Validation of SCORE2 on a sample from the Russian population and adaptation for the very high cardiovascular disease risk region.

SCORE2 (Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2) is a risk assessment scale for cardiovascular events, presented in 2021 by the European Society of Cardiology. Both for training and validation of the SCORE2 model, representative samples from the Russian population were not used. Therefore, we aimed to validate SCORE2 on a such sample. For this purpose, we used a sample from the ESSE-RF epidemiological study consisting of 7251 participants aged 40-69 years without history of CVDs. We performed the validation by comparing SCORE2 risk estimates for ESSE-RF participants with the observed incidence of cardiovascular events in the study, adjusted for event information losses. The validation demonstrated that SCORE2 risk estimates were accurate for Russian men and inaccurate for Russian women. Together with the quantitative assessment of risk, SCORE2 offers its interpretation in terms of 10-year CVD risk group: low-moderate, high, and very high. For Russian men we considered the original interpretation of the SCORE2 estimates to be questionable because almost none of the men would be categorized as having "low-to-moderate" 10-year CVD risk. This problem would be typical for all countries of the very high CVD risk region. Therefore, we proposed a new interpretation of the SCORE2 risk estimates for men from the very high risk region. According to the proposed interpretation, the fraction of men in ESSE-RF in "low-to-moderate" 10-year CVD risk increased from 2% to 18% and the fraction of men in "very high" CVD risk decreased from 63% to 20% as compared to the original interpretation. The proposed interpretation would allow a more personalized approach to CVD treatment and optimize the burden on primary healthcare in the very high risk region countries.

Regional Living Conditions and Individual Dietary Characteristics of the Russian Population.

The goal of our study was to examine the effects of the regional characteristics of the living environment on individual a priori and a posteriori dietary patterns of the Russian population. For the analysis, we used cross-sectional data from the Epidemiology of Cardiovascular Diseases in the Regions of the Russian Federation study from 2013-2014. The sample included 18,054 men and women 25-64 years of age from 12 regions. Based on the frequency of consumption of basic foods, four a posteriori empirical dietary patterns (EDPs), along with an a priori cardioprotective dietary pattern (CPDP), were identified. To describe the regional living environment, five regional indices were used. Adherence to the meat-based EDP was directly associated with deterioration of social living conditions and a more northerly location for the region of residence. The probability of a CPDP increased with greater deterioration of social living conditions, aggravation of demographic crises, and higher industrial development in the region, as well as with declines in the economic development of the region, income, and economic inequality among the population. We detected several gender-dependent differences in the associations established. The patterns revealed reflect the national dietary preferences of Russians, and the regional indices characterize the effect of the living environment.

Regional living conditions and the prevalence, awareness, treatment, control of hypertension at the individual level in Russia.

BACKGROUND: The objective of our study was to investigate the associations of characteristics inherent in large Russian Federation (RF) regions with prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension at the individual level. METHODS: Regional characteristics were obtained from the official website of the Federal State Statistics Service of the RF. We employed principal component analysis to reduce the dimensionality of data, which allowed defining five integral regional indices. Prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension were assessed from the data of the cross-sectional stage of ESSE-RF study conducted in 2013-2014. The final sample included 19,791 patients from 12 RF regions. Generalized estimating equations were used to identify the associations of regional indices with prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension at the individual level, taking into consideration nested data structures (study subjects in the regions). RESULTS: The index characterizing deterioration of social living conditions and societal marginalization exhibited positive associations with the prevalence of hypertension among men (OR = 1.18; 95% CI: 1.05-1.32) and elderly people (OR = 1.16; 95% CI: 1.02-1.32). Moreover, deterioration in the social environment was associated with a reduction in treatment (OR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.64-0.90) and control of hypertension (OR = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.69-0.90). Hypertension awareness was directly connected with demographic crisis (OR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.02-1.25) and augmented industrial development (OR = 1.15; 95% CI: 1.01-1.33) in the regions. The association of regional living conditions with the prevalence of hypertension is relatively weak, compared to predictors at the individual level, but this influence is important for awareness, treatment and control of hypertension. CONCLUSION: The study contributed to evaluating the associations of the vital characteristics inherent in population of large RF regions with arterial hypertension prevalence, as well as with awareness, treatment and control of this disease. Our results provided original insights from the standpoint of cardiovascular disease epidemiology in the RF, as well as in the context of investigating the impact of living conditions on population health.