[European Monetary Union: Badly Prepared for Big Crises]. / Europäische Währungsunion: schlecht gerüstet für große Krisen.

Even before the COVID-19 crisis, the European Monetary Union (EMU) exhibited an unsatisfactory economic development with low growth and inflation rates below the target rate of the central bank. Macroeconomic coordination among monetary and fiscal policy is necessary to fend off such large crises. Insufficient wage increases that lead to deflation need to be avoided. Last, but not least, a mechanism is needed to stabilise the financial system and quickly deal with non-performing loans. Except in the field of monetary policy, the EMU lacks institutions that support quick and sufficient economic policies. There is the danger that policy mistakes will lead to long-term stagnation in the EMU or possibly even a great recession.

Early Prediction of Prognosis in Elderly Acute Stroke Patients.

Acute stroke has a high morbidity and mortality in elderly population. Baseline confounding illnesses, initial clinical examination, and basic laboratory tests may impact prognostics. In this study, we aimed to establish a model for predicting in-hospital mortality based on clinical data available within 12 hours of hospital admission in elderly (≥ 65 age) patients who experienced stroke. DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study. SETTING: Academic comprehensive stroke center. PATIENTS: Elderly acute stroke patients-2005-2009 (n = 462), 2010-2012 (n = 122), and 2016-2017 (n = 123). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: After institutional review board approval, we retrospectively queried elderly stroke patients' data from 2005 to 2009 (training dataset) to build a model to predict mortality. We designed a multivariable logistic regression model as a function of baseline severity of illness and laboratory tests, developed a nomogram, and applied it to patients from 2010 to 2012. Due to updated guidelines in 2013, we revalidated our model (2016-2017). The final model included stroke type (intracerebral hemorrhage vs ischemic stroke: odds ratio [95% CI] of 0.92 [0.50-1.68] and subarachnoid hemorrhage vs ischemic stroke: 1.0 [0.40-2.49]), year (1.01 [0.66-1.53]), age (1.78 [1.20-2.65] per 10 yr), smoking (8.0 [2.4-26.7]), mean arterial pressure less than 60 mm Hg (3.08 [1.67-5.67]), Glasgow Coma Scale (0.73 [0.66-0.80] per 1 point increment), WBC less than 11 K (0.31 [0.16-0.60]), creatinine (1.76 [1.17-2.64] for 2 vs 1), congestive heart failure (2.49 [1.06-5.82]), and warfarin (2.29 [1.17-4.47]). In summary, age, smoking, congestive heart failure, warfarin use, Glasgow Coma Scale, mean arterial pressure less than 60 mm Hg, admission WBC, and creatinine levels were independently associated with mortality in our training cohort. The model had internal area under the curve of 0.83 (0.79-0.89) after adjustment for over-fitting, indicating excellent discrimination. When applied to the test data from 2010 to 2012, the nomogram accurately predicted mortality with area under the curve of 0.79 (0.71-0.87) and scaled Brier's score of 0.17. Revalidation of the same model in the recent dataset from 2016 to 2017 confirmed accurate prediction with area under the curve of 0.83 (0.75-0.91) and scaled Brier's score of 0.27. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline medical problems, clinical severity, and basic laboratory tests available within the first 12 hours of admission provided strong independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in elderly acute stroke patients. Our nomogram may guide interventions to improve acute care of stroke.

Right-Sided Pleural Effusion in a Critically Ill Stroke Patient.

Pleural fluid collections are common in those critically ill. We report the case of a left middle cerebral artery stroke patient who developed respiratory distress and required intubation and mechanical ventilation. Although the patient's clinical status and oxygenation improved, there was persistence of right-sided opacity in the chest radiograph. Further workup proved a right-sided pleural effusion, which was drained and managed. Following extubation, a swallow study was ordered, which led to a fluoroscopic examination that demonstrated esophageal perforation. Thoracic surgery was consulted and did a primary repair of perforation and noted non-small cell carcinoma on the perforated site.

Ventilator-associated pneumonia in critically ill stroke patients: frequency, risk factors, and outcomes.

PURPOSE: Our main objective was to assess incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in stroke patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: After obtaining approval from the Human Studies Committee, we reviewed the electronic records from our intensive care unit database of 111 stroke patients on mechanical ventilation for more than 48 hours. Thirty-six risk factors related to disease and general health status, and 8 related to care-all assigned a priori-were collected and analyzed. Selected factors with univariate statistical significance (P < .05) were then analyzed with multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Thirty-one patients developed pneumonia (28%). Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (n = 12) and methicillin-sensitive S aureus (n = 7) were the most common pathogenic bacteria. Chronic lung disease, neurological status at admission as assessed by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and hemorrhagic transformation were the independent risk factors contributing to VAP. Worsening oxygenation index (arterial partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen) and proton pump inhibitor use for ulcer prophylaxis were other potentially important factors. CONCLUSIONS: Pneumonia appears as a frequent problem in mechanically ventilated stroke patients. Chronic lung disease history, severity of stroke level at admission, and hemorrhagic transformation of stroke set the stage for developing VAP. The duration of both mechanical ventilation and intensive care unit stay gets significantly prolonged by VAP, but it does not affect mortality.

Mutual reporting of process and outcomes enhances quality outcomes for colon and rectal resections.

BACKGROUND: This report describes the favorable results of mutual reporting of process and outcome of care for major resections of the colon and rectum, one of six focal points for the Center for Medicare Services studies seeking to broadly reduce death and complications and enhance consistency of care. METHODS: A group of 66 surgical specialists in 9 cities in Kentucky reported cases to a quality improvement network over the past 5 years, and these data were supplemented by chart verification and patient satisfaction surveys. Consecutive colon and rectal resections (N=309) were reported by 23 general and colorectal surgeons. Eighty percent of the operations were performed by 4 surgeons. RESULTS: Forty-four percent of the patients had colorectal cancer, and 27% had diverticulitis; 84% of colon resections were performed by general surgeons whereas 77% of rectal resections were performed by colorectal specialists. Audit showed 6 leaks/fistulas and 16 patients who required unscheduled readmissions. Eleven patients had prolonged ileus. Only 2 patients died. Consensus among network surgeons included the following: 1. Mutual reporting led to a narrowing of choices and improved timing for antibiotic prophylaxis. 2. Standard order sets in one hospital led to a shortened duration of stay. 3. Surgeon participation in a quality improvement network led to a safe reduction in preoperative cardiology consultation. 4. More patients arrive with all evaluations complete due to increased utilization of preoperative anesthesiology clinics. 5. Enhanced operating room throughput has been achieved by joint anesthesia/surgery reporting and includes reduced time to induction of anesthesia and in the Post-Anesthesia Care Unit and lessened use of expensive postoperative antiemetics. 6. Reported medication errors were reduced by standard order sets, as were other reported adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Practicing surgeons meet and/or exceed published benchmarks for colorectal resections and can further improve their outcomes by standardization and refinement of orders and procedures and improved collaboration with anesthesiologists.

Practicing surgeons lead in quality care, safety, and cost control.

OBJECTIVE: To report the experiences of 66 surgical specialists from 15 different hospitals who performed 43 CPT-based procedures more than 16,000 times. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Surgeons are under increasing pressure to demonstrate patient safety data as quantitated by objective and subjective outcomes that meet or exceed the standards of benchmark institutions or databases. METHODS: Data from 66 surgical specialists on 43 CPT-based procedures were accessioned over a 4-year period. The hospitals vary from a small 30-bed hospital to large teaching hospitals. All reported deaths and complications were verified from hospital and office records and compared with benchmarks. RESULTS: Over a 4-year inclusive period (1999-2002), 16,028 elective operations were accessioned. There was a total 1.4% complication rate and 0.05% death rate. A system has been developed for tracking outcomes. A wide range of improvements have been identified. These include the following: 1) improved classification of indications for systemic prophylactic antibiotic use and reduction in the variety of drugs used, 2) shortened length of stay for standard procedures in different surgical specialties, 3) adherence to strict indicators for selected operative procedures, 4) less use of costly diagnostic procedures, 5) decreased use of expensive home health services, 6) decreased use of very expensive drugs, 7) identification of the unnecessary expense of disposable laparoscopic devices, 8) development of a method to compare a one-surgeon hospital with his peers, and 9) development of unique protocols for interaction of anesthesia and surgery. The system also provides a very good basis for confirmation of patient safety and improvement therein. CONCLUSIONS: Since 1998, Quality Surgical Solutions, PLLC, has developed simple physician-authored protocols for delivering high-quality and cost-effective surgery that measure up to benchmark institutions. We have discovered wide areas for improvements in surgery by adherence to simple protocols, minimizing death and complications and clarifying cost issues.