ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Clinical utility of routinely measured serial biomarkers in predicting escalation of inpatient care intensity and mortality among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 remains unknown. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients with COVID-19 who admitted to the Massachusetts General Hospital between March and June 2020 and January to March 2021. White blood cell (WBC) count, platelet count, C-reactive protein (CRP), and D-dimer values were measured on days 1, 3, and 7 of admission. Clinical outcomes include 30- and 60-day morality, ICU transfer, and overall survival (OS) over a follow-up period of 90 days. The association between serial biomarkers and outcomes were assessed using multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of the 456 patients hospitalized with COVID-19, 199 (43.6%) were ICU, 179 (39.3%) were medical floor, and 78 (17.1%) were initially admitted to the medical floor and then transferred to the ICU. In adjusted analyses, each unit increase in the slope of CRP was associated with a 42% higher odds of ICU transfer after controlling for the initial admission level (OR = 1.42, 95% CI: 1.25-1.65, P < 0.001). Including serial change in CRP levels from initial level on admission achieved the greatest predictive accuracy for ICU transfer (AUC = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64-0.79). CONCLUSIONS: Serial change in CRP levels from admission is associated with escalations of inpatient care intensity and mortality among hospitalized patients with COVID-19.
