French guidelines on TIPS: Indications and modalities.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has become essential in the treatment or prevention of portal hypertension-related complications. In the early 1990s, the primary indication was refractory bleeding. It is now proposed for the treatment of ascites for the prevention of bleeding and in patients with vascular diseases of the liver. Thus, there are a growing number of patients being treated with TIPS all over the world. The broadening of indications, the involvement of multiple stakeholders, the need for an accurate selection, the positioning in relation to transplantation and the lack of standardization in pre-therapeutic assessment, in the procedure itself and in the follow-up have led the board of the French Association for the Study of the Liver to establish recommendations.

Upfront multi-bipolar radiofrequency ablation for HCC in transplant-eligible cirrhotic patients with salvage transplantation in case of recurrence.

INTRODUCTION: We aim to assess the long-term outcomes of percutaneous multi-bipolar radiofrequency (mbpRFA) as the first treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in transplant-eligible cirrhotic patients, followed by salvage transplantation for intrahepatic distant tumour recurrence or liver failure. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included transplant-eligible patients with cirrhosis and a first diagnosis of HCC within Milan criteria treated by upfront mbp RFA. Transplantability was defined by age <70 years, social support, absence of significant comorbidities, no active alcohol use and no recent extrahepatic cancer. Baseline variables were correlated with outcomes using the Kaplan-Meier and Cox models. RESULTS: Among 435 patients with HCC, 172 were considered as transplantable with HCCs >2 cm (53%), uninodular (87%) and AFP >100 ng/mL (13%). Median overall survival was 87 months, with 75% of patients alive at 3 years, 61% at 5 years and 43% at 10 years. Age (p = .003) and MELD>10 (p = .01) were associated with the risk of death. Recurrence occurred in 118 patients within Milan criteria in 81% of cases. Local recurrence was observed in 24.5% of cases at 10 years and distant recurrence rates were observed in 69% at 10 years. After local recurrence, 69% of patients were still alive at 10 years. At the first tumour recurrence, 75 patients (65%) were considered transplantable. Forty-one patients underwent transplantation, mainly for distant intrahepatic tumour recurrence. The overall 5-year survival post-transplantation was 72%, with a tumour recurrence of 2.4%. CONCLUSION: Upfront multi-bipolar RFA for a first diagnosis of early HCC on cirrhosis coupled with salvage liver transplantation had a favourable intention-to-treat long-term prognosis, allowing for spare grafts.

The role and evolution of partial splenic embolization over three decades: A multicentric retrospective single cohort study of 90 patients from French nationwide experience.

BACKGROUND: Partial splenic embolization (PSE) has been proposed to treat the consequences of hypersplenism in the context of portal hypertension, especially thrombocytopenia. However, a high morbidity/mortality rate has made this technique unpopular. We conducted a multicenter retrospective nationwide French study to reevaluate efficacy and tolerance. METHODS: All consecutive patients who underwent PSE for hypersplenism and portal hypertension in 7 tertiary liver centers between 1998 and 2023 were included. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 91 procedures in 90 patients, with a median age of 55.5 years [range 18-83]. The main cause of portal hypertension was cirrhosis (84.6 %). The main indications for PSE were (1) an indication of medical treatment or radiological/surgical procedure in the context a severe thrombocytopenia (59.3 %), (2) a chronic hemorrhagic disorder associated with a severe thrombocytopenia (18.7 %), and (3) a chronic pain associated with a major splenomegaly (9.9 %). PSE was associated with a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in 20 cases. Median follow-up after PSE was 41.9 months [0.5-270.5]. Platelet count increased from a median of 48.0 G/L [IQR 37.0; 60.0] to 100.0 G/L [75.0; 148]. Forty-eight patients (52.7 %) had complications after PSE; 25 cases were considered severe (including 7 deaths). A Child-Pugh B-C score (p < 0.02) was significantly associated with all complications, a history of portal vein thrombosis (p < 0.01), and the absence of prophylactic antibiotherapy (p < 0.05) with severe complications. CONCLUSION: Our results strongly confirm that PSE is very effective, for a long time, although a quarter of the patients experienced severe complications. Improved patient selection (exclusion of patients with portal vein thrombosis and decompensated cirrhosis) and systematic prophylactic antibiotherapy could reduce morbidity and early mortality in the future.

Long-term oncological results of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: The effectiveness of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (iCCA) remains insufficiently studied. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study including patients with histologically proven iCCA within Milan criteria treated by percutaneous RFA from 2000 to 2022. The primary outcome was overall survival in treatment-naive patients and secondary outcomes included ablation completeness, adverse events, local and distant recurrence. A total of 494 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on cirrhosis treated by RFA were included as a comparison group. Oncological events were analysed using Kaplan-Meier, log-rank and univariate/multivariate Cox models. RESULTS: The main population included 71 patients, mostly cirrhotic (80%) with solitary tumours (66%) of a median size of 24 mm. Local recurrence was 45% at 5 years, lower in multibipolar versus monopolar RFA (22% vs. 55%, p = .007). In treatment-naive patients (n = 45), median overall and recurrence-free survivals were 26 and 11 months, respectively. Tumour size (p = .01) and Child-Pugh B (p = .001) were associated with death. The rate of distant recurrence was 59% at 5 years significantly lower for single tumours of less than 2 (p = .002) or 3 cm (p = .02). In cirrhotic patients naïve of previous treatment (n = 40), overall survival was shorter than in HCC (26 vs 68 months, p < .0001), with more local recurrences (p < .0001). Among distant recurrences, 50% were extrahepatic metastases compared to 12% in HCC (p < .001). CONCLUSION: Multibipolar RFA provides better results in terms of tumour recurrence than monopolar RFA and could be used to treat small iCCA (<3 cm). Adjuvant chemotherapy should be discussed due to the frequent extra-hepatic metastasis at recurrence.

Incidence and clinical impact of bile ducts changes after multibipolar radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the incidence and clinical implications of bile duct changes following multibipolar radiofrequency ablation (mbpRFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Radiological, clinical, and biological data from consecutive cirrhotic patients who underwent first-line mbpRFA between 2007 and 2014 for uninodular HCC ≤ 5 cm were retrospectively collected. Follow-up imaging was reviewed to identify bile duct changes and factors associated with biliary changes were assessed using multivariable analysis. Baseline and 6-month liver function tests were compared in patients with and without bile duct changes. Complications, cirrhosis decompensation, and survival rates were compared in both groups. RESULTS: A total of 231 patients (mean age 68 years [39-85], 187 men) underwent 266 mbpRFA sessions for uninodular HCC (mean size 26 mm). Of these, 76 (33%) developed bile duct changes (upstream bile duct dilatations and/or bilomas) with a mean onset time of 3 months. Identified risk factors for these changes were the infiltrative aspect of the tumor (p = 0.035) and its location in segment VIII (p < 0.01). The average increase in bilirubin at 6 months was higher in the group with biliary changes (+2.9 vs. +0.4 µg/mL; p = 0.03). There were no significant differences in terms of complications, cirrhosis decompensation at 1 year (p = 0.95), local and distant tumor progression (p = 0.91 and 0.14 respectively), and overall survival (p = 0.4) between the two groups. CONCLUSION: Bile duct changes are common after mbpRFA for HCC, especially in tumors with an infiltrative aspect or those located in segment VIII. These changes do not appear to negatively impact the course of cirrhosis at 1 year or overall survival. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Bile duct changes following mbpRFA for HCC are relatively common. Nevertheless, they do not raise clinical concerns in terms of complications, deterioration in liver function, or survival rates. Consequently, specific monitoring or interventions for these bile duct changes are not warranted. KEY POINTS: • Bile duct changes are frequently observed after multibipolar radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma, occurring in 33% of cases in our study. • Patients with bile duct changes exhibited a higher increase in bilirubin levels at 6 months but no more cirrhosis decompensation or liver abscesses. • Biliary changes following multibipolar radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma are not alarming and do not necessitate any specific monitoring or intervention.

Association of LI-RADS and Histopathologic Features with Survival in Patients with Solitary Resected Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Background Both Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) and histopathologic features provide prognostic information in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but whether LI-RADS is independently associated with survival is uncertain. Purpose To assess the association of LI-RADS categories and features with survival outcomes in patients with solitary resected HCC. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included patients with solitary resected HCC from three institutions examined with preoperative contrast-enhanced CT and/or MRI between January 2008 and December 2019. Three independent readers evaluated the LI-RADS version 2018 categories and features. Histopathologic features including World Health Organization tumor grade, microvascular and macrovascular invasion, satellite nodules, and tumor capsule were recorded. Overall survival and disease-free survival were assessed with Cox regression models. Marginal effects of nontargetoid features on survival were estimated using propensity score matching. Results A total of 360 patients (median age, 64 years [IQR, 56-70 years]; 280 male patients) were included. At CT and MRI, the LI-RADS LR-M category was associated with increased risk of recurrence (CT: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.83 [95% CI: 1.26, 2.66], P = .001; MRI: HR = 2.22 [95% CI: 1.56, 3.16], P < .001) and death (CT: HR = 2.47 [95% CI: 1.72, 3.55], P < .001; MRI: HR = 1.80 [95% CI: 1.32, 2.46], P < .001) independently of histopathologic features. The presence of at least one nontargetoid feature was associated with an increased risk of recurrence (CT: HR = 1.80 [95% CI: 1.36, 2.38], P < .001; MRI: HR = 1.93 [95% CI: 1.81, 2.06], P < .001) and death (CT: HR = 1.51 [95% CI: 1.10, 2.07], P < .010) independently of histopathologic features. In matched samples, recurrence was associated with the presence of at least one nontargetoid feature at CT (HR = 2.06 [95% CI: 1.15, 3.66]; P = .02) or MRI (HR = 1.79 [95% CI: 1.01, 3.20]; P = .048). Conclusion In patients with solitary resected HCC, LR-M category and nontargetoid features were negatively associated with survival independently of histopathologic characteristics. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Kartalis and Grigoriadis in this issue.

No correlation between MASLD and poor outcome of Atezolizumab-Bevacizumab therapy in patients with advanced HCC.

INTRODUCTION: It has been suggested that in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) of metabolic aetiology, the efficacy of immunotherapy may be reduced. The aim was to investigate the impact of metabolic-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic risk factors (MRF) on the outcomes of Atezolizumab-Bevacizumab (AtezoBev). METHODS: We collected data from 295 AtezoBev-treated patients, starting in 2020. MASLD was defined by the current/past presence of MRF, namely BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, type 2 diabetes, arterial hypertension or dyslipidaemia and no other cause of liver disease (daily alcohol ≤30 g in males and ≤20 g in females). The influence of baseline characteristics on progression (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed by uni/multivariate analysis using the Cox model. RESULTS: Risk factors for cirrhosis were viral infection in 47%, excessive alcohol consumption in 45% and MASLD in 13%. In the whole cohort, 27% had 1 MRF, 23% had 2 MRF, 15% had 3 MRF and 6% had 4 MRF. Median PFS and OS were 6.5 and 15.6 months, respectively, and similar in patients with or without MASLD in Log rank analysis. The number of MRF or MALSD was not associated with PFS or OS in the univariate analysis. Factors associated with PFS in multivariate analysis included ALBI grade 3 (HR = 1.60, p = .03), AFP (HR = 1.01, p = .01) and metastasis (HR = 1.77, p < .001). During follow-up, 10% of patients experienced immune-related adverse events, with age and female gender, but not MRF or MASLD, as independent predictors. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that the presence of MASLD or the number of MRF did not lead to worse outcomes in advanced HCC patients treated with AtezoBev.

The clinical and financial burden of nonhepatocellular carcinoma focal lesions detected during the surveillance of patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: HCC surveillance is challenged by the detection of hepatic focal lesions (HFLs) of other types. This study aimed to describe the incidence, characteristics, outcomes, and costs of non-HCC HFL detected during surveillance. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed nonstandardized workup performed in French patients included in HCC surveillance programs recruited in 57 French tertiary centers (ANRS CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts, HCC 2000 trial). The overall cost of workup was evaluated, with an estimation of an average cost per patient for the entire population and per lesion detected. A total of 3295 patients were followed up for 59.8 months, 391 (11.9%) patients developed HCCs (5-year incidence: 12.1%), and 633 (19.2%) developed non-HCC HFLs (5-year incidence: 21.8%). Characterization of non-HCC HFL required a median additional of 0.7 exams per year. A total of 11.8% of non-HCC HFLs were not confirmed on recall procedures, and 19.6% of non-HCC HFLs remained undetermined. A definite diagnosis of benign liver lesions was made in 65.1%, and malignant tumors were diagnosed in 3.5%. The survival of patients with benign or undetermined non-HCC HFL was similar to that of patients who never developed any HFL (5-year survival 92% vs. 88%, p = 0.07). The average cost of the diagnostic workup was 1087€ for non-HCC HFL and €1572 for HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Non-HCC HFLs are frequently detected in patients with cirrhosis, and do not impact prognosis, but trigger substantial costs. This burden must be considered in cost-effectiveness analyses of future personalized surveillance strategies.

Impact of radiological response and pattern of progression in patients with HCC treated by atezolizumab-bevacizumab.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aim to assess the role of radiological response to atezolizumab-bevacizumab in patients with HCC to predict overall survival. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively included patients with HCC treated by atezolizumab-bevacizumab in 2 tertiary centers. A retrospective blinded analysis was performed by 2 radiologists to assess Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor (RECIST 1.1) and modified RECIST (mRECIST) criteria at 12 weeks. Imaging response and treatment decisions in the multidisciplinary tumor board at 12 weeks were registered. Among 125 patients, 9.6% and 20.8% had a response, 39.2% and 35.2% had stable disease, and 51.2% and 44% had progression, according to RECIST 1.1 and mRECIST, respectively, with a substantial interobserver agreement (k coefficient=0.79). Metastasis was independently associated with a higher risk of progression. Patients classified as responders did not reach median survival, which was 16.2 and 15.9 months for patients classified as stable and 9.1 and 9.0 months for patients classified as progressors, in RECIST 1.1 and mRECIST criteria, respectively. We observed a wide variability in the identification of progression in the multidisciplinary tumor board in clinical practice compared with the blind evaluation by radiologists mainly due to discrepancy in the evaluation of the increase in size of intrahepatic lesions. The appearance of new extrahepatic lesions or vascular invasion lesions was associated with a worse overall survival ( p =0.032). CONCLUSIONS: RECIST 1.1 and mRECIST criteria predict overall survival with more responders identified by mRECIST and the appearance of new extrahepatic lesion or vascular invasion was associated with a poor prognosis. A noticeable discrepancy was observed between patients classified as progressors at reviewing and the decision reached during the multidisciplinary tumor board.

Atezolizumab and bevacizumab for non-resectable or metastatic combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma: A multicentric retrospective study.

BACKGROUNDS: The efficacy of atezolizumab/bevacizumab has never been reported in patients with metastatic/unresectable combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively included patients with a histological diagnosis of unresectable/metastatic cHCC-CCA and treated with atezolizumab/bevacizumab (2020-2022) in 7 centers. Clinical and radiological features were collected at the beginning of atezolizumab/bevacizumab. We reported the radiological response using RECIST criteria, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS: Sixteen patients with cHCC-CCA were included and were predominantly male (75%) with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis (69%). Nine patients received atezolizumab/bevacizumab as a first-line systemic treatment, 5 as a second line, 1 as a third line and 1 as a fifth line. Severe digestive bleeding occurred in 2 patients. Among the 9 patients treated in the first line, 4 experienced radiological progression, 3 partial response and 1 had stable disease. Patients treated with atezolizumab/bevacizumab in the first line had a median OS of 13 months and a median PFS of 3 months. Among the 7 patients receiving atezolizumab/bevacizumab as a second line or more, 4 patients harbored a stable disease, 2 a partial response, and 1 a progressive disease. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab showed signs of anti-tumor efficacy in patients with unresectable/metastatic cHCC-CCA.

International survey among hepatologists and pulmonologists on the hepatic hydrothorax: plea for recommendations.

BACKGROUND: The Hepatic hydrothorax is a pleural effusion related to portal hypertension; its diagnosis and therapeutic management may be difficult. The aims of this article are which follows: To gather the practices of hepatogastroenterologists or pulmonologists practitioners regarding the diagnosis and management of the hepatic hydrothorax. METHODS: Practitioners from 13 French- speaking countries were invited to answer an online questionnaire on the hepatic hydrothorax diagnosis and its management. RESULTS: Five hundred twenty-eight practitioners (80% from France) responded to this survey. 75% were hepatogastroenterologists, 20% pulmonologists and the remaining 5% belonged to other specialities. The Hepatic hydrothorax can be located on the left lung for 64% of the responders (66% hepatogastroenterologists vs 57% pulmonologists; p = 0.25); The Hepatic hydrothorax can exist in the absence of clinical ascites for 91% of the responders (93% hepatogastroenterologists vs 88% pulmonologists; p = 0.27). An Ultrasound pleural scanning was systematically performed before a puncture for 43% of the responders (36% hepatogastroenterologists vs 70% pulmonologists; p < 0.001). A chest X-ray was performed before a puncture for 73% of the respondeurs (79% hepatogastroenterologists vs 54% pulmonologists; p < 0.001). In case of a spontaneous bacterial empyema, an albumin infusion was used by 73% hepatogastroenterologists and 20% pulmonologists (p < 0.001). A drain was used by 37% of the responders (37% hepatogastroenterologists vs 31% pulmonologists; p = 0.26).An Indwelling pleural catheter was used by 50% pulmonologists and 22% hepatogastroenterologists (p < 0.01). TIPS was recommended by 78% of the responders (85% hepatogastroenterologists vs 52% pulmonologists; p < 0.001) and a liver transplantation, by 76% of the responders (86% hepatogastroenterologists vs 44% pulmonologists; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this large study provide important data on practices of French speaking hepatogastroenterologists and pulmonologists; it appears that recommendations are warranted.

Unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma at dawn of immunotherapy era: real-world data from the French prospective CHIEF cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiological data are limited in France. The Epidemio Liver Immunotherapy Tecentriq outcome research (ELITor) retrospective study, based on real-world data from the Carcinome HépatocellulaIrE en France (CHIEF) French cohort of hepatocellular carcinoma patients, aimed to get insight into the treatment patterns, the sociodemographic, clinical, biological, and etiological characteristics, and the quality of life of patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. METHODS AND RESULTS: Between 1 September 2019 and 4 December 2020, 367 patients from the CHIEF cohort received at least one locoregional (52.8%) chemoembolization or radioembolization or systemic treatment (88.3%) and were selected for ELITor. Most patients had a Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) C (93.2%) hepatocellular carcinoma stage and were affected by cirrhosis (67.7%). Alcohol was confirmed as the main etiology both as a single etiology (29.1%) and in association with other risk factors (26.9%), mainly metabolic disorders (16.2%).Tyrosine-kinase inhibitors, mainly sorafenib, were the most administered systemic treatments in first line. Patients who received at least one combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab during the study period ( N  = 53) had a better performance status and less portal hypertension frequency than the overall population and more hepatitis B virus infection and fewer metabolic disorders as single etiology. Overall, the global health score before treatment (62.3 ±â€…21.9) was in line with that of reference cancer patients and worsened in 51.9% of the cases after first-line palliative-intent treatment. CONCLUSION: This study provided real-life data on advanced hepatocellular carcinoma characteristics and treatment patterns and described the first patients to receive the atezolizumab-bevacizumab combination before it became the new standard of care for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

Molecular-based targeted therapies in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and hepato-cholangiocarcinoma refractory to atezolizumab/bevacizumab.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The "French Medicine Genomic program 2025" has been designed to give patients with cancers that are refractory to systemic treatments access to off-label therapies adapted to their specific genomic profile. Herein, we reported the results of this program in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepato-cholangiocarcinoma (H-CCK). METHODS: In one center, all patients with HCC or H-CCK who progressed under atezolizumab/bevacizumab with available tumor frozen samples benefited from whole-genome/-exome and RNA sequencing. Targeted therapies were matched to genomic alterations following the recommendations of a molecular tumor board and radiological response and overall survival were assessed. RESULTS: Among 135 patients with HCC and H-CCK treated by atezolizumab/bevacizumab, 20 patients benefited from genomic analysis after progression (16 HCC; 4 H-CCK). Nineteen patients had analyzable data, 70% were male, median age was 57 years, 65% had metastatic disease and 45% had vascular invasion. Among these 19 patients, 14 patients (76%) harbored at least one actionable genomic alteration and 9/14 received an adapted targeted therapy (45%). One patient with H-CCK showing CDK4 amplification was treated with palbociclib and achieved a partial radiological response for 16 months. Another patient with H-CCK, high HER2 overexpression and a high homologous recombination score was treated with trastuzumab/olaparib and had stable disease. One patient with an HCC and bi-allelic inactivation of TSC2 achieved a complete radiological response under everolimus. The remaining six treated patients (all HCC) had progressive disease, including three patients treated with trametinib, two with everolimus and one with olaparib. CONCLUSION: Molecular-based guided therapy is feasible in patients with HCC/H-CCK progressing under atezolizumab/bevacizumab and may be useful in a small subset of patients. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The use of whole-genome/-exome and RNA sequencing in clinical practice has not been reported in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and hepato-cholangiocarcinoma. Herein, we performed a pilot study which suggested that whole-genome/-exome and RNA sequencing is feasible on tumor biopsies from patients refractory to atezolizumab/bevacizumab, with a small subset of patients exhibiting at least one actionable genomic alteration and receiving an adapted targeted therapy. This proof-of-concept study suggests that this clinical strategy could benefit a small subset of patients. Finally, validation of this approach will be required in a larger cohort of patients.

Fragility index of positive phase II and III randomised clinical trials of treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (2002-2022).

Background & Aims: The fragility index (FI), i.e., theminimum number of best survivors reassigned to the control group required to revert the statistically significant result of a clinical trial to non-significant, is a metric to evaluate the robustness of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We aimed to assess the FI in the field of HCC. Methods: This is a retrospective analysis of phase 2 and 3 RCTs for the treatment of HCC published between 2002 and 2022. We included two-arm studies with 1:1 randomization and significant positive results for a primary time-to-event endpoint for the FI calculation, which involves the iterative addition of a best survivor from the experimental group to the control group, until positive significance (p <0,05, Log-rank test) is lost. Results: We identified 51 phase 2 and 3 positive RCTs, of which 29 (57%) were eligible for fragility index calculation. After reconstruction of the Kaplan-Meier curves, 25/29 studies remained significant, among which the analysis was performed. The median (interquartile range (IQR)) FI was 5 (2-10) and Fragility Quotient (FQ) was 3% (1%-6%). Ten trials (40%) had a FI of 2 or less. FI was positively correlated to the blind assessment of the primary endpoint (median FI 9 with blind assessment versus 2 without, p = 0.01), the number of reported events in the control arm (RS = 0.45, p = 0.02) and to impact factor (RS = 0.58, p = 0.003). Conclusions: Several phases 2 and 3 RCTs in HCC have a low fragility index, underlying the limited robustness on the conclusion of their superiority over control treatments. The fragility index might provide an additional tool to assess the robustness of clinical trial data in HCC. Impact and implications: The fragility index is a method to assess robustness of a clinical trial and is defined the minimum number of best survivors reassigned to the control group required to revert the statistically significant result of a clinical trial to non-significant. Among 25 randomised controlled trials in HCC, the median fragility index was 5, and 10 trials among 25 (40%) had a fragility index of 2 or less, indicating an important fragility.

Impact of COVID-19 on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma in a high-prevalence area: What's new 12 months later?

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The lockdown policy introduced in 2020 to minimize the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, significantly affected the management and care of patients affected by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this follow-up study was to determine the 12 months impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the cohort of patients affected by HCC during the lockdown, within six French academic referral centers in the metropolitan area of Paris. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a 12 months follow-up of the cross-sectional study cohort included in 2020 on the management of patients affected by HCC during the first six weeks of the COVID-19 pandemic (exposed), compared to the same period in 2019 (unexposed). Overall survival were compared between the groups. Predictors of mortality were analysed with Cox regression. RESULTS: From the initial cohort, 575 patients were included (n = 263 Exposed_COVID, n = 312 Unexposed_COVID). Overall and disease free survival at 12 months were 59.9 ± 3.2% vs 74.3 ± 2.5% (p<0.001) and 40.2 ± 3.5% vs 63.5 ± 3.1% (p<0.001) according to the period of exposure (Exposed_COVID vs Unexposed_COVID, respectively). Adjusted Cox regression revealed that the period of exposure (Exposed_COVID HR: 1.79, 95%CI (1.36, 2.35) p<0.001) and BCLC stage B, C and D (BCLC B HR: 1.82, 95%CI (1.07, 3.08) p = 0.027 - BCLC C HR: 1.96, 95%CI (1.14, 3.38) p = 0.015 - BCLC D HR: 3.21, 95%CI (1.76, 5.85) p<0.001) were predictors of death. CONCLUSIONS: Disruption of routine healthcare services because of the pandemic translated to reduced 1 year overall and disease-free survival among patients affected by HCC, in the metropolitan area of Paris, France.

Hepatocyte-derived biomarkers predict liver-related events at 2 years in Child-Pugh class A alcohol-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In patients with compensated alcohol-related cirrhosis, reliable prognostic biomarkers are lacking. Keratin-18 and hepatocyte-derived large extracellular vesicle (lEV) concentrations reflect disease activity, but their ability to predict liver-related events is unknown. METHODS: We measured plasma keratin-18 and hepatocyte lEV concentrations in 500 patients with Child-Pugh class A alcohol-related cirrhosis. The ability of these hepatocyte-derived biomarkers, alone or combined with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and FibroTest scores, to predict liver-related events at 2 years was analyzed, taking into account the alcohol consumption at inclusion and during follow-up. RESULTS: Keratin-18 and hepatocyte lEV concentrations increased with alcohol consumption. In patients without active alcohol consumption at enrollment (n = 419), keratin-18 concentration predicted liver-related events at 2 years, independently of FibroTest and MELD. Patients with both keratin-18 concentrations >285 U/L and FibroTest >0.74 had a 24% cumulative incidence of liver-related events at 2 years, vs. 5% to 14% in other groups of patients. Similar results were obtained when combining keratin-18 concentrations >285 U/L with MELD >10. In patients with active alcohol consumption at enrollment (n = 81), hepatocyte lEVs predicted liver-related events at 2 years, independently of FibroTest and MELD. Patients with both hepatocyte lEV concentrations >50 U/L and FibroTest >0.74 had a 62% cumulative incidence of liver-related events at 2 years, vs. 8% to 13% in other groups of patients. Combining hepatocyte lEV concentrations >50 U/L with MELD >10 had a lower discriminative ability. Similar results were obtained when using decompensation of cirrhosis, defined according to Baveno VII criteria, as an endpoint. CONCLUSION: In patients with Child-Pugh class A alcohol-related cirrhosis, combining hepatocyte-derived biomarkers with FibroTest or MELD scores identifies patients at high risk of liver-related events, and could be used for risk stratification and patient selection in clinical trials. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In patients with compensated alcohol-related cirrhosis, reliable predictors of outcome are lacking. In patients with Child-Pugh class A alcohol-related cirrhosis, combining hepatocyte-derived biomarkers (keratin-18 and hepatocyte-large extracellular vesicles) with FibroTest or MELD scores identifies those at high risk of liver-related events at 2 years. The identified patients at high risk of liver-related events are the target-of-choice population for intensive surveillance (e.g., referral to tertiary care centers; intensive control of risk factors) and inclusion in clinical trials.

Individual and population screening of varices needing treatment by a simple, safe and accurate test.

BACKGROUND: Several tests have been developed to screen varices needing treatment (VNT) in different screening settings. We aimed to develop simple estimators to quantify VNT risk and spare endoscopy while missing <5% of VNT, adapted to different screenings in the main etiologies. METHODS: 2,368 patients with chronic liver disease were included. The main VNT predictors were platelets, prothrombin index (PI) and LSM. Their interactions led to score construction, LIP: (LSM*45)/(PI*platelets), and BLIP: BMI-adjusted LIP in NAFLD. Scores were categorized either for population (VNT sensitivity ≥95%) or individual (negative predictive value ≥95%) VNT screening. RESULTS: 1) Scores diagnosing VNT. AUROCs were, PLER: 0.767 Anticipate: 0.773 (p=0.059 vs previous), LIP: 0.779 (p=0.136), PLEASE: 0.789 (p=0.196). 2) Population screening performance was in increasing order (with missed VNT rate), Baveno6 criteria: 23.9% (2.5%), Anticipate: 24.5%, p=0.367 vs previous (3.3%), PLER: 27.3%, p<0.001 (3.6%), LIP: 33.4%, p<0.001 (4.2%), PLEASE: 35.2%, p=0.006 (3.6%). In NAFLD, LIP: 38.6%, BLIP: 40.8%, p=0.038. 3) Individual screening performance was, expanded Baveno6 criteria: 42.7%, LIP: 54.1%, p<0.001. In NAFLD, performance was, NAFLD-cirrhosis criteria: 66.7%, BLIP: 74.6%, p<0.001. CONCLUSION: LIP combined simplicity, performance and safety in each etiology. In NAFLD, BMI-adjusted LIP outperformed other tests.

Integrating genetic variants into clinical models for hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification in cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Identifying individuals at higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance strategies. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the ability of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to refine HCC risk stratification. METHODS: Six SNPs in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, HSD17B13, APOE, and MBOAT7 affecting lipid turnover and one variant involved in the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway (WNT3A-WNT9A rs708113) were assessed in patients with alcohol-related and/or HCV-cured cirrhosis included in HCC surveillance programmes (prospective CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts). Their prognostic value for HCC occurrence was assessed using Fine-Gray models combined into a 7-SNP genetic risk score (GRS). The predictive ability of two clinical scores (a routine non-genetic model determined by multivariate analysis and the external aMAP score) with/without the GRS was evaluated by C-indices. The standardised net benefit was derived from decision curves. RESULTS: Among 1,145 patients, 86 (7.5%) developed HCC after 43.7 months. PNPLA3 and WNT3A-WNT9A variants were independently associated with HCC occurrence. The GRS stratified the population into three groups with progressively increased 5-year HCC incidence (Group 1 [n = 627, 5.4%], Group 2 [n = 276, 10.7%], and Group 3 [n = 242, 15.3%]; p <0.001). The multivariate model identified age, male sex, diabetes, platelet count, gamma-glutamyltransferase levels, albuminemia and the GRS as independent risk factors. The clinical model performance for 5-year HCC prediction was similar to that of the aMAP score (C-Index 0.769). The addition of the GRS to both scores modestly improved their performance (C-Indices of 0.786 and 0.783, respectively). This finding was confirmed by decision curve analyses showing only fair clinical net benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cirrhosis can be stratified into HCC risk classes by variants affecting lipid turnover and the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway. The incorporation of this genetic information modestly improves the performance of clinical scores. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The identification of patients at higher risk of developing liver cancer is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance. Risk assessment can be achieved by combining several clinical and biological parameters used in routine practice. The addition of patients' genetic characteristics can modestly improve this prediction and will ultimately pave the way for precision medicine in patients eligible for HCC surveillance, allowing physicians to trigger personalised screening strategies.

Baseline ALBI score and early variation of serum AFP predicts outcomes in patients with HCC treated by atezolizumab-bevacizumab.

BACKGROUND: The combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab (AtezoBev) is the current first-line treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic role of alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) early response and its combination with albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) in these patients. METHODS: Patients with HCC under AtezoBev with AFP > 20 ng/ml were included in three centres. The optimal threshold of AFP variation after 3 weeks of treatment was identified for overall survival (OS) and radiological response (RR) using RECIST 1.1 and mRECIST and its ability to predict progression-free survival (PFS) and OS was tested using univariate and multivariate analysis in derivation and validation cohorts. RESULTS: Seventy-five patients with AFP values >20 ng/ml were included. Fifty-eight patients were male with a median age of 63.5 years; 73% had cirrhosis and HCC stage was classified as BCLC B (18.7%) or C (81.3%). In the derivation cohort (n = 38), a decline in AFP ≥ 20% at 3 weeks (AFP early response) was associated with RR using mRECIST criteria (OR: 13.09 95% CI: 1.44-19.34 p = .02), PFS (HR: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.19-0.93, p = .03) and OS (HR: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.15-0.83, p = .01). AFP early response was confirmed as predictor of RR (p = .02 for mRECIST) and OS (p = .03) in the validation cohort (n= 37). In the whole cohort, the combination of ALBI and AFP early response was significantly associated with OS (p = .046) and PFS (p = .012) with a poor prognosis in patients belonging to the ALBI2-AFP non-responders class. CONCLUSION: AFP early response at 3 weeks predicts oncological outcomes in HCC patients treated with AtezoBev and combination with ALBI grade refines prognostic discrimination.

Low alcohol consumption influences outcomes in individuals with alcohol-related compensated cirrhosis in a French multicenter cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The harmful impact of heavy alcohol consumption and recurrence in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis is long-established, although this is based on old studies. However, the drivers of long-term outcome still need to be clearly investigated. METHOD: All patients with biopsy-proven compensated alcohol-related cirrhosis included in the CIRRAL cohort (22 centers) were prospectively studied. Prognostic variables of survival and liver event-free survival were assessed using multivariable Cox models with stepwise selection. The prognostic impact of alcohol recurrence during follow-up (computed in glass-years in the same way as pack-years for tobacco) was assessed using a time-dependent covariable. RESULTS: From 2010 to 2016, 650 patients were included. The median age at baseline was 58.4 years, 67.4% were men and the median BMI was 27.8 kg/m2, 63.8% had a history of liver decompensation, and 70.2% had discontinued alcohol. At 5 years, recurrence occurred in 30.9% of abstinent patients and this risk was higher in patients with a history of drug abuse and in those with shorter alcohol discontinuation times. Median survival was 97 months. Age, alcohol consumption at baseline, platelet count and Child-Pugh score >5 were associated with overall and liver event-free survival on multivariate analysis. Alcohol consumption of more than 25 glass-years during follow-up was independently associated with lower survival and with a trend toward lower liver event-free survival, with the risk increasing from 1 glass-year, though not significantly. Simon & Makuch plots confirm the benefit of no alcohol consumption (<1 glass/week) on both outcomes and the dose-dependent impact of alcohol over time. CONCLUSION: This prospective study in patients with compensated alcohol-related cirrhosis identifies factors predictive of alcohol recurrence during follow-up and shows that moderate alcohol consumption during follow-up negatively impacts outcomes. Patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis should be advised to completely stop drinking alcohol. REGISTRATION: CIRRAL (NCT01213927) cohort was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov and the full protocol is available at the following link: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01213927. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis, data are lacking about the impact of the amount of alcohol consumed on both survival and liver-related events. The present study based on the CIRRAL cohort demonstrates that alcohol recurrence occurs in more than 30% of patients with compensated cirrhosis and that even a moderate recurrence strongly influences outcomes. Patients with compensated alcohol-related cirrhosis should be advised to completely discontinue alcohol consumption, even in small amounts, as the present study shows that no alcohol consumption can be regarded as safe when cirrhosis has developed.