Use of 5-alpha reductase inhibitors and risk of gastrointestinal cancers in men with benign prostatic hyperplasia: A population-based cohort study.

Pre-clinical evidence suggests that 5-alpha reductase inhibitors (5ARi's), prescribed in the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia, reduce colorectal and gastro-oesophageal cancer incidence via action on the male hormonal pathway. However, few studies to date have investigated this association at the population level. Our study aimed to investigate the risk of colorectal and gastro-oesophageal cancers with the use of 5ARi's. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of new users of 5ARi's and alpha-blockers among patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Patients were followed until a first ever diagnosis of colorectal or gastro-oesophageal cancer, death from any cause or end of registration with the general practice or 31st of December 2017. Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability of treatment weights were used to calculate weighted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident colorectal cancer or gastro-oesophageal cancer associated with the use of 5ARi's compared to alpha-blockers. During a mean follow-up of 6.6 years, we found no association between the use of 5ARi's and colorectal (HR: 1.13, 95% CI 0.91-1.41) or gastro-oesophageal (HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.76-1.63) cancer risk compared to alpha-blockers. Sensitivity analysis showed largely consistent results when varying lag periods, using multiple imputations, and accounting for competing risk of death. Our study found no association between the use of 5ARi's and risk of colorectal or gastro-oesophageal cancer in men with benign prostatic hyperplasia.

Vaginal Estrogen Therapy Use and Survival in Females With Breast Cancer.

Importance: Genitourinary syndrome of menopause can be treated with vaginal estrogen therapy. However, there are concerns about the safety of vaginal estrogen therapy in patients with breast cancer. Objective: To determine whether the risk of breast cancer-specific mortality was higher in females with breast cancer who used vaginal estrogen therapy vs females with breast cancer who did not use hormone replacement therapy (HRT). Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed 2 large cohorts, one each in Scotland and Wales, of females aged 40 to 79 years with newly diagnosed breast cancer. These population-based cohorts were identified from national cancer registry records from 2010 to 2017 in Scotland and from 2000 to 2016 in Wales and were followed up for breast cancer-specific mortality until 2020. Females were excluded if they had a previous cancer diagnosis (except nonmelanoma skin cancer). Data analysis was performed between August 2022 and August 2023. Exposure: Use of vaginal estrogen therapy, including vaginal tablets and creams, was ascertained from pharmacy dispensing records of the Prescribing Information System for the Scotland cohort and from general practice prescription records for the Wales cohort. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was time to breast cancer-specific mortality, which was obtained from national mortality records. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for breast cancer-specific mortality, comparing vaginal estrogen therapy users with HRT nonusers and adjusting for confounders, including cancer stage and grade. Results: The 2 cohorts comprised 49 237 females with breast cancer (between 40 and 79 years of age) and 5795 breast cancer-specific deaths. Five percent of patients with breast cancer used vaginal estrogen therapy after breast cancer diagnosis. In vaginal estrogen therapy users compared with HRT nonusers, there was no evidence of a higher risk of breast cancer-specific mortality in the pooled fully adjusted model (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63-0.94). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study showed no evidence of increased early breast cancer-specific mortality in patients who used vaginal estrogen therapy compared with patients who did not use HRT. This finding may provide some reassurance to prescribing clinicians and support the guidelines suggesting that vaginal estrogen therapy can be considered in patients with breast cancer and genitourinary symptoms.

EpiVECS: exploring spatiotemporal epidemiological data using cluster embedding and interactive visualization.

The analysis of data over space and time is a core part of descriptive epidemiology, but the complexity of spatiotemporal data makes this challenging. There is a need for methods that simplify the exploration of such data for tasks such as surveillance and hypothesis generation. In this paper, we use combined clustering and dimensionality reduction methods (hereafter referred to as 'cluster embedding' methods) to spatially visualize patterns in epidemiological time-series data. We compare several cluster embedding techniques to see which performs best along a variety of internal cluster validation metrics. We find that methods based on k-means clustering generally perform better than self-organizing maps on real world epidemiological data, with some minor exceptions. We also introduce EpiVECS, a tool which allows the user to perform cluster embedding and explore the results using interactive visualization. EpiVECS is available as a privacy preserving, in-browser open source web application at https://episphere.github.io/epivecs .

The application of lag times in cancer pharmacoepidemiology: a narrative review.

PURPOSE: With the increasing utilization of medications worldwide, coupled with the increasing availability of long-term data, there is a growing opportunity and need for robust studies evaluating drug-cancer associations. One methodology of importance in such studies is the application of lag times. METHODS: In this narrative review, we discuss the main reasons for using lag times. RESULTS: Namely, we discuss the typically long latency period of cancer concerning both tumor promoter and initiator effects and outline why cancer latency is a key consideration when choosing a lag time. We also discuss how the use of lag times can help reduce protopathic and detection bias. Finally, we present practical advice for implementing lag periods. CONCLUSIONS: In general, we recommend that researchers consider the information that generated the hypothesis as well as clinical and biological knowledge to inform lag period selection. In addition, given that latency periods are usually unknown, we also advocate that researchers examine multiple lag periods in sensitivity analyses as well as duration analyses and flexible modeling approaches.

Interpretable, non-mechanistic forecasting using empirical dynamic modeling and interactive visualization.

Forecasting methods are notoriously difficult to interpret, particularly when the relationship between the data and the resulting forecasts is not obvious. Interpretability is an important property of a forecasting method because it allows the user to complement the forecasts with their own knowledge, a process which leads to more applicable results. In general, mechanistic methods are more interpretable than non-mechanistic methods, but they require explicit knowledge of the underlying dynamics. In this paper, we introduce EpiForecast, a tool which performs interpretable, non-mechanistic forecasts using interactive visualization and a simple, data-focused forecasting technique based on empirical dynamic modelling. EpiForecast's primary feature is a four-plot interactive dashboard which displays a variety of information to help the user understand how the forecasts are generated. In addition to point forecasts, the tool produces distributional forecasts using a kernel density estimation method-these are visualized using color gradients to produce a quick, intuitive visual summary of the estimated future. To ensure the work is FAIR and privacy is ensured, we have released the tool as an entirely in-browser web-application.

5α-Reductase Inhibitors and Risk of Kidney and Bladder Cancers in Men with Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Preclinical evidence suggests that 5α-reductase inhibitors (5ARi), commonly used to treat benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH), are associated with reduced incidence of certain urologic cancers, yet epidemiologic studies are conflicting. This study aimed to determine whether 5ARi's are associated with a reduced risk of kidney and bladder cancers. METHODS: We conducted a new-user active-comparator cohort study in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink. From a base cohort of patients with incident BPH, new users of 5ARi's and α-blockers were identified. Patients were followed up until a first ever diagnosis of kidney or bladder cancer, death from any cause, end of registration, or December 31, 2017. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for incident kidney and bladder cancer. RESULTS: There were 5,414 and 37,681 new users of 5ARi's and α-blockers, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 6.3 years, we found no association between the use of 5ARi's and kidney (adjusted HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.74-2.12; n = 23) or bladder (adjusted HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.64-1.23; n = 57) cancer risk compared with α-blockers. Similar results were observed across sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we found no association between the use of 5ARi's and kidney or bladder cancer incidence in men with BPH when compared with α-blocker use. IMPACT: The findings of this study indicate that 5ARi's are unlikely to reduce kidney or bladder cancer risk.

Antiplatelet drugs and breast cancer risk in a large nationwide Danish case-control study.

Low-dose aspirin has been hypothesized to prevent cancer risk by inhibiting platelet aggregation. However, the anti-cancer effect of low-dose aspirin has recently been questioned and its effect on breast cancer development remains unclear. The impact of other antiplatelet drugs on breast cancer risk has rarely been evaluated. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the associations between breast cancer risk and antiplatelet drug use in a nationwide nested case-control study. From the Danish healthcare registries, we identified as cases all women with invasive breast cancer diagnosis between 2001 and 2018 (n = 68 852). The date of diagnosis corresponded to the index date. We matched cases to 10 population controls on age and calendar time, using risk set sampling. Controls were assigned the same index date as their matched case. We used the prescription registry to identify exposure to low-dose aspirin, clopidogrel and dipyridamole. We defined ever use of antiplatelet drugs as at least two prescriptions filled up to 1 year before the index date. We applied conditional logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals for breast cancer associated with the use of antiplatelet drugs, overall, by breast cancer subtype and by cumulative dose. Twelve percent of women had ever been exposed to low-dose aspirin, 2% to clopidogrel and 2% to dipyridamole. In multivariable models, breast cancer risk was not associated with ever use of low-dose aspirin (OR = 1.00 [0.97-1.03]), clopidogrel (OR = 0.93 [0.87-1.00]), and dipyridamole (OR = 1.02 [0.94-1.10]), compared with never use, and there was no evidence of a dose-response relation. However, we found an inverse association between dipyridamole use and breast cancer risk among women aged <55 years old, with suggestion of a dose-response relationship (OR per 1000 Defined Daily Doses = 0.72 [0.54-0.95]). Associations did not differ by breast cancer histological type, estrogen receptor status or clinical stage at diagnosis. Overall, the findings from this study do not support the use of antiplatelet drugs for breast cancer prevention.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors and the Short-term Risk of Bladder Cancer: An International Multisite Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors, compared with glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) or dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors, are associated with an increased risk of early bladder cancer events. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a multisite, population-based, new-user, active comparator cohort study using the U.K. Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Medicare fee-for-service, Optum's de-identifed Clinformatics Data Mart Database (CDM), and MarketScan Health databases from January 2013 through December 2020. We assembled two cohorts of adults with type 2 diabetes initiating 1) SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1RAs and 2) SGLT2 inhibitors or DPP-4 inhibitors. Cox proportional hazards models were fit to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of incident bladder cancer. The models were weighted using propensity score fine stratification. Site-specific HRs were pooled using random-effects models. RESULTS: SGLT2 inhibitor (n = 453,560) and GLP-1RA (n = 375,997) users had a median follow-up ranging from 1.5 to 2.2 years. Overall, SGLT2 inhibitors were not associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer compared with GLP-1RAs (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.81-1.00). Similarly, when compared with DPP-4 inhibitors (n = 853,186), SGLT2 inhibitors (n = 347,059) were not associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.91-1.09) over a median follow-up ranging from 1.6 to 2.6 years. Results were consistent across sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to previous randomized controlled trials, these findings indicate that the use of SGLT2 inhibitors is not associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer compared with GLP-1RAs or DPP-4 inhibitors. This should provide reassurance on the short-term effects of SGLT2 inhibitors on bladder cancer incidence.

Comparison of Approaches for Measuring Adherence and Persistence to Oral Oncologic Therapies in Patients Diagnosed with Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Adherence and persistence studies face several methodologic difficulties, including short-term mortality. We compared approaches to quantify adherence and persistence to first line (1L) oral targeted therapy (TT) in patients diagnosed with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC). METHODS: Patients with mRCC ages 66 years or more who initiated TTs within 4 months of diagnosis were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicare-linked database (2007-2015). Adherence [proportion of days covered (PDC) >80%] was calculated using (i) PDC with a fixed 6-month denominator including then excluding patients who died within the 6 months and (ii) PDC with a denominator measuring time on treatment. Risk of nonpersistence was obtained by censoring death or treating death as a competing risk using cumulative incidence functions. RESULTS: Among 485 patients with mRCC initiating a 1L oral TT (sunitinib, 64%; pazopanib, 25%; other, 11%), 40% died within 6 months. Adherence was higher after restricting to patients who survived (60%) compared with including those patients and assigning zero days covered after death (47%). Risk of nonpersistence was higher when censoring patients at death, 0.91 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.88-0.94], compared with treating death as a competing risk, 0.75 (95% CI, 0.71-0.79). CONCLUSIONS: Different approaches to handling death resulted in different adherence and persistence estimates in the metastatic setting. Future studies should explicitly report the proportion of patient deaths over time and explore appropriate methods to account for death as competing risk. IMPACT: Use of several approaches can provide a more comprehensive picture of medication-taking behavior in the metastatic setting where death is a major competing risk.

Patterns of first-line targeted therapy utilization and adherence among older adults diagnosed with metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Despite the rapid approval of targeted therapies for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) evidence on real world treatment patterns remains limited. This study evaluated patterns of first-line targeted therapy utilization and adherence in older adults, a population with a high burden of RCC. METHODS: 2093 patients aged ≥66 years with a primary diagnosis of mRCC were identified from United States (US)-based cancer registry and administrative claims data (2007-2015). We included only patients with de novo disease. We assessed the initiation of first-line targeted therapy within four months of diagnosis and persistence and adherence to targeted therapy, using the proportion of days covered (PDC). Multivariable logistic regression yielded adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to describe characteristics associated with targeted therapy versus no targeted therapy initiation and for high (≥80% PDC) versus low adherence. RESULTS: 28.8% of patients received first-line targeted therapy within four months of diagnosis, with the proportion of patients receiving targeted therapy increasing over time. Older age (one-year increment OR:0.95 95%CI 0.93, 0.97), high comorbidity burden (OR:0.65 95%CI0.46, 0.93) and clear cell histology (OR:1.54 95%CI 1.19, 2.00) were associated with targeted therapy initiation. 48.2% of patients exhibited a high PDC to oral targeted therapy at 120 days, which was attenuated with inclusion of patients who died during the time period (34.2% PDC ≥80%). CONCLUSION: Increasing age, high comorbidity burden and non-clear cell histology were associated with decreased targeted therapy initiation among patients with de novo mRCC. Our findings suggest adherence to oral therapies was low; future research exploring the mechanisms and impact of low adherence in this older patient population is warranted.

Roles of allostatic load, lifestyle and clinical risk factors in mediating the association between education and coronary heart disease risk in Europe.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that differential exposure to lifestyle factors may mediate the association between education and coronary heart diseases (CHD). However, few studies have examined the potential roles of allostatic load (AL) or differential susceptibility. METHODS: 25 310 men and 26 018 women aged 35-74 and CHD free at baseline were identified from 21 European cohorts and followed for a median of 10 years, to investigate the mediating role of AL, as well as of smoking, alcohol use and body mass index (BMI), on educational differences in CHD incidence, applying marginal structural models and three-way decomposition. RESULTS: AL is a mediator of the association between educational status and CHD incidence, with the highest proportion mediated observed among women and largely attributable to differential exposure, (28% (95% CI 19% to 44%)), with 8% (95% CI 0% to 16%) attributable to differential susceptibility. The mediating effects of smoking, alcohol and BMI, compared with AL, were relatively small for both men and women. CONCLUSION: Overall, the educational inequalities in CHD incidence were partially mediated through differential exposure to AL. By contrast, the mediation of the educational gradient in CHD by investigated lifestyle risk factors was limited. As differential susceptibility in men was found to have a predominant role in the accumulation of AL in low educational classes, the investigation of AL-related risk factors is warranted.

Exposure to Ranitidine and Risk of Bladder Cancer: A Nested Case-Control Study.

INTRODUCTION: Ranitidine has been shown to contain the carcinogen N-nitrosodimethylamine and increase urinary N-nitrosodimethylamine in humans. We investigated whether ranitidine use is associated with increased bladder cancer risk. METHODS: A nested case-control study was conducted within the Primary Care Clinical Informatics Unit Research database which contains general practice records from Scotland. Bladder cancer cases, diagnosed between 1999 and 2011, were identified and matched with up to 5 controls (based on age, sex, general practice, and date of registration). Ranitidine, other histamine-2 receptor agonists, and proton pump inhibitors were identified from prescribing records. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using conditional logistic regression after adjusting for comorbidities and smoking. RESULTS: There were 3,260 cases and 14,037 controls. There was evidence of an increased risk of bladder cancer in ranitidine users, compared with nonusers (fully adjusted OR = 1.22; 95% CI 1.06-1.40), which was more marked with use for over 3 years of ranitidine (fully adjusted OR = 1.43; 95% CI 1.05-1.94). By contrast, there was little evidence of any association between proton pump inhibitor use and bladder cancer risk based on any use (fully adjusted OR = 0.98; 95% CI 0.88-1.11) or over 3 years of use (fully adjusted OR = 0.98; 95% CI 0.80-1.20). DISCUSSION: In this large population-based study, the use of ranitidine particularly long-term use was associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer. Further studies are necessary to attempt to replicate this finding in other settings.

Hormone replacement therapy in women with cancer and risk of cancer-specific mortality and cardiovascular disease: a protocol for a cohort study from Scotland and Wales.

BACKGROUND: Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is widely used and has proven benefits for women with menopausal symptoms. An increasing number of women with cancer experience menopausal symptoms but the safety of HRT use in women with cancer is unclear. There are particular concerns that HRT could accelerate cancer progression in women with cancer, and also that HRT could increase the risk of cardiovascular disease in such women. Therefore, our primary aim is to determine whether HRT use alters the risk of cancer-specific mortality in women with a range of common cancers. Our secondary objectives are to investigate whether HRT alters the risk of second cancers, cardiovascular disease, venous thromboembolism and all-cause mortality. METHODS: The study will utilise independent population-based data from Wales using the SAIL databank and Scotland based upon the national Prescribing Information System. The study will include women newly diagnosed with common cancers from 2000 to 2016, identified from cancer registries. Women with breast cancers will be excluded. HRT will be ascertained using electronic prescribing in Wales or dispensing records in Scotland. The primary outcome will be time to cancer-specific mortality from national mortality records. Time-dependent cox regression models will be used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for cancer specific death in HRT users compared with non-users after cancer diagnosis after adjusting for relevant confounders, stratified by cancer site. Analysis will be repeated investigating the impact of HRT use immediately before cancer diagnosis. Secondary analyses will be conducted on the risk of second cancers, cardiovascular disease, venous thromboembolism and all-cause mortality. Analyses will be conducted within each cohort and pooled across cohorts. DISCUSSION: Our study will provide evidence to inform guidance given to women diagnosed with cancer on the safety of HRT use and/or guide modifications to clinical practice.

Hormone therapy use and the risk of acute kidney injury in patients with prostate cancer: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Hormone therapy is widely used in prostate cancer. However, studies have raised concerns that hormone therapy, particularly the use of gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonists, could increase the risk of acute kidney injury. METHODS: Men newly diagnosed with non-metastatic prostate cancer, from 2012 to 2017, were identified from the Scottish Cancer Registry. A matched comparison cohort of prostate cancer-free men was also identified. Hormone therapy use was determined from the Prescribing Information System in Scotland. The primary outcome was hospitalisations with acute kidney injury taken from Scottish hospital records (SMR01) up to June 2019. Time-dependent Cox regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for acute kidney injury by hormone therapy use. RESULTS: The prostate cancer cohort contained 10,751 patients followed for 41,997 person years, during which there were 618 hospitalisations with acute kidney injury. Prostate cancer patients had higher rates of acute kidney injury compared with cancer-free controls (adjusted HR = 1.47 95% CI 1.29, 1.69). However, prostate cancer patients currently using hormone therapy (adjusted HR = 1.14 95% CI 0.92, 1.41), including gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) agonists (adjusted HR = 1.13 95% CI 0.90, 1.40), did not appear to have a marked increase in acute kidney injury compared with prostate cancer patients not using hormone therapy after adjusting for potential confounders. CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort, there was little evidence that gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonists were associated with marked increases in acute kidney injury.

Use of ACE (Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme) Inhibitors and Risk of Lung Cancer: A Nationwide Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs)was associated with increased risk of lung cancer in a cohort study from the United Kingdom. We aimed to replicate these findings in a Danish population. METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study using data from 4 Danish national health and administrative registries. New users of ACEIs or angiotensin II receptor blockers in Denmark from January 1, 2000 were followed until December 31, 2015, incident lung cancer, death, or emigration. Each lung cancer case was matched with up to 20 controls on age, sex, duration of follow-up, and year of cohort entry using risk-set sampling. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for incident, histologically verified lung cancer with high use of ACEIs defined as a cumulative dose above 3650 defined daily doses. We examined different cumulative doses of ACEI (≤1800, 1801-3650, >3650 defined daily doses), examined whether the association varied with lung cancer histology, and repeated the analyses using thiazides as active comparator. RESULTS: We included 9652 lung cancer cases matched to 190 055 controls. High use of ACEIs was associated with lung cancer (adjusted OR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.08-1.62]). Lower cumulative doses showed neutral associations (≤1800 defined daily doses OR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.94-1.09]; 1801-3650 defined daily doses OR, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.90-1.19]). CIs were wide and included the null when stratifying on histology. Using thiazides as active comparator yielded comparable results (OR, 1.34 [95% CI, 0.96-1.88]). CONCLUSIONS: Use of high cumulative ACEI doses was associated with modestly increased odds of lung cancer although use of lower doses showed neutral associations. The established benefits of ACEIs should be considered when interpreting these findings.

Decomposing the educational gradient in allostatic load across European populations. What matters the most: differentials in exposure or in susceptibility?

BACKGROUND: We investigate whether socially disadvantaged individuals are more susceptible to the detrimental effects of smoking and alcohol intake on allostatic load (AL), a marker of physiological 'wear and tear', resulting from adaptation to chronic stress. METHODS: In a cross-sectional analysis, 27 019 men and 26 738 women aged 35-74 years were identified from 21 European cohorts in the BiomarCaRE consortium. We defined three educational classes (EDs) according to years of schooling and an AL score as the sum of z-scores of eight selected biomarkers from the cardiovascular, metabolic and inflammatory systems. We used the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to disentangle the ED gradient in AL score into the differential exposure (DE, attributable to different distribution of smoking and alcohol intake across EDs) and the differential susceptibility (DS, attributable to a different effect of risk factors on AL across EDs) components. RESULTS: Less-educated men (mean AL difference: 0.68, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.79) and women (1.52, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.64) had higher AL scores. DE accounted for 7% and 6% of the gradient in men and women, respectively. In men, combining smoking and alcohol intake, DS accounted for 42% of the gradient (smoking DS coefficient=0.177, 26% of the gradient; alcohol DS coefficient=0.109; 16%, not statistically significant). DS contribution increased to 69% in metabolic markers. DS estimates were consistent across age groups, irrespective of comorbidities and robust to unmeasured confounding. No DS was observed in women. CONCLUSIONS: In men, a DS mechanism substantially contributes to the educational class gradient in allostatic load.

Post-diagnostic antipsychotic use and cancer mortality: a population based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Many antipsychotics elevate prolactin, a hormone implicated in breast cancer aetiology however no studies have investigated antipsychotic use in patients with breast cancer. This study investigated if antipsychotic use is associated with an increased risk of cancer-specific mortality among breast cancer patients. METHODS: A cohort of 23,695 women newly diagnosed with a primary breast cancer between 1st January 1998 and 31st December 2012 was identified from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to English cancer-registries and followed for until 30th September 2015. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of breast cancer-specific mortality comparing use of antipsychotics with non-use, overall, and by prolactin elevating activitiy. Analyses were repeated restricting to patients with a history of severe mental illness to control for potential confounding by indication. RESULTS: In total 848 patients were prescribed an antipsychotic and of which 162 died due to their breast cancer. Compared with non-use, antipsychotic use was associated with an increased risk of breast-cancer specific mortality (HR 2.25, 95%CI 1.90-2.67), but this did not follow a dose response relation. Restricting the cohort to patients with severe mental illness attenuated the association between antipsychotic use and breast cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.11, 95%CI 0.58-2.14). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based cohort of breast cancer patients, while the use of antipsychotics was associated with increased breast cancer-specific mortality, there was a lack of a dose response, and importantly null associations were observed in patients with severe mental illness, suggesting the observed association is likely a result of confounding by indication. This study provides an exemplar of confounding by indication, highlighting the importance of consideration of this important bias in studies of drug effects in cancer patients.

Weight-lowering Effects of Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists and Detection of Breast Cancer Among Obese Women with Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: It has been proposed that the weight loss associated with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) may improve detection of breast cancer in patients undergoing this treatment. We aimed to determine whether the weight-lowering effects of GLP-1 RAs are associated with an increased detection of breast cancer among obese women with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we conducted a propensity score-matched cohort study among female obese patients with type 2 diabetes newly treated with antidiabetic drugs between 1 January 2007 and 31 January 2018. New users of GLP-1 RAs (n = 5,510) were matched to new users of second- to third-line noninsulin antidiabetic drugs (n = 5,510). We used time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of breast cancer associated with different GLP-1 RA maximal weight loss categories (<5%, 5%-10%, >10%). RESULTS: Breast cancer incidence gradually increased with GLP-1 RA maximal weight loss categories, with the highest HR observed for patients achieving at least 10% weight loss (HR = 1.8, 95% CI = 1.1, 2.8). In secondary analyses, the HR for >10% weight loss was highest in the 2-3 years since treatment initiation (HR = 2.9, 95% CI = 1.2, 6.9). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study, the detection of breast cancer gradually increased with GLP-1 RA weight loss categories, particularly among those achieving >10% weight loss. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that substantial weight loss with GLP-1 RAs may improve detection of breast cancer among obese patients with type 2 diabetes.