PO-60 - Renal tumors with extensive vascular disease: management challenges in a pediatric series from the Hospital for Sick Children.

INTRODUCTION: Venous thrombotic events (VTE) are becoming more and more common in children, particularly in the hospital setting. To date, 1 in 200 children admitted to tertiary pediatric hospitals are now being recognized to develop VTE. Amongst those patients with an identified thrombotic occlusion, pediatric patients diagnosed with renal tumors have long been recognized, but their ideal management in the instances of vascular invasion remains controversial. AIM: We describe the clinical behavior of patients diagnosed with renal tumors and extra renal vascular involvement at The Hospital for Sick Children in Toronto, Canada. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted in patients diagnosed from 1990 to 2012. Data collected included: age, gender, symptoms at presentation, staging, pathology report, radiological evidence of intravascular thrombus [i.e. renal veins (RV), inferior vena cava (IVC) and right atrium (RA)], intraoperative findings, therapeutic protocol implemented and anticoagulation; for outcomes, tumor and/or thrombus recurrence, thromboembolic phenomena [i.e. pulmonary embolism (PE)] and survival. RESULTS: Of 299 patients with renal tumors identified, 292 were included: Wilms (219), Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC, 29), Clear Cell Sarcoma of the Kidney (CCSK, 12), others (32). The median age of the group was 4.53years (4days - 18 years). Extra renal vascular disease was identified in 29 patients, with a median age 7.05years (0.6-16 years; p=0.03), including Wilms tumors (22/219, 10%), RCC (2/29, 7%), CCSK (1/12, 8.3%) and others (4/32, 12.5%; p=0.01). Vascular involvement comprised exclusive evidence of RV disease (7), IVC disease (19; 15 infra-hepatic), RA disease (3) and PE (5).Treatment escalation because of vascular disease included neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (12; Wilms [11], RCC [1]), intraoperative cavectomy/ thrombectomy (1; Wilms), and cavotomies (11 Wilms [7], RCC [1], CCSK [1], PNET [1], sarcoma [1]). Four patients were placed under cardiopulmonary bypass. Anticoagulation was administered in 9/29 patients for their tumor-related thrombus, and one had a minor bleeding complications (oozing from the central venous line insertion site). CONCLUSIONS: Renal tumors with vascular invasion are a rare and challenging entity. Treatment included mostly cancer-related therapies and the role of vascular surgical approaches and/or systemic anticoagulation remains to be clarified.

Regulatory considerations for antiretroviral prophylaxis to prevent HIV acquisition.

Antiretrovirals (ARVs) decrease the infectiousness of treated HIV-infected persons and can reduce the acquisition of HIV infection when taken by uninfected persons. Coformulated emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (FTC/TDF) is approved in the United States for the preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) indication, changing the regulatory landscape for new prophylactic agents. We describe the challenge of conducting rigorous clinical end-point trials for prophylactic agents and point to alternatives that leverage new information about correlates of HIV risk and protection.

Helping our patients take HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP): a systematic review of adherence interventions.

OBJECTIVES: Adherence is critical for maximizing the effectiveness of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in preventing HIV infection. Strategies for promoting adherence to HIV treatment, and their potential application to PrEP adherence, have received considerable attention. However, adherence promotion strategies for prevention medications have not been well characterized and may be more applicable to PrEP. We aimed to identify adherence support interventions that have been effective in other prevention fields and could be applied in the HIV prevention context to support pill taking among PrEP users. METHODS: To identify adherence support interventions that could be evaluated and applied in the PrEP context, we conducted a systematic review across the following prevention fields: hypertension, latent tuberculosis infection, hyperlipidaemia, oral contraceptives, osteoporosis, malaria prophylaxis, and post-exposure prophylaxis for HIV infection. We included randomized controlled trials that evaluated the efficacy of interventions to improve adherence to daily oral medications prescribed for primary prevention in healthy individuals or for secondary prevention in asymptomatic individuals. RESULTS: Our searches identified 585 studies, of which 48 studies met the eligibility criteria and were included in the review; nine evaluated multiple strategies, yielding 64 separately tested interventions. Interventions with the strongest evidence for improving adherence included complex, resource-intensive interventions, which combined multiple adherence support approaches, and low-cost, low-intensity interventions that provided education or telephone calls for adherence support. CONCLUSIONS: Our review identified adherence interventions with strong evidence of efficacy across prevention fields and provides recommendations for evaluating these interventions in upcoming PrEP studies.

Skeletal findings in the first 12 months following initiation of glucocorticoid therapy for pediatric nephrotic syndrome.

UNLABELLED: Incident vertebral fractures and lumbar spine bone mineral density (BMD) were assessed in the 12 months following glucocorticoid initiation in 65 children with nephrotic syndrome. The incidence of vertebral fractures was low at 12 months (6 %) and most patients demonstrated recovery in BMD Z-scores by this time point. INTRODUCTION: Vertebral fracture (VF) incidence following glucocorticoid (GC) initiation has not been previously reported in pediatric nephrotic syndrome. METHODS: VF was assessed on radiographs (Genant method); lumbar spine bone mineral density (LS BMD) was evaluated by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. RESULTS: Sixty-five children were followed to 12 months post-GC initiation (median age, 5.4 years; range, 2.3-17.9). Three of 54 children with radiographs (6 %; 95 % confidence interval (CI), 2-15 %) had incident VF at 1 year. The mean LS BMD Z-score was below the healthy average at baseline (mean ± standard deviation (SD), -0.5 ± 1.1; p = 0.001) and at 3 months (-0.6 ± 1.1; p < 0.001), but not at 6 months (-0.3 ± 1.3; p = 0.066) or 12 months (-0.3 ± 1.2; p = 0.066). Mixed effect modeling showed a significant increase in LS BMD Z-scores between 3 and 12 months (0.22 SD; 95 % CI, 0.08 to 0.36; p = 0.003). A subgroup (N = 16; 25 %) had LS BMD Z-scores that were ≤-1.0 at 12 months. In these children, each additional 1,000 mg/m(2) of GC received in the first 3 months was associated with a decrease in LS BMD Z-score by 0.39 at 12 months (95 % CI, -0.71 to -0.07; p = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of VF at 1 year was low and LS BMD Z-scores improved by 12 months in the majority. Twenty-five percent of children had LS BMD Z-scores ≤-1.0 at 12 months. In these children, LS BMD Z-scores were inversely associated with early GC exposure, despite similar GC exposure compared to the rest of the cohort.

Evidence for ongoing brain injury in human immunodeficiency virus-positive patients treated with antiretroviral therapy.

Treatment with antiretroviral therapy (ART) has greatly reduced the incidence of dementia. The goal of this longitudinal study was to determine if there are ongoing macrostructural brain changes in human immunodeficiency virus-positive (HIV + ) individuals treated with ART. To quantify brain structure, three-dimensional T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans were performed at baseline and again after 24 months in 39 HIV+ patients on ART and 30 HIV- controls. Longitudinal changes in brain volume were measured using tissue segmentation within regions of interest and deformation morphometry. Measured by tissue segmentation, HIV+ patients on ART had significantly (all P<.05) greater rates of white matter volume loss than HIV- control individuals. Compared with controls, the subgroup of HIV+ individuals on ART with viral suppression also had significantly greater rates of white matter volume loss. Deformation morphometry confirmed these results with more specific spatial localization. Deformation morphometry also detected greater rates of gray matter and white matter loss in the subgroup of HIV+ individuals with detectable viral loads. These results provide evidence of ongoing brain volume loss in HIV+ individuals on stable ART, possibly suggesting ongoing cerebral injury. The presence of continuing injury raises the possibility that HIV+ individuals-even in the presence of viral suppression in the periphery-are at greater risk for future cognitive impairments and dementia and possibly faster cognitive decline. Therefore, HIV+ individuals on ART should be monitored for cognitive decline, and treatments that reduce ongoing neurological injury should be considered.

Suspected malignant cord compression - improving time to diagnosis via a 'hotline': a prospective audit.

The aim of the study was to achieve earlier diagnosis of malignant cord compression (MCC) using urgent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for selected patients. A comparison was carried out of the current prospective audit of 100 patients referred by a general practitioner or a consultant over 32 months with both a previous national Clinical Research and Audit Group (CRAG) prospective audit (324 cases of MCC) and an earlier retrospective audit of 104 patients referred with suspected MCC. A telephone hotline rapid-referral process for patients with known malignancy and new symptoms (severe nerve root pain +/- severe back pain) was designed. Patients were considered for urgent MRI after discussion with a senior clinician responsible for the hotline. Appropriate referrals were discussed with radiology and oncology ensuring timely MRI reporting and intervention. The main outcome measures are as follows: time from referral to diagnosis; time from the onset of symptoms to diagnosis; and mobility at diagnosis. A total of 50 patients (52%) of those scanned had either MCC (44) or malignant nerve root compression (6) compared with the earlier rate of 23 out of 104 patients (22%). Ten out of 44 MCC patients (23%) were paralysed at diagnosis, compared with 149 out of 324 (46%) in the CRAG audit. Time from reporting pain to diagnosis was 32 days compared with 89 days in the CRAG audit. Median time from referral to diagnosis was 1 day, again considerably shorter than the CRAG audit time of 15 days (interquartile (IQ) range: 3-66). In patients at risk of MCC, fast-track referral with rapid access to MRI reduces time between symptom onset and diagnosis, improves mobility at diagnosis and reduces the number of negative MRI scans.

Potentially exposed but uninfected individuals produce cytotoxic and polyfunctional human immunodeficiency virus type 1-specific CD8(+) T-cell responses which can be defined to the epitope level.

We measured CD8(+) T-cell responses in 12 potentially exposed but uninfected men who have sex with men by using cytokine flow cytometry. Four of the individuals screened exhibited polyfunctional immune responses to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 Gag or Vif. The minimum cytotoxic T lymphocyte epitope was mapped in one Gag responder.

Increases in sexually transmitted infections and sexual risk behaviour without a concurrent increase in HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in San Francisco: a suggestion of HIV serosorting?

BACKGROUND: Sexually transmitted infections (STI) and unprotected anal intercourse (UAI) have been increasing among men who have sex with men (MSM) in San Francisco. However, HIV incidence has stabilised. OBJECTIVES: To describe recent trends in sexual risk behaviour, STI, and HIV incidence among MSM in San Francisco and to assess whether increases in HIV serosorting (that is, selective unprotected sex with partners of the same HIV status) may contribute to preventing further expansion of the epidemic. METHODS: The study applies an ecological approach and follows the principles of second generation HIV surveillance. Temporal trends in biological and behavioural measures among MSM were assessed using multiple pre-existing DATA SOURCES: STI case reporting, prevention outreach programmatic data, and voluntary HIV counselling and testing data. RESULTS: Reported STI cases among MSM rose from 1998 through 2004, although the rate of increase slowed between 2002 and 2004. Rectal gonorrhoea cases increased from 157 to 389 while early syphilis increased from nine to 492. UAI increased overall from 1998 to 2004 (p<0.001) in community based surveys; however, UAI with partners of unknown HIV serostatus decreased overall (p<0.001) among HIV negative MSM, and among HIV positive MSM it declined from 30.7% in 2001 to a low of 21.0% in 2004 (p<0.001). Any UAI, receptive UAI, and insertive UAI with a known HIV positive partner decreased overall from 1998 to 2004 (p<0.001) among MSM seeking anonymous HIV testing and at the STI clinic testing programme. HIV incidence using the serological testing algorithm for recent HIV seroconversion (STARHS) peaked in 1999 at 4.1% at the anonymous testing sites and 4.8% at the STI clinic voluntary testing programme, with rates levelling off through 2004. CONCLUSIONS: HIV incidence among MSM appears to have stabilised at a plateau following several years of resurgence. Increases in the selection of sexual partners of concordant HIV serostatus may be contributing to the stabilisation of the epidemic. However, current incidence rates of STI and HIV remain high. Moreover, a strategy of risk reduction by HIV serosorting can be severely limited by imperfect knowledge of one's own and one's partners' serostatus.

Postexposure prophylaxis for human immunodeficiency virus infection after sexual or injection drug use exposure: identification and characterization of the source of exposure.

In a nonrandomized study of nonoccupational postexposure prophylaxis (PEP), a cross-sectional evaluation of subjects who were the source of human immunodeficiency (HIV) exposure was performed to characterize partners of index subjects seeking nonoccupational PEP against HIV. Among 401 index subjects, 64 (16%) recruited a source subject. Those in a steady relationship and those who knew that the source subject was HIV antibody positive were more likely to recruit their source subject. Source subjects reported high rates of past (78%) and current (69%) antiretroviral use; 46% of those using antiretroviral drugs had detectable plasma HIV-1 RNA levels. Antiretroviral resistance was detected in many source subjects who reported any use of antiretrovirals and was rare among source subjects who reported no history of antiretroviral use. Clinicians often make treatment decisions on the basis of incomplete knowledge of the source subject's HIV status or antiretroviral treatment history. The treatment history, particularly nonuse of a class of antiretroviral drugs, can be used to predict drug resistance.

Cerebrospinal fluid response to structured treatment interruption after virological failure.

OBJECTIVE: Structured antiretroviral treatment interruption (STI) has been advocated as a therapeutic strategy for HIV-1 infection. We report initial observations of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) HIV-1 infection in five patients undergoing serial lumbar punctures (LPs) during STI undertaken following virological failure. DESIGN AND METHODS: In this prospective observational study we quantified HIV-1 RNA concentrations and assessed both phenotypic drug susceptibility profiles and genotypic antiviral drug resistance mutations in CSF and plasma during the period of treatment interruption. CSF white blood cells were also counted, and patients' neurological status monitored. RESULTS: In four of the patients, CSF HIV-1 concentration increased more rapidly than that of the plasma, with consequent reduction in the ratio between plasma and CSF viral loads (pVL : cVL). Three individuals developed robust, though asymptomatic CSF lymphocytic pleocytosis. In all patients the predominant HIV-1 quasispecies shifted simultaneously in CSF and plasma from a drug-resistant to a more drug-susceptible phenotype with identical and simultaneous changes in genotypes associated with drug resistance. CONCLUSIONS: STI may be accompanied by previously unrecognized changes in tissue viral exposures and lymphocyte traffic. Hence, despite 'virological failure' as evidenced by persistent plasma viremia, ongoing antiretroviral treatment prior to its interruption appeared to suppress CSF HIV-1 infection (indeed more effectively than that of plasma) and restrain lymphocyte traffic into the CSF. Simultaneous change of resistance mutations in CSF and plasma was likely due to re-emergence and overgrowth of pre-existing strains with ready exchange of virus between these two compartments, either facilitated by or provoking a local CSF lymphocytosis.

Impaired replication of protease inhibitor-resistant HIV-1 in human thymus.

Many HIV-1-infected patients treated with protease inhibitors (PI) develop PI-resistant HIV-1 variants and rebounds in viremia, but their CD4+ T-cell counts often do not fall. We hypothesized that in these patients, T-cell counts remain elevated because PI-resistant virus spares intrathymic T-cell production. To test this, we studied recombinant HIV-1 clones containing wild-type or PI-resistant protease domains, as well as uncloned isolates from patients, in activated peripheral blood mononuclear cells, human thymic organ cultures and human thymus implants in SCID-hu Thy/Liv mice. In most cases, wild-type and PI-resistant HIV-1 isolates replicated to similar degrees in peripheral blood mononuclear cells. However, the replication of PI-resistant but not wild-type HIV-1 isolates was highly impaired in thymocytes. In addition, patients who had PI-resistant HIV-1 had abundant thymus tissue as assessed by computed tomography. We propose that the inability of PI-resistant HIV-1 to replicate efficiently in thymus contributes to the preservation of CD4+ T-cell counts in patients showing virologic rebound on PI therapy.

Primary and recombinant HIV type 1 strains resistant to protease inhibitors are pathogenic in mature human lymphoid tissues.

Preserved peripheral CD4+ T cell counts despite virologic failure in patients undergoing protease inhibitor (PI)-containing antiviral regimens are a frequent occurrence in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease. One hypothesis to explain the relative sparing of CD4+ T cells is that HIV strains exhibiting PI resistance concomitantly are attenuated in terms of cytopathicity for mature T cells. To test this hypothesis, we used a three-dimensional human tonsil histoculture microenvironment to assess the pathogenic potential of a panel of primary and recombinant HIV-1 strains derived from patients experiencing PI failure. All the viruses tested replicated efficiently in these cultures and, in some cases, better than comparable wild-type viral isolates. Furthermore, the PI-resistant strains depleted CD4+ T cells potently and comparably with wild-type isolates in these ex vivo lymphoid tissues. These results demonstrate that PI-resistant viruses are not inherently less pathogenic for mature T cells. Therefore, the sustained peripheral lymphocyte counts in patients with selective virologic failure may be due to specific defects in viral replication in other cell compartments or to an undefined host adaptation to viral infection during PI therapy.

Virologic and immunologic consequences of discontinuing combination antiretroviral-drug therapy in HIV-infected patients with detectable viremia.

BACKGROUND: In many patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, therapy with potent antiretroviral drugs does not result in complete suppression of HIV replication. The effect of cessation of therapy in these patients is unknown. METHODS: Sixteen patients who had a plasma HIV RNA level of more than 2500 copies per milliliter during combination antiretroviral-drug therapy were randomly assigned, in a 2:1 ratio, to discontinue or continue therapy. Plasma HIV RNA levels, CD4 cell counts, and drug susceptibility were measured weekly. Viral replicative capacity was measured at base line and at week 12. RESULTS: Discontinuation of therapy for 12 weeks was associated with a median decrease in the CD4 cell count of 128 cells per cubic millimeter and an increase in the plasma HIV RNA level of 0.84 log copies per milliliter. Virus from all patients with detectable resistance at entry became susceptible to HIV-protease inhibitors within 16 weeks after the discontinuation of therapy. Drug susceptibility began to increase a median of six weeks after the discontinuation of therapy and was temporally associated with increases in plasma HIV RNA levels and decreases in CD4 cell counts. Viral replicative capacity, measured by means of a recombinant-virus assay, was low at entry into the study and increased after therapy was discontinued. Despite the loss of detectable resistance in plasma, resistant virus was cultured from peripheral-blood mononuclear cells in five of nine patients who could be evaluated. Plasma HIV RNA levels, CD4 cell counts, and drug susceptibility remained stable in the patients who continued therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the presence of reduced drug susceptibility, antiretroviral-drug therapy can provide immunologic and virologic benefit. This benefit reflects continued antiviral-drug activity and the maintenance of a viral population with a reduced replicative capacity.

Increased production of IL-7 accompanies HIV-1-mediated T-cell depletion: implications for T-cell homeostasis.

We hypothesized that HIV-1-mediated T-cell loss might induce the production of factors that are capable of stimulating lymphocyte development and expansion. Here we perform cross-sectional (n = 168) and longitudinal (n = 11) analyses showing that increased circulating levels of interleukin (IL)-7 are strongly associated with CD4+ T lymphopenia in HIV-1 disease. Using immunohistochemistry with quantitative image analysis, we demonstrate that IL-7 is produced by dendritic-like cells within peripheral lymphoid tissues and that IL-7 production by these cells is greatly increased in lymphocyte-depleted tissues. We propose that IL-7 production increases as part of a homeostatic response to T-cell depletion.

Early human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in the HIV Network for Prevention Trials Vaccine Preparedness Cohort: risk behaviors, symptoms, and early plasma and genital tract virus load.

Risk behaviors, symptoms, and virologic characteristics were studied among 103 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seroconverters in vaccine preparedness cohorts during 1995-1998. Overall, 83% of subjects were men who had sex with men; most reported multiple risk episodes and symptoms (84%, > or =1 symptom) during seroconversion. Acute HIV was diagnosed in only 8 of 50 who sought medical care. Median initial pretreatment plasma virus load was 25,800 copies/mL (range, undetectable-262,000 copies/mL) a mean of 4 months after seroconversion, and 9.7% had nucleoside-associated mutations; none had multidrug resistance. Semen virus load was more variable, 1.3 log(10) lower and modestly correlated (r=.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.16-0.42) with plasma among untreated men. When the plasma RNA level was <5000 copies/mL, 32% of untreated men, 13% on nucleoside regimens, and 7% on protease inhibitor-containing regimens had detectable seminal RNA. Acute HIV was seldom diagnosed, representing missed opportunities for early treatment and prevention. Most subjects had several relatively stable virus loads before initiation of antiretrovirals, indicating feasibility of assessing HIV vaccines on virus set point in efficacy trials.

Cytopathicity of human immunodeficiency virus type 2 (HIV-2) in human lymphoid tissue is coreceptor dependent and comparable to that of HIV-1.

Epidemiological studies have shown that human immunodeficiency virus type 2 (HIV-2) is markedly less pathogenic than HIV-1 in vivo. Individuals infected with HIV-2 exhibit a remarkably slow rate of disease development, and these clinical properties have been attributed presumptively to an "attenuated" phenotype of HIV-2 itself. Here, we investigated the impact of coreceptor usage on the cytopathicity of HIV-2 and compared its pathogenic potential with that of HIV-1 in a unique human lymphoid histoculture model. We found that HIV-2 strains, as well as closely related simian immunodeficiency viruses (SIV), displayed mildly or highly aggressive cytopathic phenotypes depending on their abilities to use the coreceptor CCR5 or CXCR4, respectively. A side-by-side comparison of primary X4 HIV-1 and HIV-2 strains revealed similar, high degrees of cytopathicity induced by both HIV types. Furthermore, we found that HIV-2 coreceptor specificity for CCR5 and CXCR4 determined the target cell population for T-cell depletion in lymphoid tissue. Finally, utilization of the alternate coreceptors BOB and Bonzo did not significantly increase the cytopathic properties of HIV-2. These findings demonstrate that coreceptor preference is a key regulator of target cell specificity and the cytopathic potential of HIV-2, with indistinguishable rules compared with HIV-1. Moreover, HIV-2 strains are not characterized by an intrinsically lower cytopathicity than HIV-1 strains. Therefore, direct cytopathic potential per se does not explain the unique behavior of HIV-2 in people, highlighting that other unknown factors need to be elucidated as the basis for their lesser virulence in vivo.

Sustained CD4+ T cell response after virologic failure of protease inhibitor-based regimens in patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection.

The relationship between plasma human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) RNA levels and peripheral CD4+ T cell counts was examined in 380 HIV-infected adults receiving long-term protease inhibitor therapy. Patients experiencing virologic failure (persistent HIV RNA >500 copies RNA/mL) generally had CD4+ T cell counts that remained greater than pretherapy baseline levels, at least through 96 weeks of follow-up. The CD4+ T cell response was directly and independently related to degree of viral suppression below the pretreatment baseline. For any given HIV RNA level measured 12 weeks after virologic failure, subsequent CD4+ T cell decline was slower in patients receiving a protease inhibitor-based regimen than in a historical control group of untreated patients. These observations suggest that transient or partial declines in plasma HIV RNA levels can have sustained effects on CD4+ T cell levels.

Reversal of human immunodeficiency virus type 1-associated hematosuppression by effective antiretroviral therapy.

The immunodeficiency of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) disease may be due to accelerated destruction of mature CD4+ T cells and/or impaired differentiation of progenitors of CD4+ T cells. HIV-1 infection may also inhibit the production of other hematopoietic lineages, by directly or indirectly suppressing the maturation of multilineage and/or lineage-restricted hematopoietic progenitor cells. To test this hypothesis, the effects of durable viral suppression on multilineage hematopoiesis in 66 HIV-1-seropositive patients were evaluated. Administration of effective antiretroviral therapy resulted in an increase in circulating CD4+ T cell counts and statistically significant increases in circulating levels of other hematopoietic lineages, including total white blood cells, lymphocytes, polymorphonuclear leukocytes, and platelets. These results suggest that a significant lesion in untreated HIV-1 disease may lie at the level of cell production from hematopoietic progenitors.

A tale of two futures: HIV and antiretroviral therapy in San Francisco.

The effect of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in preventing human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections and averting acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) deaths in the San Francisco gay community over the next 10 years was predicted. A transmission model was coupled with a statistical approach that enabled inclusion of a high degree of uncertainty in the potential treatment effects of ART (in terms of infectivity and survival), increase in risky behavior, and rate of emergence of drug resistance. Increasing the usage of ART in San Francisco would decrease the AIDS death rate and could substantially reduce the incidence rate.

Loss of antiretroviral drug susceptibility at low viral load during early virological failure in treatment-experienced patients.

BACKGROUND: Clinical studies have demonstrated a correlation between the response to second-line antiretroviral therapy and the number of drugs in the regimen to which the virus is susceptible. These studies have largely been performed in patients with viral loads over 1000 copies/ml. OBJECTIVES: To examine the evolution of resistance during early virological failure, and the potential role of susceptibility testing in patients with low viral loads (below 1000 copies/ml), in treatment-experienced patients. METHODS: Drug susceptibility and genotypes of HIV-1 from indinavir-experienced patients undergoing therapy with nelfinavir, saquinavir, abacavir and either a second nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) or nevirapine were determined. RESULTS: Sixteen subjects were studied. Five of the ten subjects treated with nevirapine, and one of six treated with a second NRTI, achieved and maintained plasma HIV RNA < 500 copies/ml. Virus from the treatment failures lost susceptibility to one or more treatment drugs, including nelfinavir and/or saquinavir, after 4 to 36 weeks of treatment. In six of the ten failures, virus with new reductions in drug susceptibility was detected prior to failure. In five of the six failures who had at least one plasma sample with a viral load between 50 and 1000 copies/ml, reductions in susceptibility to one or more treatment drugs were detected (viral load range: 260 to 630 copies/ml). CONCLUSIONS: Drug resistance can be detected at viral loads below 1000 copies/ml which may be predictive of treatment failure. Failure of a second line regimen was typically associated with early evolution of resistance in HIV protease.