Prognostic models in end stage liver disease.

Cirrhosis is a major cause of death worldwide, and is associated with significant health care costs. Even if milestones have been recently reached in understanding and managing end-stage liver disease (ESLD), the disease course remains somewhat difficult to prognosticate. These difficulties have already been acknowledged already in the past, when scores instead of single parameters have been proposed as valuable tools for short-term prognosis. These standard scores, like Child Turcotte Pugh (CTP) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, relying on biochemical and clinical parameters, are still widely used in clinical practice to predict short- and medium-term prognosis. The MELD score, which remains an accurate, easy-to-use, objective predictive score, has received significant modifications over time, in order to improve its performance especially in the liver transplant (LT) setting, where it is widely used as prioritization tool. Although many attempts to improve prognostic accuracy have failed because of lack of replicability or poor benefit with the comparator (often the MELD score or its variants), few scores have been recently proposed and validated especially for subgroups of patients with ESLD, as those with acute-on-chronic liver failure. Artificial intelligence will probably help hepatologists in the near future to fill the current gaps in predicting disease course and long-term prognosis of such patients.

Intra- and Extracranial MR Venography: Technical Notes, Clinical Application, and Imaging Development.

Scientific debate over chronic cerebrospinal venous insufficiency (CCSVI) has drawn attention to venous system involvement in a series of pathologic brain conditions. In the last few decades, the MRI venography (MRV) field has developed a number of valuable sequences to better investigate structural anatomy, vessel patency, and flow characteristics of venous drainage in the intra- and extracranial systems. A brief two-tier protocol is proposed to encompass the study of intra- and extracranial venous drainage with and without contrast administration, respectively. Contrast-enhanced protocol is based on time-resolved contrast-enhanced MRV of the whole region plus extracranial flow quantification through 2D Cine phase contrast (PC); non-contrast-enhanced protocol includes intracranial 3D PC, extracranial 2D time of flight (TOF), and 2D Cine PC flow quantification. Total scanning time is reasonable for clinical applications: approximately seven minutes is allocated for the contrast protocol (most of which is due to 2D Cine PC), while the noncontrast protocol accounts for around twenty minutes. We believe that a short though exhaustive MRI scan of the whole intra- and extracranial venous drainage system can be valuable for a variety of pathologic conditions, given the possible venous implication in several neurological conditions.

Subclinical central inflammation is risk for RIS and CIS conversion to MS.

BACKGROUND: Subtle diffuse intrathecal inflammation is undetectable by conventional neuroimaging, and could influence multiple sclerosis (MS) disease course. OBJECTIVE: To explore the role of subclinical persisting intrathecal inflammation in radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) or clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) conversion to MS, and in early MS disease reactivation. METHODS: One-hundred ninety-three subjects with RIS, CIS, relapsing-remitting (RR), or primary progressive (PP) MS were included, along with 76 matched controls. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) levels of interleukin-8 (IL-8), a major proinflammatory cytokine, were measured as a biomarker of intrathecal inflammation. Patients were followed up for 2 years. Clinical and imaging measures of disease progression were recorded. RESULTS: High central contents of IL-8 were associated to clinical progression in subjects with RIS, and to the risk of conversion to MS in subjects with CIS. Asymptomatic intrathecal inflammation placed subjects at risk for MS conversion, even regardless lesion load. CSF IL-8 levels were higher in RR MS with high disease activity. Higher number of relapses in the first two years since diagnosis and shorter first inter-attack intervals were observed in patients with high levels of IL-8. CONCLUSION: IL-8 might provide utility in determining the presence of active intrathecal inflammation, and could be important in diagnostically undefined cases.

The autonomic balance predicts cardiac responses after the first dose of fingolimod.

BACKGROUND: Predictive markers of cardiac side effects would be helpful for the stratification and individualized monitoring of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients prescribed with fingolimod. OBJECTIVE: To test whether the autonomic balance predicts a cardiac response after the first dose of fingolimod. METHODS: A total of 55 consecutive relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients underwent 'head-up tilt', Valsalva maneuver, deep breathing and handgrip tests before their first dose of fingolimod. The normalized unit of the high frequency (HF) component (HF normalized units; HFnu), reflecting mostly vagal activity; and the low frequency (LF) component (LF normalized units; LFnu) reflecting mostly sympathetic activity, were considered for the analysis of heart rate (HR) variability. The patients' HR and electrocardiographic parameters ((the interval between P wave and ventricular depolarization (PR); the interval between Q and T waves (QT)) were recorded during 6-hour post-dose monitoring. RESULTS: We found significant correlations between measures of parasympathetic function and fingolimod-induced bradycardia. Subjects with higher Valsalva ratio and HR variation during deep breathing had, in fact, nadir HR ≤ 50 beats/minute (bpm) after the first fingolimod dose. Conversely, significant negative correlations were found between measures of sympathetic function and fingolimod-induced PR interval increase. Subjects with lower LFnu at rest and less increase of blood pressure on the handgrip test showed a PR interval increase > 20 ms after fingolimod. CONCLUSIONS: Assessing autonomic control of cardiovascular functions can be useful to predict cardiac effects after the first fingolimod dose.

Survival benefit of transplantation for recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver resection.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be used for tumor recurrence after liver resection (LR) both for initially transplant-eligible patients as conventional salvage therapy (ST) and for non-transplant-eligible patients (beyond Milan criteria) with a goal of downstaging (DW). The aim of this study was to compare the intention-to-treat (ITT) survival rates of patients who are listed for LT, according to these two strategies. METHODS: We analyzed a prospective database of 399 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection for HCC from 2002 to 2011 to identify patients included in the waiting list for tumor recurrence. Intention-to-treat (ITT) survivals were compared with those of patients resected for HCC within and beyond Milan criteria in the same period and not included in the LT waiting list. RESULTS: The study group consisted of 42 patients, 28 in the ST group (within Milan) and 14 in the DW group (beyond Milan). The 5-year ITT survival rate was similar between the 2 groups, being 64% for ST and 60% for DW (P=.84). Twenty-five patients (15 ST and 10 DW) underwent LT, 13 (10 ST and 3 DW) were still awaiting LT, 4 (3 ST and 1 DW) dropped out of the waiting list because of tumor progression, and 7 (5 ST [33%] and 2 DW [20%]) had tumor recurrence. The 5-year ITT survival of ST patients was similar to that of 252 in-Milan HCC patients resected only (P=.3), whereas 5-year ITT survival of DW patients was significantly higher (P<.01) than that of 105 beyond-Milan HCC patients resected only. CONCLUSIONS: LR seems to be a safe and effective therapy both as alternative to transplantation and as downstaging strategy for intermediate-advanced HCC. The survival benefit of salvage LT, however, seems to be higher in the 2nd than in the 1st group.

Biochemical criteria at 1 year are not robust indicators of response to ursodeoxycholic acid in early primary biliary cirrhosis: results from a 29-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC), biochemical criteria at 1 year are considered surrogates of response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA). However, due to the slow natural history of PBC, evaluation at 1 year may be suboptimal to assess the therapeutic response, particularly in early disease. AIM: To determine whether evaluation of biochemical criteria at 1 year is a reliable surrogate of UDCA response in early PBC. METHODS: We analysed the prospectively collected data of 215 patients (untreated = 129; UDCA-treated = 86) with early PBC (normal baseline bilirubin/albumin) and a median follow-up of 8 years (range: 1-29.1). The 1-year attainment rates of the Barcelona, Paris-I, Paris-II and Toronto definitions, and their predictive relevance for a poor outcome (death, transplantation, complications of cirrhosis), were assessed either as a result of UDCA or no treatment. Independent associations with attaining each UDCA response definition were identified by multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Untreated patients displayed 1-year biochemical features compatible with 'treatment response' at rates (Barcelona: 36.4%, Paris-I: 66.7%, Toronto: 59.7%, Paris-II: 40.3%) similar to those obtained under UDCA. Depending on the definition, baseline ALP≤3xULN (OR: 4.80-35.90), AST≤2xULN (OR: 5.63-9.34) and early histological stage (OR: 3.67-3.87) were the stronger predictors for attaining the criteria. UDCA treatment was associated with attaining Barcelona (OR = 2.16) and Paris-II (OR = 2.84), but not Paris-I, and not Toronto definition when excluding late histological cases. Paris-I criteria were significantly predictive of long-term outcomes (HR = 2.83) in untreated patients. CONCLUSIONS: In early PBC, biochemical criteria at 1 year reflect severity of the disease rather than the therapeutic response to UDCA.

Use of grafts from anti-HBc-positive donors in liver transplantation: a 5-year, single-center experience.

INTRODUCTION: Liver transplantation (OLT) is the treatment of choice for advanced hepatic disease. The growing gap between waiting list patients and the number of donations has led to acceptance of less than optimal donors. The aim of this study was to evaluate the 5-year experience with anti hepatitis B core antigen (HBc)-positive liver donors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All recipients of anti-HBc-positive grafts from January 2005 to December 2010 were evaluated annually after OLT for liver disease etiology, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, and the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) liver biopsy histology and serology for hepatitis B virus (HBsAg, anti-HBs, HBV-DNA), hepatitis C virus, and hepatitis D virus as well as antiviral prophylaxis to prevent de novo HBV. RESULTS: Among the 249 OLT performed from January 2005 to December 2010, (9.3%) cases used grafts from anti-HBc-positive donors. Etiologics of liver disease among the recipients were HBV (n = 13; 32.5%), HCV (n = 13; 32.5%) or other causes (n = 14; 35%). In 20 of the 40 patients (50%), HCC was found in the explanted organ. Of 40 recipients of anti-HBc-positive grafts 11 died, and 7 (17.5%) required retransplantation. Various regimens were employed as post-transplantation antiviral prophylaxis: (l) Immune globulin (25.8%); (2) Oral antiviral drugs (9.7%); and (3) combined prophylaxis (51.6%) or no treatment (12.9%). No difference was observed in patient or graft survival in relation to the etiology of liver disease, the MELD score, or the presence of HCC at the time of OLT, except graft survival was significantly reduced among recipient who underwent transplantation for non-HBV or non-HCV liver diseases compared with those engrafted due to viral hepatitis (P = .0062). No difference was observed in histologic features (grading and staging) compared with the antiviral prophylactic therapy; the 2 patients (5%) who developed de novo HBV had not received prophylaxis after OLT. CONCLUSIONS: Matching anti-HBc-positive grafts to recipients without HBV infection before OLT, may be especially safe.

Tacrolimus trough levels, rejection and renal impairment in liver transplantation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

We hypothesized that current trough concentrations of tacrolimus after liver transplantation are set too high, considering that clinical consequences of rejection are not severe while side effects are increased.We systematically reviewed 64 studies (32 randomized controlled trials and 32 observational studies) to determine how lower tacrolimus trough concentrations than currently recommended affect acute rejection rates and renal impairment. Among randomized trials the mean of tacrolimus trough concentration during the first month was positively correlated with renal impairment within 1 year (r = 0.73; p = 0.003), but not with acute rejection, either defined using protocol biopsies (r = -0.37; p = 0.32) or not (r = 0.11; p = 0.49). A meta-analysis of randomized trials directly comparing tacrolimus trough concentrations (five trials for acute rejection [n = 957] and two trials for renal impairment [n = 712]) showed that "reduced tacrolimus" trough concentrations (<10 ng/mL) within the first month after liver transplantation were associated with less renal impairment at 1 year (RR = 0.51 [0.38-0.69]), with no significant influence on acute rejection (RR = 0.92 [0.65-1.31]) compared to "conventional tacrolimus" trough levels (>10 ng/mL). Lower trough concentrations of tacrolimus (6-10 ng/mL during the first month) would be more appropriate after liver transplantation. Regulatory authorities and the pharmaceutical industry should allow changes of regulatory drug information.

Risk factors in liver retransplantation: a single-center experience.

Liver retransplantation (Re-OLT) is one of the most debated issues in medicine over the past decade. Re-OLT, currently is accepted for patients with irreversible failure of a hepatic graft caused by primary nonfunction (PNF), hyperacute/chronic rejection, or hepatic artery thrombosis (HAT); whereas it is still controversial for patients with recurrent viral disease, in particular hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis. Patient and graft survival rates are lower than those observed after primary liver transplantation (OLT). The aim of the present study was to analyze the risk factors that adversely affect survival after Re-OLT in a single center. Medical data were collected for 23 patients who underwent Re-OLT from November 2002 to December 2008 including six men and seven women of mean age of 51.3 years. The most frequent indications for Re-OLT were: PNF (69.5%; 16/23), HCV recurrence (8.6%; 2/23), or HAT (8.6%; 2/23). Mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) at Re-OLT was 27.7 (range = 9-40). After a mean follow-up of 37.4 ± 30 (standard deviation) months, 43% (10/23) of patients had died, including 70% within the first 2 months after Re-OLT. Sepsis represented the commonest cause of death (40%). Re-OLT was performed for PNF among 90% of succumbing patients. As regards dead patients, 4/10 were HCV(+) whose causes of death were sepsis (n=2), alcoholic cirrhosis (n=2), and undetermined (n=1). Comparing patients who died after liver Re-OLT versus alive patients, we did not find any significant difference in terms of mean MELD (28.6 vs 27; P=NS), MELD > 25 (60% vs 61.5%, P=NS), donor age > 60 years (30% vs 15.3%, P=NS), HCV(+) (40% vs 62%, P = NS), or time interval from OLT to Re-OLT (12.2 vs 777.7 days, P=NS). Patient survivals after Re-OLT were 67% at 3 years and 50% at 5 years, which were lower than those of first transplantations, as reported by other European and International Centers. Forty percent of deaths after Re-OLT occurred among HCV(+) recipients, but for reasons unrelated to HCV infection.

Nonadherent behaviors after solid organ transplantation.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The effectiveness of any treatment depends not only on the choice of therapy, but also, to a large extent, on the patient's active cooperation. Adherence to medical prescriptions and particularly to immunosuppressive therapy is crucial to prevent medical complications that negatively influence graft function and patient survival after organ transplantation. The aim of this study was to assess, among patients who underwent solid organ transplantation, nonadherent behaviors (NAB) to immunosuppressive therapy, to correct lifestyle, and to general medical prescriptions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We evaluated patients who underwent solid organ transplantation from March 2008 to June 2009. All participants completed an anonymous 15-item questionnaire to assess NAB. RESULTS: We enrolled 218 organ transplant patients: 103 liver, 50 kidney, 52 heart, and 13 lung. There were 152 men and the overall age was 52.2 ± 0.8 years (mean ± standard deviation [SD]) time from transplantation, 83.6 ± 4.5 months (mean ± SD). Overall 37.9%, 38.8%, and 12.8% of patients reported nonadherence to immunosuppressive therapy, to correct lifestyle, and to general medical prescriptions, respectively. Considering nonadherence to immunosuppressive therapy and to general prescriptions, the percentage of kidney transplant patients who referred NAB was significantly lower compared with other organ transplant patients (P = .008 and P = .04, respectively). Nonadherent patients to immunosuppressive therapy and to general medical prescriptions displayed a longer interval from transplantation compared with adherent patients (P = .02 and P = .03, respectively). Among patients nonadherent to the correct lifestyle, the rates of men and of patients with disability pension were significantly higher compared to adherent patients (P = .001 and P = .002, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Poor adherence to medical prescriptions and to adequate lifestyle is common among organ transplant patients, especially those who have undergone liver transplantation. Psychoeducational interventions for transplanted patients and their families are needed to improve adherence.

Fibrosis progression and the pros and cons of antiviral therapy for hepatitis C virus recurrence after liver transplantation: a review.

The progression of fibrosis due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) recurrence after liver transplantation (OLT) is faster than in the pretransplant setting, leading to histologically documented cirrhosis within 5 years in 25% to 30% of cases. Whether it is associated with biliary complications or previous alcohol abuse, recurrent HCV is the main cause of graft failure and death after OLT. The most important donor risk factor for HCV recurrence is advanced donor age. The disease's course is even more aggressive if it is associated with anti-HCV positivity or graft steatosis. The type of calcineurin inhibitor does not seem to influence HCV recurrence. Avoiding or slowly tapering steroids has been associated with less disease recurrence, while steroid pulses to treat acute rejection episodes have been associated with a worse progression of fibrosis. Antiviral therapy (AT) is not always recommended in OLT patients, but is of some benefit. Fibrosis has been shown to ameliorate in sustained virological responders to AT and to progress significantly more in nonresponders. Using long-term maintenance, AT has recently been shown to increase the probability of biochemical and histological responses, regardless of the timing of the HCV recurrence. In conclusion, the donor- recipient match should be assessed to limit HCV recurrences and their severity; AT is recommended to reduce or reverse the progression of fibrosis.

Systematic review: portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: As current imaging techniques in cirrhosis allow detection of asymptomatic portal vein thrombosis during routine ultrasonography, more patients with cirrhosis are diagnosed with portal vein thrombosis. Although a consensus on noncirrhotic extra-hepatic portal vein thrombosis has been published, no such consensus exists for portal vein thrombosis with cirrhosis. AIM: To perform a systematic review of nonmalignant portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis in terms of prevalence, pathogenesis, diagnosis, clinical course and management. METHODS: Studies were identified by a search strategy using MEDLINE and EMBASE. RESULTS: Portal vein thrombosis is encountered in 10-25% of cirrhotics. In terms of pathophysiology, cirrhosis is no longer considered a hypocoagulable state; rather than a bleeding risk in cirrhosis, various clinical studies support a thrombotic potential. Clinical findings of portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis vary from asymptomatic disease to a life-threatening condition at first presentation. Optimal management of portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis is currently not addressed in any consensus publication. Treatment strategies most often include the use of anticoagulation, while thrombectomy and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts are considered second-line options. CONCLUSIONS: Portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis has many unresolved issues, which are often the critical problems clinicians encounter in their everyday practice. We propose a possible research agenda to address these unresolved issues.

Liver transplantation for alcoholic liver disease in Europe: a study from the ELTR (European Liver Transplant Registry).

Alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) is one of the most common indications for liver transplantation (LT). Long-term outcome after LT for ALD versus other etiologies is still under debate. The aim of this study was to compare outcome after LT of patients with ALD, viral (VIR), and cryptogenic cirrhosis. Donor, graft and recipient ELTR variables were analysed in transplants for alcoholic and nonalcoholic cirrhosis (1988-2005) and were correlated with patient survival. Causes of death and/or graft failure were compared between groups. Nine thousand eight hundred eighty ALD, 10,943 VIR, 1478 ALD+VIR and 2410 cryptogenic (CRYP) liver transplants were evaluated. One, 3, 5 and 10 years graft survival rates after LT in ALD patients were 84%, 78%, 73%, 58%, significantly higher than in VIR and CRYP (p=0.04, p=0.05). By multivariate analysis, ALD+VIR (RR 1.14) and viral alone (RR 1.06) were significant risk factors for mortality. De novo tumors, cardiovascular and social causes were causes of death/graft failure in higher percentage in ALD groups versus other etiologies. LT for ALD cirrhosis has a favorable outcome, however, hepatitis C virus co-infection seems to eliminate this advantage. Screening for de novo tumors and prevention of cardiovascular complications are essential to provide better long-term results.

Enzyme replacement therapy in adult-onset glycogenosis II: is quantitative muscle MRI helpful?

Although it has been shown that muscle magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) improves the phenotypic characterization of patients with neuromuscular disorders and allows accurate quantification of muscle and adipose tissue distribution, to date quantitative MRI has not been used to assess the therapeutic response in clinical trials of neuromuscular diseases. We discuss quantitative MRI findings after a 6-month course of enzyme replacement therapy administered to nine patients with adult-onset glycogenosis II.

Azathioprine in liver transplantation: a reevaluation of its use and a comparison with mycophenolate mofetil.

Calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) combined with steroids with or without azathioprine (AZA), have been a standard immunosuppression regimen after liver transplantation (LT). Since 2000 many centers have substituted AZA by mycophenolate mofetil (MMF). However, in LT the superiority of MMF over AZA is not clearly demonstrated. Therefore, we questioned the benefit of MMF versus AZA in LT with regard to rejection, renal dysfunction and hepatitis C virus (HCV) recurrence and survival. Using a literature search, relevant randomized controlled trials (RCT) and cohort studies were identified: two RCTs compared MMF to AZA only for acute rejection. Treated rejection was less with MMF in only one RCT (38.5% vs. 47.7%; p = 0.025), with no difference in patient and graft survival. No RCTs compared MMF and AZA in patients with CNI-related chronic renal dysfunction. Among two studies evaluating MMF, with substitution of AZA, one was stopped due to severe rejection. Recurrent HCV was less severe in 5/9 studies with AZA compared with 2/17 using MMF, six of which documented worse recurrence. Published data in LT show little, if any, clinical benefit of MMF versus AZA. RCTs should reevaluate AZA in LT. Evaluation of HCV replication and recurrence will be particularly important as AZA may have advantages over MMF.

HCV histological recurrence and survival following liver transplantation in patients with and without hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis is one of the leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) and a major risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). HCV recurrence after LT is universal. This study evaluated HCV recurrence and survival in patients transplanted for HCV and HCC. METHODS: We evaluated all adults transplanted for HCV cirrhosis between January 1999 and December 2006, HCC was diagnosed on the explant and HCV recurrence confirmed on protocol liver biopsies performed at 6 months and yearly after LT. The sustained viral response (SVR) was defined as HCV-RNA undetectable at 6 months after therapy discontinuation. The patient survival rates were assessed with Kaplan-Meier curves and the chi-square test was used when appropriate. RESULTS: Two hundred sixteen patients underwent LT for HCV including 153 men and 63 women of mean age 54 years with a mean follow-up of 35 months. There were 71 (33%) HCC(+) patients. At 1, 3, and 5 years from LT severe fibrosis (Scheuer 3-4) due to the HCV recurrence was reported in 18%, 14%, and 11% for HCC(+) and 14%, 16%, and 28% for HCC(-) patients respectively (P=NS). HCC recurred only in 3 (4%) patients at a mean follow-up of 3 years. Patients who received antiviral treatment after LT were 10% HCC(+) and 12% HCC(-) patients (P=NS). SVR was seen in 3/7 (43%) of HCC(+) and in 10/18 (55%) of HCC(-) patients (P=NS). At 1, 3, and 5 years the patient survivals was 91%, 86%, and 86% for HCC(+) and 94%, 86%, and 83% for HCC(-) patients, respectively (P=NS). CONCLUSIONS: Severe fibrosis due to HCV recurrence, which increases over time, involves one third of transplanted patients at 5 years after LT. The long-term survival was identical among HCC(+) compared to HCC(-) recipients. The recurrence of HCC was negligible and did not affect patient survival.

The concept of quality of life in organ transplantation.

The goal of organ transplantation is not only to ensure the survival of individuals with end-stage heart, lung, liver, kidney, pancreas, and small bowel diseases, but also to offer patients the health they enjoyed before the disease, achieving a good balance between the functional efficacy of the graft and the patient's psychological and physical integrity. Quality of life (QoL) assessments are used to evaluate the physical, psychological, and social domains of health, seen as distinct areas that are influenced by a person's experiences, beliefs, expectations, and perceptions, and QoL is emerging as a new medical indicator in transplantation medicine too.