Longitudinal Outcomes of a Resident Academic Administrator, Clinician Educator Track.

OBJECTIVE: As clinician educator tracks continue to gain popularity in graduate medical education, this report aims to fill a gap in the literature by providing a 14-year update on professional outcomes of participants in a psychiatry residency academic administrator, clinician educator (AACE) track and to compare these outcomes to non-track participants. METHODS: An anonymous web-based survey querying professional achievements was distributed to all graduates of a psychiatry residency training program from 2009 to 2022. Outcomes of AACE track participants and non-track participants were compared. RESULTS: Of 228 alumni contacted, 61% responded (n = 140). Eighty-seven percent of track participants responded (n = 74) while 41% of non-track participants responded (n = 45). Of track participants, 63% practice in academic settings with 57% having held administrative leadership roles, 49% educational leadership roles, and 39% national or regional leadership roles. Track graduates were academically engaged with 70% reporting at least one publication, 89% at least one presentation, and 93% attending at least one national meeting. In comparison, 31% of non-track participants practice in academic settings with 44% having held administrative, 29% educational, and 20% national or regional leadership roles. Thirty-nine percent have at least one publication, 75% at least one presentation, and 90% attended at least one national meeting. When compared to non-track participants, track participants were significantly more likely to have an academic affiliation and a higher number of publications and were more likely to hold national or regional leadership roles. CONCLUSIONS: Track participants demonstrate longitudinal career success as clinician educators and academic administrators more so than non-track participants.

Controlled Study of Metabolic Syndrome Among Offspring of Parents With Bipolar Disorder.

Objectives: Bipolar disorder (BD) is highly heritable and associated with increased rates of metabolic syndrome (MetS). However, little is known about MetS in offspring of parents with BD. We therefore examined this topic in the Pittsburgh Bipolar Offspring Study cohort.Methods: Participants included 199 parents (n = 116 BD, diagnosed using DSM-IV; n = 83 non-BD) and 330 offspring (mean age 19.9 ± 5.3 years), including 198 high-risk offspring of parents with BD (n = 80 affected with a mood disorder) and 132 control offspring. We defined MetS and its components using International Diabetes Federation (IDF) guidelines (primary) and National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) guidelines (secondary). Multivariable analyses controlled for age and socioeconomic status in offspring. Sensitivity analyses controlled for psychotropic medications.Results: There was higher prevalence of MetS in parents with BD as compared to controls. NCEP-defined MetS was significantly more prevalent among affected high-risk offspring (16.3%) and controls (15.2%) vs unaffected high-risk offspring (6.0%; χ2 = 6.54, P = .04). There was greater mean number of MetS components (IDF: 1.7 ± 1.1; NCEP: 1.4 ± 1.0) among affected high-risk offspring vs unaffected high-risk offspring (IDF: 1.2 ± 1.0; NCEP: 1.0 ± 1.0) and controls (IDF: 1.3 ± 1.2; NCEP: 1.1 ± 1.1; IDF: H[2] = 10.26, P = .006; NCEP: H[2] = 9.18, P = .01). Most findings became nonsignificant in multivariable analyses. Some between-group results became nonsignificant after controlling for second-generation antipsychotics.Conclusions: This preliminary study found increased risk of MetS among affected high-risk offspring, which may be attributable to socioeconomic status. Prospective studies may determine timing of MetS onset in relation to mood disorder onset, and the role of socioeconomic status in moderating this association.

Dialectical Behavior Therapy for Adolescents With Bipolar Disorder: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Early-onset bipolar disorder conveys substantial risk for suicide. No psychosocial intervention for this population expressly targets suicidal behavior. Objective: To determine whether dialectical behavior therapy (DBT) for adolescents with bipolar spectrum disorder is more effective than standard of care (SOC) psychotherapy in decreasing suicide attempts over 1 year. Design, Settings, and Participants: Adolescents aged 12 to 18 years diagnosed with bipolar spectrum disorder were recruited from a specialty outpatient psychiatric clinic between November 2014 and September 2019. Independent evaluators conducted quarterly assessments over 1 year with participants and parents. Data were analyzed from March 2021 to November 2022. Interventions: Participants were randomly assigned to 1 year of DBT (36 sessions; n = 47) or SOC psychotherapy (schedule clinically determined; n = 53). All youth received medication management via a flexible algorithm. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes included suicide attempts over 1 year and mood symptoms and states (depression and hypomania/mania). Secondary analyses included moderation of DBT effects by history of suicide attempt and mediation through emotion dysregulation. Results: Of 100 included participants, 85 (85%) were female, and the mean (SD) age was 16.1 (1.6) years. Participants were followed up over a mean (SD) of 47 (14) weeks. Both treatment groups demonstrated significant and similar improvement in mood symptoms and episodes over 1 year (standardized depression rating scale slope, -0.17; 95% CI, -0.31 to -0.03; standardized mania rating scale slope, -0.24; 95% CI, -0.34 to -0.14). DBT and SOC participants reported similar suicide attempt rates at intake as measured on the Adolescent Longitudinal Follow-Up Evaluation (ALIFE; mean [SD] attempts, 2.0 [4.5] vs 1.8 [3.9], respectively; P = .80). DBT participants reported slightly more suicide attempts at intake as measured on the Columbia-Suicide Severity Rating Scale Pediatric Version (C-SSRS; mean [SD] attempts, 1.4 [3.6] vs 0.6 [0.9]; P = .02). DBT participants reported significantly fewer suicide attempts over follow-up compared with SOC participants via the ALIFE (mean [SD] attempts per follow-up period, 0.2 [0.4] vs 1.1 [4.3], controlling for baseline attempts: P = .03) and the C-SSRS (mean [SD] attempts per follow-up period, 0.04 [0.2] vs 0.10 [0.3], controlling for baseline attempts; P = .03). DBT was significantly more effective than SOC psychotherapy at decreasing suicide attempts over 1 year (ALIFE: incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.32; 95% CI, 0.11-0.96; C-SSRS: IRR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.02-0.78). Decreased rate of suicide attempts in DBT was moderated by presence of lifetime history of suicide attempt and time (IRR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.13-0.44) and mediated by improvement in emotion dysregulation (IRR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.42-0.89), particularly for those with high baseline emotion dysregulation (standardized ß, -0.59; 95% CI, -0.92 to -0.26). Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial, DBT demonstrated efficacy in decreasing suicide attempts among the high-risk population of adolescents with bipolar spectrum disorder. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02003690.

Validation of a youth suicide risk calculator in an adult sample with bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorder (BD) conveys the highest risk of suicide of all mental disorders. We sought to externally validate a risk calculator (RC) of suicide attempts developed in youth with BD from the Course and Outcome of Bipolar Youth (COBY) study in an adult sample. METHODS: A prospective cohort of adults with BD from the National Institute of Mental Health Collaborative Depression Study (CDS; N = 427; mean (+/- SD) age at intake (36 +/- 13 years)) was secondarily analyzed to validate the COBY RC for one-year risk of suicide attempts/deaths. Nine of the ten predictor variables from the COBY RC were available in the CDS and used: age, age of mood disorder onset, first and second (partial) degree family history of suicide, history of psychotic symptoms, substance use disorder, prior suicide attempt, socioeconomic status, and non-suicidal self-injury (prospectively, incompletely at baseline). RESULTS: Over a mean (SD) follow-up of 19 (10) years, 29 % of the CDS sample attempted suicide. The RC predicted suicide attempts/deaths over one-year follow-up with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.78 (95 % CI 0.75-0.80). The RC performed slightly better in those with a younger age of mood disorder onset. LIMITATIONS: Clinical samples may limit generalizability; the RC does not assess more acute suicide risk. CONCLUSIONS: One-year risk of suicide attempts/deaths can be predicted with acceptable accuracy in youth and adults with BD, comparable to commonly used RCs to predict cardiovascular risk. This RC may help identify higher-risk individuals with BD for personalized treatment and research. https://cobysuicideattemptsrc.shinyapps.io/Shiny.

Sleep patterns among preschool offspring of parents with and without psychopathology: Association with the development of psychopathology in childhood.

BACKGROUND: Disturbed sleep during early childhood predicts social-emotional problems. However, it is not known how various early childhood sleep phenotypes are associated with the development of childhood psychopathology, nor whether these relationships vary as a function of parental psychopathology. We identified sleep phenotypes among preschool youth; examined whether these phenotypes were associated with child and parent factors; and determined if early sleep phenotypes predicted later childhood psychopathology. METHODS: Using data from the Pittsburgh Bipolar Offspring study, parents with bipolar disorder (BD), non-BD psychopathology, and healthy controls reported about themselves and their offspring (n = 218) when their children were ages 2-5. Offspring and parents were interviewed directly approximately every 2 years from ages 6-18. Latent class analysis (LCA) identified latent sleep classes; we compared these classes on offspring demographics, parental sleep variables, and parental diagnoses. Kaplan-Meier survival models estimated hazard of developing any new-onset Axis-I disorders, as well as BD specifically, for each class. RESULTS: The optimal LCA solution featured four sleep classes, which we characterized as (1) good sleep, (2) wake after sleep onset problems, (3) bedtime problems (e.g., trouble falling asleep, resists going to bed), and (4) poor sleep generally. Good sleepers tended to have significantly less parental psychopathology than the other three classes. Risk of developing new-onset Axis-I disorders was highest among the poor sleep class and lowest among the good sleep class. CONCLUSIONS: Preschool sleep phenotypes are an important predictor of the development of psychopathology. Future work is needed to understand the biopsychosocial processes underlying these trajectories.

Polygenic Scores and Onset of Major Mood or Psychotic Disorders Among Offspring of Affected Parents.

OBJECTIVE: Family history is an established risk factor for mental illness. The authors sought to investigate whether polygenic scores (PGSs) can complement family history to improve identification of risk for major mood and psychotic disorders. METHODS: Eight cohorts were combined to create a sample of 1,884 participants ages 2-36 years, including 1,339 offspring of parents with mood or psychotic disorders, who were prospectively assessed with diagnostic interviews over an average of 5.1 years. PGSs were constructed for depression, bipolar disorder, anxiety, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), schizophrenia, neuroticism, subjective well-being, p factor, and height (as a negative control). Cox regression was used to test associations between PGSs, family history of major mental illness, and onsets of major mood and psychotic disorders. RESULTS: There were 435 onsets of major mood and psychotic disorders across follow-up. PGSs for neuroticism (hazard ratio=1.23, 95% CI=1.12-1.36), schizophrenia (hazard ratio=1.15, 95% CI=1.04-1.26), depression (hazard ratio=1.11, 95% CI=1.01-1.22), ADHD (hazard ratio=1.10, 95% CI=1.00-1.21), subjective well-being (hazard ratio=0.90, 95% CI=0.82-0.99), and p factor (hazard ratio=1.14, 95% CI=1.04-1.26) were associated with onsets. After controlling for family history, neuroticism PGS remained significantly positively associated (hazard ratio=1.19, 95% CI=1.08-1.31) and subjective well-being PGS remained significantly negatively associated (hazard ratio=0.89, 95% CI=0.81-0.98) with onsets. CONCLUSIONS: Neuroticism and subjective well-being PGSs capture risk of major mood and psychotic disorders that is independent of family history, whereas PGSs for psychiatric illness provide limited predictive power when family history is known. Neuroticism and subjective well-being PGSs may complement family history in the early identification of persons at elevated risk.

Early indicators of bipolar risk in preschool offspring of parents with bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: Offspring of parents with bipolar disorder (BD-I/II) are at increased risk to develop the disorder. Previous work indicates that bipolar spectrum disorder (BPSD) is often preceded by mood/anxiety symptoms. In school-age offspring of parents with BD, we previously built a risk calculator to predict BPSD onset, which generates person-level risk scores. Here, we test whether preschool symptoms predict school-age BPSD risk. METHODS: We assessed 113 offspring of parents with BD 1-3 times during preschool years (2-5 years old) and then approximately every 2 years for a mean of 10.6 years. We used penalized (lasso) regression with linear mixed models to assess relationships between preschool mood, anxiety, and behavioral symptoms (parent-reported) and school-age predictors of BPSD onset (i.e., risk score, subthreshold manic symptoms, and mood lability), adjusting for demographics and parental symptomatology. Finally, we conducted survival analyses to assess associations between preschool symptoms and school-age onset of BPSD and mood disorder. RESULTS: Of 113 preschool offspring, 33 developed new-onset mood disorder, including 19 with new-onset BPSD. Preschool irritability, sleep problems, and parental factors were lasso-selected predictors of school-age risk scores. After accounting for demographic and parental factors, preschool symptoms were no longer significant. Lasso regressions to predict mood lability and subthreshold manic symptoms yielded similar predictors (irritability, sleep problems, and parental affective lability), but preschool symptoms remained predictive even after adjusting for parental factors (ps < .005). Exploratory analyses indicated that preschool irritability univariately predicted new-onset BPSD (p = .02) and mood disorder (p = .02). CONCLUSIONS: These results provide initial prospective evidence that, as early as preschool, youth who will develop elevated risk scores, mood lability, and subthreshold manic symptoms are already showing symptomatology; these preschool symptoms also predict new-onset BPSD. While replication of findings in larger samples is warranted, results point to the need for earlier assessment of risk and development of early interventions.

A Risk Calculator to Predict Suicide Attempts Among Individuals With Early-Onset Bipolar Disorder.

Objectives: To build a one-year risk calculator (RC) to predict individualized risk for suicide attempt in early-onset bipolar disorder. Methods: Youth numbering 394 with bipolar disorder who completed ≥2 follow-up assessments (median follow-up length = 13.1 years) in the longitudinal Course and Outcome of Bipolar Youth (COBY) study were included. Suicide attempt over follow-up was assessed via the A-LIFE Self-Injurious/Suicidal Behavior scale. Predictors from the literature on suicidal behavior in bipolar disorder that are readily assessed in clinical practice were selected and trichotomized as appropriate (presence past 6 months/lifetime history only/no lifetime history). The RC was trained via boosted multinomial classification trees; predictions were calibrated via Platt scaling. Half of the sample was used to train, and the other half to independently test the RC. Results: There were 249 suicide attempts among 106 individuals. Ten predictors accounted for >90% of the cross-validated relative influence in the model (AUC = 0.82; in order of relative influence): (1) age of mood disorder onset; (2) non-suicidal self-injurious behavior (trichotomized); (3) current age; (4) psychosis (trichotomized); (5) socioeconomic status; (6) most severe depressive symptoms in past 6 months (trichotomized none/subthreshold/threshold); (7) history of suicide attempt (trichotomized); (8) family history of suicidal behavior; (9) substance use disorder (trichotomized); (10) lifetime history of physical/sexual abuse. For all trichotomized variables, presence in the past 6 months reliably predicted higher risk than lifetime history. Conclusions: This RC holds promise as a clinical and research tool for prospective identification of individualized high-risk periods for suicide attempt in early-onset bipolar disorder.Reprinted from Bipolar Disord 2022; 24:749-757, with permission from John Wiley and Sons. Copyright © 2022.

A risk calculator to predict suicide attempts among individuals with early-onset bipolar disorder.

OBJECTIVES: To build a one-year risk calculator (RC) to predict individualized risk for suicide attempt in early-onset bipolar disorder. METHODS: Youth numbering 394 with bipolar disorder who completed ≥2 follow-up assessments (median follow-up length = 13.1 years) in the longitudinal Course and Outcome of Bipolar Youth (COBY) study were included. Suicide attempt over follow-up was assessed via the A-LIFE Self-Injurious/Suicidal Behavior scale. Predictors from the literature on suicidal behavior in bipolar disorder that are readily assessed in clinical practice were selected and trichotomized as appropriate (presence past 6 months/lifetime history only/no lifetime history). The RC was trained via boosted multinomial classification trees; predictions were calibrated via Platt scaling. Half of the sample was used to train, and the other half to independently test the RC. RESULTS: There were 249 suicide attempts among 106 individuals. Ten predictors accounted for >90% of the cross-validated relative influence in the model (AUC = 0.82; in order of relative influence): (1) age of mood disorder onset; (2) non-suicidal self-injurious behavior (trichotomized); (3) current age; (4) psychosis (trichotomized); (5) socioeconomic status; (6) most severe depressive symptoms in past 6 months (trichotomized none/subthreshold/threshold); (7) history of suicide attempt (trichotomized); (8) family history of suicidal behavior; (9) substance use disorder (trichotomized); (10) lifetime history of physical/sexual abuse. For all trichotomized variables, presence in the past 6 months reliably predicted higher risk than lifetime history. CONCLUSIONS: This RC holds promise as a clinical and research tool for prospective identification of individualized high-risk periods for suicide attempt in early-onset bipolar disorder.

Smartphone-based interventions in bipolar disorder: Systematic review and meta-analyses of efficacy. A position paper from the International Society for Bipolar Disorders (ISBD) Big Data Task Force.

BACKGROUND: The clinical effects of smartphone-based interventions for bipolar disorder (BD) have yet to be established. OBJECTIVES: To examine the efficacy of smartphone-based interventions in BD and how the included studies reported user-engagement indicators. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search on January 24, 2022, in PubMed, Scopus, Embase, APA PsycINFO, and Web of Science. We used random-effects meta-analysis to calculate the standardized difference (Hedges' g) in pre-post change scores between smartphone intervention and control conditions. The study was pre-registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021226668). RESULTS: The literature search identified 6034 studies. Thirteen articles fulfilled the selection criteria. We included seven RCTs and performed meta-analyses comparing the pre-post change in depressive and (hypo)manic symptom severity, functioning, quality of life, and perceived stress between smartphone interventions and control conditions. There was significant heterogeneity among studies and no meta-analysis reached statistical significance. Results were also inconclusive regarding affective relapses and psychiatric readmissions. All studies reported positive user-engagement indicators. CONCLUSION: We did not find evidence to support that smartphone interventions may reduce the severity of depressive or manic symptoms in BD. The high heterogeneity of studies supports the need for expert consensus to establish ideally how studies should be designed and the use of more sensitive outcomes, such as affective relapses and psychiatric hospitalizations, as well as the quantification of mood instability. The ISBD Big Data Task Force provides preliminary recommendations to reduce the heterogeneity and achieve more valid evidence in the field.

Higher socioeconomic status and less parental psychopathology improve prognosis in youths with bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: To identify prospectively ascertained individual and family factors that are associated with improvement in Bipolar Disorder (BD) among youths who initially presented with poor course. METHODS: 82 youths with BD with persistent poor mood symptomatology ("predominantly ill course") were compared to 70 youths with BD who at intake had poor course, but showed improvement during the follow-up ("ill with improving course"), (ages 12.3 ± 3.3, vs. 11.7 ± 3.3 years old, at intake). Improvement was measured by the percentage of time euthymic during a mean follow-up of 12.8 years. Youths and parents were interviewed to assess psychopathology, functioning, treatment, and familial functioning and psychopathology. RESULTS: Compared to the ill group, since intake, the improving group showed significantly lower subthreshold depression and hypo/mania, Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder, and Disruptive Behavior Disorders. Parental Socioeconomic Status (SES) remained unchanged over time in the ill group, but progressively increased in the improving group. Importantly, the change in SES predated the improvement in the mood trajectory. The most influential variables that predicted improvement were higher SES, and absence of parental BD and Substance Use Disorder (SUD). Parental SUD also negatively affected the parental SES, which was directly associated with worse mood course. LIMITATIONS: Predominantly self-reported White samples may limit generalizability; other factors potentially associated with outcome (e.g., treatment adherence), were not ascertained. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to treating mood/comorbid psychopathology in symptomatic BD youths, to improve their prognosis, it is crucial to address their parent's BD and SUD and promote parental education/employment.

Risk factors preceding new onset abuse among youth with bipolar disorder: A longitudinal prospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Childhood abuse negatively impacts the course of Bipolar Disorder (BD). Yet, no study has examined risk factors associated with prospectively evaluated physical/sexual abuse, specifically, those preceding first abuse among BD youth. We investigate past/intake/follow-up factors preceding first physical/sexual abuse among BD youth. METHODS: Childhood-onset BD participants (n = 279 youth, mean age at intake = 12, mean length of follow-up = 12 years) enrolled in the Course and Outcome of Bipolar Youth (COBY) study. Demographic, clinical and family history variables were assessed every 7 months on average using Longitudinal Interval Follow-up Evaluation and Kiddie Schedule for Affective Disorders and Schizophrenia (K-SADS-PL). Abuse was evaluated at intake using the K-SADS-PL, over follow-up with a Traumatic Events Screen. Family psychopathology was assessed using Family History Screen/Structured Clinical Interview for Diagnostic Statistical Manual-IV. RESULTS: Fifteen-percent of youth reported new-onset abuse during follow-up (62% physical, 26% sexual; 12% both). Intake predictors included more severe depressive symptoms (HR = 1.29), low socioeconomic-status (SES) in families with substance abuse (HR = 0.84) (physical abuse), and female sex (HR = 2.41) (sexual abuse). Follow-up predictors preceding physical abuse included: older age (HR = 1.42), disruptive disorders (HR = 1.39), and the interaction between low SES and family substance abuse (HR = 0.86). For sexual abuse, female sex (HR = 4.33) and a non-biologically related father presence in the household (HR = 2.76). Good relationships with friends (prospectively evaluated) protected against physical/sexual abuse (HR = 0.72/0.70, respectively). LIMITATIONS: Prospective data was gathered longitudinally but assessed retrospectively at every follow-up; perpetrator information and abuse severity were not available. CONCLUSIONS: Identifying factors temporally preceding new onset physical/sexual abuse may hold promise for identifying high-risk youth with BD.

Role of Polygenic Risk Score in the Familial Transmission of Bipolar Disorder in Youth.

Importance: Establishing genetic contributions to the transmission of bipolar disorder (BD) from parents to offspring may inform the risk of developing this disorder and further serve to validate BD in youth. Objective: To evaluate the specific association of BD polygenic risk scores (PRSs) on the familial transmission and validity of pediatric BD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This community-based case-control longitudinal study (Pittsburgh Biological Offspring Study) included parents with BD I/II and their offspring and parents without BD (healthy or non-BD psychopathology) and their offspring. Participants were recruited between March 2001 and May 2007, and analysis took place from December 2020 to September 2021. Exposures: PRSs for BD, major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder. Main Outcomes and Measures: Participants were prospectively evaluated using standardized interviews blind to parental diagnosis. DNA was extracted from saliva and genotyped. PRSs were constructed based on independent large-scale genome-wide association studies. Results: A total of 156 parents with BD I/II and 180 parents without BD (mean [SD] age, 39.6 [7.9] years; 241 female [72%]) as well as 251 offspring of parents with BD and 158 offspring of parents without BD (mean [SD] age, 10.4 [4.7] years; 213 female [52%]) of European ancestry were analyzed. Participants were assessed a mean of 6.7 times during a mean (SD) of 13 (3.4) years of follow-up (84% retention). More offspring of parents with BD developed BD (58 [23.1%] vs 8 [5.1%]; P < .001) and depression (126 [50.2%] vs 52 [32.9%]; P < .001) compared with offspring of parents without BD. BD PRS was higher in both parents and offspring with BD than parents and offspring without BD (parents: odds ratio, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.19-1.89; P < .001; explained 4.8% of the phenotypic variance vs offspring: hazard ratio, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.03-1.7; P = .02; explained 5.0% of the phenotypic variance). BD PRS did not differ across BD subtypes. In a model combining parental and offspring BD PRS, the parental BD PRS association with offspring BD was fully mediated by offspring BD PRS (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.05-1.86; P = .02). Parental BD had a stronger direct association than parental or offspring BD PRS with offspring BD risk (hazard ratio, 5.21; 95% CI, 1.86-14.62; P = .002), explaining 30% of the variance. Parental and offspring BD PRS explained 6% of the BD onset variance beyond parental diagnosis. There were no significant between-group differences in PRSs for major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in parents or offspring and they were not significantly associated with BD onset. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study add to the extant clinical validation of BD in youth. Parental BD and offspring BD PRS independently associated with the risk of BD in offspring. Although this is promising, the association of BD PRS was relatively small and cannot be used alone to determine BD risk until further developments occur.

Validation of the youth mood recurrences risk calculator in an adult sample with bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: The ability to predict an individual's risk of mood episode recurrence can facilitate personalized medicine in bipolar disorder (BD). We sought to externally validate, in an adult sample, a risk calculator of mood episode recurrence developed in youth/young adults with BD from the Course and Outcome of Bipolar Youth (COBY) study. METHODS: Adult participants from the National Institute of Mental Health Collaborative Depression Study (CDS; N=258; mean(SD) age=35.5(12.0) years; mean follow-up=24.9 years) were utilized as a sample to validate the youth COBY risk calculator for onset of depressive, manic, or any mood episodes. RESULTS: In this older validation sample, the risk calculator predicted recurrence of any episode over 1, 2, 3, or 5-year follow-up intervals, with Area Under the Curves (AUCs) approximating 0.77. The AUC for prediction of depressive episodes was about 0.81 for each of the time windows, which was higher than for manic or hypomanic episodes (AUC=0.72). While the risk calculator was well-calibrated across the range of risk scores, it systematically underestimated risk in the CDS sample by about 20%. The length of current remission was a highly significant predictor of recurrence risk in the CDS sample. LIMITATIONS: Predominantly self-reported White samples may limit generalizability; the risk calculator does not assess more proximal risk (e.g., 1 month). CONCLUSIONS: Risk of mood episode recurrence can be predicted with good accuracy in youth and adults with BD in remission. The risk calculators may help identify higher risk BD subgroups for treatment and research.

Differentiating white matter measures that protect against vs. predispose to bipolar disorder and other psychopathology in at-risk youth.

Bipolar disorder (BD) is highly heritable. Identifying objective biomarkers reflecting pathophysiological processes predisposing to, versus protecting against BD, can help identify BD risk in offspring of BD parents. We recruited 21 BD participants with a first-degree relative with BD, 25 offspring of BD parents, 27 offspring of comparison parents with non-BD psychiatric disorders, and 32 healthy offspring of healthy parents. In at-risk groups, 23 had non-BD diagnoses and 29, no Axis-I diagnoses(healthy). Five at-risk offspring who developed BD post scan(Converters) were included. Diffusion imaging(dMRI) analysis with tract segmentation identified between-group differences in the microstructure of prefrontal tracts supporting emotional regulation relevant to BD: forceps minor, anterior thalamic radiation(ATR), cingulum bundle(CB), and uncinate fasciculus(UF). BD participants showed lower fractional anisotropy (FA) in the right CB (anterior portion) than other groups (q < 0.05); and in bilateral ATR (posterior portion) versus at-risk groups (q < 0.001). Healthy, but not non-BD, at-risk participants showed significantly higher FA in bilateral ATR clusters than healthy controls (qs < 0.05). At-risk groups showed higher FA in these clusters than BD participants (qs < 0.05). Non-BD versus healthy at-risk participants, and Converters versus offspring of BD parents, showed lower FA in the right ATR cluster (qs < 0.05). Low anterior right CB FA in BD participants versus other groups might result from having BD. High bilateral ATR FA in at-risk groups, and in healthy at-risk participants, versus healthy controls might protect against BD/other psychiatric disorders. Absence of elevated right ATR FA in non-BD versus healthy at-risk participants, and in Converters versus non-converter offspring of BD parents, might lower protection against BD in at-risk groups.

Consensus on nomenclature for clinical staging models in bipolar disorder: A narrative review from the International Society for Bipolar Disorders (ISBD) Staging Task Force.

OBJECTIVES: Clinical staging is widely used in medicine to map disease progression, inform prognosis, and guide treatment decisions; in psychiatry, however, staging remains a hypothetical construct. To facilitate future research in bipolar disorders (BD), a well-defined nomenclature is needed, especially since diagnosis is often imprecise with blurred boundaries, and a full understanding of pathophysiology is lacking. METHODS: Under the auspices of the International Society of Bipolar Disorders, a Task Force of international experts was convened to review, discuss, and integrate findings from the scientific literature relevant to the development of a consensus staging model and standardize a terminology that could be used to advance future research including staging of BD and related disorders. RESULTS: Consensus opinion and areas of uncertainty or difference were identified in regard to terms referring to staging as it may apply to BD, to at-risk status and subthreshold stages, and to various clinical stages of BD as it is currently diagnosed. CONCLUSION: The use of a standardized nomenclature about the clinical stages of BD will facilitate communication about research on clinical and pathological components of this heterogeneous group of disorders. The concepts presented are based on current evidence, but the template provided allows for further refinements as etiological advances come to light.

A Longitudinal Study of Psychiatric Disorders in Offspring of Parents With Bipolar Disorder From Preschool to Adolescence.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the prevalence of psychopathology, particularly bipolar disorder (BD), between preschool offspring of parents with BD and community controls. METHOD: A total of 116 offspring of BD-I/II parents and 98 controls (53 parents with non-BD psychopathology and 45 healthy parents) were recruited at ages 2 to 5 years and followed on average 9.6 years (on average: 2-5: 1.6 times; after age 5: 4 times) (average ages at intake/last follow-up: 3.8/13.4, retention: 98%). Participants were evaluated with standardized instruments blinded to parental diagnoses. RESULTS: After adjusting for confounders, offspring of BD parents only showed more attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) during ages 2 to 5 years than the other 2 groups. After age 5, offspring of BD parents did not differ from offspring of parents with non-BD psychopathology, but they had more anxiety, ADHD, and behavior problems than offspring of healthy parents. Only offspring of BD parents developed BD-I/II: 3.4% (n = 4) and BD-not-otherwise-specified (BD-NOS): 11.2% (n = 13), with mean onset ages 11.4 and 7.4, respectively. About 70% of offspring with BD had non-BD disorders before BD. Only ADHD, diagnosed before age 6 years, and early-onset parental BD were significantly associated with BD risk. CONCLUSION: Most offspring of BD parents did not develop BD, but they were at specific high risk for developing BD, particularly those with preschool ADHD and early-onset parental BD. BD symptoms were scarce during the preschool years and increased throughout the school age, mainly in the form of BD-NOS, a disorder that conveys poor prognosis and high risk to develop BD-I/II. Developing early interventions to delay or, ideally, to prevent its onset are warranted.