A nationwide study of temporal trends of cause-specific hospital readmissions in patients with heart failure.

AIMS: The impact of hospital readmissions on the outcomes of heart failure (HF) patients is well known. However, data on temporal trends of cause-specific hospital readmissions in these patients are limited. METHODS AND RESULTS: From 1987 to 2014, we identified and followed up for 1 year 608 135 patients ≥18 years hospitalized with HF according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9 and 10 from the National Inpatient Register. Readmissions for cardiovascular (CVD) and non-CVD causes and co-morbidities were defined according to ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. We analysed trends in the incidence rate of readmissions, the median time to the first rehospitalization, and the time to readmission, stratified by sex, age groups and cause of rehospitalization using linear regression. During our study, 1 year all-cause mortality decreased (ß = -4.93, P < 0.0001), but the incidence rate of readmissions per 1000 person-years remained unchanged. The readmission rate for CVD causes decreased; in contrast, the readmission rate increased across all age and sex groups for non-CVD causes. Analysing the patients by study periods (1987-1997, 1998-2007 and 2008-2014), CVD and non-CVD co-morbidities had a statistically significant increasing trend (P < 0.001). The median time in hospital decreased and the median time to the first readmission were almost unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to a declining mortality rate, the incidence rate of readmissions saw no change, possibly because of divergent trends in cause-specific readmissions. An increasing rate of readmissions for non-CVD causes underscores the importance of optimising multimorbidity management to reduce the risk of readmissions in patients with HF.

Impact of elevated systolic arterial pulmonary pressure on the total mortality rate after acute myocardial infarction in the elderly.

Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is associated with increased mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, the prognostic impact of elevated systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) in the very elderly patients after AMI is lacking. We aimed to study the impact of elevated sPAP on one- and five-year all-cause mortality after AMI in very elderly patients, 80 years of age and older. Of a total number of 353 patients (≥ 80 years) who were hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome, 162 patients presenting with AMI and with available data of sPAP on echocardiography were included and followed-up for 5 years. The survival analyses were performed using Cox-Regression models adjusted for conventional risk factors including LVEF. Altogether 66 of 162 patients (41%) had ST-segment elevation MI, and 121 (75%) of patients were treated with percutaneous coronary intervention in the acute phase. Echocardiography during the admission revealed that 78 patients (48%) had a LVEF ≤ 45% and 66 patients (41%) had a sPAP ≥ 40 mmHg. After one and five years of follow-up, 23% (n = 33) and 53% (n = 86) of patients died, respectively. A multivariable Cox-Regression analysis showed that the elevated sPAP (≥ 40 mmHg) was an independent predictor of increased mortality in both one and five years after AMI; HR of 2.63 (95%, CI 1.19-5.84, P 0.017) and HR of 2.08 (95%, CI 1.25-3.44, P 0.005) respectively, whereas LVEF ≤ 45% did not show any statistically significant impact, neither on one- nor on five-year mortality (HR 1.3, 95% CI 0.6-2.9, p = 0.469) and (HR 1.4, 95% CI 0.8-2.4, p = 0.158), respectively. Elevated sPAP was an independent risk factor for one- and five-year all-cause mortality after AMI in very elderly patients and sPAP seems to be a better prognostic predictor for all-cause mortality than LVEF. The risk of all-cause mortality after AMI increased with increasing sPAP.

Trends in myocarditis incidence, complications and mortality in Sweden from 2000 to 2014.

Investigate trends in myocarditis incidence and prognosis in Sweden during 2000-2014. Little data exist concerning population-trends in incidence of hospitalizations for myocarditis and subsequent prognosis. Linking Swedish National Patient and Cause of Death Registers, we identified individuals ≥ 16 years with first-time diagnosis of myocarditis during 2000-2014. Reference population, matched for age and birth year (n = 16,622) was selected from Swedish Total Population Register. Among the 8 679 cases (75% men, 64% < 50 years), incidence rate/100,000 inhabitants rose from 6.3 to 8.6 per 100,000, mostly in men and those < 50 years. Incident heart failure/dilated cardiomyopathy occurred in 6.2% within 1 year after index hospitalization and in 10.2% during 2000-2014, predominantly in those ≥ 50 years (12.1% within 1 year, 20.8% during 2000-2014). In all 8.1% died within 1 year, 0.9% (< 50 years) and 20.8% (≥ 50 years). Hazard ratios (adjusted for age, sex) for 1-year mortality comparing cases and controls were 4.00 (95% confidence interval 1.37-11.70), 4.48 (2.57-7.82), 4.57 (3.31-6.31) and 3.93 (3.39-4.57) for individuals aged < 30, 30 to < 50, 50 to < 70, and ≥ 70 years, respectively. The incidence of myocarditis during 2000-2014 increased, predominantly in men < 50 years. One-year mortality was low, but fourfold higher compared with reference population.

Cumulative incidence and predictors of acquired aortic stenosis in a large population of men followed for up to 43 years.

BACKGROUND: Acquired aortic stenosis (AS) increases with age and has high mortality without intervention. Factors predicting its development are unclear, although atherosclerotic factors are assumed to be involved. Our aim in this study is to estimate the lifetime cumulative incidence and predictors of AS in middle-aged men. METHODS: We included a random sample of men (n = 9998) born 1915-1925 in Gothenburg, Sweden. From them, 7,494 were examined and followed until a diagnosis of AS or death (maximum follow-up time 42.8 years). We identified AS diagnosis from the Swedish National Patient Registry and deaths from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry by using International Classification of Disease (ICD) diagnostic criteria. To study time-dependent relationships between AS and risk factors with death as the competing risk, we divided the cohort into three overlapping follow-up groups: 25-43, 30-43 and 35-43 years. We used age-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model to identify predictors of AS. RESULTS: The lifelong cumulative incidence of AS was 3.2%. At baseline, participants in the third group had a healthier lifestyle, lower body mass index (BMI), blood pressure, and serum cholesterol levels. Higher BMI, obesity, cholesterol, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, smoking and heredity for stroke were associated with AS. With BMI of 20-22.5 as a reference, hazard ratios of being diagnosed with AS for men with a baseline BMI of 25-27.5 kg/m2, 27.5-30 kg/m2 and > 30 kg/m2 were 1.99 (95% CI 1.12-3.55), 2.98 (95% CI 1.65-5.40) and 3.55 (95% CI 1.84-6.87), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The lifetime cumulative incidence of AS in middle-aged male population was 3.2%. Multiple atherosclerotic risk factors, particularly high BMI might be associated with a higher risk of developing AS.

Prognosis and outcome determinants after heart failure diagnosis in patients who underwent aortic valvular intervention.

AIMS: To study clinical phenotype, prognosis for all-cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality and predictive factors in patients with incident heart failure (HF) after aortic valvular intervention (AVI) for aortic stenosis (AS). METHODS AND RESULTS: In this retrospective, observational study we included patients from the Swedish Heart Failure Registry (SwedeHF) recorded 2003-2016, with AS diagnosis and AVI before HF diagnosis. The AS diagnosis was established according to International Classification of Diseases 10th revision (ICD-10) codes, thus without information concerning clinical or echocardiographical data on the aortic valve disease. The patients were divided into two subgroups: left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50% (AS-HFpEF) and <50% (AS-HFrEF). We individually matched three controls with HF from the SwedeHF without AS (control group) for each patient. Baseline characteristics, co-morbidities, survival status and outcomes were obtained by linking the SwedeHF with two other Swedish registries. We used Kaplan-Meier curves to present time to all-cause mortality, cumulative incidence function for time to CV mortality and Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the relative difference between AS-HFrEF and AS-HFpEF and AS-HF and controls. The crude all-cause mortality was 49.0%, CV mortality 27.9% in AS-HF patients, respectively 44.7% and 26.6% in matched controls. The adjusted risk for all-cause mortality and CV mortality was similar in HF, regardless of LVEF vs. controls. No significant difference in factors predicting higher all-cause mortality was observed in AS-HFrEF vs. AS-HFpEF, except for diabetes (only in AS-HFrEF), with statistically significant interaction predicting death between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide SwedeHF study, we characterized incident HF population after AVI. We found no significant differences in all-cause and CV mortality compared with general HF population. They had virtually the same predictors for mortality, regardless of LVEF.

Prevalence and risk factors of aortic stenosis and aortic sclerosis: a 21-year follow-up of middle-aged men.

Introduction. There is limited knowledge about factors associated with the development of aortic stenosis. This study aimed to examine the prevalence of aortic sclerosis or stenosis in 71-years-old men and determine which risk factors at 50 years of age predict the development of aortic sclerosis or aortic stenosis. Methods. A random sample of Swedish men from the general population, born in 1943 (n = 798) were followed for 21 years. Data on clinical characteristics and laboratory values were collected in 1993. An echocardiography was performed in 2014. We used logistic regression to examine the association between baseline data and the outcome. Results. Echocardiography was performed in 535 men, and aortic sclerosis or aortic stenosis was diagnosed in 27 (5.0%). 14 persons developed aortic stenosis (2.6%). Among men with aortic sclerosis or aortic stenosis, 29.6% were obese. In multivariable stepwise regression model, body mass index (odds ratio per unit increase 1.23 (95% CI 1.10-1.38; p = .0003)) and hypercholesterolemia, combined with high sensitive C-reactive protein (odds ratio versus all other 2.66 (1.18-6.00; p = .019)) were significantly associated with increased risk of developing aortic sclerosis or aortic stenosis. Body mass index was the only factor significantly associated with a higher risk of developing aortic stenosis. Conclusion. The prevalence of either aortic sclerosis or aortic stenosis was 5% and of aortic stenosis 2.6%. Obesity and hypercholesterolemia combined with elevated high sensitive C-reactive protein at the age of 50 predicted the development of degenerative aortic sclerosis or stenosis, whilst only obesity was correlated with the occurrence of aortic stenosis.

Larger right atrium than left atrium is associated with all-cause mortality in elderly patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: While left atrial (LA) enlargement is known as an early sign of left heart disease with prognostic implications in heart failure (HF), the importance of right atrial (RA) enlargement is less well studied, and the prognostic implications of interatrial size comparison are insufficiently understood. The aim of this study was to test the hypothesis that RA area larger than LA area in apical four-chamber view is associated with all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF independent of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). METHODS: Retrospectively, 289 patients above 65 years hospitalized for HF between April 2007 and April 2008, and who underwent an echocardiogram, were enrolled. All-cause mortality was registered during a follow-up of at least 56 months. Baseline parameters measured were RA area, LA area, LA volume, LVEF, left ventricular mass (LVM), tissue Doppler systolic velocity of right ventricular free wall (SmRV), presence of severe tricuspid regurgitation (TR), tricuspid gradient, central venous pressure, systolic pulmonary artery pressure, as well as some parameters of diastolic function. RESULTS: In univariate analysis RA larger than LA was associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] of 1.88, P<.001). The relation of RA larger than LA to all-cause mortality remained even after adjusting for age, heart rate, LVEF, atrial fibrillation, percutaneous coronary intervention, LVM index, LA volume index, SmRV, and the presence of severe TR (HR: 1.79, P=.04). CONCLUSION: RA larger than LA, independently of LVEF, is associated with all-cause mortality in elderly patients hospitalized due to HF.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction has a better long-term prognosis than heart failure with reduced ejection fraction in old patients in a 5-year follow-up retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: The issue of whether prognosis is similar between heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) remains unresolved. Because of the problem of inconsistency in the diagnostic criteria and because there is currently no lifesaving therapy available for HFpEF, it seems to be the right time to study the outcome of a clearly defined HFpEF compared with HFrEF in contemporary heart failure (HF) therapy. This study investigates 5-year-mortality and its prognostic factors in old patients with HFpEF compared with those with HFrEF. METHODS: This is a retrospective study. Patients hospitalized at Sahlgrenska University Hospital/Ostra for HF were consecutively included between May 2007 and April 2008. Diagnosis were reviewed and re-evaluated for each patient. The outcome measure was all-cause mortality and collected from May 2007 and 2013. RESULTS: Mean age of the study population (n=289) was 79±7years. One third of the HF cohort had HFpEF. When adjusted for age HFrEF patients had a 42% higher 5-year mortality than HFpEF. By logistic regression analysis age, female sex, pulmonary disease, renal dysfunction, loop diuretics and aldosterone receptor antagonist were negatively associated with prognosis in HFpEF, whereas angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers (ACEi/ARBs) and Statins were positive prognostic factors. In HFrEF age, atrial fibrillation, NT-proBNP and loop diuretics were negative predictive factors, while treated hypertension, percutaneous coronary intervention, ACEi/ARBs and beta-blockers were positive factors for survival. CONCLUSION: HFpEF proved to have a better long-term prognosis than HFrEF and a distinct prognostic risk profile.