Assessing neuro-oncology clinical trial impact and value: Testing a novel multi-criteria decision analysis app.

BACKGROUND: Many clinical trials are conducted globally, creating challenges in deciding which trial outcomes deserve a clinician's focus and where to direct limited resources. Determining the 'value' of a clinical trial relative to others could be useful in this context. The aim of this study was to test a novel web-based application using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to rank clinical trial value. METHODS: The MCDA tool combines seven metrics: unmet need; target population size; access; outcomes; cost; academic impact and use of results. Clinical trials were ranked according to their calculated 'value' - meaning the importance or worth of a trial. We determined face validity of the app using a set of ten published Phase 3 neuro-oncology clinical trials. A survey of neuro-oncology clinicians asked them to rank the same ten clinical trials, and to rank the seven metrics in terms of importance. RESULTS: The two highest app-ranked trials were in concordance with that of the survey respondents, and consistent with the two studies that have had the most impact on routine clinical practice in neuro-oncology. Of the seven metrics, surveyed clinicians considered patient outcomes and unmet need to be the most important when determining clinical trial value. CONCLUSIONS: The metrics app was able to rank and produce a numerical 'value' for existing phase 3 neuro-oncology clinical trials. In the future, a related app to prospectively rank future trials at the startup stage could be developed to help centers determine which should be prioritized to be conducted at their site.

Post-hoc evaluation of peripheral blood natural killer cell cytotoxicity in predicting the risk of recurrent pregnancy losses and repeated implantation failures.

Peripheral blood NK cytotoxicity assay (NKC) is one of the commonly utilized diagnostic tools for recurrent pregnancy losses (RPL) and repeated implantation failures (RIF). In this retrospective cohort study, we aimed to assess the cutoff values of NKC for RPL and RIF. A total of 883 women were included in this study; 24 nonpregnant fertile women, 604 nonpregnant women with three or more RPL, 163 nonpregnant women with two or more of RIF, 48 normal pregnant women, and 44 pregnant women with a history of RPL. Peripheral blood NKC assay was performed by flow cytometry. The differences between groups were analyzed using Student's t-test, a logistic regression analysis, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Both nonpregnant fertile and normal pregnant women had significantly lower NKC at an effector to target cell ratio (E:T) of 50:1 (13.5 ± 1.1% and 12.9 ± 1.0%, respectively) when compared to women with RPL and RIF, and pregnant women with a history of RPL (23.6 ± 0.3%, 23.9 ± 0.5%, and 23.7 ± 1.0%, P < 0.0001 respectively). In addition, the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for RPL and RIF using pre-conception NKC was 0.863 (P < 0.0001) and 0.879 (P < 0.0001), respectively, and for RPL using post-conception NKC was 0.736 (P = 0.001). These findings suggest that NKC significantly distinguishes nonpregnant women with RPL and RIF from fertile controls and pregnant RPLwomen from normal pregnant controls.

Stage dependent recurrence patterns and post-recurrence outcomes in non-metastatic colon cancer.

BACKGROUND: Multiple meta-analyses have demonstrated that routine surveillance following colorectal cancer surgery improves survival outcomes. There is limited data on how recurrence patterns and post-recurrence outcomes vary by individual tumor stage. METHODS: Using a multi-site community cohort study, we examined the potential impact of primary tumor stage on the sites of recurrence, management of recurrent disease with curative intent, and post-resection survival. We also explored changes over time. RESULTS: Of 4257 new colon cancers diagnosed 2001 through 2016, 789 (21.1%) had stage I, 1584 (42.4%) had stage II, and 1360 (36.4%) had stage III colon cancer. For consecutive 5-year periods (2001-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2016), recurrence rates have declined (23.4 vs. 17.1 vs. 13.6%, p < 0.001), however, the resection rates of metastatic disease (29.3 vs. 38.6 vs. 35.0%, p = 0.21) and post-resection 5-year survival (52.0 vs. 51.8 vs. 64.2%, p = 0.12) have remained steady. Primary tumor stage impacted recurrence rate (3.8 vs. 12 vs. 28%, p < 0.0001 for stage 1, 2, and 3), patterns of recurrence, resection of metastatic disease, (50 vs. 42 vs. 30%, p < 0.0001) and post-resection 5-year survival (92 vs. 64 vs. 44%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In this community cohort we defined significant differences in recurrence patterns and post-resection survival by tumor stage, with a diminishing rate of recurrence over time. While recurrence rates were lower with stage I and II disease, the high rate of metastatic disease resection and excellent post-resection outcomes help to justify routine surveillance in these patients.

Circulating tumor DNA dynamics and recurrence risk in patients undergoing curative intent resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases: A prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), the role of pre- and postoperative systemic therapy continues to be debated. Previous studies have shown that circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis, as a marker of minimal residual disease, is a powerful prognostic factor in patients with nonmetastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). Serial analysis of ctDNA in patients with resectable CRLM could inform the optimal use of perioperative chemotherapy. Here, we performed a validation study to confirm the prognostic impact of postoperative ctDNA in resectable CRLM observed in a previous discovery study. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We prospectively collected plasma samples from patients with resectable CRLM, including presurgical and postsurgical samples, serial samples during any pre- or postoperative chemotherapy, and serial samples in follow-up. Via targeted sequencing of 15 genes commonly mutated in CRC, we identified at least 1 somatic mutation in each patient's tumor. We then designed a personalized assay to assess 1 mutation in plasma samples using the Safe-SeqS assay. A total of 380 plasma samples from 54 patients recruited from July 2011 to Dec 2014 were included in our analysis. Twenty-three (43%) patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and 42 patients (78%) received adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery. Median follow-up was 51 months (interquartile range, 31 to 60 months). At least 1 somatic mutation was identified in all patients' tumor tissue. ctDNA was detectable in 46/54 (85%) patients prior to any treatment and 12/49 (24%) patients after surgery. There was a median 40.93-fold (19.10 to 87.73, P < 0.001) decrease in ctDNA mutant allele fraction with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, but ctDNA clearance during neoadjuvant chemotherapy was not associated with a better recurrence-free survival (RFS). Patients with detectable postoperative ctDNA experienced a significantly lower RFS (HR 6.3; 95% CI 2.58 to 15.2; P < 0.001) and overall survival (HR 4.2; 95% CI 1.5 to 11.8; P < 0.001) compared to patients with undetectable ctDNA. For the 11 patients with detectable postoperative ctDNA who had serial ctDNA sampling during adjuvant chemotherapy, ctDNA clearance was observed in 3 patients, 2 of whom remained disease-free. All 8 patients with persistently detectable ctDNA after adjuvant chemotherapy have recurred. End-of-treatment (surgery +/- adjuvant chemotherapy) ctDNA detection was associated with a 5-year RFS of 0% compared to 75.6% for patients with an undetectable end-of-treatment ctDNA (HR 14.9; 95% CI 4.94 to 44.7; P < 0.001). Key limitations of the study include the small sample size and the potential for false-positive findings with multiple hypothesis testing. CONCLUSIONS: We confirmed the prognostic impact of postsurgery and posttreatment ctDNA in patients with resected CRLM. The potential utility of serial ctDNA analysis during adjuvant chemotherapy as an early marker of treatment efficacy was also demonstrated. Further studies are required to define how to optimally integrate ctDNA analyses into decision-making regarding the use and timing of adjuvant therapy for resectable CRLM. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN12612000345886.

Diversification rates have no effect on the convergent evolution of foraging strategies in the most speciose genus of bats, Myotis.

Adaptive radiations are defined as rapid diversification with phenotypic innovation led by colonization to new environments. Notably, adaptive radiations can occur in parallel when habitats with similar selective pressures are accessible promoting convergent adaptions. Although convergent evolution appears to be a common process, it is unclear what are the main drivers leading the reappearance of morphologies or ecological roles. We explore this question in Myotis bats, the only Chiropteran genus with a worldwide distribution. Three foraging strategies-gleaning, trawling, and aerial netting-repeatedly evolved in several regions of the world, each linked to characteristic morphologies recognized as ecomorphs. Phylogenomic, morphometric, and comparative approaches were adopted to investigate convergence of such foraging strategies and skull morphology as well as factors that explain diversification rates. Genomic and morphometric data were analyzed from ∼80% extant taxa. Results confirm that the ecomorphs evolved multiple times, with trawling evolving more often and foliage gleaning most recently. Skull morphology does not reflect common ancestry and evolves convergently with foraging strategy. Although diversification rates have been roughly constant across the genus, speciation rates are area-dependent and higher in taxa with temperate distributions. Results suggest that in this species-rich group of bats, first, stochastic processes have led divergence into multiple lineages. Then, natural selection in similar niches has promoted repeated adaptation of phenotypes and foraging strategies. Myotis bats are thus a remarkable case of ecomorphological convergence and an emerging model system for investigating the genomic basis of parallel adaptive radiation.

Whole genome and biomarker analysis of patients with recurrent glioblastoma on bevacizumab: A subset analysis of the CABARET trial.

The CABARET trial (ACTRN12610000915055) reported no difference in overall survival (OS) between patients with recurrent glioblastoma (GBM) randomized to either bevacizumab monotherapy or bevacizumab plus carboplatin. However, a subset of patients showed durable responses and prolonged survival, with recorded survival times of over 30 months in five of 122 patients (4%). Patient selection for bevacizumab therapy would be enhanced if a predictive biomarker of response or survival could be identified; this biomarker sub-study attempted to identify novel biomarkers. Patients who opted to participate in this sub-study and who had adequate biospecimens for analysis (n = 54) were retrospectively evaluated for the expression of a series of tumor proteins. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) was used to measure the expression of 19 proteins previously implicated in cancer treatment response to bevacizumab. MGMT promoter methylation was also assessed. Tumor DNA from five patients with outlying survival duration ('poor' and 'exceptional' survivors) was subjected to whole genome sequencing (WGS). No single protein expression level, including VEGF-A, predicted OS in the cohort. WGS of poor and exceptional survivors identified a gain in Chromosome 19 that was exclusive to the exceptional survivors. Validation of this finding requires examination of a larger independent cohort.

Right versus left sided metastatic colorectal cancer: Teasing out clinicopathologic drivers of disparity in survival.

BACKGROUND: Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients with a right-sided primary (RC) have an inferior survival to mCRC arising from a left-sided primary (LC). Previous analyses have suggested multiple factors contribute. METHODS: The Treatment of Recurrent and Advanced Colorectal Cancer (TRACC) Registry prospectively captured data on consecutive mCRC patients. RC were defined as tumors proximal to the splenic flexure; LC were those at and distal to the splenic flexure and included rectal cancers. Patient, tumor, treatment, and survival data were analyzed stratified by side. RESULTS: Of 2306 patients enrolled from July 2009-March 2018, 747 (32%) had an RC. Patients with RC were older, more likely to be female and have a Charlson score ≥3. RC were more frequently BRAF mutated, deficient in mismatch repair, associated with peritoneal metastases, and less likely to receive chemotherapy. Progression-free survival on first-line systemic therapy was inferior for RC patients (8.1 vs. 10.8 months, hazard ratio [HR] for progression in RC 1.38, P < 0.001). Median overall survival for all RC patients was inferior (19.6 vs. 27.5 months, HR for death in RC 1.44, P < 0.001), and inferior within the treated (21 vs. 29.5 months, HR 1.52, P < 0.001) and untreated subgroups (5.9 vs. 10.3 months, HR 1.38, P = 0.009). Primary side remained a significant factor for overall survival in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Our data from a real-world population confirms the poorer prognosis associated with RC. Primary tumor location remains significantly associated with overall survival even when adjusting for multiple factors, indicating the existence of further side-based differences that are as yet undefined.

Chemotherapy and biologic use in the routine management of metastatic colorectal cancer in Australia: is clinical practice following the evidence?

BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence on the optimal use of chemotherapy and biologics in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer should impact management in routine care. Recent studies have demonstrated benefits for initial triplet chemotherapy (5-fluorouracil, oxaliplatin and irinotecan, FOLFOXIRI) and for initial treatment with an epidermal growth factor receptor inhibitor (EGFRi) in patients with a RAS wild-type tumour and a left-sided primary tumour. AIM: To explore evolving pattern of metastatic colorectal cancer care over time in Australia. METHODS: We analysed data from the Treatment of Recurrent and Advanced Colorectal Cancer registry. RESULTS: From July 2009 to December 2017, 2552 metastatic colorectal cancer patients were entered into the Treatment of Recurrent and Advanced Colorectal Cancer registry. Of 1585 patients who initially underwent chemotherapy, treatment was with a doublet in 76%. FOLFOXIRI was given to 22 patients (1.4%), mostly young patients and those with potentially resectable disease. Along with first-line chemotherapy, 61% received bevacizumab, while 3.3% received an EGFRi, predominantly over the last 2 years. Within the KRAS wild-type left-sided tumour cohort, EGFRi use increased from 9% in 2015 to 37% in 2017. Across treatment sites, there was a wide variation in the utilisation of FOLFOXIRI and EGFRi therapy; bevacizumab use was more consistent. A clear impact on survival outcomes from these regimens is not evident, potentially due to multiple confounders. CONCLUSION: Doublet chemotherapy + bevacizumab remains the dominant initial strategy, with limited uptake of triplet chemotherapy and of EGFRi. Potential explanations include uncertainty about the significance of post hoc analyses for EGFRi and concerns regarding adverse events for both strategies.

Stage-based Variation in the Effect of Primary Tumor Side on All Stages of Colorectal Cancer Recurrence and Survival.

BACKGROUND: Multiple studies have defined the prognostic and potential predictive significance of the primary tumor side in metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the currently available data for early-stage disease are limited and inconsistent. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We explored the clinicopathologic, treatment, and outcome data from a multisite Australian CRC registry from 2003 to 2016. Tumors at and distal to the splenic flexure were considered a left primary (LP). RESULTS: For the 6547 patients identified, the median age at diagnosis was 69 years, 55% were men, and most (63%) had a LP. Comparing the outcomes for right primary (RP) versus LP, time-to-recurrence was similar for stage I and III disease, but longer for those with a stage II RP (hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52-0.90; P < .01). Adjuvant chemotherapy provided a consistent benefit in stage III disease, regardless of the tumor side. Overall survival (OS) was similar for those with stage I and II disease between LP and RP patients; however, those with stage III RP disease had poorer OS (HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.04-1.62; P < .05) and cancer-specific survival (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.19-2.03; P < .01). Patients with stage IV RP, whether de novo metastatic (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.95-1.39) or relapsed post-early-stage disease (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.11-1.65; P < .01), had poorer OS. CONCLUSION: In early-stage CRC, the association of tumor side and effect on the time-to-recurrence and OS varies by stage. In stage III patients with an RP, poorer OS and cancer-specific survival outcomes are, in part, driven by inferior survival after recurrence, and tumor side did not influence adjuvant chemotherapy benefit.

The evolutionary pattern of mutations in glioblastoma reveals therapy-mediated selection.

Glioblastoma presents as a heterogeneous disease with poor prognosis despite the use of multimodal therapy. Analysis of genomic DNA changes between initial diagnosis and recurrence in response to standard treatment protocols would enhance understanding of disease progression and better inform new treatment strategies. A cohort of 21 patients with primary glioblastoma were examined between diagnosis and first recurrence. This study presented a rare opportunity to characterize molecular alterations in tumors observed in three patients who received no therapeutic intervention, other than surgery, offering a unique control. We focused this study by comparing the dynamic mutation profiles between the primary tumors and their matched recurrent counterparts. Molecular profiling of tumors was performed using multiplexed targeted deep sequencing of 409 well characterized cancer-associated genes, achieving a mean read depth of 1272 x. Three levels of evidence suggested an evolutionary pattern consistent with a response to therapy-mediated selection pressures exists in treated patients: 1) variant burden was reduced in recurrent tumors, 2) neutral evolutionary dynamics apparent in untreated tumors shifted toward a non-neutral mode of evolution in treated patients at recurrence, and 3) the recurrent tumor of one patient displayed an increased mutation rate attributable to a temozolomide-associated hypermutator phenotype. Our observations suggest that current treatment modalities are likely to fail in achieving long term remission with the majority of relapse samples containing distinct mutations when compared to primary diagnostic samples.

How accurate are medical oncologists' impressions of management of metastatic colorectal cancer in Australia?

AIM: Current efforts to understand patient management in clinical practice are largely based on clinician surveys with uncertain reliability. The TRACC (Treatment of Recurrent and Advanced Colorectal Cancer) database is a multisite registry collecting comprehensive treatment and outcome data on consecutive metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients at multiple sites across Australia. This study aims to determine the accuracy of oncologists' impressions of real-word practice by comparing clinicians' estimates to data captured by TRACC. METHODS: Nineteen medical oncologists from nine hospitals contributing data to TRACC completed a 34-question survey regarding their impression of the management and outcomes of mCRC at their own practice and other hospitals contributing to the database. Responses were then compared with TRACC data to determine how closely their impressions reflected actual practice. RESULTS: Data on 1300 patients with mCRC were available. Median clinician estimated frequency of KRAS testing within 6 months of diagnosis was 80% (range: 20-100%); the TRACC documented rate was 43%. Clinicians generally overestimated the rates of first-line treatment, particularly in patients over 75 years. Estimate for bevacizumab in first line was 60% (35-80%) versus 49% in TRACC. Estimated rate for liver resection varied substantially (5-35%), and the estimated median (27%) was inconsistent with the TRACC rate (12%). Oncologists generally felt their practice was similar to other hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Oncologists' estimates of current clinical practice varied and were discordant with the TRACC database, often with a tendency to overestimate interventions. Clinician surveys alone do not reliably capture contemporary clinical practices in mCRC.

The 2016 revision of the WHO Classification of Central Nervous System Tumours: retrospective application to a cohort of diffuse gliomas.

The classification of central nervous system tumours has more recently been shaped by a focus on molecular pathology rather than histopathology. We re-classified 82 glial tumours according to the molecular-genetic criteria of the 2016 revision of the World Health Organization (WHO) Classification of Tumours of the Central Nervous System. Initial diagnoses and grading were based on the morphological criteria of the 2007 WHO scheme. Because of the impression of an oligodendroglial component on initial histological assessment, each tumour was tested for co-deletion of chromosomes 1p and 19q and mutations of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH-1 and 2) genes. Additionally, expression of proteins encoded by alpha-thalassemia X-linked mental retardation (ATRX) and TP53 genes was assessed by immunohistochemistry. We found that all but two tumours could be assigned to a specific category in the 2016 revision. The most common change in diagnosis was from oligoastrocytoma to specifically astrocytoma or oligodendroglioma. Analysis of progression free survival (PFS) for WHO grade II and III tumours showed that the objective criteria of the 2016 revision separated diffuse gliomas into three distinct molecular categories: chromosome 1p/19q co-deleted/IDH mutant, intact 1p/19q/IDH mutant and IDH wild type. No significant difference in PFS was found when comparing IDH mutant grade II and III tumours suggesting that IDH status is more informative than tumour grade. The segregation into distinct molecular sub-types that is achieved by the 2016 revision provides an objective evidence base for managing patients with grade II and III diffuse gliomas based on prognosis.

Comparison between site and central radiological assessments for patients with recurrent glioblastoma on a clinical trial.

AIM: Assessment of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in glioblastoma can be challenging. For patients with recurrent glioblastoma managed on the CABARET trial, we compared disease status assessed at hospitals and subsequent blinded central expert radiological review. METHODS: MRI results and clinical status at specified time points were used for site and central assessment of disease status. Clinical status was determined by the site. Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology (RANO) criteria were used for both assessments. Site and central assessments of progression-free survival (PFS) and response rates were compared. Inter-rater variability for central review progression dates was assessed. RESULTS: Central review resulted in shorter PFS in 45% of 89 evaluable patients (n = 40). Median PFS was 3.6 (central) versus 3.9 months (site) (hazard ratio 1.5, 95% confidence interval 1.3-1.8, P < 0.001). Responses were documented more frequently by sites (n = 16, 18%) than centrally (n = 11, 12%). Seven of 120 patients continued on trial without site-determined progression for more than 6 months beyond the central review determination of progression. Of scans reviewed by all three central reviewers, 33% were fully concordant for progression date. CONCLUSION: While the difference between site and central PFS dates was statistically significant, the 0.3-month median difference is small. The variability within central review is consistent with previous studies, highlighting the challenges in MRI interpretation in this context. A small proportion of patients benefited from treatment well beyond the centrally determined progression date, reinforcing that clinical status together with radiology results are important determinants of whether a therapy is effective for an individual.

The role of early magnetic resonance imaging in predicting survival on bevacizumab for recurrent glioblastoma: Results from a prospective clinical trial (CABARET).

BACKGROUND: Bevacizumab has been associated with prolonged progression-free survival for patients with recurrent glioblastoma; however, not all derive a benefit. An early indicator of efficacy or futility may allow early discontinuation for nonresponders. This study prospectively assessed the role of early magnetic resonance imaging (eMRI) and its correlation with subsequent routine magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) results and survival. METHODS: Patients were part of a randomized phase 2 clinical trial (CABARET) comparing bevacizumab with bevacizumab plus carboplatin for recurrent glioblastoma. eMRI was conducted after 4 weeks in the trial (after 2 treatments with bevacizumab [10 mg/kg every 2 weeks]). The results were compared with the results of the subsequent 8-week MRI standard. RESULTS: For 119 of 122 patients, eMRI was available, and 111 had subsequent MRI for comparison. Thirty-six (30%) had an early radiological response, and 17 (14%) had progressive disease. The concordance between eMRI and 8-week MRI was moderate (κ = 0.56), with most providing the same result (n = 79 [71%]). There was strong evidence that progression-free survival and overall survival were predicted by the eMRI response (both P values < .001). The median survival was 8.6 months for an eMRI response, 6.6 months for stable disease, and 3.7 months for progressive disease; the hazard ratio (progressive disease vs stable disease) was 3.4 (95% confidence interval, 1.9-6.0). Landmark analyses showed that eMRI progression was a strong predictor of mortality independent of other potential baseline predictors. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, early progression on MRI appears to be a robust marker of a poor prognosis for patients on bevacizumab. Cancer 2017;123:3576-82. © 2017 American Cancer Society.

Health-related quality of life outcomes from CABARET: a randomized phase 2 trial of carboplatin and bevacizumab in recurrent glioblastoma.

In recurrent glioblastoma, health-related quality of life (HRQL) is a crucial trial endpoint. We examined HRQL outcomes as a secondary endpoint for patients in the CABARET randomized phase 2 trial. 122 patients were randomly allocated to bevacizumab monotherapy or bevacizumab plus carboplatin. We calculated change scores from baseline for each HRQL measure on the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 30 (EORTC QLQ-C30) and the Brain Cancer Module (QLQ-BN20), together with time to deterioration in HRQL, and the proportion of participants with clinically meaningful improvements in specific disease-related symptoms. At baseline, 117 of 122 randomized patients (96%) attempted questionnaires. Questionnaire participation rates were >90% for patients continuing on treatment, however at the end-of-treatment visit only 72 (64% of eligible participants) returned a form. There were no differences between arms in change scores over the treatment period. Time to ≥10 point deterioration in scores from baseline was also similar between arms. HRQL deterioration occurred largely before progression for the domains tested, but scores in HRQL domains specifically relevant to symptoms of recurrent glioblastoma also improved for about 50% of patients with symptoms at baseline. Neither detrimental nor beneficial effects on HRQL were seen with carboplatin added to bevacizumab, with a proportion of patients on both arms experiencing symptomatic benefit. Given the reduced questionnaire completion at end of treatment, time to HRQL deterioration is a feasible and robust clinical trial endpoint in this patient population. Clinical trials registration number: ACTRN12610000915055.

Early perfusion MRI predicts survival outcome in patients with recurrent glioblastoma treated with bevacizumab and carboplatin.

Bevacizumab, an anti-angiogenic agent, is FDA-approved for use in patients with recurrent glioblastoma multiforme (rGBM). The radiologic evaluation of tumor response to bevacizumab is complex and there is no validated method of monitoring tumor vascularity during therapy. We evaluated perfusion-weighted MR imaging (PWI) in our cohort of patients enrolled in the CABARET trial, which examined the effectiveness of bevacizumab with or without carboplatin in patients with rGBM. Pre-treatment and early follow-up (4- and 8-week) PWI were used to calculate relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV) histogram statistics of the contrast-enhancing and FLAIR hyperintense tumor volumes. A novel rCBV measurement (load) was developed to estimate the total volume of perfused tumor blood vessels. Changes in all rCBV measures were examined for correlations with progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS). All of our 15 patients enrolled in the CABARET trial were included. Median PFS and OS were 23 and 45 weeks respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis of pre-treatment PWI revealed an 18 week reduction in median OS in patients with high tumor rCBV (p = 0.031). Changes in rCBV measures, especially load, correlated significantly with PFS and OS at both follow-up time-points. Patients with the greatest reduction in rCBVload by 8-weeks of therapy had a significantly increased median OS (30 weeks; p = 0.013). PWI may be of significant clinical utility in managing patients with rGBM, particularly those treated with anti-angiogenic agents such as bevacizumab. These findings need to be confirmed prospectively in larger studies.

Continuing or ceasing bevacizumab beyond progression in recurrent glioblastoma: an exploratory randomized phase II trial.

BACKGROUND: In patients with recurrent glioblastoma, the benefit of bevacizumab beyond progression remains uncertain. We prospectively evaluated continuing or ceasing bevacizumab in patients who progressed while on bevacizumab. METHODS: CABARET, a phase II study, initially randomized patients to bevacizumab with or without carboplatin (Part 1). At progression, eligible patients underwent a second randomization to continue or cease bevacizumab (Part 2). They could also receive additional chemotherapy regimens (carboplatin, temozolomide, or etoposide) or supportive care. RESULTS: Of 120 patients treated in Part 1, 48 (80% of the anticipated 60-patient sample size) continued to Part 2. Despite randomization, there were some imbalances in patient characteristics. The best response was stable disease in 7 (30%) patients who continued bevacizumab and 2 (8%) patients who stopped receiving bevacizumab. There were no radiological responses. Median progression-free survival was 1.8 vs 2.0 months (bevacizumab vs no bevacizumab; hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; 95% CI, .59-1.96; P = .81). Median overall survival was 3.4 vs 3.0 months (HR, .84; 95% CI, .47-1.50; P = .56 and HR .70; 95% CI .38-1.29; P = .25 after adjustment for baseline factors). Quality-of-life scores did not significantly differ between arms. While the maximum daily steroid dose was lower in the continuation arm, the difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who continued bevacizumab beyond disease progression did not have clear survival improvements, although the study was not powered to detect other than very large differences. While these data provide the only randomized evidence related to continuing bevacizumab beyond progression in recurrent glioblastoma, the small sample size precludes definitive conclusions and suggests this remains an open question.

Impact of Primary Tumor Site on Bevacizumab Efficacy in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: With an ever-increasing focus on personalized medicine, all factors known to affect treatment response need to be considered when defining optimal therapy for individual patients. While the prognostic impact of primary tumor site on colorectal cancer (CRC) outcomes is established, emerging data suggest potential differences in response to biologic therapies. We studied the impact of tumor site on bevacizumab efficacy in patients with metastatic CRC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We analyzed data of patients in an Australian prospective multicenter metastatic CRC (mCRC) registry who received first-line chemotherapy. Tumor site was defined as right colon, cecum to transverse; left colon, splenic flexure to rectosigmoid; and rectum. Kaplan-Meier and Cox models were used for survival analyses. RESULTS: Of 926 patients, 297 had right colon, 354 left colon, and 275 rectum primary disease. Median age was 68.6, 65.9, and 63.3 years, respectively (P = .001). Right colon disease was significantly associated with intraperitoneal spread (P < .0001), while left colon and rectum disease preferentially metastasized to the liver and lungs, respectively (P < .0001 in both settings). A total of 636 patients (68.7%) received bevacizumab. Progression-free survival was superior for bevacizumab-treated patients in all groups but appeared greatest in right colon disease (hazard ratio, 0.46; 95% confidence interval, 0.36-0.60; P ≤ .001). Overall survival was longest in patients with disease of the rectum, followed by left colon and right colon (median, 26.2, 23.6, and 18.2 months, respectively; P = .0004). CONCLUSION: Tumor site appears to be prognostic in mCRC, with rectum and right colon disease associated with the best and worst outcomes, respectively. Patients who received bevacizumab in addition to chemotherapy had superior outcomes, with the effect appearing greatest in patients with right colon disease.

Primary Tumor Resection and Overall Survival in Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Treated With Palliative Intent.

BACKGROUND: The survival impact of primary tumor resection in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) treated with palliative intent remains uncertain. In the absence of randomized data, the objectives of the present study were to examine the effect of primary tumor resection (PTR) and major prognostic variables on overall survival (OS) of patients with de novo mCRC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive patients from the Australian 'Treatment of Recurrent and Advanced Colorectal Cancer' registry were examined from June 2009 to March 2015. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to identify associations between multiple patient or clinical variables and OS. Patients with metachronous mCRC were excluded from the analyses. RESULTS: A total of 690 patients de novo and 373 metachronous mCRC patients treated with palliative intent were identified. The median follow-up period was 30 months. The median age of de novo patients was 66 years; 57% were male; 77% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 to 1; and 76% had a colon primary. A total of 216 de novo mCRC patients treated with palliative intent underwent PTR at diagnosis and were more likely to have a colon primary (odds ratio [OR], 15.4), a lower carcinoembryonic antigen level (OR, 2.08), and peritoneal involvement (OR, 2.58; P < .001). On multivariate analysis, PTR at diagnosis in de novo patients was not associated with significantly improved OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82; 99% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-1.09; P = .068). PTR at diagnosis did not correlate with outcome in de novo patients with a colon primary (HR, 0.74; 99% CI, 0.54-1.01; P = .014) or a rectal primary (HR, 0.81; 99% CI, 0.27-2.44; P = .621). CONCLUSION: For de novo mCRC patients treated with palliative intent, PTR at diagnosis does not significantly improve OS when adjusting for known major prognostic factors. The outcomes of randomized trials examining the survival impact of PTR are awaited.

The rapidly escalating cost of treating colorectal cancer in Australia.

AIMS: Considerable progress in cancer treatment is leading to better outcomes, but the cost of therapy is placing increasing pressure on the health system. Understanding the real-world cost of therapies for each stage will become increasingly important in informing treatment selection and health policy. METHODS: To explore the cost of treating colorectal cancer in the modern era, data were entered onto a prospective database at four hospitals. We estimated the impact of bevacizumab by using data from July 2009, and projected the likely impact of the recent listing of cetuximab. The utility of these data for estimating the cost-effectiveness of treatment was explored. RESULTS: Cancer stage and age at diagnosis were major determinants of treatment received and the associated cost. The cost of early stage disease has not substantially changed whereas therapies such as oxaliplatin and irinotecan were significant contributors to substantial increases in stage IV disease, now $71,156 per patient. Bevacizumab has added at least $10,247 per patient and we estimate that cetuximab will add a further $12,022. An exploratory analysis of the cost-effectiveness of oxaliplatin for adjuvant therapy of stage III colon cancer suggests that this is well within the accepted range. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that recent progress in the treatment of later stages of colorectal cancer is being achieved at significant financial cost. The increased costs of managing later stages of disease make an investment in prevention and early detection ever more attractive.