ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer death globally. CRC surveillance is a common indication for colonoscopy, representing a considerable burden for endoscopy services. Accurate identification of high-risk patients who would benefit from more intensive surveillance, as well as low-risk patients suitable for less frequent follow-up, could improve the effectiveness of surveillance protocols and resource use. Our aim was to identify and critically appraise published risk models for the occurrence of metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN), defined here as CRC or advanced adenomas detected during surveillance colonoscopy. METHODS: We searched PubMed and EMBASE for primary research studies reporting the development and/or validation of multivariable models that predict metachronous ACN risk. Screening of studies for inclusion, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment were conducted by two researchers independently. RESULTS: We identified nine studies describing nine risk models. Six models were internally validated and two were externally validated. No model underwent both internal and external validation. Good model discrimination (concordance index > 0.7) was reported for two models during internal validation and for one model during external validation. Calibration was acceptable when assessed (n = 4). Methodological limitations and a high risk of bias were observed for all studies. CONCLUSIONS: Several published models predicting metachronous ACN risk showed some promise. However, adherence to methodological standards was limited, and only two models were externally validated. Head-to-head comparisons of existing models using populations independent from model development cohorts should be prioritized to identify models suitable for use in clinical practice.
ABSTRACT
The World Endoscopy Organization (WEO) standardized the reporting of post-colonoscopy colorectal cancers (PCCRCs), which account for 7% to 10% of colorectal cancers (CRCs).1 PCCRCs are diagnosed 6 to 36 months after a false negative colonoscopy. Detected CRCs (dCRCs) are diagnosed ≤6 months after an index true positive colonoscopy.2 PCCRC prognosis is unclear, with outcomes reported as comparable,3 superior,4 or inferior5,6 to those of dCRC. Because WEO terminology defines cases relative to the index colonoscopy, conventional survival analyses of PCCRC are susceptible to lead time and immortal time biases. We evaluated the influence of these biases on mortality in a population-based retrospective cohort of 10,938 dCRCs (93.8%) and 717 PCCRCs (6.2%). This study was set within Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), a large integrated health system, whose members are similar in demographic and socioeconomic characteristics to the Northern California region.7.
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: Post-colonoscopy colorectal cancers (PCCRCs) have been proposed as a performance metric for colonoscopy quality assurance programs. Previously, there was no standardised terminology or reporting methods. In 2018, the World Endoscopy Organization (WEO) advised standardised definitions and prevalence calculation methodology. AIMS: To assess PCCRC burden using WEO standardised methods, to explore causes of heterogeneity, and to review changes in prevalence over time METHODS: We updated a prior systematic review by searching Ovid MEDLINE and EMBASE databases from 1 January 2013 to 31 January 2021 to identify population-based studies (or multicentre studies representative of the local population) reporting PCCRC prevalence (PROSPERO [CRD42020183796]). Two authors independently determined study eligibility, assessed quality, and extracted data. We estimated the PCCRC 3-year prevalence using WEO-recommended methodologies and investigated between-study sources of heterogeneity. We examined changes in prevalence over time. RESULTS: Fifteen studies reporting on 25 872 PCCRC cases met eligibility criteria. Pooled PCCRC 3 year prevalence was 8.2% (95% CI = 6.9%-9.4%, I2 = 98.2%) across four European studies using WEO precise methodology. Proximal PCCRC prevalence was greater than distal (9.7% [95% CI = 7.0%-12.4%] vs 5.4% [95% CI = 2.9%-7.8%], I2 = 99.2%). Seven studies reporting PCCRC rates over time showed no consistent trend: four showed a decrease, one an increase and two were unchanged. Between-study heterogeneity was high. CONCLUSIONS: Pooled 3-year PCCRC prevalence was 8.2% (95% CI = 6.9%-9.4%). Despite WEO standardised methodology to define and calculate PCCRC rates, there was significant heterogeneity among studies. Comparing rates between populations remains challenging and additional studies are needed to better understand the global PCCRC burden to inform quality assurance programs.
Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Colonoscopy , Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis , Colorectal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Humans , Prevalence , Risk FactorsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: We investigated in a cohort study, for the first time using 7-day food diaries (7-DFDs), for age-dependent inverse associations with antioxidants, which have anti-carcinogenic properties, and development of Barrett's oesophagus (BO) and oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC). METHODS: A total of 24,068 well individuals completed 7-DFDs and donated blood. Vitamins C and E, carotenes, zinc and selenium intakes, and plasma vitamin C were measured. Participants were monitored for 15 years for BO and OAC. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated for: quintiles of intake and in participants younger and >=65 years at recruitment, the midpoint of BO peak prevalence. RESULTS: A total of 197 participants developed BO and 74 OAC. There were no significant associations between antioxidants and BO or OAC in the whole cohort or if >65 years at recruitment. In participants <65 years, for BO, there was an inverse trend across plasma vitamin C quintiles (trend HR = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.71-0.96, P = 0.01), OAC for plasma vitamin C (trend HR = 0.58; 95% CI = 0.37-0.92, P = 0.02) and for dietary vitamins C and E (trend HR = 0.71 95% CI = 0.51-0.99, P = 0.04 and trend HR = 0.70; 95% CI = 0.51-0.96; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Data supports a role for dietary antioxidants prevent BO and OAC, perhaps at the earlier stages of carcinogenesis.
Subject(s)
Antioxidants/administration & dosage , Barrett Esophagus/epidemiology , Diet/statistics & numerical data , Esophageal Neoplasms/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Ascorbic Acid/blood , Barrett Esophagus/blood , Carotenoids/blood , Cohort Studies , Diet Records , England/epidemiology , Esophageal Neoplasms/blood , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Selenium/blood , Vitamin E/blood , Zinc/bloodABSTRACT
A 44-year-old man presented with very severe right upper quadrant pain of sudden onset. This was exacerbated by movement but unaffected by food or defaecation. It was continuous-day and night -but resolved over a 1-week period. The physical examination was normal at presentation, by which time the pain had resolved. His white cell count, alanine transaminase and C reactive protein were elevated but normalised after 10 days. An abdominal CT showed low density lesions in the right kidney consistent with segmental infarcts. CT angiogram showed a dissection of the right renal artery. The patient remained asymptomatic and normotensive when reviewed 1 month later.