The importance of considering competing risks in recurrence analysis of intracranial meningioma.

BACKGROUND: The risk of recurrence is overestimated by the Kaplan-Meier method when competing events, such as death without recurrence, are present. Such overestimation can be avoided by using the Aalen-Johansen method, which is a direct extension of Kaplan-Meier that accounts for competing events. Meningiomas commonly occur in older individuals and have slow-growing properties, thereby warranting competing risk analysis. The extent to which competing events are considered in meningioma literature is unknown, and the consequences of using incorrect methodologies in meningioma recurrence risk analysis have not been investigated. METHODS: We surveyed articles indexed on PubMed since 2020 to assess the usage of competing risk analysis in recent meningioma literature. To compare recurrence risk estimates obtained through Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, we applied our international database comprising ~ 8,000 patients with a primary meningioma collected from 42 institutions. RESULTS: Of 513 articles, 169 were eligible for full-text screening. There were 6,537 eligible cases from our PERNS database. The discrepancy between the results obtained by Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen was negligible among low-grade lesions and younger individuals. The discrepancy increased substantially in the patient groups associated with higher rates of competing events (older patients with high-grade lesions). CONCLUSION: The importance of considering competing events in recurrence risk analysis is poorly recognized as only 6% of the studies we surveyed employed Aalen-Johansen analyses. Consequently, most of the previous literature has overestimated the risk of recurrence. The overestimation was negligible for studies involving low-grade lesions in younger individuals; however, overestimation might have been substantial for studies on high-grade lesions.

Risk factors for rebleeding and mortality following prophylactic transarterial embolization for patients with high-risk peptic ulcer bleeding: a single-center retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To investigate factors associated with risk for rebleeding and 30-day mortality following prophylactic transarterial embolization in patients with high-risk peptic ulcer bleeding. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed medical records and included all patients who had undergone prophylactic embolization of the gastroduodenal artery at Rigshospitalet, Denmark, following an endoscopy-verified and treated peptic Sulcer bleeding, from 2016 to 2021. Data were collected from electronic health records and imaging from the embolization procedures. Primary outcomes were rebleeding and 30-day mortality. We performed logistical regression analyses for both outcomes with possible risk factors. Risk factors included: active bleeding; visible hemoclips; Rockall-score; anatomical variants; standardized embolization procedure; and number of endoscopies prior to embolization. RESULTS: We included 176 patients. Rebleeding occurred in 25% following embolization and 30-day mortality was 15%. Not undergoing a standardized embolization procedure increased the odds of both rebleeding (odds ratio 3.029, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.395-6.579) and 30-day overall mortality by 3.262 (1.252-8.497). More than one endoscopy was associated with increased odds of rebleeding (odds ratio 2.369, 95% CI 1.088-5.158). High Rockall-score increased the odds of 30-day mortality (odds ratio 2.587, 95% CI 1.243-5.386). Active bleeding, visible hemoclips, and anatomical variants did not affect risk of rebleeding or 30-day mortality. Reasons for deviation from standard embolization procedure were anatomical variations, targeted treatment without embolizing the gastroduodenal artery, and technical failure. CONCLUSIONS: Deviation from the standard embolization procedure increased the risk of rebleeding and 30-day mortality, more than one endoscopy prior to embolization was associated with higher odds of rebleeding, and a high Rockall-score increased the risk of 30-day mortality. We suggest that patients with these risk factors are monitored closely following embolization. Early detection of rebleeding may allow for proper and early re-intervention.

Accuracy of FAST in detecting intraabdominal bleeding in major trauma with pelvic and/or acetabular fractures: a retrospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: The Focused Assessment with Sonography for Trauma (FAST) is a tool to rapidly detect intraabdominal and intrapericardial fluid with point-of-care ultrasound. Previous studies have questioned the role of FAST in patients with pelvic fractures. The aim of the present study was to assess the accuracy of FAST to detect clinically significant intraabdominal hemorrhage in patients with pelvic fractures. METHODS: We included all consecutive patients with pelvic and/or acetabular fractures treated our Level 1 trauma center from 2009-2020. We registered patient and fracture characteristics, FAST investigations and CT descriptions, explorative laparotomy findings, and transfusion needs. We compared FAST to CT and laparotomy findings, and calculated true positive and negative findings, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). RESULTS: We included 389 patients. FAST had a sensitivity of 75%, a specificity of 98%, a PPV of 84%, and a NPV of 96% for clinically significant intraabdominal bleeding. Patients with retroperitoneal hematomas were at increased risk for laparotomy both because of True-negative FAST and False-positive FAST. CONCLUSION: FAST is accurate to identify clinically significant intraabdominal blood in patients with severe pelvic fractures and should be a standard asset in these patients. Retroperitoneal hematomas challenge the FAST interpretation and thus the decision making when applying FAST in patients with pelvic fractures.

Ogilvie Syndrome in Patients With Traumatic Pelvic and/or Acetabular Fractures: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the incidence, risk factors, and clinical outcomes of Ogilvie syndrome (OS) in patients with pelvic and/or acetabular fractures. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Level 1 trauma center. PATIENTS: One thousand sixty patients with pelvic and/or acetabular fractures treated at Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, between 2009 and 2020. INTERVENTION: Interventions comprised the treatment of pelvic and/or acetabular fractures with emergency external and/or internal fixation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Outcomes included diagnosis of OS, perioperative complications, ICU stay and length, length of admission, and mortality. RESULTS: We identified 1060 patients with pelvic and/or acetabular fractures. Of these, 25 patients were diagnosed with OS perioperatively, corresponding to incidences of 1.6%, 2.7%, and 2.6% for acetabular, pelvic, and combined fractures, respectively. Risk factors included congestive heart failure, diabetes, concomitant traumatic lesions, head trauma, fractures of the cranial vault and/or basal skull, retroperitoneal hematomas and spinal cord injuries, and emergency internal fixation and extraperitoneal packing. Six (24%) patients underwent laparotomy, and all patients had ischemia or perforation of the cecum for which right hemicolectomy was performed. Ogilvie syndrome was associated with a significant increase in nosocomial infections, sepsis, pulmonary embolism, ICU stay, and prolonged hospital admission. CONCLUSION: Ogilvie syndrome in patients with pelvic and/or acetabular fractures is associated with increased risk of perioperative complications and prolonged hospital and ICU stays, resulting in an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Somatostatin analogues in treatment-refractory meningioma: a systematic review with meta-analysis of individual patient data.

Treatment-refractory meningiomas have a dismal prognosis and limited treatment options. Meningiomas express high-densities of somatostatin receptors (SSTR), thus potentially susceptible to antitumorigenic effects of somatostatin analogues (SSA). Evidence for SSA in meningiomas is scarce, and it is unclear if published literature would either (1) support wider use of SSA, if (2) more evidence is desirable, or if (3) available evidence is sufficient to discard SSA. We addressed the need for more evidence with a systematic review and meta-analysis. We performed an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis. Main outcomes were toxicity, best radiological response, progression-free survival, and overall survival. We applied multivariable logistic regression models to estimate the effect of SSA on the probability of obtaining radiological disease control. The predictive performance was evaluated using area under the curve and Brier scores. We included 16 studies and compiled IPD from 8/9 of all previous cohorts. Quality of evidence was overall ranked "very low." Stable disease was reported in 58% of patients as best radiological response. Per 100 mg increase in total SSA dosage, the odds ratios for obtaining radiological disease control was 1.42 (1.11 to 1.81, P = 0.005) and 1.44 (1.00 to 2.08, P = 0.05) for patients treated with SSA as monodrug therapy vs SSA in combination with everolimus, respectively. Low quality of evidence impeded exact quantification of treatment efficacy, and the association between response and treatment may represent reverse causality. Yet, the SSA treatment was well tolerated, and beneficial effect cannot be disqualified. A prospective trial without bias from inconsistent study designs is warranted to assess SSA therapy for well-defined meningioma subgroups.

Intratympanic corticosteroid as salvage therapy in treatment of idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The standard treatment of idiopathic sudden sensorineural hearing loss (ISSNHL) constitutes of systemic oral corticosteroid. Although oral corticosteroid might revert the acute deafness, some patients with ISSNHL display a more treatment refractory course. For these patients, corticosteroid installed directly into the middle ear has become a more frequent treatment, due to the potential benefits of a high, local concentration compared to a systemic administration. As such, for patients being refractory to standard treatment, intratympanic injection of a high dosage of corticosteroid as salvage therapy may be beneficial. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy of intratympanic corticosteroid (ITC) as a salvage treatment of ISSNHL. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed in relevant databases. Both randomized trials and observational studies were considered for inclusion. The risk of bias was evaluated using the Cochrane risk of bias tool (randomized trials) or ROBINS-I tool (observational studies). Meta-analysis was performed to investigate the improvement of PTA (dB) and number of patients displaying recovery following salvage ITC injections. Occurrence of serious side effects was investigated. Finally, the certainty of the evidence was evaluated using the GRADE approach. RESULTS: Eleven relevant studies were identified (4 randomized trials and 7 observational studies). Both observational and randomized trials showed that salvage ITC significantly increased the number of patients displaying recovery. No serious adverse events were identified in any of the included studies. The certainty of evidence ranged from moderate to very low, due to risk of bias, imprecision, and heterogeneity. CONCLUSION: Collectively, our findings indicate that salvage ITC treatment may be a beneficial and safe treatment for patients with sudden hearing loss, who otherwise are refractory to standard treatment approaches. However, the evidence level indicates need for a cautious interpretation of especially the magnitude of effect and thus the extrapolation on how much the individual may improve from this treatment. Furthermore, it remains to be investigated whether treatment outcomes may vary across different patient groups presenting with ISSNHL. This potential variation in treatment response should be kept in mind, when counselling the patient. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The protocol is registered in PROSPERO. Registration number: CRD42019130586.

Implementation of TERT promoter mutations improve prognostication of the WHO classification in meningioma.

TERT promoter mutations have been associated with increased risk of recurrence in meningioma cohorts, thus a potential biomarker for aggressive phenotypes. A main purpose of refining tumour classification is better predictions on the patient level. We compiled data from previous published cohorts to investigate patient-level predictions of recurrence based on TERTp-mut status. Implementation of TERTp-mut into the WHO grading led to better patient prognostication by improved prediction of recurrence. Our results support implementation of TERTp-mut into diagnostics and classification of meningiomas.

Somatostatin Receptor-Targeted Radiopeptide Therapy in Treatment-Refractory Meningioma: Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis.

Somatostatin receptor (SSTR)-targeted peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT) represents a promising approach for treatment-refractory meningiomas. Methods: We performed an individual patient data meta-analysis, including all published data on meningioma patients treated with SSTR-targeted PRRT. The main outcomes were toxicity, response to treatment, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). We applied the Kaplan-Meier method to estimate survival probabilities and report incidence rates per 100 person-years. We applied Cox proportional hazards models to determine the effect of covariates. Results: We screened 537 papers and identified 6 eligible cohort studies. We included a total of 111 patients who had treatment-refractory meningioma and received SSTR-targeted PRRT. Disease control was achieved in 63% of patients. The 6-mo PFS rates were 94%, 48%, and 0% for World Health Organization grades I, II, and III, respectively. The risk of disease progression decreased by 13% per 1,000-MBq increase in the total applied activity. The 1-y OS rates were 88%, 71%, and 52% for World Health Organization grades I, II, and III, respectively. The risk of death decreased by 17% per 1,000-MBq increase in the total applied activity. The main side effects comprised transient hematotoxicity, such as anemia in 22% of patients, leukopenia in 13%, lymphocytopenia in 24%, and thrombocytopenia in 17%. Conclusion: To our knowledge, this individual patient data meta-analysis represents the most comprehensive analysis of the benefits of and adverse events associated with SSTR-targeted PRRT for treatment-refractory meningioma. The treatment was well tolerated, achieved disease control in most cases, and showed promising results regarding PFS and OS.

The Ki-67 Proliferation Index as a Marker of Time to Recurrence in Intracranial Meningioma.

BACKGROUND: There are examples of incongruence between the WHO grade and clinical course in meningioma patients. This incongruence between WHO grade and recurrence has led to search for other prognostic histological markers. OBJECTIVE: To study the correlation between the Ki-67 proliferative index (PI), risk of recurrence, and recurrence rates in meningioma patients. METHODS: We prospectively collected pathological diagnosis of de novo consecutive meningiomas. In total, we followed 159 patients with clinical controls until recurrence, death, or emigration. We estimated the correlation between risk of recurrence and Ki-67 PI when adjusted for age at diagnosis, sex, WHO grade, extent of surgical resection, and tumor location. We estimated the cumulative incidence of recurrence when considering death without recurrence a competing risk. We report recurrence rates per 100 person-years. RESULTS: A 1%-point increase of Ki-67 PI yielded a hazard ratio of 1.12 (95% CI: 1.01-1.24) in a multivariate analysis. The cumulative incidence of recurrence was 3% for Ki-67 0% to 4% vs 19% for Ki-67 > 4% meningiomas after 1 yr, but 24% vs 35%, respectively, after 10 yr. There was no significant difference in mean Ki-67 PI between nonrecurrent and recurrent meningioma in a 2-sample t-test (P = .08). The strongest relationship was detected between Ki-67 PI and time to recurrence: Ki-67 < 4% meningiomas recurred after median 4.8 yr, compared to 0.60 to 0.75 yr for patients with higher Ki-67 PI. CONCLUSION: Ki-67 PI was a marker for time to recurrence rather than a predictor of recurrence. Ki-67 PI may be utilized for patient tailored follow-up.