The importance of disease prevalence in clinical decision making: a real practice study on COVID-19 antigen test in Curacao.

The performance of a test can be suboptimal, but in appropriate setting such a test is still useful for clinical decision making. We investigated the role of Antigen Rapid Diagnostic Test (Ag-RDT) for clinical decision making in an Emergency Department (ED) in Curacao during peak of COVID-19 pandemic. Ag-RDT was performed in the naso- and oropharynx-swabs from patients with respiratory insufficiency presented to the ED. Ag-RDT was performed in 153 patients, of which 64 (41.8%) showed positive results. Comparing Ag-RDT results with molecular tests, its sensitivity was 68.8% (95% CI 57.4 to 78.7), and specificity of 94.6% (95% CI 84.9 to 98.9). The positive and negative predictive value were 95.1% (95% CI 86.5 to 98.3) and 66.3 (95% CI 58.6 to 73.3), respectively. All patients with Ag-RDT positive test were admitted to the cohorted COVD-19 department of the hospital. By using Ag-RDT, 35.9% of rapid PCR tests (that are more costly and laborious to perform) could be avoided at cost of 5.8% patients with false positive result. In conclusion, in real practice, disease prevalence is as important as test's performance for clinical decision making. The conclusion may also be applicable for other diagnostic tests than COVID-19 diagnostic.

The importance of disease prevalence in clinical decision making: a real practice study on COVID-19 antigen test in Curacao

ABSTRACT The performance of a test can be suboptimal, but in appropriate setting such a test is still useful for clinical decision making. We investigated the role of Antigen Rapid Diagnostic Test (Ag-RDT) for clinical decision making in an Emergency Department (ED) in Curacao during peak of COVID-19 pandemic. Ag-RDT was performed in the naso- and oropharynxswabs from patients with respiratory insufficiency presented to the ED. Ag-RDT was performed in 153 patients, of which 64 (41.8%) showed positive results. Comparing Ag-RDT results with molecular tests, its sensitivity was 68.8% (95% CI 57.4 to 78.7), and specificity of 94.6% (95% CI 84.9 to 98.9). The positive and negative predictive value were 95.1% (95% CI 86.5 to 98.3) and 66.3 (95% CI 58.6 to 73.3), respectively. All patients with Ag-RDT positive test were admitted to the cohorted COVD-19 department of the hospital. By using Ag-RDT, 35.9% of rapid PCR tests (that are more costly and laborious to perform) could be avoided at cost of 5.8% patients with false positive result. In conclusion, in real practice, disease prevalence is as important as test's performance for clinical decision making. The conclusion may also be applicable for other diagnostic tests than COVID-19 diagnostic.

Lactobacilli vs antibiotics to prevent urinary tract infections: a randomized, double-blind, noninferiority trial in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: Growing antibiotic resistance warrants studying nonantibiotic prophylaxis for recurrent urinary tract infections (UTIs). Use of lactobacilli appears to be promising. METHODS: Between January 2005 and August 2007, we randomized 252 postmenopausal women with recurrent UTIs taking part in a double-blind noninferiority trial to receive 12 months of prophylaxis with trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, 480 mg, once daily or oral capsules containing 109 colony-forming units of Lactobacillus rhamnosus GR-1 and Lactobacillus reuteri RC-14 twice daily. Primary end points were the mean number of symptomatic UTIs, proportion of participants with at least 1 UTI during 12 months, time to first UTI, and development of antibiotic resistance by Escherichia coli. RESULTS: The mean number of symptomatic UTIs in the year preceding randomization was 7.0 in the trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole group and 6.8 in the lactobacilli group. In the intention-to-treat analysis, after 12 months of prophylaxis, these numbers were 2.9 and 3.3, respectively. The between-treatment difference of 0.4 UTIs per year (95% CI, -0.4 to 1.5) was outside our noninferiority margin. At least 1 symptomatic UTI occurred in 69.3% and 79.1% of the trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole and lactobacilli participants, respectively; median times to the first UTI were 6 and 3 months, respectively. After 1 month of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis, resistance to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, trimethoprim, and amoxicillin had increased from approximately 20% to 40% to approximately 80% to 95% in E coli from the feces and urine of asymptomatic women and among E coli causing a UTI. During the 3 months after trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole discontinuation, resistance levels gradually decreased. Resistance did not increase during lactobacilli prophylaxis. CONCLUSIONS: In postmenopausal women with recurrent UTIs, L rhamnosus GR-1 and L reuteri RC-14 do not meet the noninferiority criteria in the prevention of UTIs when compared with trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole. However, unlike trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, lactobacilli do not increase antibiotic resistance. TRIAL REGISTRATION isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN50717094.

Cranberries vs antibiotics to prevent urinary tract infections: a randomized double-blind noninferiority trial in premenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: The increasing prevalence of uropathogens resistant to antimicrobial agents has stimulated interest in cranberries to prevent recurrent urinary tract infections (UTIs). METHODS: In a double-blind, double-dummy noninferiority trial, 221 premenopausal women with recurrent UTIs were randomized to 12-month prophylaxis use of trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX), 480 mg once daily, or cranberry capsules, 500 mg twice daily. Primary end points were the mean number of symptomatic UTIs over 12 months, the proportion of patients with at least 1 symptomatic UTI, the median time to first UTI, and development of antibiotic resistance in indigenous Escherichia coli. RESULTS: After 12 months, the mean number of patients with at least 1 symptomatic UTI was higher in the cranberry than in the TMP-SMX group (4.0 vs 1.8; P = .02), and the proportion of patients with at least 1 symptomatic UTI was higher in the cranberry than in the TMP-SMX group (78.2% vs 71.1%). Median time to the first symptomatic UTI was 4 months for the cranberry and 8 months for the TMP-SMX group. After 1 month, in the cranberry group, 23.7% of fecal and 28.1% of asymptomatic bacteriuria E coli isolates were TMP-SMX resistant, whereas in the TMP-SMX group, 86.3% of fecal and 90.5% of asymptomatic bacteriuria E coli isolates were TMP-SMX resistant. Similarly, we found increased resistance rates for trimethoprim, amoxicillin, and ciprofloxacin in these E coli isolates after 1 month in the TMP-SMX group. After discontinuation of TMP-SMX, resistance reached baseline levels after 3 months. Antibiotic resistance did not increase in the cranberry group. Cranberries and TMP-SMX were equally well tolerated. CONCLUSION: In premenopausal women, TMP-SMX, 480 mg once daily, is more effective than cranberry capsules, 500 mg twice daily, to prevent recurrent UTIs, at the expense of emerging antibiotic resistance. TRIAL REGISTRATION: isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN50717094.

Evaluation of the nitrite and leukocyte esterase activity tests for the diagnosis of acute symptomatic urinary tract infection in men.

For 422 male patients with symptoms indicative of a urinary tract infection, nitrite and leukocyte esterase activity dipstick test results were compared with results of culture of urine samples. The positive predictive value of a positive nitrite test result was 96%. Addition of results of the leukocyte esterase test did not improve the diagnostic accuracy of the nitrite test.