ABSTRACT
In the advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) scenario, there are no consistent biomarkers to predict the clinical benefit patients derived from immune checkpoint blockade (ICB). Taking this into consideration, herein, we conducted a retrospective study in order to develop and validate a gene expression score for predicting clinical benefit to the anti-PD-1 antibody nivolumab in the context of patients diagnosed with advanced clear cell RCC enrolled in the CheckMate-009, CheckMate-010, and CheckMate-025 clinical trials. First, a three-gene expression score (3GES) with prognostic value for overall survival integrating HMGA1, NUP62, and ARHGAP42 transcripts was developed in a cohort of patients treated with nivolumab. Its prognostic value was then validated in the TCGA-KIRC cohort. Second, the predictive value for nivolumab was confirmed in a set of patients from the CheckMate-025 phase 3 clinical trial. Lastly, we explored the correlation of our 3GES with different clinical, molecular, and immune tumor characteristics. If the results of this study are definitively validated in other retrospective and large-scale, prospective studies, the 3GES will represent a valuable tool for guiding the design of ICB-based clinical trials in the aRCC scenario in the near future.
Subject(s)
Biomarkers, Tumor , Carcinoma, Renal Cell , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors , Kidney Neoplasms , Nivolumab , Female , Humans , Male , Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/drug therapy , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/genetics , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/mortality , Carcinoma, Renal Cell/immunology , Gene Expression Profiling , Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic , Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Kidney Neoplasms/drug therapy , Kidney Neoplasms/genetics , Kidney Neoplasms/mortality , Kidney Neoplasms/immunology , Nivolumab/therapeutic use , Prognosis , Programmed Cell Death 1 Receptor/antagonists & inhibitors , Retrospective Studies , Treatment OutcomeABSTRACT
Deficiency in DNA MMR activity results in tumors with a hypermutator phenotype, termed microsatellite instability (MSI). Beyond its utility in Lynch syndrome screening algorithms, today MSI has gained importance as predictive biomarker for various anti-PD-1 therapies across many different tumor types. Over the past years, many computational methods have emerged to infer MSI using either DNA- or RNA-based approaches. Considering this together with the fact that MSI-high tumors frequently exhibit a hypermethylated phenotype, herein we developed and validated MSIMEP, a computational tool for predicting MSI status from microarray DNA methylation tumor profiles of colorectal cancer samples. We demonstrated that MSIMEP optimized and reduced models have high performance in predicting MSI in different colorectal cancer cohorts. Moreover, we tested its consistency in other tumor types with high prevalence of MSI such as gastric and endometrial cancers. Finally, we demonstrated better performance of both MSIMEP models vis-à-vis a MLH1 promoter methylation-based one in colorectal cancer.
