Advanced forecasting of COVID-19 epidemic: Leveraging ensemble models, advanced optimization, and decomposition techniques.

In the global effort to address the outbreak of the new coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) pandemic, accurate forecasting of epidemic patterns has become crucial for implementing successful interventions aimed at preventing and controlling the spread of the disease. The correct prediction of the course of COVID-19 outbreaks is a complex and challenging task, mainly because of the significant volatility in the data series related to COVID-19. Previous studies have been limited by the exclusive use of individual forecasting techniques in epidemic modeling, disregarding the integration of diverse prediction procedures. The lack of attention to detail in this situation can yield worse-than-ideal results. Consequently, this study introduces a novel ensemble framework that integrates three machine learning methods (kernel ridge regression (KRidge), Deep random vector functional link (dRVFL), and ridge regression) within a linear relationship (L-KRidge-dRVFL-Ridge). The optimization of this framework is accomplished through a distinctive approach, specifically adaptive differential evolution and particle swarm optimization (A-DEPSO). Moreover, an effective decomposition method, known as time-varying filter empirical mode decomposition (TVF-EMD), is employed to decompose the input variables. A feature selection technique, specifically using the light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), is also implemented to extract the most influential input variables. The daily datasets of COVID-19 collected from two countries, namely Italy and Poland, were used as the experimental examples. Additionally, all models are implemented to forecast COVID-19 at two-time horizons: 10- and 14-day ahead (t+10 and t+14). According to the results, the proposed model can yield higher correlation coefficient (R) for both case studies: Italy (t+10 = 0.965, t+14 = 0.961) and Poland (t+10 = 0.952, t+14 = 0.940) than the other models. The experimental results demonstrate that the model suggested in this paper has outstanding results in various kinds of complex epidemic prediction situations. The proposed ensemble model demonstrates exceptional accuracy and resilience, outperforming all similar models in terms of efficacy.

Evaluation of Mutual Information and Feature Selection for SARS-CoV-2 Respiratory Infection.

This study aims to develop a predictive model for SARS-CoV-2 using machine-learning techniques and to explore various feature selection methods to enhance the accuracy of predictions. A precise forecast of the SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infections spread can help with efficient planning and resource allocation. The proposed model utilizes stochastic regression to capture the virus transmission's stochastic nature, considering data uncertainties. Feature selection techniques are employed to identify the most relevant and informative features contributing to prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the study explores the use of neighbor embedding and Sammon mapping algorithms to visualize high-dimensional SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infection data in a lower-dimensional space, enabling better interpretation and understanding of the underlying patterns. The application of machine-learning techniques for predicting SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infections, the use of statistical measures in healthcare, including confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries, and an analysis of country-wise dynamics of the pandemic using machine-learning models are used. Our analysis involves the performance of various algorithms, including neural networks (NN), decision trees (DT), random forests (RF), the Adam optimizer (AD), hyperparameters (HP), stochastic regression (SR), neighbor embedding (NE), and Sammon mapping (SM). A pre-processed and feature-extracted SARS-CoV-2 respiratory infection dataset is combined with ADHPSRNESM to form a new orchestration in the proposed model for a perfect prediction to increase the precision of accuracy. The findings of this research can contribute to public health efforts by enabling policymakers and healthcare professionals to make informed decisions based on accurate predictions, ultimately aiding in managing and controlling the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

A Novel Bio-Inspired Optimization Algorithm Design for Wind Power Engineering Applications Time-Series Forecasting.

Wind patterns can change due to climate change, causing more storms, hurricanes, and quiet spells. These changes can dramatically affect wind power system performance and predictability. Researchers and practitioners are creating more advanced wind power forecasting algorithms that combine more parameters and data sources. Advanced numerical weather prediction models, machine learning techniques, and real-time meteorological sensor and satellite data are used. This paper proposes a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) forecasting model incorporating a Dynamic Fitness Al-Biruni Earth Radius (DFBER) algorithm to predict wind power data patterns. The performance of this model is compared with several other popular models, including BER, Jaya Algorithm (JAYA), Fire Hawk Optimizer (FHO), Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-based models. The evaluation is done using various metrics such as relative root mean squared error (RRMSE), Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean bias error (MBE), Pearson's correlation coefficient (r), coefficient of determination (R2), and determination agreement (WI). According to the evaluation metrics and analysis presented in the study, the proposed RNN-DFBER-based model outperforms the other models considered. This suggests that the RNN model, combined with the DFBER algorithm, predicts wind power data patterns more effectively than the alternative models. To support the findings, visualizations are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the RNN-DFBER model. Additionally, statistical analyses, such as the ANOVA test and the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test, are conducted to assess the significance and reliability of the results.

An Al-Biruni Earth Radius Optimization-Based Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Classifying Monkeypox Disease.

Human skin diseases have become increasingly prevalent in recent decades, with millions of individuals in developed countries experiencing monkeypox. Such conditions often carry less obvious but no less devastating risks, including increased vulnerability to monkeypox, cancer, and low self-esteem. Due to the low visual resolution of monkeypox disease images, medical specialists with high-level tools are typically required for a proper diagnosis. The manual diagnosis of monkeypox disease is subjective, time-consuming, and labor-intensive. Therefore, it is necessary to create a computer-aided approach for the automated diagnosis of monkeypox disease. Most research articles on monkeypox disease relied on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and using classical loss functions, allowing them to pick up discriminative elements in monkeypox images. To enhance this, a novel framework using Al-Biruni Earth radius (BER) optimization-based stochastic fractal search (BERSFS) is proposed to fine-tune the deep CNN layers for classifying monkeypox disease from images. As a first step in the proposed approach, we use deep CNN-based models to learn the embedding of input images in Euclidean space. In the second step, we use an optimized classification model based on the triplet loss function to calculate the distance between pairs of images in Euclidean space and learn features that may be used to distinguish between different cases, including monkeypox cases. The proposed approach uses images of human skin diseases obtained from an African hospital. The experimental results of the study demonstrate the proposed framework's efficacy, as it outperforms numerous examples of prior research on skin disease problems. On the other hand, statistical experiments with Wilcoxon and analysis of variance (ANOVA) tests are conducted to evaluate the proposed approach in terms of effectiveness and stability. The recorded results confirm the superiority of the proposed method when compared with other optimization algorithms and machine learning models.

Predictive Analysis of Diabetes-Risk with Class Imbalance.

Diabetes type 2 (T2DM) is a common chronic disease, increasingly leading to many complications and affecting vital organs. Hyperglycemia is the main characteristic caused by insufficient insulin secretion and poses a serious risk to human health. The objective is to construct a type-2 diabetes prediction model with high classification accuracy. Advanced machine learning and predictive model techniques are utilized to achieve cutting-edge techniques for the early diagnosis of diabetes. This paper proposes an efficient performance model to predict and classify the minority class of type-2 diabetes. The impact of oversampling and undersampling approaches to reduce the effect of an unbalanced class has been compared to classification performance algorithms. Synthetic Minority Oversampling (SMOTE) and Tomek-links techniques are applied and examined. The outcomes were then compared to the original unbalanced dataset using an artificial neural network (ANN) predictive model. The model is compared with other state-of-the-art classifiers such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT). The tuned model had the best accuracy of 92.2%. The experimental findings clearly manifest the improvement in accuracy and evaluation metrics in terms of AUC and F1-measure using the SMOTE oversampling strategy rather than the baseline and undersampling schemes. The study recommends adopting dynamic hyperparameter optimization to further improve accuracy.

Robust Zero-Watermarking of Color Medical Images Using Multi-Channel Gaussian-Hermite Moments and 1D Chebyshev Chaotic Map.

Copyright protection of medical images is a vital goal in the era of smart healthcare systems. In recent telemedicine applications, medical images are sensed using medical imaging devices and transmitted to remote places for screening by physicians and specialists. During their transmission, the medical images could be tampered with by intruders. Traditional watermarking methods embed the information in the host images to protect the copyright of medical images. The embedding destroys the original image and cannot be applied efficiently to images used in medicine that require high integrity. Robust zero-watermarking methods are preferable over other watermarking algorithms in medical image security due to their outstanding performance. Most existing methods are presented based on moments and moment invariants, which have become a prominent method for zero-watermarking due to their favorable image description capabilities and geometric invariance. Although moment-based zero-watermarking can be an effective approach to image copyright protection, several present approaches cannot effectively resist geometric attacks, and others have a low resistance to large-scale attacks. Besides these issues, most of these algorithms rely on traditional moment computation, which suffers from numerical error accumulation, leading to numerical instabilities, and time consumption and affecting the performance of these moment-based zero-watermarking techniques. In this paper, we derived multi-channel Gaussian-Hermite moments of fractional-order (MFrGHMs) to solve the problems. Then we used a kernel-based method for the highly accurate computation of MFrGHMs to solve the computation issue. Then, we constructed image features that are accurate and robust. Finally, we presented a new zero-watermarking scheme for color medical images using accurate MFrGHMs and 1D Chebyshev chaotic features to achieve lossless copyright protection of the color medical images. We performed experiments where their outcomes ensure the robustness of the proposed zero-watermarking algorithms against various attacks. The proposed zero-watermarking algorithm achieves a good balance between robustness and imperceptibility. Compared with similar existing algorithms, the proposed algorithm has superior robustness, security, and time computation.

Mathematical model based on fractional trace operator for COVID-19 image enhancement.

The medical image enhancement is major class in the image processing which aims for improving the medical diagnosis results. The improving of the quality of the captured medical images is considered as a challenging task in medical image. In this study, a trace operator in fractional calculus linked with the derivative of fractional Rényi entropy is proposed to enhance the low contrast COVID-19 images. The pixel probability values of the input image are obtained first in the proposed image enhancement model. Then the covariance matrix between the input image and the probability of a pixel intensity of the input image to be calculated. Finally, the image enhancement is performed by using the convolution of covariance matrix result with the input image. The proposed enhanced image algorithm is tested against three medical image datasets with different qualities. The experimental results show that the proposed medical image enhancement algorithm achieves the good image quality assessments using both the BRISQUE, and PIQE quality measures. Moreover, the experimental results indicated that the final enhancement of medical images using the proposed algorithm has outperformed other methods. Overall, the proposed algorithm has significantly improved the image which can be useful for medical diagnosis process.

Mutational Slime Mould Algorithm for Gene Selection.

A large volume of high-dimensional genetic data has been produced in modern medicine and biology fields. Data-driven decision-making is particularly crucial to clinical practice and relevant procedures. However, high-dimensional data in these fields increase the processing complexity and scale. Identifying representative genes and reducing the data's dimensions is often challenging. The purpose of gene selection is to eliminate irrelevant or redundant features to reduce the computational cost and improve classification accuracy. The wrapper gene selection model is based on a feature set, which can reduce the number of features and improve classification accuracy. This paper proposes a wrapper gene selection method based on the slime mould algorithm (SMA) to solve this problem. SMA is a new algorithm with a lot of application space in the feature selection field. This paper improves the original SMA by combining the Cauchy mutation mechanism with the crossover mutation strategy based on differential evolution (DE). Then, the transfer function converts the continuous optimizer into a binary version to solve the gene selection problem. Firstly, the continuous version of the method, ISMA, is tested on 33 classical continuous optimization problems. Then, the effect of the discrete version, or BISMA, was thoroughly studied by comparing it with other gene selection methods on 14 gene expression datasets. Experimental results show that the continuous version of the algorithm achieves an optimal balance between local exploitation and global search capabilities, and the discrete version of the algorithm has the highest accuracy when selecting the least number of genes.

A medical image enhancement based on generalized class of fractional partial differential equations.

BACKGROUND: The interest in using fractional calculus operators has grown in the field of image processing. Image enhancement is one of image processing tools that aims to improve the details of an image. The enhancement of medical images is a challenging task due to the unforeseeable variation in the quality of the captured images. METHODS: In this study, we present a mathematical model based on the class of fractional partial differential equations (FPDEs). The class is formulated by the proportional-Caputo hybrid operator (PCHO). Moreover, some properties of the geometric functions in the unit disk are applied to determine the upper bound solutions for this class of FPDEs. The upper bound solution is indicated in the relations of the general hypergeometric functions. The main advantage of FPDE lies in its capability to enhance the low contrast intensities through the proposed fractional enhanced operator. RESULTS: The proposed image enhancement algorithm is tested against brain and lungs computed tomography (CT) scans datasets of different qualities to show that it is robust and can withstand dramatic variations in quality. The quantitative results of Brisque, Piqe, SSEQ, and SAMGVG were 40.93%, 41.13%, 66.09%, and 31.04%, respectively for brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images and 39.07, 41.33, 30.97, and 159.24 respectively for the CT lungs images. The comparative results show that the proposed image enhancement model achieves the best image quality assessments. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, this model significantly improves the details of the given datasets, and could potentially help the medical staff during the diagnosis process.