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1.
Ann Surg ; 2024 May 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38708885

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between perineural invasion (PNI) and overall survival (OS) in a nationwide cohort of patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), stratified for margin negative (R0) or positive (R1) resection and absence or presence of lymph node metastasis (pN0 or pN1-N2, respectively). BACKGROUND: Patients with R0 and pN0 resected PDAC have a relatively favorable prognosis. As PNI is associated with worse OS, this might be a useful factor to provide further prognostic information for patients counselling. METHODS: A nationwide observational cohort study was performed including all patients who underwent PDAC resection in the Netherlands (2014-2019) with complete information on relevant pathological features (PNI, R status, and N status). OS was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox-proportional hazard analyses were performed to calculate hazard ratio's (HR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: In total, 1630 patients were included with a median follow-up of 43 (interquartile range 33-58) months. PNI was independently associated with worse OS in both R0 patients (HR 1.49 [95%CI 1.18-1.88]; P<0.001) and R1 patients (HR 1.39 [95% CI 1.06-1.83]; P=0.02), as well as in pN0 patients (HR 1.75 [95%CI 1.27-2.41]; P<0.001) and pN1-N2 patients (HR 1.35 [95% CI 1.10-1.67]; P<0.01). In 315 patients with R0N0, multivariable analysis showed that PNI was the strongest predictor of OS (HR 2.24 [95% CI 1.52-3.30]; P<0.001). CONCLUSION: PNI is strongly associated with worse survival in patients with resected PDAC, in particular in patients with relatively favorable pathological features. These findings may aid patient stratification and counselling and help guide treatment strategies.

4.
Cancer Sci ; 2024 Apr 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38686549

ABSTRACT

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has a dismal prognosis with a 5-year survival of less than 10%. More knowledge of the immune response developed in patients with PDAC is pivotal to develop better combination immune therapies to improve clinical outcome. In this study, we used mass cytometry time-of-flight to undertake an in-depth characterization of PBMCs from patients with PDAC and examine the differences with healthy controls and patients with benign diseases of the biliary system or pancreas. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells from patients with PDAC or benign disease are characterized by the increase of pro-inflammatory cells, as CD86+ classical monocytes and memory T cells expressing CCR6+ and CXCR3+, associated with T helper 1 (Th1) and Th17 immune responses, respectively. However, PBMCs from patients with PDAC present also an increase of CD39+ regulatory T cells and CCR4+CCR6-CXCR3- memory T cells, suggesting Th2 and regulatory responses. Concluding, our results show PDAC develops a multifaceted immunity, where a proinflammatory component is accompanied by regulatory responses, which could inhibit potential antitumor mechanisms.

5.
J Surg Oncol ; 2024 Apr 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38567691

ABSTRACT

This review summarizes the key applications of a hybrid operating room (HOR) in hepatobiliary surgery and explores the advantages, limitations, and future directions of its utilization. A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed to identify articles reporting on the utilization of HORs in liver surgery. So far, the HOR has been limitedly applied in hepatobiliary surgery. It can offer an optimal environment for combining radiological and surgical interventions and for performing image-guided surgical navigation.

6.
J Clin Med ; 13(6)2024 Mar 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38541904

ABSTRACT

Occult metastases are detected in 10-15% of patients during exploratory laparotomy for pancreatic cancer. This study developed and externally validated a model to predict occult metastases in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic cancer. Model development was performed within the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit, including all patients operated for pancreatic cancer (January 2013-December 2017). Multivariable logistic regression analysis based on the Akaike Information Criteria was performed with intraoperative pathologically proven metastases as the outcome. The model was externally validated with a cohort from the University Hospital of Verona (January 2013-December 2017). For model development, 2262 patients were included of whom 235 (10%) had occult metastases, located in the liver (n = 143, 61%), peritoneum (n = 73, 31%), or both (n = 19, 8%). The model included age (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.03), BMI (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.99), preoperative nutritional support (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.01-2.74), tumor diameter (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.04-2.45), tumor composition (solid vs. cystic) (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.20-4.35), and indeterminate lesions on preoperative imaging (OR 4.01, 95% CI 2.16-7.43). External validation showed poor discrimination with a C-statistic of 0.56. Although some predictor variables were significantly associated with occult metastases, the model performed insufficiently at external validation.

7.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 2024 Mar 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38472674

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A right- or left-sided liver resection can be considered in about half of patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA), depending on tumor location and vascular involvement. This study compared postoperative mortality and long-term survival of right- versus left-sided liver resections for pCCA. METHODS: Patients who underwent major liver resection for pCCA at 25 Western centers were stratified according to the type of hepatectomy-left, extended left, right, and extended right. The primary outcomes were 90-day mortality and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2022, 1701 patients underwent major liver resection for pCCA. The 90-day mortality was 9% after left-sided and 18% after right-sided liver resection (p < 0.001). The 90-day mortality rates were 8% (44/540) after left, 11% (29/276) after extended left, 17% (51/309) after right, and 19% (108/576) after extended right hepatectomy (p < 0.001). Median OS was 30 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 27-34) after left and 23 months (95% CI 20-25) after right liver resection (p < 0.001), and 33 months (95% CI 28-38), 27 months (95% CI 23-32), 25 months (95% CI 21-30), and 21 months (95% CI 18-24) after left, extended left, right, and extended right hepatectomy, respectively (p < 0.001). A left-sided resection was an independent favorable prognostic factor for both 90-day mortality and OS compared with right-sided resection, with similar results after excluding 90-day fatalities. CONCLUSIONS: A left or extended left hepatectomy is associated with a lower 90-day mortality and superior OS compared with an (extended) right hepatectomy for pCCA. When both a left and right liver resection are feasible, a left-sided liver resection is preferred.

8.
Cancers (Basel) ; 16(5)2024 Feb 23.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38473260

ABSTRACT

This international multicenter cohort study included 30 centers. Patients with duodenal adenocarcinoma (DAC), intestinal-type (AmpIT) and pancreatobiliary-type (AmpPB) ampullary adenocarcinoma, distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA), and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) were included. The primary outcome was 30-day or in-hospital mortality, and secondary outcomes were major morbidity (Clavien-Dindo 3b≥), clinically relevant post-operative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF), and length of hospital stay (LOS). Results: Overall, 3622 patients were included in the study (370 DAC, 811 AmpIT, 895 AmpPB, 1083 dCCA, and 463 PDAC). Mortality rates were comparable between DAC, AmpIT, AmpPB, and dCCA (ranging from 3.7% to 5.9%), while lower for PDAC (1.5%, p = 0.013). Major morbidity rate was the lowest in PDAC (4.4%) and the highest for DAC (19.9%, p < 0.001). The highest rates of CR-POPF were observed in DAC (27.3%), AmpIT (25.5%), and dCCA (27.6%), which were significantly higher compared to AmpPB (18.5%, p = 0.001) and PDAC (8.3%, p < 0.001). The shortest LOS was found in PDAC (11 d vs. 14-15 d, p < 0.001). Discussion: In conclusion, this study shows significant variations in perioperative mortality, post-operative complications, and hospital stay among different periampullary cancers, and between the ampullary subtypes. Further research should assess the biological characteristics and tissue reactions associated with each type of periampullary cancer, including subtypes, in order to improve patient management and personalized treatment.

9.
HPB (Oxford) ; 26(5): 639-647, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38373870

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a lack of consensus on the definition of upfront resectability and use of perioperative systemic therapy for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). This survey aimed to summarize the current treatment strategies for upfront resectable CRLM throughout Europe. METHODS: A survey was sent to all members of the European-African Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association to gain insight into the current views on resectability and the use of systemic therapy for upfront resectable CRLM. RESULTS: The survey was completed by 87 surgeons from 24 countries. The resectability of CRLM is mostly based on the volume of the future liver remnant, while considering tumor biology. Thermal ablation was considered as an acceptable adjunct to resection in parenchymal-sparing CRLM surgery by 77 % of the respondents. A total of 40.2 % of the respondents preferred standard perioperative systemic therapy and 24.1 % preferred standard upfront local treatment. CONCLUSION: Among the participating European hepato-pancreato-biliary surgeons, there is a high degree of consensus on the definition of CRLM resectability. However, there is much variety in the use of adjunctive thermal ablation. Major variations persist in the use of perioperative systemic therapy in cases of upfront resectable CRLM, stressing the need for further evidence and a consensus.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Hepatectomy , Liver Neoplasms , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Humans , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Liver Neoplasms/surgery , Liver Neoplasms/therapy , Europe , Health Care Surveys , Treatment Outcome , Consensus , Chemotherapy, Adjuvant , Ablation Techniques , Neoadjuvant Therapy
10.
Cardiovasc Intervent Radiol ; 47(5): 642-649, 2024 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38416177

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Sarcopenia is associated with a decreased kinetic growth rate (KGR) of the future liver remnant (FLR) after portal vein embolization (PVE). However, little is known on the increase in FLR function (FLRF) after PVE. This study evaluated the effect of sarcopenia on the functional growth rate (FGR) after PVE measured with hepatobiliary scintigraphy (HBS). METHODS: All patients who underwent PVE at the Amsterdam UMC between January 2005 and August 2017 were analyzed. Functional imaging by HBS was used to determine FGR. Liver volumetry was performed using multiphase contrast computed tomography (CT). Muscle area measurement to determine sarcopenia was taken at the third lumbar level (L3). RESULTS: Out of the 95 included patients, 9 were excluded due to unavailable data. 70/86 (81%) patients were sarcopenic. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, sarcopenia (p = 0.009) and FLR volume (FRLV) before PVE (p = 0.021) were the only factors correlated with KGR, while no correlation was found with FGR. 90-day mortality was similar across the sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic group (4/53 [8%] versus 1/11 [9%]; p = 1.000). The resection rates were also comparable (53/70 [75%] versus 11/16 [69%]; p = 0.542). CONCLUSION: FGR after PVE as measured by HBS appears to be preserved in sarcopenic patients. This is in contrast to KGR after PVE as measured by liver volumetry which is decreased in sarcopenic patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level 3b, cohort and case control studies.


Subject(s)
Embolization, Therapeutic , Liver , Portal Vein , Sarcopenia , Tomography, X-Ray Computed , Humans , Sarcopenia/diagnostic imaging , Male , Female , Portal Vein/diagnostic imaging , Middle Aged , Embolization, Therapeutic/methods , Liver/diagnostic imaging , Aged , Organ Size , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods , Retrospective Studies , Liver Regeneration/physiology
11.
Langenbecks Arch Surg ; 409(1): 66, 2024 Feb 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38368313

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Mucinous cystic neoplasms of the liver (MCN-L) are hepatic cysts with a low malignant potential. The recent European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) guidelines provide guidance on the imaging features and surgical management of MCN-L, yet are hampered by a lack of studies adhering to the revised World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. This study attempted to validate the new 2022 EASL-guidelines in a retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent surgery for suspected MCN-L. METHODS: Patients undergoing surgery for suspected MCN-L in a single center between 2010 and 2020 were included. Imaging features were assessed according to the EASL guidelines and were compared to final pathological diagnoses, according to the WHO criteria. RESULTS: In total, 35 patients were included. In three patients, there were no worrisome imaging features, yet final pathological diagnosis showed MCN-L. Contrarily, six patients with worrisome imaging features did not have MCN-L. Five patients were diagnosed with MCN-L on final pathology. The sensitivity of the EASL-guidelines for the diagnosis of MCN-L was 40% (95%CI: 5.3-85%) and the specificity was 80% (95% CI: 61-92%). CONCLUSION: Although the new EASL-guidelines provide some guidance, they could not reliably distinguish MCN-L from other cysts in our series. Thus, preoperative diagnosis of MCN-L remains challenging and we should be careful in selecting surgical strategies based on these criteria.


Subject(s)
Cysts , Liver Neoplasms , Neoplasms, Cystic, Mucinous, and Serous , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Pancreatic Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Liver Neoplasms/surgery
12.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 2024 Feb 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38386198

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Novel definitions suggest that resectability status for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) should be assessed beyond anatomical criteria, considering both biological and conditional factors. This has, however, yet to be validated on a nationwide scale. This study evaluated the prognostic value of biological and conditional factors for staging of patients with resectable PDAC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A nationwide observational cohort study was performed, including all consecutive patients who underwent upfront resection of National Comprehensive Cancer Network resectable PDAC in the Netherlands (2014-2019) with complete information on preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status. PDAC was considered biologically unfavorable (RB+) if CA19-9 ≥ 500 U/mL and favorable (RB-) otherwise. ECOG ≥ 2 was considered conditionally unfavorable (RC+) and favorable otherwise (RC-). Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox-proportional hazard analysis, presented as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Overall, 688 patients were analyzed with a median overall survival (OS) of 20 months (95% CI 19-23). OS was 14 months (95% CI 10 months-median not reached) in 20 RB+C+ patients (3%; HR 1.61, 95% CI 0.86-2.70), 13 months (95% CI 11-15) in 156 RB+C- patients (23%; HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.50-2.31), and 21 months (95% CI 12-41) in 47 RB-C+ patients (7%; HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.80-1.62) compared with 24 months (95% CI 22-27) in 465 patients with RB-C- PDAC (68%; reference). CONCLUSIONS: Survival after upfront resection of anatomically resectable PDAC is worse in patients with CA19-9 ≥ 500 U/mL, while performance status had no impact. This supports consideration of CA19-9 in preoperative staging of resectable PDAC.

13.
Eur Radiol Exp ; 8(1): 18, 2024 Feb 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38342782

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop and evaluate an automatic model using artificial intelligence (AI) for quantifying vascular involvement and classifying tumor resectability stage in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), primarily to support radiologists in referral centers. Resectability of PDAC is determined by the degree of vascular involvement on computed tomography scans (CTs), which is associated with considerable inter-observer variability. METHODS: We developed a semisupervised machine learning segmentation model to segment the PDAC and surrounding vasculature using 613 CTs of 467 patients with pancreatic tumors and 50 control patients. After segmenting the relevant structures, our model quantifies vascular involvement by measuring the degree of the vessel wall that is in contact with the tumor using AI-segmented CTs. Based on these measurements, the model classifies the resectability stage using the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group criteria as either resectable, borderline resectable, or locally advanced (LA). RESULTS: We evaluated the performance of the model using a test set containing 60 CTs from 60 patients, consisting of 20 resectable, 20 borderline resectable, and 20 locally advanced cases, by comparing the automated analysis obtained from the model to expert visual vascular involvement assessments. The model concurred with the radiologists on 227/300 (76%) vessels for determining vascular involvement. The model's resectability classification agreed with the radiologists on 17/20 (85%) resectable, 16/20 (80%) for borderline resectable, and 15/20 (75%) for locally advanced cases. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that an AI model may allow automatic quantification of vascular involvement and classification of resectability for PDAC. RELEVANCE STATEMENT: This AI model enables automated vascular involvement quantification and resectability classification for pancreatic cancer, aiding radiologists in treatment decisions, and potentially improving patient outcomes. KEY POINTS: • High inter-observer variability exists in determining vascular involvement and resectability for PDAC. • Artificial intelligence accurately quantifies vascular involvement and classifies resectability for PDAC. • Artificial intelligence can aid radiologists by automating vascular involvement and resectability assessments.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Humans , Artificial Intelligence , Pancreatic Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging , Pancreatic Neoplasms/surgery , Pancreatic Neoplasms/pathology , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal/diagnostic imaging , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal/surgery , Tomography, X-Ray Computed/methods
14.
HPB (Oxford) ; 26(4): 558-564, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38245491

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cholangitis is a well-known complication after hepaticojejunostomy (HJ), which is mainly caused by a stenotic anastomosis. However, the rate of cholangitis in patients with a non-stenotic (i.e. patent) HJ is unknown. We aimed to evaluate the incidence and risk factors of recurrent cholangitis in patients with a non-stenotic HJ. METHODS: This single-center retrospective cohort study included all consecutive patients who had undergone hepatobiliary or pancreatic (HPB) surgery requiring HJ (2015-2022). Primary outcome was recurrent non-stenotic cholangitis, risk factors for recurrent non-stenotic cholangitis were identified using logistic regression. RESULTS: Overall, 835 patients with a HJ were included of whom 31/698 (4.4%) patients developed recurrent cholangitis with a non-stenotic HJ during a median follow-up of 34 months (IQR 22-50) and 98/796 (12.3%) patients developed a symptomatic HJ stenosis. These 31 patients experienced 205 cholangitis episodes, median 7.0 (IQR 3.8-8.8) per patient, and 71/205 (34.6%) cholangitis episodes required hospitalization. Male sex (aOR 3.17 (95% CI: 1.34-7.49)) and benign disease (aOR 2.97, 95% CI 1.40-6.33) were identified as risk factors for recurrent cholangitis in non-stenotic HJ in both univariate and multivariable analysis. CONCLUSION: This study shows that 4% of patients developed recurrent cholangitis without an underlying HJ stenosis.


Subject(s)
Cholangitis , Postoperative Complications , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , Constriction, Pathologic/etiology , Constriction, Pathologic/surgery , Incidence , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Cholangitis/etiology , Cholangitis/complications , Anastomosis, Surgical , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome
15.
Eur J Surg Oncol ; 50(3): 107972, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38278128

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Textbook outcome (TO) represents a multidimensional quality measurement, encompassing the desirable short-term outcomes following surgery. This study aimed to investigate whether achieving TO after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) surgery is related to better overall survival (OS) in a national cohort. METHOD: Data was retrieved from the Dutch Hepato Biliary Audit. A modified definition of TO (mTO) was used because readmissions were only recorded from 2019. mTO was achieved when no severe postoperative complications, mortality, prolonged length of hospital stay, occurred and when adequate surgical resection margins were obtained. To compare outcomes of patients with and without mTO and reduce baseline differences between both groups propensity score matching (PSM) was used for patients operated on between 2014 and 2018. RESULTS: Out of 6525 eligible patients, 81 % achieved mTO. For the cohort between 2014 and 2018, those achieving mTO had a 5-year OS of 46.7 % (CI 44.8-48.6) while non-mTO patients had a 5-year OS of 33.7 % (CI 29.8-38.2), p < 0.001. Not achieving mTO was associated with a worse OS (aHR 1.34 (95 % CI 1.17-1.53), p < 0.001. Median follow-up was 76 months., PSM assigned 519 patients to each group. In the PSM cohort patients achieving mTO, 5-year OS was 43.6 % (95 % CI 39.2-48.5) compared to 36.4 % (95 % CI 31.9-41.2) in patients who did not achieve mTO, p = 0.006. CONCLUSION: Achieving mTO is associated with improved long-term survival. This emphasizes the importance of optimising perioperative care and reducing postoperative complications in surgical treatment of CRLM.


Subject(s)
Colorectal Neoplasms , Liver Neoplasms , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Hepatectomy/methods , Colorectal Neoplasms/pathology , Liver Neoplasms/secondary , Postoperative Complications/etiology , Propensity Score
16.
Pancreatology ; 24(2): 306-313, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38238193

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a severe complication following a pancreatoduodenectomy. An accurate prediction of POPF could assist the surgeon in offering tailor-made treatment decisions. The use of radiomic features has been introduced to predict POPF. A systematic review was conducted to evaluate the performance of models predicting POPF using radiomic features and to systematically evaluate the methodological quality. METHODS: Studies with patients undergoing a pancreatoduodenectomy and radiomics analysis on computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging were included. Methodological quality was assessed using the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) and Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement. RESULTS: Seven studies were included in this systematic review, comprising 1300 patients, of whom 364 patients (28 %) developed POPF. The area under the curve (AUC) of the included studies ranged from 0.76 to 0.95. Only one study externally validated the model, showing an AUC of 0.89 on this dataset. Overall adherence to the RQS (31 %) and TRIPOD guidelines (54 %) was poor. CONCLUSION: This systematic review showed that high predictive power was reported of studies using radiomic features to predict POPF. However, the quality of most studies was poor. Future studies need to standardize the methodology. REGISTRATION: not registered.


Subject(s)
Pancreatic Fistula , Pancreaticoduodenectomy , Humans , Pancreatic Fistula/diagnostic imaging , Pancreatic Fistula/epidemiology , Pancreatic Fistula/etiology , Pancreaticoduodenectomy/adverse effects , Radiomics , Pancreas/diagnostic imaging , Pancreas/surgery , Pancreatic Hormones , Postoperative Complications/diagnostic imaging , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Postoperative Complications/etiology
18.
Hepatology ; 79(2): 341-354, 2024 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37530544

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: While resection remains the only curative option for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma, it is well known that such surgery is associated with a high risk of morbidity and mortality. Nevertheless, beyond facing life-threatening complications, patients may also develop early disease recurrence, defining a "futile" outcome in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma surgery. The aim of this study is to predict the high-risk category (futile group) where surgical benefits are reversed and alternative treatments may be considered. METHODS: The study cohort included prospectively maintained data from 27 Western tertiary referral centers: the population was divided into a development and a validation cohort. The Framingham Heart Study methodology was used to develop a preoperative scoring system predicting the "futile" outcome. RESULTS: A total of 2271 cases were analyzed: among them, 309 were classified within the "futile group" (13.6%). American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) score ≥ 3 (OR 1.60; p = 0.005), bilirubin at diagnosis ≥50 mmol/L (OR 1.50; p = 0.025), Ca 19-9 ≥ 100 U/mL (OR 1.73; p = 0.013), preoperative cholangitis (OR 1.75; p = 0.002), portal vein involvement (OR 1.61; p = 0.020), tumor diameter ≥3 cm (OR 1.76; p < 0.001), and left-sided resection (OR 2.00; p < 0.001) were identified as independent predictors of futility. The point system developed, defined three (ie, low, intermediate, and high) risk classes, which showed good accuracy (AUC 0.755) when tested on the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The possibility to accurately estimate, through a point system, the risk of severe postoperative morbidity and early recurrence, could be helpful in defining the best management strategy (surgery vs. nonsurgical treatments) according to preoperative features.


Subject(s)
Bile Duct Neoplasms , Cholangiocarcinoma , Cholangitis , Klatskin Tumor , Humans , Klatskin Tumor/surgery , Klatskin Tumor/complications , Medical Futility , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/etiology , Cholangitis/complications , Hepatectomy/methods , Bile Duct Neoplasms/pathology , Cholangiocarcinoma/pathology , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome
19.
Ann Surg ; 279(1): 132-137, 2024 01 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37450706

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To develop a prediction model for long-term (≥5 years) disease-free survival (DFS) after the resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). BACKGROUND: Despite high recurrence rates, ~10% of patients have long-term DFS after PDAC resection. A model to predict long-term DFS may aid individualized prognostication and shared decision-making. METHODS: This nationwide cohort study included all consecutive patients who underwent PDAC resection in the Netherlands (2014-2016). The best-performing prognostic model was selected by Cox-proportional hazard analysis and Akaike's Information Criterion, presented by hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Internal validation was performed, and discrimination and calibration indices were assessed. RESULTS: In all, 836 patients with a median follow-up of 67 months (interquartile range 51-79) were analyzed. Long-term DFS was seen in 118 patients (14%). Factors predictive of long-term DFS were low preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (logarithmic; HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.10-1.32), no vascular resection (HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.12-1.58), T1 or T2 tumor stage (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.14-2.04, and HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.98-1.39, respectively), well/moderate tumor differentiation (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.22-1.68), absence of perineural and lymphovascular invasion (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.11-1.81 and HR 1.14; 95% CI 0.96-1.36, respectively), N0 or N1 nodal status (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.54-2.40, and HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.11-1.60, respectively), R0 resection margin status (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.07-1.46), no major complications (HR 1.14; 95% CI 0.97-1.35) and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.74; 95% CI 1.47-2.06). Moderate performance (concordance index 0.68) with adequate calibration (slope 0.99) was achieved. CONCLUSIONS: The developed prediction model, readily available at www.pancreascalculator.com, can be used to estimate the probability of long-term DFS after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.


Subject(s)
Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal , Pancreatic Neoplasms , Humans , Cohort Studies , Disease-Free Survival , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/epidemiology , Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology , Prognosis , Retrospective Studies
20.
HPB (Oxford) ; 26(2): 179-187, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37891150

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is currently no evidence to support structured use of imaging or biomarkers during follow-up of patients after curative resection of biliary tract cancer (BTC). Besides, the influence of early detection of recurrence and subsequent start of palliative chemotherapy on overall survival remains unknown. The aim of this study is to describe and compare the results of two follow-up strategies. METHODS: This retrospective multicenter cohort study compared patients from the Amsterdam UMC undergoing pragmatic clinical follow-up, to patients from the observational cohort of the BILCAP study undergoing structured follow-up. Primary outcome was overall survival. RESULTS: A total of 315 patients were included n=91 pragmatic, n=224 structured follow-up). At median follow-up of 56.9 months, 189 (60%) patients were diagnosed with recurrence. After recurrence, more patients received palliative (chemo) therapy in the structured group (43% vs 75%, P<0.001). Median overall survival was lower in the pragmatic group (27.7 vs 39.1 months, P=0.003). Median overall survival of patients who actually received chemotherapy was comparable (27.2 vs 27.7 months, P=0.574). CONCLUSION: This study describes the results of two follow-up strategies. Although these groups are biased, it is noted that after pragmatic follow-up fewer patients received palliative chemotherapy but that those who actually received chemotherapy had similar overall survival compared to patients undergoing structured follow-up.


Subject(s)
Biliary Tract Neoplasms , Humans , Follow-Up Studies , Cohort Studies , Biliary Tract Neoplasms/surgery , Retrospective Studies
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