Personalizing dental screening and prevention protocols in dentulous patients with oropharyngeal cancer undergoing radiotherapy: A retrospective cohort study.

Objectives: Patients with head and neck cancer are routinely screened for dental foci prior to radiotherapy (RT) to prevent post- RT tooth extractions associated with an increased risk of osteoradionecrosis. We evaluated the risk factors for post-RT tooth extraction to personalise dental screening and prevention protocols prior to RT. Materials and methods: This retrospective cohort study included dentulous patients diagnosed with oropharyngeal cancer who had undergone radiation therapy at doses 60-70 Gy and achieved a disease-free survival of ≥ 1 year (N = 174). Risk factors were assessed using Cox regression models. Results: The cumulative incidence of post-RT tooth extraction was 30.7 % at 5 years. Main indications for extraction (n = 62) were radiation caries (n = 20) and periodontal disease (n = 27). Risk factors associated (p < 0.05) with radiation caries-related extractions included active smoking, alcohol abuse, poor oral hygiene, parotid gland irradiation, and mandibular irradiation. A high-dose volume in the mandible was associated with periodontal disease events. Conclusion: Post-RT extractions due to radiation caries were influenced by lifestyle factors and RT dose in the mandible and parotid glands. Periodontal disease-related extractions were primarily associated with the mandibular dose. During dental screening these post-RT risk factors should be taken into account to prevent osteoradionecrosis.

Predictive Factors for Toxicity After Primary Chemoradiation for Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE: Women with locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) undergoing primary platinum-based chemoradiotherapy and brachytherapy often experience toxicities. Normal-tissue complication probability (NTCP) models quantify toxicity risk and aid in optimizing radiation therapy to minimize side effects. However, it is unclear which predictors to include in an NTCP model. The aim of this systematic review was to provide an overview of the identified predictors contributing to gastrointestinal (GI), genitourinary (GU), and vaginal toxicities and insufficiency fractures for LACC. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A systematic search was performed and articles evaluating the relationship between predictors and toxicities in women with LACC treated with primary chemoradiation were included. The Quality In Prognosis Studies tool was used to assess risk of bias, with high-risk studies being excluded from further analysis. Relationships between dose-volume parameters, patient and treatment characteristics, and toxicity endpoints were analyzed. RESULTS: Seventy-three studies were identified. Twenty-six had a low or moderate risk of bias and were therefore included. Brachytherapy-related dose-volume parameters of the GI tract, including rectum and bowel equivalent dose in 2 Gy fractions (EQD2) D2 cm3, were frequently related to toxicities, unlike GU dose-volume parameters. Furthermore, (recto)vaginal point doses predicted toxicities. Few studies evaluated external beam radiation therapy dose-volume parameters and identified rectum EQD2 V30 Gy, V40 Gy, and V55 Gy, bowel and bladder EQD2 V40 Gy as toxicity predictors. Also, total reference air kerma and vaginal reference length were associated with toxicities. Relationships between patient characteristics and GI toxicity were inconsistent. The extent of vaginal involvement at diagnosis, baseline symptoms, and obesity predicted GU or vaginal toxicities. Only 1 study evaluated insufficiency fractures and demonstrated lower pretreatment bone densities to be associated. CONCLUSIONS: This review detected multiple candidate predictors of toxicity. Larger studies should consider insufficiency fractures, assess dose levels from external beam radiation therapy, and quantify the relationship between the predictors and treatment-related toxicities in women with LACC to further facilitate NTCP model development for clinical use.

Accounting for fractionation and heterogeneous dose distributions in the modelling of osteoradionecrosis in oropharyngeal carcinoma treatment.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Osteoradionecrosis (ORN) of the mandible is a severe complication following radiotherapy (RT). With a renewed interest in hypofractionation for head and neck radiotherapy, more information concerning ORN development after high fraction doses is important. The aim of this explorative study was to develop a model for ORN risk prediction applicable across different fractionation schemes using Equivalent Uniform Doses (EUD). MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 334 oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) patients treated with either a hypofractionated Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy (HF-SBRT) boost or conventional Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy (IMRT). ORN was scored with the CTCAE v5.0. HF-SBRT and IMRT dose distributions were converted into equivalent dose in 2 Gy fractions (α/ß = 0.85 Gy) and analyzed using EUD. The parameter a that led to an EUD that best discriminated patients with and without grade ≥ 2 ORN was selected. Patient and treatment-related risk factors of ORN were analyzed with uni- and multivariable regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 32 patients (9.6%) developed ORN grade ≥ 2. An EUD(a = 8) best discriminated between ORN and non-ORN (AUC = 0.71). In multivariable regression, pre-RT extractions (SHR = 2.34; p = 0.012), mandibular volume (SHR = 1.04; p = 0.003), and the EUD(a = 8) (SHR = 1.14; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with ORN. CONCLUSION: Risk models for ORN based on conventional DVH parameters cannot be directly applied to HF-SBRT fractionation schemes and dose distributions. However, after correcting for fractionation and non-uniform dose distributions using EUD, a single model can distinguish between ORN and non-ORN after conventionally fractionated radiotherapy and hypofractionated boost treatments.

Biochemical Recurrence Surrogacy for Clinical Outcomes After Radiotherapy for Adenocarcinoma of the Prostate.

PURPOSE: The surrogacy of biochemical recurrence (BCR) for overall survival (OS) in localized prostate cancer remains controversial. Herein, we evaluate the surrogacy of BCR using different surrogacy analytic methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Individual patient data from 11 trials evaluating radiotherapy dose escalation, androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) use, and ADT prolongation were obtained. Surrogate candidacy was assessed using the Prentice criteria (including landmark analyses) and the two-stage meta-analytic approach (estimating Kendall's tau and the R2). Biochemical recurrence-free survival (BCRFS, time from random assignment to BCR or any death) and time to BCR (TTBCR, time from random assignment to BCR or cancer-specific deaths censoring for noncancer-related deaths) were assessed. RESULTS: Overall, 10,741 patients were included. Dose escalation, addition of short-term ADT, and prolongation of ADT duration significantly improved BCR (hazard ratio [HR], 0.71 [95% CI, 0.63 to 0.79]; HR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.48 to 0.59]; and HR, 0.54 [95% CI, 0.48 to 0.61], respectively). Adding short-term ADT (HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.84 to 0.99]) and prolonging ADT (HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.78 to 0.94]) significantly improved OS, whereas dose escalation did not (HR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.87 to 1.11]). BCR at 48 months was associated with inferior OS in all three groups (HR, 2.46 [95% CI, 2.08 to 2.92]; HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.35 to 1.70]; and HR, 2.31 [95% CI, 2.04 to 2.61], respectively). However, after adjusting for BCR at 48 months, there was no significant treatment effect on OS (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.96 to 1.27]; HR, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.87 to 1.06] and 1.00 [95% CI, 0.90 to 1.12], respectively). The patient-level correlation (Kendall's tau) for BCRFS and OS ranged between 0.59 and 0.69, and that for TTBCR and OS ranged between 0.23 and 0.41. The R2 values for trial-level correlation of the treatment effect on BCRFS and TTBCR with that on OS were 0.563 and 0.160, respectively. CONCLUSION: BCRFS and TTBCR are prognostic but failed to satisfy all surrogacy criteria. Strength of correlation was greater when noncancer-related deaths were considered events.

Advances in radiotherapy and its impact on second primary cancer risk: A multi-center cohort study in prostate cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Modelling studies suggest that advanced intensity-modulated radiotherapy may increase second primary cancer (SPC) risks, due to increased radiation exposure of tissues located outside the treatment fields. In the current study we investigated the association between SPC risks and characteristics of applied external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) protocols for localized prostate cancer (PCa). METHODS: We collected EBRT protocol characteristics (2000-2016) from five Dutch RT institutes for the 3D-CRT and advanced EBRT era (N = 7908). From the Netherlands Cancer Registry we obtained patient/tumour characteristics, SPC data, and survival information. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated for pelvis and non-pelvis SPC. Nationwide SIRs were calculated as a reference, using calendar period as a proxy to label 3D-CRT/advanced EBRT. RESULTS: From 2000-2006, 3D-CRT with 68-78 Gy in 2 Gy fractions, delivered with 10-23 MV and weekly portal imaging was the most dominant protocol. By the year 2010 all institutes routinely used advanced EBRT (IMRT, VMAT, tomotherapy), mainly delivering 78 Gy in 2 Gy fractions, using various kV/MV imaging protocols. Sixteen percent (N = 1268) developed ≥ 1 SPC. SIRs for pelvis and non-pelvis SPC (all institutes, advanced EBRT vs 3D-CRT) were 1.17 (1.00-1.36) vs 1.39 (1.21-1.59), and 1.01 (0.89-1.07) vs 1.03 (0.94-1.13), respectively. Nationwide non-pelvis SIR was 1.07 (1.01-1.13) vs 1.02 (0.98-1.07). Other RT protocol characteristics did not correlate with SPC endpoints. CONCLUSION: None of the studied RT characteristics of advanced EBRT was associated with increased out-of-field SPC risks. With constantly evolving EBRT protocols, evaluation of associated SPC risks remains important.

Post radiation mucosal ulcer risk after a hypofractionated stereotactic boost and conventional fractionated radiotherapy for oropharyngeal carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Post radiation mucosal ulcers (PRMU) after treatment for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) can have a huge negative impact on patients' quality of life, but little is known concerning risk factors and the impact of fraction size. Therefore, the goal of this study was to determine the pattern of PRMU development and to identify risk factors after a hypofractionated stereotactic body radiotherapy boost (SBRT) compared to conventionally fractionated radiotherapy for OPSCC. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study (N = 332) of OPSCC patients with ≥ 1-year disease-free survival, treated with 46 Gy Intensity Modulated Radiotherapy (IMRT) (2 Gy fractions) followed by either an SBRT boost of 16.5 Gy (5.5 Gy fractions) (N = 180), or 24 Gy IMRT (2 Gy fractions) (N = 152). PRMU (grade ≥ 2) was scored when observed > three months after the last radiotherapy (RT) fraction (CTCAE v5.0). Potential risk factors were analyzed with Cox regression models using death as competing risk. Dose at the PRMU site was calculated by projecting delineated PRMU on the planning CT. RESULTS: All cases of PRMU (N = 64) occurred within 24 months; all were grade 2. The cumulative incidence at 2 years in the SBRT boost group was 26% (N = 46) vs. 12% (N = 18) for conventional fractionation (p = 0.003). Most PRMU developed within nine months (N = 48). PRMU occurring > nine months (N = 16) were mainly observed in the SBRT boost group (N = 15). Sex (p = 0.048), acute tube feeding (p = < 0.001), tumor subsite tonsil (p = 0.001), and N stage (p = 0.017) were associated with PRMU risk at multivariable regression in the hypofractionated SBRT boost group. All 25 delineated PRMU were located within the high dose regions. CONCLUSION: The risk of PRMU should be included in the cost benefit analysis when considering future research using a hypofractionated SBRT boost for OPSCC patients.

Osteoradionecrosis after postoperative radiotherapy for oral cavity cancer: A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Osteoradionecrosis (ORN) is a severe late complication after radiotherapy but current knowledge on ORN risks in the setting of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) is limited. We studied the incidence and risk factors of ORN in patients with oral cavity cancers (OCC, treated with PORT. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted including OCC patients (mainly squamous cell) treated with postoperative intensity modulated radiotherapy between 2010 and 2018 with > 1 year disease-free survival. Cumulative incidences of ORN were computed using the Kaplan Meier method. Clinical and dosimetric risk factors for mandibular ORN were evaluated using Cox regression models. RESULTS: Within our cohort (N = 227, median follow-up 49 months) we observed 46 cases of ORN, mainly in the mandible (n = 41). The cumulative incidence of mandibular ORN was 15.9 % (SE 2.5 %) at three years and 19.8 % (SE 3.0 %) at five years. At univariable analysis, smoking, mandibular mandibulotomy or segment resection, mean dose to the mandible, and mandible volume (%) ≥ 60 Gy (V60) were significantly associated with increased ORN risks. At multivariable analysis, smoking (HR 2.13, 95 %CI 1.12-4.06) and V60 (HR 1.02 per 1 % increase, 95 %CI 1.01-1.04) remained predictive factors. For active smokers with a high V60 ≥ 40 % we observed rapid ORN development with a 1-year incidence of 29 % vs 6 % for others (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: OCC Patients treated with PORT are at high risk for mandibular ORN. We identified the mandibular volume receiving ≥ 60 Gy as the dominant risk factor, especially in active smokers. Limiting high-dose volumes at treatment planning may decrease ORN risks.

Bladder-sparing (chemo)radiotherapy in elderly patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Organ-sparing treatment for muscle-invasive bladder cancer by maximal transurethral removal of the tumor (TURB) followed by chemoradiation (CRT) has shown promising results in recent studies, and is therefore considered to be an acceptable alternative for the standard of radical cystectomy (RC) in selected patients. We report on outcomes in a single-center, retrospective CRT cohort in comparison to a RC and radiotherapy only (RT) cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The patient population included n = 84 CRT patients, n = 93 RC patients, and n = 95 RT patients. Primary endpoints were local control (LC) up to 2 years and overall survival (OS) up to 5 years. Cox regression was performed to determine risk factors for LC and OS in the CRT group. Acute genito-urinary (GU) and gastro-intestinal (GI) toxicity were scored with CTCAE version 4 for the RT and CRT cohort. Logistic regression was used to determine risk factors for toxicity. We followed the EQUATOR guidelines for reporting, using the STROBE checklist for observational research. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were different between the treatment groups with in particular worse comorbidity scores and higher age in the RT cohort. The CRT schedule was completed by 96% of the patients. LC at 2 years was 83.4% (90% CI 76.0-90.8) for CRT vs. 70.9% (62.2-79.6) for RC and 67.0% (56.8-77.2) for RT. OS at 5 years was 48.9% (38.4-59.4) for CRT vs. 46.6% (36.4-56.8) for RC, and 27.6% (19.4-35.8) for RT. High T stage was significantly associated with worse LC and OS in the CRT group. GU/GI toxicity grade ≥2 occurred in 43 (48.3%) RT patients and 38 (45.2%) CRT patients. CONCLUSIONS: The organ-preserving strategy with CRT was feasible and tolerable in this patient population, and the achieved LC and OS were satisfactory in comparison to the RC cohort and literature.

The COMPLETE trial: HolistiC early respOnse assessMent for oroPharyngeaL cancEr paTiEnts; Protocol for an observational study.

INTRODUCTION: The locoregional failure (LRF) rate in human papilloma virus (HPV)-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) remains disappointingly high and toxicity is substantial. Response prediction prior to or early during treatment would provide opportunities for personalised treatment. Currently, there are no accurate predictive models available for correct OPSCC patient selection. Apparently, the pivotal driving forces that determine how a OPSCC responds to treatment, have yet to be elucidated. Therefore, the holistiC early respOnse assessMent for oroPharyngeaL cancer paTiEnts study focuses on a holistic approach to gain insight in novel potential prognostic biomarkers, acquired before and early during treatment, to predict response to treatment in HPV-negative patients with OPSCC. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This single-centre prospective observational study investigates 60 HPV-negative patients with OPSCC scheduled for primary radiotherapy (RT) with cisplatin or cetuximab, according to current clinical practice. A holistic approach will be used that aims to map the macroscopic (with Intra Voxel Incoherent Motion Diffusion Kurtosis Imaging (IVIM-DKI); before, during, and 3 months after RT), microscopic (with biopsies of the primary tumour acquired before treatment and irradiated ex vivo to assess radiosensitivity), and molecular landscape (with circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) analysed before, during and 3 months after treatment). The main end point is locoregional control (LRC) 2 years after treatment. The primary objective is to determine whether a relative change in the mean of the diffusion coefficient D (an IVIM-DKI parameter) in the primary tumour early during treatment, improves the performance of a predictive model consisting of tumour volume only, for 2 years LRC after treatment. The secondary objectives investigate the potential of other IVIM-DKI parameters, ex vivo sensitivity characteristics, ctDNA, and combinations thereof as potential novel prognostic markers. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the Medical Ethical Committee of Erasmus Medical Center. The main results of the trial will be presented in international meetings and medical journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NL8458.

High-dose Radiotherapy or Androgen Deprivation Therapy (HEAT) as Treatment Intensification for Localized Prostate Cancer: An Individual Patient-data Network Meta-analysis from the MARCAP Consortium.

BACKGROUND: The relative benefits of radiotherapy (RT) dose escalation and the addition of short-term or long-term androgen deprivation therapy (STADT or LTADT) in the treatment of prostate cancer are unknown. OBJECTIVE: To perform a network meta-analysis (NMA) of relevant randomized trials to compare the relative benefits of RT dose escalation ± STADT or LTADT. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: An NMA of individual patient data from 13 multicenter randomized trials was carried out for a total of 11862 patients. Patients received one of the six permutations of low-dose RT (64 to <74 Gy) ± STADT or LTADT, high-dose RT (≥74 Gy), or high-dose RT ± STADT or LTADT. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSES: Metastasis-free survival (MFS) was the primary endpoint. Frequentist and Bayesian NMAs were performed to rank the various treatment strategies by MFS and biochemical recurrence-free survival (BCRFS). RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Median follow-up was 8.8 yr (interquartile range 5.7-11.5). The greatest relative improvement in outcomes was seen for addition of LTADT, irrespective of RT dose, followed by addition of STADT, irrespective of RT dose. RT dose escalation did not improve MFS either in the absence of ADT (hazard ratio [HR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80-1.18) or with STADT (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.8-1.23) or LTADT (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.65-1.37). According to P-score ranking and rankogram analysis, high-dose RT + LTADT was the optimal treatment strategy for both BCRFS and longer-term outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Conventionally escalated RT up to 79.2 Gy, alone or in the presence of ADT, does not improve MFS, while addition of STADT or LTADT to RT alone, regardless of RT dose, consistently improves MFS. RT dose escalation does provide a high probability of improving BCRFS and, provided it can be delivered without compromising quality of life, may represent the optimal treatment strategy when used in conjunction with ADT. PATIENT SUMMARY: Using a higher radiotherapy dose when treating prostate cancer does not reduce the chance of developing metastases or death, but it does reduce the chance of having a rise in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) signifying recurrence of cancer. Androgen deprivation therapy improves all outcomes. A safe increase in radiotherapy dose in conjunction with androgen deprivation therapy may be the optimal treatment.

Patient-Reported Outcomes in the Acute Phase of the Randomized Hypofractionated Irradiation for Prostate Cancer (HYPRO) Trial.

PURPOSE: Many patients experience bowel and bladder toxicity during the acute phase of radiation therapy for prostate cancer. Recent literature indicates that hypofractionation (HF) might increase this acute response but little is known on patient-reported outcome during this phase with HF. We evaluated the course of patient-reported acute symptoms during HF versus standard fractionated (SF) radiation therapy within the hypofractionated irradiation for prostate cancer (HYPRO) trial. METHODS AND MATERIALS: In the HYPRO trial patients were treated with either 64.4 Gy (HF) in 19 fractions (3 times per week) or 78 Gy (SF) in 39 fractions (5 times per week). Normalized total dose for 2 Gy/fractions (NTD2Gy)for acute toxicity (α/ß ratio of 10) for HF was 72.1 Gy with a similar dose rate of 10.2 Gy per week. Among the 794 patients who were previously eligible for acute grade ≥2 toxicity assessment, 717 had filled out ≥1 symptom questionnaires. For each maximum symptom, we scored "any complaint" and "moderate-severe complaint." Differences were tested by χ2 test, and associations with clinical factors were tested using logistic regression. Significance was set at P ≤ .008 to adjust for multiple testing. RESULTS: We observed significantly higher rates of moderate-severe painful defecation (HF 10.8%, SF 5.3%), any mucus discharge (HF 47.1%, SF 37.4%), any rectal blood loss (HF 16.1%, SF 9.3%), increased daily stool frequency ≥4 and ≥6 (HF 34.6%/13.8%, SF 25.6%/7.0%), and any urinary straining (HF 69.9%, SF 58.0%). At 3 months postradiation therapy, rates dropped considerably with similar levels for HF and SF. Hormonal treatment was associated with less acute gastrointestinal symptoms. CONCLUSION: The increased patient-reported acute rectal symptoms with HF confirmed the previously reported results on acute grade ≥2 rectal toxicity. The increase in bladder symptoms with HF was not identified previously. These observations contradict the NTD2Gy calculations. We observed no patterns of persisting complaints with HF after the acute period; therefore, HF is well tolerated and only associated with a temporary increase of symptoms.

Impact of Advanced Radiotherapy on Second Primary Cancer Risk in Prostate Cancer Survivors: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

PURPOSE: External Beam Radiotherapy (EBRT) techniques dramatically changed over the years. This may have affected the risk of radiation-induced second primary cancers (SPC), due to increased irradiated low dose volumes and scatter radiation. We investigated whether patterns of SPC after EBRT have changed over the years in prostate cancer (PCa) survivors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: PCa survivors diagnosed between 1990-2014 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients treated with EBRT were divided in three time periods, representing 2-dimensional Radiotherapy (RT), 3-dimensional conformal RT (3D-CRT), and the advanced RT (AdvRT) era. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) and absolute excess risks (AER) were calculated to estimate relative and excess absolute SPC risks. Sub-hazard ratios (sHRs) were calculated to compare SPC rates between the EBRT and prostatectomy cohort. SPCs were categorized by subsite and anatomic region. RESULTS: PCa survivors who received EBRT had an increased risk of developing a solid SPC (SIR=1.08; 1.05-1.11), especially in patients aged <70 years (SIR=1.13; 1.09-1.16). Pelvic SPC risks were increased (SIR=1.28; 1.23-1.34), with no obvious differences between the three EBRT eras. Non-pelvic SPC were only significantly increased in the AdvRT era (SIR=1.08; 1.02-1.14), in particular for the 1-5 year follow-up period. Comparing the EBRT cohort to the prostatectomy cohort, again an increased pelvic SPC risk was found for all EBRT periods (sHRs= 1.61, 1.47-1.76). Increased non-pelvic SPC risks were present for all RT eras and highest for the AdvRT period (sHRs=1.17, 1.06-1.29). CONCLUSION: SPC risk in patients with EBRT is increased and remained throughout the different EBRT eras. The risk of developing a SPC outside the pelvic area changed unfavorably in the AdvRT era. Prolonged follow-up is needed to confirm this observation. Whether this is associated with increased irradiated low-dose volumes and scatter, or other changes in clinical EBRT practice, is the subject of further research.

Spatial descriptions of radiotherapy dose: normal tissue complication models and statistical associations.

For decades, dose-volume information for segmented anatomy has provided the essential data for correlating radiotherapy dosimetry with treatment-induced complications. Dose-volume information has formed the basis for modelling those associations via normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models and for driving treatment planning. Limitations to this approach have been identified. Many studies have emerged demonstrating that the incorporation of information describing the spatial nature of the dose distribution, and potentially its correlation with anatomy, can provide more robust associations with toxicity and seed more general NTCP models. Such approaches are culminating in the application of computationally intensive processes such as machine learning and the application of neural networks. The opportunities these approaches have for individualising treatment, predicting toxicity and expanding the solution space for radiation therapy are substantial and have clearly widespread and disruptive potential. Impediments to reaching that potential include issues associated with data collection, model generalisation and validation. This review examines the role of spatial models of complication and summarises relevant published studies. Sources of data for these studies, appropriate statistical methodology frameworks for processing spatial dose information and extracting relevant features are described. Spatial complication modelling is consolidated as a pathway to guiding future developments towards effective, complication-free radiotherapy treatment.

The Risk of Second Primary Cancers in Prostate Cancer Survivors Treated in the Modern Radiotherapy Era.

PURPOSE: Concerns have been raised that modern intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) may be associated with increased second primary cancer risks (SPC) compared to previous three-dimensional conformal radiation techniques (3DCRT), due to increased low dose volumes and more out-of-field ionizing dose to peripheral tissue further away from the target. We assessed the impact of treatment technique on SPC risks in a cohort of prostate cancer (PCa) survivors. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study cohort comprised 1,561 PCa survivors aged 50-79 years at time of radiotherapy, treated between 2006-2013 (N=707 IMRT, N=854 3DCRT). Treatment details were extracted from radiotherapy systems and merged with longitudinal data of the Netherlands Cancer Registry to identify SPCs. Primary endpoint was the development of a solid SPC (excluding skin cancer) in peripheral anatomical regions, i.e. non-pelvic. Applied latency period was 12 months. SPC rates in the IMRT cohort (total cohort and age subgroups) were compared to 1) the 3DCRT cohort by calculating Sub-Hazard Ratios (sHR) using a competing risk model, and 2) to the general male population by calculating Standardized Incidence Ratios (SIR). Models were adjusted for calendar period and age. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 8.0 years (accumulated 11,664 person-years at-risk) with 159 cases developing ≥1 non-pelvic SPC. For IMRT vs 3DCRT we observed a significantly (p=0.03) increased risk (sHR=1.56, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.03-2.36, corresponding estimated excess absolute risk (EAR) of +7 cases per 10,000 person-years). At explorative analysis, IMRT was in particular associated with increased risks within the subgroup of active smokers (sHR 2.94, p=0.01). Within the age subgroups 50-69 and 70-79 years, the sHR for non-pelvic SPC was 3.27 (p=0.001) and 0.96 (p=0.9), respectively. For pelvic SPC no increase was observed (sHR=0.8, p=0.4). Compared to the general population, IMRT was associated with significantly increased risks for non-pelvic SPC in the 50-69 year age group (SIR=1.90, p<0.05) but not in the 70-79 years group (SIR=1.08). CONCLUSION: IMRT is associated with increased SPC risks for subjects who are relatively young at time of treatment. Additional research on aspects of IMRT that may cause this effect is essential to minimize risks for future patients receiving modern radiotherapy.

Local Dose Effects for Late Gastrointestinal Toxicity After Hypofractionated and Conventionally Fractionated Modern Radiotherapy for Prostate Cancer in the HYPRO Trial.

Purpose: Late gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity after radiotherapy for prostate cancer may have significant impact on the cancer survivor's quality of life. To date, little is known about local dose-effects after modern radiotherapy including hypofractionation. In the current study we related the local spatial distribution of radiation dose in the rectum to late patient-reported gastrointestinal (GI) toxicities for conventionally fractionated (CF) and hypofractionated (HF) modern radiotherapy in the randomized HYPRO trial. Material and Methods: Patients treated to 78 Gy in 2 Gy fractions (n = 298) or 64.6 Gy in 3.4 Gy fractions (n = 295) with available late toxicity questionnaires (n ≥ 2 within 1-5 years post-treatment) and available 3D planning data were eligible for this study. The majority received intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). We calculated two types of dose surface maps: (1) the total delineated rectum with its central axis scaled to unity, and (2) the delineated rectum with a length of 7 cm along its central axis aligned on the prostate's half-height point (prostate-half). For each patient-reported GI symptom, dose difference maps were constructed by subtracting average co-registered EQD2 (equivalent dose in 2 Gy) dose maps of patients with and without the symptom of interest, separately for HF and CF. P-values were derived from permutation tests. We evaluated patient-reported moderate to severe GI symptoms. Results: Observed incidences of rectal bleeding and increased stool frequency were significantly higher in the HF group. For rectal bleeding (p = 0.016), mucus discharge (p = 0.015), and fecal incontinence (p = 0.001), significant local dose-effects were observed in HF patients but not in CF patients. For rectal pain, similar local dose-effects (p < 0.05) were observed in both groups. No significant local dose-effects were observed for increased stool frequency. Total rectum mapping vs. prostate-half mapping showed similar results. Conclusion: We demonstrated significant local dose-effect relationships for patient-reported late GI toxicity in patients treated with modern RT. HF patients were at higher risk for increased stool frequency and rectal bleeding, and showed the most pronounced local dose-effects in intermediate-high dose regions. These findings suggest that improvement of current treatment optimization protocols could lead to clinical benefit, in particular for HF treatment.

Development and external validation of a nomogram to predict overall survival following stereotactic body radiotherapy for early-stage lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Prognostication tools for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) are currently lacking. The purpose of this study was to develop and externally validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in individual patients with peripheral early-stage disease. METHODS: A total of 587 NSCLC patients treated with biologically effective dose > 100 Gy10 were eligible. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to build a nomogram to predict 6-month, 1-year, 3-year and 5-year overall survival. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap sampling. External validation was performed in a separate cohort of 124 NSCLC patients with central tumors treated with SBRT. Discriminatory ability was measured by the concordance index (C-index) while predictive accuracy was assessed with calibration slope and plots. RESULTS: The resulting nomogram was based on six prognostic factors: age, sex, Karnofsky Performance Status, operability, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and tumor diameter. The slope of the calibration curve for nomogram-predicted versus Kaplan-Meier-estimated overall survival was 0.77. The C-index of the nomogram (corrected for optimism) was moderate at 0.64. In the external validation cohort, the model yielded a C-index of 0.62. CONCLUSIONS: We established and validated a nomogram which can provide individual survival predictions for patients with early stage lung cancer treated with SBRT. The nomogram may assist patients and clinicians with treatment decision-making.

Patient-reported acute GI symptoms in locally advanced cervical cancer patients correlate with rectal dose.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: To investigate relationships between patient-reported acute gastro-intestinal symptoms in a locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) prospective cohort and clinical and dosimetric parameters, while also taking spatial dose into account. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 103 patients was included, receiving radiotherapy based on a plan-library-based plan-of-the-day protocol, combined either with concurrent chemotherapy or with neo-adjuvant chemotherapy and concomitant hyperthermia. Toxicity endpoints were extracted from questionnaires sent out weekly during treatment and regularly in the acute phase after treatment. Endpoints were defined for symptoms concerning obstipation, diarrhea, fecal leakage, bowel cramps and rectal bleeding. Dose surface maps were constructed for the rectum. Clinical parameters and dosimetric parameters of the bowel bag and rectum were collected for all patients. RESULTS: The use of concomitant chemotherapy and an increase in Planning Target Volume (PTV) resulted in a significant increase in reported diarrhea. The dose-volume parameters V5Gy-V25Gy of the rectum were found to be significant, unlike dose-volume parameters of the bowel bag. Additionally, a significantly higher dose to the inferior part of the rectum was found for patients reporting diarrhea. No significance was reached for fecal leakage and bowel cramps. CONCLUSION: The significance of results for patients reporting diarrhea symptoms found for PTV volume indicates a potential benefit for a plan-of-the-day protocol. Additionally, the results suggest that a reduction of inferior rectum dose could decrease patient-reported diarrhea symptoms, while the administration of concomitant chemotherapy appears to lead to radiosensitizing effects that increase these symptoms.

Hyprofractionated Versus Conventionally Fractionated Radiation Therapy for Patients with Intermediate- or High-Risk, Localized, Prostate Cancer: 7-Year Outcomes From the Randomized, Multicenter, Open-Label, Phase 3 HYPRO Trial.

PURPOSE: In the multicenter, phase 3, HYpofractionated irradiation for PROstate cancer trial, hypofractionated (HF) radiation therapy was compared with conventionally fractionated (CF) radiation therapy. In previous reports, we could not demonstrate the postulated superiority of hypofractionation in terms of relapse-free survival at 5 years. The frequent use of long-term androgen deprivation therapy might have had substantial effects on relapse-free survival. In the current analysis, we provide updated 7-year relapse-free survival outcomes. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We enrolled patients with intermediate- to high-risk T1b-T4NX-N0MX-M0 localized prostate cancer. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to either HF (64.6 Gy in 19 fractions) or CF (78.0 Gy in 39 fractions) radiation therapy. Based on an estimated α/ß ratio for prostate cancer of 1.5 Gy, the EQD2 was 90.4 Gy for HF versus 78.0 Gy for CF radiation therapy. The primary endpoint of the present analysis is relapse-free survival at 7 years. RESULTS: A total of 820 patients were enrolled, of whom 804 were assessable for the current evaluation (407 HF versus 397 CF). Median follow-up was 89 months (interquartile range, 83-99). Concomitant androgen deprivation therapy was prescribed for 537 (67%) of 804 patients for a median duration of 32 months (interquartile range, 10-44). Treatment failure at 7 years was reported in 220 (27.4%) of 804 patients, 107 (26.3%) in HF versus 113 (28.5%) in CF radiation therapy. Seven-year relapse-free survival was 71.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 66.4-76.4) for HF versus 67.6% (95% CI, 62.0-72.5) for CF (P = .52). Overall survival was 80.8% (95% CI, 76.5-84.4) in HF versus 77.6% (95% CI, 73.0-81.5) in CF radiation therapy (P = .17). CONCLUSIONS: The current results of 7-year relapse-free survival confirmed our previous findings that the hypothesized dose escalation in the HF arm did not translate to superior tumor control compared with the CF arm.

Long-term outcomes following stereotactic body radiotherapy boost for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

Background/purpose: To determine the efficacy and toxicity profile of a stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) boost as a first line treatment in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Materials and methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 195 consecutive OPSCC patients with T1-small T3 disease, treated at Erasmus MC between 2009 and 2016 with a SBRT (3 × 5.5 Gy) boost after 46 Gy IMRT. Primary endpoints were disease-specific survival (DSS) and Grade ≥3 toxicity (Common Terminology Criteria). The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model were applied to determine rates and risk factors. Results: The median follow-up was 4.3 years. Treatment compliance was high (100%). Rates of 5-year DSS and late grade ≥3 toxicity were 85% and 28%, respectively. Five-year overall survival was 67%. The most frequently observed toxicities were mucosal ulceration or soft tissue necrosis (n = 30, 5 year 18%), dysphagia or weight loss (n = 18, 5 year 12%) and osteoradionecrosis (n = 11, 5 year 9%). Current smoker status (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.9, p = .001) and Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥2 (HR = 1.9, p = .03) were was associated with increased toxicity risk. Tooth extraction prior to RT was associated with increased osteoradionecrosis risk (HR = 6.4, p = .006). Conclusion: We reported on outcomes in the largest patient series to date treated with a hypofractionated boost for OPSCC. Efficacy was good with survival rates comparable to conventionally fractionated (chemo)radiotherapy. Grade ≥3 toxicity profiles showed high rates of soft tissue necrosis and osteoradionecrosis. Strategies to mitigate severe toxicity risks are under investigation to improve the tolerability of the SBRT boost.