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1.
BMJ Open ; 3(11): e003584, 2013 Nov 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24270834

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To examine the long-term efficacy at the 36-month follow-up of an early psychosocial counselling and support programme lasting 8-12 months for community-dwelling patients with mild Alzheimer's disease and their caregivers. DESIGN: Multicentre, randomised, controlled, rater-blinded trial. SETTING: Primary care and memory clinics in five Danish districts. PARTICIPANTS: 330 home-dwelling patients with mild Alzheimer's disease and their primary caregivers (dyads). INTERVENTIONS: Dyads were randomised to receive intervention during the first year after diagnosis. Both intervention and control groups had follow-up visits at 3, 6, 12 and 36 months. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes for the patients assessed at 36-month follow-up were changes from baseline in global cognitive function (Mini-Mental State Examination), depressive symptoms (Cornell Depression Scale) and proxy-rated EuroQoL quality of life on visual analogue scale. The primary outcomes for the caregivers were changes from baseline in depressive symptoms (Geriatric Depression Scale) and self-rated EuroQoL quality of life on a visual analogue scale. The secondary outcome measures for the patient were proxy-rated Quality of Life Scale for Alzheimer's disease (QoL-AD), Neuropsychiatric Inventory-Questionnaire, Alzheimer's disease Cooperative Study Activities of Daily Living Scale, all-cause mortality and nursing home placement. RESULTS: At a 36-month follow-up, 2 years after the completion of the Danish Alzheimer Intervention Study (DAISY), the unadjusted positive effects previously detected at the 12-month follow-up in one patient primary outcome (Cornell depression score) and one patient secondary outcome (proxy-rated QoL-AD) disappeared (Cornell depression score, p=0.93; proxy-rated QoL-AD, p=0.81). No long-term effect of DAISY intervention on any other primary and secondary outcomes was found at the 36-month follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: For patients with very mild Alzheimer's disease and their caregivers, an intensive, multi-component, semitailored psychosocial intervention programme with counselling, education and support during the first year after diagnosis did not show any positive long-term effect on primary and secondary outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study was registered in the Clinical Trial Database (http://www.controlled-trials.com/ISRCTN74848736).

2.
Andrology ; 1(5): 741-8, 2013 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23843214

ABSTRACT

Infertility is a couple-based fecundity impairment, although population level research is largely based upon information reported by female partners. Of the few studies focusing on male partners, most focus on the utilization of infertility services rather than efforts to estimate the prevalence and determinants of infertility as reported by male partners. Data from a nationally representative sample of men aged 15-44 years who participated in the 2002 National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG) were used to estimate the prevalence of infertility and determinants of longer time-to-pregnancy (TTP) using the novel current duration (CD) approach. Using backward recurrence time parametric survival methods, we estimated infertility prevalence (TTP > 12 months) and time ratios (TR) associated with TTP as derived from males' reported CD of their pregnancy attempt. The estimated prevalence of infertility was 12.0% (95% CI: 7.0, 23.2). Longer TTP was associated with older male age (35-45 vs. 17-24 years) (TR: 2.49; 95% CI: 1.03, 6.03), biological childlessness (TR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.07, 2.19) and lack of health insurance (TR: 1.73; 95% CI: 1.02, 2.94) after controlling for the differences in couples' age and other socioeconomic factors. The prevalence of infertility based on male reporting is consistent with estimates of infertility in the US found in prospective cohort studies and CD studies based on female reporting. Our findings suggest that male partners can reliably inform about couple infertility. Interventions and services aimed at reducing couple infertility should include attention to male factors associated with longer TTP identified in this study.


Subject(s)
Infertility, Female/epidemiology , Infertility, Male/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Male , Medically Uninsured , Pregnancy , Prevalence , Surveys and Questionnaires , Time-to-Pregnancy , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
3.
Hum Reprod ; 28(10): 2872-9, 2013 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23838160

ABSTRACT

STUDY QUESTION: What is the incidence of medical consultation for fecundity problems in the French population, taking into account pregnancy occurrence and resumption of contraceptive use?. SUMMARY ANSWER: Considering the occurrence of a pregnancy and resumption of use of contraception as competing risks, the cumulative incidence rate of medical consultation for fecundity problems was 9.0% [95% confidence interval (CI): 6.5%; 11.9%] after 12 months of unprotected intercourse and 12.2% [95% CI: 9.6%; 15.3%] after 24 months. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Estimates of the prevalence of medical consultation due to involuntary infertility among couples who have sought a pregnancy for more than 12 months range from 25 to 50%. Most of the studies however are limited by retrospective data collection, without considering the duration of time since the beginning of the period of unprotected intercourse (PUI) and without considering medical consultation for fecundity problems as a competing risk. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This study is based on the Observatory of Fecundity in France survey, a population-based probability survey designed to estimate the frequency of involuntary infertility on a nationwide basis and to explore the associations with environmental factors. Women answered two telephone questionnaires, the first at the time of enrolment in 2007, the second at follow-up 1 year later. The current analysis was performed among a subsample of 6577 women recruited before or during a PUI and followed-up for 1 year. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The study sample comprised 940 women aged 18-44 years who had a PUI between the time of enrolment and the 1-year follow-up, and who had not consulted a physician for fecundity problems for the current PUI prior to enrolment. Women reported all the medical consultations they had because of difficulties becoming pregnant during the current PUI. The date of each consultation was carefully assessed. In France, women can consult a gynaecologist directly without referral by their general practitioner. The occurrence of a pregnancy and resumption of contraceptive use were considered as informative censoring events, using a competing risk model. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Using the competing risk survival model, the cumulative incidence rate of first consultation was 9.0% [95% CI: 6.5%; 11.9%] 12 months after the start of the PUI and 12.2% [95% CI: 9.6%; 15.3%] after 24 months. The Kaplan-Meier method, which does not take competing risks into account, yielded substantially higher estimates: 26.0% [95% CI: 18.8%; 32.5%] at 12 months and 56.8% [95% CI: 44.2%; 66.6%] at 24 months. Among the 219 women who had attempted to become pregnant for at least 12 months, cumulative incidences of first medical consultations were 28.2% [18.7-38.9%] 24 months after the start of the PUI, and 31.2% [21.3- 42.4%] after 36 months. The rates were higher among nulliparous but non-nulligravid women, followed by nulligravid women, as compared with parous women. Age was not strongly related to the occurrence of medical consultation. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The main limitation of this study is the number of women lost to follow-up (29.7%). In addition, results regarding the absence of an age effect should be taken with caution as few women in our study were aged over 35 years. Although such an attrition rate is commonly observed in prospective studies in the general population, it could have induced a selection bias that may have led to an underestimation of the rates of medical consultation. Sensitivity analyses, using the inverse probability weighting method suggest that our results are unlikely to be biased. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study reveals frequencies of medical consultation for fertility problems, which, after considering competing events such as pregnancy in a relevant statistical model, are lower than generally reported in the literature. The results also indicate the existence of a difference between the potential need and the actual use of medical care for fecundity problems. This suggests a need for studies to look for factors other than medical recommendations that may play a role in the patterns of medical seeking behaviours for fecundity problems, such as women's reproductive history, socio-economic characteristics or accessibility to infertility services. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The study was funded by grants from ANR (French Agency for Research, SEST call on Environmental and Occupational Health), ANSES (French Agency for Food, environmental and Occupational Health Safety, EST call on Environmental and Occupational Health), InVS (French Institute for Public Health Surveillance). The team of Environmental Epidemiology applied to Fecundity and Reproduction has been funded by an AVENIR grant from Inserm (2007). Authors declare no conflict of interest.


Subject(s)
Fertility , Infertility/epidemiology , Referral and Consultation/statistics & numerical data , Adolescent , Adult , Cohort Studies , France/epidemiology , Humans , Time Factors
4.
Epidemiol Infect ; 141(8): 1749-55, 2013 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23010291

ABSTRACT

The antibiotic trimethoprim acts as a folate antagonist. Since trophoblasts are very sensitive to drugs that interfere with the folic acid cycle and thereby inhibit DNA synthesis, use of trimethoprim during the first trimester could be associated with miscarriage. A nationwide cohort study including all women in Denmark with a registered pregnancy between 1997 and 2005 was conducted. We used nationwide registers to identify all women giving birth, having a record of miscarriage or induced abortion. Data on exposure to trimethoprim were obtained from the National Prescription Register. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis with exposure to trimethoprim as a time-dependent variable was used to estimate the risk of miscarriage. The adjusted hazard ratio of having a miscarriage after exposure to trimethoprim in the first trimester compared to non-exposure was 2∙04 (95% confidence interval 1∙43-2∙91). Our results indicate that trimethoprim exposure in the first trimester is associated with a doubling of the hazard of miscarriage.


Subject(s)
Abortion, Spontaneous/chemically induced , Abortion, Spontaneous/epidemiology , Anti-Infective Agents, Urinary/adverse effects , Folic Acid Antagonists/adverse effects , Trimethoprim/adverse effects , Adult , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Folic Acid/metabolism , Humans , Pregnancy , Pregnancy Trimester, First , Proportional Hazards Models , Regression Analysis , Risk Factors , Socioeconomic Factors , Young Adult
5.
BMJ ; 345: e4693, 2012 Jul 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22807076

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy at 12 months of an early psychosocial counselling and support programme for outpatients with mild Alzheimer's disease and their primary care givers. DESIGN: Multicentre, randomised, controlled, rater blinded trial. SETTING: Primary care and memory clinics in five Danish districts. PARTICIPANTS: 330 outpatients with mild Alzheimer's disease and their 330 primary care givers. INTERVENTIONS: Participating dyads (patient and primary care giver) were randomised to control support during follow-up or to control support plus DAISY intervention (multifaceted and semi-tailored counselling, education, and support). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcomes at 12 months for patients were change from baseline in mini mental state examination (MMSE) score, Cornell depression scale score, and proxy rated European quality of life visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS) score. For care givers, outcomes were change from baseline in geriatric depression scale (GDS 30 items) score and EQ-VAS score. RESULTS: Because of multiple testing, statistical significance was set at an adjusted P limit of <0.0005. At 12 months there were no significant differences between the two allocation groups in changes from baseline in the primary and secondary outcomes. However, although non-significant with the adjusted P limit, a small difference was observed for one of the primary patient outcomes (Cornell depression scale score) in patients in favour of the DAISY intervention group before and after adjusting for attrition (P = 0.0146 and P = 0.0103 respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The multifaceted, semi-tailored intervention with counselling, education, and support for patients with mild Alzheimer's disease and their care givers did not have any significant effect beyond that with well structured follow-up support at 12 months after adjustment for multiple comparisons. The small positive effect found in the unadjusted primary outcome addressing depressive symptoms in patients may call for further research focusing on patients with Alzheimer's disease and comorbid depression. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN74848736.


Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease/therapy , Counseling , Social Support , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Alzheimer Disease/psychology , Caregivers/education , Caregivers/psychology , Denmark , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Patient Education as Topic , Psychiatric Status Rating Scales , Quality of Life , Single-Blind Method
6.
Hum Reprod ; 27(5): 1489-98, 2012 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22416008

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Assessing couple fecundity on a nation-wide basis without excluding couples who eventually remain infertile is challenging. Our aim was to describe couple fecundity (in terms of frequency of involuntary infertility) among the general population living in France. METHODS: We used a current-duration design. A random sample of 64 262 households was selected in 2007-2008, allowing us to identify 15 810 women aged 18-44 years. Eligible women (n= 1089) were those having regular sexual intercourse with a male partner, not using any method of contraception and not having delivered in the previous 3 months. These women reported information on the current duration of unprotected intercourse (CDUI, the time elapsed between the start of the period of unprotected intercourse and the time of inclusion in the study). The CDUI distribution was used to estimate the frequency of involuntary infertility, using a newly developed statistical technique that does not require couples to be followed up until the end of the period of unprotected intercourse. RESULTS: CDUI was defined for 867 women. An estimated 46% of couples had no detected pregnancy conceived during the first 6 months of unprotected intercourse [95% confidence interval (CI), 36-56%]. The proportions of couples with no detected pregnancy within 12 and 24 months were 24% (19-30%) and 11% (8-14%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These results constitute one of the few descriptions of the fecundity of a nation-wide representative sample of couples from the general population, not limited to couples who eventually conceived or to those resorting to medical help.


Subject(s)
Infertility, Female/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Female , France/epidemiology , Humans , Reproductive Behavior , Time Factors
7.
Stat Med ; 31(5): 470-88, 2012 Feb 28.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22086750

ABSTRACT

Childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia is treated with long-term intensive chemotherapy. During the latter part of the treatment, the maintenance therapy, the patients receive oral doses of two cytostatics. The doses are tailored to blood counts measured on a weekly basis, and the treatment is therefore highly dynamic. In 1992-1996, the Nordic Society of Paediatric Haematology and Oncology (NOPHO) conducted a randomised study (NOPHO-ALL-92) to investigate the effect of a new and more sophisticated dynamic treatment strategy. Unexpectedly, the new strategy worsened the outcome for the girls, whereas there were no treatment differences for the boys. There are as yet no general guidelines for optimising the treatment. On basis of the data from this study, our goal is to formulate an alternative dosing strategy. We use recently developed methods proposed by van der Laan et al. to obtain statistical models that may be used in the guidance of how the physicians should assign the doses to the patients to obtain the target of the treatment. We present a possible strategy and discuss the reliability of this strategy. The implementation is complicated, and we touch upon the limitations of the methods in relation to the formulation of alternative dosing strategies for the maintenance therapy.


Subject(s)
Biometry/methods , Cytostatic Agents/administration & dosage , Drug Dosage Calculations , Models, Statistical , Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/drug therapy , Child, Preschool , Cytostatic Agents/therapeutic use , Data Interpretation, Statistical , Female , Humans , Infant , Male , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Sex Factors , Treatment Failure
8.
Neuroepidemiology ; 36(1): 52-61, 2011.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21196773

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: There is a lack of appropriately designed trials investigating the efficacy of psychosocial interventions for patients with mild dementia and their family caregivers. This paper reports the rationale and design of the Danish Alzheimer Disease Intervention Study and baseline characteristics of the cohort. METHODS: The study was a 1-year multicentre randomized controlled rater-blinded trial with randomization to follow-up and a multifaceted semitailored intervention programme or to follow-up only (with extension of follow-up to 3 years). The intervention included a counselling programme, teaching courses, written information and logbooks. The outcomes included clinical efficacy parameters, patient satisfaction and health economic consequences. RESULTS: A total of 330 patients and their 330 caregivers were included during a period of 18 months. The majority (65.2 %) of the caregivers were spouses. At inclusion the mean age of the patients and caregivers was 76.2 and 66.0 years, respectively. CONCLUSION: The study will explore the added value of a multifaceted intervention programme and contribute to the design of future interventions for patients with mild dementia and their caregivers.


Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease/psychology , Alzheimer Disease/therapy , Caregivers/psychology , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Clinical Protocols , Counseling , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Patient Satisfaction , Prospective Studies , Single-Blind Method
9.
Acta Psychiatr Scand ; 121(2): 143-51, 2010 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19594483

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate differences in risk of compulsory admission and other coercive measures in psychiatric emergencies among refugees and immigrants compared with that among native Danes. METHOD: A register-based retrospective cohort design. All refugees (n = 29 174) and immigrants (n = 33 287) who received residence permission in Denmark from 1.1.1993 to 31.12.1999 were included and matched 1 : 4 on age and sex with native Danes. Civil registration numbers were cross-linked to the Danish Psychiatric Central Register and the Registry of Coercive Measures in Psychiatric Treatment. RESULTS: Refugees (RR = 1.82; 95%CI: 1.45; 2.29) and immigrants (RR = 1.14; 95%CI: 0.83; 1.56) experienced higher rates of compulsory admissions than did native Danes. This was most striking for refugee men (RR = 2.00; 95%CI: 1.53; 2.61) and immigrant women (RR = 1.73; 95%CI: 1.45; 2.60). Moreover, refugees and immigrants experienced higher frequencies of other coercive measures during hospitalisation compared with native Danes. CONCLUSION: Coercive measures in psychiatry are more likely to be experienced by migrants than by native Danes.


Subject(s)
Coercion , Mental Disorders/epidemiology , Mental Disorders/therapy , Psychiatry/methods , Transients and Migrants/psychology , Transients and Migrants/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Male , Mental Disorders/diagnosis , Mental Disorders/rehabilitation , Prevalence , Psychiatric Status Rating Scales , Registries , Retrospective Studies , Severity of Illness Index
10.
Hum Reprod ; 24(8): 1999-2006, 2009 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19429909

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It is plausible that a couple's ability to achieve the desired number of children is limited by biological fertility, especially if childbearing is postponed. Family size has declined and semen quality may have deteriorated in much of Europe, although studies have found an increase rather than a decrease in couple fertility. METHODS: Using four high-quality European datasets, we took the reported time to pregnancy (TTP) as the predictor variable; births reported as following contraceptive failure were an additional category. The outcome variable was final or near-final family size. Potential confounders were maternal age when unprotected sex began prior to the first birth, and maternal smoking. Desired family size was available in only one of the datasets. RESULTS: Couples with a TTP of at least 12 months tended to have smaller families, with odds ratios for the risk of not having a second child approximately 1.8, and for the risk of not having a third child approximately 1.6. Below 12 months no association was observed. Findings were generally consistent across datasets. There was also a more than 2-fold risk of not achieving the desired family size if TTP was 12 months or more for the first child. CONCLUSIONS: Within the limits of the available data quality, family size appears to be predicted by biological fertility, even after adjustment for maternal age, if the woman was at least 20 years old when the couple's first attempt at conception started. The contribution of behavioural factors to this result also needs to be investigated.


Subject(s)
Family Characteristics , Fertility/physiology , Contraception Behavior , Female , Humans , Male , Maternal Age , Models, Statistical , Pregnancy , Smoking/adverse effects
11.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol ; 44(12): 1023-9, 2009 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19294322

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Refugees are vulnerable to mental health disorders because of migration trauma. However, register-based prevalence studies are missing. AIMS: To investigate the risk of mental disorders among refugees compared with that among native Danes. METHOD: Refugees (n = 29,139), who received residence permission in Denmark from 1.1.1993 to 31.12.1999 were matched 1:4 on age and sex with native Danes (n = 116,556). Civil registration numbers were linked to the Danish Psychiatric Central Register to obtain data on ICD-10 diagnosis upon discharge for all first-time psychiatric hospital contacts for refugees (n = 2,120) and native Danes (n = 5,044) between 1.1.1994 and 31.12.2003. Treated prevalence was then calculated using a Poisson regression model. RESULTS: Refugee men (RR = 2.02; 95%CI = 1.75-2.34) and refugee women (RR = 1.49; 95%CI = 1.29-1.72) had higher overall risks of having a first-time psychiatric contact for mental disorders than did native Danes; specific risks of psychotic, affective and neurotic disorders were even higher. The results were most striking for refugee men, and for refugees from the former Yugoslavia, Iraq and the Middle East. CONCLUSIONS: Refugees have high rates of various mental disorders. Healthcare services should target refugees' mental health from arrival in the receiving country.


Subject(s)
Emigrants and Immigrants/statistics & numerical data , Mental Disorders/epidemiology , Population Groups/statistics & numerical data , Refugees/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Age Distribution , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Denmark/ethnology , Emigrants and Immigrants/psychology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , International Classification of Diseases , Male , Mental Disorders/prevention & control , Mental Disorders/therapy , Population Groups/psychology , Prevalence , Refugees/psychology , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Risk , Risk Factors , Sex Factors
12.
Eur J Cancer ; 43(18): 2717-21, 2007 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17980577

ABSTRACT

STUDY AIMS: To investigate the incidence of cancer among 1st generation migrants compared to native Danes, including time trends in the risk of cancer among migrants. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study design. Migrants were matched 1:4 on age and sex with a Danish born reference population. The cohort was linked to the Danish Cancer Register and cancer cases among migrants (n=537) and native Danes (n=2829) were identified. RESULTS: The overall cancer incidence did not differ significantly between migrants from East Europe and native Danes; whereas migrants from the Middle East and North Africa had a significantly lower incidence. All migrants had a significantly lower incidence of breast and colorectal cancer but male migrants from East Europe had a significantly higher incidence of lung cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The overall cancer incidence among migrants was lower compared to native Danes. The time trends of the study are interesting and a relevant topic for further research.


Subject(s)
Neoplasms/ethnology , Transients and Migrants/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Aged , Denmark/epidemiology , Epidemiologic Methods , Europe, Eastern/ethnology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Middle East/ethnology , North America/ethnology , Refugees/statistics & numerical data , Sex Distribution
13.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 60(9): 954-62, 2007 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17689812

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether immediate effects of a 3-year educational intervention in primary health care were confirmed 18 months after the end of the intervention. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A controlled 3-year intervention study in 34 Danish municipalities with randomization and intervention at municipality level. The 17 intervention municipality visitors received regular education, and GPs were introduced to a short assessment program. The effect was measured at the individual level by questions about functional ability at the end of the intervention period and 1(1/2) years later; 4,060 older adults living in the municipalities participated. We adopt the approach introduced by Dufouil et al. (2004) and treat dropouts due to death differently from dropouts from other reasons. RESULTS: Educational intervention to primary care professionals was associated with better functional ability in surviving women at the end of the intervention (odds ratio [OR]: 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.07-1.45), from the end of the intervention until 1(1/2) years later (OR: 1.21, 95% CI=1.03-1.44) and during the total study period (OR: 1.22, 95% CI=1.06-1.42). No effects were seen in men. CONCLUSION: The effect of a brief, feasible educational intervention for primary care professionals is sustained in women 1(1/2) years after the end of the intervention.


Subject(s)
Health Promotion/methods , House Calls , Activities of Daily Living , Aged , Community Health Nursing/education , Denmark , Education, Continuing , Female , Health Services for the Aged , Humans , Longitudinal Studies , Preventive Health Services , Program Evaluation
14.
Maturitas ; 53(2): 226-33, 2006 Jan 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15955642

ABSTRACT

UNLABELLED: Randomised clinical trials find no protection against development of ischaemic heart disease by use of Hormone Therapy (HT) after the age of 50 years. Observational studies suggest that early menopause is a risk factor for ischaemic heart disease. Yet, a clinical very relevant question is whether HT reduces this risk associated with early menopause. OBJECTIVE: To analyse whether early menopause based on various causes are independent risk factors for ischaemic heart disease, and to investigate whether the risks are modified by use of HT. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study questionnaires were mailed to Danish female nurses above 44 years of age in 1993. Information on menopause, use of HT and lifestyle was obtained. In total 19,898 (86%) nurses fulfilled the questionnaire, among them 10.533 were postmenopausal with definable menopausal age, free of previous ischaemic heart disease, stroke or cancer. Through individual linkage to national register incident cases of ischaemic heart disease were identified until end of 1998. RESULTS: Menopause below both age 40 and 45 was associated with an increased risk of ischaemic heart disease, seeming most pronounced for women who had an early ovariectomy but also among spontaneous menopausal women. Generally HT did not reduce the risk except for the early-ovariectomised women, where no increased risk of ischaemic heart disease for HT users was found. CONCLUSION: We found an increased risk of ischaemic heart disease associated with early removal of the ovaries that might be reduced with HT. The present study need confirmation from other studies but suggests that early ovariectomised women could benefit from HT.


Subject(s)
Hormone Replacement Therapy , Menopause, Premature/physiology , Myocardial Ischemia/epidemiology , Adult , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Life Style , Middle Aged , Myocardial Ischemia/physiopathology , Ovariectomy , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic , Risk Factors , Surveys and Questionnaires
15.
J Med Ethics ; 31(12): 703-6, 2005 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16319233

ABSTRACT

Doctors' survival predictions for terminally ill patients have been shown to be inaccurate and there has been an argument for less guesswork and more use of carefully constructed statistical indices. As statisticians, the authors are less confident in the predictive value of statistical models and indices for individual survival times. This paper discusses and illustrates a variety of measures which can be used to summarise predictive information available from a statistical model. The authors argue that models and statistical indices can be useful at the group or population level, but that human survival is so uncertain that even the best statistical analysis cannot provide single-number predictions of real use for individual patients.


Subject(s)
Life Expectancy , Terminally Ill , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/mortality , Female , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk Factors , Time Factors
16.
Br J Cancer ; 91(4): 644-50, 2004 Aug 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15238982

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study is to investigate the risk of developing prognostic different types of breast cancer in women using hormone replacement therapy (HRT). A total of 10 874 postmenopausal Danish Nurses were followed since 1993. Incident breast cancer cases and histopathological information were retrieved through the National Danish registries. The follow-up ended on 31 December 1999. Breast cancer developed in 244 women, of whom 172 were invasive ductal carcinomas. Compared to never users, current users of HRT had an increased risk of a hormone receptor-positive breast cancer, but a neutral risk of receptor-negative breast cancer, relative risk (RR) 3.29 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.27-4.77) and RR 0.99 (95% CI: 0.42-2.36), respectively (P for difference=0.013). The risk of being diagnosed with low histological malignancy grade was higher than high malignancy grade with RR 4.13 (95% CI: 2.43-7.01) and RR 2.17 (95% CI: 1.42-3.30), respectively (P=0.063). For breast cancers with other prognostic characteristics, the risk was increased equally for the favourable and non favourable types. Current users of HRT experience a two- to four-fold increased risk of breast cancer with various prognostic characteristics, both the favourable and non favourable types. For receptor status, the risk with HRT was statistically significantly higher for hormone receptor-positive breast cancer compared to receptor-negative breast cancer.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/etiology , Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/etiology , Hormone Replacement Therapy/adverse effects , Registries/statistics & numerical data , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/pathology , Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/pathology , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Epidemiologic Studies , Female , Humans , Incidence , Middle Aged , Postmenopause , Prognosis , Risk Factors , Survival Analysis
17.
BMJ ; 326(7386): 426, 2003 Feb 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12595383

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk of ischaemic heart disease and myocardial infarction among women using hormone replacement therapy, especially the potential modifying effect of cardiovascular risk factors. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: 19 898 nurses aged 45 and over completing a questionnaire on lifestyle and use of hormone replacement therapy in 1993. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All cases of death and incident cases of ischaemic heart disease and myocardial infarction until the end of 1998. RESULTS: Current users of hormone replacement therapy smoked more, consumed more alcohol, had lower self rated health, but were slimmer and had a lower prevalence of diabetes than never users. In current users compared with never users, hormone replacement therapy had no protective effect on ischaemic heart disease (hazard ratio 1.2, 0.9 to 1.7) or myocardial infarction (1.0, 0.6 to 1.7), whereas current users with diabetes had an increased risk of death (3.2, 1.4 to 7.5), ischaemic heart disease (4.2, 1.4 to 12.5), and myocardial infarction (9.2, 2.0 to 41.4) compared with never users with diabetes. CONCLUSION: Hormone replacement therapy showed no protective effect on ischaemic heart disease, but there was a significantly increased risk of death from all causes and ischaemic heart disease among women with diabetes.


Subject(s)
Hormone Replacement Therapy/statistics & numerical data , Myocardial Ischemia/mortality , Aged , Denmark/epidemiology , Diabetes Mellitus/mortality , Female , Hormone Replacement Therapy/mortality , Humans , Incidence , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Risk Factors
18.
Cephalalgia ; 22(5): 361-75, 2002 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12110112

ABSTRACT

The objective of the present study was to use systematic nation-wide case-finding methods to establish the prevalence and sex ratio of hemiplegic migraine (HM) in the entire Danish population of 5.2 million inhabitants. Affected patients were identified from three different recruitment sources: the National Patient Register, case records from private practising neurologists and advertisements. Based on the observed number of affected patients from each case-finding method, it was attempted to estimate the total number of affected patients by means of the statistical method known as capture-recapture. Two hundred and ninety-one affected patients were identified; 147 were familial HM from 44 different families, 105 were sporadic HM and 39 were unclassifiable HM. The HM sex ratio (M:F) was 1:3. Based on the identified number of affected patients the prevalence of HM at the end of 1999 was estimated to be 0.01% in Denmark, where the familial and sporadic form were equally frequent.


Subject(s)
Hemiplegia/epidemiology , Migraine Disorders/epidemiology , Advertising , Cerebral Infarction/complications , Cerebral Infarction/diagnosis , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Magnetic Resonance Angiography , Magnetic Resonance Imaging , Male , Migraine Disorders/classification , Migraine with Aura/epidemiology , Neurologic Examination , Neurology , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Patient Selection , Prevalence , Registries , Sex Ratio , Tomography, X-Ray Computed
19.
Acta Psychiatr Scand ; 105(4): 258-64, 2002 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11942929

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether breast cancer patients have increased incidence of psychiatric admission with affective disorders, anxiety disorders, or non-natural mortality compared with the general female population. METHOD: Register-linkage between nation-wide registries: The Danish Psychiatric Central Register, The Danish Cancer Registry, and The Danish National Register of Causes of Death. A total of 61 709 women registered with primary invasive breast cancer between 1970 and 1993 were included and 356 023 person-years were accrued. RESULTS: The standardized incidence ratio of first-ever psychiatric admission with affective disorder was 1.49 (95% CI: 1.35-1.63) and with anxiety disorder 1.25 (95% CI: 1.06-1.46). The standardized non-natural mortality ratio during the first year after breast cancer diagnosis was 1.54 (95% CI: 1.27-1.87). All analyses were adjusted for age, calendar period, and place of residence. CONCLUSION: Breast cancer patients have significantly increased incidence of psychiatric admission with affective disorders, anxiety disorders, and non-natural mortality.


Subject(s)
Anxiety Disorders/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Mood Disorders/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Middle Aged
20.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 56(3): 205-8, 2002 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11854342

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To examine the long time mortality trends of women in Denmark. DESIGN: Age-period-cohort analysis. SETTING: To search for possible causes we analysed mortality rates for all Danish women and men aged 40-84 during 1960-1999. Age-period-cohort modelling was used, handling the well known indeterminacy in a sensitivity analysis. MAIN RESULTS: The results indicate that the high risk of dying among Danish women is associated with being born between the two world wars. A similar pattern was not seen for men. CONCLUSION: The rather simple descriptive exploration in the framework of age-period-cohort modelling used, revealed a pattern not reflected by the commonly used life expectancy calculation. It is suggested that future studies on the low life expectancy of Danish women focus on the "between wars" generations identified with a high risk of dying in this study.


Subject(s)
Life Expectancy/trends , Mortality/trends , Women's Health , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors
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