Validation of a Clinical Calculator Predicting Freedom From Colon Cancer Recurrence After Surgery on the Basis of Molecular and Clinical Variables.

BACKGROUND: The Memorial Sloan Kettering clinical calculator for estimating the likelihood of freedom from colon cancer recurrence on the basis of clinical and molecular variables was developed at a time when testing for microsatellite instability was performed selectively, based on patient age, family history, and histologic features. Microsatellite stability was assumed if no testing was done. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to validate the calculator in a cohort of patients who had all been tested for microsatellite instability. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis. SETTINGS: Comprehensive cancer center. PATIENTS: This study included consecutive patients who underwent curative resection for stage I, II, or III colon cancer between 2017 and 2019. INTERVENTION: Universal testing of mircrosatellite phenotype in all cases. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The calculator's predictive accuracy was assessed using the concordance index and a calibration plot of predicted versus actual freedom from recurrence at 3 years after surgery. For a secondary sensitivity analysis, the presence of a tumor deposit(s) (disease category N1c) was considered equivalent to one positive lymph node (category N1a). RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 32 months among survivors, the concordance index for the 745 patients in the cohort was 0.748 (95% CI, 0.693-0.801), and a plot of predicted versus observed recurrences approached the 45° diagonal, indicating good discrimination and calibration. In the secondary sensitivity analysis for tumor deposits, the concordance index was 0.755 (95% CI, 0.700-0.806). LIMITATIONS: This study was limited by its retrospective, single-institution design. CONCLUSIONS: These results, based on inclusion of actual rather than imputed microsatellite stability status and presence of tumor deposits, confirm the predictive accuracy and reliability of the calculator. See Video Abstract . VALIDACIN DE UNA CALCULADORA CLNICA QUE PREDICE LA AUSENCIA DE RECURRENCIA POSTQUIRURGICA DEL CNCER DE COLON SOBRE LA BASE DE VARIABLES MOLECULARES Y CLNICAS: ANTECEDENTES:La calculadora clínica del Memorial Sloan Kettering para la estimación de la probabilidad de ausencia de recurrencia del cáncer de colon sobre la base de variables clínicas y moleculares, se desarrolló en un momento en que las pruebas para la inestabilidad de microsatélites se realizaban de forma selectiva, basadas en la edad del paciente, los antecedentes familiares y las características histológicas. Se asumía la estabilidad micro satelital si no se realizaba ninguna prueba.OBJETIVO:El objetivo de este estudio fue validar la calculadora en una cohorte de pacientes a los que se les había realizado la prueba de inestabilidad de microsatélites.DISEÑO:Análisis de cohorte retrospectivo.AJUSTE:Centro integral de cáncer.PACIENTES:Pacientes consecutivos con cáncer de colon que fueron sometidos a resección curativa por cáncer de colon en estadios I, II o III entre los años 2017 y 2019.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:La precisión predictiva de la calculadora fue evaluada mediante el índice de concordancia y un gráfico de calibración de la ausencia de recurrencia predecida versus la real a los 3 años tras la cirugía. A los efectos de un análisis secundario de sensibilidad, la presencia de depósito(s) tumoral(es) (categoría de enfermedad N1c) se consideró equivalente a un ganglio linfático positivo (categoría N1a).RESULTADOS:Con una mediana de seguimiento de 32 meses entre los supervivientes, el índice de concordancia para los 745 pacientes de la cohorte fue de 0,748 (intervalo de confianza del 95 %, 0,693 a 0,801), y una gráfica de recurrencias previstas versus observadas se acercó a la diagonal de 45°, indicando una buena discriminación y calibración. En el análisis secundario de sensibilidad para depósitos tumorales, el índice de concordancia fue de 0,755 (intervalo de confianza del 95 %, 0,700 a 0,806).LIMITACIONES:Diseño retrospectivo, institución única.CONCLUSIONES:Estos resultados, basados en la inclusión real del estado de estabilidad de microsatélites en lugar de imputado y la presencia de depósitos tumorales, confirman la precisión predictiva y la confiabilidad de la calculadora. (Traducción-Dr Osvaldo Gauto ).

Peripheral Arterial Disease is Associated With Higher Rates of Hospital Encounters and Mortality in Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Study Conducted at a Tertiary Cancer Center.

Cancer and peripheral arterial disease (PAD) have overlapping risk factors and common genetic predispositions. The concomitant effects of PAD and cancer on patients have not been well studied. The objective of this retrospective study is to evaluate outcomes of cancer patients with PAD. A query was made into Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center's database to assess outcome of patients with and without the diagnosis of PAD (using ICD 9 and 10 codes). Inclusion criteria were patients diagnosed with lung, colon, prostate, bladder, or breast cancer between January 1, 2013 and December 12, 2018. A total of 77,014 patients were included in this cohort. 1,426 patients (1.8%, 95% CI 1.8-1.9) carried a diagnosis of PAD. PAD diagnosis was most prevalent in bladder cancer (4.7%, 95% CI 4.1-5.2) and lung cancer patients (4.6%, 95% CI 4.2-4.9). In regression models adjusted for cancer diagnosis, age at cancer diagnosis, stage, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, smoking, and BMI > 30, patients with PAD had significantly higher odds of UCC admissions (OR 1.50, 95%CI 1.32-1.70, P < 0.001), inpatient admissions (OR 1.32, 95%CI 1.16-1.50, P < 0.001), and ICU admissions (OR 1.64, 95%CI 1.31-2.03, P < 0.001). After adjusting for all these same factors, patients with PAD had a 13% higher risk of dying relative to patients without PAD (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.04-1.22, P = 0.003). Cancer patients with PAD had higher risks of ICU stays, UCC visits, inpatient admissions, and mortality compared to cancer patients without PAD even when adjusting for CAD, stroke, other comorbidities, cancer diagnosis, and cancer stage.

Prognostic value of circumferential radial margin involvement in esophagectomy for esophageal cancer: a case series.

BACKGROUND: Residual tumor at the proximal or distal margin after esophagectomy is associated with worse survival outcomes; however, the significance of the circumferential resection margin (CRM) remains controversial. In this study, we sought to evaluate the prognostic significance of the CRM in patients with esophageal cancer undergoing resection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We identified patients who underwent esophagectomy for pathologic T3 esophageal cancer from 2000 to 2019. Patients were divided into three groups: CRM- (residual tumor >1 mm from the CRM), CRM-close (residual tumor >0 to 1 mm from the CRM), and CRM+ (residual tumor at the surgical CRM). CRM was also categorized and analyzed per the Royal College of Pathologists (RCP) and College of American Pathologists (CAP) classifications. RESULTS: Of the 519 patients included, 351 (68%) had CRM-, 132 (25%) had CRM-close, and 36 (7%) had CRM+. CRM+ was associated with shorter disease-free survival [DFS; CRM+ vs. CRM-: hazard ratio (HR), 1.53 [95% CI, 1.03-2.28]; P =0.034] and overall survival (OS; CRM+ vs. CRM-: HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.32-2.95]; P <0.001). Survival was not significantly different between CRM-close and CRM-. After adjustment for potential confounders, CAP+ was associated with poor oncologic outcomes (CAP+ vs. CAP-: DFS: HR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.00-2.17]; P =0.050; OS: HR, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.30-2.86]; P =0.001); RCP+ was not (RCP+ vs. RCP-: DFS: HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 0.97-1.52]; P =0.10; OS: HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 0.96-1.54]; P =0.11). CONCLUSION: CRM status has critical prognostic significance for patients undergoing esophagectomy: CRM+ was associated with worse outcomes, and outcomes between CRM-close and CRM- were similar.

Radiologic and histopathologic features of hydrogel sealant after lung resection in participants of a prospective randomized clinical trial.

PURPOSE: To summarize imaging and histopathologic characteristics of hydrogel sealant (plug) in lung parenchyma and assess their correlation with time since deployment of sealant. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Among a total of 208 participants randomized to the hydrogel sealant arm of a lung biopsy prospective randomized clinical trial, 51 underwent resection of the biopsied lesion. In 34 participants sealant material was present on histopathologic sections (n = 22), or they had cross-sectional imaging of chest between biopsy and resection (n = 23) or they had both imaging and histopathology (n = 11). Histopathologic and imaging findings were described. The association of these findings with time since sealant deployment was evaluated using the Wilcoxon rank sum test. RESULTS: The mean time since sealant deployment for histopathology was 45.7 days (median 36, range 14-181) and for imaging studies was 99 days (median 32, range 4-527). The sealant was infiltrated by inflammatory cells in 20 (91%) participants. The main general histopathologic pattern of sealant was foamy in 12 (57%) and mesh in 8 (38%) participants. Imaging appearance of sealant was serpiginous in 18 (60%), linear in 10 (33%) or lobulated in 2 (6.7%) participants. In 2 participants the sealant was hypermetabolic with no histopathologic evidence of tumor. No correlation was found between time since sealant deployment and imaging or histopathologic appearances. CONCLUSION: Hydrogel sealant appears as a serpiginous, linear, or lobulated opacity on cross-sectional imaging which can be metabolically active. It is associated with an inflammatory reaction with a foamy or mesh general pattern on histopathological assessment. No correlation was found between time since sealant deployment and imaging or histopathologic appearances.

Incidence and management of esophageal cancer recurrence to regional lymph nodes after curative esophagectomy.

Up to 50% of patients treated with curative esophagectomy for esophageal cancer will develop recurrence, contributing to the dismal survival associated with this disease. Regional recurrence may represent disease that is not yet widely metastatic and may therefore be amenable to more-aggressive treatment. We sought to assess all patients treated with curative esophagectomy for esophageal cancer who developed regional recurrence. We retrospectively identified all patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal adenocarcinoma and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma at a single institution from January 2000 to August 2019. In total, 1626 patients were included in the study cohort. As of June 2022, 595 patients had disease recurrence, which was distant or systemic in 435 patients (27%), regional in 125 (7.7%) and local in 35 (2.2%). On multivariable analysis, neoadjuvant chemoradiation with a total radiation dose <45 Gy (hazard ratio [HR], 3.5 [95% CI, 1.7-7.3]; P = .001), pathologic node-positive disease (HR, 1.9 [95% CI, 1.3-3.0]; P = .003) and lymphovascular invasion (HR, 1.6 [95% CI, 1.0-2.5]; P = .049) were predictors of isolated nodal recurrence, whereas increasing age (HR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.96-0.99]; P = .001) and increasing number of excised lymph nodes (HR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.95-1.00]; P = .021) were independently associated with decreased risk of regional recurrence. Patients treated with a combination of local and systemic therapies had better survival outcomes than patients treated with systemic therapy alone (P < .001). In patients with recurrence of esophageal cancer limited to regional lymph nodes, salvage treatment may be possible. Higher radiation doses and more-extensive lymphadenectomy may reduce the risk of regional recurrence.

Stent Graft Placement for the Treatment of Hepatic Artery Injury in Patients with Cancer: Primary Patency and Clinical Outcomes.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety, primary patency, and clinical outcomes of hepatic artery stent graft (SG) placement for vascular injuries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients treated with hepatic arterial SG placement for vascular injuries between September 2018 and September 2021 were reviewed. Data on demographic characteristics, indication, stent graft characteristics, antiplatelet/anticoagulant use, clinical success rate, complications, and type of follow-up imaging were collected. Follow-up images were reviewed by 2 independent reviewers to assess primary patency. A time-to-event analysis was performed. The median duration of stent graft patency was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate factors related to stent graft patency. RESULTS: Thirty-five patients were treated with hepatic arterial SG placement, 11 for postoperative bleeds and 24 for hepatic artery infusion pump catheter-related complications. Clinical success was achieved in 32 (91%) patients (95% CI, 77-98). The median primary patency was 87 days (95% CI, 73-293). Stent grafts of ≥6-mm diameter retained patency for a longer duration than that with stent grafts of smaller diameters (6 mm vs 5 mm; hazard ratio, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.14-0.88; P = .026; and 7+ mm vs 5 mm; hazard ratio, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.09-0.83; P = .023). Anticoagulation/antiplatelet regimen was not associated with increased stent graft patency duration (P > .05). Only minor complications were reported in 2 (5.7%) patients. CONCLUSIONS: Stent grafts can be used safely and effectively to treat injuries of the hepatic artery. Stent graft diameters of ≥6 mm seem to provide more durable patency.

Improved Preoperative Risk Assessment Tools Are Needed to Guide Informed Decision Making before Esophagectomy.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate the performance of 2 commonly used prediction models for postoperative morbidity in patients undergoing open and minimally invasive esophagectomy. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Patients undergoing esophagectomy have a high risk of postoperative complications. Accurate risk assessment in this cohort is important for informed decision-making. METHODS: We identified patients who underwent esophagectomy between January 2016 and June 2018 from our prospectively maintained database. Predicted morbidity was calculated using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Surgical Risk Calculator (SRC) and a 5-factor National Surgical Quality Improvement Programderived frailty index. Performance was evaluated using concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves. RESULTS: In total, 240 consecutive patients were included for analysis. Most patients (85%) underwent Ivor Lewis esophagectomy. The observed overall complication rate was 39%; the observed serious complication rate was 33%.The SRC did not identify risk of complications in the entire cohort (C-index, 0.553), patients undergoing open esophagectomy (C-index, 0.569), or patients undergoing minimally invasive esophagectomy (C-index, 0.542); calibration curves showed general underestimation. Discrimination of the SRC was lowest for reoperation (C-index, 0.533) and highest for discharge to a facility other than home (C-index, 0.728). Similarly, the frailty index had C-index of 0.513 for discriminating any complication, 0.523 for serious complication, and 0.559 for readmission. CONCLUSIONS: SRC and frailty index did not adequately predict complications after esophagectomy. Procedure-specific risk-assessment tools are needed to guide shared patient-physician decision-making in this high-risk population.

Translating Telemedicine to Thoracic Surgical Oncological Care: Performance Analysis and Patient Perceptions During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: The objective is to determine how the COVID-19 pandemic affected care for patients undergoing thoracic surgery for cancer. BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of telemedicine. METHODS: Characteristics and outcomes of new patients seen between March 1 and June 30, 2019, and the same period in 2020 were compared. Patients who did not undergo surgery were excluded. Patients who had a telemedicine visit (new and established) in the 2020 period were asked to complete a survey. RESULTS: In total, 624 new patients were seen in 2019 versus 299 in 2020 (52% reduction); 45% of patients (n=136) in 2020 were seen via telemedicine. There was no statistically significant difference in time to surgery, pathological upstaging, or postsurgical complications between 2019 and 2020. In total, 1085 patients (new and established) had a telemedicine visit in 2020; 239 (22%) completed the survey. A majority replied that telemedicine was equivalent to in-person care (77%), did not impair care quality (84%), resulted in less stress (69%) and shorter waits (86%), was more convenient (92%), saved money and commuting time (93%), and expanded who could attend visits (91%). Some patients regretted the loss of human interaction (71%). Most would opt for telemedicine after the pandemic (60%), although some would prefer in-person format for initial visits (55%) and visits with complex discussions (49%). Only 21% were uncomfortable with the telemedicine technology. CONCLUSIONS: Telemedicine enabled cancer care to continue during the COVID-19 pandemic without delays in surgery, cancer progression, or worsened postoperative morbidity and was generally well received.

Induction FOLFOX and PET-Directed Chemoradiation for Locally Advanced Esophageal Adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy and safety of induction FOLFOX followed by PET-directed nCRT, induction CP followed by PET-directed nCRT, and nCRT with CP alone in patients with EAC. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: nCRT with CP is a standard treatment for locally advanced EAC. The results of cancer and leukemia group B 80803 support the use of induction chemotherapy followed by PET-directed chemo-radiation therapy. METHODS: We retrospectively identified all patients with EAC who underwent the treatments above followed by esophagectomy. We assessed incidences of pathologic complete response (pCR), near-pCR (ypN0 with ≥90% response), and surgical complications between treatment groups using Fisher exact test and logistic regression; disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and evaluated using the log-rank test and extended Cox regression. RESULTS: In total, 451 patients were included: 309 (69%) received induction chemotherapy before nCRT (FOLFOX, n = 70; CP, n = 239); 142 (31%) received nCRT with CP. Rates of pCR (33% vs. 16%, P = 0.004), near-pCR (57% vs. 33%, P < 0.001), and 2-year DFS (68% vs. 50%, P = 0.01) were higher in the induction FOLFOX group than in the induction CP group. Similarly, the rate of near-pCR (57% vs. 42%, P = 0.04) and 2-year DFS (68% vs. 44%, P < 0.001) were significantly higher in the FOLFOX group than in the no-induction group. CONCLUSIONS: Induction FOLFOX followed by PET-directed nCRT may result in better histopathologic response rates and DFS than either induction CP plus PET-directed nCRT or nCRT with CP alone.

Prospective Evaluation of Immune Activation Associated with Response to Radioembolization Assessed with PET/CT in Women with Breast Cancer Liver Metastasis.

Background The impact of transarterial radioembolization (TARE) of breast cancer liver metastasis (BCLM) on antitumor immunity is unknown, which hinders the optimal selection of candidates for TARE. Purpose To determine whether response to TARE at PET/CT in participants with BCLM is associated with specific immune markers (cytokines and immune cell populations). Materials and Methods This prospective pilot study enrolled 23 women with BCLM who planned to undergo TARE (June 2018 to February 2020). Peripheral blood and liver tumor biopsies were collected at baseline and 1-2 months after TARE. Monocyte, myeloid-derived suppressor cell (MDSC), interleukin (IL), and tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) levels were assessed with use of gene expression studies and flow cytometry, and immune checkpoint and cell surface marker levels with immunohistochemistry. Modified PET Response Criteria in Solid Tumors was used to determine complete response (CR) in treated tissue. After log-transformation, immune marker levels before and after TARE were compared using paired t tests. Association with CR was assessed with Wilcoxon rank-sum or unpaired t tests. Results Twenty women were included. After TARE, peripheral IL-6 (geometric mean, 1.0 vs 1.6 pg/mL; P = .02), IL-10 (0.2 vs 0.4 pg/mL; P = .001), and IL-15 (1.9 vs 2.4 pg/mL; P = .01) increased. In biopsy tissue, lymphocyte activation gene 3-positive CD4+ TILs (15% vs 31%; P < .001) increased. Eight of 20 participants (40% [exact 95% CI: 19, 64]) achieved CR. Participants with CR had lower baseline peripheral monocytes (10% vs 29%; P < .001) and MDSCs (1% vs 5%; P < .001) and higher programmed cell death protein (PD) 1-positive CD4+ TILs (59% vs 26%; P = .006) at flow cytometry and higher PD-1+ staining in tumor (2% vs 1%; P = .046). Conclusion Complete response to transarterial radioembolization was associated with lower baseline cytokine, monocyte, and myeloid-derived suppressor cell levels and higher programmed cell death protein 1-positive tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte levels. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Pathologic node-negative lung cancer: Adequacy of lymph node yield and a tool to assess the risk of occult nodal disease.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate lymph node (LN) staging is crucial for prognostication in NSCLC. Diagnosis of pN0 disease is based on the absence of positive LNs, irrespective of the number of LNs excised, and is thus susceptible to sampling error. Tumors that are assumed to be pN0 may in fact be understaged. We developed a tool to quantify the risk of occult nodal disease (OND) among patients with pN0 NSCLC in terms of the number of LNs examined. METHODS: Patients treated surgically for stage I-III primary NSCLC between 2004 and 2014 (n = 49,356) were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The probability of missing a positive node in terms of the number of LNs examined was modeled using a beta-binomial model. A mathematical tool was then used to calculate the negative predictive value (NPV) corresponding to the number of LNs examined. Ranging from 0 to 100%, higher NPV reflects greater confidence in the pN0 diagnosis and a lower probability of OND. RESULTS: The median number of LNs examined was 7 for N0, 10 for N1/N2, and 8 for N3 disease. The probability of missing a positive node decreased as LNs examined increased. Additionally, higher T stage required more LNs to confirm an N0 diagnosis. After accounting for false-negative diagnoses, the prevalence of node-positive disease was readjusted from 16% to 22% among patients with T1 disease. According to our tool, with 10 LNs examined, the NPV was 85% (15% probability of OND) for a patient with T3 disease, compared with 95% (5% probability of OND) for a patient with T1 disease. CONCLUSIONS: Accurate pN0 diagnosis depends on the number of LNs examined. The proposed tool offers the ability to quantify, in a patient-specific manner, the confidence in a diagnosis of node-negative disease on the basis of the number of LNs examined.

The Role of the TP53 Pathway in Predicting Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Esophageal Adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: In patients with locally advanced esophageal adenocarcinoma, response to neoadjuvant therapy strongly predicts survival, but robust molecular predictors of response have been lacking. We therefore sought to discover meaningful predictors of response in these patients. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We retrospectively identified all patients with adenocarcinoma of the lower esophagus or gastroesophageal junction who (i) were treated with multimodality therapy with curative intent at our institution from 2014 through 2020 and (ii) underwent prospective sequencing by Memorial Sloan Kettering-Integrated Mutation Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets. Clinicopathologic and genomic data were analyzed to identify potential genomic features, somatic alterations, and oncogenic pathways associated with treatment response. RESULTS: In total, 237 patients were included. MDM2 amplification was independently associated with poor response to neoadjuvant therapy [OR, 0.10 (95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.55); P = 0.032], when accounting for significant clinicopathologic variables, including clinical stage, tumor grade, and chemotherapy regimen. Moreover, TP53 pathway alterations, grouped according to inferred severity of TP53 dysfunction, were significantly associated with response to neoadjuvant therapy (P = 0.004, q = 0.07). Patients with MDM2 amplifications or truncating biallelic TP53 mutations had similar outcomes in terms of poor responses to neoadjuvant therapy and, consequently, shorter progression-free survival, compared with patients with TP53 pathway wild-type tumors. Thus, worsening TP53 dysfunction was directly correlated with worse outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: MDM2 amplification and TP53 status are associated with response to therapy in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. Given the dearth of actionable targets in esophageal adenocarcinoma, MDM2 inhibition, in combination with cytotoxic chemotherapy, may represent an important therapeutic strategy to overcome treatment resistance and improve outcomes in these patients.

Patterns and influence of nodal metastases after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and R0 resection in esophageal adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the pattern of nodal metastases in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma who have received neoadjuvant chemoradiation and undergone surgery. We sought to assess this pattern and evaluate its association with prognosis. METHODS: All patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation and R0 esophagectomy between 2010 and 2018 at our institution were included (n = 537). The primary objective was to evaluate the association of sites of lymph node metastases with disease-free survival. The number of nodal stations and individual sites of nodal metastases were evaluated first in univariable then in separate multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for clinical factors. RESULTS: Of 537 patients, 193 (36%) had pathologic nodal metastases at the time of surgery; 153 (28%) had single-station disease, 32 (6.0%) had 2-station disease, and 8 (1.5%) had 3-station disease. The majority of patients with multiple positive nodal stations had positive nodes in the paraesophageal (93%) and/or left gastric stations (60%). Multivariable models controlling for clinical factors showed that an increasing number of positive nodal stations (hazard ratio, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.35-1.84; P < .01)-in particular, the subcarinal (hazard ratio, 2.78; 95% CI, 1.54-5.03; P < .01) and paraesophageal stations (hazard ratio, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.58-2.54; P < .01)-was associated with increased risk of recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: One-third of patients who have undergone R0 resection for esophageal adenocarcinoma following induction chemoradiation therapy have metastatic lymph nodes. An increasing number of nodal stations, particularly paraesophageal and subcarinal metastases, were associated with increased risk of recurrence.

Factors Associated With Premature Ovarian Insufficiency in Young Women With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Treated With Pelvic Radiation Therapy.

PURPOSE: Pelvic radiation therapy (RT) is standard of care for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) in premenopausal women is a possible side effect. The purpose of our study was to evaluate factors associated with POI in women younger than 50 years, treated with pelvic RT for LARC, including those who underwent ovarian transposition (OT). METHODS AND MATERIALS: We retrospectively reviewed the records of women younger than 50 years treated with pelvic RT for LARC at our institution between 2001 and 2019. Clinical and hormonal data were used to determine ovarian function. The ovaries and uterus were contoured and dose volume histograms were generated. Association of clinical and dosimetric factors with POI within 12 months of RT was evaluated using Wilcoxon-rank sum test and Fisher's exact test. RESULTS: We identified 76 premenopausal women at time of RT with median age of 43 years (range, 20-49). Twenty-six women (34%) underwent OT. Neoadjuvant, concurrent, and adjuvant chemotherapy was administered in 56 (74%), 69 (91%), and 26 (34%) women, respectively. Median RT dose was 50 Gy/25 fractions. Among 75 women with 12 months of follow-up, 25% had preservation of ovarian function, all in the OT group. Ovarian function was preserved in 19 (76%) women who underwent OT. The median of ovarian mean dose was 1.7 Gy in the OT group versus 44.8 Gy in the non-OT group (P < .001). OT and age at RT were significantly associated with POI (P < .001). No patient with ovarian mean dose less than 1.36 Gy developed POI. CONCLUSIONS: OT was significantly associated with reduced risk of POI by enabling lower radiation doses to the ovaries. OT should be considered in young patients undergoing pelvic RT. Although there appears to be a significant association between ovarian mean dose and POI, larger studies are needed to find a dosimetric threshold. Our results suggest keeping the dose to the ovaries as low as reasonably achievable in patients who undergo OT and pelvic RT.

The American College of Surgeons Surgical Risk Calculator performs well for pulmonary resection: A validation study.

OBJECTIVE: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Surgical Risk Calculator (NSQIP SRC) was developed to estimate the risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality within 30 days of an operation. We sought to externally evaluate the performance of the NSQIP SRC for patients undergoing pulmonary resection. METHODS: Patients undergoing pulmonary resection at our center between January 2016 and December 2018 were included. Using data from our institution's prospectively maintained Society of Thoracic Surgeons General Thoracic Database, we identified 2514 patients. We entered requisite patient demographic information, preoperative risk factors, and procedural details into the online calculator. Predicted performance of the calculator versus observed outcomes was assessed by discrimination (concordance index [C-index]) and calibration. RESULTS: The observed and predicted probabilities of any complication were 8.3% and 9.9%, respectively, and of serious complications were 7.4% and 9.2%, respectively. Observed and predicted 30-day mortality were 0.5% and 0.9%, respectively. The C-index for readmission was 0.644; the C-indices corresponding to all other outcomes in the NSQIP SRC ranged from 0.703 to 0.821. Calibration curves indicated excellent calibration for all binary end points, with the exception of renal failure (predicted underestimated observed probabilities), discharge to a nursing or rehabilitation facility (overestimated), and sepsis (overestimated). Correlation between predicted and observed length of stay was moderate (Spearman coefficient, 0.562), and calibration was good. CONCLUSIONS: Except for readmission, renal failure, discharge to a location other than home, and sepsis, the NSQIP SRC can be used to reasonably predict postoperative complications in patients undergoing pulmonary resection.

A More Extensive Lymphadenectomy Enhances Survival After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Esophageal Adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine the extent of lymphadenectomy that optimizes staging and survival in patients with locally advanced EAC treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by esophagectomy. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Several studies have found that a more extensive lymphadenectomy leads to better disease-specific survival in patients treated with surgery alone. Few studies, however, have investigated whether this association exists for patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. METHODS: We examined our prospective database and identified patients with EAC treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by esophagectomy between 1995 and 2017. Overall survival (OS) and DFS were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods, and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify independent predictors of OS and DFS. The relationship between the total number of nodes removed and 5-year OS or DFS was plotted using restricted cubic spline functions. RESULTS: In total, 778 patients met the inclusion criteria. The median number of excised nodes was 21 (interquartile range, 16-27). A lower number of excised lymph nodes was independently associated with worse OS and DFS (OS: hazard ratio, 0.98; confidence interval, 0.97-1.00; P = 0.013; DFS: hazard ratio, 0.99; confidence interval, 0.98-1.00; P = 0.028). Removing 25 to 30 lymph nodes was associated with a 10% risk of missing a positive lymph node. Both OS and DFS improved with up to 20 to 25 lymph nodes removed, regardless of treatment response. CONCLUSIONS: The optimal extent of lymphadenectomy to enhance both staging and survival after chemoradiotherapy, regardless of treatment response, is approximately 25 lymph nodes.

Survival After Trimodality Therapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Esophagogastric Adenocarcinoma: Does Only a Complete Pathologic Response Matter?

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether pCR exclusively defines major pathologic response to treatment with improved survival. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: pCR after trimodality therapy for EAC is infrequent but associated with improved prognosis. Yet most clinical trials and correlative studies designate pCR as the primary endpoint. METHODS: We analyzed our prospectively maintained database for patients who underwent trimodality therapy for locally advanced esophageal adeno-carcinoma between 1995 and 2017. Overall survival (OS) was examined by percentage TR in the primary tumor bed and pathologic nodal stage (ypN0) using Kaplan-Meier plots. Optimal thresholds of TR for differentiating patients in terms of OS were investigated with descriptive plots using restricted cubic spline functions; associations were quantified using Cox multivariable analysis. RESULTS: Among 788 patients, median follow-up was 37.5 months (range, 0.4210.6); median OS was 48.3 months (95% CI, 42.2-58.8). Absence of residual nodal disease was independently associated with improved survival ( P < 0.001). Survival curves for 90% to 99% TR and 100% TR were similar, and a change in probability of improved OS was observed at 90% TR. On multivariable analysis, combining 90% to 99% and 100% TR was independently associated with improved OS, compared with 50% to 89% and <50% TR. CONCLUSIONS: ypN0 status is the strongest indicator of major pathologic response to trimodality therapy, in addition to >90% TR in the primary tumor bed. These findings may allow the definition of major pathologic response to be expanded, from pCR to > 90% TR and ypN0. This has meaningful implications for future clinical trials and correlative studies.

TP53 Combined Phenotype Score Is Associated with the Clinical Outcome of TP53-Mutated Myelodysplastic Syndromes.

Mutations of TP53 are observed in 5-10% of patients in myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and are associated with adverse outcomes. Previous studies indicate that the TP53 allelic state and variant allele frequency of TP53 mutation impact patient outcomes, but there is significant heterogeneity within this MDS subgroup. We performed retrospective review of clinicopathologic and genomic information of 107 patients with TP53-mutated MDS. We assessed each mutation according to the phenotypic annotation of TP53 mutations (PHANTM) and analyzed the associations between predicted TP53 mutant function, represented by the PHANTM combined phenotype score, and overall survival (OS) using the log rank test and Cox regression. Our results indicated that patients with PHANTM combined phenotype score above the median (>1) had significantly shorter OS compared to those with scores below the median (median OS: 10.59 and 16.51 months, respectively, p = 0.025). This relationship remained significant in multivariable analysis (HR (95%CI): 1.62 (1.01-2.58), p = 0.044) and identified to have an independent prognostic influence, accounting for known risk such as IPSS-R and other standard risk variables. Our results suggest that the functional information of TP53 mutations, represented by PHANTM combined phenotype score, are associated with the clinical outcome of patients with TP53-mutated MDS.

Ablation Zone Involution of Liver Tumors Is Faster in Patients Treated with Irreversible Electroporation Than Microwave Ablation.

Background and Objectives: To compare ablation zone involution following microwave ablation (MWA) or irreversible electroporation (IRE) of liver tumors. Materials and Methods: MWA or IRE performed for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during January 2011 to December 2015 were analyzed. Patients with a tumoral response on 1-year follow-up computed tomography (CT) were included. Generalized estimating equations were used to evaluate the differences between the two modalities on ablation zone involution observed on CT at 6 (M6) and 12 months (M12), and on laboratory values (total bilirubin, alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, and platelets count). The likelihood ratio test was used to assess whether the association between ablation modalities and these outcomes differed over time. Results: Seventeen (17/44, 39%) women and 27 (27/44, 61%) men were included, with 25 HCC (25/44, 57%) and 19 CRLM (19/44, 43%) patients. IRE was used in 9 (9/19, 47%) CRLM and 5 (5/25, 20%) HCC patients, respectively. All other patients had MWA. Ablation zone size and involution between IRE and MWA differed significantly over time (interaction p < 0.01), with a mean of 241.04 vs. 771.08 mm2 (ratio 0.313; 95% CI, 0.165-0.592; p < 0.01) at M6 and 60.47 vs. 589.43 mm2 (ratio 0.103; 95% CI, 0.029-0.365; p < 0.01) at M12. Changes in liver enzymes did not differ significantly between IRE and MWA at both timepoints. Conclusions: Liver tumors treated with IRE underwent faster involution when compared to tumors treated with MWA, but liver enzymes levels were comparable.

Bronchial or Pulmonary Artery Chemoembolization for Unresectable and Unablatable Lung Metastases: A Phase I Clinical Trial.

Background Lung chemoembolization is an emerging treatment option for lung tumors, but the optimal embolic, drug, and technique are unknown. Purpose To determine the technical success rate and safety of bronchial or pulmonary artery chemoembolization of lung metastases using ethiodized oil, mitomycin, and microspheres. Materials and Methods Patients with unresectable and unablatable lung, endobronchial, or mediastinal metastases, who failed systemic chemotherapy, were enrolled in this prospective, single-center, single-arm, phase I clinical trial (December 2019-September 2020). Pulmonary and bronchial angiography was performed to determine the blood supply to the lung metastases. Based on the angiographic findings, bronchial or pulmonary artery chemoembolization was performed using an ethiodized oil and mitomycin emulsion, followed by microspheres. The primary objectives were technical success rate and safety, according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events. CIs of proportions were estimated with the equal-tailed Jeffreys prior interval, and correlations were evaluated with the Spearman test. Results Ten participants (median age, 60 years; interquartile range, 52-70 years; six women) were evaluated. Nine of the 10 participants (90%) had lung metastases supplied by the bronchial artery, and one of the 10 participants (10%) had lung metastases supplied by the pulmonary artery. The technical success rate of intratumoral drug delivery was 10 of 10 (100%) (95% CI: 78, 100). There were no severe adverse events (95% CI: 0, 22). The response rate of treated tumors was one of 10 (10%) according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors and four of 10 (40%) according to the PET Response Criteria in Solid Tumors. Ethiodized oil retention at 4-6 weeks was correlated with reduced tumor size (ρ = -0.83, P = .003) and metabolic activity (ρ = -0.71, P = .03). Pharmacokinetics showed that 45% of the mitomycin dose underwent burst release in 2 minutes, and 55% of the dose was retained intratumorally with a half-life of more than 5 hours. The initial tumor-to-plasma ratio of mitomycin concentration was 380. Conclusion Lung chemoembolization was technically successful for the treatment of lung, mediastinal, and endobronchial metastases, with no severe adverse events. Clinical trial registration no. NCT04200417 © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Georgiades et al in this issue.