Walk this way: modeling foraging ant dynamics in multiple food source environments.

Foraging for resources is an essential process for the daily life of an ant colony. What makes this process so fascinating is the self-organization of ants into trails using chemical pheromone in the absence of direct communication. Here we present a stochastic lattice model that captures essential features of foraging ant dynamics inspired by recent agent-based models while forgoing more detailed interactions that may not be essential to trail formation. Nevertheless, our model's results coincide with those presented in more sophisticated theoretical models and experiments. Furthermore, it captures the phenomenon of multiple trail formation in environments with multiple food sources. This latter phenomenon is not described well by other more detailed models. We complement the stochastic lattice model by describing a macroscopic PDE which captures the basic structure of lattice model. The PDE provides a continuum framework for the first-principle interactions described in the stochastic lattice model and is amenable to analysis. Linear stability analysis of this PDE facilitates a computational study of the impact various parameters impart on trail formation. We also highlight universal features of the modeling framework that may allow this simple formation to be used to study complex systems beyond ants.

Fast decisions reflect biases; slow decisions do not.

Decisions are often made by heterogeneous groups of individuals, each with distinct initial biases and access to information of different quality. We show that in groups of independent agents who accumulate evidence the first to decide are those with the strongest initial biases. Their decisions align with their initial bias, regardless of the underlying truth. In contrast, agents who decide last make decisions as if they were initially unbiased and hence make better choices. We obtain asymptotic expressions in the large population limit quantifying how agents' initial inclinations shape early decisions. Our analysis shows how bias, information quality, and decision order interact in nontrivial ways to determine the reliability of decisions in a group.

Oscillations in delayed positive feedback systems.

Positive feedback loops exist in many biological circuits important for organismal function. In this work, we investigate how temporal delay affects the dynamics of two canonical positive feedback models. We consider models of a genetic toggle switch and a one-way switch with delay added to the feedback terms. We show that long-lasting transient oscillations exist in both models under general conditions and that the duration depends strongly on the magnitude of the delay and initial conditions. We then show the existence of long-lasting oscillations in specific biological examples: the Cdc2-Cyclin B/Wee1 system and a genetic regulatory network. Our results challenge fundamental assumptions underlying oscillatory behavior in biological systems. While generally delayed negative feedback systems are canonical in generating oscillations, we show that delayed positive feedback systems are a mechanism for generating oscillations as well.

Fast decisions reflect biases, slow decisions do not.

Decisions are often made by heterogeneous groups of individuals, each with distinct initial biases and access to information of different quality. We show that in large groups of independent agents who accumulate evidence the first to decide are those with the strongest initial biases. Their decisions align with their initial bias, regardless of the underlying truth. In contrast, agents who decide last make decisions as if they were initially unbiased, and hence make better choices. We obtain asymptotic expressions in the large population limit that quantify how agents' initial inclinations shape early decisions. Our analysis shows how bias, information quality, and decision order interact in non-trivial ways to determine the reliability of decisions in a group.

Stochastic switching of delayed feedback suppresses oscillations in genetic regulatory systems.

Delays and stochasticity have both served as crucially valuable ingredients in mathematical descriptions of control, physical and biological systems. In this work, we investigate how explicitly dynamical stochasticity in delays modulates the effect of delayed feedback. To do so, we consider a hybrid model where stochastic delays evolve by a continuous-time Markov chain, and between switching events, the system of interest evolves via a deterministic delay equation. Our main contribution is the calculation of an effective delay equation in the fast switching limit. This effective equation maintains the influence of all subsystem delays and cannot be replaced with a single effective delay. To illustrate the relevance of this calculation, we investigate a simple model of stochastically switching delayed feedback motivated by gene regulation. We show that sufficiently fast switching between two oscillatory subsystems can yield stable dynamics.

A mathematical study of the efficacy of possible negative feedback pathways involved in neuronal polarization.

Neuronal polarization, a process wherein nascent neurons develop a single long axon and multiple short dendrites, can occur within in vitro cell cultures without environmental cues. This is an apparently random process in which one of several short processes, called neurites, grows to become long, while the others remain short. In this study, we propose a minimum model for neurite growth, which involves bistability and random excitations reflecting actin waves. Positive feedback is needed to produce the bistability, while negative feedback is required to ensure that no more than one neurite wins the winner-takes-all contest. By applying the negative feedback to different aspects of the neurite growth process, we demonstrate that targeting the negative feedback to the excitation amplitude results in the most persistent polarization. Also, we demonstrate that there are optimal ranges of values for the neurite count, and for the excitation rate and amplitude that best maintain the polarization. Finally, we show that a previously published model for neuronal polarization based on competition for limited resources shares key features with our best-performing minimal model: bistability and negative feedback targeted to the size of random excitations.

The space between us: Modeling spatial heterogeneity in synthetic microbial consortia dynamics.

A central endeavor in bioengineering concerns the construction of multistrain microbial consortia with desired properties. Typically, a gene network is partitioned between strains, and strains communicate via quorum sensing, allowing for complex behaviors. Yet a fundamental question of how emergent spatiotemporal patterning in multistrain microbial consortia affects consortial dynamics is not understood well. Here, we propose a computationally tractable and straightforward modeling framework that explicitly allows linking spatiotemporal patterning to consortial dynamics. We validate our model against previously published results and make predictions of how spatial heterogeneity impacts interstrain communication. By enabling the investigation of spatial patterns effects on microbial dynamics, our modeling framework informs experimentalists, helps advance the understanding of complex microbial systems, and supports the development of applications involving them.

Delay-induced uncertainty in the glucose-insulin system: Pathogenicity for obesity and type-2 diabetes mellitus.

We have recently shown that physiological delay can induce a novel form of sustained temporal chaos we call delay-induced uncertainty (DIU) (Karamched et al. (Chaos, 2021, 31, 023142)). This paper assesses the impact of DIU on the ability of the glucose-insulin system to maintain homeostasis when responding to the ingestion of meals. We address two questions. First, what is the nature of the DIU phenotype? That is, what physiological macrostates (as encoded by physiological parameters) allow for DIU onset? Second, how does DIU impact health? We find that the DIU phenotype is abundant in the space of intrinsic parameters for the Ultradian glucose-insulin model-a model that has been successfully used to predict glucose-insulin dynamics in humans. Configurations of intrinsic parameters that correspond to high characteristic glucose levels facilitate DIU onset. We argue that DIU is pathogenic for obesity and type-2 diabetes mellitus by linking the statistical profile of DIU to the glucostatic theory of hunger.

A closed-loop multi-scale model for intrinsic frequency-dependent regulation of axonal growth.

This article develops a closed-loop multi-scale model for axon length regulation based on a frequency-dependent negative feedback mechanism. It builds on earlier models by linking molecular motor dynamics to signaling delays that then determine signal oscillation period. The signal oscillation is treated as a front end for a signaling pathway that modulates axonal length. This model is used to demonstrate the feasibility of such a mechanism and is tested against two previously published reports in which experimental manipulations were performed that resulted in axon growth. The model captures these observations and yields an expression for equilibrium axonal length. One major prediction of the model is that increasing motor density in the body of an axon results in axonal growth-this idea has not yet been explored experimentally.

Emergent spatiotemporal population dynamics with cell-length control of synthetic microbial consortia.

The increased complexity of synthetic microbial biocircuits highlights the need for distributed cell functionality due to concomitant increases in metabolic and regulatory burdens imposed on single-strain topologies. Distributed systems, however, introduce additional challenges since consortium composition and spatiotemporal dynamics of constituent strains must be robustly controlled to achieve desired circuit behaviors. Here, we address these challenges with a modeling-based investigation of emergent spatiotemporal population dynamics using cell-length control in monolayer, two-strain bacterial consortia. We demonstrate that with dynamic control of a strain's division length, nematic cell alignment in close-packed monolayers can be destabilized. We find that this destabilization confers an emergent, competitive advantage to smaller-length strains-but by mechanisms that differ depending on the spatial patterns of the population. We used complementary modeling approaches to elucidate underlying mechanisms: an agent-based model to simulate detailed mechanical and signaling interactions between the competing strains, and a reductive, stochastic lattice model to represent cell-cell interactions with a single rotational parameter. Our modeling suggests that spatial strain-fraction oscillations can be generated when cell-length control is coupled to quorum-sensing signaling in negative feedback topologies. Our research employs novel methods of population control and points the way to programming strain fraction dynamics in consortial synthetic biology.

Diffusive transport in the presence of stochastically gated absorption.

We analyze a population of Brownian particles moving in a spatially uniform environment with stochastically gated absorption. The state of the environment at time t is represented by a discrete stochastic variable k(t)∈{0,1} such that the rate of absorption is γ[1-k(t)], with γ a positive constant. The variable k(t) evolves according to a two-state Markov chain. We focus on how stochastic gating affects the attenuation of particle absorption with distance from a localized source in a one-dimensional domain. In the static case (no gating), the steady-state attenuation is given by an exponential with length constant sqrt[D/γ], where D is the diffusivity. We show that gating leads to slower, nonexponential attenuation. We also explore statistical correlations between particles due to the fact that they all diffuse in the same switching environment. Such correlations can be determined in terms of moments of the solution to a corresponding stochastic Fokker-Planck equation.

A frequency-dependent decoding mechanism for axonal length sensing.

We have recently developed a mathematical model of axonal length sensing in which a system of delay differential equations describe a chemical signaling network. We showed that chemical oscillations emerge due to delayed negative feedback via a Hopf bifurcation, resulting in a frequency that is a monotonically decreasing function of axonal length. In this paper, we explore how frequency-encoding of axonal length can be decoded by a frequency-modulated gene network. If the protein output were thresholded, then this could provide a mechanism for axonal length control. We analyze the robustness of such a mechanism in the presence of intrinsic noise due to finite copy numbers within the gene network.

Delayed feedback model of axonal length sensing.

A fundamental question in cell biology is how the sizes of cells and organelles are regulated at various stages of development. Size homeostasis is particularly challenging for neurons, whose axons can extend from hundreds of microns to meters (in humans). Recently, a molecular-motor-based mechanism for axonal length sensing has been proposed, in which axonal length is encoded by the frequency of an oscillating retrograde signal. In this article, we develop a mathematical model of this length-sensing mechanism in which advection-diffusion equations for bidirectional motor transport are coupled to a chemical signaling network. We show that chemical oscillations emerge due to delayed negative feedback via a Hopf bifurcation, resulting in a frequency that is a monotonically decreasing function of axonal length. Knockdown of either kinesin or dynein causes an increase in the oscillation frequency, suggesting that the length-sensing mechanism would produce longer axons, which is consistent with experimental findings. One major prediction of the model is that fluctuations in the transport of molecular motors lead to a reduction in the reliability of the frequency-encoding mechanism for long axons.