Circulating Tumor DNA Dynamics as Prognostic Markers in Locally Advanced and Metastatic Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Importance: Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is a deadly disease with frequent recurrence. There are unmet needs for prognostic biomarkers for dynamically monitoring disease progression and detecting minimal residual disease. Objective: To examine whether circulating tumor DNA is clinically useful as a prognostic biomarker for ESCC recurrence and patient survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: This single-center, population-based cohort study consecutively enrolled 147 patients receiving curative (n = 74) or palliative (n = 73) treatment at the surgery and clinical oncology departments of Queen Mary Hospital in Hong Kong from August 1, 2016, to September 31, 2021. Patients were followed up for 2 years. Plasma samples were collected at different longitudinal time points for a prospective circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) next-generation sequencing profiling study of 77 actionable genes. Intervention: Patients were treated with up-front surgery, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus surgery with or without adjuvant therapy, or palliative chemotherapy (CT). Main Outcomes and Measures: Detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). Results: A total of 478 serial plasma samples from 147 patients with locoregional or metastatic ESCC were prospectively analyzed. Among the 74 patients in the curative group (median [range] age, 66 [46-85] years; 56 [76.0%] male), 44 (59.5%) relapsed and 36 (48.6%) died. For patients receiving curative surgical treatment, a high ctDNA level (hazard ratio [HR], 7.84; 95% CI, 1.87-32.97; P = .005) and ctDNA alterations (HR, 5.71; 95% CI, 1.81-17.97; P = .003) at 6 months postoperation were independently associated with poor OS. Among patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, postneoadjuvant ctDNA alterations were associated with poor PFS (HR, 3.16; 95% CI, 1.17-8.52; P = .02). In the 73 patients in the palliative group (median [range] age, 63 [45-82] years; 63 [86.0%] male), 71 (97.3%) had disease relapse and 68 (93.2%) died. Detectable pre-CT NFE2L2 alterations were independently associated with PFS (HR, 2.99; 95% CI, 1.35-6.61; P = .007) and OS (HR, 28.39; 95% CI, 7.26-111.03; P = 1.52 × 10-6), whereas high ctDNA levels (HR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.18-4.95; P = .02) and alterations in pre-cycle III ctDNA (HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.03-3.85; P = .04) showed weaker associations with PFS. Alterations in pre-CT ctDNA were independently associated with OS (HR, 4.46; 95% CI, 1.86-10.69; P = 7.97 × 10-4). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study indicate that prognostic models incorporating ctDNA features are useful in ESCC. Both ctDNA level and NFE2L2 alterations pre-CT and before cycle III were found to be important prognostic factors in palliative groups, and ctDNA alterations after treatment and at 6 months after surgery may define high-risk groups for recurrence in the curative group. High-risk patients can benefit by a timely switch to the next therapeutic options.

Circulating Tumor Cell Enumeration for Serial Monitoring of Treatment Outcomes for Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

We aim to reveal the clinical significance and potential usefulness of dynamic monitoring of CTCs to track therapeutic responses and improve survival for advanced ESCC patients. Peripheral blood (PB) (n = 389) and azygos vein blood (AVB) (n = 13) samplings were recruited prospectively from 88 ESCC patients undergoing curative surgery from 2017 to 2022. Longitudinal CTC enumeration was performed with epithelial (EpCAM/pan-cytokeratins/MUC1) and mesenchymal (vimentin) markers at 12 serial timepoints at any of the pre-treatment, all of the post-treatments/pre-surgery, post-surgery follow-ups for 3-year, and relapse. Longitudinal real-time CTC analysis in PB and AVB suggests more CTCs are released early at pre-surgery and 3-month post-surgery into the circulation from the CTRT group compared to the up-front surgery group. High CTC levels at pre-treatments, 1-/3-month post-surgery, unfavorable changes of CTC levels between all post-treatment/pre-surgery and 1-month or 3-month post-surgery (Hazard Ratio (HR) = 6.662, p < 0.001), were independent prognosticators for curative treatment. The unfavorable pre-surgery CTC status was independent prognostic and predictive for neoadjuvant treatment efficacy (HR = 3.652, p = 0.035). The aggressive CTC clusters were more frequently observed in AVB compared to PB. Its role as an independent prognosticator with relapse was first reported in ESCC (HR = 2.539, p = 0.068). CTC clusters and longitudinal CTC monitoring provide useful prognostic information and potential predictive biomarkers to help guide clinicians in improving disease management.

Liquid Biopsy Serial Monitoring of Treatment Responses and Relapse in Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

(1) Background: Early predictive markers to track treatment responses are needed for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. We examined the prognostication and risk stratification role of liquid biopsy serial monitoring for this deadly cancer. (2) Methods: Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) were isolated from 60 ESCC patients treated by chemotherapy (CT) at five serial timepoints: baseline (CTC1/cfDNA1), CT pre-cycle III (CTC2/cfDNA2), CT post-cycle IV, end of CT and relapse. (3) Results: In 45/57 ESCC patients with evaluable CTC counts at CT pre-cycle III, positive CTC2 (≥3 CTCs) is independently associated with response at interim reassessment and progression-free survival (PFS) in multivariate analysis. In 42/57 ESCC patients with changes of CTC1/CTC2 and cfDNA1/cfDNA2, patients categorized into four risk groups based on the number of favorable and unfavorable changes of CTC1/CTC2 and cfDNA1/cfDNA2, were independently associated with overall survival (OS) by multivariate analysis. (4) Conclusions: CTC counts at pre-cycle III are independently associated with response at interim reassessment and PFS. Combined changes of CTC counts and cfDNA levels from baseline to pre-cycle III are independently associated with OS. Longitudinal liquid biopsy serial monitoring provides complementary information for prediction and prognosis for CT responses in advanced ESCC.