Lack of Virological Suppression Among Young HIV-Positive Adults in Botswana.

BACKGROUND: HIV-1 RNA load is the best biological predictor of HIV transmission and treatment response. The rate of virologic suppression among key subpopulations can guide HIV prevention programs. METHODS: The Botswana Combination Prevention Project performed a population-based household survey among adults in 30 communities in Botswana. Data collected included knowledge of HIV-positive status, antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, and virologic suppression (HIV-1 RNA ≤400 copies per milliliter). Individuals aged 16-29 years were considered young adults. RESULTS: Among 552 young people living with HIV enrolled with RNA load data and ART status available, 51% (n = 279) had undetectable HIV-1 RNA, including 54% of young women and 32% of young men [sex prevalence ratio (PR): 0.53; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.43 to 0.80; P < 0.001]. Compared with older adults (30-64 years old), young HIV-infected adults were significantly less likely to have undetectable HIV-1 RNA (PR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.59 to 0.70; P < 0.0001), including both men (PR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.34 to 0.56; P < 0.0001) and women (PR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.62 to 0.74; P < 0.0001). Among a subset of people living with HIV receiving ART, young adults also were less likely to have undetectable HIV-1 RNA load than older adults (PR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.90 to 0.95; P = <0.0001). Analysis of the care continuum revealed that inferior HIV diagnosis and suboptimal linkage to care are the primary reasons for low virologic suppression among young adults. CONCLUSIONS: Young adults in Botswana are significantly less likely to have undetectable HIV-1 RNA load compared with older adults. In the era of broad scale-up of ART, interventions able to diagnose young adults living with HIV and link them to effective therapy are urgently needed.

High HIV-1 RNA Among Newly Diagnosed People in Botswana.

HIV-1 RNA level is strongly associated with HIV transmission risk. We sought to determine whether HIV-1 RNA level was associated with prior knowledge of HIV status among treatment-naive HIV-infected individuals in Botswana, a country with high rates of antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage. This information may be helpful in targeting HIV diagnosis and treatment efforts in similar high HIV prevalence settings in a population-based survey. HIV-infected individuals were identified during a household survey performed in 30 communities across Botswana. ART-naive persons with detectable HIV-1 RNA (>400 copies/mL) were divided into two groups, newly diagnosed and individuals tested in the past who knew about their HIV infection at the time of household visit, but had not taken ART. Levels of HIV-1 RNA were compared between groups, overall and by age and gender. Among 815 HIV-infected ART-naive persons with detectable virus, newly diagnosed individuals had higher levels of HIV-1 RNA (n = 490, median HIV-1 RNA 4.35, interquartile range (IQR) 3.79-4.91 log10 copies/mL) than those who knew about their HIV-positive status (n = 325, median HIV-1 RNA 4.10, IQR 3.55-4.68 log10 copies/mL; p values <.001, but p value = .011 after adjusting for age and gender). A nonsignificant trend for higher HIV-1 RNA was found among newly diagnosed men 30 years of age or older (median HIV-1 RNA 4.58, IQR 4.07-5.02 log10 copies/mL vs. 4.17, 3.61-4.71 log10 copies/mL). Newly diagnosed individuals have elevated levels of HIV-1 RNA. This study highlights the need for early diagnosis and treatment of HIV infection for purposes of HIV epidemic control, even in a setting with high ART coverage.

Botswana's progress toward achieving the 2020 UNAIDS 90-90-90 antiretroviral therapy and virological suppression goals: a population-based survey.

BACKGROUND: HIV programmes face challenges achieving high rates of HIV testing and treatment needed to optimise health and to reduce transmission. We used data from the Botswana Combination Prevention Project study survey to assess Botswana's progress toward achieving UNAIDS targets for 2020: 90% of all people living with HIV knowing their status, 90% of these receiving sustained antiretroviral therapy (ART), and 90% of those having virological suppression (90-90-90). METHODS: A population-based sample of individuals was recruited and interviewed in 30 rural and periurban communities from Oct 30, 2013, to Nov 24, 2015, as part of a large, ongoing community-randomised trial designed to assess the effect of a combination prevention package on HIV incidence. A random sample of about 20% of households in each community was selected. Consenting household residents aged 16-64 years who were Botswana citizens or spouses of citizens responded to a questionnaire and had blood drawn for HIV testing in the absence of documentation of positive HIV status. Viral load testing was done in all HIV-infected participants, irrespective of treatment status. We used modified Poisson generalised estimating equations to obtain prevalence ratios, corresponding Huber robust SEs, and 95% Wald CIs to examine associations between individual sociodemographic factors and a binary outcome indicating achievement of the three individual and combined overall 90-90-90 targets. The study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01965470. FINDINGS: 81% of enumerated eligible household members took part in the survey (10% refused and 9% were absent). Among 12 610 participants surveyed, 3596 (29%) were infected with HIV, and 2995 (83·3%, 95% CI 81·4-85·2) of these individuals already knew their HIV status. Among those who knew their HIV status, 2617 (87·4%, 95% CI 85·8-89·0) were receiving ART (95% of those eligible by national guidelines, and 73% of all infected people). Of the 2609 individuals receiving ART with a viral load measurement, 2517 (96·5%, 95% CI 96·0-97·0) had viral load of 400 copies per mL or less. Overall, 70·2% (95% CI 67·5-73·0) of HIV-infected people had virological suppression, close to the UNAIDS target of 73%. INTERPRETATION: UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets are achievable even in resource-constrained settings with high HIV burden. FUNDING: US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Linear Growth Faltering Among HIV-Exposed Uninfected Children.

BACKGROUND: HIV-exposed uninfected (HEU) children experience increased mortality compared with their HIV-unexposed uninfected (HUU) peers. It is unclear whether HEU children are also at increased risk for undernutrition, a modifiable risk factor for mortality. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional, population-based survey of children <5 years of age in 5 health districts in Botswana. Linear mixed-effects models were used to assess continuous outcomes, and generalized estimating equations were used to estimate relative risks of stunting, wasting, and underweight between HEU (n = 396) and HUU (n = 1109) children. Secondary analyses examined potential mediation by low birth weight. RESULTS: The association between maternal HIV exposure and child stunting varied significantly by child age (P < 0.01). HEU children <1 and ≥2 years of age had 1.85 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03 to 3.31; P = 0.04] and 1.41 (95% CI: 1.06 to 1.88; P = 0.02) times the risk of stunting compared with HUU children after multivariate adjustment, respectively. During the period of 1-2 years of age, when breastfeeding cessation occurred among HUU children, HUU children had increased risk of stunting compared with HEU children who were predominantly formula fed (relative risk: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.05 to 2.32; P = 0.03). A mediation analysis estimated that 67% of the excess risk of stunting among HEU children ≥2 years was attributable to low birth weight (P = 0.02). There was no difference in risk of wasting or underweight. CONCLUSION: HEU children are at increased risk of stunting compared with their HUU peers; however, interventions to increase birth weight may significantly ameliorate this excess risk. Interventions to support optimal growth during weaning are needed for all breast-fed children.

Recent advances in the treatment of delusional disorder.

OBJECTIVE: Often considered difficult to treat in the past, even treatment-resistant, delusional disorder is now regarded as a treatable condition that responds to medication in many instances. Munro and Mok previously reviewed the published record of its treatment to 1994. This review aims to update and extend their observations and to examine the impact of new second-generation antipsychotic agents on the treatment of this condition. METHOD: We attempted to gather all published reports of delusional disorder from 1994 to 2004, using various database strategies. We then assessed the reports for clarity and completeness, treatment, and outcome descriptions, thereby selecting a patient sample for analysis. RESULTS: Of 224 cases identified as delusional disorder, only 134 case descriptions provided sufficient treatment and outcome data to inform this review. The demographics of this sample were similar to those of the earlier review. Depression as a comorbid condition was more frequent than before. Adherence to medication regimens was seldom explicitly addressed. Most cases showed improvement regardless of which antipsychotic medication the patients received. Pimozide and other conventional antipsychotics, as well as second-generation antipsychotics, and even clozapine, were used in many of the case reports. Family history of delusional disorder was seldom recorded. CONCLUSIONS: A positive response to medication treatment occurred in nearly 50% of the cases in our review, which is consistent with the earlier review.

Evolution of epidemiologic methods and concepts in selected textbooks of the 20th century.

Textbooks are an expression of the state of development of a discipline at a given moment in time. By reviewing eight epidemiology textbooks published over the course of a century, we have attempted to trace the evolution of five epidemiologic concepts and methods: study design (cohort studies and case-control studies), confounding, bias, interaction and causal inference. Overall, these eight textbooks can be grouped into three generations. Greenwood (1935) and Hill (first edition 1937; version reviewed 1961)'s textbooks belong to the first generation, "early epidemiology", which comprise early definitions of bias and confounding. The second generation, "classic epidemiology", represented by the textbooks of Morris (first edition 1957; version reviewed 1964), MacMahon & Pugh (first edition 1960; version reviewed 1970), Susser (1973), and Lilienfeld & Lilienfeld (first edition 1976; version reviewed 1980), clarifies the properties of cohort and case-control study designs and the theory of disease causation. Miettinen (1985) and Rothman (1986)'s textbooks belong to a third generation, "modern epidemiology", presenting an integrated perspective on study designs and their measures of outcome, as well as distinguishing and formalizing the concepts of confounding and interaction. Our review demonstrates that epidemiology, as a scientific discipline, is in constant evolution and transformation. It is likely that new methodological tools, able to assess the complexity of the causes of human health, will be proposed in future generations of textbooks.