Echocardiography and Electrocardiography in Detecting Atrial Cardiomyopathy: A Promising Path to Predicting Cardioembolic Strokes and Atrial Fibrillation.

(1) Background: Atrial cardiomyopathy constitutes an intrinsically prothrombotic atrial substrate that may promote atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic events, especially stroke, independently of the arrhythmia. Atrial reservoir strain is the echocardiography marker with the most robust evidence supporting its prognostic utility. The main aim of this study is to identify atrial cardiomyopathy by investigating the association between left atrial dysfunction in echocardiography and P-wave abnormalities in the surface electrocardiogram. (2) Methods: This is a community-based, multicenter, prospective cohort study. A randomized sample of 100 patients at a high risk of developing atrial fibrillation were evaluated using diverse echocardiography imaging techniques, and a standard electrocardiogram. (3) Results: Significant left atrial dysfunction, expressed by a left atrial reservoir strain < 26%, showed a relationship with the dilation of the left atrium (p < 0.001), the left atrial ejection fraction < 50% (p < 0.001), the presence of advanced interatrial block (p = 0.032), P-wave voltage in lead I < 0.1 mV (p = 0.008), and MVP ECG score (p = 0.036). (4) Conclusions: A significant relationship was observed between left atrial dysfunction and the presence of left atrial enlargement and other electrocardiography markers; all of them are non-invasive biomarkers of atrial cardiomyopathy.

Epidemiología de la neumonía neumocócica en adultos mayores de 50 años: estudio de cohortes en Cataluña, 2017-2018 / Epidemiology of pneumococcal pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults in Catalonia, 2017–2018

Objetivo: Analizar la incidencia y letalidad de la neumonía neumocócica (NN) en adultos tras la implementación de la vacunación universal en los niños. Diseño: Estudio de cohortes de base poblacional. Emplazamiento: Atención primaria/hospital, Cataluña. Participantes: 2.059.645 personas≥50 años afiliadas al Institut Català de la Salut, con seguimiento retrospectivo entre 01/01/2017-31/12/2018. Mediciones principales: El Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria (SIDIAP) de Cataluña fue usado para establecer las características basales de los miembros de la cohorte, clasificados en 3 estratos de riesgo: bajo (inmunocompetentes sin condiciones de riesgo), medio (inmunocompetentes con alguna condición de riesgo) y alto (inmunocompromiso/asplenia). La ocurrencia de NN entre los miembros de la cohorte fue identificada mediante Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos de los 64 hospitales catalanes de referencia. Resultados: Se registraron 3592 episodios de NN, con una incidencia de 90,7 casos por 100.000 personas-año (IC 95%: 85,2-96,5), siendo 11,9 bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 10,8-13,1) y 78,8 no bacteriémicas (IC 95%: 74,0-83,8). La incidencia aumentó sustancialmente según edad (37,3 en 50-64; 98,3 en 65-79 y 259,8 en ≥80 años) y estrato de riesgo basal (42,1; 120,7 y 238,6 en bajo, medio y alto riesgo, respectivamente). La letalidad global fue del 7,6% (10,8% en casos invasivos vs. 7,1%en no invasivos; p=0,004). En modelos multivariantes, estrato de riesgo alto y edad avanzada (>80 años) fueron los más fuertes predictores para padecer episodios invasivos y no invasivos, respectivamente. Conclusión: La incidencia y letalidad de la NN fue moderada en la población>50 años de Cataluña durante 2017-2018.(AU)

Objective: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. Design: Population-based cohort study. Setting: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. Participants: 2,059,645 individuals ≥50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. Main outcome measures: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. Results: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP=.004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. Conclusion: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017–2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).(AU)

[Epidemiology of pneumococcal pneumonia among middle-aged and older adults in Catalonia, 2017-2018]. / Epidemiología de la neumonía neumocócica en adultos mayores de 50 años: estudio de cohortes en Cataluña, 2017-2018.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse population-based incidence and lethality of pneumococcal pneumonia (PP) requiring hospitalisation among Catalonian adults after universal vaccination implementation in infants. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Primary care/hospital, Catalonia. PARTICIPANTS: 2,059,645 individuals ≥50 years old affiliated to the Institut Catala de la Salut retrospectively followed between 01/01/2017 and 31/12/2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The Catalonian information system for the development of research in primary care (SIDIAP, Sistema de Información para el Desarrollo de la Investigación en Atención Primaria) was used to establish baseline characteristics and risk-strata of cohort members at study start: low-risk (immunocompetent persons without risk conditions), intermediate-risk (immunocompetent persons with at-risk condition) and high-risk (immunocompromising conditions). PP requiring hospitalisation among cohort members across study period were collected from CMBD (Conjunto Mínimo Básico de Datos) discharge data of 64 reference Catalonian hospitals. RESULTS: An amount of 3592 episodes of HPP were observed, with an incidence density of 90.7 cases per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 85.2-96.5), being 11.9 bacteremic (95% CI: 10.8-13.1) and 78.8 non-bacteremic (95% CI: 74.0-83.8). Incidence rates substantially increased by age (37.3 in 50-64 years vs. 98.3 in 65-79 years vs. 259.8 in ≥80 years) and baseline-risk stratum (42.1, 120.7 and 238.6 in low-, intermediate- and high-risk stratum, respectively). Overall case-fatality rate was 7.6% (10.8% in invasive cases vs. 7.1% in non-invasive cases; pP=.004). In multivariable analyses, high-risk stratum and oldest age were the strongest predictors for invasive and non-invasive cases, respectively. CONCLUSION: Incidence and lethality of PP remained moderate among adults >50 years in Catalonia during 2017-2018 (earlier period after universal vaccination introduction for infants).

COVID19-related and all-cause mortality risk among middle-aged and older adults across the first epidemic wave of SARS-COV-2 infection: a population-based cohort stuJune 2020.dy in Southern Catalonia, Spain, March-

BACKGROUND: Direct and indirect COVID19-related mortality is uncertain. This study investigated all-cause and COVID19-related deaths among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic period, assessing mortality risks by pre-existing socio-demographic and medical underlying conditions. METHODS: Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (age/sex, comorbidities and medications/vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and main outcomes were COVID19-related deaths (those occurred among patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID19) and all-cause deaths occurred among cohort members between 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Mortality risks were assessed by Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Cohort members were followed for 1,356,358 persons-weeks, occurring 576 all-cause deaths (124 COVID19-related deaths). Of the 124 deceased patients with a laboratory-confirmed COVID19, 112 (90.3%) died by (due to) COVID-19, while 12 (9.7%) died with COVID-19 (but likely due to other concomitant causes). All-cause mortality rate among cohort members across study period was 42.5 deaths per 100,000 persons-week, being 22.8 among healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, 236.4 in COVID19-excluded/PCR-negative subjects, 493.7 in COVID19-compatible/PCR-unperformed subjects and 4009.1 in COVID19-confirmed patients. Increasing age, sex male, nursing-home residence, cancer, neurologic, cardiac or liver disease, receiving diuretics, systemic corticosteroids, proton-pump inhibitors and benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality; conversely, receiving renin-angiotensin inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced risk. Age/years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-1.10), sex male (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.24-2.70), nursing-home residence (HR: 12.56; 95% CI: 8.07-19.54) and number of pre-existing comorbidities (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.01-1.29) were significant predictors for COVID19-related mortality, but none specific comorbidity emerged significantly associated with an increased risk in multivariable analysis evaluating it. CONCLUSION: COVID19-related deaths represented more than 20 % of all-cause mortality occurred among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of the pandemic in the region. A considerable proportion (around 10 %) of these COVID19-related deaths could be attributed to other concomitant causes. Theoretically COVID19-excluded subjects (PCR-negative) suffered ten-times greater all-cause mortality than healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, which points to the existence of considerable number of false negative results in earlier PCR testing and could explain part of the global excess all-cause mortality observed during the pandemic.

[Treatment setting, symptomatology, clinical course, severity degree and case-fatality rate in 536 adults over 50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Tarragona, Spain, March-June 2020.] / Lugar de atención, sintomatología y curso clínico, gravedad y letalidad en 536 casos confirmados de COVID-19 en adultos mayores de 50 años en el área de Tarragona, marzo-junio de 2020.

OBJECTIVE: Population-based clinical data on COVID-19 is scarce. This study analyzed distinct clinical characteristics of COVID-19 and relationships with lethality among adults. METHODS: Retrospective cohort that included all population ≥50 years with a laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 in Tarragona, Spain, during 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Treatment setting (outpatient/hospital/nursing-home), pre-existing comorbidities, signs/symptoms, clinical course, severity and lethality (death from any cause in-hospital or within the first 30-day after the diagnosis) were determined. Chi squared and Fisher's test were used to compare percentages. RESULTS: Of the 536 overall cases (mean age: 74 years; 43.8% male), 150 (28%) were outpatient, 179 (33.4%) were hospitalised and 207 (38.6%) happened in nursing-home/social-health centres. The most prevalent symptoms were fever (57.9%), cough (49.8%), dyspnea (41.5%), general discomfort (36.2%), fatigue (24.4%), diarrhea (19.6%), myalgias (17.3%), headache (14.6%), confusion/lethargy (14.6%), thoracic pain (10%), anosmia (9.8%), disgeusia/ageusia (8.1%) and sore throat (7.7%). Global lethality was 23.1% (1.7% in 50-64 years vs 25.5% in 65-79 years vs 38.7% in ≥80 years, p<0.001; 26.8% in men vs 20.3% in women, p=0.075; 3.3% in outpatient vs 29.6% in hospitalised vs 31.9% in nursing-home/social-health centres, p<0.001). By symptomatology, maximum lethality was observed among patients with confusion/lethargy (77.6%) and minimum among those with ageusia/disgeusia (4.8%), anosmia (3.9%) or myalgias (1.1%). By pre-existing comorbidities, greater lethality happened among patients with neurologic (36.7%), renal (35.4%) and cardiac disease (35.3%). CONCLUSIONS: There was a relatively great lethality of COVID-19 among the general population ≥50 years across the first epidemic wave in the study setting. Increasing age, male sex, nursing-home residence and several signs/symptoms and comorbidities were associated with higher mortality.

OBJETIVO: Los datos clínicos de ámbito poblacional sobre COVID-19 son escasos. Este estudio analizó distintas características de presentación de la enfermedad y su relación con letalidad en adultos de 50 años y más. METODOS: Cohorte retrospectiva que incluyó todas las personas mayores o con 50 años con diagnóstico confirmado de COVID-19 en Tarragona del 01/03/2020 al 30/06/2020 (n=536). Se valoró el lugar de atención/tratamiento (ambulatorio/hospital/residencia), las comorbilidades previas, los signos/síntomas de presentación, el curso clínico, la gravedad y la letalidad (muerte por cualquier causa en 30 días post-diagnóstico). Chi cuadrado y test exacto de Fisher se usaron para la comparación de proporciones. RESULTADOS: De los 536 casos (edad media 74 años, 43,8% varones), 150 (28%) fueron ambulatorios, 179 (33,4%) hospitalizados y 207 (38,6%) ocurrieron en residencias/sociosanitarios. Los síntomas más prevalentes fueron fiebre (57,9%), tos (49,8%), disnea (41,5%, malestar general (36,2%), fatiga (24,4%), diarrea (19,6%), mialgias (17,3%), cefalea (14,6%), confusión/letargia (14,6%), dolor torácico (10%), anosmia (9,8%), disgeusia/ageusia (8,1%) y odinofagia (7,7%). La letalidad global fue 23,1% (1,7% en 50-64 años, 25,5% en 65-79 años y 38,7% en ≥80 años, p<0,001; 26,8% en hombres vs 20,3% en mujeres, p=0,075; 3,3% en ambulatorio/domicilio vs 29,6% en hospitalizados vs 31,9% en residencias/sociosanitarios, p<0,001). Según sintomatología, la máxima letalidad se observó en pacientes con confusión/letargia (77,6%) y la mínima en aquellos con ageusia/disgeusia (4,8%), anosmia (3,9%) o mialgias (1,1%). Según la comorbilidad, la máxima letalidad apareció en pacientes con enfermedad neurológica (36,7%), renal (35,4%) y cardiaca (35,3%). CONCLUSIONES: Se constata una relativamente alta letalidad de la COVID-19 en la población general mayor o de 50 años durante la primera ola epidémica. La edad avanzada, el sexo varón, la institucionalización y la presencia de algunos signos/síntomas y/o comorbilidades se asociaron con mayor mortalidad.

Development of a predictive prognostic rule for early assessment of COVID-19 patients in primary care settings / Desarrollo de una escala predictiva simple para la valoración pronóstica de pacientes COVID19 en atención primaria

Objective: To investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients. Design: Community-based retrospective cohort. Setting: Primary Health Care Tarragona region. Participants: 282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Main outcome measurements: Relationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed. Results: Of the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30–150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1–81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01–1.07; p=0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54–18.48; p=0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74–10.69; p<0.001) and myalgias (OR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.10–0.93; p=0.038) remained significantly associated with increased or reduced risk. A proposed CD65-M prognostic rule (acronym of above mentioned 4 variables) showed a good correlation with the risk of suffering critical outcome (area under ROC curve: 0.828; 95% CI: 0.774–0.882).(AU)

Objetivo: Investigar posibles factores pronósticos y escalas predictivas simples en adultos mayores con COVID-19. Diseño: Cohorte retrospectiva de base comunitaria. Emplazamiento: Atención Primaria Tarragona. Participantes: 282 adultos ≥50años no institucionalizados con COVID-19 confirmada (hospitalizada o ambulatoria) ocurrida durante marzo-junio de 2020. Mediciones principales: La relación entre covariables basales (edad, sexo, condiciones/comorbilidades preexistentes y sintomatología inicial) y el riesgo de mala evolución (ingreso en UCI o muerte) se analizó mediante modelos de regresión logística. Resultados: De los 282 casos de COVID-19 (edad media 65,9años; 49,6% varones), 154 (54,6%) fueron hospitalizados (30 ingresados en UCI) y 45 (16%) fallecieron. En total, 64 (22,7%) requirieron UCI o fallecieron. La mediana de tiempo de seguimiento durante el curso clínico fue de 31días (rango: 30-150) en los pacientes que sobrevivieron y de 14días (rango: 1-81) en fallecidos. En análisis crudos, la edad/años, sexo varón, algunas comorbilidades (enfermedad renal, respiratoria o cardiaca, diabetes e hipertensión) y síntomas (confusión/letargia, disnea) se asociaron con mayor riesgo de UCI/muerte, mientras que otros síntomas (rinorrea, mialgias, cefalea, ageusia/anosmia) se asociaron con menor riesgo. En análisis multivariable solo la edad/años (OR: 1,04; IC95%: 1,01-1,07; p=0,004), confusión/letargia (OR: 5,33; IC95%: 1,54-18,48; p=0,008), disnea (OR: 5,41; IC95%: 2,74-10,69; p<0,001) y mialgias (OR: 0,30; IC95%: 0,10-0,93; p=0,038) permanecieron significativamente asociadas con mayor/menor riesgo. Una posible escala pronóstica CD65-M (acrónimo de las 4 variables mencionadas) mostró buena correlación con el riesgo de UCI/muerte (área bajo la curva ROC: 0,828; IC95%: 0,774-0,882).(AU)

Development of a predictive prognostic rule for early assessment of COVID-19 patients in primary care settings.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients. DESIGN: Community-based retrospective cohort. SETTING: Primary Health Care Tarragona region. PARTICIPANTS: 282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Relationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed. RESULTS: Of the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30-150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1-81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01-1.07; p=0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54-18.48; p=0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74-10.69; p<0.001) and myalgias (OR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.10-0.93; p=0.038) remained significantly associated with increased or reduced risk. A proposed CD65-M prognostic rule (acronym of above mentioned 4 variables) showed a good correlation with the risk of suffering critical outcome (area under ROC curve: 0.828; 95% CI: 0.774-0.882). CONCLUSION: Clinical course of COVID-19 is early unpredictable, but simple clinical tools as the proposed CD65-M rule (pending external validation) may be helpful assessing these patients in primary care settings.