Multicentre validation of a machine learning model for predicting respiratory failure after noncardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative respiratory failure is a serious complication that could benefit from early accurate identification of high-risk patients. We developed and validated a machine learning model to predict postoperative respiratory failure, defined as prolonged (>48 h) mechanical ventilation or reintubation after surgery. METHODS: Easily extractable electronic health record (EHR) variables that do not require subjective assessment by clinicians were used. From EHR data of 307,333 noncardiac surgical cases, the model, trained with a gradient boosting algorithm, utilised a derivation cohort of 99,025 cases from Seoul National University Hospital (2013-9). External validation was performed using three separate cohorts A-C from different hospitals comprising 208,308 cases. Model performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), a measure of sensitivity and precision at different thresholds. RESULTS: The model included eight variables: serum albumin, age, duration of anaesthesia, serum glucose, prothrombin time, serum creatinine, white blood cell count, and body mass index. Internally, the model achieved an AUROC of 0.912 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.908-0.915) and AUPRC of 0.113. In external validation cohorts A, B, and C, the model achieved AUROCs of 0.879 (95% CI, 0.876-0.882), 0.872 (95% CI, 0.870-0.874), and 0.931 (95% CI, 0.925-0.936), and AUPRCs of 0.029, 0.083, and 0.124, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Utilising just eight easily extractable variables, this machine learning model demonstrated excellent discrimination in both internal and external validation for predicting postoperative respiratory failure. The model enables personalised risk stratification and facilitates data-driven clinical decision-making.

Predisposal of Interferon Regulatory Factor 1 Deficiency to Accumulate DNA Damage and Promote Osteoarthritis Development in Cartilage.

OBJECTIVE: Interferon regulatory factor 1 (IRF1) is a transcriptional regulator conventionally associated with immunomodulation. Recent molecular analyses mapping DNA binding sites of IRF1 have suggested its potential function in DNA repair. However, the physiologic significance of this noncanonical function remains unexplored. Here, we investigated the role of IRF1 in osteoarthritis (OA), a condition marked by senescence and chronic joint inflammation. METHODS: OA progression was examined in wild-type and Irf1-/- mice using histologic assessments and microcomputed tomography analysis of whole-joint OA manifestations and behavioral assessments of joint pain. An integrated analysis of assay for transposase-accessible chromatin with sequencing and whole transcriptome data was conducted for the functional assessment of IRF1 in chondrocytes. The role of IRF1 in DNA repair and senescence was investigated by assaying γ-H2AX foci and senescence-associated beta-galactosidase activity. RESULTS: Our genome-wide investigation of IRF1 footprinting in chondrocytes revealed its primary occupancies in the promoters of DNA repair genes without noticeable footprint patterns in those of interferon-responsive genes. Chondrocytes lacking IRF1 accumulated irreversible DNA damage under oxidative stress, facilitating their entry into cellular senescence. IRF1 was down-regulated in the cartilage of human and mouse OA. Although IRF1 overexpression did not elicit an inflammatory response in joints or affect OA development, genetic deletion of Irf1 caused enhanced chondrocyte senescence and exacerbated post-traumatic OA in mice. CONCLUSION: IRF1 offers DNA damage surveillance in chondrocytes, protecting them from oxidative stress associated with OA risk factors. Our study provides a crucial and cautionary perspective that compromising IRF1 activity renders chondrocytes vulnerable to cellular senescence and promotes OA development.

Hunting for the vulnerability in chondrosarcoma by tracing metabolic and genetic links.

In this Backstory, we narrate our journey in establishing a multidisciplinary team for sarcoma research and uncovering vulnerabilities in chondrosarcoma cells associated with their NAD+ dependencies for survival.1 Our findings hold promise for exploitation, yielding a synergistic cytotoxic effect when combined with systemic therapy.

Decoupling NAD+ metabolic dependency in chondrosarcoma by targeting the SIRT1-HIF-2α axis.

Chondrosarcomas represent the second most common primary bone malignancy. Despite the vulnerability of chondrosarcoma cells to nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide (NAD+) depletion, targeting the NAD+ synthesis pathway remains challenging due to broad implications in biological processes. Here, we establish SIRT1 as a central mediator reinforcing the dependency of chondrosarcoma cells on NAD+ metabolism via HIF-2α-mediated transcriptional reprogramming. SIRT1 knockdown abolishes aggressive phenotypes of chondrosarcomas in orthotopically transplanted tumors in mice. Chondrosarcoma cells thrive under glucose starvation by accumulating NAD+ and subsequently activating the SIRT1-HIF-2α axis. Decoupling this link via SIRT1 inhibition unleashes apoptosis and suppresses tumor progression in conjunction with chemotherapy. Unsupervised clustering analysis identifies a high-risk chondrosarcoma patient subgroup characterized by the upregulation of NAD+ biosynthesis genes. Finally, SIRT1 inhibition abolishes HIF-2α transcriptional activity and sensitizes chondrosarcoma cells to doxorubicin-induced cytotoxicity, irrespective of underlying pathways to accumulate intracellular NAD+. We provide system-level guidelines to develop therapeutic strategies for chondrosarcomas.

Sarcoma Immunotherapy: Confronting Present Hurdles and Unveiling Upcoming Opportunities.

Sarcomas are rare and heterogeneous mesenchymal neoplasms originating from the bone or soft tissues, which pose significant treatment challenges. The current standard treatment for sarcomas consists of surgical resection, often combined with chemo- and radiotherapy; however, local recurrence and metastasis remain significant concerns. Although immunotherapy has demonstrated promise in improving long-term survival rates for certain cancers, sarcomas are generally considered to be relatively less immunogenic than other tumors, presenting substantial challenges for effective immunotherapy. In this review, we examine the possible opportunities for sarcoma immunotherapy, noting cancer testis antigens expressed in sarcomas. We then cover the current status of immunotherapies in sarcomas, including progress in cancer vaccines, immune checkpoint inhibitors, and adoptive cellular therapy and their potential in combating these tumors. Furthermore, we discuss the limitations of immunotherapies in sarcomas, including a low tumor mutation burden and immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment, and explore potential strategies to tackle the immunosuppressive barriers in therapeutic interventions, shedding light on the development of effective and personalized treatments for sarcomas. Overall, this review provides a comprehensive overview of the current status and potential of immunotherapies in sarcoma treatment, highlighting the challenges and opportunities for developing effective therapies to improve the outcomes of patients with these rare malignancies.

Causal relationship between particulate matter 2.5 and diabetes: two sample Mendelian randomization.

Backgrounds: Many studies have shown particulate matter has emerged as one of the major environmental risk factors for diabetes; however, studies on the causal relationship between particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) and diabetes based on genetic approaches are scarce. The study estimated the causal relationship between diabetes and PM2.5 using two sample mendelian randomization (TSMR). Methods: We collected genetic data from European ancestry publicly available genome wide association studies (GWAS) summary data through the MR-BASE repository. The IEU GWAS information output PM2.5 from the Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) GWAS pipeline using pheasant-derived variables (Consortium = MRC-IEU, sample size: 423,796). The annual relationship of PM2.5 (2010) were modeled for each address using a Land Use Regression model developed as part of the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects. Diabetes GWAS information (Consortium = MRC-IEU, sample size: 461,578) were used, and the genetic variants were used as the instrumental variables (IVs). We performed three representative Mendelian Randomization (MR) methods: Inverse Variance Weighted regression (IVW), Egger, and weighted median for causal relationship using genetic variants. Furthermore, we used a novel method called MR Mixture to identify outlier SNPs. Results: From the IVW method, we revealed the causal relationship between PM2.5 and diabetes (Odds ratio [OR]: 1.041, 95% CI: 1.008-1.076, P = 0.016), and the finding was substantiated by the absence of any directional horizontal pleiotropy through MR-Egger regression (ß = 0.016, P = 0.687). From the IVW fixed-effect method (i.e., one of the MR machine learning mixture methods), we excluded outlier SNP (rs1537371) and showed the best predictive model (AUC = 0.72) with a causal relationship between PM2.5 and diabetes (OR: 1.028, 95% CI: 1.006-1.049, P = 0.012). Conclusion: We identified the hypothesis that there is a causal relationship between PM2.5 and diabetes in the European population, using MR methods.

The effect of residential greenness during pregnancy on infant neurodevelopment using propensity score weighting: A prospective mother-infant paired cohort study.

BACKGROUND: While prior studies have suggested an association between green spaces and infant neurodevelopment, the causal effect of green space exposure during pregnancy has not been fully investigated. This study aimed to identify with causal inference the effect of exposure to residential greenness during pregnancy on infants' mental-psychomotor development and the role of maternal education in modifying this association. METHODS: We prospectively collected data of pregnant women and their infants from Mothers and Children Environmental Health cohort study. Based on residential addresses, we compiled information on the percent of green space using different buffer distances (100 m, 300 m, and 500 m) and air pollution (PM2.5). Infant neurodevelopment was measured at 6 months of age using the Korean Bayley Scales of Infant Development II Mental Developmental Index (MDI) and Psychomotor Developmental Index (PDI). Generalized propensity scores (GPSs) were estimated from machine-learning (ML) algorithms. We deduced causal inference through GPS adjustment and weighting approaches. Further analyses confirmed whether the association was altered by maternal academic background. RESULTS: A total of 845 mother-infant pairs from the cohort study were included. We found that exposure to green spaces was robustly associated with infants' mental development. For example, an increase in % green space within 300 m increased the MDI by 14.32 (95 % confidence interval [CI], 3.44-25.2) in the weighting approach. Additionally, the association was even more noticeable for mothers with college degrees or above: an increase in % green space within 300 m increased the MDI by 23.69 (95 % CI, 8.53-38.85) and the PDI by 22.45 (95 % CI, 2.58-42.33) in the weighting approach. This association did not appear in mothers without college degrees. CONCLUSION: Exposure to green spaces during pregnancy showed a beneficial relationship with infant mental development. Maternal academic background could modify the impact of green space exposure on infant neurodevelopment.

Hospital admission risks and excess costs for neurological symptoms attributable to long-term exposure to fine particulate matter in New York State, USA.

BACKGROUND: Although emerging evidence suggests that PM2.5 is linked to neurological symptoms (NSs) via neuroinflammation, relevant studies are scarce. This study aimed to investigate the risks and excess costs of hospital admission for five NSs-fatigue, headache, dizziness, convulsion, and paralysis-attributable to long-term exposure to PM2.5 in New York State, USA. METHODS: We analyzed the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) from 2010 to 2016. A Bayesian hierarchical model with integrated nested Laplace approximations was performed to estimate the risks and excess costs of hospital admission for NSs due to long-term exposure to PM2.5 at the county level. RESULTS: A 1 µg/m3 increase in lag 0-1 years PM2.5 was associated with an increased risk of headache and convulsion by 1.06 (1.01, 1.11) and 1.04 (1.01, 1.06), respectively. The excess hospital admission cost for five NSs attributable to lag 0-1 years PM2.5 above the new World Health Organization guideline (annual standard: 5 µg/m3) was $200.24 (95% CI: 6.00, 376.96) million during 2011-2016, recording the highest for convulsion ($153.73 [95% CI: 63.61, 244.19] million). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides quantitative estimates of risks and excess costs for NSs attributable to long-term PM2.5 and suggests that policies that reduce long-term PM2.5 concentration in accordance with the new WHO air quality guidelines can yield substantial health and economic benefits related to NSs in the New York State population.

Multi-center validation of machine learning model for preoperative prediction of postoperative mortality.

Accurate prediction of postoperative mortality is important for not only successful postoperative patient care but also for information-based shared decision-making with patients and efficient allocation of medical resources. This study aimed to create a machine-learning prediction model for 30-day mortality after a non-cardiac surgery that adapts to the manageable amount of clinical information as input features and is validated against multi-centered rather than single-centered data. Data were collected from 454,404 patients over 18 years of age who underwent non-cardiac surgeries from four independent institutions. We performed a retrospective analysis of the retrieved data. Only 12-18 clinical variables were used for model training. Logistic regression, random forest classifier, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and deep neural network methods were applied to compare the prediction performances. To reduce overfitting and create a robust model, bootstrapping and grid search with tenfold cross-validation were performed. The XGBoost method in Seoul National University Hospital (SNUH) data delivers the best performance in terms of the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.9376) and the area under the precision-recall curve (0.1593). The predictive performance was the best when the SNUH model was validated with Ewha Womans University Medical Center data (AUROC, 0.941). Preoperative albumin, prothrombin time, and age were the most important features in the model for each hospital. It is possible to create a robust artificial intelligence prediction model applicable to multiple institutions through a light predictive model using only minimal preoperative information that can be automatically extracted from each hospital.

A COVID-19 mortality prediction model for Korean patients using nationwide Korean disease control and prevention agency database.

The experience of the early nationwide COVID-19 pandemic in South Korea led to an early shortage of medical resources. For efficient resource allocation, accurate prediction of the prognosis or mortality of confirmed patients is essential. Therefore, the aim of this study was to develop an accurate model for predicting COVID-19 mortality using epidemiolocal and clinical variables and for identifying a high-risk group of confirmed patients. Clinical and epidemiolocal variables of 4049 patients with confirmed COVID-19 between January 20, 2020 and April 30, 2020 collected by the Korean Disease Control and Prevention Agency were used. Among the 4049 total confirmed patients, 223 patients died, while 3826 patients were released from isolation. Patients who had the following risk factors showed significantly higher risk scores: age over 60 years, male sex, difficulty breathing, diabetes, cancer, dementia, change of consciousness, and hospitalization in the intensive care unit. High accuracy was shown for both the development set (n = 2467) and the validation set (n = 1582), with AUCs of 0.96 and 0.97, respectively. The prediction model developed in this study based on clinical features and epidemiological factors could be used for screening high-risk groups of patients and for evidence-based allocation of medical resources.

ANNO: A General Annotation Tool for Bilingual Clinical Note Information Extraction.

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to develop a generalizable annotation tool for bilingual complex clinical text annotation, which led to the design and development of a clinical text annotation tool, ANNO. METHODS: We designed ANNO to enable human annotators to support the annotation of information in clinical documents efficiently and accurately. First, annotations for different classes (word or phrase types) can be tagged according to the type of word using the dictionary function. In addition, it is possible to evaluate and reconcile differences by comparing annotation results between human annotators. Moreover, if the regular expression set for each class is updated during annotation, it is automatically reflected in the new document. The regular expression set created by human annotators is designed such that a word tagged once is automatically labeled in new documents. RESULTS: Because ANNO is a Docker-based web application, users can use it freely without being subjected to dependency issues. Human annotators can share their annotation markups as regular expression sets with a dictionary structure, and they can cross-check their annotated corpora with each other. The dictionary-based regular expression sharing function, cross-check function for each annotator, and standardized input (Microsoft Excel) and output (extensible markup language [XML]) formats are the main features of ANNO. CONCLUSIONS: With the growing need for massively annotated clinical data to support the development of machine learning models, we expect ANNO to be helpful to many researchers.

Mortality Risk within 14 Days after Coronavirus Disease 2019 Diagnosis in Dementia Patients: A Nationwide Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The study evaluated the increased mortality risk within 14 days of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) diagnosis in dementia patients. METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted from February to April 2020 using the COVID-19 patients' database from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency. The risk factors for early death within 14 days were determined using generalized logistic regression performed in a stepwise manner. Dementia patients diagnosed with COVID-19 were used for the study. The propensity score-matched cohort was included as controls. The differences in mortality within 14 days after COVID-19 diagnosis between the dementia patients and controls were evaluated. RESULTS: We enrolled 5,349 COVID-19 patients from the database; 224 had dementia as comorbidity. The mortality rate within 14 days after COVID-19 diagnosis in dementia patients and the controls was 23.7% versus 1.7%, respectively, before propensity score matching (PSM) (p < 0.001), and 23.7% versus 9.2% after PSM (p < 0.001). The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality within 14 days in COVID-19 patients with dementia was significant even after PSM (HR 5.104, 95% confidence interval 2.889-5.673, p < 0.001). The survival curve of dementia patients was steeply inclined within 14 days after COVID-19 diagnosis, resulting in 70.7% of all deaths in dementia patients. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 patients with dementia had a higher risk of early death within 14 days. Thus, prompt intervention is necessary for dementia patients after COVID-19 diagnosis.

CTRP3 exacerbates tendinopathy by dysregulating tendon stem cell differentiation and altering extracellular matrix composition.

Tendinopathy, the most common disorder affecting tendons, is characterized by chronic disorganization of the tendon matrix, which leads to tendon tear and rupture. The goal was to identify a rational molecular target whose blockade can serve as a potential therapeutic intervention for tendinopathy. We identified C1q/TNF-related protein-3 (CTRP3) as a markedly up-regulated cytokine in human and rodent tendinopathy. Overexpression of CTRP3 enhanced the progression of tendinopathy by accumulating cartilaginous proteoglycans and degenerating collagenous fibers in the mouse tendon, whereas CTRP3 knockdown suppressed the tendinopathy pathogenesis. Functional blockade of CTRP3 using a neutralizing antibody ameliorated overuse-induced tendinopathy of the Achilles and rotator cuff tendons. Mechanistically, CTRP3 elicited a transcriptomic pattern that stimulates abnormal differentiation of tendon stem/progenitor cells and ectopic chondrification as an effect linked to activation of Akt signaling. Collectively, we reveal an essential role for CTRP3 in tendinopathy and propose a potential therapeutic strategy for the treatment of tendinopathy.

Comprehensive DNA repair gene expression analysis and its prognostic significance in acute myeloid leukemia.

BACKGROUND: Deficiency in DNA damage response (DDR) pathway and accumulation of DNA damage increases mutation rates resulting in genomic instability and eventually increases the risk of cancer. The aim of our study was to investigate expressions of DNA repair genes as new prognostic biomarkers in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). METHODS: We utilized The Cancer Genome Atlas AML project (TCGA-LAML cohort, 15 acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) and 155 non-APL AML) for the expression data of DNA repair genes. For validation, clinical samples (Ewha study group, 9 APL and 72 non-APL AML patients) were analyzed for the expression of 22 DNA repair genes using a custom RT2 Profiler PCR Array. RESULTS: APL patients presented significantly lower expression of DNA repair genes than non-APL AML patients in both study groups. Among non-APL AML patients, high expression levels of PARP1, XRCC1, and RAD51 were associated with poor overall survival (OS) probability in both study groups. Furthermore, Cox regression analysis showed that increased expression levels of PARP1, XRCC1, RAD51, BRCA1 and MRE11A could be independent risk factors for OS in the Ewha study group. Among non-APL patients of the Ewha study group, the OS probability of DDR-overexpressed group with at least one gene or more showing Z score greater than 1.5 was poorer than that of DDR non-overexpressed group. CONCLUSION: In the current study, the DNA repair gene expression profile of APL patients was different from that of non-APL AML patients. Overexpression of DNA repair genes could be a poor prognostic biomarker in non-APL AML.

Time-sequential change in immune-related gene expression after irradiation in glioblastoma: next-generation sequencing analysis.

The time-sequential change in immune-related gene expression of the glioblastoma cell line after irradiation was evaluated to speculate the effect of combined immunotherapy with radiotherapy. The U373 MG glioblastoma cell line was irradiated with 6 Gy single dose. Next-generation sequencing (NGS) transcriptome data was generated before irradiation (control), and at 6, 24, and 48 h post-irradiation. Immune-related pathways were analyzed at each time period. The same analyses were also performed for A549 lung cancer and U87 MG glioblastoma cell lines. Western blotting confirmed the programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression levels over time. In the U373 MG cell line, neutrophil-mediated immunity, type I interferon signaling, antigen cross-presentation to T cell, and interferon-γ signals began to increase significantly at 24 h and were upregulated until 48 h after irradiation. The results were similar to those of the A549 and U87 MG cell lines. Without T cell infiltration, PD-L1 did not increase even with upregulated interferon-γ signaling in cancer cells. In conclusions, in the glioblastoma cell line, immune-related signals were significantly upregulated at 24 and 48 h after irradiation. Therefore, the time interval between daily radiotherapy might not be enough to expect full immune responses by combined immune checkpoint inhibitors and newly infiltrating immune cells after irradiation.

Identification of synthetic chemosensitivity genes paired with BRAF for BRAF/MAPK inhibitors.

Molecular-targeted approaches are important for personalised cancer treatment, which requires knowledge regarding drug target specificity. Here, we used the synthetic lethality concept to identify candidate gene pairs with synergistic effects on drug responses. A synergistic chemo-sensitivity response was identified if a drug had a significantly lower half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) in cell lines with a pair of mutated genes compared with those in other cell lines (wild-type or one mutated gene). Among significantly damaging mutations in the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer database, we found 580 candidate synergistic chemo-sensitivity interaction sets for 456 genes and 54 commercial drugs. Clustering analyses according to drug/gene and drug/tissue interactions showed that BRAF/MAPK inhibitors clustered together; 11 partner genes for BRAF were identified. The combined effects of these partners on IC50 values were significant for both drug-specific and drug-combined comparisons. Survival analysis using The Cancer Genome Atlas data showed that patients who had mutated gene pairs in synergistic interaction sets had longer overall survival compared with that in patients with other mutation profiles. Overall, this analysis demonstrated that synergistic drug-responsive gene pairs could be successfully used as predictive markers of drug sensitivity and patient survival, offering new targets for personalised medicine.

A system-level approach identifies HIF-2α as a critical regulator of chondrosarcoma progression.

Chondrosarcomas, malignant cartilaginous neoplasms, are capable of transitioning to highly aggressive, metastatic, and treatment-refractory states, resulting in significant patient mortality. Here, we aim to uncover the transcriptional program directing such tumor progression in chondrosarcomas. We conduct weighted correlation network analysis to extract a characteristic gene module underlying chondrosarcoma malignancy. Hypoxia-inducible factor-2α (HIF-2α, encoded by EPAS1) is identified as an upstream regulator that governs the malignancy gene module. HIF-2α is upregulated in high-grade chondrosarcoma biopsies and EPAS1 gene amplification is associated with poor prognosis in chondrosarcoma patients. Using tumor xenograft mouse models, we demonstrate that HIF-2α confers chondrosarcomas the capacities required for tumor growth, local invasion, and metastasis. Meanwhile, pharmacological inhibition of HIF-2α, in conjunction with the chemotherapy agents, synergistically enhances chondrosarcoma cell apoptosis and abolishes malignant signatures of chondrosarcoma in mice. We expect that our insights into the pathogenesis of chondrosarcoma will provide guidelines for the development of molecular targeted therapeutics for chondrosarcoma.

Immune expression signatures as candidate prognostic biomarkers of age and gender survival differences in cutaneous melanoma.

This study aims to investigate the difference of gene expression and its prognostic significance in younger women with melanoma. Significantly upregulated genes in tumors compared to normal skin tissues were extracted. Among these genes, genes that significantly affected survival according to expression level were selected, and pathway annotation was performed. The patient proportion with high/low expression of the most significant pathways was analyzed in each age (< 50, 50-59, ≥ 60) and gender group. Survival was analyzed according to age, gender, and pathways. The most significant pathways that were upregulated in tumor tissues and also had impacts on survival were programmed cell death protein [PD]-1, interferon-γ, and interferon-α/ß pathways. In women, the immune signaling rate in patients was higher than men and decreased with age (63.5%, 53.8%, and 47.6%). In men, the decreasing tendency was minimal (47.6%, 50.0%, and 41.6%). In patients aged < 60 years, women had a favorable survival rate than men (p = 0.055). Except for patients with high immune signaling, no survival difference was observed between genders (p = 0.6). In conclusion, younger female melanoma patients had high immune signaling than older women and men. This immune signaling improved survival of the younger female patients.

Increasing incidence and improving survival of oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma.

We evaluated changes in incidence, relative survival (RS), and conditional survival (CS) of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), focusing on oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC). Data of 74 680 HNSCC patients from 1976 to 2015 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Five anatomical sites and their subsites were analyzed. Annual percent change (APC) of incidence was calculated. RS and CS were compared across the four decades. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of RS were evaluated using multivariate regression. OTSCC incidence decreased from 1976 (APC = -0.76, P < 0.05) but has increased since 1999 (APC = 2.36, P < 0.05). During 2006-2015, the 5-year CS exceeded 90% only for OTSCC and oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). RS improved in OTSCC (aHR = 0.697, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.642-0.757, P < 0.001) and OPSCC (aHR = 0.669, 95% CI 0.633-0.706, P < 0.001) during the last two decades. For both OTSCC and OPSCC, improved survival was observed regardless of treatment. Incidence and survival remained unchanged for nasopharyngeal, hypopharyngeal, and laryngeal cancers during this period. In conclusion, OTSCC incidence has been increasing since the 2000s, with improving prognosis irrespective of treatment. Given its similarity to OPSCC, OTSCC may represent an emerging HNSCC, warranting further research and clinical recognition.

Targeted next-generation DNA sequencing identifies Notch signaling pathway mutation as a predictor of radiation response.

Purpose: Identifying the association between somatic mutations and the radiation response of tumor is essential for understanding the mechanisms and practicing personalized radiotherapy. The present study aimed to discover specific genes or pathways that are associated with radiation response using targeted next-generation DNA sequencing.Material and methods: Fifty-five patients with various solid tumors whose specimen were sequenced using institutional panel which includes 148 cancer-related genes and received radiotherapy for a measurable tumor were analyzed. Patients with irradiated tumors in complete or partial remission for more than 6 months were defined as responders. Association between mutations including pathogenic single nucleotide variants and insertions/deletions in the 148 genes and 39 molecular pathways and radiation response was investigated.Results: Analyzing 17 responders and 38 non-responders, biologically effective dose (BED), but not concurrent chemotherapy, was associated with radiation response. No single gene correlated with radiation response. Mutations in Notch signaling pathway were associated with radiosensitivity after correction for multiple comparison (adjusted p = .094). When BED and Notch signaling pathway mutation were tested with logistic regression, both variables were associated with radiation response.Conclusions: Our results suggest that somatic mutations in Notch signaling pathway may be related to sensitivity to radiation, although these results should be validated in a larger and more homogeneous cohort.