Predictive Algorithm for Hepatic Steatosis Detection Using Elastography Data in the Veterans Affairs Electronic Health Records.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has reached pandemic proportions. Early detection can identify at-risk patients who can be linked to hepatology care. The vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) is biopsy validated to diagnose hepatic steatosis (HS). We aimed to develop a novel clinical predictive algorithm for HS using the CAP score at a Veterans' Affairs hospital. METHODS: We identified 403 patients in the Greater Los Angeles VA Healthcare System with valid VCTEs during 1/2018-6/2020. Patients with alcohol-associated liver disease, genotype 3 hepatitis C, any malignancies, or liver transplantation were excluded. Linear regression was used to identify predictors of NAFLD. To identify a CAP threshold for HS detection, receiver operating characteristic analysis was applied using liver biopsy, MRI, and ultrasound as the gold standards. RESULTS: The cohort was racially/ethnically diverse (26% Black/African American; 20% Hispanic). Significant positive predictors of elevated CAP score included diabetes, cholesterol, triglycerides, BMI, and self-identifying as Hispanic. Our predictions of CAP scores using this model strongly correlated (r = 0.61, p < 0.001) with actual CAP scores. The NAFLD model was validated in an independent Veteran cohort and yielded a sensitivity of 82% and specificity 83% (p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.46-0.81%). The estimated optimal CAP for our population cut-off was 273.5 dB/m, resulting in AUC = 75.5% (95% CI 70.7-80.3%). CONCLUSION: Our HS predictive algorithm can identify at-risk Veterans for NAFLD to further risk stratify them by non-invasive tests and link them to sub-specialty care. Given the biased referral pattern for VCTEs, future work will need to address its applicability in non-specialty clinics. Proposed clinical algorithm to identify patients at-risk for NAFLD prior to fibrosis staging in Veteran.

The Evolution of Redo Liver Transplantation Over 35 Years: Analysis of 654 Consecutive Adult Liver Retransplants at a Single Center.

OBJECTIVE: To examine liver retransplantation (ReLT) over 35 years at a single center. BACKGROUND: Despite the durability of liver transplantation (LT), graft failure affects up to 40% of LT recipients. METHODS: All adult ReLTs from 1984 to 2021 were analyzed. Comparisons were made between ReLTs in the pre versus post-model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) eras and between ReLTs and primary-LTs in the modern era. Multivariate analysis was used for prognostic modeling. RESULTS: Six hundred fifty-four ReLTs were performed in 590 recipients. There were 372 pre-MELD ReLTs and 282 post-MELD ReLTs. Of the ReLT recipients, 89% had one previous LT, whereas 11% had ≥2. Primary nonfunction was the most common indication in the pre-MELD era (33%) versus recurrent disease (24%) in the post-MELD era. Post-MELD ReLT recipients were older (53 vs 48, P = 0.001), had higher MELD scores (35 vs 31, P = 0.01), and had more comorbidities. However, post-MELD ReLT patients had superior 1, 5, and 10-year survival compared with pre-MELD ReLT (75%, 60%, and 43% vs 53%, 43%, and 35%, respectively, P < 0.001) and lower in-hospital mortality and rejection rates. Notably, in the post-MELD era, the MELD score did not affect survival. We identified the following risk factors for early mortality (≤12 months after ReLT): coronary artery disease, obesity, ventilatory support, older recipient age, and longer pre-ReLT hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: This represents the largest single-center ReLT report to date. Despite the increased acuity and complexity of ReLT patients, post-MELD era outcomes have improved. With careful patient selection, these results support the efficacy and survival benefit of ReLT in an acuity-based allocation environment.

Human liver single nucleus and single cell RNA sequencing identify a hepatocellular carcinoma-associated cell-type affecting survival.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common primary liver cancer with poor overall survival. We hypothesized that there are HCC-associated cell-types that impact patient survival. METHODS: We combined liver single nucleus (snRNA-seq), single cell (scRNA-seq), and bulk RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) data to search for cell-type differences in HCC. To first identify cell-types in HCC, adjacent non-tumor tissue, and normal liver, we integrated single-cell level data from a healthy liver cohort (n = 9 non-HCC samples) collected in the Strasbourg University Hospital; an HCC cohort (n = 1 non-HCC, n = 14 HCC-tumor, and n = 14 adjacent non-tumor samples) collected in the Singapore General Hospital and National University; and another HCC cohort (n = 3 HCC-tumor and n = 3 adjacent non-tumor samples) collected in the Dumont-UCLA Liver Cancer Center. We then leveraged these single cell level data to decompose the cell-types in liver bulk RNA-seq data from HCC patients' tumor (n = 361) and adjacent non-tumor tissue (n = 49) from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) multi-center cohort. For replication, we decomposed 221 HCC and 209 adjacent non-tumor liver microarray samples from the Liver Cancer Institute (LCI) cohort collected by the Liver Cancer Institute and Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University. RESULTS: We discovered a tumor-associated proliferative cell-type, Prol (80.4% tumor cells), enriched for cell cycle and mitosis genes. In the liver bulk tissue from the TCGA cohort, the proportion of the Prol cell-type is significantly increased in HCC and associates with a worse overall survival. Independently from our decomposition analysis, we reciprocally show that Prol nuclei/cells significantly over-express both tumor-elevated and survival-decreasing genes obtained from the bulk tissue. Our replication analysis in the LCI cohort confirmed that an increased estimated proportion of the Prol cell-type in HCC is a significant marker for a shorter overall survival. Finally, we show that somatic mutations in the tumor suppressor genes TP53 and RB1 are linked to an increase of the Prol cell-type in HCC. CONCLUSIONS: By integrating liver single cell, single nucleus, and bulk expression data from multiple cohorts we identified a proliferating cell-type (Prol) enriched in HCC tumors, associated with a decreased overall survival, and linked to TP53 and RB1 somatic mutations.

Long-term outcomes with oral therapy in liver transplant recipients with hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: The long-term impact of oral hepatitis B antiviral therapy in liver transplant (LT) recipients is currently underexplored. The objective of this study was to evaluate how oral antiviral agents impact long-term renal function in this population. METHODS: We studied 79 patients who received a LT for hepatitis B and were placed on all-oral antiviral therapy after withdrawing from hepatitis B immune globulin therapy at the University of California, Los Angeles. Laboratory data were obtained through a retrospective chart review. Univariate analysis and two-sided t tests were performed. RESULTS: The mean (±SD [standard deviation]) age at the time of LT was 65.4 (± 8.2) years. The overall mean (±SD) follow-up from LT was 6.5 (±3.3) years. 22.8% (18/79) of recipients on all-oral therapy had worsening of their chronic kidney disease stage, and 17.7% (14/79) had an increase in creatinine of at least 0.3 mg/dL. There were no significant changes in creatinine and GFR in patients while on tenofovir alafenamide. Patient survival was decreased for recipients who developed detectable HBsAg. CONCLUSION: Tenofovir alafenamide appears to have less of an impact on renal function in LT recipients than other antiviral agents. HBV recurrence after transplant is associated with decreased patient survival and remains an important issue to address for LT recipients on oral antiviral therapy.

Race affects SVR12 in a large and ethnically diverse hepatitis C-infected patient population following treatment with direct-acting antivirals: Analysis of a single-center Department of Veterans Affairs cohort.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major cause of chronic liver disease. HCV cure has been linked to improved patient outcomes. In the era of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), HCV cure has become the goal, as defined by sustained virological response 12 weeks (SVR12) after completion of therapy. Historically, African-Americans have had lower SVR12 rates compared to White people in the interferon era, which had been attributed to the high prevalence of non-CC interleukin 28B (IL28B) type. Less is known about the association between race/ethnicity and SVR12 in DAA-treated era. The aim of the study is to evaluate the predictors of SVR12 in a diverse, single-center Veterans Affairs population. We conducted a retrospective study of patients undergoing HCV therapy with DAAs from 2014 to 2016 at the VA Greater Los Angeles Healthcare System. We performed a multivariable logistic regression analysis to determine predictors of SVR12, adjusting for age, HCV genotype, DAA regimen and duration, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, fibrosis, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score, homelessness, mental health, and adherence. Our cohort included 1068 patients, out of which 401 (37.5%) were White people and 400 (37.5%) were African-American. Genotype 1 was the most common genotype (83.9%, N = 896). In the adjusted models, race/ethnicity and the presence of fibrosis were statistically significant predictors of non-SVR. African-Americans had 57% lower odds for reaching SVR12 (adj.OR = 0.43, 95% CI = 1.5-4.1) compared to White people. Advanced fibrosis (adj.OR = 0.40, 95% CI = 0.26-0.68) was also a significant predictor of non-SVR. In a single-center VA population on DAAs, African-Americans were less likely than White people to reach SVR12 when adjusting for covariates.

Outcomes in Adults With Acute Liver Failure Between 1998 and 2013: An Observational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Acute liver failure (ALF) is a rare syndrome of severe, rapid-onset hepatic dysfunction-without prior advanced liver disease-that is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Intensive care and liver transplantation provide support and rescue, respectively. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether changes in causes, disease severity, treatment, or 21-day outcomes have occurred in recent years among adult patients with ALF referred to U.S. tertiary care centers. DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. (ClinicalTrials .gov: NCT00518440). SETTING: 31 liver disease and transplant centers in the United States. PATIENTS: Consecutively enrolled patients-without prior advanced liver disease-with ALF (n = 2070). MEASUREMENTS: Clinical features, treatment, and 21-day outcomes were compared over time annually for trends and were also stratified into two 8-year periods (1998 to 2005 and 2006 to 2013). RESULTS: Overall clinical characteristics, disease severity, and distribution of causes remained similar throughout the study period. The 21-day survival rates increased between the two 8-year periods (overall, 67.1% vs. 75.3%; transplant-free survival [TFS], 45.1% vs. 56.2%; posttransplantation survival, 88.3% vs. 96.3% [P < 0.010 for each]). Reductions in red blood cell infusions (44.3% vs. 27.6%), plasma infusions (65.2% vs. 47.1%), mechanical ventilation (65.7% vs. 56.1%), and vasopressors (34.9% vs. 27.8%) were observed, as well as increased use of N-acetylcysteine (48.9% vs. 69.3% overall; 15.8% vs. 49.4% [P < 0.001] in patients with ALF not due to acetaminophen toxicity). When examined longitudinally, overall survival and TFS increased throughout the 16-year period. LIMITATIONS: The duration of enrollment, the number of patients enrolled, and possibly the approaches to care varied among participating sites. The results may not be generalizable beyond such specialized centers. CONCLUSION: Although characteristics and severity of ALF changed little over 16 years, overall survival and TFS improved significantly. The effects of specific changes in intensive care practice on survival warrant further study. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

The cost of screening esophageal varices: traditional endoscopy versus computed tomography.

OBJECTIVE: Under current guidelines, patients diagnosed with cirrhosis are to undergo initial and continued screening endoscopy for esophageal varices throughout the course of disease. Recent literature suggests that computed tomography (CT) of the abdomen is adequately sensitive for detecting grade 3 varices, those in need of immediate intervention. This study presents a cost comparison of traditional endoscopy versus CT of the abdomen. METHODS: Using TreeAge Pro software, a budget impact cost model was created for a hypothetical managed care organization covering 1 million lives over a 10-year period. Incidence figures for cirrhosis and the progression of esophageal varices were applied to the patient population. National Medicare reimbursement costs were used to compare screening with traditional endoscopy versus CT. Costs utilizing screening with combined endoscopy and CT were also examined. RESULTS: The results of comparing screening paradigms under a budget impact cost model results in an outcome measure termed "per-member, per-month" (PMPM) cost of implementing a new strategy. Computed tomography was the least expensive modality with an average 10-year cost per screened patient of $1097.30 and PMPM of $0.03. Endoscopy was the most expensive modality with an average 10-year cost per screened patient of $1464.89 and PMPM of $0.04. CONCLUSION: Computed tomography has been shown to be sensitive in detecting esophageal varices and now less costly to implement in screening. The cost of esophageal rupture in endoscopy and the less costly risk of contrast reaction as well as radiation exposure in CT of the abdomen should be considered when developing a screening paradigm.

Health-related quality of life predicts mortality in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It is well-established that cirrhosis negatively impacts health-related quality of life (HRQOL). However, it is less clear how to use this information in everyday clinical practice. If HRQOL predicted survival in cirrhosis, then measuring HRQOL would have important clinical implications. We sought to measure the association between HRQOL and survival in patients with cirrhosis and investigated whether the relationship between HRQOL and survival is independent of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD). METHODS: We measured HRQOL in 156 patients with cirrhosis awaiting liver transplantation by using the Short Form Liver Disease Quality of Life instrument. We followed patients prospectively and used Cox proportional hazard models to measure the independent effect of baseline HRQOL on survival, adjusting for MELD and other covariates. RESULTS: During a mean 9-month follow-up, 26 (17%) patients died, and 30 (20%) received liver transplants. In unadjusted analysis, higher baseline HRQOL predicted lower mortality (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.94-0.99). Specifically, for each 1-point increase in HRQOL, there was a 4% decrease in mortality. These results did not change after adjusting for MELD scores, patient demographics, or psychosocial characteristics; the MELD score accounted for 1% of the variation in HRQOL scores (P = .18). Survival was most strongly predicted by activities of daily living, health distress, sleep disturbance, and perceived disease stigma. CONCLUSIONS: Higher HRQOL predicts lower mortality in patients with cirrhosis. This relationship is independent of MELD; MELD does not capture liver-specific HRQOL. Beyond its use as a secondary outcome in clinical trials, HRQOL could be used to predict survival of patients with advanced liver disease.

Is it cost-effective to treat recurrent hepatitis C infection in orthotopic liver transplantation patients?

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) recurs in the allograft almost universally after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), with a variable course ranging from mild hepatitis to frank cirrhosis. The uncertain prognosis after OLT has lead to widely increased use of antiviral therapy in the post-OLT setting. We compared two scenarios (antiviral therapy versus no antiviral therapy) using a Markov-based decision analytic model to simulate costs and health outcomes for recurrent HCV in three age and sex cohorts of post-OLT patients. Efficacy outcomes included total costs, cases of cirrhosis prevented, cases of death prevented, life-years gained, and cost per life-year saved. One-way sensitivity analyses were performed for sustained viral response; annual drug cost, discount rate, compliance, cirrhosis rate, decompensation rate, and cost of dying. Two-way sensitivity analyses were performed to compare effects of (1) changing sustained viral response and antiviral therapy costs, and (2) changing the sustained viral response and cirrhosis rate. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for the reference patient cohort of 1,000 men aged 55 years was $29,100 per life-year saved. The model was sensitive to drug costs, cirrhosis rate, and sustained viral response. The two-way sensitivity analysis showed that antiviral therapy remained cost-effective even if drug costs increased, as long as these increases were associated with higher sustained viral responses. The cost-effectiveness ratio also was sensitive to age and sex of cohort. The decision to treat HCV after OLT with antiviral therapy usually is based on many considerations. Such treatment can be cost-effective if baseline assumptions are met. Our model was sensitive to antiviral drug costs, cirrhosis rate, and sustained viral response. Patients with a progressive course of recurrent HCV are likely to have the greatest gain from antiviral therapy.