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1.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 119(5): 1321-1328, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38403166

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Sodium and potassium measured in 24-h urine collections are often used as reference measurements to validate self-reported dietary intake instruments. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether collection and analysis of a limited number of urine voids at specified times during the day ("timed voids") can provide alternative reference measurements, and to identify their optimal number and timing. METHODS: We used data from a urine calibration study among 441 adults aged 18-39 y. Participants collected each urine void in a separate container for 24 h and recorded the collection time. For the same day, they reported dietary intake using a 24-h recall. Urinary sodium and potassium were analyzed in a 24-h composite sample and in 4 timed voids (morning, afternoon, evening, and overnight). Linear regression models were used to develop equations predicting log-transformed 24-h urinary sodium or potassium levels using each of the 4 single timed voids, 6 pairs, and 4 triples. The equations also included age, sex, race, BMI (kg/m2), and log creatinine. Optimal combinations minimizing the mean squared prediction error were selected, and the observed and predicted 24-h levels were then used as reference measures to estimate the group bias and attenuation factors of the 24-h dietary recall. These estimates were compared. RESULTS: Optimal combinations found were as follows: single voids-evening; paired voids-afternoon + overnight (sodium) and morning + evening (potassium); and triple voids-morning + evening + overnight (sodium) and morning + afternoon + evening (potassium). Predicted 24-h urinary levels estimated 24-h recall group biases and attenuation factors without apparent bias, but with less precision than observed 24-h urinary levels. To recover lost precision, it was estimated that sample sizes need to be increased by ∼2.6-2.7 times for a single void, 1.7-2.1 times for paired voids, and 1.5-1.6 times for triple voids. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide the basis for further development of new reference biomarkers based on timed voids. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY: clinicaltrials.gov as NCT01631240.


Subject(s)
Potassium , Self Report , Sodium , Humans , Adult , Male , Female , Young Adult , Sodium/urine , Adolescent , Potassium/urine , Calibration , Sodium, Dietary/urine , Sodium, Dietary/administration & dosage , Urine Specimen Collection/methods , Diet , Urinalysis/methods , Urinalysis/standards , Reproducibility of Results
2.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(1): e2350408, 2024 Jan 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38175642

ABSTRACT

Importance: Concerns have been raised that glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) may increase the risk of pancreatic cancer. Objective: To investigate the association of GLP-1RA treatment with pancreatic cancer incidence over 9 years of follow-up. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this population-based historical cohort study, adult patients (aged 21 to 89 years) with type 2 diabetes insured by Clalit Healthcare Services, the largest state-mandated health organization in Israel, were followed up from 2009, when GLP-1RA became available in Israel, until pancreatic cancer diagnosis, death, reaching age 90 years, or end of follow-up (December 2017). Data were analyzed from June 2022 to November 2023. Exposures: Treatment with GLP-1RA was compared with basal insulin. Main Outcome and Measures: Pancreatic cancer incidence was compared according to weighted cumulative exposures to GLP-1RA and to basal insulin in a Cox model implemented in discrete time, with time origin at 2 years after diabetes diagnosis, adjusting for confounding. In sensitivity analyses, propensity score-matched pair new-user design and prevalent new-user design were used for the comparison. Because of risk for reverse-causation bias, results in the fifth to seventh year after medication were emphasized. Results: During a cumulative follow-up of 3 290 439 person-years of 543 595 adults with a mean (SD) age of 59.9 (12.8) years (277 502 women [51%]) with incident diabetes, 1665 patients received pancreatic cancer diagnoses. In total, 33 377 patients (6.1%) used GLP-1RA and 106 849 (19.7%) used basal insulin. The estimated hazard ratio (HR) for pancreatic cancer associated with incremental use of 1 defined daily dose per day of GLP-1RA compared with basal insulin in the fifth to seventh year previously (all other characteristics, including age, sex, ethnic background, sociodemographic status, baseline body mass index, smoking history, history of pancreatitis, other glucose-lowering medications treatment history, and length of diabetes, being equal) was 0.50 (95% CI, 0.15-1.71). The new-user and prevalent new-user designs showed HRs from the fifth year onwards following initiation of GLP-1RA vs basal insulin of 0.52 (95 % CI, 0.19-1.41) and 0.75 (95 % CI, 0.37-1.53), respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: In this historical cohort study of adults with type 2 diabetes, no support for an increased pancreatic cancer incidence over 7 years following start of GLP-1RA treatment was found. However, monitoring for pancreatic cancer risk beyond 7 years following initiation of therapy is still required. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02072902.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists , Insulins , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Adult , Female , Humans , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/drug therapy , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/epidemiology , Pancreatic Neoplasms/epidemiology , Male , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Aged, 80 and over
3.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 163: 111-116, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37774957

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to address limitations in assessing vaccine protection using the classical vaccine effectiveness (VE) measure, especially in contexts where a significant portion of the population is already vaccinated or infected. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We propose using the adjusted number of cases (ANC) as a building block for deriving vaccine effectiveness measures. This approach accounts for biases arising from small and unrepresentative unvaccinated reference groups with incomplete data. We demonstrate the use of these measures for assessing the protection conferred by a booster dose against severe COVID-19 using data from Israel. RESULTS: The use of ANC and the derived measures reveals a more comprehensive understanding of the complex immunity landscape compared to traditional VE measures. This approach enables meaningful comparisons between different vaccination categories and provides insights to inform policy decisions. CONCLUSION: In situations with widespread vaccination and prior infections, traditional VE measures can be limited in their informative value. Using the ANC offers a more robust and insightful assessment of vaccine effectiveness. A demonstration of the evaluation of booster dose protection against severe COVID-19 in Israel underscores the importance of adopting complementary measures to guide public health strategies.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Humans , Vaccination , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Israel/epidemiology , Public Health
4.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 161: 46-52, 2023 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37437786

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To examine the effects of reverse causation on estimates from the weighted cumulative exposure (WCE) model that is used in pharmacoepidemiology to explore drug-health outcome associations, and to identify sensitivity analyses for revealing such effects. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: 314,099 patients with diabetes under Clalit Health Services, Israel, were followed over 2002-2012. The association between metformin and pancreatic cancer (PC) was explored using a WCE model within the framework of discrete-time Cox regression. We used computer simulations to explore the effects of reverse causation on estimates of a WCE model and to examine sensitivity analyses for revealing and adjusting for reverse causation. We then applied those sensitivity analyses to our data. RESULTS: Simulation demonstrated bias in the weighted cumulative exposure model and showed that sensitivity analysis could reveal and adjust for these biases. In our data, a positive association was observed (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.24, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.24-4.73) with metformin exposure in the previous 2 years. After applying sensitivity analysis, assuming reverse causation operated up to 4 years before cancer diagnosis, the association between metformin and PC was no longer apparent. CONCLUSION: Reverse causation can cause substantial bias in the WCE model. When suspected, sensitivity analyses based on causal analysis are advocated.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Metformin , Humans , Metformin/adverse effects , Risk Factors , Causality , Bias , Pancreatic Neoplasms
5.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 77(8): 527-533, 2023 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37339872

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Health inequities can stem from socioeconomic position (SEP) leading to poor health (social causation) or poor health resulting in lower SEP (health selection). We aimed to examine the longitudinal bidirectional SEP-health associations and identify inequity risk factors. METHODS: Longitudinal Household Israeli Panel survey participants (waves 1-4), age ≥25 years, were included (N=11 461; median follow-up=3 years). Health rated on a 4-point scale was dichotomised as excellent/good and fair/poor. Predictors included SEP parameters (education, income, employment), immigration, language proficiency and population group. Mixed models accounting for survey method and household ties were used. RESULTS: Examining social causation, male sex (adjusted OR 1.4; 95% CI 1.1 to 1.8), being unmarried, Arab minority (OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.6 to 3.7, vs Jewish), immigration (OR 2.5; 95% CI 1.5 to 4.2, reference=native) and less than complete language proficiency (OR 2.22; 95% CI 1.50 to 3.28) were associated with fair/poor health. Higher education and income were protective, with 60% lower odds of subsequently reporting fair/poor health and 50% lower disability likelihood. Accounting for baseline health, higher education and income were associated with lower likelihood of health deterioration, while Arab minority, immigration and limited language proficiency were associated with higher likelihood. Regarding health selection, longitudinal income was lower among participants reporting poor baseline health (85%; 95% CI 73% to 100%, reference=excellent), disability (94%; 95% CI 88% to 100%), limited language proficiency (86%; 95% CI 81% to 91%, reference=full/excellent), being single (91%; 95% CI 87% to 95%, reference=married), or Arab (88%; 95% CI 83% to 92%, reference=Jews/other). CONCLUSION: Policy aimed at reducing health inequity should address both social causation (language, cultural, economic and social barriers to good health) and health selection (protecting income during illness and disability).


Subject(s)
Employment , Income , Humans , Male , Adult , Socioeconomic Factors , Educational Status , Surveys and Questionnaires , Social Class
7.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(5): e2314757, 2023 05 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37219906

ABSTRACT

Importance: A correlation between antibody levels and risk of infection has been demonstrated for the wild-type, Alpha, and Delta SARS-COV-2 variants. High rates of breakthrough infections by the Omicron variant emphasized the need to investigate whether the humoral response elicited by mRNA vaccines is also associated with reduced risk of Omicron infection and disease. Objective: To investigate whether the high antibody levels in individuals who have received at least 3 doses of an mRNA vaccine are associated with reduced risk of Omicron infection and disease. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study used serial real time-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and serological test data from January and May 2022 to assess the association of preinfection immunoglobin G (IgG) and neutralizing antibody titers with incidence of Omicron variant infection, incidence of symptomatic disease, and infectivity. Participants included health care workers who had received 3 or 4 doses of an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. Data were analyzed from May to August 2022. Exposures: Levels of SARS-CoV-2 anti-receptor binding domain IgG and neutralizing antibodies. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes were incidence of Omicron infection, incidence of symptomatic disease, and infectivity. Outcomes were measured using SARS-COV-2 PCR and antigen testing and daily online surveys regarding symptomatic disease. Results: This study included 3 cohorts for 3 different analyses: 2310 participants were included in the protection from infection analysis (4689 exposure events; median [IQR] age, 50 [40-60] years; 3590 [76.6%] among female health care workers), 667 participants (median [IQR] age, 46.28 (37.44,54.8); 516 [77.4%] female) in the symptomatic disease analysis, and 532 participants (median [IQR] age, 48 [39-56] years; 403 [75.8%] female) in the infectivity analysis. Lower odds of infection were observed for each 10-fold increase in preinfection IgG (odds ratio [OR], 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.90) and for each 2-fold increase in neutralizing antibody titers (OR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.83-0.95). The odds of substantial symptomatic disease were reduced for each 10-fold increase in IgG levels (OR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.29-0.78) and for each 2-fold increase in neutralizing antibodies levels (OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.76-0.96). Infectivity, assessed by mean cycle threshold value, was not significantly decreased with increasing IgG or neutralizing antibodies titers. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of vaccinated health care workers, IgG and neutralizing antibody titer levels were associated with protection against infection with the Omicron variant and against symptomatic disease.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Female , Middle Aged , Male , Israel , COVID-19 Vaccines , Cohort Studies , Prospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2 , Antibodies, Neutralizing , Health Personnel , Immunoglobulin G
8.
Am J Epidemiol ; 192(8): 1406-1414, 2023 08 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37092245

ABSTRACT

Regression calibration is a popular approach for correcting biases in estimated regression parameters when exposure variables are measured with error. This approach involves building a calibration equation to estimate the value of the unknown true exposure given the error-prone measurement and other covariates. The estimated, or calibrated, exposure is then substituted for the unknown true exposure in the health outcome regression model. When used properly, regression calibration can greatly reduce the bias induced by exposure measurement error. Here, we first provide an overview of the statistical framework for regression calibration, specifically discussing how a special type of error, called Berkson error, arises in the estimated exposure. We then present practical issues to consider when applying regression calibration, including: 1) how to develop the calibration equation and which covariates to include; 2) valid ways to calculate standard errors of estimated regression coefficients; and 3) problems arising if one of the covariates in the calibration model is a mediator of the relationship between the exposure and outcome. Throughout, we provide illustrative examples using data from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (United States, 2008-2011) and simulations. We conclude with recommendations for how to perform regression calibration.


Subject(s)
Public Health , Humans , Calibration , Regression Analysis , Bias
9.
J Nutr ; 153(6): 1816-1824, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37030594

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Recently, we confirmed 24-h urinary sucrose plus fructose (24 uSF) as a predictive biomarker of total sugar intake. However, the collection of 24-h urine samples has limited feasibility in population studies. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the utility of the urinary sucrose plus fructose (uSF) biomarker measured in spot urine as a measure of 24 uSF biomarker and total sugar intake. METHODS: Hundred participants, 18-70 y of age, from the Phoenix Metropolitan Area completed a 15-d feeding study. For 2 of the 8 collected 24-h urine samples, each spot urine sample was collected in a separate container. We considered 4 timed voids of the day [morning (AM) void: first void 08:30-12:30; afternoon (PM) void: first void 12:31-17:30; evening (EVE) void: first void 17:31-12:00; and next-day (ND) void: first void 04:00-12:00]. We investigated the performance of uSF from 1 void, and uSF combined from 2 and 3 voids as a measure of 24 uSF and sugar intake. RESULTS: The biomarker averaged from PM/EVE void strongly correlated with 24 uSF (partial r = 0.75). The 24 uSF predicted from the PM/EVE combination was significantly associated with observed sugar intake and was selected for building the calibrated biomarker equation (marginal R2 = 0.36). Spot urine-based calibrated biomarker, ie, biomarker-estimated sugar intake was moderately correlated with the 15-d mean-observed sugar intake (r = 0.50). CONCLUSIONS: uSF measured from a PM and EVE void may be used to generate biomarker-based sugar intake estimate when collecting 24-h urine samples is not feasible, pending external validation.


Subject(s)
Fructose , Sodium , Humans , Sodium/urine , Urine Specimen Collection , Dietary Carbohydrates , Biomarkers/urine , Sucrose
10.
Commun Biol ; 6(1): 315, 2023 03 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36959496

ABSTRACT

Following evidence of waning immunity against both infection and severe disease after 2 doses of the BNT162b2 vaccine, Israel began administering a 3rd BNT162b2 dose (booster) in July 2021. Recent studies showed that the 3rd dose provides a much lower protection against infection with the Omicron variant compared to the Delta variant and that this protection wanes quickly. However, there is little evidence regarding the protection of the 3rd dose against Omicron (BA.1/BA.2) severe disease. In this study, we estimate the preservation of immunity from severe disease up to 7 months after receiving the booster dose. We calculate rates of severe SARS-CoV-2 disease between groups of individuals aged 60 and above, comparing those who received two doses at least 4 months previously to those who received the 3rd dose (stratified by the time from vaccination), and to those who received a 4th dose. The analysis shows that protection conferred by the 3rd dose against Omicron severe disease did not wane over a 7-month period. Moreover, a 4th dose further improved protection, with a severe disease rate approximately 3-fold lower than in the 3-dose cohorts.


Subject(s)
BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Israel/epidemiology
12.
Stat Med ; 42(5): 600-602, 2023 02 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36752038
13.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 23(1): 67-73, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36096146

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) two-dose vaccine regiment for children and the BNT162b2 third dose for adolescents were approved shortly before the SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) outbreak in Israel. We aimed to estimate the effects of these vaccines on the rates of confirmed infection against the omicron variant in children and adolescents. METHODS: In this observational cohort study, we extracted data for the omicron-dominated (sublineage BA.1) period. We compared rates of confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between children aged 5-10 years 14-35 days after receiving the second vaccine dose with an internal control group of children 3-7 days after receiving the first dose (when the vaccine is not yet effective). Similarly, we compared confirmed infection rates in adolescents aged 12-15 years 14-60 days after receiving a booster dose with an internal control group of adolescents 3-7 days after receiving the booster dose. We used Poisson regression, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic status, calendar week, and exposure. FINDINGS: Between Dec 26, 2021, and Jan 8, 2022, we included 1 158 289 participants. In children aged 5-10 years, the adjusted rate of confirmed infection was 2·3 times (95% CI 2·0-2·5) lower in children who received a second dose than in the internal control group. The adjusted infection rate in children who received a second dose was 102 infections per 100 000 risk-days (94-110) compared with 231 infections per 100 000 risk-days (215-248) in the corresponding internal control cohort. In adolescents aged 12-15 years, the booster dose decreased confirmed infection rates by 3·3 times (2·8-4·0) compared with in the internal control group. The adjusted infection rate of the booster cohort was 70 per 100 000 risk-days (60-81) compared with 232 per 100 000 risk-days (212-254) in the internal control cohort. INTERPRETATION: A recent two-dose vaccination regimen with BNT162b2 and a recent booster dose in adolescents substantially reduced the rate of confirmed infection compared with the internal control groups. Future studies are needed to assess the duration of this protection and protection against other outcomes such as paediatric inflammatory multisystem syndrome temporally associated with SARS-CoV-2 and long-COVID. FUNDING: None.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Adolescent , Child , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Israel/epidemiology , Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome , BNT162 Vaccine
14.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(7): 1315-1317, 2023 04 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36366729

ABSTRACT

The correlation between anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 antibody levels and infection was reported. Here, we estimated the role of pre-fourth dose levels using data from 1098 healthcare workers. The risk of infection was reduced by 46% (95% confidence interval, 29%-59%) for each 10-fold increase in prebooster levels. Prebooster antibody levels could be used to optimally time boosters.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Vaccination , Immunization, Secondary , Antibodies, Viral , Health Personnel
15.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 7711, 2022 12 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36513665

ABSTRACT

Booster doses for the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic are under consideration in many countries. We report a three-month follow-up of 700 participants in a fourth vaccine dose study, comparing BNT162b2 and mRNA1273, administered four months after a third BNT162b2 dose. The primary outcomes are the levels of IgG, neutralizing antibodies, and microneutralization and the secondary outcomes are the levels of IgA and T cell activation, and clinical outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection and substantial symptomatic disease. Waning of the immune response is evident during follow-up, with an 11% (ß = 0.89, 95% CI, 0.88-0.9) and 21% (ß = 0.79, 95% CI, 0.76-0.82) multiplicative decay per week of IgG and neutralizing antibodies, respectively, in the mRNA1273 group, and of 14% (ß = 0.86, 95% CI, 0.86-0.87) and 26% (ß = 0.74, 95% CI, 0.72-0.76), respectively, in the BNT162b2 group. Direct neutralization of Omicron variants is low relative to ancestral strains. Cumulatively over the study period, both vaccines show little efficacy against infection but were highly efficacious against substantial symptomatic disease [89% [(IRR 0.11, 95% CI, 0.02-0.37) and 71% (IRR 0.29, 95% CI, 0.13-0.57) for mRNA1273 and BNT162b2, respectively]. These results are informative for further boosting policy-making. Trial registration numbers (clinicaltrials.gov): NCT05231005 and NCT05230953.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Humans , BNT162 Vaccine , Follow-Up Studies , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2/genetics , Antibodies, Neutralizing , Immunoglobulin G , Antibodies, Viral
17.
Nutrients ; 14(20)2022 Oct 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36296992

ABSTRACT

Previous studies suggest that amino acid carbon stable isotope ratios (CIRAAs) may serve as biomarkers of added sugar (AS) intake, but this has not been tested in a demographically diverse population. We conducted a 15-day feeding study of U.S. adults, recruited across sex, age, and BMI groups. Participants consumed personalized diets that resembled habitual intake, assessed using two consecutive 7-day food records. We measured serum (n = 99) CIRAAs collected at the end of the feeding period and determined correlations with diet. We used forward selection to model AS intake using participant characteristics and 15 CIRAAs. This model was internally validated using bootstrap optimism correction. Median (25th, 75th percentile) AS intake was 65.2 g/day (44.7, 81.4) and 9.5% (7.2%, 12.4%) of energy. The CIR of alanine had the highest, although modest, correlation with AS intake (r = 0.32, p = 0.001). Serum CIRAAs were more highly correlated with animal food intakes, especially the ratio of animal to total protein. The AS model included sex, body weight and 6 CIRAAs. This model had modest explanatory power (multiple R2 = 0.38), and the optimism-corrected R2 was lower (R2 = 0.15). Further investigations in populations with wider ranges of AS intake are warranted.


Subject(s)
Amino Acids , Diet , Animals , Humans , Carbon Isotopes , Biomarkers , Alanine , Sugars , Feeding Behavior , Energy Intake
18.
JAMA Netw Open ; 5(9): e2231778, 2022 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36107426

ABSTRACT

Importance: The BNT162b2 two-dose vaccine (BioNTech/Pfizer) has high effectiveness that wanes within several months. The third dose is effective in mounting a significant immune response, but its durability is unknown. Objective: To compare antibody waning after second and third doses and estimate the association of antibody kinetics with susceptibility to infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2. Design, Setting, and Participants: In a prospective longitudinal cohort study in a tertiary medical center in Israel, health care workers who received the BNT162b2 vaccine were followed up monthly for IgG and neutralizing antibody levels. Linear mixed models were used to compare antibody titer waning of second and third doses and to assess whether antibody dynamics were associated with Omicron transmission. Avidity, T cell activation, and microneutralization of sera against different variants of concern were assessed for a subgroup. Exposure: Vaccination with a booster dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the rate of antibody titer change over time, and the secondary outcome was SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant infection, as confirmed by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction. Results: Overall, 4868 health care workers (mean [SD] age, 46.9 [13.7] years; 3558 [73.1%] women) and 3972 health care workers (mean [SD] age, 48.5 [14.1] years; 996 [74.9%] women) were followed up for 5 months after their second and third vaccine doses, respectively. Waning of IgG levels was slower after the third compared with the second dose (1.32%/d [95% CI, 1,29%/d to 1.36%/d] vs 2.26% [95% CI, 2.13%/d 2.38%/d]), as was waning of neutralizing antibody levels (1.32%/d [95% CI, 1.21%/d to 1.43%/d] vs 3.34%/d [95% CI, 3.11%/d to 3.58%/d]). Among 2865 health care workers assessed for Omicron incidence during an additional 2 months of follow-up, lower IgG peak (ratio of means 0.86 [95% CI, 0.80-0.91]) was associated with Omicron infection, and among participants aged 65 years and older, faster waning of IgG and neutralizing antibodies (ratio of mean rates, 1.40; [95% CI, 1.13-1.68] and 3.58 [95% CI, 1.92-6.67], respectively) were associated with Omicron infection. No waning in IgG avidity was observed 112 days after the third dose. Live neutralization of Omicron was lower compared with previous strains, with a geometric mean titer at the peak of 111 (95% CI, 75-166), compared with 942 (95% CI, 585-1518) for WT, 410 (95% CI, 266-634) for Delta; it demonstrated similar waning to 26 (95% CI, 16-42) within 4 months. Among 77 participants tested for T cell activity, mean (SD) T cell activity decreased from 98 (5.4) T cells/106 peripheral blood mononuclear cells to 59 (9.3) T cells/106 peripheral blood mononuclear cells. Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that the third vaccine dose was associated with greater durability than the second dose; however, Omicron was associated with greater resistance to neutralization than wild type and Delta variants of concern. Humoral response dynamics were associated with susceptibility to Omicron infection.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Adult , Antibodies, Neutralizing , Antibodies, Viral , BNT162 Vaccine , COVID-19/prevention & control , Female , Humans , Immunity , Immunoglobulin G , Leukocytes, Mononuclear , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , RNA-Directed DNA Polymerase , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination
19.
Euro Surveill ; 27(39)2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36177870

ABSTRACT

We assess the immunogenicity and efficacy of Spikevax and Comirnaty as fourth dose COVID-19 vaccines. Six months post-fourth-dose, IgG levels were higher than pre-fourth dose at 1.58-fold (95% CI: 1.27-1.97) in Spikevax and 1.16-fold (95% CI: 0.98-1.37) in Comirnaty vaccinees. Nearly 60% (159/274) of vaccinees contracted SARS-CoV-2. Infection hazard ratios (HRs) for Spikevax (0.82; 95% CI: 0.62-1.09) and Comirnaty (0.86; 95% CI: 0.65-1.13) vaccinees were similar, as were substantial-disease HRs, i.e. 0.28 (95% CI: 0.13-0.62) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.27-0.96), respectively.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevention & control , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Immunoglobulin G , Israel/epidemiology , RNA, Messenger , SARS-CoV-2/genetics
20.
J Gen Intern Med ; 37(12): 3128-3133, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35794306

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Renal failure (RF) is a risk factor for mortality among hospitalized patients. However, its role in COVID-19-related morbidity and mortality is inconclusive. The aim of the study was to determine whether RF is a significant predictor of clinical outcomes in COVID-19 hospitalized patients based on a retrospective, nationwide, cohort study. METHODS: The study sample consisted of patients hospitalized in Israel for COVID-19 in two periods. A random sample of these admissions was selected, and experienced nurses extracted the data from the electronic files. The group with RF on admission was compared to the group of patients without RF. The association of RF with 30-day mortality was investigated using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: During the two periods, 19,308 and 2994 patients were admitted, from which a random sample of 4688 patients was extracted. The 30-day mortality rate for patients with RF was 30% (95% confidence interval (CI): 27-33%) compared to 8% (95% CI: 7-9%) among patients without RF. The estimated OR for 30-day mortality among RF versus other patients was 4.3 (95% CI: 3.7-5.1) and after adjustment for confounders was 2.2 (95% CI: 1.8-2.6). Furthermore, RF patients received treatment by vasopressors and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) more frequently than those without RF (vasopressors: 17% versus 6%, OR = 2.8, p<0.0001; IMV: 17% versus 7%, OR = 2.6, p<0.0001). DISCUSSION: RF is an independent risk factor for mortality, IMV, and the need for vasopressors among patients hospitalized for COVID-19 infection. Therefore, this condition requires special attention when considering preventive tools, monitoring, and treatment.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Renal Insufficiency , COVID-19/therapy , Cohort Studies , Humans , Israel/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency/epidemiology , Renal Insufficiency/therapy , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
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