PREdiction and Diagnosis using Imaging and Clinical biomarkers Trial in Traumatic Brain Injury (PREDICT-TBI) study protocol: an observational, prospective, multicentre cohort study for the prediction of outcome in moderate-to-severe TBI.

INTRODUCTION: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a heterogeneous condition with a broad spectrum of injury severity, pathophysiological processes and variable outcomes. For moderate-to-severe TBI survivors, recovery is often protracted and outcomes can range from total dependence to full recovery. Despite advances in medical treatment options, prognosis remains largely unchanged. The objective of this study is to develop a machine learning predictive model for neurological outcomes at 6 months in patients with a moderate-to-severe TBI, incorporating longitudinal clinical, multimodal neuroimaging and blood biomarker predictor variables. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A prospective, observational, cohort study will enrol 300 patients with moderate-to-severe TBI from seven Australian hospitals over 3 years. Candidate predictors including demographic and general health variables, and longitudinal clinical, neuroimaging (CT and MRI), blood biomarker and patient-reported outcome measures will be collected at multiple time points within the acute phase of injury. The predictor variables will populate novel machine learning models to predict the Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended 6 months after injury. The study will also expand on current prognostic models by including novel blood biomarkers (circulating cell-free DNA), and the results of quantitative neuroimaging such as Quantitative Susceptibility Mapping and Dynamic Contrast Enhanced MRI as predictor variables. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been obtained by the Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital Human Research Ethics Committee, Queensland. Participants or their substitute decision-maker/s will receive oral and written information about the study before providing written informed consent. Study findings will be disseminated by peer-review publications and presented at national and international conferences and clinical networks. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12620001360909.

Prognostic value of early leukocyte fluctuations for recovery from traumatic spinal cord injury.

BACKGROUND: Acute traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI) induces a systemic immune response involving circulating white blood cells (WBCs). How this response is influenced by overall trauma severity, the neurological level of injury and/or correlates with patient outcomes is poorly understood. The objective of this study was to identify relationships between early changes in circulating WBCs, injury characteristics and long-term patient outcomes in individuals with traumatic SCI. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed data from 161 SCI patients admitted to Brisbane's Princess Alexandra Hospital (exploration cohort). Logistic regression models in conjunction with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were used to assess the strength of specific links between the WBC response, respiratory infection incidence and neurological outcomes (American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) grade conversion). An independent validation cohort from the Trauma Hospital Berlin, Germany (n = 49) was then probed to assess the robustness of effects and disentangle centre effects. RESULTS: We find that the extent of acute neutrophilia in human SCI patients is positively correlated with New Injury Severity Scores but inversely with the neurological outcome (AIS grade). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that acute SCI-induced neutrophilia is an independent predictor of AIS grade conversion failure, with an odds ratio (OR) of 4.16 and ROC area under curve (AUC) of 0.82 (P < 0.0001). SCI-induced lymphopenia was separately identified as an independent predictor of better recovery (OR = 24.15; ROC AUC = 0.85, P < 0.0001). Acute neutrophilia and increased neutrophil-lymphocyte ratios were otherwise significantly associated with respiratory infection presentation in both patient cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate the prognostic value of modelling early circulating neutrophil and lymphocyte counts with patient characteristics for predicting the longer term recovery after SCI.

Complement receptor C3aR1 controls neutrophil mobilization following spinal cord injury through physiological antagonism of CXCR2.

Traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI) triggers an acute-phase response that leads to systemic inflammation and rapid mobilization of bone marrow (BM) neutrophils into the blood. These mobilized neutrophils then accumulate in visceral organs and the injured spinal cord where they cause inflammatory tissue damage. The receptor for complement activation product 3a, C3aR1, has been implicated in negatively regulating the BM neutrophil response to tissue injury. However, the mechanism via which C3aR1 controls BM neutrophil mobilization, and also its influence over SCI outcomes, are unknown. Here, we show that the C3a/C3aR1 axis exerts neuroprotection in SCI by acting as a physiological antagonist against neutrophil chemotactic signals. We show that C3aR1 engages phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN), a negative regulator of the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/AKT pathway, to restrain C-X-C chemokine receptor type 2-driven BM neutrophil mobilization following trauma. These findings are of direct clinical significance as lower circulating neutrophil numbers at presentation were identified as a marker for improved recovery in human SCI. Our work thus identifies C3aR1 and its downstream intermediary, PTEN, as therapeutic targets to broadly inhibit neutrophil mobilization/recruitment following tissue injury and reduce inflammatory pathology.