Renin, aldosterone, the aldosterone-to-renin ratio, and incident hypertension among normotensive subjects from the general population.

AIMS: To investigate the predictive ability of direct plasma renin and aldosterone concentrations as well as their ratio [aldosterone-to-renin (ARR)] for incident hypertension in the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Concentration of renin and aldosterone were measured by a chemiluminescence immunoassay using the fully automated LIAISON® platform (DiaSorin) among 5362 participants of the population-based Gutenberg Health Study, who were normotensive and had no clinically overt cardiovascular disease at baseline. During a follow-up period of 5 years, 18.6% (n = 996) developed a new-onset hypertension. Comparing extreme quartiles of biomarker distribution, the relative risk (RR) for incident arterial hypertension was found to be 1.58 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-2.00; P = 0.00015; Q1 vs. Q4ref] for renin; 1.29 (95% CI 1.05-1.59, P = 0.018; Q4 vs. Q1ref) for aldosterone and 1.70 (95% CI 1.33-2.12; P < 0.0001; Q4 vs. Q1ref) for ARR after multivariable adjustment in men. In females, only high ARR was independently predictive for incident hypertension over 5 years [RR 1.29 (95% CI 1.04-1.62); P = 0.024]. Even in the subgroup of individuals having biomarker concentrations within the reference range, high ARR was predictive for new-onset hypertension in men [RR 1.44 (95% CI 1.13-1.83); P = 0.003]. Finally, synergistic effects of co-prevalent obesity and ARR on incident hypertension were also demonstrated, resulting in markedly higher risk estimates as seen for biomarker alone [RR of 2.70 (95% CI 2.05-3.6) for Q4 of ARR and having body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2 vs. low ARR (Q1ref) and normal weight; P < 0.0001]. CONCLUSION: Among normotensives from the general population ARR possesses a stronger predictive value for incident hypertension than renin or aldosterone alone. The prediction of arterial hypertension by ARR was even stronger in obese subjects.

Thrombin generation in cardiovascular disease and mortality - results from the Gutenberg Health Study.

Thrombin generation may be a potential tool to improve risk stratification for cardiovascular diseases. This study aims to explore the relation between thrombin generation and cardiovascular risk factors, cardiovascular diseases, and total mortality. For this study, N=5000 subjects from the population-based Gutenberg Health Study were analysed in a highly standardized setting. Thrombin generation was assessed by the Calibrated Automated Thrombogram method at 1 and 5 pM tissue factors trigger in platelet poor plasma. Lag time, endogenous thrombin potential, and peak height were derived from the thrombin generation curve. Sex-specific multivariable linear regression analysis adjusted for age, cardiovascular risk factors, cardiovascular diseases and therapy, was used to assess clinical determinants of thrombin generation. Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors and vitamin K antagonists investigated the association between thrombin generation parameters and total mortality. Lag time was positively associated with obesity and dyslipidaemia for both sexes (p<0.0001). Obesity was also positively associated with endogenous thrombin potential in both sexes (p<0.0001) and peak height in males (1 pM tissue factor, p=0.0048) and females (p<0.0001). Cox regression models showed an increased mortality in individuals with lag time (1 pM tissue factor, hazard ratio=1.46, [95% CI: 1.07; 2.00], p=0.018) and endogenous thrombin potential (5 pM tissue factor, hazard ratio = 1.50, [1.06; 2.13], p=0.023) above the 95th percentile of the reference group, independent of the cardiovascular risk profile. This large-scale study demonstrates traditional cardiovascular risk factors, particularly obesity, as relevant determinants of thrombin generation. Lag time and endogenous thrombin potential were found as potentially relevant predictors of increased total mortality, which deserves further investigation.