Genetic mapping across autoimmune diseases reveals shared associations and mechanisms.

Autoimmune and inflammatory diseases are polygenic disorders of the immune system. Many genomic loci harbor risk alleles for several diseases, but the limited resolution of genetic mapping prevents determining whether the same allele is responsible, indicating a shared underlying mechanism. Here, using a collection of 129,058 cases and controls across 6 diseases, we show that ~40% of overlapping associations are due to the same allele. We improve fine-mapping resolution for shared alleles twofold by combining cases and controls across diseases, allowing us to identify more expression quantitative trait loci driven by the shared alleles. The patterns indicate widespread sharing of pathogenic mechanisms but not a single global autoimmune mechanism. Our approach can be applied to any set of traits and is particularly valuable as sample collections become depleted.

Vaccination frequency in people newly diagnosed with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Infections are discussed as risk factor for multiple sclerosis (MS) development and relapses. This may lead to decreased vaccination frequency in newly diagnosed patients. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the relation of MS diagnosis to subsequent vaccination frequency. METHODS: Based on German ambulatory claims data from 2005 to 2019, regression models were used to assess the relation of MS diagnosis (n = 12,270) to vaccination. A cohort of patients with MS was compared to control cohorts with Crohn's disease, psoriasis, and without these autoimmune diseases (total n = 198,126) in the 5 years after and before diagnosis. RESULTS: Patients with MS were less likely to be vaccinated compared to persons without the autoimmune diseases 5 years after diagnosis (odds ratio = 0.91, p < 0.001). Exceptions were vaccinations against influenza (1.29, p < 0.001) and pneumococci (1.41, p < 0.001). Differences were strong but less pronounced after than before diagnosis (p < 0.001). The likelihood of vaccination was also lower compared to patients with Crohn's disease or psoriasis. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with MS were not adequately vaccinated despite guideline recommendations. Increasing awareness about the importance of vaccination is warranted to reduce the risk of infection, in particular, in patients with MS receiving immunotherapies.

A Genetic Risk Variant for Multiple Sclerosis Severity is Associated with Brain Atrophy.

The minor allele of the genetic variant rs10191329 in the DYSF-ZNF638 locus is associated with unfavorable long-term clinical outcomes in multiple sclerosis patients. We investigated if rs10191329 is associated with brain atrophy measured by magnetic resonance imaging in a discovery cohort of 748 and a replication cohort of 360 people with relapsing multiple sclerosis. We observed an association with 28% more brain atrophy per rs10191329*A allele. Our results encourage stratification for rs10191329 in clinical trials. Unraveling the underlying mechanisms may enhance our understanding of pathophysiology and identify treatment targets. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:1080-1085.

Retrospective cohort study to devise a treatment decision score predicting adverse 24-month radiological activity in early multiple sclerosis.

Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic neuroinflammatory disease affecting about 2.8 million people worldwide. Disease course after the most common diagnoses of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) and clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) is highly variable and cannot be reliably predicted. This impairs early personalized treatment decisions. Objectives: The main objective of this study was to algorithmically support clinical decision-making regarding the options of early platform medication or no immediate treatment of patients with early RRMS and CIS. Design: Retrospective monocentric cohort study within the Data Integration for Future Medicine (DIFUTURE) Consortium. Methods: Multiple data sources of routine clinical, imaging and laboratory data derived from a large and deeply characterized cohort of patients with MS were integrated to conduct a retrospective study to create and internally validate a treatment decision score [Multiple Sclerosis Treatment Decision Score (MS-TDS)] through model-based random forests (RFs). The MS-TDS predicts the probability of no new or enlarging lesions in cerebral magnetic resonance images (cMRIs) between 6 and 24 months after the first cMRI. Results: Data from 65 predictors collected for 475 patients between 2008 and 2017 were included. No medication and platform medication were administered to 277 (58.3%) and 198 (41.7%) patients. The MS-TDS predicted individual outcomes with a cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.624. The respective RF prediction model provides patient-specific MS-TDS and probabilities of treatment success. The latter may increase by 5-20% for half of the patients if the treatment considered superior by the MS-TDS is used. Conclusion: Routine clinical data from multiple sources can be successfully integrated to build prediction models to support treatment decision-making. In this study, the resulting MS-TDS estimates individualized treatment success probabilities that can identify patients who benefit from early platform medication. External validation of the MS-TDS is required, and a prospective study is currently being conducted. In addition, the clinical relevance of the MS-TDS needs to be established.

A unified classification approach rating clinical utility of protein biomarkers across neurologic diseases.

A major evolution from purely clinical diagnoses to biomarker supported clinical diagnosing has been occurring over the past years in neurology. High-throughput methods, such as next-generation sequencing and mass spectrometry-based proteomics along with improved neuroimaging methods, are accelerating this development. This calls for a consensus framework that is broadly applicable and provides a spot-on overview of the clinical validity of novel biomarkers. We propose a harmonized terminology and a uniform concept that stratifies biomarkers according to clinical context of use and evidence levels, adapted from existing frameworks in oncology with a strong focus on (epi)genetic markers and treatment context. We demonstrate that this framework allows for a consistent assessment of clinical validity across disease entities and that sufficient evidence for many clinical applications of protein biomarkers is lacking. Our framework may help to identify promising biomarker candidates and classify their applications by clinical context, aiming for routine clinical use of (protein) biomarkers in neurology.

Lesion location across diagnostic regions in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Lesions in the periventricular, (juxta)cortical, and infratentorial region, as visible on brain MRI, are part of the diagnostic criteria for Multiple sclerosis (MS) whereas lesions in the subcortical region are currently only a marker of disease activity. It is unknown whether MS lesions follow individual spatial patterns or whether they occur in a random manner across diagnostic regions. AIM: First, to describe cross-sectionally the spatial lesion patterns in patients with MS. Second, to investigate the spatial association of new lesions and lesions at baseline across diagnostic regions. METHODS: Experienced neuroradiologists analyzed brain MRI (3D, 3T) in a cohort of 330 early MS patients. Lesions at baseline and new solitary lesions after two years were segmented (manually and by consensus) and classified as periventricular, (juxta)cortical, or infratentorial (diagnostic regions) or subcortical-with or without Gadolinium-enhancement. Gadolinium enhancement of lesions in the different regions was compared by Chi square test. New lesions in the four regions served as dependent variable in four zero-inflated Poisson models each with the six independent variables of lesions in the four regions at baseline, age and gender. RESULTS: At baseline, lesions were most often observed in the subcortical region (mean 13.0 lesions/patient), while lesion volume was highest in the periventricular region (mean 2287 µl/patient). Subcortical lesions were less likely to show gadolinium enhancement (3.1 %) than juxtacortical (4.3 %), periventricular (5.3 %) or infratentorial lesions (7.2 %). Age was inversely correlated with new periventricular, juxtacortical and subcortical lesions. New lesions in the periventricular, juxtacortical and infratentorial region showed a significant autocorrelative behavior being positively related to the number of lesions in the respective regions at baseline. New lesions in the subcortical region showed a different behavior with a positive association with baseline periventricular lesions and a negative association with baseline infratentorial lesions. CONCLUSION: Across regions, new lesions do not occur randomly; instead, new lesions in the periventricular, juxtacortical and infratentorial diagnostic region are associated with that at baseline. Lesions in the subcortical regions are more closely related to periventricular lesions. Moreover, subcortical lesions substantially contribute to lesion burden in MS but are less likely to show gadolinium enhancement (than lesions in the diagnostic regions).

Association of the retinal vasculature, intrathecal immunity, and disability in multiple sclerosis.

Background: Optical coherence tomography angiography (OCT-A) is a novel technique allowing non-invasive assessment of the retinal vasculature. During relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), retinal vessel loss occurs in eyes suffering from acute optic neuritis and recent data suggest that retinal vessel loss might also be evident in non-affected eyes. We investigated whether alterations of the retinal vasculature are linked to the intrathecal immunity and whether they allow prognostication of the future disease course. Material and methods: This study includes two different patient cohorts recruited at a tertiary German academic multiple sclerosis center between 2018 and 2020 and a cohort of 40 healthy controls. A total of 90 patients with RRMS undergoing lumbar puncture and OCT-A analysis were enrolled into a cross-sectional cohort study to search for associations between the retinal vasculature and the intrathecal immune compartment. We recruited another 86 RRMS patients into a prospective observational cohort study who underwent clinical examination, OCT-A and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging at baseline and during annual follow-up visits to clarify whether alterations of the retinal vessels are linked to RRMS disease activity. Eyes with a history of optic neuritis were excluded from the analysis. Results: Rarefication of the superficial vascular complex occured during RRMS and was linked to higher frequencies of activated B cells and higher levels of the pro-inflammatory cytokines interferon-γ, tumor necrosis factor α and interleukin-17 in the cerebrospinal fluid. During a median follow-up of 23 (interquartile range 14 - 25) months, vessel loss within the superficial (hazard ratio [HR] 1.6 for a 1%-point decrease in vessel density, p=0.01) and deep vascular complex (HR 1.6 for a 1%-point decrease, p=0.05) was associated with future disability worsening. Discussion: Optic neuritis independent rarefication of the retinal vasculature might be linked to neuroinflammatory processes during RRMS and might predict a worse disease course. Thus, OCT-A might be a novel biomarker to monitor disease activity and predict future disability.

From the prodromal stage of multiple sclerosis to disease prevention.

A prodrome is an early set of signs or symptoms that indicate the onset of a disease before more typical symptoms develop. Prodromal stages are well recognized in some neurological and immune-mediated diseases such as Parkinson disease, schizophrenia, type 1 diabetes mellitus and rheumatoid arthritis. Emerging evidence indicates that a prodromal stage exists in multiple sclerosis (MS), raising the possibility of intervention at this stage to delay or prevent the development of classical MS. However, much remains unclear about the prodromal stage of MS and considerable research is needed to fully characterize the prodrome and develop standardized criteria to reliably identify individuals with prodromal MS who are at high risk of progressing to a diagnosis of MS. In this Roadmap, we draw on work in other diseases to propose a disease framework for MS that incorporates the prodromal stage, and set out key steps and considerations needed in future research to fully characterize the MS prodrome, identify early disease markers and develop standardized criteria that will enable reliable identification of individuals with prodromal MS, thereby facilitating trials of interventions to slow or stop progression beyond the prodrome.

Ultrasound-detected inflammation is more common in clinically manifest hand osteoarthritis than in painless bony enlarged finger joints: subanalysis of the population-based Bruneck study.

Purpose: The aim of this article is to examine the extent of structural and inflammatory lesions by ultrasound in elderly subjects with hand osteoarthritis (HOA) fulfilling the ACR classification criteria (Group A), in subjects with painless enlarged finger joints (Group B), and in individuals without clinical abnormalities at hands (Group C). Methods: This study was nested within the population-based, prospective Bruneck study; 293 subjects of ⩾65 years of age were assessed. Clinical and ultrasound assessment was conducted at wrists and finger joints. Gray scale synovitis (GSS), Power Doppler (PD), osteophytes, and erosions were scored semiquantitatively (0-3). The Short Form Score for the Assessment and Quantification of Chronic Rheumatic Affections of the Hands (SF-SACRAH), the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), and the Functional Index for Hand Osteoarthritis (FIHOA) were retrieved. Results: Most subjects had ⩾1 ultrasound abnormality, of which osteophytes were the most prevalent finding in all groups (Group A: 100%, Group B: 99.4%, and Group C: 93.9%). GSS and PD-signals were more common in Group A than in Group B (94% versus 67% and 33% versus 13%, respectively). In Group C, GSS was observed in 39.4% of subjects. In subjects with HOA, the SF-SACRAH correlated with osteophyte scores (corrcoeff = 0.48), and the FIHOA correlated with the osteophyte (corrcoeff = 0.42) and PD scores (corrcoeff = 0.33). Conclusion: GSS and PD were more frequent in patients with symptomatic HOA than in cases with painless bony enlargements and subjects without clinical joint abnormalities. Functional restriction in HOA is associated with structural and inflammatory ultrasound changes.

Association of pregnancies with risk of multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancies have an impact on the disease course of multiple sclerosis (MS), but their relationship with MS risk is yet unclear. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationships of pregnancies and gynecological diagnoses with MS risk. METHODS: In this retrospective case-control study, we assessed differences in gynecological International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) code recording rates between women with MS (n = 5720), Crohn's disease (n = 6280), or psoriasis (n = 40,555) and women without these autoimmune diseases (n = 26,729) in the 5 years before diagnosis. RESULTS: Twenty-eight ICD-10 codes were recorded less frequently for women with MS as compared to women without autoimmune disease, 18 of which are pregnancy-related. After adjustment for pregnancies, all codes unrelated to pregnancies were still negatively associated with MS. In a sensitivity analysis excluding women with evidence for possible demyelinating events before diagnosis, all associations were more pronounced. In comparison to women with psoriasis, most associations could be confirmed; that was not true in comparison to women with Crohn's disease. CONCLUSION: Our findings provide evidence for a possible protective effect of pregnancies on MS risk likely independent of or in addition to a previously suggested reversed causality. The negative associations of gynecological disorders with disease risk need further investigation. The associations might be shared by different autoimmune diseases.

Gray matter atrophy in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis is associated with white matter lesions in connecting fibers.

BACKGROUND: Lesions of brain white matter (WM) and atrophy of brain gray matter (GM) are well-established surrogate parameters in multiple sclerosis (MS), but it is unclear how closely these parameters relate to each other. OBJECTIVE: To assess across the whole cerebrum whether GM atrophy can be explained by lesions in connecting WM tracts. METHODS: GM images of 600 patients with relapsing-remitting MS (women = 68%; median age = 33.0 years, median expanded disability status scale score = 1.5) were converted to atrophy maps by data from a healthy control cohort. An atlas of WM tracts from the Human Connectome Project and individual lesion maps were merged to identify potentially disconnected GM regions, leading to individual disconnectome maps. Across the whole cerebrum, GM atrophy and potentially disconnected GM were tested for association both cross-sectionally and longitudinally. RESULTS: We found highly significant correlations between disconnection and atrophy across most of the cerebrum. Longitudinal analysis demonstrated a close temporal relation of WM lesion formation and GM atrophy in connecting fibers. CONCLUSION: GM atrophy is associated with WM lesions in connecting fibers. Caution is warranted when interpreting group differences in GM atrophy exclusively as differences in early neurodegeneration independent of WM lesion formation.

Skin and gut imprinted helper T cell subsets exhibit distinct functional phenotypes in central nervous system autoimmunity.

Multidimensional single-cell analyses of T cells have fueled the debate about whether there is extensive plasticity or 'mixed' priming of helper T cell subsets in vivo. Here, we developed an experimental framework to probe the idea that the site of priming in the systemic immune compartment is a determinant of helper T cell-induced immunopathology in remote organs. By site-specific in vivo labeling of antigen-specific T cells in inguinal (i) or gut draining mesenteric (m) lymph nodes, we show that i-T cells and m-T cells isolated from the inflamed central nervous system (CNS) in a model of multiple sclerosis (MS) are distinct. i-T cells were Cxcr6+, and m-T cells expressed P2rx7. Notably, m-T cells infiltrated white matter, while i-T cells were also recruited to gray matter. Therefore, we propose that the definition of helper T cell subsets by their site of priming may guide an advanced understanding of helper T cell biology in health and disease.

Systematic Assessment of Medical Diagnoses Preceding the First Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the occurrence of diseases and symptoms in the five years prior to diagnosis in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) in a case-control study. METHODS: Using ambulatory claims data we systematically assessed differences in the occurrence of diseases and symptoms in the five years prior to first diagnosis in patients with MS (n=10,262) as compared to patients with two other autoimmune diseases - Crohn's disease (n=15,502) and psoriasis (n=98,432) - and individuals without these diseases (n=73,430). RESULTS: Forty-three ICD-10 codes were recorded more frequently for patients with MS before diagnosis as compared to controls without autoimmune disease. Many of these findings were confirmed in a comparison to the other control groups. A high proportion of these ICD-10 codes represent symptoms suggestive of demyelinating events or other neurological diagnoses. In a sensitivity analysis excluding patients with such recordings prior to first diagnosis, no association remained significant. Seven ICD-10 codes were associated with lower odds ratios of MS, four of which represented upper respiratory tract infections. Here, the relations with MS were even more pronounced in the sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses suggest that patients with MS are frequently not diagnosed at their first demyelinating event but often years later. Symptoms and physician encounters before MS diagnosis seem to be related to already ongoing disease rather than a prodrome. The observed association of upper respiratory tract infections with lower ORs of MS diagnosis suggests a link between protection from infection and MS that however needs to be validated and further investigated.

Shared associations identify causal relationships between gene expression and immune cell phenotypes.

Genetic mapping studies have identified thousands of associations between common variants and hundreds of human traits. Translating these associations into mechanisms is complicated by two factors: they fall into gene regulatory regions; and they are rarely mapped to one causal variant. One way around these limitations is to find groups of traits that share associations, using this genetic link to infer a biological connection. Here, we assess how many trait associations in the same locus are due to the same genetic variant, and thus shared; and if these shared associations are due to causal relationships between traits. We find that only a subset of traits share associations, with many due to causal relationships rather than pleiotropy. We therefore suggest that simply observing overlapping associations at a genetic locus is insufficient to infer causality; direct evidence of shared associations is required to support mechanistic hypotheses in genetic studies of complex traits.

Treatment- and population-specific genetic risk factors for anti-drug antibodies against interferon-beta: a GWAS.

BACKGROUND: Upon treatment with biopharmaceuticals, the immune system may produce anti-drug antibodies (ADA) that inhibit the therapy. Up to 40% of multiple sclerosis patients treated with interferon ß (IFNß) develop ADA, for which a genetic predisposition exists. Here, we present a genome-wide association study on ADA and predict the occurrence of antibodies in multiple sclerosis patients treated with different interferon ß preparations. METHODS: We analyzed a large sample of 2757 genotyped and imputed patients from two cohorts (Sweden and Germany), split between a discovery and a replication dataset. Binding ADA (bADA) levels were measured by capture-ELISA, neutralizing ADA (nADA) titers using a bioassay. Genome-wide association analyses were conducted stratified by cohort and treatment preparation, followed by fixed-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Binding ADA levels and nADA titers were correlated and showed a significant heritability (47% and 50%, respectively). The risk factors differed strongly by treatment preparation: The top-associated and replicated variants for nADA presence were the HLA-associated variants rs77278603 in IFNß-1a s.c.- (odds ratio (OR) = 3.55 (95% confidence interval = 2.81-4.48), p = 2.1 × 10-26) and rs28366299 in IFNß-1b s.c.-treated patients (OR = 3.56 (2.69-4.72), p = 6.6 × 10-19). The rs77278603-correlated HLA haplotype DR15-DQ6 conferred risk specifically for IFNß-1a s.c. (OR = 2.88 (2.29-3.61), p = 7.4 × 10-20) while DR3-DQ2 was protective (OR = 0.37 (0.27-0.52), p = 3.7 × 10-09). The haplotype DR4-DQ3 was the major risk haplotype for IFNß-1b s.c. (OR = 7.35 (4.33-12.47), p = 1.5 × 10-13). These haplotypes exhibit large population-specific frequency differences. The best prediction models were achieved for ADA in IFNß-1a s.c.-treated patients. Here, the prediction in the Swedish cohort showed AUC = 0.91 (0.85-0.95), sensitivity = 0.78, and specificity = 0.90; patients with the top 30% of genetic risk had, compared to patients in the bottom 30%, an OR = 73.9 (11.8-463.6, p = 4.4 × 10-6) of developing nADA. In the German cohort, the AUC of the same model was 0.83 (0.71-0.92), sensitivity = 0.80, specificity = 0.76, with an OR = 13.8 (3.0-63.3, p = 7.5 × 10-4). CONCLUSIONS: We identified several HLA-associated genetic risk factors for ADA against interferon ß, which were specific for treatment preparations and population backgrounds. Genetic prediction models could robustly identify patients at risk for developing ADA and might be used for personalized therapy recommendations and stratified ADA screening in clinical practice. These analyses serve as a roadmap for genetic characterizations of ADA against other biopharmaceutical compounds.

Genetic determinants of the humoral immune response in MS.

OBJECTIVE: In this observational study, we investigated the impact of genetic factors at the immunoglobulin heavy chain constant locus on chromosome 14 and the major histocompatibility complex region on intrathecal immunoglobulin G, A, and M levels as well as on B cells and plasmablasts in the CSF and blood of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Using regression analyses, we tested genetic variants on chromosome 14 and imputed human leukocyte antigen (HLA) alleles for associations with intrathecal immunoglobulins in 1,279 patients with MS or clinically isolated syndrome and with blood and CSF B cells and plasmablasts in 301 and 348 patients, respectively. RESULTS: The minor alleles of variants on chromosome 14 were associated with higher intrathecal immunoglobulin G levels (ß = 0.58 [0.47 to 0.68], lowest adjusted p = 2.32 × 10-23), and lower intrathecal immunoglobulin M (ß = -0.56 [-0.67 to -0.46], p = 2.06 × 10-24) and A (ß = -0.42 [-0.54 to -0.31], p = 7.48 × 10-11) levels. Alleles from the HLA-B*07:02-DRB1*15:01-DQA1*01:02-DQB1*06:02 haplotype were associated with higher (lowest p = 2.14 × 10-7) and HLA-B*44:02 with lower (ß = -0.35 [-0.54 to -0.17], p = 1.38 × 10-2) immunoglobulin G levels. Of interest, different HLA alleles were associated with lower intrathecal immunoglobulin M (HLA-C*02:02, ß = -0.45 [-0.61 to -0.28], p = 1.01 × 10-5) and higher immunoglobulin A levels (HLA-DQA1*01:03-DQB1*06:03-DRB1*13:01 haplotype, ß = 0.40 [0.21 to 0.60], p = 4.46 × 10-3). The impact of HLA alleles on intrathecal immunoglobulin G and M levels could mostly be explained by associations with CSF B cells and plasmablasts. CONCLUSION: Although some HLA alleles seem to primarily drive the extent of humoral immune responses in the CNS by increasing CSF B cells and plasmablasts, genetic variants at the immunoglobulin heavy chain constant locus might regulate intrathecal immunoglobulins levels via different mechanisms.

A large case-control study on vaccination as risk factor for multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the hypothesis that vaccination is a risk factor for multiple sclerosis (MS) by use of German ambulatory claims data in a case-control study. METHODS: Using the ambulatory claims data of the Bavarian Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians covering 2005-2017, logistic regression models were used to assess the relation between MS (n = 12,262) and vaccinations in the 5 years before first diagnosis. Participants newly diagnosed with Crohn disease (n = 19,296) or psoriasis (n = 112,292) and participants with no history of these autoimmune diseases (n = 79,185) served as controls. RESULTS: The odds of MS were lower in participants with a recorded vaccination (odds ratio [OR] 0.870, p < 0.001 vs participants without autoimmune disease; OR 0.919, p < 0.001 vs participants with Crohn disease; OR 0.973, p = 0.177 vs participants with psoriasis). Lower odds were most pronounced for vaccinations against influenza and tick-borne encephalitis. These effects were consistently observed for different time frames, control cohorts, and definitions of the MS cohort. Effect sizes increased toward the time of first diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Results of the present study do not reveal vaccination to be a risk factor for MS. On the contrary, they consistently suggest that vaccination is associated with a lower likelihood of being diagnosed with MS within the next 5 years. Whether this is a protective effect needs to be addressed by future studies.

CSF parameters associated with early MRI activity in patients with MS.

Objective: To identify CSF parameters at diagnosis of clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) and MS that are associated with early inflammatory disease activity as measured by standardized cerebral MRI (cMRI). Methods: One hundred forty-nine patients with newly diagnosed CIS and MS were included in the retrospective study. cMRI at onset and after 12 months was analyzed for T2 and gadolinium-enhancing lesions. CSF was tested for oligoclonal bands and intrathecal synthesis of immunoglobulin G (IgG), A (IgA), and M (IgM) before initiation of disease-modifying therapy (DMT). In a subgroup of patients, CSF and serum samples were analyzed for sCD27, neurofilament light chain, and IgG subclasses 1 and 3. Association between CSF parameters and cMRI activity was investigated by univariable and multivariable regression analysis in all patients, DMT-treated patients, and untreated patients. Results: IgG index, sCD27 levels in CSF, and to a lesser extent IgM index were associated with the occurrence of new cMRI lesions. IgG index and sCD27 levels in CSF were highly correlated. In a multivariable analysis, IgG index and to a lesser extent IgM index together with DMT treatment status and gender were strongest predictors of future cMRI activity. Conclusions: CSF parameters such as IgG and IgM index are independently associated with future MRI activity and thus might be helpful to support early treatment decisions in patients newly diagnosed with CIS and MS.

Association of Intrathecal Immunoglobulin G Synthesis With Disability Worsening in Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Reliable biomarkers associated with disability worsening in multiple sclerosis (MS) are still needed. Objective: To determine a possible association of intrathecal IgG synthesis and early disability worsening as measured by Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scoring in patients with relapsing-remitting MS or clinically isolated syndrome. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cerebrospinal fluid measurements and clinical data from the observational longitudinal German national multiple sclerosis cohort were analyzed. Patients were recruited between August 2010 and November 2015 from 18 centers. Data analysis was completed from August 2018 to December 2018. Exposure: Patients were offered standard immunotherapies per national treatment guidelines. Main Outcomes and Measures: A possible association between intrathecal IgG synthesis and risk of EDSS worsening 4 years after study inclusion was tested as the primary end point by multivariable binomial regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier analysis with a log-rank test was used to assess the association of intrathecal IgG synthesis with the time to EDSS worsening. Associations between intrathecal IgM or IgA synthesis and other cerebrospinal fluid parameters and EDSS worsening were analyzed as exploratory end points. Data collection began before the hypotheses were formulated. Results: Of all 1376 patients in the German Competence Network of Multiple Sclerosis cohort, 703 patients were excluded owing to missing cerebrospinal fluid or EDSS data. Of the 673 included patients, 459 (68.2%) were women. The mean (SD) age at baseline was 34 (10) years. Intrathecal IgG synthesis was associated with a higher risk of EDSS worsening after 4 years (odds ratio, 2.02 [95% CI, 1.15-3.58]; P = .01), independent of the occurrence of relapses and disease-modifying therapy. Additionally, intrathecal IgG synthesis was associated with earlier EDSS worsening; 4 years after study entry, worsening occurred in 28.4% (95% CI, 22.7%-34.1%) and 18.1% (95% CI, 12.4%-23.9%) of patients with and without intrathecal IgG synthesis, respectively. No association of other routine cerebrospinal fluid parameters with EDSS worsening was found. Conclusions and Relevance: Patients with new diagnoses of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis or clinically isolated syndrome with intrathecal IgG synthesis had a higher risk of and shorter time to EDSS worsening across a 4-year period of follow-up. Intrathecal IgG synthesis is a potentially useful marker for disability worsening in patients with multiple sclerosis and may be useful for early treatment decisions.

DNA methylation as a mediator of HLA-DRB1*15:01 and a protective variant in multiple sclerosis.

The human leukocyte antigen (HLA) haplotype DRB1*15:01 is the major risk factor for multiple sclerosis (MS). Here, we find that DRB1*15:01 is hypomethylated and predominantly expressed in monocytes among carriers of DRB1*15:01. A differentially methylated region (DMR) encompassing HLA-DRB1 exon 2 is particularly affected and displays methylation-sensitive regulatory properties in vitro. Causal inference and Mendelian randomization provide evidence that HLA variants mediate risk for MS via changes in the HLA-DRB1 DMR that modify HLA-DRB1 expression. Meta-analysis of 14,259 cases and 171,347 controls confirms that these variants confer risk from DRB1*15:01 and also identifies a protective variant (rs9267649, p < 3.32 × 10-8, odds ratio = 0.86) after conditioning for all MS-associated variants in the region. rs9267649 is associated with increased DNA methylation at the HLA-DRB1 DMR and reduced expression of HLA-DRB1, suggesting a modulation of the DRB1*15:01 effect. Our integrative approach provides insights into the molecular mechanisms of MS susceptibility and suggests putative therapeutic strategies targeting a methylation-mediated regulation of the major risk gene.