Analysis of the limited M. tuberculosis accessory genome reveals potential pitfalls of pan-genome analysis approaches.

Pan-genome analysis is a fundamental tool for studying bacterial genome evolution; however, the variety of methods used to define and measure the pan-genome poses challenges to the interpretation and reliability of results. To quantify sources of bias and error related to common pan-genome analysis approaches, we evaluated different approaches applied to curated collection of 151 Mycobacterium tuberculosis ( Mtb ) isolates. Mtb is characterized by its clonal evolution, absence of horizontal gene transfer, and limited accessory genome, making it an ideal test case for this study. Using a state-of-the-art graph-genome approach, we found that a majority of the structural variation observed in Mtb originates from rearrangement, deletion, and duplication of redundant nucleotide sequences. In contrast, we found that pan-genome analyses that focus on comparison of coding sequences (at the amino acid level) can yield surprisingly variable results, driven by differences in assembly quality and the softwares used. Upon closer inspection, we found that coding sequence annotation discrepancies were a major contributor to inflated Mtb accessory genome estimates. To address this, we developed panqc, a software that detects annotation discrepancies and collapses nucleotide redundancy in pan-genome estimates. When applied to Mtb and E. coli pan-genomes, panqc exposed distinct biases influenced by the genomic diversity of the population studied. Our findings underscore the need for careful methodological selection and quality control to accurately map the evolutionary dynamics of a bacterial species.

Tuberculosis testing patterns in South Africa to identify groups that would benefit from increased investigation.

The National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) collects all public health laboratory test results in South Africa, providing a cohort from which to identify groups, by age, sex, HIV, and viral suppression status, that would benefit from increased tuberculosis (TB) testing. Using NHLS data (2012-2016), we assessed levels and trends over time in TB diagnostic tests performed (count and per capita) and TB test positivity. Estimates were stratified by HIV status, viral suppression, age, sex, and province. We used logistic regression to estimate the odds of testing positive for TB by viral suppression status. Nineteen million TB diagnostic tests were conducted during period 2012-2016. Testing per capita was lower among PLHIV with viral suppression than those with unsuppressed HIV (0.08 vs 0.32) but lowest among people without HIV (0.03). Test positivity was highest among young adults (aged 15-35 years), males of all age groups, and people with unsuppressed HIV. Test positivity was higher for males without laboratory evidence of HIV than those with HIV viral suppression, despite similar individual odds of TB. Our results are an important national baseline characterizing who received TB testing in South Africa. People without evidence of HIV, young adults, and males would benefit from increased TB screening given their lower testing rates and higher test positivity. These high-test positivity groups can be used to guide future expansions of TB screening.

Patient and provider perceptions of the relationship between alcohol use and TB and readiness for treatment: a qualitative study in South Africa.

Background: Unhealthy alcohol use is widespread in South Africa and has been linked to tuberculosis (TB) disease and poor treatment outcomes. This study used qualitative methods to explore the relationship between TB and alcohol use during TB treatment. Methods: Focus groups (FGs) were conducted with 34 participants who had previous or current drugsusceptible TB and self-reported current alcohol use. Eight interviews were conducted with healthcare workers who provide TB services in Worcester, South Africa. Results: In this rural setting, heavy episodic drinking is normalized and perceived to be related to TB transmission and decreased adherence to TB medication. Both healthcare workers and FG participants recommended the introduction of universal screening, brief interventions, and referral to specialized care for unhealthy alcohol use. However, participants also discussed barriers to the provision of these services, such as limited awareness of the link between alcohol and TB. Healthcare workers also specified resource constraints while FG participants or patients mentioned widespread stigma towards people with alcohol concerns. Both FG participants and health providers would benefit from education on the relationship between TB and unhealthy alcohol use as well and had specific recommendations about interventions for alcohol use reduction. Healthcare workers also suggested that community health worker-delivered interventions could support access to and engagement in both TB and alcohol-related services. Conclusion: Findings support strengthening accessible, specialized services for the identification and provision of interventions and psychosocial services for unhealthy alcohol use among those with TB.

High resolution imaging and five-year tuberculosis contact outcomes.

Background: The evolution of tuberculosis (TB) disease during the clinical latency period remains incompletely understood. Methods: 250 HIV-uninfected, adult household contacts of rifampicin-resistant TB with a negative symptom screen underwent baseline 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission and computed tomography (PET/CT), repeated in 112 after 5-15 months. Following South African and WHO guidelines, participants did not receive preventive therapy. All participants had intensive baseline screening with spontaneous, followed by induced, sputum sampling and were then observed for an average of 4.7 years for culture-positive disease. Baseline PET/CT abnormalities were evaluated in relation to culture-positive disease. Results: At baseline, 59 (23.6%) participants had lung PET/CT findings consistent with TB of which 29 (11.6%) were defined as Subclinical TB, and 30 (12%) Subclinical TB-inactive. A further 83 (33.2%) had other lung parenchymal abnormalities and 108 (43.2%) had normal lungs. Over 1107-person years of follow-up 14 cases of culture-positive TB were diagnosed. Six cases were detected by intensive baseline screening, all would have been missed by the South African symptom-based screening strategy and only one detected by a WHO-recommended chest X-Ray screening strategy. Those with baseline Subclinical TB lesions on PET/CT were significantly more likely to be diagnosed with culture-positive TB over the study period, compared to those with normal lung parenchyma (10/29 [34.5%] vs 2/108 [1.9%], Hazard Ratio 22.37 [4.89-102.47, p<0.001]). Conclusions: These findings challenge the latent/active TB paradigm demonstrating that subclinical disease exists up to 4 years prior to microbiological detection and/or symptom onset. There are important implications for screening and management of TB.

Safety and tolerability of isoniazid preventive therapy for tuberculosis for persons with HIV with and without alcohol use.

OBJECTIVE: Isoniazid (INH) preventive therapy is recommended to prevent tuberculosis (TB) disease for persons with HIV (PWH), except for those with regular and heavy alcohol consumption, due to hepatotoxicity concerns. We aimed to quantify the incidence of severe INH-related toxicity among PWH with and without recent alcohol consumption. DESIGN: A prospective study of PWH receiving INH. METHODS: We included PWH in southwest Uganda with recent (prior 3 months) ( n  = 200) or no (prior year) self-reported alcohol consumption ( n  = 101), on antiretroviral therapy, TB infected (≥5 mm on tuberculin skin test), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) 2× or less the upper limit of normal (ULN). Grade 3+ INH-related toxicity was ALT or AST at least 5× the ULN or severe symptoms; we stopped IPT upon detection. Grade 2 INH-related toxicity was ALT or AST 2-5× the ULN or moderate symptoms. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of Grade 3+ INH-related toxicity was 8.3% [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 5.4-12.0]; all resolved after INH cessation. Incidence was 6.0% (95% CI 3.1-10.2) among those reporting recent alcohol use and 12.9% (95% CI 7.0-21.0) among those reporting no prior year alcohol use. We found no differences by baseline phosphatidylethanol-confirmed alcohol severity. The cumulative incidence of Grade 2 toxicities (without Grade 3+) was 21.7% (95% CI 17.0-27.1); 25.0% (95% CI 19.0-31.8) among those with recent alcohol use and 14.8% (95% CI 8.1-23.9) among those with no prior year alcohol use. CONCLUSION: Alcohol use does not appear to increase risk for serious INH-related toxicity among PWH without significant liver enzyme elevations at baseline (≤2x ULN).

Mycobacterium tuberculosis disease associates with higher HIV-1-specific antibody responses.

Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) is the most common infection among people with HIV (PWH). Mtb disease-associated inflammation could affect HIV-directed immune responses in PWH. We show that HIV antibodies are broader and more potent in PWH in the presence as compared to the absence of Mtb disease. With co-existing Mtb disease, the virus in PWH also encounters unique antibody selection pressure. The Mtb-linked HIV antibody enhancement associates with specific mediators important for B cell and antibody development. This Mtb humoral augmentation does not occur due to cross-reactivity, a generalized increase in all antibodies, or differences in duration or amount of antigen exposure. We speculate that the co-localization of Mtb and HIV in lymphatic tissues leads to the emergence of potent HIV antibodies. PWH's Mtb disease status has implications for the future use of HIV broadly neutralizing antibodies as prophylaxis or treatment and the induction of better humoral immunity.

At Long Last: Short, All-Oral Regimens for Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis in the United States.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has historically required longer treatment regimens that were associated with higher unfavorable outcomes and side effects rates compared with drug susceptible TB (DS-TB). During the last decade, several studies conducted mostly in high-incidence settings have shown that MDR-TB can be successfully treated using all-oral shorter regimens of 6- to 9-month duration. In this article, we review the evolution of MDR-TB treatment from the early long regimens with injectables agents (IAs), followed by the shorter regimens with IA, to the groundbreaking, all-oral, 6- to 9-month regimens. Finally, we propose a framework for implementation of the shorter all-oral regimens in the United States.

Cross-municipality migration and spread of tuberculosis in South Africa.

Human migration facilitates the spread of infectious disease. However, little is known about the contribution of migration to the spread of tuberculosis in South Africa. We analyzed longitudinal data on all tuberculosis test results recorded by South Africa's National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), January 2011-July 2017, alongside municipality-level migration flows estimated from the 2016 South African Community Survey. We first assessed migration patterns in people with laboratory-diagnosed tuberculosis and analyzed demographic predictors. We then quantified the impact of cross-municipality migration on tuberculosis incidence in municipality-level regression models. The NHLS database included 921,888 patients with multiple clinic visits with TB tests. Of these, 147,513 (16%) had tests in different municipalities. The median (IQR) distance travelled was 304 (163 to 536) km. Migration was most common at ages 20-39 years and rates were similar for men and women. In municipality-level regression models, each 1% increase in migration-adjusted tuberculosis prevalence was associated with a 0.47% (95% CI: 0.03% to 0.90%) increase in the incidence of drug-susceptible tuberculosis two years later, even after controlling for baseline prevalence. Similar results were found for rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis. Accounting for migration improved our ability to predict future incidence of tuberculosis.

Viral Dynamics of Omicron and Delta Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Variants With Implications for Timing of Release from Isolation: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: In January 2022, US guidelines shifted to recommend isolation for 5 days from symptom onset, followed by 5 days of mask-wearing. However, viral dynamics and variant and vaccination impact on culture conversion are largely unknown. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal study on a university campus, collecting daily anterior nasal swabs for at least 10 days for reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing and culture, with antigen rapid diagnostic testing (RDT) on a subset. We compared culture positivity beyond day 5, time to culture conversion, and cycle threshold trend when calculated from diagnostic test, from symptom onset, by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant, and by vaccination status. We evaluated sensitivity and specificity of RDT on days 4-6 compared with culture. RESULTS: Among 92 SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR-positive participants, all completed the initial vaccine series; 17 (18.5%) were infected with Delta and 75 (81.5%) with Omicron. Seventeen percent of participants had positive cultures beyond day 5 from symptom onset, with the latest on day 12. There was no difference in time to culture conversion by variant or vaccination status. For 14 substudy participants, sensitivity and specificity of day 4-6 RDT were 100% and 86%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of our Delta- and Omicron-infected cohort culture-converted by day 6, with no further impact of booster vaccination on sterilization or cycle threshold decay. We found that rapid antigen testing may provide reassurance of lack of infectiousness, though guidance to mask for days 6-10 is supported by our finding that 17% of participants remained culture-positive after isolation.

Early Introduction and Rise of the Omicron Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Variant in Highly Vaccinated University Populations.

BACKGROUND: The Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is highly transmissible in vaccinated and unvaccinated populations. The dynamics that govern its establishment and propensity toward fixation (reaching 100% frequency in the SARS-CoV-2 population) in communities remain unknown. Here, we describe the dynamics of Omicron at 3 institutions of higher education (IHEs) in the greater Boston area. METHODS: We use diagnostic and variant-specifying molecular assays and epidemiological analytical approaches to describe the rapid dominance of Omicron following its introduction into 3 IHEs with asymptomatic surveillance programs. RESULTS: We show that the establishment of Omicron at IHEs precedes that of the state and region and that the time to fixation is shorter at IHEs (9.5-12.5 days) than in the state (14.8 days) or region. We show that the trajectory of Omicron fixation among university employees resembles that of students, with a 2- to 3-day delay. Finally, we compare cycle threshold values in Omicron vs Delta variant cases on college campuses and identify lower viral loads among college affiliates who harbor Omicron infections. CONCLUSIONS: We document the rapid takeover of the Omicron variant at IHEs, reaching near-fixation within the span of 9.5-12.5 days despite lower viral loads, on average, than the previously dominant Delta variant. These findings highlight the transmissibility of Omicron, its propensity to rapidly dominate small populations, and the ability of robust asymptomatic surveillance programs to offer early insights into the dynamics of pathogen arrival and spread.

Methods for handling missing data in serially sampled sputum specimens for mycobacterial culture conversion calculation.

BACKGROUND: The occurrence and timing of mycobacterial culture conversion is used as a proxy for tuberculosis treatment response. When researchers serially sample sputum during tuberculosis studies, contamination or missed visits leads to missing data points. Traditionally, this is managed by ignoring missing data or simple carry-forward techniques. Statistically advanced multiple imputation methods potentially decrease bias and retain sample size and statistical power. METHODS: We analyzed data from 261 participants who provided weekly sputa for the first 12 weeks of tuberculosis treatment. We compared methods for handling missing data points in a longitudinal study with a time-to-event outcome. Our primary outcome was time to culture conversion, defined as two consecutive weeks with no Mycobacterium tuberculosis growth. Methods used to address missing data included: 1) available case analysis, 2) last observation carried forward, and 3) multiple imputation by fully conditional specification. For each method, we calculated the proportion culture converted and used survival analysis to estimate Kaplan-Meier curves, hazard ratios, and restricted mean survival times. We compared methods based on point estimates, confidence intervals, and conclusions to specific research questions. RESULTS: The three missing data methods lead to differences in the number of participants achieving conversion; 78 (32.8%) participants converted with available case analysis, 154 (64.7%) converted with last observation carried forward, and 184 (77.1%) converted with multiple imputation. Multiple imputation resulted in smaller point estimates than simple approaches with narrower confidence intervals. The adjusted hazard ratio for smear negative participants was 3.4 (95% CI 2.3, 5.1) using multiple imputation compared to 5.2 (95% CI 3.1, 8.7) using last observation carried forward and 5.0 (95% CI 2.4, 10.6) using available case analysis. CONCLUSION: We showed that accounting for missing sputum data through multiple imputation, a statistically valid approach under certain conditions, can lead to different conclusions than naïve methods. Careful consideration for how to handle missing data must be taken and be pre-specified prior to analysis. We used data from a TB study to demonstrate these concepts, however, the methods we described are broadly applicable to longitudinal missing data. We provide valuable statistical guidance and code for researchers to appropriately handle missing data in longitudinal studies.

Agreement Between Measures of Adherence to Isoniazid Preventive Therapy Among People With HIV in Uganda.

Background: Isoniazid (INH) preventative therapy is recommended for people with HIV (PWH) in resource-constrained settings. Valid measures are needed to assess adherence. We aimed to examine agreement between measures overall and by level of social desirability. Methods: PWH with latent tuberculosis (TB) were recruited in Mbarara, Uganda. Past 30-day adherence was measured by the number of days with pill bottle openings using a medication event monitoring system (MEMS) and self-reported number of days pills taken. INH concentration (INH plus acetyl INH and their ratio) in hair samples was measured. We used Bland-Altman plots to examine agreement between adherence measures and calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) to determine if INH hair concentration predicted optimal MEMS-measured adherence (≥90%). Results: A total of 301 participants enrolled; 92% were virologically suppressed, and adherence was high. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) number of pill bottle openings in 30 days was 28 (24-30) compared with 30 (28-30) via self-report. The median INH concentration (IQR) was 36.2 (17.2-62.4), and the INH:acetyl ratio was 2.43 (0.99-3.92). Agreement between self-reported and MEMS adherence was greater at more optimal adherence levels. INH:acetyl INH ratio was not predictive of optimal adherence according to MEMS (AUROC, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.52-0.72) in a subset (n = 161). Conclusions: Lower MEMS adherence levels compared with self-report suggest the need for objective adherence measures. Biologic measures have potential, although in this study INH concentration was not predictive of MEMS measured adherence. More data are needed to assess the accuracy of biologic measures.

Unhealthy Alcohol Use Is Associated With Suboptimal Adherence to Isoniazid Preventive Therapy in Persons With HIV in Southwestern Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Unhealthy alcohol use is associated with increased progression to tuberculosis (TB) disease, but its effect on adherence to isoniazid (INH) preventive therapy is not known. METHODS: This was a prospective study of persons with HIV with latent TB in southwestern Uganda reporting any current (previous 3 months) alcohol use or no alcohol consumption in the previous year (2:1 ratio). All received INH. We defined suboptimal adherence as <90% of days with at least 1 Medication Event Monitoring System cap opening, over the previous 90 days. Alcohol use was categorized as follows: none: no self-report and phosphatidylethanol (PEth) <8 ng/mL; moderate: Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption (AUDIT-C) 1-2 (women) or 1-3 (men) and/or PEth 8 ≥ 50 ng/mL; and unhealthy: AUDIT-C ≥3 (women) or ≥4 (men) and/or PEth ≥50 ng/mL. We used generalized estimating equation logistic regression analyses to assess the association between the level of alcohol use and suboptimal INH adherence. RESULTS: Three hundred two persons were enrolled; 279 were on INH for 3 or more months. The prevalence of suboptimal INH adherence was 31.3% at 3 months and 43.9% at 6 months. The odds of suboptimal INH adherence were higher for unhealthy (adjusted odds ratio, 2.78; 95% confidence interval: 1.62 to 4.76) and moderate (adjusted odds ratio, 1.59; 95% confidence interval: 0.94 to 2.71) compared with no alcohol consumption. CONCLUSIONS: Suboptimal adherence to INH at 3 and 6 months was high among prospective study of persons with HIV and associated with unhealthy alcohol use. Adherence support and alcohol reduction strategies are needed for this group at high risk for active TB.

Understanding Early Pandemic Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission in a Medical Center by Incorporating Public Sequencing Databases to Mitigate Bias.

BACKGROUND: Throughout the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic, healthcare workers (HCWs) have faced risk of infection from within the workplace via patients and staff as well as from the outside community, complicating our ability to resolve transmission chains in order to inform hospital infection control policy. Here we show how the incorporation of sequences from public genomic databases aided genomic surveillance early in the pandemic when circulating viral diversity was limited. METHODS: We sequenced a subset of discarded, diagnostic SARS-CoV-2 isolates between March and May 2020 from Boston Medical Center HCWs and combined this data set with publicly available sequences from the surrounding community deposited in GISAID with the goal of inferring specific transmission routes. RESULTS: Contextualizing our data with publicly available sequences reveals that 73% (95% confidence interval, 63%-84%) of coronavirus disease 2019 cases in HCWs are likely novel introductions rather than nosocomial spread. CONCLUSIONS: We argue that introductions of SARS-CoV-2 into the hospital environment are frequent and that expanding public genomic surveillance can better aid infection control when determining routes of transmission.

Spatial heterogeneity of extensively drug resistant-tuberculosis in Western Cape Province, South Africa.

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading infectious disease killer globally. Treatment outcomes are especially poor among people with extensively drug-resistant (XDR) TB, until recently defined as rifampicin-resistant (RR) TB with resistance to an aminoglycoside (amikacin) and a fluoroquinolone (ofloxacin). We used laboratory TB test results from Western Cape province, South Africa between 2012 and 2015 to identify XDR-TB and pre-XDR-TB (RR-TB with resistance to one second-line drug) spatial hotspots. We mapped the percentage and count of individuals with RR-TB that had XDR-TB and pre-XDR-TB across the province and in Cape Town, as well as amikacin-resistant and ofloxacin-resistant TB. We found the percentage of pre-XDR-TB and the count of XDR-TB/pre-XDR-TB highly heterogeneous with geographic hotspots within RR-TB high burden areas, and found hotspots in both percentage and count of amikacin-resistant and ofloxacin-resistant TB. The spatial distribution of percentage ofloxacin-resistant TB hotspots was similar to XDR-TB hotspots, suggesting that fluoroquinolone-resistace is often the first step to additional resistance. Our work shows that interventions used to reduce XDR-TB incidence may need to be targeted within spatial locations of RR-TB, and further research is required to understand underlying drivers of XDR-TB transmission in these locations.

The Impact of Alcohol Use Disorder on Tuberculosis: A Review of the Epidemiology and Potential Immunologic Mechanisms.

Globally, an estimated 107 million people have an alcohol use disorder (AUD) leading to 2.8 million premature deaths each year. Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the leading causes of death globally and over 8% of global TB cases are estimated to be attributable to AUD. Social determinants of health such as poverty and undernutrition are often shared among those with AUD and TB and could explain the epidemiologic association between them. However, recent studies suggest that these shared risk factors do not fully account for the increased risk of TB in people with AUD. In fact, AUD has been shown to be an independent risk factor for TB, with a linear increase in the risk for TB with increasing alcohol consumption. While few studies have focused on potential biological mechanisms underlying the link between AUD and TB, substantial overlap exists between the effects of alcohol on lung immunity and the mechanisms exploited by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) to establish infection. Alcohol misuse impairs the immune functions of the alveolar macrophage, the resident innate immune effector in the lung and the first line of defense against Mtb in the lower respiratory tract. Chronic alcohol ingestion also increases oxidative stress in the alveolar space, which could in turn facilitate Mtb growth. In this manuscript, we review the epidemiologic data that links AUD to TB. We discuss the existing literature on the potential mechanisms by which alcohol increases the risk of TB and review the known effects of alcohol ingestion on lung immunity to elucidate other mechanisms that Mtb may exploit. A more in-depth understanding of the link between AUD and TB will facilitate the development of dual-disease interventions and host-directed therapies to improve lung health and long-term outcomes of TB.

Viral dynamics of Omicron and Delta SARS-CoV-2 variants with implications for timing of release from isolation: a longitudinal cohort study.

Background: In January 2022, United States guidelines shifted to recommend isolation for 5 days from symptom onset, followed by 5 days of mask wearing. However, viral dynamics and variant and vaccination impact on culture conversion are largely unknown. Methods: We conducted a longitudinal study on a university campus, collecting daily anterior nasal swabs for at least 10 days for RT-PCR and culture, with antigen rapid diagnostic testing (RDT) on a subset. We compared culture positivity beyond day 5, time to culture conversion, and cycle threshold trend when calculated from diagnostic test, from symptom onset, by SARS-CoV-2 variant, and by vaccination status. We evaluated sensitivity and specificity of RDT on days 4-6 compared to culture. Results: Among 92 SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR positive participants, all completed the initial vaccine series, 17 (18.5%) were infected with Delta and 75 (81.5%) with Omicron. Seventeen percent of participants had positive cultures beyond day 5 from symptom onset with the latest on day 12. There was no difference in time to culture conversion by variant or vaccination status. For the 14 sub-study participants, sensitivity and specificity of RDT were 100% and 86% respectively. Conclusions: The majority of our Delta- and Omicron-infected cohort culture-converted by day 6, with no further impact of booster vaccination on sterilization or cycle threshold decay. We found that rapid antigen testing may provide reassurance of lack of infectiousness, though masking for a full 10 days is necessary to prevent transmission from the 17% of individuals who remain culture positive after isolation. Main Point: Beyond day 5, 17% of our Delta and Omicron-infected cohort were culture positive. We saw no significant impact of booster vaccination on within-host Omicron viral dynamics. Additionally, we found that rapid antigen testing may provide reassurance of lack of infectiousness.

Testing and treatment for latent tuberculosis infection in people living with HIV and substance dependence: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the proportion of people living with HIV (PLWH) with other tuberculosis (TB) risk factors that completed the latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) care cascade and describe factors associated with attrition. The care cascade was defined as follows: (1) receipt of an LTBI test and result, (2) initiation of LTBI treatment and (3) completion of LTBI treatment. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Reactivation of LTBI remains a large source of active TB disease in the USA. PLWH and those who use substances are at greater risk and are harder to engage and retain in care. PARTICIPANTS: Participants enrolled in a Boston cohort of PLWH from 2012 to 2014. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Our primary outcome was the number and proportion of participants who completed each stage of the cascade and the factors associated with completing each stage. Our secondary outcomes were differences between participants tested with an interferon gamma release assay (IGRA) versus tuberculin skin test and differences between participants who tested positive versus negative for LTBI. RESULTS: Only 189 of 219 (86.3%) participants completed testing. Five of the 11 with LTBI initiated and three completed treatment. Participants tested with an IGRA were more likely to complete testing (OR 3.87, 95% CI 1.05 to 14.30) while among participants successfully tested, being foreign-born was associated with a positive test result (OR 3.95; 95% CI 1.13 to 13.77). CONCLUSIONS: Although the majority completed LTBI testing, our findings warrant further investigation in a larger cohort to better understand factors that lead to suboptimal treatment initiation and completion in a low-burden country.

Transmission Of Tuberculosis Among illicit drug use Linkages (TOTAL): A cross-sectional observational study protocol using respondent driven sampling.

People who use illicit drugs (PWUDs) have been identified as a key at-risk group for tuberculosis (TB). Examination of illicit drug use networks has potential to assess the risk of TB exposure and disease progression. Research also is needed to assess mechanisms for accelerated TB transmission in this population. This study aims to 1) assess the rate of TB exposure, risk of disease progression, and disease burden among PWUD; 2) estimate the proportion of active TB cases resulting from recent transmission within this network; and 3) evaluate whether PWUD with TB disease have physiologic characteristics associated with more efficient TB transmission. Our cross-sectional, observational study aims to assess TB transmission through illicit drug use networks, focusing on methamphetamine and Mandrax (methaqualone) use, in a high TB burden setting and identify mechanisms underlying accelerated transmission. We will recruit and enroll 750 PWUD (living with and without HIV) through respondent driven sampling in Worcester, South Africa. Drug use will be measured through self-report and biological measures, with sputum specimens collected to identify TB disease by Xpert Ultra (Cepheid) and mycobacterial culture. We will co-enroll those with microbiologic evidence of TB disease in Aim 2 for molecular and social network study. Whole genome sequencing of Mycobacteria tuberculosis (Mtb) specimens and social contact surveys will be done for those diagnosed with TB. For Aim 3, aerosolized Mtb will be compared in individuals with newly diagnosed TB who do and do not smoke illicit drug. Knowledge from this study will provide the basis for a strategy to interrupt TB transmission in PWUD and provide insight into how this fuels overall community transmission. Results have potential for informing interventions to reduce TB spread applicable to high TB and HIV burden settings. Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov Registration Number: NCT041515602. Date of Registration: 5 November 2019.

Projected Long-Term Impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic on Hepatitis C Outcomes in the United States: A Modeling Study.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted access to and uptake of hepatitis C virus (HCV) care services in the United States. It is unknown how substantially the pandemic will impact long-term HCV-related outcomes. METHODS: We used a microsimulation to estimate the 10-year impact of COVID-19 disruptions in healthcare delivery on HCV outcomes including identified infections, linkage to care, treatment initiation and completion, cirrhosis, and liver-related death. We modeled hypothetical scenarios consisting of an 18-month pandemic-related disruption in HCV care starting in March 2020 followed by varying returns to pre-pandemic rates of screening, linkage, and treatment through March 2030 and compared them to a counterfactual scenario in which there was no COVID-19 pandemic or disruptions in care. We also performed alternate scenario analyses in which the pandemic disruption lasted for 12 and 24 months. RESULTS: Compared to the "no pandemic" scenario, in the scenario in which there is no return to pre-pandemic levels of HCV care delivery, we estimate 1060 fewer identified cases, 21 additional cases of cirrhosis, and 16 additional liver-related deaths per 100 000 people. Only 3% of identified cases initiate treatment and <1% achieve sustained virologic response (SVR). Compared to "no pandemic," the best-case scenario in which an 18-month care disruption is followed by a return to pre-pandemic levels, we estimated a smaller proportion of infections identified and achieving SVR. CONCLUSIONS: A recommitment to the HCV epidemic in the United States that involves additional resources coupled with aggressive efforts to screen, link, and treat people with HCV is needed to overcome the COVID-19-related disruptions.