Elucidating the risk of cardiopulmonary consequences of an exacerbation of COPD: results of the EXACOS-CV study in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) represent a period of vulnerability. This study explored the association between time periods following an exacerbation and the risk of severe cardiovascular (CV) events or death in Germany. METHODS: A longitudinal cohort study was conducted using routinely collected healthcare data. Individuals with COPD were identified between 2014 and 2018. Exposure was moderate or severe exacerbation of COPD. Periods at risk were the 1-7, 8-14, 15-30, 31-180 and 181-365 days following each exacerbation onset occurring after cohort entry. The main outcome of interest was the first hospitalisation for a CV event or all-cause death. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models estimated the HR for the association between subperiods versus periods outside exacerbations, and the risk of outcome. RESULTS: Among 126 795 patients, 58 720 (46.3%) exacerbated at least once and 48 982 (38.6%) experienced at least one CV event or died during a median follow-up of 36 months. The rate of outcome was increased during 1-7 days following a severe exacerbation onset (HR 15.84, 95% CI 15.26 to 16.45), and remained elevated for up to a year (181-365 days HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.23). In the 1-7 days following a moderate exacerbation onset, the increased rate was HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.31). CONCLUSION: The risk of a CV event or death increased in time periods following both moderate and severe exacerbations of COPD, emphasising the need to promptly manage the risk of CV events following the onset of an exacerbation, to prevent exacerbations of any severity, and more generally, to address the cardiopulmonary risk in patients with COPD.

Impact of COPD on mortality: An 8-year observational retrospective healthcare claims database cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality. Here we present a large observational study on the association of COPD and exacerbations with mortality (AvoidEx Mortality). METHODS: A real-world, observational cohort study with longitudinal analyses of German healthcare claims data in patients ≥40 years of age with a COPD diagnosis from 2011 to 2018 (n = 250,723) was conducted. Patients entered the cohort (index date) upon the first COPD diagnosis. To assess the impact of COPD on all-cause death, a propensity score-matched control group of non-COPD patients was constructed. The number and severity of exacerbations during a 12-month pre-index period were used to form subgroups. For each exacerbation subgroup the exacerbations during 12 months prior to death were analysed. RESULTS: COPD increases the all-cause mortality risk by almost 60% (HR 1.57 (95% CI 1.55-1.59)) in comparison to matched non-COPD controls, when controlling for other baseline covariates. The cumulative risk of death after 8 years was highest in patients with a history of more than one moderate or severe exacerbation. Among all deceased COPD patients, 17.2% had experienced a severe, and 34.8% a moderate exacerbation, within 3 months preceding death. Despite increasing exacerbation rates towards death, more than the half of patients were not receiving any recommended pharmacological COPD therapy in the year before death. CONCLUSION: Our study illustrates the impact of COPD on mortality risk and highlights the need for consequent COPD management comprising exacerbation assessment and treatment.