Respective HRs (95% CIs) for HF readmission were 1.65 (0.97-2.80), 1.18 (0.90-1.56) and 1.09 (0.88-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: Among hospitalized older patients with HFpEF with uncontrolled hypertension, the initiation of therapy with anti-hypertensive drugs was not associated with all-cause mortality or hospital readmission.

In-Hospital Weight Loss and Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Acute decompensation of heart failure (HF) is often marked by fluid retention, and weight loss is a marker of successful diuresis. We examined the relationship between in-hospital weight loss and post-discharge outcomes in patients with HF. METHODS: We conducted a propensity score-matched study of 8830 patients hospitalized for decompensated HF in the Medicare-linked Organized Program to Initiate Lifesaving Treatment in Hospitalized Patients with Heart Failure (OPTIMIZE-HF) registry, in which 4415 patients in the weight-loss group and 4415 patients in the no-weight-loss group were balanced on 75 baseline characteristics. We defined weight loss as an admission-to-discharge weight loss of 1-30 kilograms, and we defined no weight loss as a weight gain or loss of < 1 kilogram. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes associated with weight loss were estimated. RESULTS: Patients had a mean age of 78 years, 57% were women, and 11% were African American. The median weight loss in the weight-loss group was 3.6 (interquartile range, 2.0-6.0) kilograms. HRs and 95% CIs for 30-day all-cause mortality, all-cause readmission and HF readmission associated with weight loss were 0.75 (0.63-0.90), 0.90 (0.83-0.99) and 0.83 (0.72-0.96), respectively. Respective 60-day HRs (95% CIs) were 0.80 (0.70-0.92), 0.91 (0.85-0.98) and 0.88 (0.79-0.98). These associations were attenuated and lost significance during 6 months of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Among older patients hospitalized for decompensated HF, in-hospital weight loss was associated with a lower risk of mortality and hospital readmission. These findings suggest that in-hospital weight loss, a marker of successful diuresis and decongestion, is also a marker of improved clinical outcomes.

Right Ventricular Ejection Fraction and Beta-Blocker Effect in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: A low right ventricular ejection fraction (RVEF) is a marker of poor outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Beta-blockers improve outcomes in HFrEF, but whether this effect is modified by RVEF is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of the 2798 patients in Beta-Blocker Evaluation of Survival Trial (BEST), 2008 had data on baseline RVEF (mean 35%, median 34%). Patients were categorized into an RVEF of less than 35% (n = 1012) and an RVEF of 35% or greater (n = 996). We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) within each RVEF subgroup and formally tested for interactions between bucindolol and RVEF. The effect of bucindolol on all-cause mortality in 2008 patients with baseline RVEF (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.75-1.02) is consistent with that in 2798 patients in the main trial (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.78-1.02). Bucindolol use was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality in patients with an RVEF of 35% or greater (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.55-0.89), but not in those with an RVEF of less than 35% (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.83-1.24, P for interaction = .022). Similar variations were observed for cardiovascular mortality (P for interaction = .009) and sudden cardiac death (P for interaction = .018), but not for pump failure death (P for interaction = .371) or HF hospitalization (P for interaction = .251). CONCLUSIONS: The effect of bucindolol on mortality in patients with HFrEF was modified by the baseline RVEF. If these hypothesis-generating findings can be replicated using approved beta-blockers in contemporary patients with HFrEF, then RVEF may help to risk stratify patients with HFrEF for optimization of beta-blocker therapy.

Income disparity and incident cardiovascular disease in older Americans.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between income and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: Of the 5795 Medicare-eligible community-dwelling older Americans aged 65-100 years in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), 4518 (78%) were free of baseline CVD, defined as heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease. Of them, 1846 (41%) had lower income, defined as a total annual household income <$16,000. Using propensity scores for lower income, estimated for each of the 4518 participants, we assembled a matched cohort of 1078 pairs balanced on 42 baseline characteristics. Outcomes included centrally adjudicated incident CVD and mortality. RESULTS: Matched participants (n = 2156) had a mean age of 73 years, 63% were women, and 13% African American. During an overall follow-up of 23 years, incident CVD, all-cause mortality and the combined endpoint of incident CVD or mortality occurred in 1094 (51%), 1726 (80%) and 1867 (87%) individuals, respectively. Compared with the higher income group, hazard ratio (HR) for time to the first occurrence of incident CVD in the lower income group was 1.16 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.03 to 1.31. A lower income was also associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30), and consequently a higher risk of the combined endpoint of incident CVD or death (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.09-1.31). CONCLUSION: Among community-dwelling older Americans free of baseline CVD, an annual household income <$16,000 is independently associated with significantly higher risks of new-onset CVD and death.

Beta-Blocker Use and Outcomes in Nursing Home Residents with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Beta-blockers improve clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Less is known about their role in older nursing home residents with HFrEF. METHODS: From the combined OPTIMIZE-HF and Alabama Heart Failure Project data sets, we assembled a propensity score-matched balanced cohort of 6494 hospitalized patients ≥65 years with HFrEF (ejection fraction ≤40%). In our primary approach, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI)s for outcomes associated with discharge prescriptions for beta- blockers were estimated, examining for heterogeneity by admission from nursing homes. In our sensitivity approach, we examined these associations in a separately assembled propensity score-matched cohort of 122 patients admitted from nursing homes. RESULTS: In the matched primary cohort of 6494 patients, HRs (95% CIs) for 12-month all-cause mortality and heart failure readmission were 0.80 (0.74-0.87) and 0.94 (0.86-1.02), respectively. Respective HRs (95% CIs) in the nursing home and non-nursing home subgroups were 0.77 (0.51-1.16) and 0.81 (0.74-0.87) for all-cause mortality (interaction P: 0.653) and 1.06 (0.53-2.12) and 0.89 (0.82-0.96) for heart failure readmission (interaction P: 0.753). In the matched sensitivity cohort of 122 patients admitted from nursing homes, HRs (95% CIs) for 12-month all-cause mortality and heart failure readmission were 0.86 (0.55-1.35) and 1.07 (0.52-2.22), respectively. Similar associations were observed for 30-day outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Beta-blocker use was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality but not of heart failure readmission in older patients with HFrEF, which were similar for patients admitted and not admitted from nursing homes.

Initiation of Anti-Hypertensive Drugs and Outcomes in Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: In patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and hypertension, systolic blood pressure is recommended to be maintained below 130 mmHg, although this has not been shown to be associated with improved outcomes. We examined the association between anti-hypertensive drug initiation and outcomes in patients with HFrEF. METHODS: In the Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF, 7966 patients with HFrEF (ejection fraction ≤40%) without renal failure were not receiving anti-hypertensive drugs before hospitalization, of whom 692 received discharge prescriptions for those drugs (thiazides and calcium channel blockers). We assembled a propensity score-matched cohort of 687 pairs of patients initiated and not initiated on anti-hypertensive drugs, balanced on 38 baseline characteristics. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes associated with anti-hypertensive drug initiation were estimated in the matched cohort. RESULTS: Matched patients (n = 1374) had a mean age of 74 years, 41% were female, 17% were African-American, 66% were discharged on renin-angiotensin system inhibitors and beta blockers, and 10% on aldosterone antagonists. During 6 (median 2.5) years of follow-up, 70% of the patients died and 53% had heart failure readmission. Anti-hypertensive drug initiation was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.83-1.07) or heart failure readmission (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.80-1.07). Similar associations were observed during 30 days and 12 months of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Among hospitalized older patients with HFrEF receiving contemporary treatments for heart failure, initiation of an anti-hypertensive drug was not associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality or hospital readmission.