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1.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696333

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: People with Parkinson's disease (PD) have an increased risk of dementia, yet patients and clinicians frequently avoid talking about it due to associated stigma, and the perception that "nothing can be done about it". However, open conversations about PD dementia may allow people with the condition to access treatment and support, and may increase participation in research aimed at understanding PD dementia. OBJECTIVES: To co-produce information resources for patients and healthcare professionals to improve conversations about PD dementia. METHODS: We worked with people with PD, engagement experts, artists, and a PD charity to open up these conversations. 34 participants (16 PD; 6 PD dementia; 1 Parkinsonism, 11 caregivers) attended creative workshops to examine fears about PD dementia and develop information resources. 25 PD experts contributed to the resources. RESULTS: While most people with PD (70%) and caregivers (81%) shared worries about cognitive changes prior to the workshops, only 38% and 30%, respectively, had raised these concerns with a healthcare professional. 91% of people with PD and 73% of caregivers agreed that PD clinicians should ask about cognitive changes routinely through direct questions and perform cognitive tests at clinic appointments. We used insights from the creative workshops, and input from a network of PD experts to co-develop two open-access resources: one for people with PD and their families, and one for healthcare professionals. CONCLUSION: Using artistic and creative workshops, co-learning and striving for diverse voices, we co-produced relevant resources for a wider audience to improve conversations about PD dementia.

2.
Cell Syst ; 15(3): 246-263.e7, 2024 Mar 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38366601

ABSTRACT

Autoinhibition is a prevalent allosteric regulatory mechanism in signaling proteins. Reduced autoinhibition underlies the tumorigenic effect of some known cancer drivers, but whether autoinhibition is altered generally in cancer remains elusive. Here, we demonstrate that cancer-associated missense mutations, in-frame insertions/deletions, and fusion breakpoints are enriched within inhibitory allosteric switches (IASs) across all cancer types. Selection for IASs that are recurrently mutated in cancers identifies established and unknown cancer drivers. Recurrent missense mutations in IASs of these drivers are associated with distinct, cancer-specific changes in molecular signaling. For the specific case of PPP3CA, the catalytic subunit of calcineurin, we provide insights into the molecular mechanisms of altered autoinhibition by cancer mutations using biomolecular simulations, and demonstrate that such mutations are associated with transcriptome changes consistent with increased calcineurin signaling. Our integrative study shows that autoinhibition-modulating genetic alterations are positively selected for by cancer cells.


Subject(s)
Calcineurin , Neoplasms , Humans , Calcineurin/genetics , Neoplasms/genetics , Mutation/genetics , Carcinogenesis , Mutation, Missense/genetics
3.
Brain ; 147(3): 752-754, 2024 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38345412

Subject(s)
Connectome , Humans , Brain
4.
Mov Disord ; 39(2): 433-438, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38140767

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials of disease-modifying therapies in PD require valid and responsive primary outcome measures that are relevant to patients. OBJECTIVES: The objective is to select a patient-centered primary outcome measure for disease-modification trials over three or more years. METHODS: Experts in Parkinson's disease (PD), statistics, and health economics and patient and public involvement and engagement (PPIE) representatives reviewed and discussed potential outcome measures. A larger PPIE group provided input on their key considerations for such an endpoint. Feasibility, clinimetric properties, and relevance to patients were assessed and synthesized. RESULTS: Although initial considerations favored the Movement Disorder Society-sponsored revision of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) Part III in Off, feasibility, PPIE input, and clinimetric properties supported the MDS-UPDRS Part II. However, PPIE input also highlighted the importance of nonmotor symptoms, especially in the longer term, leading to the selection of the MDS-UPDRS Parts I + II sum score. CONCLUSIONS: The MDS-UPDRS Parts I + II sum score was chosen as the primary outcome for large 3-year disease-modification trials. © 2023 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.


Subject(s)
Parkinson Disease , Humans , Parkinson Disease/therapy , Parkinson Disease/diagnosis , Severity of Illness Index , Mental Status and Dementia Tests , Societies, Medical
6.
J Parkinsons Dis ; 13(6): 1011-1033, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37545260

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Multi-arm, multi-stage (MAMS) platform trials can accelerate the identification of disease-modifying treatments for Parkinson's disease (PD) but there is no current consensus on the optimal outcome measures (OM) for this approach. OBJECTIVE: To provide an up-to-date inventory of OM for disease-modifying PD trials, and a framework for future selection of OM for such trials. METHODS: As part of the Edmond J Safra Accelerating Clinical Trials in Parkinson Disease (EJS ACT-PD) initiative, an expert group with Patient and Public Involvement and Engagement (PPIE) representatives' input reviewed and evaluated available evidence on OM for potential use in trials to delay progression of PD. Each OM was ranked based on aspects such as validity, sensitivity to change, participant burden and practicality for a multi-site trial. Review of evidence and expert opinion led to the present inventory. RESULTS: An extensive inventory of OM was created, divided into: general, motor and non-motor scales, diaries and fluctuation questionnaires, cognitive, disability and health-related quality of life, capability, quantitative motor, wearable and digital, combined, resource use, imaging and wet biomarkers, and milestone-based. A framework for evaluation of OM is presented to update the inventory in the future. PPIE input highlighted the need for OM which reflect their experience of disease progression and are applicable to diverse populations and disease stages. CONCLUSION: We present a range of OM, classified according to a transparent framework, to aid selection of OM for disease-modifying PD trials, whilst allowing for inclusion or re-classification of relevant OM as new evidence emerges.


Subject(s)
Parkinson Disease , Humans , Consensus , Disease Progression , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Parkinson Disease/drug therapy , Parkinson Disease/psychology , Quality of Life
7.
Commun Biol ; 6(1): 430, 2023 04 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37076578

ABSTRACT

The distributed nature of the neural substrate, and the difficulty of establishing necessity from correlative data, combine to render the mapping of brain function a far harder task than it seems. Methods capable of combining connective anatomical information with focal disruption of function are needed to disambiguate local from global neural dependence, and critical from merely coincidental activity. Here we present a comprehensive framework for focal and connective spatial inference based on sparse disruptive data, and demonstrate its application in the context of transient direct electrical stimulation of the human medial frontal wall during the pre-surgical evaluation of patients with focal epilepsy. Our framework formalizes voxel-wise mass-univariate inference on sparsely sampled data within the statistical parametric mapping framework, encompassing the analysis of distributed maps defined by any criterion of connectivity. Applied to the medial frontal wall, this transient dysconnectome approach reveals marked discrepancies between local and distributed associations of major categories of motor and sensory behaviour, revealing differentiation by remote connectivity to which purely local analysis is blind. Our framework enables disruptive mapping of the human brain based on sparsely sampled data with minimal spatial assumptions, good statistical efficiency, flexible model formulation, and explicit comparison of local and distributed effects.


Subject(s)
Connectome , Epilepsies, Partial , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Brain/physiology , Electric Stimulation
8.
BMC Med ; 21(1): 10, 2023 01 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36617542

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The prediction of long-term mortality following acute illness can be unreliable for older patients, inhibiting the delivery of targeted clinical interventions. The difficulty plausibly arises from the complex, multifactorial nature of the underlying biology in this population, which flexible, multimodal models based on machine learning may overcome. Here, we test this hypothesis by quantifying the comparative predictive fidelity of such models in a large consecutive sample of older patients acutely admitted to hospital and characterise their biological support. METHODS: A set of 804 admission episodes involving 616 unique patients with a mean age of 84.5 years consecutively admitted to the Acute Geriatric service at University College Hospital were identified, in whom clinical diagnoses, blood tests, cognitive status, computed tomography of the head, and mortality within 600 days after admission were available. We trained and evaluated out-of-sample an array of extreme gradient boosted trees-based predictive models of incrementally greater numbers of investigational modalities and modelled features. Both linear and non-linear associations with investigational features were quantified. RESULTS: Predictive models of mortality showed progressively increasing fidelity with greater numbers of modelled modalities and dimensions. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve rose from 0.67 (sd = 0.078) for age and sex to 0.874 (sd = 0.046) for the most comprehensive model. Extracranial bone and soft tissue features contributed more than intracranial features towards long-term mortality prediction. The anterior cingulate and angular gyri, and serum albumin, were the greatest intracranial and biochemical model contributors respectively. CONCLUSIONS: High-dimensional, multimodal predictive models of mortality based on routine clinical data offer higher predictive fidelity than simpler models, facilitating individual level prognostication and interventional targeting. The joint contributions of both extracranial and intracranial features highlight the potential importance of optimising somatic as well as neural functions in healthy ageing. Our findings suggest a promising path towards a high-fidelity, multimodal index of frailty.


Subject(s)
Frailty , Hospitalization , Humans , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , ROC Curve , Frailty/diagnosis , Retrospective Studies , Hospital Mortality
9.
Brain ; 146(1): 135-148, 2023 01 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35104842

ABSTRACT

Responding to threat is under strong survival pressure, promoting the evolution of systems highly optimized for the task. Though the amygdala is implicated in 'detecting' threat, its role in the action that immediately follows-'orienting'-remains unclear. Critical to mounting a targeted response, such early action requires speed, accuracy, and resilience optimally achieved through conserved, parsimonious, dedicated systems, insured against neural loss by a parallelized functional organization. These characteristics tend to conceal the underlying substrate not only from correlative methods but also from focal disruption over time scales long enough for compensatory adaptation to take place. In a study of six patients with intracranial electrodes temporarily implanted for the clinical evaluation of focal epilepsy, we investigated gaze orienting to fear during focal, transient, unilateral direct electrical disruption of the amygdala. We showed that the amygdala is necessary for rapid gaze shifts towards faces presented in the contralateral hemifield regardless of their emotional expression, establishing its functional lateralization. Behaviourally dissociating the location of presented fear from the direction of the response, we implicated the amygdala not only in detecting contralateral faces, but also in automatically orienting specifically towards fearful ones. This salience-specific role was demonstrated within a drift-diffusion model of action to manifest as an orientation bias towards the location of potential threat. Pixel-wise analysis of target facial morphology revealed scleral exposure as its primary driver, and induced gamma oscillations-obtained from intracranial local field potentials-as its time-locked electrophysiological correlate. The amygdala is here reconceptualized as a functionally lateralized instrument of early action, reconciling previous conflicting accounts confined to detection, and revealing a neural organisation analogous to the superior colliculus, with which it is phylogenetically kin. Greater clarity on its role has the potential to guide therapeutic resection, still frequently complicated by impairments of cognition and behaviour related to threat, and inform novel focal stimulation techniques for the management of neuropsychiatric conditions.


Subject(s)
Amygdala , Fear , Humans , Fear/physiology , Fear/psychology , Cognition , Facial Expression , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Photic Stimulation
10.
Patterns (N Y) ; 3(12): 100656, 2022 Dec 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36569555

ABSTRACT

The characteristics and determinants of health and disease are often organized in space, reflecting our spatially extended nature. Understanding the influence of such factors requires models capable of capturing spatial relations. Drawing on statistical parametric mapping, a framework for topological inference well established in the realm of neuroimaging, we propose and validate an approach to the spatial analysis of diverse clinical data-GeoSPM-based on differential geometry and random field theory. We evaluate GeoSPM across an extensive array of synthetic simulations encompassing diverse spatial relationships, sampling, and corruption by noise, and demonstrate its application on large-scale data from UK Biobank. GeoSPM is readily interpretable, can be implemented with ease by non-specialists, enables flexible modeling of complex spatial relations, exhibits robustness to noise and under-sampling, offers principled criteria of statistical significance, and is through computational efficiency readily scalable to large datasets. We provide a complete, open-source software implementation.

11.
Appl AI Lett ; 3(2): e63, 2022 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35669063

ABSTRACT

The task of predicting human motion is complicated by the natural heterogeneity and compositionality of actions, necessitating robustness to distributional shifts as far as out-of-distribution (OoD). Here, we formulate a new OoD benchmark based on the Human3.6M and Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) motion capture datasets, and introduce a hybrid framework for hardening discriminative architectures to OoD failure by augmenting them with a generative model. When applied to current state-of-the-art discriminative models, we show that the proposed approach improves OoD robustness without sacrificing in-distribution performance, and can theoretically facilitate model interpretability. We suggest human motion predictors ought to be constructed with OoD challenges in mind, and provide an extensible general framework for hardening diverse discriminative architectures to extreme distributional shift. The code is available at: https://github.com/bouracha/OoDMotion.

12.
Front Neurol ; 12: 623358, 2021.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34899550

ABSTRACT

Objective: To characterize regional brain metabolic differences in patients at high risk of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP), using fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18FDG-PET). Methods: We studied patients with refractory focal epilepsy at high (n = 56) and low (n = 69) risk of SUDEP who underwent interictal 18FDG-PET as part of their pre-surgical evaluation. Binary SUDEP risk was ascertained by thresholding frequency of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures (FBTCS). A whole brain analysis was employed to explore regional differences in interictal metabolic patterns. We contrasted these findings with regional brain metabolism more directly related to frequency of FBTCS. Results: Regions associated with cardiorespiratory and somatomotor regulation differed in interictal metabolism. In patients at relatively high risk of SUDEP, fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) uptake was increased in the basal ganglia, ventral diencephalon, midbrain, pons, and deep cerebellar nuclei; uptake was decreased in the left planum temporale. These patterns were distinct from the effect of FBTCS frequency, where increasing frequency was associated with decreased uptake in bilateral medial superior frontal gyri, extending into the left dorsal anterior cingulate cortex. Significance: Regions critical to cardiorespiratory and somatomotor regulation and to recovery from vital challenges show altered interictal metabolic activity in patients with frequent FBTCS considered to be at relatively high-risk of SUDEP, and shed light on the processes that may predispose patients to SUDEP.

13.
Cortex ; 145: 1-12, 2021 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34673291

ABSTRACT

Cognitive and behavioural outcomes in stroke reflect the interaction between two complex anatomically-distributed patterns: the functional organization of the brain and the structural distribution of ischaemic injury. Conventional outcome models-for individual prediction or population-level inference-commonly ignore this complexity, discarding anatomical variation beyond simple characteristics such as lesion volume. This sets a hard limit on the maximum fidelity such models can achieve. High-dimensional methods can overcome this problem, but only at prohibitively large data scales. Drawing on one of the largest published collections of anatomically-registered imaging of acute stroke-N = 1333-here we use non-linear dimensionality reduction to derive a succinct latent representation of the anatomical patterns of ischaemic injury, agglomerated into 21 distinct intuitive categories. We compare the maximal predictive performance it enables against both simpler low-dimensional and more complex high-dimensional representations, employing multiple empirically-informed ground truth models of distributed structure-outcome relationships. We show our representation sets a substantially higher ceiling on predictive fidelity than conventional low-dimensional approaches, but lower than that achievable within a high-dimensional framework. Where descriptive simplicity is a necessity, such as within clinical care or research trials of modest size, the representation we propose arguably offers a favourable compromise of compactness and fidelity.


Subject(s)
Stroke , Brain/diagnostic imaging , Brain Mapping , Humans , Stroke/diagnostic imaging
14.
Neurology ; 96(21): e2627-e2638, 2021 05 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33910939

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a tool for individualized prediction of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) risk, we reanalyzed data from 1 cohort and 3 case-control studies undertaken from 1980 through 2005. METHODS: We entered 1,273 epilepsy cases (287 SUDEP, 986 controls) and 22 clinical predictor variables into a Bayesian logistic regression model. RESULTS: Cross-validated individualized model predictions were superior to baseline models developed from only average population risk or from generalized tonic-clonic seizure frequency (pairwise difference in leave-one-subject-out expected log posterior density = 35.9, SEM ± 12.5, and 22.9, SEM ± 11.0, respectively). The mean cross-validated (95% bootstrap confidence interval) area under the receiver operating curve was 0.71 (0.68-0.74) for our model vs 0.38 (0.33-0.42) and 0.63 (0.59-0.67) for the baseline average and generalized tonic-clonic seizure frequency models, respectively. Model performance was weaker when applied to nonrepresented populations. Prognostic factors included generalized tonic-clonic and focal-onset seizure frequency, alcohol excess, younger age at epilepsy onset, and family history of epilepsy. Antiseizure medication adherence was associated with lower risk. CONCLUSIONS: Even when generalized to unseen data, model predictions are more accurate than population-based estimates of SUDEP. Our tool can enable risk-based stratification for biomarker discovery and interventional trials. With further validation in unrepresented populations, it may be suitable for routine individualized clinical decision-making. Clinicians should consider assessment of multiple risk factors, and not focus only on the frequency of convulsions.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , Epilepsy , Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Young Adult
15.
NPJ Parkinsons Dis ; 6(1): 36, 2020 Dec 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33293531

ABSTRACT

Digital assessments of motor severity could improve the sensitivity of clinical trials and personalise treatment in Parkinson's disease (PD) but have yet to be widely adopted. Their ability to capture individual change across the heterogeneous motor presentations typical of PD remains inadequately tested against current clinical reference standards. We conducted a prospective, dual-site, crossover-randomised study to determine the ability of a 16-item smartphone-based assessment (the index test) to predict subitems from the Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale part III (MDS-UPDRS III) as assessed by three blinded clinical raters (the reference-standard). We analysed data from 60 subjects (990 smartphone tests, 2628 blinded video MDS-UPDRS III subitem ratings). Subject-level predictive performance was quantified as the leave-one-subject-out cross-validation (LOSO-CV) accuracy. A pre-specified analysis classified 70.3% (SEM 5.9%) of subjects into a similar category to any of three blinded clinical raters and was better than random (36.7%; SEM 4.3%) classification. Post hoc optimisation of classifier and feature selection improved performance further (78.7%, SEM 5.1%), although individual subtests were variable (range 53.2-97.0%). Smartphone-based measures of motor severity have predictive value at the subject level. Future studies should similarly mitigate against subjective and feature selection biases and assess performance across a range of motor features as part of a broader strategy to avoid overly optimistic performance estimates.

16.
Curr Biol ; 30(12): R698-R700, 2020 06 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32574629

ABSTRACT

Though still shrouded in mystery, Gilles de la Tourette's syndrome is widely regarded as an archetypal neurodevelopmental disorder of central, motor control. New evidence that its cardinal manifestation - prominent tics - may be ameliorated by a peripheral, sensory intervention compels us to revise not only our conception of the syndrome, but of the motor system itself.


Subject(s)
Tics , Tourette Syndrome , Brain , Humans , Movement
17.
Brain ; 143(3): 877-890, 2020 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32203579

ABSTRACT

In theory the most powerful technique for functional localization in cognitive neuroscience, lesion-deficit mapping is in practice distorted by unmodelled network disconnections and strong 'parasitic' dependencies between collaterally damaged ischaemic areas. High-dimensional multivariate modelling can overcome these defects, but only at the cost of commonly impracticable data scales. Here we develop lesion-deficit mapping with metabolic lesions-discrete areas of hypometabolism typically seen on interictal 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET imaging in patients with focal epilepsy-that inherently capture disconnection effects, and whose structural dependence patterns are sufficiently benign to allow the derivation of robust functional anatomical maps with modest data. In this cross-sectional study of 159 patients with widely distributed focal cortical impairments, we derive lesion-deficit maps of a broad range of psychological subdomains underlying affect and cognition. We demonstrate the potential clinical utility of the approach in guiding therapeutic resection for focal epilepsy or other neurosurgical indications by applying high-dimensional modelling to predict out-of-sample verbal IQ and depression from cortical metabolism alone.


Subject(s)
Brain/metabolism , Brain/physiology , Cognitive Dysfunction/metabolism , Epilepsies, Partial/metabolism , Adult , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Fluorodeoxyglucose F18/metabolism , Humans , Male , Neuropsychological Tests , Positron-Emission Tomography , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult
18.
Front Plant Sci ; 11: 587464, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33552094

ABSTRACT

Crop improvement for Nitrogen Use Efficiency (NUE) requires a well-defined phenotype and genotype, especially for different N-forms. As N-supply enhances growth, we comprehensively evaluated 25 commonly measured phenotypic parameters for N response using 4 N treatments in six indica rice genotypes. For this, 32 replicate potted plants were grown in the green-house on nutrient-depleted sand. They were fertilized to saturation with media containing either nitrate or urea as the sole N source at normal (15 mM N) or low level (1.5 mM N). The variation in N-response among genotypes differed by N form/dose and increased developmentally from vegetative to reproductive parameters. This indicates survival adaptation by reinforcing variation in every generation. Principal component analysis segregated vegetative parameters from reproduction and germination. Analysis of variance revealed that relative to low level, normal N facilitated germination, flowering and vegetative growth but limited yield and NUE. Network analysis for the most connected parameters, their correlation with yield and NUE, ranking by Feature selection and validation by Partial least square discriminant analysis enabled shortlisting of eight parameters for NUE phenotype. It constitutes germination and flowering, shoot/root length and biomass parameters, six of which were common to nitrate and urea. Field-validation confirmed the NUE differences between two genotypes chosen phenotypically. The correspondence between multiple approaches in shortlisting parameters for NUE makes it a novel and robust phenotyping methodology of relevance to other plants, nutrients or other complex traits. Thirty-Four N-responsive genes associated with the phenotype have also been identified for genotypic characterization of NUE.

19.
Ann Neurol ; 86(2): 304-309, 2019 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31177577

ABSTRACT

Reflex epilepsies have been demonstrated to exploit specific networks that subserve normal physiological function. It is unclear whether more common forms of epilepsy share this particular feature. By measuring interictal spikes in patients with a range of epilepsies, we show that 2 tasks known to specifically engage the hippocampus and temporal neocortex promoted increased interictal spiking within these regions, whereas a nonhippocampal dependent task did not. This indicates that interictal spike frequency may reflect the processing demands being placed on specific functional-anatomical networks in epilepsy. ANN NEUROL 2019;86:304-309.


Subject(s)
Action Potentials/physiology , Electroencephalography/methods , Epilepsy, Temporal Lobe/diagnosis , Epilepsy, Temporal Lobe/physiopathology , Memory, Episodic , Spatial Memory/physiology , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Photic Stimulation/methods , Young Adult
20.
Eur J Radiol ; 114: 120-127, 2019 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31005161

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: There is increasing evidence that many IDH wildtype (IDHwt) astrocytomas have a poor prognosis and although MR features have been identified, there remains diagnostic uncertainty in the clinic. We have therefore conducted a comprehensive analysis of conventional MR features of IDHwt astrocytomas and performed a Bayesian logistic regression model to identify critical radiological and basic clinical features that can predict IDH mutation status. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 146 patients comprising 52 IDHwt astrocytomas (19 WHO Grade II diffuse astrocytomas (A II) and 33 WHO Grade III anaplastic astrocytomas (A III)), 68 IDHmut astrocytomas (53 A II and 15 A III) and 26 GBM were studied. Age, sex, presenting symptoms and Overall Survival were recorded. Two neuroradiologists assessed 23 VASARI imaging descriptors of MRI features and the relation between IDH mutation status and MR and basic clinical features was modelled by Bayesian logistic regression, and survival by Kaplan-Meier plots. RESULTS: The features of greatest predictive power for IDH mutation status were, age at presentation (OR = 0.94 +/-0.03), tumour location within the thalamus (OR = 0.15 +/-0.25), involvement of speech receptive areas (OR = 0.21 +/-0.26), deep white matter invasion of the brainstem (OR = 0.10 +/-0.32), and T1/FLAIR signal ratio (OR = 1.63 +/-0.64). A logistic regression model based on these five features demonstrated excellent out-of-sample predictive performance (AUC = 0.92 +/-0.07; balanced accuracy 0.81 +/-0.09). Stepwise addition of further VASARI variables did not improve performance. CONCLUSION: Five demographic and VASARI features enable excellent individual prediction ofIDH mutation status, opening the way to identifying patients with IDHwt astrocytomas for earlier tissue diagnosis and more aggressive management.


Subject(s)
Astrocytoma/genetics , Astrocytoma/pathology , Brain Neoplasms/genetics , Brain Neoplasms/pathology , Isocitrate Dehydrogenase/genetics , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Mutation , Adult , Aged , Astrocytoma/diagnostic imaging , Bayes Theorem , Brain Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , DNA Mutational Analysis , Female , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Imaging/methods , Male , Middle Aged , ROC Curve
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