Evaluating the impacts of protected areas on human well-being across the developing world.

Protected areas (PAs) are fundamental for biodiversity conservation, yet their impacts on nearby residents are contested. We synthesized environmental and socioeconomic conditions of >87,000 children in >60,000 households situated either near or far from >600 PAs within 34 developing countries. We used quasi-experimental hierarchical regression to isolate the impact of living near a PA on several aspects of human well-being. Households near PAs with tourism also had higher wealth levels (by 17%) and a lower likelihood of poverty (by 16%) than similar households living far from PAs. Children under 5 years old living near multiple-use PAs with tourism also had higher height-for-age scores (by 10%) and were less likely to be stunted (by 13%) than similar children living far from PAs. For the largest and most comprehensive socioeconomic-environmental dataset yet assembled, we found no evidence of negative PA impacts and consistent statistical evidence to suggest PAs can positively affect human well-being.

Potential rise in iron deficiency due to future anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions.

Iron deficiency reduces capacity for physical activity, lowers IQ, and increases maternal and child mortality, impacting roughly a billion people worldwide. Recent studies have shown that certain highly consumed crops-C3 grains (e.g., wheat, rice, and barley), legumes, and maize-have lower iron concentrations of 4-10% when grown under increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations (550 ppm). We examined diets in 152 countries globally (95.5% of the population) to estimate the percentage of lost dietary iron resulting from anthropogenic CO2 emissions between now and 2050, specifically among vulnerable age-sex groups: children (1-5 years) and women of childbearing age (15-49 years), holding diets constant. We also cross-referenced these with the current prevalence of anemia to identify most at-risk countries. We found that 1.4 billion children aged 1-5 and women of childbearing age (59% of global total for these groups) live in high-risk countries, where the prevalence of anemia exceeds 20% and modeled loss in dietary iron would be in the most severe tertile (>3.8%). The countries with the highest anemia prevalence also derive their iron from the fewest number of foods, even after excluding countries consuming large amounts of unaccounted wild-harvest foods. The potential risk of increased iron deficiency adds greater incentive for mitigating anthropogenic CO2 emissions and highlights the need to address anticipated health impacts via improved health delivery systems, dietary behavioral changes, or agricultural innovation. Because these are effects on content rather than yield, it is unlikely that consumers will perceive this health threat and adapt to it without education.

Plan and operation of the NHANES I Epidemiologic Followup Study, 1992.

OBJECTIVES: The NHANES I Epidemiologic Followup Study (NHEFS) is a longitudinal study that uses as its baseline those adult persons 25-74 years of age who were examined in the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES I). NHEFS was designed to investigate the association between factors measured at baseline and the development of specific health conditions. The three major objectives of NHEFS are to study morbidity and mortality associated with suspected risk factors, changes over time in participants' characteristics, and the natural history of chronic disease and functional impairments. METHODS: Tracing and data collection in the 1992 Followup were undertaken for the 11,195 subjects who were not known to be deceased in the previous surveys. No additional information was collected in the 1992 NHEFS for the 3,212 subjects who were known to be deceased before the 1992 NHEFS data collection period. RESULTS: By the end of the 1992 NHEFS survey period, 90.0 percent of the 11,195 subjects in the 1992 Followup cohort had been successfully traced. Interviews were conducted for 9,281 subjects. An interview was conducted for 8,151 of the 8,687 surviving subjects; 551 interviews were administered to a proxy respondent because the subject was incapacitated. A proxy interview was conducted for 1,130 of the 1,392 decedents identified in the 1992 NHEFS. In addition, 10,535 facility stay records were collected for 4,162 subjects reporting overnight facility stays. Death certificates were obtained for 1,374 of the 1,392 subjects who were identified as deceased since last contact. Approximately 32 percent of the NHEFS cohort is known to be deceased with a death certificate available for 98 percent of the 4,604 NHEFS decedents.