Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Hospitalization During Chemoradiotherapy With Daily Step Counts.

Importance: Toxic effects of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) can cause treatment interruptions and hospitalizations, reducing treatment efficacy and increasing health care costs. Physical activity monitoring may enable early identification of patients at high risk for hospitalization who may benefit from proactive intervention. Objective: To develop and validate machine learning (ML) approaches based on daily step counts collected by wearable devices on prospective trials to predict hospitalizations during CRT. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study included patients with a variety of cancers enrolled from June 2015 to August 2018 on 3 prospective, single-institution trials of activity monitoring using wearable devices during CRT. Patients were followed up during and 1 month following CRT. Training and validation cohorts were generated temporally, stratifying for cancer diagnosis (70:30). Random forest, neural network, and elastic net-regularized logistic regression (EN) were trained to predict short-term hospitalization risk based on a combination of clinical characteristics and the preceding 2 weeks of activity data. To predict outcomes of activity data, models based only on activity-monitoring features and only on clinical features were trained and evaluated. Data analysis was completed from January 2022 to March 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Model performance was evaluated in terms of the receiver operating characteristic area under curve (ROC AUC) in the stratified temporal validation cohort. Results: Step counts from 214 patients (median [range] age, 61 [53-68] years; 113 [52.8%] male) were included. EN based on step counts and clinical features had high predictive ability (ROC AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.66-0.92), outperforming random forest (ROC AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.56-0.87; P = .02) and neural network (ROC AUC, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.71-0.88; P = .36). In an ablation study, the EN model based on only step counts demonstrated greater predictive ability than the EN model with step counts and clinical features (ROC AUC, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.70-0.93; P = .09). Both models outperformed the EN model trained on only clinical features (ROC AUC, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.31-0.66; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: This study developed and validated a ML model based on activity-monitoring data collected during prospective clinical trials. Patient-generated health data have the potential to advance predictive ability of ML approaches. The resulting model from this study will be evaluated in an upcoming multi-institutional, cooperative group randomized trial.

Automated digital TIL analysis (ADTA) adds prognostic value to standard assessment of depth and ulceration in primary melanoma.

Accurate prognostic biomarkers in early-stage melanoma are urgently needed to stratify patients for clinical trials of adjuvant therapy. We applied a previously developed open source deep learning algorithm to detect tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) images of early-stage melanomas. We tested whether automated digital (TIL) analysis (ADTA) improved accuracy of prediction of disease specific survival (DSS) based on current pathology standards. ADTA was applied to a training cohort (n = 80) and a cutoff value was defined based on a Receiver Operating Curve. ADTA was then applied to a validation cohort (n = 145) and the previously determined cutoff value was used to stratify high and low risk patients, as demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier analysis (p ≤ 0.001). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed using ADTA, depth, and ulceration as co-variables and showed that ADTA contributed to DSS prediction (HR: 4.18, CI 1.51-11.58, p = 0.006). ADTA provides an effective and attainable assessment of TILs and should be further evaluated in larger studies for inclusion in staging algorithms.

Pharmacological restoration of anti-nociceptive functions in the prefrontal cortex relieves chronic pain.

Chronic pain affects one in four adults, and effective non-sedating and non-addictive treatments are urgently needed. Chronic pain causes maladaptive changes in the cerebral cortex, which can lead to impaired endogenous nociceptive processing. However, it is not yet clear if drugs that restore endogenous cortical regulation could provide an effective therapeutic strategy for chronic pain. Here, we studied the nociceptive response of neurons in the prelimbic region of the prefrontal cortex (PL-PFC) in freely behaving rats using a spared nerve injury (SNI) model of chronic pain, and the impact of AMPAkines, a class of drugs that increase central glutamate signaling, on such response. We found that neurons in the PL-PFC increase their firing rates in response to noxious stimulations; chronic neuropathic pain, however, suppressed this important cortical pain response. Meanwhile, CX546, a well-known AMPAkine, restored the anti-nociceptive response of PL-PFC neurons in the chronic pain condition. In addition, both systemic administration and direct delivery of CX546 into the PL-PFC inhibited symptoms of chronic pain, whereas optogenetic inactivation of the PFC neurons or administration of AMPA receptor antagonists in the PL-PFC blocked the anti-nociceptive effects of CX546. These results indicate that restoration of the endogenous anti-nociceptive functions in the PL-PFC by pharmacological agents such as AMPAkines constitutes a successful strategy to treat chronic neuropathic pain.

Ketamine normalizes high-gamma power in the anterior cingulate cortex in a rat chronic pain model.

Chronic pain alters cortical and subcortical plasticity, causing enhanced sensory and affective responses to peripheral nociceptive inputs. Previous studies have shown that ketamine had the potential to inhibit abnormally amplified affective responses of single neurons by suppressing hyperactivity in the anterior cingulate cortex (ACC). However, the mechanism of this enduring effect has yet to be understood at the network level. In this study, we recorded local field potentials from the ACC of freely moving rats. Animals were injected with complete Freund's adjuvant (CFA) to induce persistent inflammatory pain. Mechanical stimulations were administered to the hind paw before and after CFA administration. We found a significant increase in the high-gamma band (60-100 Hz) power in response to evoked pain after CFA treatment. Ketamine, however, reduced the high-gamma band power in response to evoked pain in CFA-treated rats. In addition, ketamine had a sustained effect on the high-gamma band power lasting up to five days after a single dose administration. These results demonstrate that ketamine has the potential to alter maladaptive neural responses in the ACC induced by chronic pain.