Machine learning-based gait analysis to predict clinical frailty scale in elderly patients with heart failure.

Aims: Although frailty assessment is recommended for guiding treatment strategies and outcome prediction in elderly patients with heart failure (HF), most frailty scales are subjective, and the scores vary among raters. We sought to develop a machine learning-based automatic rating method/system/model of the clinical frailty scale (CFS) for patients with HF. Methods and results: We prospectively examined 417 elderly (≥75 years) with symptomatic chronic HF patients from 7 centres between January 2019 and October 2023. The patients were divided into derivation (n = 194) and validation (n = 223) cohorts. We obtained body-tracking motion data using a deep learning-based pose estimation library, on a smartphone camera. Predicted CFS was calculated from 128 key features, including gait parameters, using the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) model. To evaluate the performance of this model, we calculated Cohen's weighted kappa (CWK) and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) between the predicted and actual CFSs. In the derivation and validation datasets, the LightGBM models showed excellent agreements between the actual and predicted CFSs [CWK 0.866, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.807-0.911; ICC 0.866, 95% CI 0.827-0.898; CWK 0.812, 95% CI 0.752-0.868; ICC 0.813, 95% CI 0.761-0.854, respectively]. During a median follow-up period of 391 (inter-quartile range 273-617) days, the higher predicted CFS was independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.60, 95% CI 1.02-2.50) after adjusting for significant prognostic covariates. Conclusion: Machine learning-based algorithms of automatically CFS rating are feasible, and the predicted CFS is associated with the risk of all-cause death in elderly patients with HF.

Association of coronary plaque morphology with inflammatory biomarkers and target lesion revascularization in patients with chronic coronary syndrome: an optical coherence tomography study.

BACKGROUND: The characteristics of high-risk coronary atherosclerosis evaluated using optical coherence tomography (OCT) can have a prognostic role. Inflammatory biomarkers may be related to the severity of coronary artery disease. This study investigated the association of high-risk morphological features of coronary plaques on OCT with circulating levels of inflammatory biomarkers and target lesion revascularization (TLR). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We prospectively analyzed the data of 30 consecutive patients with chronic coronary syndrome who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using OCT. The levels of interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-alpha, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, pentraxin 3, vascular endothelial growth factor, and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) were measured in plasma samples. Coronary plaque characteristics were scored quantitatively in the form of coronary plaque risk score (CPRS). The estimated high-risk plaque characteristics for TLR were plaque rupture, plaque erosion, calcified nodule, lipid-rich plaque, thin-cap fibroatheroma, cholesterol crystals, macrophage infiltration, microchannels, calcification angle >90°, and microcalcifications. Each high-risk feature carries 1 point. Patients were defined as having a low CPRS (CPRS ≤3) or a high CPRS (CPRS ≥4). RESULTS: The primary outcome was TLR. TLR occurred in 6 (20%) patients within 15 months of PCI. High CPRS on OCT was directly correlated with TLR (P=0.029). In logistic regression analysis, CPRS was associated with TLR (odds ratio, 10.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.34-74.5). Serum MCP-1 level was significantly correlated with the CPRS (P=0.020). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic coronary syndrome, CPRS may be a surrogate predictor of TLR. Serum MCP-1 may aid in the detection of high-risk coronary atherosclerosis.

Association of longitudinal cardiac troponin trajectory with adverse events in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis.

BACKGROUND: Although high-sensitivity cardiac troponins may be sensitive and easily repeatable markers of disease activity in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS), the association between longitudinal cardiac troponin trajectory and adverse events remains unclear. This study aimed to clarify whether longitudinal cardiac troponin levels were associated with adverse events in patients with CS. METHODS: We examined 63 consecutive CS-initiated prednisolone (PSL) patients with available longitudinal high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (cTnT) data between December 2013 and March 2023. The area under the cTnT trajectory, which reflected cumulative cTnT release, was calculated to assess the association between longitudinal cTnT levels and adverse events. Patients were divided into two groups according to the median area under the cTnT trajectory per month. The primary outcome was a composite of sustained ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation, worsening heart failure, and sudden cardiac death (SCD). RESULTS: In total, 463 cTnT measurements were collected over a median follow-up period of 30.4 (interquartile range [IQR] 15.6-34.2) months. The primary outcome was observed in 12 (19%) patients. A higher area under the cTnT trajectory was significantly associated with an increased incidence of the primary outcome (P = 0.027), while cTnT levels before and one month after initiation of PSL, and these changes were not related to adverse events (P = 0.179, 0.096, and 0.95, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal cTnT trajectory following PSL initiation was associated with adverse cardiac events in patients with CS, suggesting that longitudinal measurement of cTnT would be useful for the early identification of high-risk patients.

Prognostic Value of Liver Fibrotic Markers in Patients With Heart Failure.

Several liver fibrotic markers are associated with prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF). However, the optimal markers for outcome prediction remain unclear. This study aimed to simultaneously investigate the prognostic value of liver fibrotic markers and the associations between these markers and clinical parameters in patients with HF without organic liver disease. We prospectively examined 211 consecutive patients with chronic HF between April 2018 and August 2021, excluding those with organic liver disease, using liver magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound. A total of 7 representative liver fibrotic markers were measured in all patients. The primary outcome of interest was the composite of all-cause death and hospitalization for worsening HF. During a median follow-up period of 747 (interquartile range 465 to 1,042) days, the primary outcome occurred in 45 patients. Patients with higher hyaluronic acid and type III procollagen N-terminal peptide (P-III-P) levels showed a significantly higher incidence of the primary outcome than those without (p <0.001 and p = 0.005, respectively). The multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that hyaluronic acid and P-III-P levels were independently associated with the risk of adverse events (hazard ratio 1.84, 95% confidence interval 1.18 to 2.87 and hazard ratio 2.89, 95% confidence interval 1.32 to 6.34, respectively) even after adjustment for a mortality prediction model, whereas the other 5 markers were not associated with the primary outcome. In conclusion, among the representative liver fibrotic markers, hyaluronic acid and P-III-P might be the optimal markers for outcome prediction in patients with HF.

Fragmented QRS on 12-lead electrocardiogram predicts long-term prognosis in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis.

Fragmented QRS (fQRS) on a 12-lead electrocardiogram is a known marker of fatal arrhythmias or cardiac adverse events in ischemic and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy patients. Nonetheless, the association between fQRS and clinical outcomes in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS) remains unclear. Herein, we investigated whether fQRS is associated with long-term clinical outcomes in CS patients. A total of 78 patients who received immunosuppressive therapy (IST) for clinically diagnosed CS were retrospectively examined. Patients were classified into two groups according to the presence (n = 19) or absence (n = 59) of fQRS on electrocardiogram before IST. The primary outcome was the composite event of all-cause death, ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VTs), and hospitalization for heart failure. Results of late gadolinium enhancement on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging were also analyzed. During a median follow-up period of 3.7 years (interquartile range: 1.6-6.2 years), the primary outcome occurred more frequently in patients with fQRS than in those without (47% vs. 13%, log-rank p = 0.002). Multivariable Cox regression analyses showed that fQRS was an independent determinant of the primary outcome. The incidence of VTs, within 12 months of IST initiation, was comparable between the two groups; however, late-onset VTs, defined as those occurring ≥ 12 months after IST initiation, occurred more frequently in the fQRS group (21% vs. 2%, log-rank p = 0.002). The scar zone and scar border zone were greater in patients with fQRS than in those without it. In conclusion, our analysis suggests that fQRS is an independent predictor of adverse events, particularly late-onset VTs, in patients with CS.

Applicability of new proposed criteria for iron deficiency in Japanese patients with heart failure.

AIMS: Iron deficiency (ID) is a common co-morbidity in patients with heart failure (HF). A recent study showed that ID defined by the current guideline criteria was not associated with worse clinical outcomes, and new ID criteria was proposed in patients with HF. However, the external applicability of the new proposed criteria is unclear. We sought to investigate the applicability of the proposed ID criteria in Japanese patients with HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We prospectively examined 763 patients with chronic HF from a Japanese multicentre registry. The proposed ID criteria were transferrin saturation (TSAT) < 20% and serum iron ≤13 mmol/L and the guideline ID criteria were serum ferritin <100 ng/mL or, when ferritin was 100-299 ng/mL, TSAT <20%. Among all patients (456 male, mean age 71 ± 13 years), 213 (28%) and 444 (58%) met the proposed and guideline ID criteria, respectively. During a median follow-up period of 436 days (interquartile range 297-565), the primary outcome of all-cause mortality occurred in 56 (7%) patients. There was no significant difference in the primary outcome between the patients with and without guideline ID criteria (P = 0.32), whereas patients with serum iron ≤10 µmol/L showed higher mortality (P = 0.002). In multivariable Cox regressions, the proposed ID criteria, but not guideline ID criteria, were independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.01, 95% CI 1.16-3.51 and HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.76-2.28, respectively), even after adjustment for covariates. CONCLUSIONS: When defined by the proposed criteria and not the guideline criteria, ID was associated with higher mortality in patients with chronic HF, suggesting that the proposed ID criteria is applicable to the Japanese population.

Liver stiffness assessed by magnetic resonance elastography predicts clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure and without chronic liver disease.

OBJECTIVES: Evaluation of liver stiffness (LS) by magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is useful for estimating right atrial pressure (RAP) in patients with heart failure (HF). However, its prognostic implications are unclear. We sought to investigate whether LS measured by MRE (LS-MRE) could predict clinical outcomes in patients with HF. METHODS: We prospectively examined 207 consecutive HF patients between April 2018 and May 2021 after excluding those with organic liver disease. All patients underwent 3.0-T MRE. The primary outcome of interest was the composite of all-cause death and hospitalisation for HF. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 720 (interquartile range [IQR] 434-1013) days, the primary outcome occurred in 44 patients (21%), including 15 (7%) all-cause deaths and 29 (14%) hospitalisations for HF. The patients were divided into two groups according to median LS-MRE of 2.54 (IQR 2.34-2.82) kPa. Patients with higher LS-MRE showed a higher incidence of the primary outcome compared to those with lower LS-MRE (p < 0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analyses revealed that LS-MRE value was independently associated with the risk of adverse events (hazard ratio 2.49, 95% confidence interval 1.46-4.24). In multivariable linear regression, RAP showed a stronger correlation with LS-MRE (ß coefficient = 0.31, p < 0.001) compared to markers related to liver fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS: In patients without chronic liver disease and presenting with HF, elevated LS-MRE was independently associated with worse clinical outcomes. Elevated LS-MRE may be useful for risk stratification in patients with HF and without chronic liver disease. KEY POINTS: • Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an emerging non-invasive imaging technique for evaluating liver stiffness (LS) which can estimate right atrial pressure. • Elevated LS-MRE, which mainly reflects liver congestion, was independently associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure. • The assessment of LS-MRE would be useful for stratifying the risk of adverse events in heart failure patients without chronic liver disease.

Association of high serum soluble interleukin 2 receptor levels with risk of adverse events in cardiac sarcoidosis.

AIMS: Although soluble interleukin 2 receptor (sIL-2R) is a potentially useful biomarker in the diagnosis and evaluation of disease severity in patients with sarcoidosis, its prognostic implication in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS) is unclear. We sought to investigate whether sIL-2R was associated with clinical outcomes and to clarify the relationship between sIL-2R levels and disease activity in patients with CS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined 83 consecutive patients with CS in our hospital who had available serum sIL-2R data between May 2003 and February 2020. The primary outcome was a composite of advanced atrioventricular block, ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation, heart failure hospitalization, and all-cause death. Inflammatory activity in the myocardium and lymph nodes was assessed by 18 F-fluorideoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography. During a median follow-up period of 2.96 (IQR 2.24-4.27) years, the primary outcome occurred in 24 patients (29%). Higher serum sIL-2R levels (>538 U/mL, the median) were significantly related to increased incidence of primary outcome (P = 0.037). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that a higher sIL-2R was independently associated with an increased subsequent risk of adverse events (HR 3.71, 95% CI 1.63-8.44, P = 0.002), even after adjustment for significant covariates. sIL-2R levels were significantly correlated to inflammatory activity in lymph nodes (r = 0.346, P = 0.003) but not the myocardium (r = 0.131, P = 0.27). CONCLUSIONS: Increased sIL-2R is associated with worse long-term clinical outcomes accompanied by increased systemic inflammatory activity in CS patients.

Acute Myocardial Infarction of the Left Main Coronary Artery Presenting with Cardiogenic Shock and Pulmonary Edema during Noncardiac Surgery.

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) caused by severe stenosis of left main coronary artery (LMCA) presenting with cardiogenic shock and pulmonary edema during noncardiac surgery is uncommon, but a catastrophic event. A 77-year-old male with cholangiocarcinoma underwent hepatectomy. During the surgery, he presented with cardiogenic shock, which did not respond to infusion administration or vasopressor. A transesophageal echocardiogram revealed anterior, septal, and lateral severe hypokinesia and impaired left ventricular function. Emergent coronary angiogram showed severe stenosis of LMCA. The patient underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) under the support of intra-aortic balloon pump, followed by extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The chest roentgenogram showed pulmonary edema. Two days after PCI, he successfully underwent hepatectomy and bile duct resection. Early identification of the cause of hemodynamic instability during noncardiac surgery and invasive strategy are important for minimizing the myocardial injury and improving clinical outcomes in AMI of LMCA.

Applicability of the AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator Implantation in Japanese Patients With Cardiac Sarcoidosis.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess, among Japanese patients with cardiac sarcoidosis (CS), the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) recommendations from the 2017 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Heart Rhythm Society (AHA/ACC/HRS) guidelines for management of patients with ventricular arrhythmias and the prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD). BACKGROUND: Although ICDs are used to prevent SCD from ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF) in patients with CS, the generalizability of the AHA/ACC/HRS guidelines for Japanese patients with CS remains unclear. METHODS: This study examined 188 consecutive patients with CS in 2 tertiary hospitals between 1979 and 2020. Patients were followed for a primary outcome of VT/VF or SCD. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.68 years, the primary outcome occurred in 44 patients (23%). Patients with a Class I recommendation for ICD implantation showed the highest incidence of the primary outcome among patients in whom the guideline recommendations for ICD implantation were used (log-rank test; p = 0.03). However, compared with patients with left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs) ≤35%, there was no significant difference in the incidence of the primary outcome among patients with LVEFs >35% and those who required a permanent pacemaker (p = 0.31); similar results were observed in those with LVEFs >35% and late gadolinium enhancement during cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (p = 0.22). CONCLUSIONS: The American guideline recommendations for ICD implantation might be applicable to Japanese patients with CS. Implantation of an ICD may need to be considered in these patients if they require a permanent pacemaker or have late gadolinium enhancement, regardless of LVEF.

Long-Term Prognostic Significance of Ventricular Repolarization Dispersion in Patients with Cardiac Sarcoidosis.

Cardiac sarcoidosis (CS) is frequently complicated by fatal ventricular arrhythmias. T-peak to T-end interval to QT interval ratio (TpTe/QT) on electrocardiograms (ECG) was proposed as a marker of ventricular repolarization dispersion. Although this ratio could be associated with the incidence of ventricular arrhythmias in cardiovascular diseases, its prognostic implication in patients with CS is unclear. We sought to investigate whether TpTe/QT was associated with long-term clinical outcomes in patients with CS. Ninety consecutive patients with CS in 2 tertiary hospitals who had ECG data before initiation of immunosuppressive therapy between November 1995 and March 2019 were examined. The primary outcome was a composite of advanced atrioventricular block, ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF), heart failure hospitalization, and all-cause death. During a median follow-up period of 4.70 (interquartile range 2.06-7.23) years, the primary outcome occurred in 21 patients (23.3%). Survival analyses revealed that the primary outcome (p < 0.001), especially VT/VF or sudden cardiac death (p = 0.002), occurred more frequently in patients with higher TpTe/QT (≥ 0.242, the median) than in those with lower TpTe/QT. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that a higher TpTe/QT was independently associated with increased subsequent risk of adverse events (hazard ratio1.11, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.20, p = 0.008) even after adjustment for the significant covariates. In conclusion, a higher TpTe/QT was associated with worse long-term clinical outcomes, especially fatal ventricular arrhythmic events, in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis, suggesting the importance of assessing TpTe/QT as a surrogate for risk stratification in these patients.

Blood flow dynamics with four-dimensional flow cardiovascular magnetic resonance in patients with aortic stenosis before and after transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

BACKGROUND: Pre- and post-procedural hemodynamic changes which could affect adverse outcomes in aortic stenosis (AS) patients who undergo transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) have not been well investigated. Four-dimensional (4D) flow cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) enables accurate analysis of blood flow dynamics such as flow velocity, flow pattern, wall shear stress (WSS), and energy loss (EL). We sought to examine the changes in blood flow dynamics of patients with severe AS who underwent TAVR. METHODS: We examined 32 consecutive severe AS patients who underwent TAVR between May 2018 and June 2019 (17 men, 82 ± 5 years, median left ventricular ejection fraction 61%, 6 self-expanding valve), after excluding those without CMR because of a contraindication or inadequate imaging from the analyses. We analyzed blood flow patterns, WSS and EL in the ascending aorta (AAo), and those changes before and after TAVR using 4D flow CMR. RESULTS: After TAVR, semi-quantified helical flow in the AAo was significantly decreased (1.4 ± 0.6 vs. 1.9 ± 0.8, P = 0.002), whereas vortical flow and eccentricity showed no significant changes. WSS along the ascending aortic circumference was significantly decreased in the left (P = 0.038) and left anterior (P = 0.033) wall at the basal level, right posterior (P = 0.011) and left (P = 0.010) wall at the middle level, and right (P = 0.012), left posterior (P = 0.019) and left anterior (P = 0.028) wall at the upper level. EL in the AAo was significantly decreased (15.6 [10.8-25.1 vs. 25.8 [18.6-36.2]] mW, P = 0.012). Furthermore, a significant negative correlation was observed between EL and effective orifice area index after TAVR (r = - 0.38, P = 0.034). CONCLUSIONS: In severe AS patients undergoing TAVR, 4D flow CMR demonstrates that TAVR improves blood flow dynamics, especially when a larger effective orifice area index is obtained.

Prognostic value of admission serum magnesium in acute myocardial infarction complicated by malignant ventricular arrhythmias.

OBJECTIVES: Although electrolyte abnormalities are related to worse clinical outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), little is known about the association between admission serum magnesium level and adverse events in AMI patients complicated by out-of-hospital cardiac arrest presenting with malignant ventricular arrhythmias (OHCA-MVA). We investigated the prognostic value of serum magnesium level on admission in these patients. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 165 consecutive reperfused AMI patients complicated with OHCA-MVA between April 2007 and February 2020 in our university hospital. Serum magnesium concentration was measured on admission. The primary outcome was in-hospital death. RESULTS: Fifty-four patients (33%) died during hospitalization. Higher serum magnesium level was significantly related to in-hospital death (Fine & Gray's test; p < 0.001). In multivariable logistic regression analyses, serum magnesium level on admission was independently associated with in-hospital death (hazard ratio 2.68, 95% confidence interval 1.24-5.80) even after adjustment for covariates. Furthermore, the incidences of cardiogenic shock necessitating an intra-aortic balloon pump (p = 0.005) or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (p < 0.001), tracheal intubation (p < 0.001) and persistent vegetative state (p = 0.002) were significantly higher in patients with higher serum magnesium level than in those with lower serum magnesium level. CONCLUSIONS: In reperfused AMI patients complicated by OHCA-MVA, admission serum magnesium level might be a potential surrogate marker for predicting in-hospital death.

Lower left ventricular ejection fraction and higher serum angiotensin-converting enzyme activity are associated with histopathological diagnosis by endomyocardial biopsy in patients with cardiac sarcoidosis.

BACKGROUND: The histopathological diagnosis of cardiac sarcoidosis (CS) is challenging because of sampling error in endomyocardial biopsy (EMB) and the determinants of positive EMB are unclear. Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is a simple parameter of the extent of myocardial damage, and higher serum angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) activity would indicate the spread of disease activity in CS patients. Thus, we sought to examine whether these parameters are related to the histopathological diagnosis of CS by EMB. METHODS: A total of 94 consecutive clinically diagnosed CS patients between August 1986 and March 2019 who were admitted to two academic hospitals were examined. We determined EMB as positive if non-caseating epithelioid granulomas were confirmed in the myocardial tissue. Patients were divided into two groups according to positive (n = 37) and negative (n = 57) EMB. We assessed the relationship between LVEF, serum ACE activity and positive EMB. RESULTS: Multivariable analysis revealed that both LVEF and serum ACE were independently associated with positive EMB (OR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70-0.99; OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.02-1.90, respectively). Moreover, patients with both lower LVEF (<37%, median) and higher ACE activity (≥13.5 IU/L, median) had the highest frequency of positive EMB (p = .003). The combination of lower LVEF and higher serum ACE showed better specificity (91.2%) and positive predictive value (73.7%) than either LVEF or serum ACE alone for positive EMB. CONCLUSIONS: Lower LVEF and higher serum ACE activity were associated with positive EMB, suggesting that these parameters might be useful for predicting positive EMB in CS patients.