Numerical investigation of mixed physical barriers for saltwater removal in coastal heterogeneous aquifers.

Saltwater intrusion is a prevalent global environmental issue that detrimentally impacts coastal groundwater aquifers. This problem is exacerbated by climate change and increased groundwater abstraction. Employing physical barriers proves effective in mitigating saline water intrusion. In this study, a validated numerical simulation model is utilized to assess the impact of aquifer stratification on the effectiveness of mixed physical barriers (MPBs) and their response to structural variations. Additionally, the performance of MPBs was compared with that of single physical barriers in a laboratory-scale aquifer. Three different configurations were replicated, comprising two stratified aquifers (HLH and LHL) and a homogenous reference aquifer (H). The results demonstrate that MPBs are efficient in decreasing the saltwater penetration length in the investigated cases. The reductions in penetration length were up to 65% in all cases. The removal efficacy of residual saline water for MPBs exceeded that of the subsurface dam by 2.1-3.3 times for H, 2.1-3.6 times for HLH, and 8.3 times for LHL conditions, while outperforming the cutoff wall by 38-100% for H, 39-44% for HLH, and 2.7-75% for LHL. These findings are of importance for decision-makers in choosing the most appropriate technique for mitigating saline water intrusion in heterogeneous coastal aquifers.

Landfill site selection using MCDM methods and GIS in the central part of the Nile Delta, Egypt.

One of the most prevalent and serious issues afflicting developing countries is the lack of adequate space for waste disposal. Al-Gharbia Governorate, located in the middle of the Nile Delta in Egypt, suffers from random selection of sites for solid waste disposal, resulting in significant environmental challenges. The aim of this study is to determine optimal landfill locations within Al-Gharbia Governorate and validate the existing landfill sites. Four techniques of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) were applied to generate suitability maps for the Governorate: the analytical hierarchy procedure (AHP), ratio scale weighting (RSW), straight rank sum (SRS), and Boolean method. Eleven effective criteria were considered: groundwater, surface water, elevation, slope, soils, land use, roads, railways, urban areas, villages, and power lines. The suitability maps were categorized into four different classes: suitable, moderately suitable, low suitable, and unsuitable. The latest suitability map was determined by combining the results from the different methods, providing decision-makers with the means to select the optimal landfill site. The suitable zone encompasses a small area (3%), predominantly located in the northeast region (Al-Mahalla), central region (Tanta), and northern region (Kotour). Conversely, the unsuitable area covers a substantial portion (72.7%) due to the agricultural nature of the governorate, high population density, and elevated groundwater levels. Furthermore, all existing landfill sites fall within unsuitable or low suitable areas, inflicting severe impacts on the nearby environment, public health, and groundwater integrity.

Satellite-based estimates of groundwater storage depletion over Egypt.

An arid climate accompanied by a freshwater shortage plagued Egypt. It has resorted to groundwater reserves to meet the increasing water demands. Fossil aquifers were lately adopted as the sole water source to provide the irrigation water requirements of the ongoing reclamation activities in barren areas. Yet, the scarcity of measurements regarding the changes in the aquifers' storage poses a great challenge to such sustainable resource management. In this context, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission enables a novel consistent approach to deriving aquifers' storage changes. In this study, the GRACE monthly solutions during the period 2003-2021 were utilized to estimate alterations in terrestrial water storage (TWS) throughout Egypt. Changes in groundwater storage (GWS) were inferred by subtracting soil water content, derived from the GLDAS-NOAH hydrological model, from the retrieved TWS. The secular trends in TWS and GWS were obtained using the linear least square method, while the non-parametric technique (Mann-Kendall's tau) was applied to check the trend significance. The derived changes in GWS showed that all aquifers are undergoing a significant loss rate in their storage. The average depletion rate over the Sinai Peninsula was estimated at 0.64 ± 0.03 cm/year, while the depletion rate over the Nile delta aquifer was 0.32 ± 0.03 cm/year. During the investigated period (2003-2021), the extracted groundwater quantity from the Nubian aquifer in the Western Desert is estimated at nearly 7.25 km3. The storage loss from the Moghra aquifer has significantly increased from 32 Mm3/year (2003-2009) to 262 Mm3/year (2015-2021). This reflects the aquifer exposure for extensive water pumping to irrigate newly cultivated lands. The derived findings on the aquifers' storage losses provide a vital source of information for the decision-makers to be employed for short- and long-term groundwater management.

Bias correction of regional climate model simulations for the impact assessment of the climate change in Egypt.

This study projected the future temperature change for Egypt during the late of this century (2071-2100) for three representative concentration pathways (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5), by correcting regional climate model (RCM) simulations of average, maximum, and minimum daily temperature with reference to observed data of 26 stations. Four commonly used methods of bias correction have been applied and evaluated: linear scaling, variance scaling, and theoretical and empirical quantile mapping. The compromise programing results of the applied evaluation criteria show that the best method is the variance scaling, and thus it was applied to transfer the correction factor to the projections. All temperature indices are expected to increase significantly under all scenarios and reach the highest record by the end of the century, i.e., the expected increase in average, maximum, and minimum temperature ranges between 4.08-7.41 °C, 4.55-7.89 °C, and 3.88-7.23 °C, respectively. The largest temperature rise will occur in the summer, with the highest increase in the maximum (minimum) temperature of 10.9 °C (10 °C) in July and August under RCP8.5. The maximum (minimum) winter temperature, on the other hand, will drop by a maximum of 2 °C (1.35 °C) under RCP2.6. The Western Desert and Upper Egypt are the regions most affected by climate change, while the northern region of Egypt is the least affected. These findings would help in impact assessment and adaptation strategies and encourage further investigation to evaluate various climate models in order to obtain a comprehensive assessment of the climate change impacts on different hydrometeorological processes in Egypt.

Numerical and experimental analyses of the use of double vertical barrier walls for groundwater protection.

The groundwater contamination and its impacts on the hydrologic systems and society are critical environmental concerns in the world. This research presents insights from the numerical (SEEP/W and CTRAN/W) and the experimental (sandbox model) analyses of the use of double vertical barrier walls for groundwater protection. The main objective was to evaluate contaminant transport under the effect of several variables. The arrival time increases with increasing the distance between the pollutant source and the first wall, first wall depth of penetration, the distance between the two walls and also increases at smaller hydraulic head differences, and lower conductivities. Furthermore, using double barrier walls would significantly reduce contaminant concentration at the downstream area. This control is most significant when the depth of first wall penetration is larger than that of the second wall. Results proved consistent with several similar studies and advantageous over many of them by the integrated use of both techniques with more variable parameters evaluated. PRACTITIONER POINTS: The research will introduce insights from the effect of using double barrier walls on the hydraulic control of contaminant transport. The effect of several variables on the contaminant arrival time and concentration is investigated. Using double barrier walls has a significant impact on contamination transport through the soil. This control is most significant when the penetration depth of the first wall is larger than that of the second.

Feasibility of rainwater harvesting for sustainable water management in urban areas of Egypt.

Egypt's limited water resources, rapid population growth, and climate change are increasing the gap between water demand and supply. Meanwhile, significant amounts of rain fall in some regions in Egypt during specific storm events, which in some cases, lead to disasters like flash floods and inundations. Rainwater harvesting (RWH) can be considered as a sustainable promising solution to water shortage and inundation problems. In this work, the feasibility of RWH for urban areas was assessed over 22 cities throughout Egypt. Results show that the annual volume of rainwater harvested can reach 142.5 MCM in the considered cities, provided that all rain falling on the urban areas is collected. High potential of rainfall harvesting was found for cities that located on the North Coast, e.g., the potential water saving from the share of RWH in Alexandria can satisfy around 12% of its future supplementary domestic water needs. In contrast, rainfall over the cities located on the middle and the south of the country is insignificant to be harvested. A case study for the 5th settlement region in Cairo was discussed in terms of groundwater recharge and surface runoff estimation for two conditions: No-RWH and RWH systems by implementing recharge wells to store rainwater into the aquifer. Land cover classification maps of urban areas were created by using the ARCGIS software to estimate equivalent infiltration coefficients. The results demonstrate that the implementation of such RWH system has a significant impact on the regional water cycle, where the effective infiltration coefficient increased from 10% (No-RWH) to 75% (RWH) in the case study. Accordingly, the runoff coefficient decreased in the case study from 0.8 (No-RWH) to 0.15 (RWH), and the volume of runoff decreased in the case of RWH by around 82% lower than that of the No-RWH condition. Thus, direct infiltration of RWH into an aquifer can play an important role in sound water management for urban environments, as this may lead to a significant reduction in risks of flooding and expenses of municipal drainage systems installation and operation.

Spatial and temporal rainfall changes in Egypt.

During the twentieth century, the intensity and frequency of extreme events (e.g., storms and floods) have significantly altered globally due to human-induced climate change. Recently, it has been recognized that some regions in Egypt have exposed to extreme rainfall events which led in some cases to severe flash floods. In this work, the variability of rainfall characteristics in Egypt was investigated based on a detailed statistical analysis of historical rainfall records at 31 stations. Both parametric (Pearson) and non-parametric (Mann-Kendall and Spearman) tests were applied on annual and seasonal precipitation indices to examine temporal trends. A classification of significant trends was introduced to assess the degrees of their likelihood. The results detected significant trends in annual indices: maximum precipitation, total precipitation, simple daily intensity index, and number of rainy days at 29, 19, 19, and 13% of stations, respectively. Significant trends in seasonal indices were also found at a few stations. For all indices, 77% of the detected significant trends are negative concluding a decrease in the amount of precipitation in Egypt. Additionally, only 6% of the detected trends are classified as less likely, while the rest is likely and extremely likely, indicating a high probability of most detected trends. Generally, the detected trends do not form any spatial pattern in all cases. The results also provided a preliminary impression on the likely impacts of climate change on rainfall characteristics in Egypt.