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1.
PLoS One ; 19(5): e0303634, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38820547

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Family planning (FP) is crucial for improving maternal and newborn health outcomes, promoting gender equality, and reducing poverty. Unmet FP needs persist globally, especially in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa leading to unintended pregnancies, unsafe abortions, and maternal fatalities. This study aims to identify the determinants of unmet needs for FP from a nationally representative survey. METHODS: We analyzed the data of 11,180 currently married women from nationally representative Nepal Health Demographic Survey 2022. We conducted weighted analysis in R statistical software to account complex survey design and non-response rate. We conducted univariate and multivariable binary and multinomial logistic regression to assess association of unmet need for FP with independent variables including place of residence, province, ecological belt, ethnicity, religion, current age, participant's and husband's education, occupation, wealth quintile, parity, desire for child, and media exposure. RESULTS: The total unmet FP need was 20.8% (95%CI: 19.7, 21.9) accounting 13.4% (95%CI: 12.5, 14.4) for unmet need for limiting and 7.4% (95%CI: 6.8, 8.0) for unmet for spacing. Lower odds of total unmet need for FP were present in 20-34 years and 35-49 years compared to <20 years, women belonging to Madhesi ethnic group (AOR: 0.78; 95%CI: 0.64, 0.95) compared to Brahmin/Chhetri, women from richest (AOR: 0.69; 95%CI: 0.56, 0.84), richer (AOR: 0.82; 95%CI: 0.68, 0.97) and middle wealth quintile (AOR: 0.82; 95%CI:0.70, 0.98) groups compared poorest wealth quintile group and women belonging to rural area (AOR: 0.89; 95%CI: 0.80, 0.99) compared to urban area. Higher odds of unmet need for FP were present among women with basic (AOR: 1.34; 95%CI: 1.17, 1.54), and secondary level (AOR: 1.32; 95%CI: 1.12, 1.56) education compared to women without education, among women from Madhesh (AOR: 1.56; 95%CI: 1.22, 1.98), Gandaki (AOR: 2.11; 95%CI: 1.66, 2.68), Lumbini (AOR: 1.97; 95%CI: 1.61, 2.42) and Sudurpashchim province (AOR: 1.64; 95%CI: 1.27, 2.10) compared to Koshi province and among women whose husband education was basic level (AOR:1.37; 95%CI: 1.15, 1.63), or secondary level (AOR: 1.32; 95%CI: 1.09, 1.60) education. CONCLUSION: Nepal faces relatively high unmet FP needs across various socio-demographic strata. Addressing these needs requires targeted interventions focusing on age, ethnicity, religion, education, and socio-economic factors to ensure universal access to FP services.


Subject(s)
Family Planning Services , Health Surveys , Marriage , Humans , Female , Nepal , Family Planning Services/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Young Adult , Middle Aged , Adolescent , Marriage/statistics & numerical data , Health Services Needs and Demand/statistics & numerical data , Socioeconomic Factors , Pregnancy
2.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 13(1): 31, 2024 Apr 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38659012

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major public health problem in Nepal, high in settings marked by prevalent gender and social inequities. Various social stratifiers intersect, either privileging or oppressing individuals based on their characteristics and contexts, thereby increasing risks, vulnerabilities and marganilisation associated with TB. This study aimed to assess the inclusiveness of gender and other social stratifiers in key health related national policies and the Health Management Information System (HMIS) of National Tuberculosis Programme (NTP) by conducting an intersectional analysis of TB cases recorded via HMIS. METHODS: A desk review of key policies and the NTP's HMIS was conducted. Retrospective intersectional analysis utilized two secondary data sources: annual NTP report (2017-2021) and records of 628 TB cases via HMIS 6.5 from two TB centres (2017/18-2018/19). Chi-square test and multi-variate analysis was used to assess the association between social stratifers and types of TB, registration category and treatment outcome. RESULTS: Gender, social inclusion and concept of intersectionality are incorporated into various health policies and strategies but lack effective implementation. NTP has initiated the collection of age, sex, ethnicity and location data since 2014/15 through the HMIS. However, only age and sex disaggregated data are routinely reported, leaving recorded social stratifiers of TB patients static without analysis and dissemination. Furthermore, findings from the intersectional analysis using TB secondary data, showed that male more than 25 years exhibited higher odds [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 4.95, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.60-19.06, P = 0.01)] of successful outcome compared to male TB patients less than 25 years. Similarly, sex was significantly associated with types of TB (P < 0.05) whereas both age (P < 0.05) and sex (P < 0.05) were significantly associated with patient registration category (old/new cases). CONCLUSIONS: The results highlight inadequacy in the availability of social stratifiers in the routine HMIS. This limitation hampers the NTP's ability to conduct intersectional analyses, crucial for unveiling the roles of other social determinants of TB. Such limitation underscores the need for more disaggregated data in routine NTP to better inform policies and plans contributing to the development of a more responsive and equitable TB programme and effectively addressing disparities.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis , Humans , Nepal/epidemiology , Male , Female , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Adult , Middle Aged , Young Adult , Retrospective Studies , Adolescent , Sex Factors , Health Information Systems , Child , Management Information Systems/statistics & numerical data , Child, Preschool , Aged , Infant , Health Policy
4.
J Occup Health ; 65(1): e12421, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37664983

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: Dengue fever is a significant public health problem in Nepal, and police personnel are considered to play a crucial role in preventing and controlling dengue fever. This study aimed to assess the factors that influence the knowledge, attitudes, and practices of police personnel toward dengue in Kathmandu, Nepal. METHODS: The study design was a descriptive cross-sectional study among 422 police personnel, where data were collected using self-administered questionnaires. Bi-variate analysis and multivariate analysis were used to examine the association between sociodemographic factors and environmental factors with knowledge, attitude, and practices of dengue. RESULTS: The study found that the knowledge, attitude, and practice toward dengue prevention was 58%, 46%, and 75%, respectively. The study found that family history of dengue (AOR = 2.78, 95% CI = 1.38-5.6), owning bed nets (AOR = 2.13, 95% CI = 1.04-4.35) and having covered water storage containers (AOR = 2.99, 95% CI = 1.74-5.13) were associated with higher odds of knowledge on dengue. Having family history of dengue (AOR = 2.45, 95% CI = 1.24-4.87) and the presence of broken glasses or discarded plastic bottles in the house (AOR = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.93-5.36) were associated with attitude on dengue. Knowledge on dengue was associated with higher odds of attitude (AOR = 3.3, 95% CI = 2.09-5.36) and practices (AOR = 3.21, 95% CI = 1.93, 5.36). CONCLUSION: The study identified specific factors associated with knowledge, attitude, and practices toward dengue prevention. The study concluded that regular training and awareness-raising activities are needed to improve their knowledge, attitudes, and practices toward dengue.


Subject(s)
Dengue , Police , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , Nepal/epidemiology , Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice , Surveys and Questionnaires , Dengue/epidemiology , Dengue/prevention & control
5.
Dialogues Health ; 1: 100068, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38515926

ABSTRACT

Aim: The aim of the study is to investigate the relationships between social determinants and disability status and access and use of sexual and reproductive health services among women with disabilities in Nepal. Materials ad methods: This study used data on women with disability from the Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) of 2019, in which 13,320 women and 290 women with disabilities were included for the analysis. We used bivariate analysis to compare the social determinants with disability status and multivariate logistic regression to determine the association between social determinants and access and use of sexual and reproductive health services among women with disabilities. Findings: The findings showed, in comparison with non-disabled women, women with disabilities had low education, low economic status, low media exposure and low access to sexual and reproductive health. On provincial level, those from Madesh [AOR = 0.22 (95%CI:0.06, 0.76)] and Lumbini [AOR = 0.24 (95%CI:0.06,0.88)] had lower attitude to violence. The usage of family planning (FP) methods among women with disabilities in Karnali [AOR = 3.57 (95% CI: 1.42-13.22)] and Sudurpashchim [AOR = 1.05 (95% CI: 1.01-1.071)] was higher than those in Province 1. Women with disabilities with secondary education were more than nine times [AOR = 9.28(95%CI:2.67,32,26)] and primary education had more than three times [AOR = 3.59 (95%CI:1.07, 12.02)] of knowledge on HIV/AIDS compared to those of no education. The odds of being tested for HIV/AIDS among women with disabilities with secondary education was more than eight times [AOR = 8.8 (95% CI:2.23-34.6)] than those of no education. Conclusion: This study provides noteworthy findings that women with disabilities have poor socioeconomic status, high-risk behavior, and low access to sexual and reproductive health services in Nepal. This study highlights the significance of actions needed to address sexual and reproductive health services in Nepal that unfairly impact women with disabilities.

6.
Clin Exp Vaccine Res ; 8(1): 77-85, 2019 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30775354

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Malaria has been one of a major infectious parasitic disease in Nepal. Although the number of cases is gradually getting declined since last decade. Therefore, study aims to identify the trends and spatial patterns of malaria among 25 risk districts of Nepal. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study utilized the secondary data of malaria cases from the annual reports (2001-2017) of Department of Health Services, Ministry of Health and Population of Nepal. Linear regression of log-transformed incidence rates model was used for assessing variation of malaria cases for year and districts. RESULTS: There was evidence of decrease in the trend of malaria (2001-2009); however, the upward trend was revealed in 2010, after that, it starts to decline and again in 2017, it started to grow up. The malaria cases were marked variations by location with higher rates occurring in Dadeldhura, Kanchanpur, Kailali, Bardiya, and Jhapa districts, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this regards, malaria cases are still causing the threat in the Terai district of Nepal; however, there were fluctuating patterns of disease noted during the study periods.

7.
HIV AIDS (Auckl) ; 10: 157-166, 2018.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30174461

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Knowledge on HIV and safe sex practices are the main determinants for the prevention and control of HIV/AIDS transmission. The aim of this study was to assess HIV awareness and safe sexual behavior among the female sex workers (FSWs) in the Kathmandu valley of Nepal. METHODS: The study was based on data secondary to Integrated Biological and Behavioral Surveillance surveys of 2093 FSWs in Kathmandu valley from 2006 to 2015. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to identify the factors associated with knowledge and misconceptions about HIV (BCDEF) and safe sexual practices (consistent condom use with regular clients and nonpaying partners). RESULTS: FSWs who had secondary education (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]=2.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.60, 2.70) and visited the drop-in center (DIC) (AOR=1.34, 95% CI=1.02, 1.75) in the last year had more knowledge and misconceptions about HIV (BCDEF). FSWs who had consistent condom use with nonpaying partners (AOR=1.60, 95% CI=1.23, 2.09), had a HIV test (AOR=1.34, 95% CI=1.02, 1.76), met peer educators (PEs) (AOR=1.49, 95% CI=1.17, 1.91) and visited the DIC in the last year (AOR=1.32, 95% CI=1.01, 1.72) had a higher chance of condom use with clients. Married FSWs (AOR=2.23, 95% CI=1.57, 3.17) and FSWs who met PEs in the last year were more likely to have condom use with nonpaying partners (AOR=1.42, 95% CI=1.04, 1.93). CONCLUSION: Knowledge and misconceptions about HIV has decreased over the years among FSWs; however, consistent condom use with regular clients and nonpaying partners has significantly increased. HIV intervention programs were strongly associated with safe sexual practices among FSWs and need to be strengthened.

8.
Scientifica (Cairo) ; 2018: 1383482, 2018.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29850375

ABSTRACT

Use of woody plants for greenhouse gas mitigation has led to the demand for rapid cost-effective estimation of forest carbon stock and related factors. This study aims to assess the factors associated with carbon stock in Chure forest of Nepal. The data were obtained from Department of Forest Research and Survey (DFRS) of Nepal. A multiple linear regression model and then sum contrasts were used to observe the association between variables such as stem volume, diameter at breast height, altitude, districts, number of trees per plot, and ownership of the forest. 95% confidence interval (CI) plots were drawn for comparing the adjusted carbon stocks with each of the factors and with the overall carbon stock. The linear regression showed a good fit of the model (adjusted R2 = 83.75%) with the results that the stem volume (sv), diameter at breast height (dbh), and the number of trees per plot showed statistically significant (p value ≤ 0.05) positive association with carbon stock. The highest carbon stock was associated with sv more than 199 m3/ha, average dbh more than 43.3 cm/plot, and number of trees more than 20/plot, whereas the altitude, geographical location, and ownership had no statistical associations at all. The results can be of use to the government for enhancing carbon stock in Chure that supports both natural resource conservation and United Nations-Reducing Emission from Deforestation and Forest Degradation program to mitigate carbon emission issues.

9.
Int J STD AIDS ; 29(6): 588-597, 2018 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29264955

ABSTRACT

A disproportionate number of street children use and inject drugs and engage in survival sex as coping mechanisms. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of drug use, injecting drugs, survival sex, and condom use and determinants associated with these behaviors among street children. Cross-sectional surveys were conducted in 2016 with an aim to sample 350 street children and youths in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal. Information about sociodemographic characteristics, injecting drugs, sexual risk behaviors, and biological specimens for HIV testing were obtained. The logistic regression model was used to identify the determinants associated with drug use, injecting drugs, survival sex, and condom use during last sex. Variables that were significantly associated with being a current drug user (versus never) in the presence of other variables included being a rag picker (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 3.2; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.73-5.9), history of imprisonment (AOR = 2.21; 95% CI = 1.21-4.04), alcohol consumption (AOR = 2.66; 95% CI = 1.46-4.84), and solvent sniffing (AOR = 5.12; 95% CI = 2.74-9.59). Variables that were significantly predictive of injecting drugs (versus never) in the presence of other variables include being 17 years old (AOR = 3.42; 95% CI = 1.11-10.55) and being a rag picker (AOR = 3.5; 95% CI = 1.25-9.75). Variables that were significantly associated with having survival sex (versus never) in the presence of other variables include being 17 years old (AOR = 3.58; 95% CI = 1.31-9.81) and having forced sex (AOR = 9.62; 95% CI = 3.21-28.8). Drug use and survival sex are major coping mechanisms among street children in Kathmandu Valley and are associated with many risk behaviors. Targeted programs should be implemented to meet their special needs.


Subject(s)
Adaptation, Psychological , Condoms/statistics & numerical data , Homeless Youth/statistics & numerical data , Sexual Behavior/statistics & numerical data , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/epidemiology , Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology , Adolescent , Child , Cross-Sectional Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Nepal/epidemiology , Prevalence , Retrospective Studies , Risk-Taking , Sexual Behavior/psychology , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/psychology , Substance-Related Disorders/psychology , Young Adult
10.
Arch Public Health ; 75: 39, 2017.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28878895

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Nepal is facing double burden of injecting drug use and HIV, yet the problem of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) has not been so well addressed, where there is large population known to be at risk for HCV. This study assessed the prevalence of HCV infection and HIV/HCV co-infection among male injection drug users (IDUs) in Nepal and identified factors associated with infection. METHODS: Cross-sectional surveys in 2015 aimed to sample 1045 male IDUs in the Kathmandu valley, Pokhara Valley and Eastern Terai districts of Nepal. Information about socio demographic characteristics, injecting and sexual risk behaviours were obtained, and biological specimens tested for HCV and HIV. The logistic regression model was used to identify the determinants associated with HCV and HIV/HCV co-infection. RESULTS: HCV prevalence was 28.8% and HIV/HCV co-infection was 4%. Among the 6% of HIV positive male IDUs, 65% were found to be co-infected. The multivariate logistic analysis revealed that HCV prevalence was higher in Eastern Terai districts, longer duration of drug use and injecting drugs and presence of HIV. Similarly, HIV/HCV co-infection was associated with Eastern highway districts, older age and longer duration of injecting drugs. CONCLUSION: The factors strongly contributing to HCV and HIV/HCV co-infection was longer duration of injecting drugs. Highest HCV and HIV/HCV co-infection was found in Eastern Terai districts. Target health interventions need to be focused in Eastern Terai districts and IDUs with longer duration of injecting drugs for the prevention of HCV and HIV/HCV transmission.

11.
J Res Health Sci ; 17(2): e00378, 2017 05 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28676590

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Dengue fever is one of the infectious diseases that is still a public health problem in Thailand. This study considers in detail, the geographic consequence, seasonal and pattern of dengue fever transmission among the 76 provinces of Thailand from 2003 to 2015. STUDY DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. METHODS: The data for the study was from the Department of Disease Control under the Bureau of Epidemiology, Thailand. The quarterly effects and location on the transmission of dengue was modeled using an alternative additive log-linear model. RESULTS: The model fitted well as illustrated by the residual plots and the  Again, the model showed that dengue fever is high in the second quarter of every year from May to August. There was an evidence of an increase in the trend of dengue annually from 2003 to 2015. CONCLUSIONS: There was a difference in the distribution of dengue fever within and between provinces. The areas of high risks were the central and southern regions of Thailand. The log-linear model provided a simple medium of modeling dengue fever transmission. The results are very important in the geographic distribution of dengue fever patterns.


Subject(s)
Dengue/epidemiology , Dengue/transmission , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Linear Models , Population Surveillance , Seasons , Thailand/epidemiology
12.
HIV AIDS (Auckl) ; 9: 9-18, 2017.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28184170

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Female sex workers (FSWs) are a key-affected population susceptible to acquiring HIV and sexually transmitted infections (STIs), as well as transmitting the virus to others. The aim of the study was to assess HIV and syphilis prevalence among FSWs in Nepal and to examine factors associated with it. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was based on Integrated Biological and Behavioral Surveillance (IBBS) surveys among FSWs in Nepal from 2004 to 2015. Statistical analysis used chi-squared test to assess statistically significant risk factors for HIV and syphilis. Logistic regression models were used to identify the most important determinants for each outcome. RESULTS: A total of 5,958 FSWs were tested, and among them, 100 (1.7%) were HIV positive and 230 (3.9%) were syphilis positive. The multivariate analysis revealed that syphilis was higher among those street-based, aged ≥35 years, illiterate, and with a duration of sex work of >3 years. HIV was higher among those aged ≥35 years, illiterate, street-based, and with a duration of sex work >3 years. Syphilis was strongly correlated with HIV. CONCLUSION: HIV epidemic among FSWs in Nepal appears in the stagnant trend, whereas STI epidemic has increased in recent years. The high influencing factors for HIV and syphilis prevalence were advanced age, street-based, lower education, and longer duration of sex work. Urgent efforts, as part of routine HIV/STI prevention and intervention, are required to reduce the high burden of syphilis among FSWs.

13.
Nepal J Epidemiol ; 6(4): 620-630, 2016 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28804674

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Female Sex Workers (FSWs) are main drivers of the HIV epidemic in Nepal. The work environment of sex work in Nepal is differentiated into establishment based (e.g. massage parlors, dance restaurants, hotels and lodges) and street based (e.g. streets, parks and markets). The study compares HIV, syphilis and risk behaviours among establishment-based FSWs and street-based FSWs in Kathmandu Valley of Nepal. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cross-sectional bio-behavioral surveys in 2006, 2008, 2011 and 2015 aimed to sample 2093 FSWs using two stage cluster sampling in the Kathmandu valley. Statistical analysis used chi-squared tests and logistic regression models to assess differences of HIV, syphilis and risk behaviors among street-based FSWs and establishment-based FSWs. RESULTS: The study included 39.7% street-based FSWs and 60.3% establishment-based FSWs. The street-based FSWs had lower education levels, older age groups, separated, longer duration of sex work and inconsistent condom used with clients than establishment-based FSWs (p<0.05). Establishment-based FSWs were lower exposure to HIV intervention programs and pervasive alcohol consumption and use of drugs (p<0.05). The multivariate analysis showed that street-based FSWs were more likely of HIV test (aOR=1.25, 95%CI=1.04, 1.49), HIV (aOR=4.72, 95%CI=2.19, 10.15) and syphilis (aOR=7.96, 95%CI=3.49, 18.15) than establishment-based FSWs. CONCLUSION: Street-based FSWs possessed higher risk behaviour and have higher HIV and syphilis prevalence. HIV prevention interventions targeting FSWs should consider risks and vulnerability of street-based FSWs. .

14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24964658

ABSTRACT

Tuberculosis (TB) is an important public health problem in Nepal. The aim of this study was to investigate the spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence in Nepal. Data regarding TB cases were obtained from the Nepal National Tuberculosis Center (NTC) for 2003-2010 and analyzed. Models were developed for TB incidence by gender, year and location using linear regression of log-transformed incidence rates. Apart from a relatively small number of outliers, these models provided a good fit, as indicated by residual plots and the r-squared statistic (0.94). The overall incidence of TB was 1.31 cases per 1,000 population with a male to female incidence rate ratio of 1.83. There were trends of increasing incidence in TB for recent years among both sexes. There were marked variations by location with higher rates occurring in the Terai region and relatively moderate and low rates of TB in the Hill and Mountain regions, respectively. TB incidence was also higher in the capital city Kathmandu and other metropolitan cities. A log-linear regression model can be used as a simple method to model TB incidence rates that vary by location and year. These findings provide information for health authorities to help establish effective prevention programs in specific areas where the disease burden is relatively high.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Nepal/epidemiology , Residence Characteristics , Risk Factors , Sex Factors
15.
Asia Pac J Public Health ; 24(4): 631-40, 2012 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22652251

ABSTRACT

The purpose of this study was to examine factors associated with treatment outcome of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) cases in Nepal. A retrospective analysis of MDR-TB cases by demographic determinants and treatment was conducted. A total of 494 MDR-TB cases were registered from 2005 to 2008, with data obtained from the National Tuberculosis Center. Chi-squared tests were used to assess statistically the association between smear and culture conversion and treatment outcome. Determinants were analyzed with the use of Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models to generate estimates of the associations with the time to treatment outcome. Sputum conversion status and culture conversion status were positively associated with treatment outcome for MDR-TB. In a multiple Cox proportional hazards regression model, no determinants were found to be associated with time to cure.


Subject(s)
Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/drug effects , Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant/drug therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Nepal , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Young Adult
16.
J Res Health Sci ; 11(1): 7-13, 2011 Jun 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22911941

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Malaria is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in Nepal. The magnitude of malaria across the country is alarming and varies with location. Therefore, the present study aimed to model malaria incidence rates during 1998 to 2009 in Nepal. METHODS: Data for the study were obtained from Health Management Information System (HMIS), Ministry of Public Health. A negative binomial model was used to fit malaria incidence rates as a function of year and location and provided a good fit, as indicated by residual plots. RESULTS: In total, 83,345 cases of malaria were reported from 1998 to 2009. The mean incidence rate was 0.30 per 1000 population. The models show trends and spatial variations in disease incidence. There was decreasing trend in the incidence rates of malaria (1998-2004), followed by a more moderate upward trend until 2008, when the rate decreases again. Zero malaria incidences occurred in six districts including Humla, Jajarkot, Manang, Kathmandu, Bhakthapur and Solukhumbu districts for over twelve years. Higher incidence occurred in Kanchanpur, Kailali, Bardiya, Kavre, and Jhapa districts for the study period. CONCLUSION: Malaria is still a public health problem in Nepal. This study showed a steady decreasing trend in malaria incidence but the numbers of cases are still very high. Higher rates were observed in Terai Region and border areas. These findings highlight the need for more systematic and effective malaria control measures on malaria burden areas of Nepal.

17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20578545

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to examine the trend, seasonal and geographic effects on tuberculosis (TB) incidence in the fourteen southern provinces of Thailand from 1999 to 2004. Data were obtained from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance Report (506), Ministry of Public Health. The joint effects of gender, age, quarterly season and location on the TB incidence rates were modeled using both negative binomial distribution for the number of cases and log-linear distribution for the incidence rate; then these models were compared. The linear regression models provided a good fit, as indicated by residual plots and the R2 (0.64). The model showed that males and females aged less than 25 years had similar risks for TB in the study area. Both sexes had their risk increased with age but to a much greater extent for men than women, with the highest rate noted in males aged 65 years and over. There was no evidence of a trend in the annual incidence of TB during 1999-2004, but the incidence has a significant season variation with peaks in the first quarter over the six year period. There were also differences in the incidence rate of TB both within and between provinces. The high risk areas were in upper western and lower southern parts of the region. The log-linear regression model could be used as a simple method for modeling TB incidence rates. These findings highlight the importance of selectively monitoring geographic location when studying TB incidence patterns.


Subject(s)
Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Incidence , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Linear Models , Male , Middle Aged , Residence Characteristics , Retrospective Studies , Risk , Seasons , Sex Distribution , Small-Area Analysis , Thailand/epidemiology
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