Sex-biased dispersal and a density-independent mating system in the Australian brushtail possum, as revealed by minisatellite DNA profiling.

Natal dispersal can have important effects on mammal population structure and dynamics following a local population crash. Such dispersal is of practical importance when applied to the control of pest species because dispersal may significantly, and undesirably, reduce the population recovery time following a control operation. The relative dispersal rate of the sexes is also critical because that too will affect the rate of population increase. Here, we describe a field experiment in which we reduce the density of two populations of the Australian brushtail possum, and use genetic similarity, as estimated by minisatellite DNA profiles, to investigate dispersal in the original (undisturbed) and recovering populations. Our results show that the genetic similarity within the undisturbed populations was lower between males than between females. Conversely, the genetic similarities between males and females in the two recovering populations were not significantly different, while relatedness among males was significantly higher in the recovering populations when compared with those in the pre-removal populations. These data indicate two important characteristics of dispersal in possums: (i) that dispersal in established populations is sex biased towards males; and (ii) that within the first 3 years following population control, 'the vacuum effect', whereby individuals from areas adjacent to a control area expand their home range and invade the depopulated area, is the most important factor in the re-colonization process for possums. We found no evidence that the mating system, which is polygynous, varied when the density was markedly reduced. These results indicate that drastic reductions in population density by conventional control will not affect the rate of spread of biological control agents that rely on sexual transmission for dissemination.

TWODEE: the Health and Safety Laboratory's shallow layer model for heavy gas dispersion. Part 1. Mathematical basis and physical assumptions.

The Major Hazard Assessment Unit of the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) provides advice to local planning authorities on land use planning in the vicinity of major hazard sites. For sites with the potential for large scale releases of toxic heavy gases such as chlorine this advice is based on risk levels and is informed by use of the computerised risk assessment tool RISKAT [C. Nussey, M. Pantony, R. Smallwood, HSE's risk assessment tool RISKAT, Major Hazards: Onshore and Offshore, October, 1992]. At present RISKAT uses consequence models for heavy gas dispersion that assume flat terrain. This paper is the first part of a three part paper. Part 1 describes the mathematical basis of TWODEE, the Health and Safety Laboratory's shallow layer model for heavy gas dispersion. The shallow layer approach used by TWODEE is a compromise between the complexity of CFD models and the simpler integral models. Motivated by the low aspect ratio of typical heavy gas clouds, shallow layer models use depth-averaged variables to describe the flow behaviour. This approach is particularly well suited to assess the effect of complex terrain because the downslope buoyancy force is easily included. Entrainment may be incorporated into a shallow layer model by the use of empirical formulae. Part 2 of this paper presents the numerical scheme used to solve the TWODEE mathematical model, and validated against theoretical results. Part 3 compares the results of the TWODEE model with the experimental results taken at Thorney Island [J. McQuaid, B. Roebuck, The dispersion of heavier-than-air gas from a fenced enclosure. Final report to the US Coast Guard on contract with the Health and Safety Executive, Technical Report RPG 1185, Safety Engineering Laboratory, Research and Laboratory Services Division, Broad Lane, Sheffield S3 7HQ, UK, 1985].

TWODEE: the Health and Safety Laboratory's shallow layer model for heavy gas dispersion. Part 2: outline and validation of the computational scheme.

Part 1 of this three part paper described the mathematical and physical basis of TWODEE, the Health and Safety Laboratory's shallow layer model for heavy gas dispersion. In this part, the numerical solution method used to simulate the TWODEE mathematical model is developed. The boundary conditions for the leading edge, discussed in part 1, make demanding requirements on the computational scheme used. The flux correction scheme of Zalesak [S.T. Zalesak, Fully multidimensional flux-corrected transport algorithms for fluids, Journal of Computational Physics, 31 (1979) 335-362] is used in TWODEE as this has all the required properties. The TWODEE code is then tested against a number of theoretical and computational benchmark problems.

TWODEE: the Health and Safety Laboratory's shallow layer model for heavy gas dispersion. Part 3: experimental validation (Thorney Island).

Part 1 of this three-part paper described the mathematical and physical basis of TWODEE, the Health and Safety Laboratory's shallow layer model for heavy gas dispersion. In part 2, the numerical solution method used to simulate the TWODEE mathematical model was developed; the flux correction scheme of Zalesak [S.T. Zalesak, Fully multidimensional flux-corrected transport algorithms for fluids, Journal of Computational Physics, 31 (1979) 335-362.] was used in TWODEE. This paper compares results of the TWODEE model to the experimental results taken at Thorney Island [J. McQuaid, B. Roebuck, The dispersion of heavier-than-air gas from a fenced enclosure. Final report to the U.S. Coast Guard on contract with the Health and Safety Executive. Technical Report RPG 1185, Safety Engineering Laboratory, Research and Laboratory Services Division, Broad Lane, Sheffield S3 7HQ, UK, 1985.]. There is no evidence to suggest that TWODEE predictions could be improved by changing any of the entrainment parameters from generally accepted values [R.K.S. Hankin, Heavy gas dispersion over complex terrain, PhD thesis, Cambridge University, 1997.]. The TWODEE model was broadly insensitive to the exact values of the entrainment parameters.