Clinical and genetic factors associated with tumor response to neoadjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy, survival and recurrence risk in rectal cancer.

Rectal cancer poses challenges in preoperative treatment response, with up to 30% achieving a complete response (CR). Personalized treatment relies on accurate identification of responders at diagnosis. This study aimed to unravel CR determinants, overall survival (OS), and time to recurrence (TTR) using clinical and targeted sequencing data. Analyzing 402 patients undergoing preoperative treatment, tumor stage, size, and treatment emerged as robust response predictors. CR rates were higher in smaller, early-stage, and intensively treated tumors. Targeted sequencing analyzed 216 cases, while 120 patients provided hotspot mutation data. KRAS mutation dramatically reduced CR odds by over 50% (odds ratio [OR] = 0.3 in the targeted sequencing and OR = 0.4 hotspot cohorts, respectively). In contrast, SMAD4 and SYNE1 mutations were associated with higher CR rates (OR = 6.0 and 6.8, respectively). Favorable OS was linked to younger age, CR, and low baseline carcinoembryonic antigen levels. Notably, CR and an APC mutation increased TTR, while a BRAF mutation negatively affected TTR. Beyond tumor burden, SMAD4 and SYNE1 mutations significantly influenced CR. KRAS mutations independently correlated with radiotherapy resistance, and BRAF mutations heightened recurrence risk. Intriguingly, non-responding tumors with initially small sizes carried a higher risk of recurrence. The findings, even if limited in addition to the imperfect clinical factors, offer insights into rectal cancer treatment response, guiding personalized therapeutic strategies. By uncovering factors impacting CR, OS, and TTR, this study underscores the importance of tailored approaches for rectal cancer patients. These findings, based on extensive analysis and mutation data, pave the way for personalized interventions, optimizing outcomes in the challenges of rectal cancer preoperative treatment.

Development of a prognostic MRCP-score (DiStrict) for individuals with large-duct primary sclerosing cholangitis.

Background & Aims: Magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) is used for the diagnosis and follow-up of individuals with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). The aim of our study is to develop an MRCP-score based on cholangiographic findings previously associated with outcomes and assess its reproducibility and prognostic value in PSC. Methods: The score (DiStrict score) was developed based on the extent and severity of cholangiographic changes of intrahepatic and extrahepatic bile ducts (range 0-8) on 3D-MRCP. In this retrospective, multicentre study, three pairs of radiologists with different levels of expertise from three tertiary centres applied the score independently. MRCP examinations of 220 consecutive individuals with PSC from a prospectively collected PSC-cohort, with median follow-up of 7.4 years, were reviewed. Inter-reader and intrareader agreements were assessed via intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). After consensus, the prognostic value of the score was assessed using Cox-regression and outcome-free survival rates were assessed via Kaplan-Meier estimates. Harrell's C-statistic was calculated. Results: Forty patients developed outcomes (liver transplantation or liver-related death). Inter-reader agreement between experienced radiologists was good (ICC 0.82; 95% CI 0.74-0.87, and ICC 0.81; 95% CI 0.70-0.87, respectively) and better than the agreement for the pair of experienced/less-experienced radiologists (ICC 0.48; 95% CI 0.05-0.72). Agreement between radiologists from the three centres was good (ICC 0.76; 95% CI 0.57-0.89). Intrareader agreement was good to excellent (ICC 0.85-0.93). Harrell's C was 0.78. Patients with a DiStrict score of 5-8 had 8.2-fold higher risk (hazard ratio 8.2; 95% CI 2.97-22.65) of developing outcomes, and significantly worse survival (p <0.001), compared to those with a DiStrict score of 1-4. Conclusions: The novel DiStrict score is reproducible and strongly associated with outcomes, indicating its prognostic value for individuals with PSC in clinical practice. Impact and implications: The diagnosis of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is based on magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP). However, the role of MRCP in the prognostication of PSC is still unclear. We developed a novel, simple, and reproducible risk-score, based on MRCP findings, that showed a strong association with prognosis in individuals with PSC (DiStrict score). This score can be easily used in clinical practice and thus has the potential to be useful in clinical trials and in patient counselling and management.

Determining the use of preoperative (chemo)radiotherapy in primary rectal cancer according to national and international guidelines.

BACKGROUND: Pre-operative radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is frequently used prior to rectal cancer surgery to improve local control and survival. The treatment is administered according to guidelines, but these recommendations vary significantly between countries. Based on the stage distribution and risk factors of rectal cancers as determined by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in an unselected Swedish population, the use of RT/CRT according to 15 selected guidelines is described. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Selected guidelines from different countries and regions were applied to a well-characterized unselected population-based material of 686 primary non-metastatic rectal cancers staged by MRI. The fraction of patients assigned to surgery alone or surgery following pre-treatment with (C)RT was determined according to the respective guideline. RT/CRT administered to rectal cancer patients for other reasons, for example, for organ preservation or palliation, was not considered. RESULTS: The fraction of patients with a clear recommendation for pre-treatment with (C)RT varied between 38% and 77% according to the different guidelines. In most guidelines, CRT was recommended to all patients who were not operated directly, and, in others, short-course RT was also recommended to patients with intermediate risk tumours. If only non-resectable or difficult to resect tumours were recommended pre-treatment, as stated in many Japanese publications, 9% would receive CRT followed by a delay to surgery. CONCLUSIONS: According to most guidelines, well over 50% of primary non-metastatic rectal cancer patients from a general population, in which screening for colorectal cancer is not practised, are recommended treatment with pre-operative/neo-adjuvant therapy.

Stage distribution utilizing magnetic resonance imaging in an unselected population of primary rectal cancers.

BACKGROUND: Pre-operative radiotherapy (RT) or chemo-radiotherapy (CRT) are sometimes recommended prior to rectal cancer surgery, but guideline recommendations vary. The aim was to describe stage distribution and other important characteristics required for the treatment decision of patients with primary rectal cancers utilizing magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in an unselected population. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All 796 histopathologically verified rectal adenocarcinomas diagnosed 2010-2015 in two counties in Sweden (population 630,000 in 2015) were identified. Staging with pelvic MRI unless contraindications were present, treatment and pathology followed Swedish guidelines. RESULTS: Twenty-three % of cases (n = 186) had distant metastases at diagnosis, demonstrating more advanced tumor and nodal stages when compared with non-metastatic patients (p < 0.001), and they more often displayed MRI-identified mucinous features and extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) than non-metastatic tumors (p < 0.001 for both). In non-metastatic patients, 8% displayed clinical stage T1 (cT1), 21% cT2, and 53% cT3; one-third of the latter threatened or involved the mesorectal fascia (MRF+). Almost 20% had stage cT4 (4% cT4a, 14% cT4b) of which 50% were considered "non-resectable". EMVI was seen in 33% of cT3M0 tumors and in 48% of cT4M0 tumors. CONCLUSIONS: In an unselected population, approximately 80% of primary rectal cancers are referred to as "locally advanced" (stage II-III, or cT3-4 or N+), meaning that they, according to many international guidelines, are recommended neo-adjuvant treatment. This study provides a detailed description of the clinical stages and presence of characteristics identifiable on MRI which are of importance when assessing the needs for RT/CRT, when using different guidelines.